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Title: Forecasting the response of Earth's surface to future climatic and land use changes: A review of methods and research needs

Journal Article · · Earth's Future
DOI:https://doi.org/10.1002/2014EF000290· OSTI ID:1212449
 [1];  [2];  [3];  [4];  [5];  [6];  [7];  [8];  [9];  [10];  [11];  [12];  [13];  [14];  [15];  [3];  [15];  [16];  [17];  [18] more »;  [19];  [20] « less
  1. Univ. of Arizona, Tucson, AZ (United States). Dept. of Geosciences.
  2. Duke Univ., Durham, NC (United States). Division of Earth and Ocean Sciences.
  3. Boise State Univ., Boise, ID (United States). Dept. of Geosciences.
  4. Univ. of Vermont, Burlington, VT (United States). Dept. of Geology.
  5. Univ. of Arizona, Tucson, AZ (United States). School of Natural Resources and the Environment.
  6. Idaho State Univ., Pocatello, ID (United States). Dept. of Geosciences.
  7. Environmental Sciences Centre, Nottingham (United Kingdom). British Geological Survey.
  8. Univ. of Minnesota, Minneapolis, MN (United States). Dept of Civil Engineering, St. Anthony Falls Lab.
  9. Arizona State Univ., Tempe, AZ (United States). School of Earth and Space Exploration.
  10. Texas A & M Univ., College Station, TX (United States). Dept of Geography.
  11. Desert Research Inst. (DRI), Reno, NV (United States)
  12. Duke Univ., Durham, NC (United States). Division of Earth and Ocean Sciences; Duke Univ. Durham, NC (United States). Dept. of Civil and Environmental Engineering; Univ. of Padova, Padova (Italy). Dept. of Civil, Architectural, and Environmental Engineering.
  13. Franklin & Marshall College, Lancaster, PA (United States). Dept. of Earth and Environment.
  14. Univ. of North Carolina, Chapel Hill, NC (United States). Dept. of Geological Sciences.
  15. Utah State Univ., Logan, UT (United States). Dept. of Geology.
  16. Los Alamos National Lab. (LANL), Los Alamos, NM (United States). Division of Earth and Environmental Sciences.
  17. Oregon State Univ., Corvallis, OR (United States). College of Earth, Ocean, and Atmospheric Sciences.
  18. Univ. of Cincinnati, Cincinnati, OH (United States). Dept. of Geology.
  19. Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO (United States). Dept. of Geological Sciences.
  20. Univ. of Idaho, Boise, ID (United States). Dept. of Civil Engineering.

In the future, Earth will be warmer, precipitation events will be more extreme, global mean sea level will rise, and many arid and semiarid regions will be drier. Human modifications of landscapes will also occur at an accelerated rate as developed areas increase in size and population density. We now have gridded global forecasts, being continually improved, of the climatic and land use changes (C&LUC) that are likely to occur in the coming decades. However, besides a few exceptions, consensus forecasts do not exist for how these C&LUC will likely impact Earth-surface processes and hazards. In some cases, we have the tools to forecast the geomorphic responses to likely future C&LUC. Fully exploiting these models and utilizing these tools will require close collaboration among Earth-surface scientists and Earth-system modelers. This paper assesses the state-of-the-art tools and data that are being used or could be used to forecast changes in the state of Earth's surface as a result of likely future C&LUC. We also propose strategies for filling key knowledge gaps, emphasizing where additional basic research and/or collaboration across disciplines are necessary. The main body of the paper addresses cross-cutting issues, including the importance of nonlinear/threshold-dominated interactions among topography, vegetation, and sediment transport, as well as the importance of alternate stable states and extreme, rare events for understanding and forecasting Earth-surface response to C&LUC. Five supplements delve into different scales or process zones (global-scale assessments and fluvial, aeolian, glacial/periglacial, and coastal process zones) in detail.

