Optimization under Uncertainty of Site-Specific Turbine Configurations: Preprint
Uncertainty affects many aspects of wind energy plant performance and cost. In this study, we explore opportunities for site-specific turbine configuration optimization that accounts for uncertainty in the wind resource. As a demonstration, a simple empirical model for wind plant cost of energy is used in an optimization under uncertainty to examine how different risk appetites affect the optimal selection of a turbine configuration for sites of different wind resource profiles. If there is unusually high uncertainty in the site wind resource, the optimal turbine configuration diverges from the deterministic case and a generally more conservative design is obtained with increasing risk aversion on the part of the designer.
- Research Organization:
- National Renewable Energy Lab. (NREL), Golden, CO (United States)
- Sponsoring Organization:
- USDOE Office of Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy (EERE), Wind and Water Technologies Office (EE-4W); USDOE Office of Science (SC)
- DOE Contract Number:
- AC36-08GO28308
- OSTI ID:
- 1334400
- Report Number(s):
- NREL/CP-5000-66808
- Resource Relation:
- Journal Volume: 753; Conference: Presented at the Science of Making Torque from Wind (TORQUE 2016), 5-7 October 2016, Munich, Germany
- Country of Publication:
- United States
- Language:
- English
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