Models for proliferation interdiction response analysis. Master`s thesis
Abstract
The proliferation of nuclear weapons poses a serious threat to the United States, its allies, and over-all world security. The United States seeks to dissuade or prevent new countries from acquiring nuclear weapons capabilities. This thesis constructs two models to aid decision makers in selecting strategies to interdict these proliferation efforts. The first, a what-if PERT/CPM model, provides an overall picture of the proliferation process. The graphical display is used to select activities to interdict, and to analyze the outcome of the choices. The second, an optimal interdiction model, selects the optimal activity(ies) or interdiction subject to risk constraints. Several runs with different numbers of interdiction points were made to test the optimal interdiction model. These results are further analyzed with the aid of the PERT/CPM model. The models, when used together, prove to be useful in selecting the optimal activities to interdict in the proliferation process.
- Authors:
- Publication Date:
- Research Org.:
- Naval Postgraduate School, Monterey, CA (United States)
- OSTI Identifier:
- 76280
- Report Number(s):
- AD-A-288645/5/XAB
TRN: 51810402
- Resource Type:
- Thesis/Dissertation
- Resource Relation:
- Other Information: TH: Master`s thesis; PBD: Sep 1994
- Country of Publication:
- United States
- Language:
- English
- Subject:
- 35 ARMS CONTROL; NUCLEAR WEAPONS; PROLIFERATION; ARMS CONTROL; HYPOTHESIS
Citation Formats
Reed, B K. Models for proliferation interdiction response analysis. Master`s thesis. United States: N. p., 1994.
Web.
Reed, B K. Models for proliferation interdiction response analysis. Master`s thesis. United States.
Reed, B K. 1994.
"Models for proliferation interdiction response analysis. Master`s thesis". United States.
@article{osti_76280,
title = {Models for proliferation interdiction response analysis. Master`s thesis},
author = {Reed, B K},
abstractNote = {The proliferation of nuclear weapons poses a serious threat to the United States, its allies, and over-all world security. The United States seeks to dissuade or prevent new countries from acquiring nuclear weapons capabilities. This thesis constructs two models to aid decision makers in selecting strategies to interdict these proliferation efforts. The first, a what-if PERT/CPM model, provides an overall picture of the proliferation process. The graphical display is used to select activities to interdict, and to analyze the outcome of the choices. The second, an optimal interdiction model, selects the optimal activity(ies) or interdiction subject to risk constraints. Several runs with different numbers of interdiction points were made to test the optimal interdiction model. These results are further analyzed with the aid of the PERT/CPM model. The models, when used together, prove to be useful in selecting the optimal activities to interdict in the proliferation process.},
doi = {},
url = {https://www.osti.gov/biblio/76280},
journal = {},
number = ,
volume = ,
place = {United States},
year = {Thu Sep 01 00:00:00 EDT 1994},
month = {Thu Sep 01 00:00:00 EDT 1994}
}