skip to main content
OSTI.GOV title logo U.S. Department of Energy
Office of Scientific and Technical Information

Title: Wind Power Forecasting Error Distributions: An International Comparison; Preprint

Abstract

Wind power forecasting is expected to be an important enabler for greater penetration of wind power into electricity systems. Because no wind forecasting system is perfect, a thorough understanding of the errors that do occur can be critical to system operation functions, such as the setting of operating reserve levels. This paper provides an international comparison of the distribution of wind power forecasting errors from operational systems, based on real forecast data. The paper concludes with an assessment of similarities and differences between the errors observed in different locations.

Authors:
; ; ; ; ; ; ; ; ; ; ;
Publication Date:
Research Org.:
National Renewable Energy Lab. (NREL), Golden, CO (United States)
Sponsoring Org.:
USDOE Office of Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy Wind Program
OSTI Identifier:
1051129
Report Number(s):
NREL/CP-5500-56130
TRN: US201218%%1238
DOE Contract Number:  
AC36-08GO28308
Resource Type:
Conference
Resource Relation:
Conference: To be presented at The 11th Annual International Workshop on Large-Scale Integration of Wind Power into Power Systems as well as on Transmission Networks for Offshore Wind Power Plants Conference, 13-15 November 2012, Lisbon, Portugal
Country of Publication:
United States
Language:
English
Subject:
17 WIND ENERGY; 24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION; DISTRIBUTION; ELECTRICITY; FORECASTING; POWER SYSTEMS; WIND POWER; WIND POWER PLANTS; WIND POWER FORECASTING; POWER SYSTEM OPERATION; POWER SYSTEM RELIABILITY; WIND POWER GENERATION; NATIONAL RENEWABLE ENERGY LABORATORY; NREL; Wind Energy

Citation Formats

Hodge, B M, Lew, D, Milligan, M, Holttinen, H, Sillanpaa, S, Gomez-Lazaro, E, Scharff, R, Soder, L, Larsen, X G, Giebel, G, Flynn, D, and Dobschinski, J. Wind Power Forecasting Error Distributions: An International Comparison; Preprint. United States: N. p., 2012. Web.
Hodge, B M, Lew, D, Milligan, M, Holttinen, H, Sillanpaa, S, Gomez-Lazaro, E, Scharff, R, Soder, L, Larsen, X G, Giebel, G, Flynn, D, & Dobschinski, J. Wind Power Forecasting Error Distributions: An International Comparison; Preprint. United States.
Hodge, B M, Lew, D, Milligan, M, Holttinen, H, Sillanpaa, S, Gomez-Lazaro, E, Scharff, R, Soder, L, Larsen, X G, Giebel, G, Flynn, D, and Dobschinski, J. 2012. "Wind Power Forecasting Error Distributions: An International Comparison; Preprint". United States. https://www.osti.gov/servlets/purl/1051129.
@article{osti_1051129,
title = {Wind Power Forecasting Error Distributions: An International Comparison; Preprint},
author = {Hodge, B M and Lew, D and Milligan, M and Holttinen, H and Sillanpaa, S and Gomez-Lazaro, E and Scharff, R and Soder, L and Larsen, X G and Giebel, G and Flynn, D and Dobschinski, J},
abstractNote = {Wind power forecasting is expected to be an important enabler for greater penetration of wind power into electricity systems. Because no wind forecasting system is perfect, a thorough understanding of the errors that do occur can be critical to system operation functions, such as the setting of operating reserve levels. This paper provides an international comparison of the distribution of wind power forecasting errors from operational systems, based on real forecast data. The paper concludes with an assessment of similarities and differences between the errors observed in different locations.},
doi = {},
url = {https://www.osti.gov/biblio/1051129}, journal = {},
number = ,
volume = ,
place = {United States},
year = {Sat Sep 01 00:00:00 EDT 2012},
month = {Sat Sep 01 00:00:00 EDT 2012}
}

Conference:
Other availability
Please see Document Availability for additional information on obtaining the full-text document. Library patrons may search WorldCat to identify libraries that hold this conference proceeding.

Save / Share: