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Explosive Radiological Dispersal Devices (RDD) – aka dirty bombs – are seen as a credible method to carry out a radiological terror attack. After exploding a radioactive source, the radionuclide-laden plume will be blown downwind of ground zero, with particles falling out and potentially depositing on people caught in and under the cloud. Some of these people may not show any sign of radiation sickness and therefore not realize they have been contaminated and may take the radioactive particulate with them on their daily activities, thus spreading the radioactive particulate outside the initially contaminated area. This paper reviews the scientificmore » literature to better understand the rate at which particulate deposits on and is removed from the different “surfaces” of a person, i.e., hair, skin, and clothing. Prior research indicates that: 1) particle deposition is usually higher on skin than on hair and clothing; 2) particle deposition is greater for a person with higher skin moisture, 3) stronger wind increases the deposition flux onto a person, and 4) the fraction of particulate deposited on the hair, skin, and clothing respectively depends on the length of the hair, assuming all the hair surface is available for deposition. The studies taken into consideration show that the largest uncertainty in particulate deposition onto a person is due to clothing type because of the different possible weave arrangements and tightness which translate into differences in actual surface area and surface roughness. A factor of 2-to-20 variation in deposition rate was found. Removal of the particulate from the contaminated person may be due to wind, a person's movement, and/or contact transfer, i.e., by touching a different clean surface. Experiments show that the majority of the particulate is resuspended within 2–6 h mostly depending on the intensity of physical activity. The largest uncertainty in particulate removal from skin depends on the skin moisture, transfer rate of single-contact, and how many objects/people a person touches per hour. No data for hair were found for particle removal and resuspension. The studies considered did not utilize radionuclides directly; however, data on adhesion of radioactive vs. their non-radioactive counterpart have shown that the uncertainty due to the radioactivity of the particles is lower than that due to other factors. In conclusion, an idealized scenario involving a single building in the path of the cloud showed the impact of building-influenced flow on the cloud transport path and mixing, which affects the radiological dose the downwind population is exposed to and consequently the health effects.« less

There are versions of QUIC for 64-bit Windows, 64-bit Linux, and 64-bit Intel Mac OS X. As compared to earlier 32-bit versions of QUIC, the 64-bit versions allow the QUIC transport and dispersion codes to access greater than 2 GB of RAM and thus larger problems can be run.

LANL employed the FIRETEC model to produce a suite of simulations of flow around trees and forests. The purpose of this suite of simulations is to provide detailed simulations of the effects of various types of trees and groups of trees including the mean velocity and turbulence fields. This suite includes various tree densities ranging from individual trees, wind breaks (i.e., lateral rows of trees), orchards, and forests of various densities. In addition to the simulations that we have already run, we have developed tools to facilitate more simulations in the future.

The runquic.py Python script uses Python 3.8 or newer and requires several Python packages to be installed including: NumPy, SciPy, Pandas, Geopandas, and Shapely. The script assumes that the batch QUIC of project folders with all of the input files (except for any input files interpolated from WRF output files) have already be saved to the drive and are ready to be run. If the project is set to use WRF model output, it will be interpolated at runtime.

Task 1: RUNQUIC.py was modified to add options 4 and 5, which run only the QUIC-PLUME and QUICPRESSURE codes without rerunning QUIC-URB. Task 2: We have verified that the RUNQUIC.py produces a WPC file to facilitate the interface with the CONTAM model. Task 3: RUNQUIC.py is now compatible with Python 3.8 and above. Task 4: The CMWD capability has been added QUIC-PLUME, which uses two new input files: QP_countermeasures.inp and QP_grounddep.inp. This first controls the efficiency of the CMWD system and when it is turned on and off and the second makes it possible to turn of tracking of surfacemore » deposition on the ocean surface. Task 5: This report was written for this task. Additionally, we are updating the QUIC Start Guide and RUNQUIC.py Guide, which will be made available once they have gone through the publication review process. Task 6: We performed a literature review on models for inertial deposition on the upwind faces of obstacles. We identified a model that was compatible with QUIC’s existing deposition model and implemented a first draft of this model in QUIC-PLUME. We have performed some preliminary qualitative testing, which shows the expected behavior. Further quantitative testing to fully validate the inertial deposition model.« less

