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Note: This page contains sample records for the topic "noaa climate prediction" from the National Library of EnergyBeta (NLEBeta).
While these samples are representative of the content of NLEBeta,
they are not comprehensive nor are they the most current set.
We encourage you to perform a real-time search of NLEBeta
to obtain the most current and comprehensive results.


1

www.noaa.gov/climate Proposed Climate Service in NOAA  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

industry, which in-turn developed new insulation standards for protecting building foundations from frost, September 2010 Climate Service Example: Construction NOAA provides air-freezing data to the home building. This resulted in annual building cost savings of $330 million and energy cost savings of 586,000 megawatt

2

NOAA, 2012 Climate Prediction Applications Science Workshop (CPASW), Climate Services for National Security Challenges: Abstract Submission  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

Security Challenges: Abstract Submission Presentation Title: The Impact of Climate Variability on Biofuel liters in 1996 to 24.6 billion liters in 2007 (Renewable Fuels Association, 2008), and the target annual use of biofuels by 2022 specified in the 2007 Energy Independence and Security Act is 136 billion

Miami, University of

3

NOAA Predicts Mixed Bag of Drought, Flooding and Warm Weather...  

NLE Websites -- All DOE Office Websites (Extended Search)

NOAA Predicts Mixed Bag of Drought, Flooding and Warm Weather for Spring Print E-mail NOAA 2013 Spring Outlook Map Thursday, March 21, 2013 Featured by NOAA, a member of the U.S....

4

NOAA Awarded 2.6 Million Processor Hours at NERSC to Run Climate Change  

NLE Websites -- All DOE Office Websites (Extended Search)

NOAA Awarded 2.6 NOAA Awarded 2.6 Million Processor Hours at NERSC to Run Climate Change Models NOAA Awarded 2.6 Million Processor Hours at NERSC to Run Climate Change Models September 11, 2008 WASHINGTON, DC - The U.S. Department of Energy's (DOE) Office of Science will make available more than 10 million hours of computing time for the U.S. Commerce Department's National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) to explore advanced climate change models at three of DOE's national laboratories as part of a three-year memorandum of understanding on collaborative climate research signed today by the two agencies. NOAA will work with climate change models as well as perform near real-time high-impact (non-production) weather prediction research using computing time on DOE Office of Science resources including two of the world's top

5

Department of Energy to Provide Supercomputing Time to Run NOAA's Climate  

Energy.gov (U.S. Department of Energy (DOE)) Indexed Site

to Provide Supercomputing Time to Run NOAA's to Provide Supercomputing Time to Run NOAA's Climate Change Models Department of Energy to Provide Supercomputing Time to Run NOAA's Climate Change Models September 8, 2008 - 9:45am Addthis WASHINGTON, DC - The U.S. Department of Energy's (DOE) Office of Science will make available more than 10 million hours of computing time for the U.S. Commerce Department's National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) to explore advanced climate change models at three of DOE's national laboratories as part of a three-year memorandum of understanding on collaborative climate research signed today by the two agencies. NOAA will work with climate change models as well as perform near real-time high-impact (non-production) weather prediction research using computing

6

NOAA’s 1981-2010 U.S. Climate Normals: Monthly Precipitation, Snowfall, and Snow Depth  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

The 1981-2010 United States Climate Normals released by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s (NOAA’s) National Climatic Data Center (NCDC) include a suite of monthly, seasonal, and annual statistics based on precipitation, ...

Imke Durre; Michael F. Squires; Russell S. Vose; Xungang Yin; Anthony Arguez; Scott Applequist

7

NOAA’s 1981–2010 U.S. Climate Normals: Monthly Precipitation, Snowfall, and Snow Depth  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

The 1981–2010 “U.S. Climate Normals” released by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s (NOAA) National Climatic Data Center include a suite of monthly, seasonal, and annual statistics that are based on precipitation, snowfall, and ...

Imke Durre; Michael F. Squires; Russell S. Vose; Xungang Yin; Anthony Arguez; Scott Applequist

2013-11-01T23:59:59.000Z

8

NOAA Awarded 2.6 Million Processor Hours at NERSC to Run Climate...  

NLE Websites -- All DOE Office Websites (Extended Search)

NOAA Awarded 2.6 Million Processor Hours at NERSC to Run Climate Change Models NOAA Awarded 2.6 Million Processor Hours at NERSC to Run Climate Change Models September 11, 2008...

9

Global Data on Land Surface Parameters from NOAA AVHRR for Use in Numerical Climate Models  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

This paper reviews satellite datasets from the NOAA Advanced Very High Resolution Radiometer that could be employed in support of numerical climate modeling at regional and global scales. Presently available NOAA operational and research datasets ...

G. Garik Gutman

1994-05-01T23:59:59.000Z

10

NOAA's 1981–2010 U.S. Climate Normals: An Overview  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) released the 1981–2010 U.S. Climate Normals in July 2011, representing the latest decadal installment of this long-standing product line. Climatic averages (and other statistics) of temperature, ...

Anthony Arguez; Imke Durre; Scott Applequist; Russell S. Vose; Michael F. Squires; Xungang Yin; Richard R. Heim Jr.; Timothy W. Owen

2012-11-01T23:59:59.000Z

11

NOAA'S Advanced Hydrologic Prediction Service: Building Pathways for Better Science in Water Forecasting  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) National Weather Service (NWS) Advanced Hydrologic Prediction Service (AHPS) program was established to meet our nation's need for more precise flash-flood forecast information. AHPS uses ...

John Mcenery; John Ingram; Qingyun Duan; Thomas Adams; Lee Anderson

2005-03-01T23:59:59.000Z

12

IMPLEMENTING THE NOAA NEXT GENERATION STRATEGIC PLAN  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

climate modeling using NOAA's high performance computing abilities; · Expand the Climate Portal through

13

Howard J. Diamond, U.S. GCOS Program Manager, National Climatic Data Center (NCDC), National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA)  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

Howard J. Diamond, U.S. GCOS Program Manager, National Climatic Data Center (NCDC), National and System Development Climate Data Management Tropical Cyclone Data and Information Work Communicating System Program Manager Director, World Data Center for Meteorology Formal NOAA Lead on U.S. climate bi

14

Subscribers to the NOAA Monthly and Seasonal Weather Outlook  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

The identity and characteristics of users of existing climate predictions (monthly and seasonal) as inputs to decision making am described. Subscribers to the NOAA Climate Analysis Center's Monthly and Seasonal Weather Outlook (MSWO) are surveyed ...

William E. Easterling

1986-04-01T23:59:59.000Z

15

Operational Impact of QuikSCAT Winds at the NOAA Ocean Prediction Center  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

The NASA Quick Scatterometer (QuikSCAT) has revolutionized the analysis and short-term forecasting of winds over the oceans at the NOAA Ocean Prediction Center (OPC). The success of QuikSCAT in OPC operations is due to the wide 1800-km swath ...

Joan M. Von Ahn; Joseph M. Sienkiewicz; Paul S. Chang

2006-08-01T23:59:59.000Z

16

Toward Regional Climate Services: The Role of NOAA's Regional Climate Centers  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

For 25 yr, the Regional Climate Center (RCC) program has provided climate services to six regions encompassing the United States. The service provided by the RCCs has evolved through this time to become an efficient, user-driven program that ...

Arthur T. DeGaetano; Timothy J. Brown; Steven D. Hilberg; Kelly Redmond; Kevin Robbins; Peter Robinson; Martha Shulski; Marjorie McGuirk

2010-12-01T23:59:59.000Z

17

NOAA and OAR Approaches to Research Planning  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

's Organization #12;NOAA Research NOAA's Organization #12;NOAA Research OAR Organization #12;NOAA Research OAR Organization #12;NOAA Research OAR Organization Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory Venkatachalam Ramaswamy 11-15) Can do Program Review & Development Climate Goal OAR HQ Budgeting (FY 10-11) Will do

18

The Real-Time Mesoscale Analysis at NOAA’s National Centers for Environmental Prediction: Current Status and Development  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

In 2006, the National Centers for Environmental Prediction (NCEP) implemented the Real-Time Mesoscale Analysis (RTMA) in collaboration with the Earth System Research Laboratory and the National Environmental, Satellite, and Data Information ...

Manuel S. F. V. De Pondeca; Geoffrey S. Manikin; Geoff DiMego; Stanley G. Benjamin; David F. Parrish; R. James Purser; Wan-Shu Wu; John D. Horel; David T. Myrick; Ying Lin; Robert M. Aune; Dennis Keyser; Brad Colman; Greg Mann; Jamie Vavra

2011-10-01T23:59:59.000Z

19

Information Theory and Climate Prediction  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

This paper introduces the use of information theory in characterizing climate predictability. Specifically, the concepts of entropy and transinformation are employed. Entropy measures the amount of uncertainty in our knowledge of the state of the ...

Lai-Yung Leung; Gerald R. North

1990-01-01T23:59:59.000Z

20

On Climate Prediction in the Tropics  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

Climatic disasters are common in many tropical regions, and rainfall anomalies in particular have a severe human impact. Accordingly, both the World Climate Programme and the U.S. National Climate Program have identified climate prediction as a ...

Stefan Hastenrath

1986-06-01T23:59:59.000Z

Note: This page contains sample records for the topic "noaa climate prediction" from the National Library of EnergyBeta (NLEBeta).
While these samples are representative of the content of NLEBeta,
they are not comprehensive nor are they the most current set.
We encourage you to perform a real-time search of NLEBeta
to obtain the most current and comprehensive results.


21

A Nonlinear Dynamical Perspective on Climate Prediction  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

A nonlinear dynamical perspective on climate prediction is outlined, based on a treatment of climate as the attractor of a nonlinear dynamical system D with distinct quasi-stationary regimes. The main application is toward anthropogenic climate ...

T. N. Palmer

1999-02-01T23:59:59.000Z

22

A Comparison of Skill between Two Versions of the NCEP Climate Forecast System (CFS) and CPC’s Operational Short-Lead Seasonal Outlooks  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

Analyses of the relative prediction skills of NOAA’s Climate Forecast System versions 1 and 2 (CFSv1 and CFSv2, respectively), and the NOAA/Climate Prediction Center’s (CPC) operational seasonal outlook, are conducted over the 15-yr common period ...

Peitao Peng; Anthony G. Barnston; Arun Kumar

2013-04-01T23:59:59.000Z

23

ONE OCEAN, ONE HEALTH NOAA IN THE LEAD A REPORT FROM THE NOAA SCIENCE ADVISORY BOARD  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

The ocean 1 provides many health benefits, from low fat, high protein food sources and therapeutic drugs to regulation of global temperature. The ocean also poses many hazards, such as hurricanes, pathogens, animal attacks, toxins and contaminants that can cause loss of life or impair health. The potential impact of these threats is enhanced because more than half of the US population lives along the coast. Even those living inland are not immune to the ocean’s effects, as ocean-driven climate patterns have been linked to inland outbreaks of several pathogens. These and other threats are likely to increase with predicted changes in climate. NOAA has multiple programs intended to promote health, but has struggled to define its role in relation to the many other agencies that also have health-related responsibilities. To help NOAA more clearly define its role and actions needed to fulfill that role, the NOAA Science Advisory Board (SAB) established an Oceans and Health Working Group (OHWG) that includes experts in the fields of epidemiology, toxicology, public health, environmental modeling, veterinary science, marine biotechnology, economics, and ocean sciences. The OHWG was charged with identifying opportunities to enhance NOAA’s ongoing health-related efforts, including all relationships between the ocean and the physiological well-being of organisms. This report from

unknown authors

2010-01-01T23:59:59.000Z

24

Decadal Climate Prediction: An Update from the Trenches  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

Capsule: The rapidly evolving field of decadal climate prediction, using initialized climate models to produce time-evolving predictions of regional climate, is producing new results for predictions, predictability, and prediction skill for the next few ...