Research Organization:
Los Alamos National Laboratory (LANL), Los Alamos, NM (United States)
Sponsoring Organization:
USDOE
Grant/Contract Number:
AC52-06NA25396
OSTI ID:
1212449
Journal Information:
Earth's Future, Vol. 3, Issue 7; ISSN 2328-4277
Publisher:
American Geophysical Union (AGU)Copyright Statement
Country of Publication:
United States
Language:
English
Citation Metrics:
Cited by: 80 works
Citation information provided by
Web of Science

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Natural Streams and the Legacy of Water-Powered Mills journal January 2008
Parameterization improvements and functional and structural advances in Version 4 of the Community Land Model journal January 2011
Multiple dust sources in the Sahara Desert: The importance of sand dunes: SAHARAN DESERT DUST SOURCES journal July 2012
Sand dynamics at the mouth of a rock-bound, tide-dominated estuary journal March 2000
Coupled barrier island–resort model: 1. Emergent instabilities induced by strong human-landscape interactions journal January 2008
Modelling soil erosion with a downscaled landscape evolution model: MODELLING SOIL EROSION WITH A DOWNSCALED LEM journal April 2012
Change in atmospheric mineral aerosols in response to climate: Last glacial period, preindustrial, modern, and doubled carbon dioxide climates: DUST RESPONSE TO CLIMATE journal May 2006
A spatially distributed model for the long-term suspended sediment discharge and delivery ratio of drainage basins: MODELING SUSPENDED SEDIMENT DISCHARGE journal May 2012
Implications of Complex Response of Drainage Systems for Quaternary Alluvial Stratigraphy journal June 1973
The Southern Oscillation Index, wave climate, and beach rotation journal March 2004
Wave, beach and dune interactions in southeastern Australia journal August 1982
Alluvial sediment or playas: What is the dominant source of sand and silt in desert soil vesicular A horizons, southwest USA: DESERT SOIL AV HORIZONS journal March 2013
Shear stress partitioning in large patches of roughness in the atmospheric inertial sublayer journal August 2006
Investigation of land ice-ocean interaction with a fully coupled ice-ocean model: 1. Model description and behavior: LAND ICE-OCEAN COUPLING, 1 journal June 2012
Episodic bedrock strath terrace formation due to meander migration and cutoff journal February 2011
Wave-angle control of delta evolution: WAVE-ANGLE CONTROL OF DELTA EVOLUTION journal July 2011
Process-Response Modeling of Wave-Dominated Coastal Systems: Simulating Evolution and Stratigraphy on Geological Timescales journal March 2002
A signature of transience in bedrock river incision rates over timescales of 104–107 years journal January 2014
Elevation-dependent responses of streamflow to climate warming: ELEVATION-DEPENDENT RESPONSES OF STREAMFLOW journal May 2014
Fire, storms, and erosional events in the Idaho batholith journal January 2001
A simple model for the spatially-variable coastal response to hurricanes journal March 2007
Advances in Thermokarst Research: Recent Advances in Research Investigating Thermokarst Processes journal April 2013
Hazard assessment of potential periglacial debris flows based on GIS-based spatial modelling and geophysical field surveys: a case study in the Swiss Alps text January 2007
Recent glacier changes in the Alps observed by satellite: consequences for future monitoring strategies text January 2007
Increasing frequency of extreme El Niño events due to greenhouse warming journal January 2014
Dune mobility and vegetation cover in the Southwest Kalahari desert journal September 1995
Structural composition and sediment transfer in a composite cirque glacier: Glacier de St. Sorlin, France journal November 2008
Dust emission from wet and dry playas in the Mojave Desert, USA journal January 2007
Biogeochemistry of carbon in the Amazon River journal March 1990
The Influence of Complex Systems Interactions on Barrier Island Dune Vegetation Pattern and Process journal March 2003
Shrinking thermokarst ponds and groundwater dynamics in discontinuous permafrost near council, Alaska journal January 2003
Emissions of carbon dioxide and methane from a headwater stream network of interior Alaska: CARBON EMISSIONS FROM ALASKA STREAMS journal April 2013
Source and transport of terrigenous organic matter in the upper Yukon River: Evidence from isotope (δ 13 C, Δ 14 C, and δ 15 N) composition of dissolved, colloidal, and particulate phases : SOURCE AND TRANSPORT OF ORGANIC MATTER journal May 2006
Subsidence risk from thawing permafrost journal April 2001
New strategies for upscaling high-resolution flow and overbank sedimentation models to quantify floodplain sediment storage at the catchment scale journal October 2006
On the Tectonic and Morphologic Classification of Coasts journal January 1971
Temporal and spatial pattern of thermokarst lake area changes at Yukon Flats, Alaska: TEMPORAL AND SPATIAL PATTERN OF THERMOKARST LAKE AREA CHANGES journal November 2012
A new river flooding scheme for global climate applications: Off-line evaluation over South America journal January 2008
Riverine carbon dioxide release journal November 2011
Feedback Relationship in Wave Erosion of Laboratory Rocky Coast journal July 1976
Predicting the terrestrial flux of sediment to the global ocean: a planetary perspective journal November 2003
Detecting Ecosystem Performance Anomalies for Land Management in the Upper Colorado River Basin Using Satellite Observations, Climate Data, and Ecosystem Models journal July 2010
