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Title: Uncertainty analysis for Ulysses safety evaluation report

Conference · · AIP Conference Proceedings (American Institute of Physics); (USA)
DOI:https://doi.org/10.1063/1.40026· OSTI ID:5607516
 [1]
  1. Safety Factor Associates, 1410 Vanessa Circle, Encinitas, California 92024 (US)

As part of the effort to review the Ulysses Final Safety Analysis Report and to understand the risk of plutonium release from the Ulysses spacecraft General Purpose Heat Source---Radioisotope Thermal Generator (GPHS-RTG), the Interagency Nuclear Safety Review Panel (INSRP) and the author performed an integrated, quantitative analysis of the uncertainties of the calculated risk of plutonium release from Ulysses. Using state-of-art probabilistic risk assessment technology, the uncertainty analysis accounted for both variability and uncertainty of the key parameters of the risk analysis. The results show that INSRP had high confidence that risk of fatal cancers from potential plutonium release associated with calculated launch and deployment accident scenarios is low.

OSTI ID:
5607516
Report Number(s):
CONF-910116-; CODEN: APCPC
Journal Information:
AIP Conference Proceedings (American Institute of Physics); (USA), Vol. 217:1; Conference: 8. symposium on space nuclear power systems, Albuquerque, NM (USA), 6-10 Jan 1991; ISSN 0094-243X
Country of Publication:
United States
Language:
English

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