Gerald A. Meehl; Lisa Goddard; George Boer; Robert Burgman; Grant Branstator; Christophe Cassou; Susanna Corti; Gokhan Danabasoglu; Francisco Doblas-Reyes; Ed Hawkins; Alicia Karspeck; Masahide Kimoto; Arun Kumar; Daniela Matei; Juliette Mignot; Rym Msadek; Holger Pohlmann; Michele Rienecker; Tony Rosati; Edwin Schneider; Doug Smith; Rowan Sutton; Haiyan Teng; Geert Jan van Oldenborgh; Gabriel Vecchi; Stephen Yeager

25

Predicting Future Climate Using Algae Sedimentation  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

Biologists have shown that algae are the first to be implicated in climate changes and vice versa. The goal of this research effort is to predict the future climate using algae species living in a lake in the past. On performing age depth profile analysis ... Keywords: Marine Organisms, Algae Sedimentation, Climate, Extrapolation, Neural Networks, Regression Analysis, ID3

Jasdeep Natt; Ray Hashemi; Azita Bahrami; Mahmood Bahar; Nicholas Tyler; Jay Hodgson

2012-04-01T23:59:59.000Z

26

Climate Indices  

NLE Websites -- All DOE Office Websites (Extended Search)

Indices Indices Climate Indices Climate indices are diagnostic tools used to describe the state of the climate system and monitor climate. They are most often represented with a time series, where each point in time corresponds to one index value. An index can be constructed to describe almost any atmospheric event; as such, they are myriad. Therefore, CDIAC provides these links to other web sites to help guide users to the most widely used climate indices, which in many cases are updated monthly. Data Set Website/Name NOAA's Climate Prediction Center, Monitoring and Data Index Page NOAA's Earth Systems Research Laboratory, Monthly Atmospheric and Ocean Time Series Page (plot, analyze, and compare time series) The Monthly Teleconnection Indices Page from NOAA's National

27

NOAA Borehole Data | OpenEI  

Open Energy Info (EERE)

NOAA Borehole Data NOAA Borehole Data Dataset Summary Description NOAA borehole data with temperatures at different depths. http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/paleo/borehole/nam.html Source NOAA Date Released April 08th, 2010 (4 years ago) Date Updated Unknown Keywords borehole geothermal NOAA Data application/vnd.openxmlformats-officedocument.spreadsheetml.sheet icon NOAA_borehole_data_4-8-10.xlsx (xlsx, 478.7 KiB) Quality Metrics Level of Review No Review Comment Temporal and Spatial Coverage Frequency Time Period License License Other or unspecified, see optional comment below Comment http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/oa/about/open-access-climate-data-policy.pdf Rate this dataset Usefulness of the metadata Average vote Your vote Usefulness of the dataset Average vote Your vote Ease of access Average vote Your vote

28

Short-Term Climate Extremes: Prediction Skill and Predictability  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

Forecasts for extremes in short-term climate (monthly means) are examined to understand the current prediction capability and potential predictability. This study focuses on 2-m surface temperature and precipitation extremes over North and South ...

Emily J. Becker; Huug van den Dool; Malaquias Peña

2013-01-01T23:59:59.000Z

29

NOAA's Ship Tracker | Data.gov  

NLE Websites -- All DOE Office Websites (Extended Search)

NOAA's Ship Tracker NOAA's Ship Tracker Ocean Data Tools Technical Guide Map Gallery Regional Planning Feedback Ocean You are here Data.gov » Communities » Ocean » Data NOAA's Ship Tracker Dataset Summary Description NOAA's Ship Tracker is a viewer tool developed by the NOS Special Projects Office (SPO) for the Office of Marine and Aviation Operations (NOAA OMAO) which shows information about the location, present and past, of NOAA's ships. Ship location and the conditions where the ship was located are maintained on this site for one year. The NOAA fleet ranges from large oceanographic research vessels capable of exploring the world's deepest ocean, to smaller ships responsible for charting the shallow bays and inlets of the United States. The fleet supports a wide range of marine activities including fisheries research, nautical charting, and ocean and climate studies.

30

Atmospheric carbon diooxide mixing ratios from the NOAA Climate Monitoring and Diagnostics Laboratory cooperative flask sampling network, 1967-1993  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

This data report documents monthly atmospheric CO{sub 2} mixing ratios and measurements obtained by analyzing individual flask air samples for the NOAA/CMDL global cooperative flask sampling network. Measurements include land-based sampling sites and shipboard measurements covering 14 latitude bands in the Pacific Ocean and South China Sea. Analysis of the NOAA/CMDL flask CO{sub 2} database shows a long-term increase in atmospheric CO{sub 2} mixing ratios since the late 1960s. This report describes how the samples are collected and analyzed and how the data are processed, defines limitations, and restrictions of the data, describes the contents and format of the data files, and provides tabular listings of the monthly carbon dioxide records.

Conway, T.J.; Tans, P.P. [National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, Boulder, CO (United States); BBoden, T.A. [Oak Ridge National Lab., TN (United States)

1996-02-01T23:59:59.000Z

31

How Agribusiness Uses Climate Predictions: Implications for Climate Research and Provision of Predictions  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

The paper presents an analysis of climate prediction needs and uses within six important subsegments of the agribusiness sector. Results are based on a mail survey of 114 managers. Although nearly 70% of the respondents indicated some use of ...

S. T. Sonka; S. L. Hofing; S. A. Changnon Jr.

1992-12-01T23:59:59.000Z

32

ONE OCEAN, ONE HEALTH NOAA IN THE LEAD FINAL REPORT FROM THE OCEANS AND HEALTH WORKING GROUP TO THE NOAA SCIENCE ADVISORY BOARD  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

The ocean 1 provides many health benefits, from low fat, high protein food sources and therapeutic drugs to regulation of global temperature. The ocean also poses many hazards, such as hurricanes, pathogens, animal attacks, toxins and contaminants that can cause loss of life or impair health. The potential impact of these threats is enhanced because more than half of the US population lives along the coast. Even those living inland are not immune to the ocean’s effects, as ocean-driven climate patterns have been linked to inland outbreaks of several pathogens. These and other threats are likely to increase with predicted changes in climate. NOAA has multiple programs intended to promote health, but has struggled to define its role in relation to the many other agencies that also have health-related responsibilities. To help NOAA more clearly define its role and actions needed to fulfill that role, the NOAA Science Advisory Board (SAB) established an Oceans and Health Working Group (OHWG) that includes experts in the fields of epidemiology, toxicology, public health, environmental modeling, veterinary science, marine biotechnology, economics, and ocean sciences. The OHWG has been charged with identifying opportunities to enhance NOAA’s ongoing health-related efforts, including all relationships between the ocean and the physiological well-being of organisms. This report

unknown authors

2010-01-01T23:59:59.000Z

33

The Potential to Narrow Uncertainty in Regional Climate Predictions  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

Faced by the realities of a changing climate, decision makers in a wide variety of organizations are increasingly seeking quantitative predictions of regional and local climate. An important issue for these decision makers, and for organizations ...

Ed Hawkins; Rowan Sutton

2009-08-01T23:59:59.000Z

34

Contents of Climate Predictions Desired by Agricultural Decision Makers  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

In-depth interviews with 27 executives in various agribusiness defined usage and needs for climate predictions. Predictions are acquired from various public and private sources but are seldom used in making major decision. Users exhibited little ...

Stanley A. Changnon

1992-12-01T23:59:59.000Z

35

Developments in Operational Long-Range Climate Prediction at CPC  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

The science, production methods, and format of long-range forecasts (LRFs) at the Climate Prediction Center (CPC), a part of the National Weather Service’s (NWS’s) National Centers for Environmental Prediction (NCEP), have evolved greatly since ...

Edward A. O’Lenic; David A. Unger; Michael S. Halpert; Kenneth S. Pelman

2008-06-01T23:59:59.000Z

36

Tropical Climate Prediction: A Progress Report, 1985–90  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

Climate-prediction research in the 1980s has shown particular promise for methods based on (a) general circulation and statistics, and (b) numerical modeling. Empirically based methods of predicting seasonal rainfall anomalies have been presented ...

Stefan Hastenrath

1990-06-01T23:59:59.000Z

37

Error Reduction and Convergence in Climate Prediction  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

Although climate models have steadily improved their ability to reproduce the observed climate, over the years there has been little change to the wide range of sensitivities exhibited by different models to a doubling of atmospheric CO2 ...

Charles S. Jackson; Mrinal K. Sen; Gabriel Huerta; Yi Deng; Kenneth P. Bowman

2008-12-01T23:59:59.000Z

38

The Weather Risk Management Industry's Climate Forecast and Data Needs: A Workshop Report  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), the Risk Prediction Initiative, and the Weather Risk Management Association jointly sponsored a workshop that examined a variety of issues related to climate forecastand data products ...

Richard J. Murnane; Michael Crowe; Allan Eustis; Susan Howard; Judy Koepsell; Robert Leffler; Robert Livezey

2002-08-01T23:59:59.000Z

39

Changing Uses of Climate Predictions in Agriculture: Implications for Prediction Research, Providers, and Users  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

A series of seven studies of the usage of climate predictions by U.S. agribusinesses were conducted during 1981–2001, and their results have been reviewed to identify information to guide future predictive research, providers of predictions, and ...

Stanley A. Changnon

2004-06-01T23:59:59.000Z

40

NOAA | OpenEI  

Open Energy Info (EERE)

NOAA NOAA Dataset Summary Description GIS data for offshore wind speed (meters/second). Specified to Exclusive Economic Zones (EEZ).Wind resource based on NOAA blended sea winds and monthly wind speed at 30km resolution, using a 0.11 wind sheer to extrapolate 10m - 90m. Annual average >= 10 months of data, no nulls. Source National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL) Date Released Unknown Date Updated Unknown Keywords GIS global NOAA NREL offshore wind wind speed Data application/zip icon Download Shapefile (zip, 18.5 MiB) Quality Metrics Level of Review Some Review Comment Temporal and Spatial Coverage Frequency Time Period License License Other or unspecified, see optional comment below Comment Please cite NREL and NOAA Rate this dataset Usefulness of the metadata

Note: This page contains sample records for the topic "noaa climate prediction" from the National Library of EnergyBeta (NLEBeta).
While these samples are representative of the content of NLEBeta,
they are not comprehensive nor are they the most current set.
We encourage you to perform a real-time search of NLEBeta
to obtain the most current and comprehensive results.


41

NOAA ARL Monthly Activity Report August 2006  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

. Asymmetrical Convective Model Version 2 (ACM2) 14. Climate Impact of Regional Air Quality (CIRAQ) 15NOAA ARL Monthly Activity Report August 2006 Richard S. Artz, Acting Director Air Resources Variability and Extremes During the Past 100 Years 6. Hybrid Modeling for Air Quality 7. Global Energy

42

Comparison of Model-Predicted Transport and Diffusion of Seeding Material with NOAA Satellite-Observed Seeding Track in Supercooled Layer Clouds  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

From 0615 to 0749 UTC 14 March 2000, an operation of cloud seeding for precipitation enhancement by aircraft was carried out in the middle part of Shaanxi Province, China. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA)-14 satellite ...

