DOE PAGES title logo U.S. Department of Energy
Office of Scientific and Technical Information

Title: Capacity value assessments of wind power

Abstract

This article describes some of the recent research into the capacity value of wind power. With the worldwide increase in wind power during the past several years, there is increasing interest and significance regarding its capacity value because this has a direct influence on the amount of other (nonwind) capacity that is needed. We build on previous reviews from IEEE and IEA W ind T ask 25 a and examine recent work that evaluates the impact of multiple‐year data sets and the impact of interconnected systems on resource adequacy. We also provide examples that explore the use of alternative reliability metrics for wind capacity value calculations. We show how multiple‐year data sets significantly increase the robustness of results compared to single‐year assessments. Assumptions regarding the transmission interconnections play a significant role. To date, results regarding which reliability metric to use for probabilistic capacity valuation show little sensitivity to the metric. WIREs Energy Environ 2017, 6:e226. doi: 10.1002/wene.226 This article is categorized under: Wind Power > Economics and Policy Wind Power > Systems and Infrastructure Energy Infrastructure > Economics and Policy

Authors:
 [1];  [1];  [2];  [3];  [3];  [4]
  1. National Renewable Energy Laboratory Golden CO USA
  2. General Electric (GE) Energy Consulting Schenectady NY USA
  3. Valtion Teknillinen Tutkimuskeskus (VTT) Espoo Finland
  4. Royal Institute of Technology Stockholm Sweden
Publication Date:
Sponsoring Org.:
USDOE
OSTI Identifier:
1401713
Grant/Contract Number:  
DE‐AC36‐08GO28308
Resource Type:
Publisher's Accepted Manuscript
Journal Name:
Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews. Energy and Environment
Additional Journal Information:
Journal Name: Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews. Energy and Environment Journal Volume: 6 Journal Issue: 1; Journal ID: ISSN 2041-8396
Publisher:
Wiley Blackwell (John Wiley & Sons)
Country of Publication:
United States
Language:
English

Citation Formats

Milligan, Michael, Frew, Bethany, Ibanez, Eduardo, Kiviluoma, Juha, Holttinen, Hannele, and Söder, Lennart. Capacity value assessments of wind power. United States: N. p., 2016. Web. doi:10.1002/wene.226.
Milligan, Michael, Frew, Bethany, Ibanez, Eduardo, Kiviluoma, Juha, Holttinen, Hannele, & Söder, Lennart. Capacity value assessments of wind power. United States. https://doi.org/10.1002/wene.226
Milligan, Michael, Frew, Bethany, Ibanez, Eduardo, Kiviluoma, Juha, Holttinen, Hannele, and Söder, Lennart. Wed . "Capacity value assessments of wind power". United States. https://doi.org/10.1002/wene.226.
@article{osti_1401713,
title = {Capacity value assessments of wind power},
author = {Milligan, Michael and Frew, Bethany and Ibanez, Eduardo and Kiviluoma, Juha and Holttinen, Hannele and Söder, Lennart},
abstractNote = {This article describes some of the recent research into the capacity value of wind power. With the worldwide increase in wind power during the past several years, there is increasing interest and significance regarding its capacity value because this has a direct influence on the amount of other (nonwind) capacity that is needed. We build on previous reviews from IEEE and IEA W ind T ask 25 a and examine recent work that evaluates the impact of multiple‐year data sets and the impact of interconnected systems on resource adequacy. We also provide examples that explore the use of alternative reliability metrics for wind capacity value calculations. We show how multiple‐year data sets significantly increase the robustness of results compared to single‐year assessments. Assumptions regarding the transmission interconnections play a significant role. To date, results regarding which reliability metric to use for probabilistic capacity valuation show little sensitivity to the metric. WIREs Energy Environ 2017, 6:e226. doi: 10.1002/wene.226 This article is categorized under: Wind Power > Economics and Policy Wind Power > Systems and Infrastructure Energy Infrastructure > Economics and Policy},
doi = {10.1002/wene.226},
journal = {Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews. Energy and Environment},
number = 1,
volume = 6,
place = {United States},
year = {Wed Oct 05 00:00:00 EDT 2016},
month = {Wed Oct 05 00:00:00 EDT 2016}
}

Journal Article:
Free Publicly Available Full Text
Publisher's Version of Record
https://doi.org/10.1002/wene.226

Citation Metrics:
Cited by: 15 works
Citation information provided by
Web of Science

Save / Share:

Works referenced in this record:

A novel and fast algorithm for locating minimal cuts up to second order of undirected graphs with multiple sources and sinks
journal, November 2014


