Nuclear Energy Response in the EMF27 Study
- Joint Global Change Research Institute, College Park, MD (United States)
- Research Inst. of Innovative Technology for the Earth, Kizagawa-Shi, Kyoto (Japan)
- Inst. of Applied Energy, Minato-ku, Tokyo (Japan )
- Stanford University, Stanford, CA (United States)
The nuclear energy response for mitigating global climate change across eighteen participating models of the EMF27 study is investigated. Diverse perspectives on the future role of nuclear power in the global energy system are evident in the broad range of nuclear power contributions from participating models of the study. In the Baseline scenario without climate policy, nuclear electricity generation and shares span 0 – 66 EJ/ year and 0 - 25% in 2100 for all models, with a median nuclear electricity generation of 39 EJ/year (1,389 GWe at 90% capacity factor) and median share of 9%. The role of nuclear energy increased under the climate policy scenarios. The median of nuclear energy use across all models doubled in the 450 ppm CO2e scenario with a nuclear electricity generation of 67 EJ/year (2,352 GWe at 90% capacity factor) and share of 17% in 2100. The broad range of nuclear electricity generation (11 – 214 EJ/year) and shares (2 - 38%) in 2100 of the 450 ppm CO2e scenario reflect differences in the technology choice behavior, technology assumptions and competitiveness of low carbon technologies. Greater clarification of nuclear fuel cycle issues and risk factors associated with nuclear energy use are necessary for understanding the nuclear deployment constraints imposed in models and for improving the assessment of the nuclear energy potential in addressing climate change.
- Research Organization:
- Pacific Northwest National Lab. (PNNL), Richland, WA (United States)
- Sponsoring Organization:
- USDOE
- DOE Contract Number:
- AC05-76RL01830
- OSTI ID:
- 1129315
- Report Number(s):
- PNNL-SA-101227; KP1703030; TRN: US1400359
- Journal Information:
- Climatic Change, Vol. 123, Issue 3-4; ISSN 0165-0009
- Publisher:
- Springer
- Country of Publication:
- United States
- Language:
- English
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