Climate, environmental and socio-economic change: weighing up the balance in vector-borne disease transmission

Parham, Paul E.; Waldock, Joanna; Christophides, George K.; Hemming, Deborah; Agusto, Folashade; Evans, Katherine J.; Fefferman, Nina; Gaff, Holly; Gumel, Abba; LaDeau, Shannon; Lenhart, Suzanne; Mickens, Ronald E.; Naumova, Elena N.; Ostfeld, Richard S.; Ready, Paul D.; Thomas, Matthew B.; Velasco-Hernandez, Jorge; Michael, Edwin

doi:10.1098/rstb.2013.0551

Title: Climate, environmental and socio-economic change: weighing up the balance in vector-borne disease transmission

Journal Article · Mon Feb 16 00:00:00 EST 2015 · Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society of London, Series B: Biological Sciences

DOI:https://doi.org/10.1098/rstb.2013.0551· OSTI ID:1185849

Parham, Paul E. ^[1]; Waldock, Joanna ^[2]; Christophides, George K. ^[3]; Hemming, Deborah ^[4]; Agusto, Folashade ^[5]; Evans, Katherine J. ^[6]; Fefferman, Nina ^[7]; Gaff, Holly ^[8]; Gumel, Abba ^[9]; LaDeau, Shannon ^[10]; Lenhart, Suzanne ^[11]; Mickens, Ronald E. ^[12]; Naumova, Elena N. ^[13]; Ostfeld, Richard S. ^[10]; Ready, Paul D. ^[14]; Thomas, Matthew B. ^[15]; Velasco-Hernandez, Jorge ^[16]; Michael, Edwin ^[17]

Univ. of Liverpool (United Kingdom). Dept. of Public Health and Policy; Imperial College, London (United Kingdom)
The Cyprus Institute, Nicosia (Cyprus); Imperial College, London (United Kingdom)
Imperial College, London (United Kingdom)
UK Meteorological Office, Exeter (United Kingdom). Meteorological Office Hadley Centre
Austin Peay State Univ. Clarksville, TN (United States). Dept. of Mathematics
Oak Ridge National Lab. (ORNL), Oak Ridge, TN (United States)
Rutgers Univ., New Brunswick, NJ (United States). Department of Ecology, Evolution and Natural Resources
Old Dominium Univ., Norfolk, VA (United States). Dept. of Biological Sciences
Arizona State Univ., Tempe, AZ (United States). Simon A. Levin Mathematical, Computational and Modeling Sciences Center; Arizona State Univ., Phoenix, AZ (United States). School of Mathematical and Natural Sciences
Cary Inst. of Ecosystem Studies, Millbrook, NY (United States)
Univ. of Tennessee, Knoxville, TN (United States). Dept. of Mathematics
Clark Atlanta Univ., Atlanta, GA (United States). Dept. of Physics
Tufts Univ. School of Engineering, Medford, MA (United States). Dept. of Civil and Environmental Engineering
London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London (United Kingdom). Dept. of Disease Control, Faculty of Infectious and Tropical Diseases
Pennsylvania State Univ., University Park, PA (United States). Dept of Entomology
Univ. Nacional Autonoma de Mexico (UNAM), Mexico City (Mexico)
Univ. of Notre Dame, IN (United States). Dept. of Biological Sciences

Arguably one of the most important effects of climate change is the potential impact on human health. While this is likely to take many forms, the implications for future transmission of vector-borne diseases (VBDs), given their ongoing contribution to global disease burden, are both extremely important and highly uncertain. In part, this is due not only to data limitations and methodological challenges when integrating climate-driven VBD models and climate change projections, but, perhaps most crucially, the multitude of epidemiological, ecological, and socioeconomic factors that drive VBD transmission, and this complexity has generated considerable debate over the last 10-15 years. In this article, and Theme Issue, we seek to elucidate current knowledge around this topic, identify key themes and uncertainties, evaluate ongoing challenges and open research questions, and, crucially, offer some solutions for the field moving forwards. Although many of these challenges are ubiquitous across multiple VBDs, more specific issues also arise in different vector-pathogen systems. This Theme Issue seeks to cover both, reflected in the breadth and depth of the topics and VBD-systems considered, itself strongly indicative of the challenging, but necessary, multidisciplinary nature of this research field.

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Research Organization:: Oak Ridge National Laboratory (ORNL), Oak Ridge, TN (United States)

Sponsoring Organization:: USDOE Office of Science (SC); Joint UK DECC/Defra Met Office Hadley Centre Climate Programme

Grant/Contract Number:: AC05-00OR22725; EF-0832858

OSTI ID:: 1185849

Journal Information:: Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society of London, Series B: Biological Sciences, Vol. 370, Issue 1665; ISSN 0962-8436

Publisher:: The Royal Society PublishingCopyright Statement

Country of Publication:: United States

Language:: English

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Cited by: 142 works

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