1991: Warmth, chill may follow

Kerr, R A

doi:10.1126/science.255.5042.281

Title: 1991: Warmth, chill may follow

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Abstract

Following 1990's record temperatures, last year ended as the second warmest ever recorded. But it might have set yet another record had it not been for the eruption of Mount Pinatubo. The layer of sun-blocking haze spewed by the Philippine volcano is sending a chill through the climate system that may already have shown up in the temperature record. This volcanic cooling, which could last a couple of years, should also temporarily chill the debate about whether the green house effect is behind the warming of recent years. It's been hard enough to draw firm conclusions about any greenhouse warming from world temperature data, and Pinatubo's masking effect should make it harder still during the next few years. But the cooling episode may advance the science of climate prediction indirectly. It will give scientists an opportunity to check out their computer greenhouse models by seeing how well they do at predicting the volcano-induced climate change.

Authors:: Kerr, R A

Publication Date:: Fri Jan 17 00:00:00 EST 1992

OSTI Identifier:: 7015210

Resource Type:: Journal Article

Journal Name:: Science (Washington, D.C.); (United States)

Additional Journal Information:: Journal Volume: 255:5042; Journal ID: ISSN 0036-8075

Country of Publication:: United States

Language:: English

Subject:: 54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES; 29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY AND ECONOMY; GREENHOUSE EFFECT; FORECASTING; VOLCANOES; ERUPTION; AMBIENT TEMPERATURE; GLOBAL ASPECTS; PHILIPPINES; ASIA; CLIMATIC CHANGE; DEVELOPING COUNTRIES; ISLANDS; 540120* - Environment, Atmospheric- Chemicals Monitoring & Transport- (1990-); 290301 - Energy Planning & Policy- Environment, Health, & Safety- Regional & Global Environmental Aspects- (1992-)

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                    Kerr, R A. 1991: Warmth, chill may follow.  United States: N. p., 1992. 
        Web.  doi:10.1126/science.255.5042.281.

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                    Kerr, R A. 1991: Warmth, chill may follow.  United States.  https://doi.org/10.1126/science.255.5042.281

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                    Kerr, R A. 1992.  
        "1991: Warmth, chill may follow".  United States.  https://doi.org/10.1126/science.255.5042.281.

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@article{osti_7015210,

  title        = {1991: Warmth, chill may follow},

  author       = {Kerr, R A},

  abstractNote = {Following 1990's record temperatures, last year ended as the second warmest ever recorded. But it might have set yet another record had it not been for the eruption of Mount Pinatubo. The layer of sun-blocking haze spewed by the Philippine volcano is sending a chill through the climate system that may already have shown up in the temperature record. This volcanic cooling, which could last a couple of years, should also temporarily chill the debate about whether the green house effect is behind the warming of recent years. It's been hard enough to draw firm conclusions about any greenhouse warming from world temperature data, and Pinatubo's masking effect should make it harder still during the next few years. But the cooling episode may advance the science of climate prediction indirectly. It will give scientists an opportunity to check out their computer greenhouse models by seeing how well they do at predicting the volcano-induced climate change.},

  doi          = {10.1126/science.255.5042.281},

  url          = {https://www.osti.gov/biblio/7015210},
  journal      = {Science (Washington, D.C.); (United States)},

  issn         = {0036-8075},

  number       = ,

  volume       = 255:5042,

  place        = {United States},

  year         = {Fri Jan 17 00:00:00 EST 1992},

  month        = {Fri Jan 17 00:00:00 EST 1992}

}

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