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Title: New Methods and Tools to Perform Safety Analysis within RISMC

The Risk Informed Safety Margins Characterization (RISMC) Pathway uses a systematic approach developed to characterize and quantify safety margins of nuclear power plant structures, systems and components. What differentiates the RISMC approach from traditional probabilistic risk assessment (PRA) is the concept of safety margin. In PRA, a safety metric such as core damage frequency (CDF) is generally estimated using static fault-tree and event-tree models. However, it is not possible to estimate how close we are to physical safety limits (say peak clad temperature) for most accident sequences described in the PRA. In the RISMC approach, what we want to understand is not just the frequency of an event like core damage, but how close we are (or not) to this event and how we might increase our safety margin through margin management strategies in a Dynamic PRA (DPRA) fashion. This paper gives an overview of methods that are currently under development at the Idaho National Laboratory (INL) with the scope of advance the current state of the art of dynamic PRA.
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Conference: ANS winter meeting,Washington DC,11/10/2013,11/14/2013
Research Org:
Idaho National Laboratory (INL)
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Country of Publication:
United States
97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING adaptive sampling; data mining; dynamic PRA; reduced order model; safety analysis; surrogate model