Hierarchical Load Hindcasting Using Reanalysis Weather
journal, January 2014

  • Black, Jonathan D.; Henson, William L. W.
  • IEEE Transactions on Smart Grid, Vol. 5, Issue 1
  • DOI: 10.1109/TSG.2013.2278475

Effective Load Carrying Capability of Generating Units
journal, August 1966


Impacts of large amounts of wind power on design and operation of power systems, results of IEA collaboration
journal, March 2011

  • Holttinen, Hannele; Meibom, Peter; Orths, Antje
  • Wind Energy, Vol. 14, Issue 2
  • DOI: 10.1002/we.410

A Direct Method for Multi-Area Reliability Evaluation
journal, November 1987

  • Oliveira, G. C.; Cunha, S. H. F.; Pereira, M. V. F.
  • IEEE Power Engineering Review, Vol. PER-7, Issue 11
  • DOI: 10.1109/MPER.1987.5526897

Capacity Value of Wind Power
journal, May 2011


Challenges in quantifying wind generation's contribution to securing peak demand
conference, July 2011

  • Zachary, S.; Dent, C. J.; Brayshaw, D. J.
  • 2011 IEEE Power & Energy Society General Meeting, 2011 IEEE Power and Energy Society General Meeting
  • DOI: 10.1109/PES.2011.6039572

A review of different methodologies used for calculation of wind power capacity credit
conference, July 2008

  • Soder, Lennart; Amelin, Mikael
  • 2008 IEEE Power and Energy Society General Meeting - Conversion and Delivery of Electrical Energy in the 21st Century
  • DOI: 10.1109/PES.2008.4596666

Monte Carlo simulation model for multiarea generation system reliability studies
journal, January 1993

  • Billinton, R.; Gan, L.
  • IEE Proceedings C Generation, Transmission and Distribution, Vol. 140, Issue 6
  • DOI: 10.1049/ip-c.1993.0077

Effects of Wind Power on Bulk System Adequacy Evaluation Using the Well-Being Analysis Framework
journal, August 2009


Probabilistic assessment of interconnection assistance between power systems
journal, May 1998

  • Hamoud, G.
  • IEEE Transactions on Power Systems, Vol. 13, Issue 2
  • DOI: 10.1109/59.667379

Comparing Capacity Value Estimation Techniques for Photovoltaic Solar Power
journal, January 2013

  • Madaeni, Seyed Hossein; Sioshansi, Ramteen; Denholm, Paul
  • IEEE Journal of Photovoltaics, Vol. 3, Issue 1
  • DOI: 10.1109/JPHOTOV.2012.2217114

Impact of Large Scale Wind Power on System Adequacy in a Regional Power System with Weak Interconnections
conference, June 2007


Capacity Value of Wind Power, Calculation, and Data Requirements: the Irish Power System Case
journal, February 2011

  • Hasche, Bernhard; Keane, Andrew; O'Malley, Mark
  • IEEE Transactions on Power Systems, Vol. 26, Issue 1
  • DOI: 10.1109/TPWRS.2010.2051341

Noniterative Method to Approximate the Effective Load Carrying Capability of a Wind Plant
journal, June 2008

  • D'Annunzio, C.; Santoso, S.
  • IEEE Transactions on Energy Conversion, Vol. 23, Issue 2
  • DOI: 10.1109/TEC.2008.918597

Reliability Evaluation of Power Systems
book, January 1996


Monte Carlo-based method to estimate the capacity value of wind power considering operational aspects
conference, July 2014

  • Wetzel, Rodrigo; Gil, Esteban
  • 2014 International Conference on Probabilistic Methods Applied to Power Systems (PMAPS)
  • DOI: 10.1109/PMAPS.2014.6960660

Endogenous Assessment of the Capacity Value of Solar PV in Generation Investment Planning Studies
journal, October 2015

  • Munoz, Francisco D.; Mills, Andrew D.
  • IEEE Transactions on Sustainable Energy, Vol. 6, Issue 4
  • DOI: 10.1109/TSTE.2015.2456019

Transmission, Variable Generation, and Power System Flexibility
journal, January 2015

  • Lannoye, Eamonn; Flynn, Damian; O'Malley, Mark
  • IEEE Transactions on Power Systems, Vol. 30, Issue 1
  • DOI: 10.1109/TPWRS.2014.2321793

Comparison of Capacity Credit Calculation Methods for Conventional Power Plants and Wind Power
journal, May 2009


Z-Method for Power System Resource Adequacy Applications
journal, May 2006


Who Should Pay for Reserve?
journal, October 2000