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Title: Effect of soil property uncertainties on permafrost thaw projections: a calibration-constrained analysis: Modeling Archive

This Modeling Archive is in support of an NGEE Arctic publication available at doi:10.5194/tc-10-341-2016. This dataset contains an ensemble of thermal-hydro soil parameters including porosity, thermal conductivity, thermal conductivity shape parameters, and residual saturation of peat and mineral soil. The ensemble was generated using a Null-Space Monte Carlo analysis of parameter uncertainty based on a calibration to soil temperatures collected at the Barrow Environmental Observatory site by the NGEE team. The micro-topography of ice wedge polygons present at the site is included in the analysis using three 1D column models to represent polygon center, rim and trough features. The Arctic Terrestrial Simulator (ATS) was used in the calibration to model multiphase thermal and hydrological processes in the subsurface.
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Publication Date:
OSTI Identifier:
DOE Contract Number:
Resource Type:
Data Type:
Numeric Data
Research Org:
Next Generation Ecosystems Experiment - Arctic, Oak Ridge National Laboratory (ORNL), Oak Ridge, TN (US);
Sponsoring Org:
USDOE Office of Science (SC), Biological and Environmental Research (BER)
Contributing Orgs:
Country of Publication:
United States
54 Environmental Sciences ngee; ngee arctic; soil property uncertainty; permafrost projections; active layer thickness