Modelling vegetated dune landscapes journal January 2007
The secret gardener: vegetation and the emergence of biogeomorphic patterns in tidal environments
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  • Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences, Vol. 371, Issue 2004 https://doi.org/10.1098/rsta.2012.0367
journal December 2013
Ecomorphodynamic feedbacks and barrier island response to disturbance: Insights from the Virginia Barrier Islands, Mid-Atlantic Bight, USA journal October 2013
Controlled moraine development and debris transport pathways in polythermal plateau icefields: examples from Tungnafellsjökull, Iceland journal January 2010
Computation and analysis of the instantaneous-discharge record for the Colorado River at Lees Ferry, Arizona — May 8, 1921, through September 30, 2000 report January 2003
The soil production function and landscape equilibrium journal July 1997
Mangrove forest distributions and dynamics (1975–2005) of the tsunami-affected region of Asia journal March 2008
Riverine coupling of biogeochemical cycles between land, oceans, and atmosphere
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  • Frontiers in Ecology and the Environment, Vol. 9, Issue 1 https://doi.org/10.1890/100014
journal February 2011
The use of one- and two-dimensional hydraulic modelling to reconstruct a glacial outburst flood in a steep Alpine valley journal November 2008
Numerical models of salt marsh evolution: Ecological, geomorphic, and climatic factors journal January 2012
Climatic control of river-ice hydrology: a review journal January 2002
Controls on coastal dune morphology, shoreline erosion and barrier island response to extreme storms journal August 2008
Effective timescales of coupling within fluvial systems journal May 2002
Glacier retreat and climate change: Documenting the last 50 years of Alpine glacier history from area and geometry changes of Dosdè Piazzi glaciers (Lombardy Alps, Italy) journal March 2011
Assessment of periglacial slope stability for the 1988 Tschierva rock avalanche (Piz Morteratsch, Switzerland) journal October 2010
Some observations on the growth and deformation of epigenetic, syngenetic and anti-syngenetic ice wedges journal January 1990
Relative importance of climate and land use in determining present and future global soil dust emission: SOIL DUST EMISSIONS AND LAND USE journal March 2004
Formation of coastline features by large-scale instabilities induced by high-angle waves journal November 2001
Observation of rapid drainage system development by thermal erosion of ice wedges on Bylot Island, Canadian Arctic Archipelago journal January 2007
A new coupled ice sheet/climate model: description and sensitivity to model physics under Eemian, Last Glacial Maximum, late Holocene and modern climate conditions journal January 2011
Floodplain width adjustments in response to rapid base level fall and knickpoint migration journal May 2011
Hazard assessment of potential periglacial debris flows based on GIS-based spatial modelling and geophysical field surveys: a case study in the Swiss Alps journal January 2007
On the robustness of predictions of sea level fingerprints: On predictions of sea-level fingerprints journal October 2011
Increasing wave heights and extreme value projections: The wave climate of the U.S. Pacific Northwest journal May 2010
A Semi-Empirical Approach to Projecting Future Sea-Level Rise journal January 2007
Web-enabled Landsat Data (WELD): Landsat ETM+ composited mosaics of the conterminous United States journal January 2010
Significant changes to ENSO strength and impacts in the twenty-first century: Results from CMIP5: CMIP5 ENSO CHANGES journal September 2012
The Importance of Natural Variability in Lake Areas on the Detection of Permafrost Degradation: A Case Study in the Yukon Flats, Alaska: Natural Variability of Lake Areas in the Yukon Flats, Alaska journal July 2013
Solifluction rates, processes and landforms: a global review journal October 2001
Assessment of the hazard potential of ice avalanches using remote sensing and GIS‐modelling journal June 2004
Influence of glacial retreat on natural hazards of the Palcacocha Lake area, Peru journal May 2005
Evaluating the use of dune sediments as a proxy for palaeo-aridity: A southern African case study journal March 2009
Magnitude and frequency in proglacial rivers: a geomorphological and sedimentological perspective journal May 2005
A conceptual framework for dryland aeolian sediment transport along the grassland–forest continuum: Effects of woody plant canopy cover and disturbance journal April 2009
Methane emissions from permafrost thaw lakes limited by lake drainage journal May 2011
Biomorphodynamics: Physical-biological feedbacks that shape landscapes: OPINION journal November 2008
Climate sensitivity: implications for the response of geomorphological systems to future climate change journal January 2009
Linkages between lake shrinkage/expansion and sublacustrine permafrost distribution determined from remote sensing of interior Alaska, USA: LAKE TALIKS VS LAKE SHRINKAGE/EXPANSION journal March 2013
Geotechnical controls on a steep lateral moraine undergoing paraglacial slope adjustment journal January 2009
Modern dust storms in China: an overview journal September 2004
