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Title: Model documentation report: Industrial sector demand module of the National Energy Modeling System

Technical Report ·
DOI:https://doi.org/10.2172/448054· OSTI ID:448054

This report documents the objectives, analytical approach, and development of the National Energy Modeling System (NEMS) Industrial Demand Model. The report catalogues and describes model assumptions, computational methodology, parameter estimation techniques, and model source code. This document serves three purposes. First, it is a reference document providing a detailed description of the NEMS Industrial Model for model analysts, users, and the public. Second, this report meets the legal requirement of the Energy Information Administration (EIA) to provide adequate documentation in support of its models. Third, it facilitates continuity in model development by providing documentation from which energy analysts can undertake model enhancements, data updates, and parameter refinements as future projects. The NEMS Industrial Demand Model is a dynamic accounting model, bringing together the disparate industries and uses of energy in those industries, and putting them together in an understandable and cohesive framework. The Industrial Model generates mid-term (up to the year 2015) forecasts of industrial sector energy demand as a component of the NEMS integrated forecasting system. From the NEMS system, the Industrial Model receives fuel prices, employment data, and the value of industrial output. Based on the values of these variables, the Industrial Model passes back to the NEMS system estimates of consumption by fuel types.

Research Organization:
USDOE Energy Information Administration, Washington, DC (United States). Office of Integrated Analysis and Forecasting
Sponsoring Organization:
USDOE Energy Information Administration, Washington, DC (United States)
OSTI ID:
448054
Report Number(s):
DOE/EIA-M064(97); ON: DE97003688; NC: NONE; TRN: 97:006559
Resource Relation:
Other Information: PBD: Jan 1997
Country of Publication:
United States
Language:
English