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Title: Ramping and Uncertainty Prediction Tool - Analysis and Visualization of Wind Generation Impact on Electrical Grid

RUT software is designed for use by the Balancing Authorities to predict and display additional requirements caused by the variability and uncertainty in load and generation. The prediction is made for the next operating hours as well as for the next day. The tool predicts possible deficiencies in generation capability and ramping capability. This deficiency of balancing resources can cause serious risks to power system stability and also impact real-time market energy prices. The tool dynamically and adaptively correlates changing system conditions with the additional balancing needs triggered by the interplay between forecasted and actual load and output of variable resources. The assessment is performed using a specially developed probabilistic algorithm incorporating multiple sources of uncertainty including wind, solar and load forecast errors. The tool evaluates required generation for a worst case scenario, with a user-specified confidence level.
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Publication Date:
OSTI Identifier:
Report Number(s):
RUT; 002963IBMPC00
Battelle IPID 17064-E
DOE Contract Number:
Software Revision:
Software Package Number:
Software Package Contents:
Media Directory; Software Abstract; Media includes Executable Module(s); / 1 CD-ROM
Software CPU:
Open Source:
Source Code Available:
Related Software:
Server: Oracle 9.0 or later; Prerequisite: Microsoft .Net 3.5 Framework
Research Org:
Pacific Northwest National Laboratory
Sponsoring Org:
United States Department of Energy
Country of Publication:
United States

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