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Title: Holding costs for fuel inventories: Final report

Technical Report ·
OSTI ID:6304062

The optimal inventory of a commodity depends in part on how much it costs to hold it. One component of this cost is financial --- the depreciation and interest on the stored commodity. If the future price of the commodity is uncertain, both the depreciation rate and the opportunity cost of funds are expected values. This means that the cost of holding a risky commodity such as fuel oil cannot be observed directly. This report describes a rigorous methodology for estimating the financial component of inventory holding costs. The methodology utilizes prices in the money and commodity markets, all of which are observable. It can be applied to commodities on which forward contracts are traded. The methodology exploits the insight that the inventory decision can be treated as an investment problem. Thus, instead of computing interest and depreciation, the financial component of inventory holding costs can be expressed as the difference between the current spot price of the commodity and the present value of the future spot price.

Research Organization:
Electric Power Research Inst., Palo Alto, CA (USA); Charles River Associates, Inc., Boston, MA (USA)
OSTI ID:
6304062
Report Number(s):
EPRI-P-6184
Country of Publication:
United States
Language:
English