Xing Yu; Jin Dai; Daniel Rosenfeld; Hengchi Lei; Xiaohong Xu; Peng Fan; Zhengqi Chen

2005-06-01T23:59:59.000Z

43

Short-Term Climate Predictions for Water Management  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

Short-term climate predictions (two weeks to two years) have many applications in operation of water supply and flood control facilities. They can influence use of water for irrigation, hydroelectric power production, flood control operation, ...

Charles A. McCullough

1983-11-01T23:59:59.000Z

44

Ethiopian Highlands Crop-Climate Prediction: 1979–2009  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

This study compares different methods of predicting crop-related climate in the Ethiopian highlands for the period 1979–2009. A target index (ETH4) is developed as an average of four variables in the June–September season—rainfall, rainfall minus ...

Mark R. Jury

2013-05-01T23:59:59.000Z

45

Quantifying EOS Aqua and NOAA POES AMSU-A Brightness Temperature Biases for Weather and Climate Applications Utilizing the SNO Method  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

Systematic biases between brightness temperature (Tb) measurements made from concurrently operational Advanced Microwave Sounding Unit-A (AMSU-A) instruments can introduce errors into weather and climate applications. For this reason, in this ...

Robert A. Iacovazzi Jr.; Changyong Cao

2007-11-01T23:59:59.000Z

46

OpenEI - NOAA  

Open Energy Info (EERE)

NREL GIS Data: Global NREL GIS Data: Global Offshore Wind http://en.openei.org/datasets/node/869 GIS data for offshore wind speed (meters/second).  Specified to Exclusive Economic Zones (EEZ).Wind resource based on NOAA blended sea winds and monthly wind speed at 30km resolution, using a 0.11 wind sheer to extrapolate 10m - 90m.  Annual average  >= 10 months of data, no nulls. License

Type of License:  Other (please specify below)

47

NOAA's Ship Tracker | Data.gov  

NLE Websites -- All DOE Office Websites (Extended Search)

John.Katebini@noaa.gov Unique Identifier DOC-5576 Public Access Level public Data Dictionary http:shiptracker.noaa.govhelp.html Data Download URL http:shiptracker.noaa.gov...

48

and Acting NOAA Administrator  

NLE Websites -- All DOE Office Websites (Extended Search)

30 30 th 9:00-9:30 Welcome * Dr. Kathryn Sullivan, Acting Under Secretary of Commerce for Oceans and Atmosphere and Acting NOAA Administrator 9:30-10:30 What does Open Data Look Like? This session will provide some case studies of the use of open data to illustrate some of the issues associated with presentation of the data in a way which optimises its usefulness for end-users. It will consider different types of data, guiding principles, and different uses of data, including both research data and national agricultural data-sets. Moderator: * Tim Benton, Champion, UK Global Food Security Programme, UK Speakers: * Johannes Keizer, Team Leader, FAO United Nations, Italy * Dr. Sander Janssen, Wageningen, Netherlands * Dr. Rajeev Varshney, Director, Center of Excellence in Genomics (CEG), ICRISAT, Hyderabad,

49

Intercomparisons of Stratospheric Water Vapor Sensors: FLASH-B and NOAA/CMDL Frost-Point Hygrometer  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

Studies of global climate rely critically on accurate water vapor measurements. In this paper, a comparison of the NOAA/Climate Monitoring and Diagnostics Laboratory (CMDL) frost-point hygrometer and the Fluorescent Advanced Stratospheric ...

H. Vömel; V. Yushkov; S. Khaykin; L. Korshunov; E. Kyrö; R. Kivi

2007-06-01T23:59:59.000Z

50

The National Centers for Environmental Prediction: Operational Climate, Ocean, and Weather Prediction for the 21st Century  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

The National Meteorological Center is being restructured to serve a broader mission, which includes operational climate and ocean prediction as well as short-range weather prediction. Its successor organization is called the National Centers for ...

Ronald D. McPherson

1994-03-01T23:59:59.000Z

51

Assessing NOAA-16 HIRS Radiance Accuracy Using Simultaneous Nadir Overpass Observations from AIRS  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

The High-Resolution Infrared Radiation Sounder (HIRS) has been carried on NOAA satellites for more than two decades, and the HIRS data have been widely used for geophysical retrievals, climate studies, and radiance assimilation for numerical ...

Likun Wang; Changyong Cao; Pubu Ciren

2007-09-01T23:59:59.000Z

52

On the Interpretation and Utility of Skill Information for Seasonal Climate Predictions  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

In recent years, there has been a steady increase in the emphasis on routine seasonal climate predictions and their potential for enhancing societal benefits and mitigating losses related to climate extremes. It is also suggested by the users, as ...

Arun Kumar

2007-05-01T23:59:59.000Z

53

Linear Statistical Short-Term Climate Predictive Skill in the Northern Hemisphere  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

In this study, the sources and strengths of statistical short-term climate predictability for local surface climate (temperature and precipitation) and 700-mb geopotential height in the Northern Hemisphere are explored at all times of the year at ...

Anthony G. Barnston

1994-10-01T23:59:59.000Z

54

The Land Surface Contribution to the Potential Predictability of Boreal Summer Season Climate  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

The role of the land surface in contributing to the potential predictability of the boreal summer climate is investigated with a coupled land–atmosphere climate model. Ensemble simulations for 1982–99 have been conducted with specified observed ...

Paul A. Dirmeyer

2005-10-01T23:59:59.000Z

55

A New Perspective on the Climate Prediction of Asian Summer Monsoon Precipitation  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

A new paradigm for climate (one month and longer) prediction is developed and is applied to the 5-day-averaged Asian summer monsoon (ASM) precipitation. The foundation of the method is to identify climate signals (deterministic components) that ...

Young-Kwon Lim; Kwang-Yul Kim

2006-10-01T23:59:59.000Z

56

Model Estimates of Land-Driven Predictability in a Changing Climate from CCSM4  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

The climate system model of the National Center for Atmospheric Research is used to examine the predictability arising from the land surface initialization of seasonal climate ensemble forecasts in current, preindustrial, and projected future ...

Paul A. Dirmeyer; Sanjiv Kumar; Michael J. Fennessy; Eric L. Altshuler; Timothy DelSole; Zhichang Guo; Benjamin A. Cash; David Straus

2013-11-01T23:59:59.000Z

57

An Efficient Stochastic Bayesian Approach to Optimal Parameter and Uncertainty Estimation for Climate Model Predictions  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

One source of uncertainty for climate model predictions arises from the fact that climate models have been optimized to reproduce observational means. To quantify the uncertainty resulting from a realistic range of model configurations, it is ...

Charles Jackson; Mrinal K. Sen; Paul L. Stoffa

2004-07-01T23:59:59.000Z

58

NOAA Data Buoy Office Programs  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

The NOAA Data Buoy Office (NDBO) buoys provide vital meteorological and oceanographic reports from data-sparse marine areas. To provide a better understanding of the scope and potential of the buoy system, the buoy network, monitoring ...

Glenn D. Hamilton

1980-09-01T23:59:59.000Z

59

A Climatic Model for the Prediction of Percentile Statistics for Ambient Temperature  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

The probability density function (pdf) for ambient temperature is predicted from daily maximum and daily minimum temperature and sunshine, data by means of a climatic model.

Aleck J. Hunter

1981-04-01T23:59:59.000Z

60

Lidar-Measured Winds from Space: A Key Component for Weather and Climate Prediction  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

The deployment of a space-based Doppler lidar would provide information that is fundamental to advancing the understanding and prediction of weather and climate.

Wayman E. Baker; George D. Emmitt; Franklin Robertson; Robert M. Atlas; John E. Molinari; David A. Bowdle; Jan Paegle; R. Michael Hardesty; Madison J. Post; Robert T. Menzies; T. N. Krishnamurti; Robert A. Brown; John R. Anderson; Andrew C. Lorenc; James McElroy

1995-06-01T23:59:59.000Z

Note: This page contains sample records for the topic "noaa climate prediction" from the National Library of EnergyBeta (NLEBeta).
While these samples are representative of the content of NLEBeta,
they are not comprehensive nor are they the most current set.
We encourage you to perform a real-time search of NLEBeta
to obtain the most current and comprehensive results.


61

Robert Pincus and Crispian Batstone, CIRES/Univ. Colorado and NOAA Earth System Research Lab  

NLE Websites -- All DOE Office Websites (Extended Search)

Characteristic atmospheric profiles at the SGP site: Characteristic atmospheric profiles at the SGP site: Results from the ARM continuous forcing and two climate models Robert Pincus and Crispian Batstone, CIRES/Univ. Colorado and NOAA Earth System Research Lab Amy Braverman, Jet Propulsion Laboratory Errors in climate model predictions of cloud properties stem from some combination of (at least) two causes: * the cloud parameterization may produce the wrong cloud properties from a correct atmospheric state (or history of states), or * the cloud parameterization may be driven by incorrect states. Errors seen in long-term climatologies can't distinguish between these two error sources, but the different modes of failure have very different implica- tions for model development. There are two approaches to disentangling these error sources:

62

Impact of emissions, chemistry, and climate on atmospheric carbon monoxide : 100-year predictions from a global chemistry-climate model  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

The possible trends for atmospheric carbon monoxide in the next 100 yr have been illustrated using a coupled atmospheric chemistry and climate model driven by emissions predicted by a global economic development model. ...

Wang, Chien.; Prinn, Ronald G.

63

Remote Sensing of Geomagnetic Field and Applications to Climate Prediction  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

Observations show that geomagnetic field lines follow closely the atmospheric circulation patterns and that geomagnetic field variations are precursors to climate change . The exact mechanism for the observed close relationship between global geomagnetic field and the tropospheric weather patterns is not clear. In this paper a universal theory of atmospheric eddy dynamics is presented which shows that the global geomagnetic field, atmospheric electric field and weather systems are manifestations of a semi permanent scale invariant hierarchical atmospheric eddy continuum. Quantitative equations are derived to show that the full continuum of atmospheric eddies exist as a unified whole and originate from buoyant energy supply from frictional turbulence at the planetary surface . Large eddy growth occurs from turbulence scale by the universal period doubling route to chaos . The turbulent eddies are carried upwards on the large eddy envelopes and vertical mixing occurs by the turbulent eddy fluctuations resulting in downward transport of negative space charges from higher levels and simultaneous upward transport of positive space charges from surface levels. The eddy circulations therefore generate a large-scale vertical aerosol current, which is of the correct sign and magnitude to generate the horizontal component of the geomagnetic field. Therefore, atmospheric circulation patterns leave signature on the geomagnetic field lines whose global variations can be easily monitored by satellite borne sensors and thus assist in weather and climate prediction.

