Verification of warhead dismantelment and the importance of baseline validation
Abstract
This paper presents an approach for evaluating verification regimes for nuclear warhead dismantlement. The approach is an adaptation of the traditional nuclear materials management model. As such the approach integrates the difficulties of verifying both stockpile estimates and numbers of warheads dismantled. Both random uncertainties and systematic uncertainties are considered in this approach. By making some basic assumptions about the relative uncertainties surrounding the stockpile estimates and the numbers of warheads dismantled, the authors illustrate their relative impacts on overall verification ability. The results highlight the need for increased attention on the problem of validating baseline declarations of stockpile size.
- Authors:
-
- Lawrence Livermore National Lab., CA (United States)
- Publication Date:
- OSTI Identifier:
- 5336021
- Report Number(s):
- CONF-910774-
Journal ID: ISSN 0362-0034; CODEN: NUMMB
- DOE Contract Number:
- W-7405-ENG-48
- Resource Type:
- Conference
- Journal Name:
- Nuclear Materials Management. Annual Meeting Proceedings; (United States)
- Additional Journal Information:
- Journal Volume: 20; Conference: 32. Institute of Nuclear Materials Management (INMM) annual meeting, New Orleans, LA (United States), 28-31 Jul 1991; Journal ID: ISSN 0362-0034
- Country of Publication:
- United States
- Language:
- English
- Subject:
- 98 NUCLEAR DISARMAMENT, SAFEGUARDS, AND PHYSICAL PROTECTION; NUCLEAR WEAPONS; VERIFICATION; EVALUATION; MATHEMATICAL MODELS; NUCLEAR MATERIALS MANAGEMENT; SIZE; STOCKPILES; MANAGEMENT; WEAPONS; 350101* - Arms Control- Policy, Negotiations, & Legislation- Treaties- (1987-)
Citation Formats
Buonpane, L M, and Strait, R S. Verification of warhead dismantelment and the importance of baseline validation. United States: N. p., 1991.
Web.
Buonpane, L M, & Strait, R S. Verification of warhead dismantelment and the importance of baseline validation. United States.
Buonpane, L M, and Strait, R S. 1991.
"Verification of warhead dismantelment and the importance of baseline validation". United States.
@article{osti_5336021,
title = {Verification of warhead dismantelment and the importance of baseline validation},
author = {Buonpane, L M and Strait, R S},
abstractNote = {This paper presents an approach for evaluating verification regimes for nuclear warhead dismantlement. The approach is an adaptation of the traditional nuclear materials management model. As such the approach integrates the difficulties of verifying both stockpile estimates and numbers of warheads dismantled. Both random uncertainties and systematic uncertainties are considered in this approach. By making some basic assumptions about the relative uncertainties surrounding the stockpile estimates and the numbers of warheads dismantled, the authors illustrate their relative impacts on overall verification ability. The results highlight the need for increased attention on the problem of validating baseline declarations of stockpile size.},
doi = {},
url = {https://www.osti.gov/biblio/5336021},
journal = {Nuclear Materials Management. Annual Meeting Proceedings; (United States)},
issn = {0362-0034},
number = ,
volume = 20,
place = {United States},
year = {Tue Jan 01 00:00:00 EST 1991},
month = {Tue Jan 01 00:00:00 EST 1991}
}