PC-AEO forecasting model for the /ital Annual Energy Outlook, 1987/: Model documentation

Technical Report · Wed Jun 01 00:00:00 EDT 1988

OSTI ID:7010310

The object of the PC-AEO modelling system is to make forecasts of national energy trends by fuel and sector for the /ital Annual Energy Outlook/ published each year by the Energy Information Administration (EIA). The model was built with the aim of representing the most significant national characteristics of the current IFFS/GAMS modelling system but entirely within the operating capability of a large personal computer, typically a fast ''386'' type of machine. The chapters that follow describe each of the models in detail. The purpose of this summary is only to distinguish each of them and to lay the foundation for the discussion of integration of the model results in the last section. Individual models include The Residential and Commercial Models, The Industrial Model, The Transportation Model, The Petroleum Product Pricing Model, The Macroeconomic Model, The Electric Utility Models, The Oil and Gas Models, and The Coal Model. Each of the models described above will operate independently on a large IBM compatible personal computer. Each will take a set of input assumptions: either supply prices or consumption quantities and will produce a set of output consumption quantities or supply prices. In addition the models each require macroeconomic drivers. Integration is achieved by the conceptually simple process of exchanging the price and quantity estimates repeatedly between the models until they are mutually consistent.

• Research Organization: USDOE Energy Information Administration, Washington, DC. Energy Analysis and Forecasting Div.
• OSTI ID: 7010310
• Report Number(s): DOE/EIA-M029; ON: DE88012247
• Resource Relation: Other Information: Paper copy only, copy does not permit microfiche production
• Country of Publication: United States
• Language: English

Related Subjects

29 ENERGY PLANNING
POLICY AND ECONOMY
99 GENERAL AND MISCELLANEOUS//MATHEMATICS, COMPUTING, AND INFORMATION SCIENCE
ENERGY CONSUMPTION
MATHEMATICAL MODELS
ENERGY SUPPLIES
COAL
DOCUMENTATION
ELECTRIC UTILITIES
FORECASTING
PETROLEUM PRODUCTS
TRANSPORT
CARBONACEOUS MATERIALS
ENERGY SOURCES
FOSSIL FUELS
FUELS
MATERIALS
PUBLIC UTILITIES
290100* - Energy Planning & Policy- Energy Analysis & Modeling
990220 - Computers
Computerized Models
& Computer Programs- (1987-1989)