A. Mary Selvam

2000-02-17T23:59:59.000Z

64

DOE, USDA, and NSF Launch Joint Climate Change Prediction Research Program  

Energy.gov (U.S. Department of Energy (DOE)) Indexed Site

DOE, USDA, and NSF Launch Joint Climate Change Prediction Research DOE, USDA, and NSF Launch Joint Climate Change Prediction Research Program DOE, USDA, and NSF Launch Joint Climate Change Prediction Research Program March 22, 2010 - 12:00am Addthis Washington, DC - The U.S. Departments of Energy and Agriculture and the National Science Foundation (NSF) announced the launch of a joint research program to produce high-resolution models for predicting climate change and its resulting impacts. Called Decadal and Regional Climate Prediction Using Earth System Models (EaSM), the program is designed to generate models that -- significantly more powerful than existing models -- can help decision-makers develop adaptation strategies addressing climate change. These models will be developed through a joint, interagency solicitation

65

The Atlantic Climate Change Program  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

The Atlantic Climate Change Program (ACCP) is a component of NOAA's Climate and Global Change Program. ACCP is directed at determining the role of the thermohaline circulation of the Atlantic Ocean on global atmospheric climate. Efforts and ...

Robert L. Molinari; David Battisti; Kirk Bryan; John Walsh

1994-07-01T23:59:59.000Z

66

A first look at Climate Forecast System version 2 (CFSv2) for hydrological seasonal prediction  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

A first look at Climate Forecast System version 2 (CFSv2) for hydrological seasonal prediction Xing, the Climate Forecast System version 2 (CFSv2), with advanced physics, increased resolution and refined initiali- zation to improve the seasonal climate forecasts. We present a first look at the capability

Pan, Ming

67

Towards the Prediction of Decadal to Centennial Climate Processes in the Coupled Earth System Model  

SciTech Connect

In this proposal, we have made major advances in the understanding of decadal and long term climate variability. (a) We performed a systematic study of multidecadal climate variability in FOAM-LPJ and CCSM-T31, and are starting exploring decadal variability in the IPCC AR4 models. (b) We develop several novel methods for the assessment of climate feedbacks in the observation. (c) We also developed a new initialization scheme DAI (Dynamical Analogue Initialization) for ensemble decadal prediction. (d) We also studied climate-vegetation feedback in the observation and models. (e) Finally, we started a pilot program using Ensemble Kalman Filter in CGCM for decadal climate prediction.

Zhengyu Liu, J. E. Kutzbach, R. Jacob, C. Prentice

2011-12-05T23:59:59.000Z

68

NOAA Science Advisory Board Environmental Information Services Working Group (EISWG) TERMS OF REFERENCE Background  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

In 2003 the National Research Council (NRC) conducted a study of the interaction of the various sectors of the weather and climate enterprise on behalf of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA). This study was entitled “Fair Weather: Effective Partnerships in Weather and Climate Services ” (Fair Weather Report) and it examined the roles and provided recommendations regarding the partnerships among three sectors, public, private, and academic. The NRC specifically recommended: “The NWS [National Weather Service] should establish an independent advisory committee to provide ongoing advice to it on weather and climate matters…” In 2004, NOAA issued its “Policy on Partnerships in the Provision of Environmental Information, ” which applied to provision of all NOAA environmental information services, with the intent to improve the effectiveness of the “environmental information enterprise ” composed of partnerships among public, private, and academic sectors, and defined NOAA’s responsibility to foster growth of the environmental information enterprise. After undergoing critical review, the Policy was ultimately revised in January 2006 to clarify NOAA’s recognition of the private sector; this clarification also

unknown authors

2009-01-01T23:59:59.000Z

69

Climate Change Policies for the XXIst Century: Mechanisms, Predictions and Recommendations  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

Recent experimental works demonstrated that the Anthropogenic Global Warming (AGW) hypothesis, embodied in a series of Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) global climate models, is erroneous. These works prove that atmospheric carbon dioxide contributes only very moderately to the observed warming, and that there is no climatic catastrophe in the making, independent on whether or not carbon dioxide emissions will be reduced. In view of these developments, we discuss climate predictions for the XXIst century. Based on the solar activity tendencies, a new Little Ice Age is predicted by the middle of this century, with significantly lower global temperatures. We also show that IPCC climate models can't produce any information regarding future climate, due to essential physical phenomena lacking in those, and that the current budget deficit in many EU countries is mainly caused by the policies promoting renewable energies and other AGW-motivated measures. In absence of any predictable adverse climate...

Khmelinskii, Igor

2011-01-01T23:59:59.000Z

70

Improving Seasonal Predictions of Climate Variability and Water Availability at the Catchment Scale  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

In a water-stressed region, such as the southwestern United States, it is essential to improve current seasonal hydroclimatic predictions. Typically, seasonal hydroclimatic predictions have been conditioned by standard climate indices, for ...

Matthew B. Switanek; Peter A. Troch; Christopher L. Castro

2009-12-01T23:59:59.000Z

71

Predictability of SST in a Stochastic Climate Model and Its Application to the Kuroshio Extension Region  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

The influence of deterministic forcing on SST predictability is investigated in a zero-dimensional, stochastic, coupled atmosphere–ocean climate model. The SST anomaly predictability time is found to be very sensitive to the properties of the ...

Robert B. Scott; Bo Qiu

2003-01-01T23:59:59.000Z

72

Long-Lead Seasonal Temperature Prediction Using Optimal Climate Normals  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

This study is intended to determine the spatially varying optimal time periods for calculating seasonal climate normals over the entire United States based on temperature data at 344 United States climate divisions during the period of 1931–1993. ...

Jin Huang; Huug M. van den Dool; Anthony G. Barnston

1996-04-01T23:59:59.000Z

73

A Demonstration of Long-Term Memory and Climate Predictability  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

Climate forecast skills are evaluated for surface temperature time series at grid points of a millennium control simulation from a state-of-the-art global circulation model [ECHAM5–Max Planck Institute Ocean Model (MPI-OM)]. First, climate ...

Xiuhua Zhu; Klaus Fraedrich; Zhengyu Liu; Richard Blender

2010-09-01T23:59:59.000Z

74

The Operational Implementation of a Great Lakes Wave Forecasting System at NOAA/NCEP  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

The development of a Great Lakes wave forecasting system at NOAA’s National Centers for Environmental Prediction (NCEP) is described. The system is an implementation of the WAVEWATCH III model, forced with atmospheric data from NCEP’s regional WRF ...

Jose-Henrique G. M. Alves; Arun Chawla; Hendrik L. Tolman; David Schwab; Gregory Lang; Greg Mann

75

A Study of Impacts of Coupled Model Initial Shocks and State–Parameter Optimization on Climate Predictions Using a Simple Pycnocline Prediction Model  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

A skillful decadal prediction that foretells varying regional climate conditions over seasonal–interannual to multidecadal time scales is of societal significance. However, predictions initialized from the climate-observing system tend to drift ...

S. Zhang

2011-12-01T23:59:59.000Z

76

The Case for a New NOAA Charter  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) is not adequately equipped to meet the needs of the future for research, services, and information relating to the natural environment. A restructuring of NOAA is called for, which would ...

Robert G. Fleagle

1987-11-01T23:59:59.000Z

77

The NOAA Products Validation System (NPROVS)  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

The following report summarizes the NOAA Products Validation System (NPROVS), operated at the NOAA National Environmental Satellite, Data, and Information Service (NESDIS) Center for Satellite Applications and Research (STAR). NPROVS provides ...

Tony Reale; Bomin Sun; Franklin H. Tilley; Michael Pettey

2012-05-01T23:59:59.000Z

78

NOAA Watch Web Widgets | Data.gov  

NLE Websites -- All DOE Office Websites (Extended Search)

NOAA Watch Web Widgets Safety DataTools Apps Challenges Resources Blogs Let's Talk Safety You are here Data.gov Communities Safety Data NOAA Watch Web Widgets Dataset...

79

Is Science Fiction a Genre for Communicating Scientific Research? A Case Study in Climate Prediction  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

No Abstract available. Read Tim Palmer's sci-fi story about climate prediction, "Sunrise," in the BAMS Web archive at doi:10.1175/2010BAMS3187.2.

T. N. Palmer

2010-10-01T23:59:59.000Z

80

Decadal Climate Variability over the North Pacific and North America: Dynamics and Predictability  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

The dynamics and predictability of decadal climate variability over the North Pacific and North America are investigated by analyzing various observational datasets and the output of a state of the art coupled ocean–atmosphere general circulation ...

M. Latif; T. P. Barnett

1996-10-01T23:59:59.000Z

Note: This page contains sample records for the topic "noaa climate prediction" from the National Library of EnergyBeta (NLEBeta).
While these samples are representative of the content of NLEBeta,
they are not comprehensive nor are they the most current set.
We encourage you to perform a real-time search of NLEBeta
to obtain the most current and comprehensive results.


81

Prediction of Rice Production in the Philippines Using Seasonal Climate Forecasts  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

Predictive skills of retrospective seasonal climate forecasts (hindcasts) tailored to Philippine rice production data at national, regional, and provincial levels are investigated using precipitation hindcasts from one uncoupled general ...

Naohisa Koide; Andrew W. Robertson; Amor V. M. Ines; Jian-Hua Qian; David G. DeWitt; Anthony Lucero

2013-03-01T23:59:59.000Z

82

Simulations and Seasonal Prediction of the Asian Summer Monsoon in the NCEP Climate Forecast System  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

Analysis of the retrospective ensemble predictions (hindcasts) of the NCEP Climate Forecast System (CFS) indicates that the model successfully simulates many major features of the Asian summer monsoon including the climatology and interannual ...

Song Yang; Zuqiang Zhang; Vernon E. Kousky; R. Wayne Higgins; Soo-Hyun Yoo; Jianyin Liang; Yun Fan

2008-08-01T23:59:59.000Z

83

Collaboration of the Weather and Climate Communities to Advance Subseasonal-to-Seasonal Prediction  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

The World Weather Research Programme (WWRP) and the World Climate Research Programme (WCRP) have identified collaborations and scientific priorities to accelerate advances in analysis and prediction at subseasonal-to-seasonal time scales, which include i) ...

Gilbert Brunet; Melvyn Shapiro; Brian Hoskins; Mitch Moncrieff; Randall Dole; George N. Kiladis; Ben Kirtman; Andrew Lorenc; Brian Mills; Rebecca Morss; Saroja Polavarapu; David Rogers; John Schaake; Jagadish Shukla

2010-10-01T23:59:59.000Z

84

Coupled Variability and Predictability in a Stochastic Climate Model of the Tropical Atlantic  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

The coupled variability and predictability of the tropical Atlantic ocean–atmosphere system were analyzed within the framework of a linear stochastic climate model. Despite the existence of a meridional dipole as the leading mode, tropical ...

Faming Wang; Ping Chang

2008-12-01T23:59:59.000Z

85

Diagnostic Verification of the Climate Prediction Center Long-Lead Outlooks, 1995–98  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

The performance of the Climate Prediction Center’s long-lead forecasts for the period 1995–98 is assessed through a diagnostic verification, which involves examination of the full joint frequency distributions of the forecasts and the ...

D. S. Wilks

2000-07-01T23:59:59.000Z

86

Improving Farmers’ Perception and Use of Climate Predictions in Farming Decisions: A Transition Model  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

Despite tremendous efforts to improve weather and climate predictions and to inform farmers about the use of such weather products, farmers’ attitudes toward forecast use remain poor and farmer use of forecasts has not increased. This paper ...

Lisa M. PytlikZillig; Qi Hu; Kenneth G. Hubbard; Gary D. Lynne; Roger H. Bruning

2010-06-01T23:59:59.000Z

87

Application of Scale-Selective Data Assimilation to Regional Climate Modeling and Prediction  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

A method referred to as scale-selective data assimilation (SSDA) is designed to inject the large-scale components of the atmospheric circulation from a global model into a regional model to improve regional climate simulations and predictions. ...

