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Title: Model Selection for Geostatistical Models

Journal Article · · Ecological Applications, 16(1):87-98
DOI:https://doi.org/10.1890/04-0576· OSTI ID:878658

We consider the problem of model selection for geospatial data. Spatial correlation is typically ignored in the selection of explanatory variables and this can influence model selection results. For example, the inclusion or exclusion of particular explanatory variables may not be apparent when spatial correlation is ignored. To address this problem, we consider the Akaike Information Criterion (AIC) as applied to a geostatistical model. We offer a heuristic derivation of the AIC in this context and provide simulation results that show that using AIC for a geostatistical model is superior to the often used approach of ignoring spatial correlation in the selection of explanatory variables. These ideas are further demonstrated via a model for lizard abundance. We also employ the principle of minimum description length (MDL) to variable selection for the geostatistical model. The effect of sampling design on the selection of explanatory covariates is also explored.

Research Organization:
Pacific Northwest National Lab. (PNNL), Richland, WA (United States)
Sponsoring Organization:
USDOE
DOE Contract Number:
AC05-76RL01830
OSTI ID:
878658
Report Number(s):
PNNL-SA-41606; ECAPE7; TRN: US200611%%264
Journal Information:
Ecological Applications, 16(1):87-98, Vol. 16, Issue 1; ISSN 1051-0761
Country of Publication:
United States
Language:
English