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Title: The Northwest Geysers EGS Demonstration Project, California. Pre-stimulation Modeling and Interpretation of the Stimulation

Journal Article · · Mathematical Geosciences
 [1];  [1];  [2];  [2];  [1];  [1];  [1];  [2]
  1. Lawrence Berkeley National Lab. (LBNL), Berkeley, CA (United States)
  2. Calpine Corporation, Middletown, CA (United States)

The Northwest Geysers Enhanced Geothermal System (EGS) demonstration project aims to create an EGS by directly and systematically injecting cool water at relatively low pressure into a known High Temperature (280–400 °C) Zone (HTZ) located under the conventional (240 °C) geothermal steam reservoir at The Geysers geothermal field in California. Here we report that , the results of coupled thermal, hydraulic, and mechanical (THM) analyses made using a model developed as part of the pre-stimulation phase of the EGS demonstration project is presented. The model simulations were conducted in order to investigate injection strategies and the resulting effects of cold-water injection upon the EGS system; in particular to predict the extent of the stimulation zone for a given injection schedule. The actual injection began on October 6, 2011, and in this paper a comparison of pre-stimulation model predictions with micro-earthquake (MEQ) monitoring data over the first few months of a one-year injection program is presented. The results show that, by using a calibrated THM model based on historic injection and MEQ data at a nearby well, the predicted extent of the stimulation zone (defined as a zone of high MEQ density around the injection well) compares well with observed seismicity. The modeling indicates that the MEQ events are related to shear reactivation of preexisting fractures, which is triggered by the combined effects of injection-induced cooling around the injection well and small changes in steam pressure as far as half a kilometer away from the injection well. Pressure-monitoring data at adjacent wells and satellite-based ground-surface deformation data were also used to validate and further calibrate reservoir-scale hydraulic and mechanical model properties. The pressure signature monitored from the start of the injection was particularly useful for a precise back-calculation of reservoir porosity. Ultimately, the first few months of reservoir pressure and surface deformation data were useful for estimating the reservoir-rock permeability and elastic modulus. Finally, although the extent of the calculated stimulation zone matches the field observations over the first few months of injection, the observed surface deformations and MEQ evolution showed more heterogeneous behavior as a result of more complex geology, including minor faults and fracture zones that are important for consideration in the analysis of energy production and the long-term evolution of the EGS system.

Research Organization:
Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory (LBNL), Berkeley, CA (United States)
Sponsoring Organization:
USDOE Office of Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy (EERE)
Grant/Contract Number:
AC02-05CH11231
OSTI ID:
1254437
Journal Information:
Mathematical Geosciences, Vol. 47, Issue 1; ISSN 1874-8961
Publisher:
SpringerCopyright Statement
Country of Publication:
United States
Language:
English
Citation Metrics:
Cited by: 48 works
Citation information provided by
Web of Science

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Cited By (12)

Economic analysis of heating for an enhanced geothermal system based on a simplified model in Yitong Basin, China journal August 2019
Tracking the development of seismic fracture network from The Geysers geothermal field journal September 2018
Evolution of seismicity in relation to fluid injection in the North-Western part of The Geysers geothermal field journal November 2017
Analysis of seismic moment tensors and in situ stress during Enhanced Geothermal System development at The Geysers geothermal field, California journal August 2018
Machine learning reveals cyclic changes in seismic source spectra in Geysers geothermal field journal May 2018
High-rate injection is associated with the increase in U.S. mid-continent seismicity journal June 2015
Geodetic Measurements and Numerical Models of Deformation at Coso Geothermal Field, California, USA, 2004–2016 journal January 2020
Overcoming challenges in the classification of deep geothermal potential journal January 2015
A multi-stage 3-D stress field modelling approach exemplified in the Bavarian Molasse Basin journal January 2016
A multi-stage 3D stress field modelling approach exemplified in the Bavarian Molasse Basin journal June 2016
Machine learning reveals cyclic changes in seismic source spectra in Geysers geothermal field text January 2018
A multi-stage 3-D stress field modelling approach exemplified in the Bavarian Molasse Basin text January 2016