Shiqiu Peng; Lian Xie; Bin Liu; Fredrick Semazzi

2010-04-01T23:59:59.000Z

88

A Review of Predictability Studies of Atlantic Sector Climate on Decadal Time Scales  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

This review paper discusses the physical basis and the potential for decadal climate predictability over the Atlantic and its adjacent land areas. Many observational and modeling studies describe pronounced decadal and multidecadal variability in ...

M. Latif; M. Collins; H. Pohlmann; N. Keenlyside

2006-12-01T23:59:59.000Z

89

A Local Forecast of Land Surface Wetness Conditions Derived from Seasonal Climate Predictions  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

An ensemble local hydrologic forecast derived from the seasonal forecasts of the International Research Institute for Climate Prediction (IRI) is presented. Three-month seasonal forecasts were used to resample historical meteorological conditions ...

Jeffrey Shaman; Marc Stieglitz; Stephen Zebiak; Mark Cane

2003-06-01T23:59:59.000Z

90

Climate Change Policies for the XXIst Century: Mechanisms, Predictions and Recommendations  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

Recent experimental works demonstrated that the Anthropogenic Global Warming (AGW) hypothesis, embodied in a series of Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) global climate models, is erroneous. These works prove that atmospheric carbon dioxide contributes only very moderately to the observed warming, and that there is no climatic catastrophe in the making, independent on whether or not carbon dioxide emissions will be reduced. In view of these developments, we discuss climate predictions for the XXIst century. Based on the solar activity tendencies, a new Little Ice Age is predicted by the middle of this century, with significantly lower global temperatures. We also show that IPCC climate models can't produce any information regarding future climate, due to essential physical phenomena lacking in those, and that the current budget deficit in many EU countries is mainly caused by the policies promoting renewable energies and other AGW-motivated measures. In absence of any predictable adverse climate consequences of carbon dioxide emissions, and with no predictable shortage of fossil fuels, we argue for recalling of all policies aimed at reducing carbon dioxide emissions and usage of expensive renewable energy sources. The concepts of carbon credits, green energy and green fuels should be abandoned in favor of productive, economically viable and morally acceptable solutions.

Igor Khmelinskii; Peter Stallinga

2011-05-30T23:59:59.000Z

91

Dynamic Downscaling of Seasonal Climate Predictions over Brazil  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

Climate projections for March–April–May (MAM) 1985 and 1997 made with the NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies (GISS) GCM over South America on a 4° latitude by 5° longitude grid are “downscaled” to 0.5° grid spacing. This is accomplished by ...

Leonard M. Druyan; Matthew Fulakeza; Patrick Lonergan

2002-12-01T23:59:59.000Z

92

NOAA's Environmental Response Management Application (ERMA),...  

NLE Websites -- All DOE Office Websites (Extended Search)

Energy Ethics Health Law Manufacturing Ocean Research Safety States Supply Chain NOAA's Environmental Response Management Application (ERMA), Atlantic Ocean Data Tools Technical...

93

NWX-NOAA USEC & ADMIN OFFICES Moderator: Linda Belton  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

NWX-NOAA USEC & ADMIN OFFICES Moderator: Linda Belton 08-13-13/2:00 pm CT Confirmation # 1496113-NOAA USEC & ADMIN OFFICES Moderator: Linda Belton August 13, 2013 2:00 pm CT Coordinator: Welcome and thank with the Department of Commerce. Administrative NOAA has assigned NOAA's Office of Legislative #12;NWX-NOAA USEC

94

Science for Solutions NOAA COASTALOCEAN PROGRAM  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

Science for Solutions NOAA COASTALOCEAN PROGRAM Decision Analysis Series No. 14 NUTRIENT ENHANCED been established by NOAAYsCoastal Ocean Program (COP) to present documents that contain analytical Analysis Series, please write: NOAA National Centers for Coastal Ocean Science Coastal Ocean Program (NCOP

95

Bayesian methods for discontinuity detection in climate model predictions.  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

Discontinuity detection is an important component in many fields: Image recognition, Digital signal processing, and Climate change research. Current methods shortcomings are: Restricted to one- or two-dimensional setting, Require uniformly spaced and/or dense input data, and Give deterministic answers without quantifying the uncertainty. Spectral methods for Uncertainty Quantification with global, smooth bases are challenged by discontinuities in model simulation results. Domain decomposition reduces the impact of nonlinearities and discontinuities. However, while gaining more smoothness in each subdomain, the current domain refinement methods require prohibitively many simulations. Therefore, detecting discontinuities up front and refining accordingly provides huge improvement to the current methodologies.

Safta, Cosmin; Debusschere, Bert J.; Najm, Habib N.; Sargsyan, Khachik

2010-06-01T23:59:59.000Z

96

Nonlinear softening as a predictive precursor to climate tipping  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

Approaching a dangerous bifurcation, from which a dynamical system such as the Earth's climate will jump (tip) to a different state, the current stable state lies within a shrinking basin of attraction. Persistence of the state becomes increasingly precarious in the presence of noisy disturbances. We consider an underlying potential, as defined theoretically for a saddle-node fold and (via averaging) for a Hopf bifurcation. Close to a stable state, this potential has a parabolic form; but approaching a jump it becomes increasingly dominated by softening nonlinearities. If we have already detected a decrease in the linear decay rate, nonlinear information allows us to estimate the propensity for early tipping due to noise. We argue that one needs to extract information about the nonlinear features (a "softening") of the underlying potential from the time series to judge the probability and timing of tipping. This analysis is the logical next step if one has detected a decrease of the linear decay rate. If there is no discernable trend in the linear analysis, nonlinear softening is even more important in showing the proximity to tipping. After extensive normal form calibration studies, we check two geological time series from paleo-climate tipping events for softening of the underlying well. For the ending of the last ice age, where we find no convincing linear precursor, we identify a statistically significant nonlinear softening towards increasing temperature. The analysis has thus successfully detected a warning of the imminent tipping event.

Jan Sieber; J. Michael T. Thompson

2011-03-15T23:59:59.000Z

97

Climate  

NLE Websites -- All DOE Office Websites (Extended Search)

Climate simulation map Climate Global climate change processes and impacts research in EETD is aimed at understanding the factors-and the feedbacks among these factors-driving...

98

Prediction Skill and Bias of Tropical Pacific Sea Surface Temperatures in the NCEP Climate Forecast System Version 2  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

The prediction skill and bias of tropical Pacific sea surface temperature (SST) in the retrospective forecasts of the Climate Forecast System, version 2 (CFSv2), of the National Centers for Environmental Prediction were examined. The CFSv2 was ...

Yan Xue; Mingyue Chen; Arun Kumar; Zeng-Zhen Hu; Wanqiu Wang

2013-08-01T23:59:59.000Z

99

Predictability of SST in an Idealized, One-Dimensional, Coupled Atmosphere–Ocean Climate Model with Stochastic Forcing and Advection  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

The predictability of sea surface temperature (SST) is examined through analysis of an idealized, one-dimensional, stochastically forced climate model. The influence on SST predictability of including advection by a constant mean current is ...

Robert B. Scott

2003-01-01T23:59:59.000Z

100

NOMADS: A Climate and Weather Model Archive at the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

An online archive of real-time and historical weather and climate model output and observationaldata is now available from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA). This archive, known asthe NOAA National Operational Model ...

Glenn K. Rutledge; Jordan Alpert; Wesley Ebisuzaki

2006-03-01T23:59:59.000Z

Note: This page contains sample records for the topic "noaa climate prediction" from the National Library of EnergyBeta (NLEBeta).
While these samples are representative of the content of NLEBeta,
they are not comprehensive nor are they the most current set.
We encourage you to perform a real-time search of NLEBeta
to obtain the most current and comprehensive results.


101

Unified Modeling and Prediction of Weather and Climate: A 25-Year Journey  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

In recent years there has been a growing appreciation of the potential advantages of using a seamless approach to weather and climate prediction. However, what exactly should this mean in practice? To help address this question, we document some of the ...

Andrew Brown; Sean Milton; Mike Cullen; Brian Golding; John Mitchell; Ann Shelly

2012-12-01T23:59:59.000Z

102

The Indian Ocean: The Region of Highest Skill Worldwide in Decadal Climate Prediction  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

The Indian Ocean stands out as the region where the state-of-the-art decadal climate predictions of sea surface temperature (SST) perform the best worldwide for forecast times ranging from the second to the ninth year, according to correlation and ...

Virginie Guemas; Susanna Corti; J. García-Serrano; F. J. Doblas-Reyes; Magdalena Balmaseda; Linus Magnusson

2013-02-01T23:59:59.000Z

103

Seasonal-to-Decadal Predictability and Prediction of North American Climate—The Atlantic Influence  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

The question of the impact of the Atlantic on North American (NA) seasonal prediction skill and predictability is examined. Basic material is collected from the literature, a review of seasonal forecast procedures in Canada and the United States, ...

H. M. Van den Dool; Peitao Peng; Åke Johansson; Muthuvel Chelliah; Amir Shabbar; Suranjana Saha

2006-12-01T23:59:59.000Z

104

NWX-NOAA-USEC & ADMIN OFFICES Moderator: Linda Belton  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

NWX-NOAA-USEC & ADMIN OFFICES Moderator: Linda Belton 07-17-13/2:00 pm CT Confirmation #1496093 for Government-to-Government Consultation with Federally Recognized Indian Tribes and Alaska Natives." NWX-NOAA-USEC and Intergovernmental Affairs, and most recently I've been appointed NOAA's Tribal Liaison. #12;NWX-NOAA-USEC & ADMIN

105

climate | OpenEI  

Open Energy Info (EERE)

climate climate Dataset Summary Description The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's (NOAA) National Environmental Satellite, Data, and Information Services (NESDIS), in conjunction with the National Climatic Data Center (NCDC) publish monthly and annual climate data by state for the U.S., including, cooling degree days (total number of days per month and per year). The average values for each state are weighted by population, using 2000 Census data. The base temperature for this dataset is 65 degrees F. Source NOAA Date Released Unknown Date Updated June 24th, 2005 (9 years ago) Keywords climate cooling degree days NOAA Data application/vnd.ms-excel icon hcs_51_avg_cdd.xls (xls, 215.6 KiB) Quality Metrics Level of Review Some Review Comment Temporal and Spatial Coverage

106

End-to-End Network Tuning Sends Data Screaming from NERSC to NOAA  

NLE Websites -- All DOE Office Websites (Extended Search)

End-to-End Network End-to-End Network Tuning Sends Data Screaming from NERSC to NOAA End-to-End Network Tuning Sends Data Screaming from NERSC to NOAA September 21, 2012 | Tags: Climate Research Jon Bashor, Jbashor@lbl.gov, +1 510 486 5849 reforecast.gif (a) 24 hour observed precipitation amounts for 9 January 1995; (b) Average 1-day precipitation forecasts; (c) Today's forecast calibrated with old reforecasts and precipitation analyses. (Click image to enlarge.) Image coutesy of NOAA's Earth Systems Research Laboratory. When it comes to moving large datasets between DOE's National Energy Research Scientific Computing Center and his home institution in Boulder, Colo., Gary Bates is no slouch. As an associate scientist in the Earth System Research Lab of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration

107

Extension of the Climate Prediction Center Long-Lead Temperature and Precipitation Outlooks to General Weather Statistics  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

The long-lead monthly and seasonal forecasts issued by the Climate Prediction Center literally pertain only to average temperature and total precipitation outcomes, but implicitly contain information regarding other quantities that are correlated ...

