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Title: FY 2011 4th Quarter Metric: Estimate of Future Aerosol Direct and Indirect Effects

Program Document ·
OSTI ID:1024889

The global and annual mean aerosol direct and indirect effects, relative to 1850 conditions, estimated from CESM simulations are 0.02 W m-2 and -0.39 W m-2, respectively, for emissions in year 2100 under the IPCC RCP8.5 scenario. The indirect effect is much smaller than that for 2000 emissions because of much smaller SO2 emissions in 2100; the direct effects are small due to compensation between warming by black carbon and cooling by sulfate.

Research Organization:
DOE Office of Science Atmospheric Radiation Measurement (ARM) Program (United States)
Sponsoring Organization:
USDOE Office of Science (SC); USDOE EM Office of Science and Technology (EM-50)
DOE Contract Number:
DE-AC05-7601830
OSTI ID:
1024889
Report Number(s):
DOE/SC-ASR-11-004; TRN: US201120%%317
Country of Publication:
United States
Language:
English

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