The disruption of Grassy Creek: implications concerning catastrophic events and thresholds journal September 1999
Aeolian sand depositional records from western Nebraska: landscape response to droughts in the past 1500 years journal November 2005
Regional response of alluvial fans to the Pleistocene-Holocene climatic transition, Mojave Desert, California book January 2003
Drainage basin responses to climate change journal August 1997
Melting in the Andes: Goodbye glaciers journal November 2012
Paraglacial geomorphology journal October 2002
Shear Stress Partitioning in Sparsely Vegetated Desert Canopies journal July 1996
Multi-decadal mass loss of glaciers in the Everest area (Nepal Himalaya) derived from stereo imagery journal January 2011
Long-term, non-local coastline responses to local shoreline stabilization: NON-LOCAL RESPONSES TO STABILIZATION journal October 2012
Disappearing Arctic Lakes journal June 2005
Critical width of tidal flats triggers marsh collapse in the absence of sea-level rise journal March 2013
Dynamics of coupled human-landscape systems journal November 2007
Fluvial sediment flux to the Arctic Ocean journal October 2006
Temperature as a potent driver of regional forest drought stress and tree mortality journal September 2012
Biogeochemistry of Glacial Landscape Systems journal May 2007
Ice, moraine, and landslide dams in mountainous terrain journal December 2007
Prediction of sediment transport in step-pool channels: PREDICTION OF SEDIMENT TRANSPORT IN STEP-POOL CHANNELS journal January 2012
Modeling framework for sediment deposition, storage, and evacuation in the floodplain of a meandering river: Theory: FLOODPLAIN SEDIMENT STORAGE, 2 journal April 2008
Modeling framework for sediment deposition, storage, and evacuation in the floodplain of a meandering river: Application to the Clark Fork River, Montana: FLOODPLAIN SEDIMENT DEPOSITION-APPLICATION journal August 2008
Geomorphology of a thermo-erosion gully, Bylot Island, Nunavut, Canada 1 This article is one of a series of papers published in this CJES Special Issue on the theme of Fundamental and applied research on permafrost in Canada . 2 Polar Continental Shelf Project Contribution 043-11. journal August 2012
A framework for characterizing fluvial sediment fluxes from source to sink in cold environments journal June 2010
The 137Cs technique applied to steep Mediterranean slopes (Part II): landscape evolution and model calibration journal June 2004
Forecasting climate change impacts to plant community composition in the S onoran D esert region journal November 2011
Modelling floodplain sedimentation using particle tracking journal January 2007
Tracking hydrological responses of a thermokarst lake in the Old Crow Flats (Yukon Territory, Canada) to recent climate variability using aerial photographs and paleolimnological methods journal May 2011
Extreme events in a changing climate: Variability is more important than averages journal July 1992
Fire-induced erosion and millennial-scale climate change in northern ponderosa pine forests journal November 2004
Invasive grasses, climate change, and exposure to storm-wave overtopping in coastal dune ecosystems journal December 2012
Did the Zipingpu Reservoir trigger the 2008 Wenchuan earthquake? journal January 2009
Landscape influences on climate-related lake shrinkage at high latitudes journal April 2013
The effects of soluble salts on the threshold shear velocity of fine sand journal August 1981
Salt-marsh growth and fluctuating sea level: implications of a simulation model for Flandrian coastal stratigraphy and peat-based sea-level curves journal December 1995
Barchan-parabolic dune pattern transition from vegetation stability threshold: DUNE PATTERN TRANSITION FROM THRESHOLD journal October 2010
Robust Responses of the Hydrological Cycle to Global Warming journal November 2006
Regional contribution of CO 2 and CH 4 fluxes from the fluvial network in a lowland boreal landscape of Québec : CO2 and CH4 emission from boreal rivers journal January 2014
Response of boreal ecosystems to varying modes of permafrost degradation journal September 2005
ASCE Manual of Practice 110 — Sedimentation Engineering: Processes, Measurements, Modeling and Practice conference April 2012
Sedimentology, stratigraphy and landscape evolution of a Holocene coastal dune system, Lodbjerg, NW Jutland, Denmark journal February 2001
Frequency and magnitude of active-layer detachment failures in discontinuous and continuous permafrost, northern Canada journal January 2005
The impacts of thawing permafrost on the chemistry of lakes across the subarctic boreal-tundra transition, Mackenzie Delta region, Canada journal April 2009
Mid-to late-Holocene coastal dune event stratigraphy for the north coast of Northern Ireland journal April 2004
DIRTMAP: the geological record of dust journal June 2001
Sand dune dynamics and climate change: A modeling approach journal January 2009
Critical Zone Observatories: Building a network to advance interdisciplinary study of Earth surface processes journal February 2008
A mechanistic model for river incision into bedrock by saltating bed load: BEDROCK INCISION BY SALTATING BED LOAD journal June 2004
An evaluation of landscape evolution models to simulate decadal and centennial scale soil erosion in grassland catchments journal February 2011
Control of atmospheric export of dust from North Africa by the North Atlantic Oscillation journal June 1997
Contemporary Sea Level Rise journal January 2010