W. M. Briggs; D. S. Wilks

1996-12-01T23:59:59.000Z

108

A Knowledge-Based System for the Diagnosis and Prediction of Short-Term Climatic Changes in the North Atlantic  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

Understanding and predicting climate change is the key problem in climatology. The most well-accepted current approach to this problem involves the development of general circulation models(GCMs).This approach is based on modeling fundamental ...

Sergei Rodionov; James H. Martin

1996-08-01T23:59:59.000Z

109

Climate Literacy Framework  

NLE Websites -- All DOE Office Websites (Extended Search)

Climate Literacy Framework Print E-mail Climate Literacy Framework Print E-mail A Guide for Individuals and Communities The Essential Principles of Climate Science presents important information for individuals and communities to understand Earth's climate, impacts of climate change, and approaches for adapting and mitigating change. Principles in the guide can serve as discussion starters or launching points for scientific inquiry. The guide can also serve educators who teach climate science as part of their science curricula. Development of the guide began at a workshop sponsored by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) and the American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS). Multiple science agencies, non-governmental organizations, and numerous individuals also contributed through extensive review and comment periods. Discussion at the National Science Foundation (NSF) and NOAA-sponsored Atmospheric Sciences and Climate Literacy workshop contributed substantially to the refinement of the document.

110

The NOAA-National Geographic Society Waterspout Expedition (1993)  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

This paper describes afield program conducted by NOAA and the National Geographic Society in late August 1993 near Key West, Florida. The mission of the expedition was to obtain close-up photographic documentation of waterspouts. Using a NOAA ...

Joseph H. Golden; Howard B. Bluestein

1994-12-01T23:59:59.000Z

111

Toward Seamless Prediction: Calibration of Climate Change Projections Using Seasonal Forecasts  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

Trustworthy probabilistic projections of regional climate are essential for society to plan for future climate change, and yet, by the nonlinear nature of climate, finite computational models of climate are inherently deficient in their ability ...

T. N. Palmer; F. J. Doblas-Reyes; A. Weisheimer; M. J. Rodwell

2008-04-01T23:59:59.000Z

112

U.S. Climate Reference Network Soil Moisture and Temperature Observations  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

The U.S. Climate Reference Network (USCRN) is a network of climate-monitoring stations maintained and operated by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) to provide climate-science-quality measurements of air temperature and ...

Jesse E. Bell; Michael A. Palecki; C. Bruce Baker; William G. Collins; Jay H. Lawrimore; Ronald D. Leeper; Mark E. Hall; John Kochendorfer; Tilden P. Meyers; Tim Wilson; Howard J. Diamond

2013-06-01T23:59:59.000Z

113

Description and Results of the 2003 NIST/NOAA ...  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

... the NOAA Marine Mammal Health and Stranding Response Program (MMHSRP), NIST conducts interlaboratory comparison activities to include ...

2012-10-04T23:59:59.000Z

114

Development, implementation, and skill assessment of the NOAA/NOS Great Lakes Operational Forecast System  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

Development, implementation, and skill assessment of the NOAA/NOS Great Lakes Operational Forecast Lakes Operational Forecast System (GLOFS) uses near-real-time atmospheric observa- tions and numerical weather prediction forecast guidance to produce three-dimensional forecasts of water temperature

115

Increasing NOAA's computational capacity to improve global forecast modeling  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

1 Increasing NOAA's computational capacity to improve global forecast modeling A NOAA of the NWS's forecast products, even its regional forecast products, are constrained by the limitations of NOAA's global forecast model. Unfortunately, our global forecasts are less accurate than those from

Hamill, Tom

116

Visualizing Spatial Heterogeneity of Western U.S. Climate Variability  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

Monthly climatologies (1971–2000 monthly averages) for stations in the western United States, obtained from the NOAA/National Climatic Data Center (NCDC), are used to illustrate the spatial variations in the annual cycle of climate. Animated map ...

Jacqueline J. Shinker

2010-10-01T23:59:59.000Z

117

NOAA aeronomy laboratory quadrennial report, 1989-1992: A summary of the past four years and a look ahead  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

The NOAA Aeronomy Laboratory Quadrennial Report for 1989-1992 is presented. Atmospheric science issues of concern to the Laboratory are discussed. Research conducted by the Laboratory from 1989 to 1992 is described. Research efforts focused on ozone chemistry in the troposphere, the stratospheric ozone layer, and greenhouse gases and climatic change.

Not Available

1993-02-01T23:59:59.000Z

118

Hierarchical Classifier-Regression Ensemble for Multi-phase Non-linear Dynamic System Response Prediction: Application to Climate Analysis  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

A dynamic physical system often undergoes phase transitions in response to fluctuations induced on system parameters. For example, hurricane activity is the climate system's response initiated by a liquid-vapor phase transition associated with non-linearly ... Keywords: Anomaly detection, Rainfall prediction, Tropical cyclone prediction, spatio-temporal data mining, regression, classification

Doel L. Gonzalez, Zhengzhang Chen, Isaac K. Tetteh, Tatdow Pansombut, Fredrick Semazzi, Vipin Kumar, Anatoli Melechko, Nagiza F. Samatova

2012-12-01T23:59:59.000Z

119

Long-Term Predictions of Global Climate Using the Ocean Conveyor  

SciTech Connect

Many have attributed the Great Ocean Conveyor as a major driver of global climate change over millennia as well as a possible explanation for shorter (multidecadal) oscillations. The conveyor is thought to have a cycle time on the order of 1000 years, however recent research has suggested that it is much faster than previously believed (about 100 years). A faster conveyor leads to the possibility of the conveyor's role in even shorter oscillations such as the El Nino/Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO). The conveyor is primarily density driven. In this study the salty outflow of the Red Sea is used to predict its behavior ten years into the future. A successful model could lead to a long-term prediction (ten years) of El Ninos, Atlantic hurricane season intensity, as well as global temperature and precipitation patterns.

Ray, P.; Wilson, J.R.

2003-01-01T23:59:59.000Z

120

The First Pan-WCRP Workshop on Monsoon Climate Systems: Toward Better Prediction of the Monsoons  

SciTech Connect

In 2004 the Joint Scientific Committee (JSC) that provides scientific guidance to the World Climate Research Programme (WCRP) requested an assessment of (1) WCRP monsoon related activities and (2) the range of available observations and analyses in monsoon regions. The purpose of the assessment was to (a) define the essential elements of a pan-WCRP monsoon modeling strategy, (b) identify the procedures for producing this strategy, and (c) promote improvements in monsoon observations and analyses with a view toward their adequacy, and addressing any undue redundancy or duplication. As such, the WCRP sponsored the ''1st Pan-WCRP Workshop on Monsoon Climate Systems: Toward Better Prediction of the Monsoons'' at the University of California, Irvine, CA, USA from 15-17 June 2005. Experts from the two WCRP programs directly relevant to monsoon studies, the Climate Variability and Predictability Programme (CLIVAR) and the Global Energy and Water Cycle Experiment (GEWEX), gathered to assess the current understanding of the fundamental physical processes governing monsoon variability and to highlight outstanding problems in simulating the monsoon that can be tackled through enhanced cooperation between CLIVAR and GEWEX. The agenda with links to the presentations can be found at: http://www.clivar.org/organization/aamon/WCRPmonsoonWS/agenda.htm. Scientific motivation for a joint CLIVAR-GEWEX approach to investigating monsoons includes the potential for improved medium-range to seasonal prediction through better simulation of intraseasonal (30-60 day) oscillations (ISO's). ISO's are important for the onset of monsoons, as well as the development of active and break periods of rainfall during the monsoon season. Foreknowledge of the active and break phases of the monsoon is important for crop selection, the determination of planting times and mitigation of potential flooding and short-term drought. With a few exceptions simulations of ISO are typically poor in all classes of modeling. Observational and modeling studies indicate that the diurnal cycle of radiative heating and surface fluxes over the ocean are rectified on to the intraseasonal timescale indicating that a synergistic approach to studying monsoon variability is necessary. The diurnal cycle of precipitation and clouds, which directly influence the radiative heating and surface fluxes, are also poorly represented in global models, especially. Thus, it is anticipated that improving the simulation of the diurnal cycle of precipitation and clouds in global models will contribute to an improved ability to simulate ISOs. Improved understanding and simulation of the diurnal cycle is also important since it influences low-levels jets and the associated transport of moisture as well as the rainfall over regions of complex topography.

Sperber, K R; Yasunari, T

2005-07-27T23:59:59.000Z

Note: This page contains sample records for the topic "noaa climate prediction" from the National Library of EnergyBeta (NLEBeta).
While these samples are representative of the content of NLEBeta,
they are not comprehensive nor are they the most current set.
We encourage you to perform a real-time search of NLEBeta
to obtain the most current and comprehensive results.


121

NOAA Climate Service Press Call Moderator: Christopher Vaccaro  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

billion for developing clean energy which is part of the Recovery Act passed by the congress a year ago. The Presidents 2011 budget has significant tax incentives and credits to spur energy innovation.

122

NOAA-OakRidgeExpandClimate ORNL,GECollaborateonHigh-  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

.artis@urs.com Shaw AREVA MOX Services, LLC Savannah River Site, Building 706-5F Office 221; P.O. Box 7097 Aiken, SC

123

Decadal Prediction  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

A new field of study, “decadal prediction,” is emerging in climate science. Decadal prediction lies between seasonal/interannual forecasting and longer-term climate change projections, and focuses on time-evolving regional climate conditions over ...

Gerald A. Meehl; Lisa Goddard; James Murphy; Ronald J. Stouffer; George Boer; Gokhan Danabasoglu; Keith Dixon; Marco A. Giorgetta; Arthur M. Greene; Ed Hawkins; Gabriele Hegerl; David Karoly; Noel Keenlyside; Masahide Kimoto; Ben Kirtman; Antonio Navarra; Roger Pulwarty; Doug Smith; Detlef Stammer; Timothy Stockdale

2009-10-01T23:59:59.000Z

124

Improvement of Multimodel Ensemble Seasonal Prediction Skills over East Asian Summer Monsoon Region Using a Climate Filter Concept  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

The authors propose the use of a “climate filter” concept to enhance prediction skill of a multimodel ensemble (MME) suite for the East Asian summer monsoon (EASM) precipitation and temperature at 850 hPa. The method envisages grading models on ...

Doo Young Lee; Joong-Bae Ahn; Karumuri Ashok

2013-05-01T23:59:59.000Z

125

Predicting the effects of climate change on bluefin tuna (Thunnus thynnus) spawning habitat in the Gulf of Mexico  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

Predicting the effects of climate change on bluefin tuna (Thunnus thynnus) spawning habitat tuna (Thunnus thynnus) spawning habitat in the Gulf of Mexico. ­ ICES Journal of Marine Science, doi:10.1093/icesjms/fsr008. Received 1 July 2010; accepted 6 January 2011. Atlantic bluefin tuna (BFT) is a highly

126

Prediction of Seasonal Climate in a Low-Dimensional Phase Space Derived from the Observed SST Forcing  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

A methodology is presented to make an optimal use of the global SST for the prediction of seasonal climates. First, the space–time extended principal component analysis was applied to the key SST forcing regions, such as the tropical Pacific and ...