Dirty bombs are considered one of the easiest forms of radiological terrorism, a form of terrorism based on the deliberate use of radiological material to cause adverse effects in a target population. One U.S. Government official has even described a dirty bomb attack as “all but inevitable”. While people in the vicinity of the blast may experience acute radiation effects, people downwind may unknowingly be contaminated by the radioactive airborne particulate and face increased long-term cancer risk. The likelihood of increased cancer risk depends on the radionuclide used and its specific activity, its aerosolization potential, the particle sizes generated inmore » the blast, and where a person is with respect to the detonation. Different studies have reported that plausible radionuclides for dirty bomb include ⁶⁰Co, ⁹⁰Sr, ¹³⁷Cs, ¹⁹²Ir, ²⁴¹Am based on their availability in commercial sources as well as safeguards, the amount needed for adverse health effects, previous mishandling of radionuclides and malicious uses. In order to have increased long-term cancer risk, the radionuclide would have to deposit inside the body by entering the respiratory tract and then possibly migrate to other organs or bones (ground shine is not considered in this paper because areas affected by the event will likely become inaccessible). This implies that the particles will have to be smaller than 10 μm to be inhaled. Experiments involving the detonation of dirty bombs have shown that particles or droplets smaller than 10 μm are generated, independently from the initial radionuclide or its state (e.g., powder, solution). Atmospheric tests have shown that in unobstructed terrain, the radionuclide laden cloud can travel kilometers downwind even for relatively small amounts of explosives. Furthermore, buildings in the path of the cloud can change the dose rate. For instance, in one experiment with a single building, the dose rate was 1–2 orders of magnitude lower behind the obstacle compared to its front face. For people walking around, the amount of particulate deposited on them and inhaled will depend on their path relative to the cloud, resulting in the counterintuitive result that the closer people may actually not be the ones more at risk because they could simply miss the bulk of the cloud in their wandering. In summary, the long-term cancer risk for people caught in a dirty bomb cloud away from the detonation requires considering where and when the people are, which radionuclide was used, and the layout of the obstacles (e.g., buildings, vegetation) in the path of the cloud.« less

LANL personnel presented TAP-sponsored work at the 103^rd Annual Meeting of the American Meteorological Society, which was held in Denver, CO in January 2023. There were four different presentations related to TAP-sponsored work that were given by LANL staff and studentsat this meeting: (1) Gloeckler, T., M. Nelson, H. Shah, M. Deshler, L. Wedell, R. Linn, N. Duboc, S. Pol, P. Bieringer, A. Annunzio, B. Martin, and H. Tinnesand, 2023. Testing Validity and Limitations of a Low-Order Diffusive Wake Model. 15^th Symposium on the Urban Environment, January 8-12, 2023, Denver, CO, U.S.A. (2) Nelson, M., H. Shah, T. Gloeckler, M.more » Deshler, L. Wedell, A. Ortega, R. Linn, N. Duboc, P. Conry, S. Pol, and H. Tinnesand, 2023. The Isolated Building Wake Experiment. Paper 1A.1. 24^th Symposium on Boundary Layers and Turbulence, January 8-12, 2023. Denver, CO, U.S.A. (3) Shah, H., M. Nelson, S. Pol, R. Linn, N. Duboc, and H. Tinnesand, 2023. Detailed Measurement of a Building Wake Under Real-World Atmospheric Conditions. Poster 102. 24^th Symposium on Boundary Layers and Turbulence, January 8-12, 2023, Denver, CO, U.S.A. (4) Wedell, L., M. Nelson, H. Shah, T. Gloeckler, M. Deshler, R. Linn, S. Pol, H. Tinnesand, 2023. The Isolated Building Wake Experiment: Using a Rotating Building to Mulitply the Number of Wake Measurement Locations without Moving the Instruments. Paper 1A.4A. 24^th Symposium on Boundary Layers and Turbulence, January 8-12, 2023, Denver, CO, U.S.A.« less

LANL was tasked with working with NREL to implement QUIC within the TAP API by the end of Q1, FY2023. If QUICURB cannot be implemented in a way that it can be run outside of the QUIC platform, there will be no further R&D funding for QUIC development. QUIC includes a graphical user interface that imports and preprocesses the various input data streams (3D building databases, ambient wind, vegetation, etc.) and writes them in a format that the QUICURB Fortran executable requires. In order to interface with the TAP API, a Python script was developed that would replace the functionalitymore » previously only available within QUICGUI. LANL worked with NREL to test the Python script to ensure that it was operation and fulfilled the requirements.« less

Updates on the following two topics are covered: Diffusive Wake Model and QUIC Integration into API.

We were finally successful in acquiring TTU’s 200-meter tower data for the duration of the Isolated Building Wake Experiment (IBWE). This data will provide an independent measurement of the undisturbed wind profile including heights far above those that are typical of meteorological sensor networks. These measurements will characterize the mean and turbulence throughout the atmospheric surface layer, which will be particularly useful for validation of highfidelity computational fluid dynamics models. This dataset can be shared freely among the TAP team but not outside of it as TTU sells this data to the wind power industry. The journal article overview hasmore » been submitted to LANL’s publication review and will be submitted to the Journal of Wind Engineering and Industrial Aerodynamics once the review is complete. We are nearing completion on another two articles. The first discusses analyses of the evolution of the measurements of mean wind speed along the centerline of the building as a function of atmospheric stability. Rather than using individual time steps, all of the wind speed measurements are normalized using the upwind measurement at 2 building heights (H) and filtered by wind direction and atmospheric stability. The second discusses the development of the diffusive wake model and uses the averaged profiles from the first article to validate the behavior of the model. The portion of the section below on the diffusive wake model discussing comparisons with the averaged profiles, will be included in the validation section of this paper.« less