Ice-Sheet Response to Oceanic Forcing journal November 2012
Discharge and suspended sediment dynamics during two jökulhlaups in the Skaftá river, Iceland journal January 2005
The influence of large landslides on river incision in a transient landscape: Eastern margin of the Tibetan Plateau (Sichuan, China) journal November 2007
On post-glacial sea level - II. Numerical formulation and comparative results on spherically symmetric models journal June 2005
Morphodynamics of reflective and dissipative beach and inshore systems: Southeastern Australia journal June 1979
Geologic control in the nearshore: shore-oblique sandbars and shoreline erosional hotspots, Mid-Atlantic Bight, USA journal September 2004
A review of the modern fluctuations of tropical glaciers journal October 1999
Geomorphological signatures of varying climate journal April 1995
11.17 Coastal Dunes book January 2013
Agricultural influence on landscape sensitivity in the Upper Mississippi River Valley journal January 2001
Open-Ocean Barrier Islands: Global Influence of Climatic, Oceanographic, and Depositional Settings journal March 2011
Fluvial Impact of Extensive Active Layer Detachments, Cape Bounty, Melville Island, Canada journal February 2009
Effects of urbanization on streamflow in the Atlanta area (Georgia, USA): a comparative hydrological approach journal January 2001
Spatial Variability of Sea Level Rise in Twenty-First Century Projections journal September 2010
Modelling interactions and feedback mechanisms between land use change and landscape processes journal January 2009
Response of eolian geomorphic systems to minor climate change: examples from the southern Californian deserts journal July 1997
Investigating parabolic and nebkha dune formation using a cellular automaton modelling approach journal January 2008
Controls on sediment evacuation from glacially modified and unmodified catchments in the eastern Sierra Nevada, California journal September 2008
CO 2 and CH 4 emissions from streams in a lake-rich landscape: Patterns, controls, and regional significance journal March 2014
Contemporary (1951–2001) Evolution of Lakes in the Old Crow Basin, Northern Yukon, Canada: Remote Sensing, Numerical Modeling, and Stable Isotope Analysis journal September 2009
How do vegetation bands form in dry lands? Insights from numerical modeling and field studies in southern Nevada, USA: FORMATION OF VEGETATION BANDS journal December 2012
Aeolian-fluvial interactions in dryland environments: examples, concepts and Australia case study journal December 2003
Aeolian system sediment state: theory and Mojave Desert Kelso dune field example journal June 1999
Modern thermokarst lake dynamics in the continuous permafrost zone, northern Seward Peninsula, Alaska journal January 2011
Responses of wind erosion to climate-induced vegetation changes on the Colorado Plateau journal February 2011
On post-glacial sea level: I. General theory journal August 2003
Role of vegetation dynamics in enhancing the low-frequency variability of the Sahel rainfall journal April 2000
Prediction and assessment of multiple glacial lake outburst floods scenario in Pho Chu River basin, Bhutan: GLOFS IN BHUTAN journal February 2012
Far-flung moraines: Exploring the feedback of glacial erosion on the evolution of glacier length journal December 2012
Vegetation and climate change in northwest America during the past 125 kyr journal July 1997
Landslides and New Lakes in Deglaciating Areas: A Risk Management Framework book January 2013
Drainage Network Structure and Hydrologic Behavior of Three Lake-Rich Watersheds on the Arctic Coastal Plain, Alaska journal November 2012
Complexities in barrier island response to sea level rise: Insights from numerical model experiments, North Carolina Outer Banks journal January 2010
Interaction between neighboring vegetation patches: Impact on flow and deposition journal May 2014
Climatic and geomorphic factors affecting contemporary (1950-2004) activity of retrogressive thaw slumps on the Aklavik Plateau, Richardson Mountains, NWT, Canada journal January 2010
Modeling the flow of glaciers in steep terrains: The integrated second-order shallow ice approximation (iSOSIA): MODELING GLACIERS WHERE TOPOGRAPHY IS STEEP journal May 2011
North African dust emissions and transport journal November 2006
Holocene climatic changes in Iceland: evidence from modelling glacier length fluctuations at Sólheimajökull journal May 2002
Self-potential investigation of moraine dam seepage journal August 2011
The Periglacial Environment book January 2007
High-angle wave instability and emergent shoreline shapes: 2. Wave climate analysis and comparisons to nature journal January 2006
High-angle wave instability and emergent shoreline shapes: 1. Modeling of sand waves, flying spits, and capes journal January 2006
Climatic controls on fire-induced sediment pulses in Yellowstone National Park and central Idaho: a long-term perspective journal June 2003
Biogeomorphic model of dunefield activation and stabilization on the northern Great Plains journal August 2005
Mapping erodibility in dust source regions based on geomorphology, meteorology, and remote sensing: Land cover and erodibility mapping journal September 2014
The boundless carbon cycle journal September 2009
An ENSO predictor of dust emission in the southwestern United States: AN ENSO PREDICTOR OF DUST EMISSION journal May 2002