Risheng Wang

2001-01-01T23:59:59.000Z

127

Monitoring and Prediction of the Earth’s Climate: A Future Perspective  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

The climate is changing because of human activities and will continue to do so regardless of any mitigation actions. Available climate observations and information are also changing as technological advances take place. Accordingly, an overview ...

Kevin E. Trenberth; Berrien Moore; Thomas R. Karl; Carlos Nobre

2006-10-01T23:59:59.000Z

128

Consistency in Global Climate Change Model Predictions of Regional Precipitation Trends  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

Projections of human-induced climate change impacts arising from the emission of atmospheric chemical constituents such as carbon dioxide typically utilize multiple integrations (or ensembles) of numerous numerical climate change models to arrive ...

Bruce T. Anderson; Catherine Reifen; Ralf Toumi

2009-09-01T23:59:59.000Z

129

Evidence of Decadal Climate Prediction Skill Resulting from Changes in Anthropogenic Forcing  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

It is argued that simulations of the twentieth century performed with coupled global climate models with specified historical changes in external radiative forcing can be interpreted as climate hindcasts. A simple Bayesian method for ...

Terry C. K. Lee; Francis W. Zwiers; Xuebin Zhang; Min Tsao

2006-10-01T23:59:59.000Z

130

Long-range Weather Prediction and Prevention of Climate Catastrophes: A Status Report  

DOE R&D Accomplishments (OSTI)

As the human population of Earth continues to expand and to demand an ever-higher quality-of-life, requirements for ever-greater knowledge--and then control--of the future of the state of the terrestrial biosphere grow apace. Convenience of living--and, indeed, reliability of life itself--become ever more highly ''tuned'' to the future physical condition of the biosphere being knowable and not markedly different than the present one. Two years ago, we reported at a quantitative albeit conceptual level on technical ways-and-means of forestalling large-scale changes in the present climate, employing practical means of modulating insolation and/or the Earth's mean albedo. Last year, we reported on early work aimed at developing means for creating detailed, high-fidelity, all-Earth weather forecasts of two weeks duration, exploiting recent and anticipated advances in extremely high-performance digital computing and in atmosphere-observing Earth satellites bearing high-technology instrumentation. This year, we report on recent progress in both of these areas of endeavor. Preventing the commencement of large-scale changes in the current climate presently appears to be a considerably more interesting prospect than initially realized, as modest insolation reductions are model-predicted to offset the anticipated impacts of ''global warming'' surprisingly precisely, in both space and time. Also, continued study has not revealed any fundamental difficulties in any of the means proposed for insolation modulation and, indeed, applicability of some of these techniques to other planets in the inner Solar system seems promising. Implementation of the high-fidelity, long-range weather-forecasting capability presently appears substantially easier with respect to required populations of Earth satellites and atmospheric transponders and data-processing systems, and more complicated with respect to transponder lifetimes in the actual atmosphere; overall, the enterprise seems more technically feasible than originally anticipated.

Caldeira, K.; Caravan, G.; Govindasamy, B.; Grossman, A.; Hyde, R.; Ishikawa, M.; Ledebuhr, A.; Leith, C.; Molenkamp, C.; Teller, E.; Wood, L.

1999-08-18T23:59:59.000Z

131

Poster: INPRESS: indoor climate prediction and evaluation system for energy efficiency using sensor networks  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

Modern buildings include an indoor climate control system, installed and operated to maintain a comfortable environment for the building occupants. However, these climate control systems consume a significant amount of energy due to an inefficient control ... Keywords: energy efficiency, indoor climate, sensor network

Jae Yoon Chong; Jinwook Baek; Sukun Kim

2011-11-01T23:59:59.000Z

132

The GFDL CM3 Coupled Climate Model: Characteristics of the Ocean and Sea Ice Simulations  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

This paper documents time mean simulation characteristics from the ocean and sea ice components in a new coupled climate model developed at the NOAA Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory (GFDL). The GFDL Climate Model version 3 (CM3) is formulated ...

Stephen M. Griffies; Michael Winton; Leo J. Donner; Larry W. Horowitz; Stephanie M. Downes; Riccardo Farneti; Anand Gnanadesikan; William J. Hurlin; Hyun-Chul Lee; Zhi Liang; Jaime B. Palter; Bonita L. Samuels; Andrew T. Wittenberg; Bruce L. Wyman; Jianjun Yin; Niki Zadeh

2011-07-01T23:59:59.000Z

133

U.S. Climate Reference Network after One Decade of Operations: Status and Assessment  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

The year 2012 marks a decade of observations undertaken by the U.S. Climate Reference Network (USCRN) under the auspices of NOAA's National Climatic Data Center and Atmospheric Turbulence and Diffusion Division. The network consists of 114 sites across ...

Howard J. Diamond; Thomas R. Karl; Michael A. Palecki; C. Bruce Baker; Jesse E. Bell; Ronald D. Leeper; David R. Easterling; Jay H. Lawrimore; Tilden P. Meyers; Michael R. Helfert; Grant Goodge; Peter W. Thorne

2013-04-01T23:59:59.000Z

134

GFDL's CM2 Global Coupled Climate Models. Part I: Formulation and Simulation Characteristics  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

The formulation and simulation characteristics of two new global coupled climate models developed at NOAA's Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory (GFDL) are described. The models were designed to simulate atmospheric and oceanic climate and ...

Thomas L. Delworth; Anthony J. Broccoli; Anthony Rosati; Ronald J. Stouffer; V. Balaji; John A. Beesley; William F. Cooke; Keith W. Dixon; John Dunne; K. A. Dunne; Jeffrey W. Durachta; Kirsten L. Findell; Paul Ginoux; Anand Gnanadesikan; C. T. Gordon; Stephen M. Griffies; Rich Gudgel; Matthew J. Harrison; Isaac M. Held; Richard S. Hemler; Larry W. Horowitz; Stephen A. Klein; Thomas R. Knutson; Paul J. Kushner; Amy R. Langenhorst; Hyun-Chul Lee; Shian-Jiann Lin; Jian Lu; Sergey L. Malyshev; P. C. D. Milly; V. Ramaswamy; Joellen Russell; M. Daniel Schwarzkopf; Elena Shevliakova; Joseph J. Sirutis; Michael J. Spelman; William F. Stern; Michael Winton; Andrew T. Wittenberg; Bruce Wyman; Fanrong Zeng; Rong Zhang

2006-03-01T23:59:59.000Z

135

ExchangesExchanges Newsletter of the Climate Variability and Predictability Programme (CLIVAR)Newsletter of the Climate Variability and Predictability Programme (CLIVAR)  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

. The goals of the workshop were to review the present understanding of the major modes of variability Corresponding Author: i.renfrew@uea.ac.uk recent SH climate change was reviewed. Measures of the SAM were also to take a look at it. Many thanks indeed to Mike Sparrow who has acted as guest editor and dealt

Quartly, Graham

136

Time Series of Aerosol Column Optical Depth at the Barrow, Alaska, ARM Climate Research Facility for 2008 Fourth Quarter 2009 ARM and Climate Change Prediction Program Metric Report  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

The uncertainties in current estimates of anthropogenic radiative forcing are dominated by the effects of aerosols, both in relation to the direct absorption and scattering of radiation by aerosols and also with respect to aerosol-related changes in cloud formation, longevity, and microphysics (See Figure 1; Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, Assessment Report 4, 2008). Moreover, the Arctic region in particular is especially sensitive to changes in climate with the magnitude of temperature changes (both observed and predicted) being several times larger than global averages (Kaufman et al. 2009). Recent studies confirm that aerosol-cloud interactions in the arctic generate climatologically significant radiative effects equivalent in magnitude to that of green house gases (Lubin and Vogelmann 2006, 2007). The aerosol optical depth is the most immediate representation of the aerosol direct effect and is also important for consideration of aerosol-cloud interactions, and thus this quantity is essential for studies of aerosol radiative forcing.

C Flynn; AS Koontz; JH Mather

2009-09-01T23:59:59.000Z

137

Numerical Extended-Range Prediction: Forecast Skill Using a Low-Resolution Climate Model  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

A pilot study that evaluates the potential forecast skill of winter 10–30-day time-mean flow from a low-resolution (R15) climate simulation model is presented. The hypothesis tested is that low-resolution climate model forecasts might be as ...

David P. Baumhefner

1996-09-01T23:59:59.000Z

138

The Pan-American Climate Studies Sounding Network  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

A research effort primarily involving pilot balloon observations was carried out during the summer of 1997 to study rainfall variability over Central America. This activity, supported by NOAA's Pan American Climate Studies (PACS) program, grew in ...

Michael W. Douglas; Javier Murillo*

2008-11-01T23:59:59.000Z

139

NOAA predicts a near-normal 2012 Atlantic hurricane season ...  

U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA)

Solar › Energy in Brief ... Tropical storms and hurricanes can temporarily disrupt the U.S. oil and natural gas supply chain (producing fields, gathering, ...

140

The Status of the NOAA Outgoing Longwave Radiation Data Set  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) satellites have provided over eight years of observations from which estimates of the earth's total longwave emittance can be derived. Changes in satellite instrumentation, orbit, and ...

Arnold Gruber; Arthur F. Krueger

1984-09-01T23:59:59.000Z

Note: This page contains sample records for the topic "noaa climate prediction" from the National Library of EnergyBeta (NLEBeta).
While these samples are representative of the content of NLEBeta,
they are not comprehensive nor are they the most current set.
We encourage you to perform a real-time search of NLEBeta
to obtain the most current and comprehensive results.


141

Solar Radiation Mapping from NOAA AVHRR Data in Catalonia, Spain  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

A statistical model is presented for the determination of hourly global solar radiation from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration advanced very high resolution radiometer (NOAA AVHRR) satellite data, which provide wide coverage ...

Henry Flores Tovar; Jose M. Baldasano

2001-11-01T23:59:59.000Z

142

Determination of Moisture From NOAA Polar Orbiting Satellite Sounding Radiances  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

A method is presented for deducing lower troposphere moisture fields from radiances measured by the operational polar orbiting NOAA satellites. Statistical evaluation of the technique demonstrates the viability of the approach. A case study with ...

Christopher M. Hayden; William L. Smith; Harold M. Woolf

1981-04-01T23:59:59.000Z

143

NOAA's Sea Surface Temperature Products From Operational Geostationary Satellites  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

NOAA's National Environmental Satellite, Data, and Information Service (NESDIS) has generated sea surface temperature (SST) products from Geostationary Operational Environmental Satellite (GOES)-East (E) and GOES-West (W) on an operational basis ...

Eileen Maturi; Andy Harris; Jon Mittaz; Chris Merchant; Bob Potash; Wen Meng; John Sapper

2008-12-01T23:59:59.000Z

144

Global Vegetation Indices from the NOAA-7 Meteorological Satellite  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

Northern and Southern Hemisphere polar stereographic maps of “vegetation index” are now being produced by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. The maps are derived from visible and near-infrared data from NOAA's operational polar ...

J. D. Tarpley; S. R. Schneider; R. L. Money

1984-03-01T23:59:59.000Z

145

The Science of NOAA's Operational Hydrologic Ensemble Forecast Service  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

NOAA's National Weather Service (NWS) is implementing a short- to long-range Hydrologic Ensemble Forecast Service (HEFS). The HEFS addresses the need to quantify uncertainty in hydrologic forecasts for flood risk management, water supply management, ...

