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Title: Long-range military implications of petroleum availability for Navy planning study

Abstract

This study evaluates petroleum issues facing the Navy over the next 20 years. It analyzes the threat of reduced availability of petroleum and the probable effects on naval warfare, on the selection of weapons, and on mobility. There are four areas of investigation: the current oil market, production forecasts, the prospect of import interruptions, and Navy options. The study address the changes in the oil market since the embargo of 1973. It explains how those changes in the market have affected Navy budgets and eroded steaming and flying hours. Published forecasts of lowered production of petroleum and the threat of interruptions of imports are evaluated for their potential to disrupt world markets out to the year 2000. Several aspects of future petroleum supplies are quantified. The study concludes by recommending measures the Navy can take to deal wtih the problems of reduced fuel availability and quality. (Author)

Authors:
;
Publication Date:
Research Org.:
Center for Naval Analyses, Alexandria, VA (USA). Naval Warfare Analysis Group
OSTI Identifier:
5910376
Report Number(s):
AD-B-064568/9/XAB; CNS-1165
Resource Type:
Technical Report
Country of Publication:
United States
Language:
English
Subject:
02 PETROLEUM; 99 GENERAL AND MISCELLANEOUS//MATHEMATICS, COMPUTING, AND INFORMATION SCIENCE; 29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY AND ECONOMY; PETROLEUM PRODUCTS; AVAILABILITY; US DOD; ENERGY CONSERVATION; ENERGY MANAGEMENT; FORECASTING; FUEL CONSUMPTION; FUELS; IMPORTS; PRODUCTION; ENERGY CONSUMPTION; MANAGEMENT; NATIONAL ORGANIZATIONS; US ORGANIZATIONS; 020500* - Petroleum- Products & By-Products; 990100 - Management; 292000 - Energy Planning & Policy- Supply, Demand & Forecasting; 294002 - Energy Planning & Policy- Petroleum

Citation Formats

Wilson, D P, and O'Neill, T C. Long-range military implications of petroleum availability for Navy planning study. United States: N. p., 1981. Web.
Wilson, D P, & O'Neill, T C. Long-range military implications of petroleum availability for Navy planning study. United States.
Wilson, D P, and O'Neill, T C. 1981. "Long-range military implications of petroleum availability for Navy planning study". United States.
@article{osti_5910376,
title = {Long-range military implications of petroleum availability for Navy planning study},
author = {Wilson, D P and O'Neill, T C},
abstractNote = {This study evaluates petroleum issues facing the Navy over the next 20 years. It analyzes the threat of reduced availability of petroleum and the probable effects on naval warfare, on the selection of weapons, and on mobility. There are four areas of investigation: the current oil market, production forecasts, the prospect of import interruptions, and Navy options. The study address the changes in the oil market since the embargo of 1973. It explains how those changes in the market have affected Navy budgets and eroded steaming and flying hours. Published forecasts of lowered production of petroleum and the threat of interruptions of imports are evaluated for their potential to disrupt world markets out to the year 2000. Several aspects of future petroleum supplies are quantified. The study concludes by recommending measures the Navy can take to deal wtih the problems of reduced fuel availability and quality. (Author)},
doi = {},
url = {https://www.osti.gov/biblio/5910376}, journal = {},
number = ,
volume = ,
place = {United States},
year = {Sun Nov 01 00:00:00 EST 1981},
month = {Sun Nov 01 00:00:00 EST 1981}
}

Technical Report:
Other availability
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