Quantifying Global Warming from the Retreat of Glaciers journal April 1994
Climatic factors influencing occurrence of debris flows book January 2007
11.20 Anthropogenic Environments book January 2013
SMoRMod – A GIS-integrated Rainfall-runoff Model journal January 1996
The importance of extratropical and tropical cyclones on the short-term evolution of barrier islands along the northern Gulf of Mexico, USA journal September 2004
A predictive Mesoscale model of the erosion and profile development of soft rock shores journal June 2005
Climate Controls on US West Coast Erosion Processes journal May 2006
Geology, Geography, and Humans Battle for Dominance over the Delivery of Fluvial Sediment to the Coastal Ocean journal January 2007
Tectonics, fracturing of rock, and erosion journal January 2007
Expansion of ice-marginal lakes at the Vatnajökull ice cap, Iceland, from 1999 to 2009 journal July 2010
Evaluating choices in multi-process landscape evolution models journal January 2011
Coupling the flow of ice, water, and sediment in a glacial landscape evolution model journal March 2012
Temporal controls on global dust emissions: The role of surface gustiness: TEMPORAL CONTROLS journal August 2007
Sufficient conditions for river meandering: A simulation approach journal November 1984
Systemic impacts of climate change on an eroding coastal region over the twenty-first century journal March 2007
Spatially variable response of Himalayan glaciers to climate change affected by debris cover journal January 2011
Effects of vegetation on channel morphodynamics: results and insights from laboratory experiments journal February 2010
Impacts of permafrost degradation on arctic river biogeochemistry journal January 2009
Discharge simulation in the sub-basins of the Amazon using ORCHIDEE forced by new datasets journal January 2012
Mountain erosion over 10 yr, 10 k.y., and 10 m.y. time scales journal January 2001
Numerical modeling of cosmogenic deglaciation records, Front Range and San Juan mountains, Colorado journal January 2009
A theory of glacial quarrying for landscape evolution models journal August 2012
Bed Material Transport and the Morphology of Alluvial River Channels journal May 2006
Conceptual Model of the Effects of Sea Level Rise on Sandy Coasts journal November 2005
Rock-type control on erosion-induced uplift, eastern Swiss Alps journal February 2009
The GLIMS geospatial glacier database: A new tool for studying glacier change journal March 2007
Impact of Humans on the Flux of Terrestrial Sediment to the Global Coastal Ocean journal April 2005
Global Health Impacts of Floods: Epidemiologic Evidence journal July 2005
Observational changes and trends in northeast Pacific wave records: NE PACIFIC WAVE TRENDS journal November 2011
Are ocean wave heights increasing in the eastern North Pacific? journal January 2000
Physically based modeling of bedrock incision by abrasion, plucking, and macroabrasion journal January 2009
Impacts of climate, lake size, and supra- and sub-permafrost groundwater flow on lake-talik evolution, Yukon Flats, Alaska (USA) journal January 2013
Three-dimensional landscape process modelling: the effect of DEM resolution journal January 2000
Tropical Cyclones and the Evolution of the Sedimentary Coast of Northern Australia journal January 2006
Evaluation of a preliminary satellite-based landslide hazard algorithm using global landslide inventories journal January 2009
Glacier change in western North America: influences on hydrology, geomorphic hazards and water quality journal January 2009
Aeolian Processes and the Biosphere journal January 2011
Paraglacial gravitational deformations in the SW Alps: a review of field investigations, 10 Be cosmogenic dating and physical modelling journal January 2011
Evidence for Intensification of North Pacific Winter Cyclones since 1948 journal September 2001
Riparian vegetation as a primary control on channel characteristics in multi-thread rivers book January 2004
Changes in lowland floodplain sedimentation processes: pre-disturbance to post-rehabilitation, Cosumnes River, CA journal December 2003
Synchronization of transport and supply in beach-dune interaction journal October 2009
Recent glacier changes in the Alps observed by satellite: Consequences for future monitoring strategies journal March 2007
Drag, turbulence, and diffusion in flow through emergent vegetation journal February 1999
On the ratio of wind- to water-driven sediment transport: Conserving soil under global-change-type extreme events journal March 2011
A model of ablation-dominated medial moraines and the generation of debris-mantled glacier snouts journal January 2000
Sediment and nutrient delivery from thermokarst features in the foothills of the North Slope, Alaska: Potential impacts on headwater stream ecosystems: THERMOKARST IMPACTS ON STREAM ECOSYSTEMS journal June 2008
Decadal Trends in Sea Level Patterns: 1993–2004 journal December 2007
Particle production and aeolian transport from a “supply-limited” source area in the Chihuahuan desert, New Mexico, United States journal March 2001
Dust: Small‐scale processes with global consequences journal July 2011
A Conterminous United States Multilayer Soil Characteristics Dataset for Regional Climate and Hydrology Modeling journal January 1998
Dominance of non-native riparian trees in western USA journal July 2005
Repeated glacial-lake outburst floods in Patagonia: an increasing hazard? journal November 2009
