Integrated science model for assessment of climate change
- Lawrence Livermore National Lab., CA (United States)
- Exxon Research and Engineering Co., Annandale, NJ (United States)
Integrated assessment models are intended to represent processes that govern physical, ecological, economic and social systems. This report describes a scientific model relating emissions to global temperature and sea level. This model is intended to be one component of an integrated assessment model which is, of course, much more comprehensive. The model is able to reproduce past changes in CO{sub 2} concentration, global temperature, and sea level. The model is used to estimate the emissions rates required to lead to stabilization of CO{sub 2} at various levels. The model is also used to estimate global temperature rise, the rate of temperature change, and sea level rise driven by IPCC emissions scenarios. The emission of fossil fuel CO{sub 2} is modeled to have the largest long term effect on climate. Results do show the importance of expected changes of trace greenhouse gases other than CO{sub 2} in the near future. Because of the importance of these other trace gases, further work is recommended to more accurately estimate their effects.
- Research Organization:
- Lawrence Livermore National Lab., CA (United States)
- Sponsoring Organization:
- USDOE, Washington, DC (United States)
- DOE Contract Number:
- W-7405-ENG-48
- OSTI ID:
- 10151110
- Report Number(s):
- UCRL-JC-116526; CONF-940632-10; ON: DE94011758
- Resource Relation:
- Conference: Annual meeting and exhibition of the Air and Waste Management Association,Cincinnati, OH (United States),19-24 Jun 1994; Other Information: PBD: Apr 1994
- Country of Publication:
- United States
- Language:
- English
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99 GENERAL AND MISCELLANEOUS//MATHEMATICS, COMPUTING, AND INFORMATION SCIENCE
GREENHOUSE GASES
ENVIRONMENTAL IMPACTS
ECOLOGICAL CONCENTRATION
FOSSIL FUELS
EMISSION
GREENHOUSE EFFECT
COMPUTERIZED SIMULATION
CLIMATE MODELS
CLIMATIC CHANGE
CARBON DIOXIDE
NITROGEN OXIDES
CHLOROFLUOROCARBONS
METHANE
540120
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CHEMICALS MONITORING AND TRANSPORT
MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTERS