Greenhouse statistics: A different look at climate research
Abstract
The debate on the enhanced greenhouse effect continues, confusing the climate change impact analysis and the decision makers. This article attempts to quantify the uncertainties surrounding the temperature`s response to increasing atmospheric concentrations of greenhouse gases, and attempts to weigh the hypothesis that the observed warming is due to the long-term natural variability against the hypothesis that it is due to human influence. Information from the distant past on the size of natural variability plays a key role in this. On the basis of this information, the authors conclude that the hypothesis that the observed temperature rise is not related to the enhanced greenhouse effect is rejected at the 1% significance level.
- Authors:
-
- Vrije Univ., Amsterdam (Netherlands)
- Publication Date:
- OSTI Identifier:
- 182792
- Report Number(s):
- CONF-940426-
ISBN 0-923204-11-3; TRN: IM9608%%157
- Resource Type:
- Book
- Resource Relation:
- Conference: International conference on global climate change: science, policy and mitigation strategies, Phoenix, AZ (United States), 5-8 Apr 1994; Other Information: PBD: 1994; Related Information: Is Part Of Global climate change: Science, policy, and mitigation strategies. Proceedings of the Air and Waste Management Association international specialty conference; Mathai, C.V. [ed.] [Arizona Public Service Co., Phoenix, AZ (United States)]; Stensland, G. [ed.] [Illinois State Water Survey, Champaign, IL (United States)]; PB: 1117 p.
- Country of Publication:
- United States
- Language:
- English
- Subject:
- 54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES; 29 ENERGY PLANNING AND POLICY; GREENHOUSE EFFECT; STATISTICAL MODELS; GREENHOUSE GASES; ENVIRONMENTAL EFFECTS; AMBIENT TEMPERATURE; EXPERIMENTAL DATA
Citation Formats
Tol, R S.J., and Vos, A.F. de. Greenhouse statistics: A different look at climate research. United States: N. p., 1994.
Web.
Tol, R S.J., & Vos, A.F. de. Greenhouse statistics: A different look at climate research. United States.
Tol, R S.J., and Vos, A.F. de. 1994.
"Greenhouse statistics: A different look at climate research". United States.
@article{osti_182792,
title = {Greenhouse statistics: A different look at climate research},
author = {Tol, R S.J. and Vos, A.F. de},
abstractNote = {The debate on the enhanced greenhouse effect continues, confusing the climate change impact analysis and the decision makers. This article attempts to quantify the uncertainties surrounding the temperature`s response to increasing atmospheric concentrations of greenhouse gases, and attempts to weigh the hypothesis that the observed warming is due to the long-term natural variability against the hypothesis that it is due to human influence. Information from the distant past on the size of natural variability plays a key role in this. On the basis of this information, the authors conclude that the hypothesis that the observed temperature rise is not related to the enhanced greenhouse effect is rejected at the 1% significance level.},
doi = {},
url = {https://www.osti.gov/biblio/182792},
journal = {},
number = ,
volume = ,
place = {United States},
year = {Sat Dec 31 00:00:00 EST 1994},
month = {Sat Dec 31 00:00:00 EST 1994}
}