Toward a more holistic perspective of soil erosion: Why aeolian research needs to explicitly consider fluvial processes and interactions journal September 2009
A review of catastrophic drainage of moraine-dammed lakes in British Columbia journal December 2000
Ecosystem Processes and Human Influences Regulate Streamflow Response to Climate Change at Long-Term Ecological Research Sites journal April 2012
Statistical Model for Forecasting Monthly Large Wildfire Events in Western United States journal July 2007
Frost weathering: recent advances and future directions journal January 2008
The effects of interdune vegetation changes on eolian dune field evolution: a numerical-modeling case study at Jockey's Ridge, North Carolina, USA journal July 2009
Early recognition of glacial lake hazards in the Himalaya using remote sensing datasets journal March 2007
Changes in thaw lake drainage in the Western Canadian Arctic from 1950 to 2000 journal January 2009
Using dynamical downscaling to close the gap between global change scenarios and local permafrost dynamics journal March 2007
Quantifying lateral root reinforcement in steep slopes - from a bundle of roots to tree stands journal March 2010
A global analysis of erosion of sandy beaches and sea-level rise: An application of DIVA journal December 2013
Biophysical feedback mediates effects of invasive grasses on coastal dune shape journal June 2012
Floodplain sedimentation in the Upper Mississippi Valley: Natural versus human accelerated journal September 2006
Glacier-surface velocities in alpine terrain from optical satellite imagery—Accuracy improvement and quality assessment journal October 2008
Late Holocene syngenetic ice-wedge polygons development, Bylot Island, Canadian Arctic Archipelago journal August 2004
Remote sensing-based inventory of glacial lakes in Sikkim Himalaya: semi-automated approach using satellite data journal September 2013
Predicting the probability and volume of postwildfire debris flows in the intermountain western United States journal September 2009
Slope instability in relation to glacial debuttressing in alpine areas (Upper Durance catchment, southeastern France): Evidence from field data and 10Be cosmic ray exposure ages journal March 2008
Sand dune mobility under climate change in the Kalahari and Australian deserts journal October 2011
Sediment-Laden Flow in Open-Channels under Noncapacity and Capacity Conditions journal May 1999
Alluvial responses to the changing Earth system journal August 2008
Numerical modelling of climate change impacts on Saint-Lawrence River tributaries journal April 2010
Modelling landscape evolution journal January 2010
Predicting changes in alluvial channel patterns in North-European Russia under conditions of global warming journal June 2008
Coastline responses to changing storm patterns: COASTLINE RESPONSES TO CHANGING STORM PATTERNS journal September 2006
Landslide‐glacier interaction in a neoparaglacial setting at tverrbytnede, jotunheimen, southern norway journal December 2010
Global Distribution of Barrier Islands in Terms of Tectonic Setting journal May 1978
Rockfall activity from an alpine cliff during thawing periods journal July 1999
An analysis of an arctic channel network using a digital elevation model journal September 1999
Beach and Vegetation-Line Changes at Galveston Island, Texas: Erosion, Deposition, and Recovery from Hurricane Alicia report January 1985
The supply and preservation of ancient and modern components of organic carbon in the Canadian Beaufort Shelf of the Arctic Ocean journal January 2005
The hydraulic geometry of stream channels and some physiographic implications report January 1953
Bridging the gap between field data and global models: current strategies in aeolian research journal January 2010
A reduced relevance of vegetation change for alluvial aggradation in arid zones journal January 2013
Mechanisms influencing changes in lake area in Alaskan boreal forest: MECHANISMS FOR LAKE AREA CHANGE IN ALASKA journal May 2011
Comparative tolerances of riparian willows and cottonwoods to water-table decline journal June 2002
Regional-scale GIS-models for assessment of hazards from glacier lake outbursts: evaluation and application in the Swiss Alps journal January 2003
Environmental characterization of global sources of atmospheric soil dust identified with the NIMBUS 7 Total Ozone Mapping Spectrometer (TOMS) absorbing aerosol product journal January 2002
Long-Term, Large-Scale Morphodynamic Effects of Artificial Dune Construction along a Barrier Island Coastline journal September 2011
The arctic freshwater system: Changes and impacts: ARCTIC FRESHWATER-CHANGE AND IMPACTS journal November 2007
Responses of dune activity and desertification in China to global warming in the twenty-first century journal June 2009
Assessing the influence of sea walls on the coastal vulnerability of a pinned, soft-cliff, sandy coastline journal January 2013
Simulating changes to the sediment transport regime of the Waipaoa River, New Zealand, driven by climate change in the twenty-first century journal June 2009
Timing and periodicity of paraglacial rock-slope failures in the Scottish Highlands journal March 2013
Climate Change and Slope Instability book January 2009
A review of Great Plains dune field chronologies journal September 2013
The potential response of eolian sands to greenhouse warming and precipitation reduction on the Great Plains of the U.S.A. journal November 1993
