Wind Power Forecasting Error Distributions: An International Comparison; Preprint
Conference
·
OSTI ID:1051129
Wind power forecasting is expected to be an important enabler for greater penetration of wind power into electricity systems. Because no wind forecasting system is perfect, a thorough understanding of the errors that do occur can be critical to system operation functions, such as the setting of operating reserve levels. This paper provides an international comparison of the distribution of wind power forecasting errors from operational systems, based on real forecast data. The paper concludes with an assessment of similarities and differences between the errors observed in different locations.
- Research Organization:
- National Renewable Energy Lab. (NREL), Golden, CO (United States)
- Sponsoring Organization:
- USDOE Office of Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy Wind Program
- DOE Contract Number:
- AC36-08GO28308
- OSTI ID:
- 1051129
- Report Number(s):
- NREL/CP-5500-56130; TRN: US201218%%1238
- Resource Relation:
- Conference: To be presented at The 11th Annual International Workshop on Large-Scale Integration of Wind Power into Power Systems as well as on Transmission Networks for Offshore Wind Power Plants Conference, 13-15 November 2012, Lisbon, Portugal
- Country of Publication:
- United States
- Language:
- English
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