Operational logistics of the world oil tanker fleet: a simulation modeling approach for emergency energy management
The stimulus for this research is the belief that the International Energy Agency (IEA) would be better able to plant for and implement its Emergency Oil Sharing Plan (EOSP) if it modeled important aspects of the world oil economy from an operational point of view. A tanker simulation (TANKSIM) model is offered as a prototype to produce performance measures that may be used in investigating the adequacy and responsiveness of the world's ports and tankers to various patterns of trade. TANKSIM is a SLAM-based, discrete-event simulation model that tracks the movements of tankers worldwide and compiles information on the fleet disposition and status and port and vessel operating characteristics associated with an input trade pattern. Any pattern of crude oil trade whether historical, prescribed, or predicted, may be used to drive the model. A flexible model structure enables a user to investigate the behavior of any configuration of nations, ports, and tanker types. Model use is demonstrated with a pair of hypothetical runs, a Base Case and Scenario. The Base Case considers a portion of the world's crude-hauling tankers operating among IEA nations and members of the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) for one year. The Scenario alters the Base Case trade pattern by representing a hypothetical cessation of Iranian exports due to the Iran/Iraq war and an IEA-EOSP sponsored increase in Saudi Arabian exports in response.
- Research Organization:
- Pennsylvania State Univ., University Park (USA)
- OSTI ID:
- 6982766
- Resource Relation:
- Other Information: Thesis (Ph. D.)
- Country of Publication:
- United States
- Language:
- English
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Related Subjects
29 ENERGY PLANNING
POLICY AND ECONOMY
32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATION
INTERNATIONAL ENERGY AGENCY
EMERGENCY PLANS
MARITIME TRANSPORT
PETROLEUM
TANKER SHIPS
ENERGY MODELS
GLOBAL ASPECTS
MIDDLE EAST
OPEC
SIMULATION
TRADE
ENERGY SOURCES
FOSSIL FUELS
FUELS
INTERNATIONAL ORGANIZATIONS
OIL-EXPORTING COUNTRIES
SHIPS
TRANSPORT
022000* - Petroleum- Transport
Handling
& Storage
294002 - Energy Planning & Policy- Petroleum
320204 - Energy Conservation
Consumption
& Utilization- Transportation- Sea & Water
290100 - Energy Planning & Policy- Energy Analysis & Modeling