The Southern Kalahari: a potential new dust source in the Southern Hemisphere? journal April 2012
Global Trends in Wind Speed and Wave Height journal March 2011
Twentieth century dune migration at the Great Sand Dunes National Park and Preserve, Colorado, relation to drought variability journal August 2005
Recent climatic change and catastrophic geomorphic processes in mountain environments journal August 1994
Modeling past and future surface mass balance of the Northern Patagonia Icefield text January 2013
The Shuttle Radar Topography Mission journal January 2007
Spatial distribution of deposition within a patch of vegetation: DEPOSITION PATTERN WITHIN A PATCH journal March 2011
Developing Frameworks for Studies on Sedimentary Fluxes and Budgets in Changing Cold Environments journal January 2011
Current state of knowledge regarding the world’s wetlands and their future under global climate change: a synthesis journal October 2012
Nearshore shore-oblique bars, gravel outcrops, and their correlation to shoreline change journal November 2006
Methods to assess natural and anthropogenic thaw lake drainage on the western Arctic coastal plain of northern Alaska journal January 2007
Surface and aerodynamic roughness in arid and semiarid areas and their relation to radar backscatter coefficient: SURFACE ROUGHNESS IN ARID AREAS journal September 2006
Sensitivity of post-hurricane beach and dune recovery to event frequency journal April 2009
Controls on the magnitude-frequency scaling of an inventory of secular landslides journal July 2013
Sediment release and storage in early deglaciated areas: Towards an application of the exhaustion model from the case of Massif des Écrins (French Alps) since the Little Ice Age journal June 2008
Daily Mortality and PM 10 Pollution in Utah Valley journal June 1992
Surface-based Transport Model for Mixed-Size Sediment journal February 2003
Controls on the magnitude-frequency scaling of an inventory of secular landslides journal January 2013
The landslide response of alpine basins to post-Little Ice Age glacial thinning and retreat in southwestern British Columbia journal February 2004
Rapid wetland expansion during European settlement and its implication for marsh survival under modern sediment delivery rates journal May 2011
Understanding and predicting wave erosion of marsh edges: MARSH EDGE EROSION journal November 2011
Is the Intensifying Wave Climate of the U.S. Pacific Northwest Increasing Flooding and Erosion Risk Faster Than Sea-Level Rise? journal March 2013
Land surface ecohydrology of the North American monsoon system journal May 2010
Climate change impacts on sand supply and the formation of desert sand dunes in the south-west U.S.A. journal July 1998
Widespread hillslope gullying on the southeastern Tibetan Plateau: Human or climate-change induced? journal June 2011
7.31 Hillslope Processes in Cold Environments: An Illustration of High-Latitude Mountain and Hillslope Processes and Forms book January 2013
The Sea-Level Fingerprint of West Antarctic Collapse journal February 2009
Barrier island bistability induced by biophysical interactions journal December 2014
Overview of megaflooding: Earth and Mars book September 2009
The impact of soil depth on land surface energy and water fluxes in the North American Monsoon region journal May 2010
Yield of sediment in relation to mean annual precipitation journal January 1958
Proglacial lakes: character, behaviour and geological importance journal October 2013
Aeolian Decoupling of Beach Sediments journal June 1991
A wave tank experiment on the erosional mechanism at a cliff base journal July 1982
Mapping Greenland's mass loss in space and time journal November 2012
Biotic Control over the Functioning of Ecosystems journal July 1997
Report on the geology of the Henry Mountains book January 1877
Development of linear dunes in the southwestern Kalahari, Southern Africa journal May 1988

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Long-profile evolution of transport-limited gravel-bed rivers journal January 2019
Global-scale human impact on delta morphology has led to net land area gain journal January 2020
Quantifying and forecasting changes in the areal extent of river valley sediment in response to altered hydrology and land cover journal September 2018
Relationships between regional coastal land cover distributions and elevation reveal data uncertainty in a sea-level rise impacts model journal January 2019
Impact of recycling and lateral sediment input on grain size fining trends—Implications for reconstructing tectonic and climate forcings in ancient sedimentary systems journal March 2019
Which way do you lean? Using slope aspect variations to understand Critical Zone processes and feedbacks: Which way do you lean? journal February 2018
Coarser and rougher: Effects of fine gravel pulses on experimental step-pool channel morphodynamics: STEP-POOL RESPONSE TO FINE GRAVEL Pulse journal October 2015
Coupled topographic and vegetation patterns in coastal dunes: Remote sensing observations and ecomorphodynamic implications: Ecogeomorphic Patterns in Coastal Dunes journal January 2017
The influence of Holocene vegetation changes on topography and erosion rates: A case study at Walnut Gulch Experimental Watershed, Arizona journal January 2016

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