Discussion [of ``The use of conditional simulation in nuclear-waste-site performance assessment`` by Carol A. Gotway]
- Oak Ridge National Lab., TN (United States). Mathematical Sciences Section
EPA 40 CFR 191.16 (EPA 1985) states in part that the disposal systems should be designed to provide reasonable expectation that for 1,000 years after disposal, undisturbed performance of the disposal system shall not cause radionuclide concentrations to exceed specified limits. The question is how can one, with the tools that one has today, establish with some degree of confidence that a requirement like that just given will be achieved? Over the last several years, this has been demonstrated through the use of simulation analysis of the system being studied. An example of such a study on nuclear reactor criticality is described. Then the author discusses Carol Gotway`s study on WIPP. The author believes that work on computer simulation models is extremely important. These are primary tools one has for investigating many complex problems--for example, groundwater contamination, molecular dynamics, climate modeling, and nuclear-reactor accidents. Many of these models are being investigated at the national laboratories but unfortunately often without any help from statisticians. The article by Gotway shows another example of how statistics can be applied to a complicated process to yield practical results.
- Sponsoring Organization:
- USDOE
- DOE Contract Number:
- AC05-84OR21400
- OSTI ID:
- 131826
- Journal Information:
- Technometrics, Vol. 36, Issue 2; Other Information: DN: Paper presented at the 1993 Joint Meeting of the American Statistical Association, the Biometric Society and the Institute of Mathematical Statistics, August 8--12, 1993, San Francisco, CA (US); PBD: May 1994
- Country of Publication:
- United States
- Language:
- English
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