Julie Demargne; Limin Wu; Satish Regonda; James Brown; Haksu Lee; Minxue He; Dong-Jun Seo; Robert Hartman; Henry D. Herr; Mark Fresch; John Schaake; Yuejian Zhu

146

Results of a Joint NOAA/NASA Sounder Simulation Study  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

NOAA and NASA have conducted a joint simulation study to compare the retrieval accuracy of atmospheric temperature profiles and surface skin temperature retrieved from HIRS2, the current operational infrared temperature sounder, and AMTS, a ...

N. Phillips; J. Susskind; L. McMillin

1988-02-01T23:59:59.000Z

147

The Role of the Land Surface Background State in Climate Predictability  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

Skill in ensemble-mean dynamical seasonal climate hindcasts with a coupled land–atmosphere model and specified observed sea surface temperature is compared to that for long multidecade integrations of the same model where the initial conditions ...

Paul A. Dirmeyer

2003-06-01T23:59:59.000Z

148

The Shape of Things to Come: Why Is Climate Change So Predictable?  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

The framework of feedback analysis is used to explore the controls on the shape of the probability distribution of global mean surface temperature response to climate forcing. It is shown that ocean heat uptake, which delays and damps the ...

Marcia B. Baker; Gerard H. Roe

2009-09-01T23:59:59.000Z

149

A Multimodel Study of Parametric Uncertainty in Predictions of Climate Response to Rising Greenhouse Gas Concentrations  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

One tool for studying uncertainties in simulations of future climate is to consider ensembles of general circulation models where parameterizations have been sampled within their physical range of plausibility. This study is about simulations ...

Benjamin M. Sanderson

2011-03-01T23:59:59.000Z

150

Predicted 21st century changes in seasonal extreme precipitation events in the parallel climate model  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

series suitable for extreme event analysis at climate modelother forms of extreme event analysis are not enabled byThe study of extreme events is the analysis of the tails of

Wehner, Michael F.

2004-01-01T23:59:59.000Z

151

Using Clustered Climate Regimes to Analyze and Compare Predictions from Fully Coupled General Circulation Models  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

Changes in Earth’s climate in response to atmospheric greenhouse gas buildup impact the health of terrestrial ecosystems and the hydrologic cycle. The environmental conditions influential to plant and animal life are often mapped as ecoregions, ...

Forrest M. Hoffman; William W. Hargrove Jr.; David J. Erickson III; Robert J. Oglesby

2005-07-01T23:59:59.000Z

152

Modeling land surface processes of the midwestern United States : predicting soil moisture under a warmer climate  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

This dissertation seeks to quantify the response of soil moisture to climate change in the midwestern United States. To assess this response, a dynamic global vegetation model, Integrated Biosphere Simulator, was coupled ...

Winter, Jonathan (Jonathan Mark)

2010-01-01T23:59:59.000Z

153

Evaluating Parameterizations in General Circulation Models: Climate Simulation Meets Weather Prediction  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

To significantly improve the simulation of climate by general circulation models (GCMs), systematic errors in representations of relevant processes must first be identified, and then reduced. This endeavor demands that the GCM parameterizations ...

Thomas J. Phillips; Gerald L. Potter; David L. Williamson; Richard T. Cederwall; James S. Boyle; Michael Fiorino; Justin J. Hnilo; Jerry G. Olson; Shaocheng Xie; J. John Yio

2004-12-01T23:59:59.000Z

154

Joint NOAA, Navy, NASA Hurricane Test Bed Terms of Reference  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

(JHT) to advance the transfer of new research and technology into operational hurricane prediction. The JHT will routinely serve as a conduit between the operational, academic, and research communities. This facility will be located at the National Hurricane Center (NHC) in Miami, FL. Whereas the operational center and associated personnel could be the NHC, the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC, Navy), or the Central Pacific Hurricane Center (CPHC), and NHC will be specified in this document, both for brevity and to acknowledge the current focus of the JHT on that organization. Use of other facilities is possible depending on requirements, workload, and opportunity. II. Mission Statement The mission of the Joint (NOAA, Navy, and NASA) Hurricane Test Bed is to transfer more rapidly and smoothly new technology, research results, and observational advances of the USWRP, its sponsoring agencies, the academic community and other groups into improved tropical cyclone analysis and prediction at operational centers. III. Concept of Operations The JHT is the initial test bed activity funded by the USWRP and is established to accelerate the technology infusion focused on hurricane analysis and prediction. Until all test beds are organized under a national test bed activity, the USWRP Interagency Program Office (IPO) provides coordination and oversight. The USWRP/IPO will facilitate outreach, the proposal process, and interaction with the oversight board, funding, and other tasks common to the test beds. The JHT will work with the USWRP/IPO to accomplish those tasks appropriate for administration of the hurricane test bed. The JHT mission will be accomplished by the following: • assessing scientific breakthroughs and new techniques to identify advanced, realtime, data-analysis techniques, forecast models, and observational systems that have potential for significantly improving the forecast guidance provided to hurricane forecasters; completing tests of the codes, products, and observations in a quasi-operational information technology (IT) environment subject to metrics that mandate good scientific performance while meeting ease-of use criteria and time constraints;

unknown authors

2012-01-01T23:59:59.000Z

155

Statistical surrogate models for prediction of high-consequence climate change.  

SciTech Connect

In safety engineering, performance metrics are defined using probabilistic risk assessments focused on the low-probability, high-consequence tail of the distribution of possible events, as opposed to best estimates based on central tendencies. We frame the climate change problem and its associated risks in a similar manner. To properly explore the tails of the distribution requires extensive sampling, which is not possible with existing coupled atmospheric models due to the high computational cost of each simulation. We therefore propose the use of specialized statistical surrogate models (SSMs) for the purpose of exploring the probability law of various climate variables of interest. A SSM is different than a deterministic surrogate model in that it represents each climate variable of interest as a space/time random field. The SSM can be calibrated to available spatial and temporal data from existing climate databases, e.g., the Program for Climate Model Diagnosis and Intercomparison (PCMDI), or to a collection of outputs from a General Circulation Model (GCM), e.g., the Community Earth System Model (CESM) and its predecessors. Because of its reduced size and complexity, the realization of a large number of independent model outputs from a SSM becomes computationally straightforward, so that quantifying the risk associated with low-probability, high-consequence climate events becomes feasible. A Bayesian framework is developed to provide quantitative measures of confidence, via Bayesian credible intervals, in the use of the proposed approach to assess these risks.

Constantine, Paul; Field, Richard V., Jr.; Boslough, Mark Bruce Elrick

2011-09-01T23:59:59.000Z

156

Improvements to NOAA’s Historical Merged Land–Ocean Surface Temperature Analysis (1880–2006)  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

Observations of sea surface and land–near-surface merged temperature anomalies are used to monitor climate variations and to evaluate climate simulations; therefore, it is important to make analyses of these data as accurate as possible. Analysis ...

Thomas M. Smith; Richard W. Reynolds; Thomas C. Peterson; Jay Lawrimore

2008-05-01T23:59:59.000Z

157

Final Report on Hierarchical Coupled Modeling and Prediction of Regional Climate Change in the Atlantic Sector  

SciTech Connect

During the course of this project, we have accomplished the following: a) Carried out studies of climate changes in the past using a hierarchy of intermediate coupled models (Chang et al., 2008; Wan et al 2009; Wen et al., 2010a,b) b) Completed the development of a Coupled Regional Climate Model (CRCM; Patricola et al., 2011a,b) c) Carried out studies testing hypotheses testing the origin of systematic errors in the CRCM (Patricola et al., 2011a,b) d) Carried out studies of the impact of air-sea interaction on hurricanes, in the context of barrier layer interactions (Balaguru et al)

Saravanan, Ramalingam [Texas A& M University

2011-10-30T23:59:59.000Z

158

Economic Impacts of Climate Variability in South Africa and Development of Resource Prediction Models  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

An analysis of food and water supplies and economic growth in South Africa leads to the realization that climate variability plays a major role. Summer rainfall in the period of 1980–99 is closely associated (variance = 48%) with year-to-year ...

Mark R. Jury

2002-01-01T23:59:59.000Z

159

National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) | Open Energy  

Open Energy Info (EERE)

Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) Jump to: navigation, search Logo: National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) Name National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) Address 1401 Constitution Avenue, NW Room 5128 Washington, DC 20230 Zip 20230 Phone number (301) 713-4000. Website http://www.noaa.gov/index.html Coordinates 38.892111°, -77.031981° Loading map... {"minzoom":false,"mappingservice":"googlemaps3","type":"ROADMAP","zoom":14,"types":["ROADMAP","SATELLITE","HYBRID","TERRAIN"],"geoservice":"google","maxzoom":false,"width":"600px","height":"350px","centre":false,"title":"","label":"","icon":"","visitedicon":"","lines":[],"polygons":[],"circles":[],"rectangles":[],"copycoords":false,"static":false,"wmsoverlay":"","layers":[],"controls":["pan","zoom","type","scale","streetview"],"zoomstyle":"DEFAULT","typestyle":"DEFAULT","autoinfowindows":false,"kml":[],"gkml":[],"fusiontables":[],"resizable":false,"tilt":0,"kmlrezoom":false,"poi":true,"imageoverlays":[],"markercluster":false,"searchmarkers":"","locations":[{"text":"","title":"","link":null,"lat":38.892111,"lon":-77.031981,"alt":0,"address":"","icon":"","group":"","inlineLabel":"","visitedicon":""}]}

160

A National Strategy for Advancing Climate Modeling  

SciTech Connect

Climate models are the foundation for understanding and projecting climate and climate-related changes and are thus critical tools for supporting climate-related decision making. This study developed a holistic strategy for improving the nationâ??s capability to accurately simulate climate and related Earth system changes on decadal to centennial timescales. The committeeâ??s report is a high level analysis, providing a strategic framework to guide progress in the nationâ??s climate modeling enterprise over the next 10-20 years. This study was supported by DOE, NSF, NASA, NOAA, and the intelligence community.

Dunlea, Edward; Elfring, Chris

2012-12-04T23:59:59.000Z

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161

Appendix J FWS and NOAA Fisheries Biological Opinions  

Energy.gov (U.S. Department of Energy (DOE)) Indexed Site

J J FWS and NOAA Fisheries Biological Opinions U.S. Department of the Interior Minerals Management Service MMS Cape Wind Energy Project January 2009 Final EIS Appendix J FWS and NOAA Fisheries Biological Opinions Appendix J FWS and NOAA Fisheries Biological Opinions Cape Wind Energy Project January 2009 Final EIS U.S. Department of the Interior Minerals Management Service MMS FWS Biological Opinion United States Department of the Interk~r FISH AND WILDLIFE SERVICE New England Field Office 70 Commercial Street, Suite 300 Concord, New Hampshire 03301-5087 http://www.fws.gov/northeastlnewenglandfieldoffice Re: Final Biological Opinion, Cape Wind Associates, LLC, November 21, 2008 Wind Energy Project, Nantucket Sound, Massachusetts Formal Consultation # 08-F-0323 Mr.

162

WEATHER SEQUENCES FOR PREDICTING HVAC SYSTEM BEHAVIOUR IN RESIDENTIAL UNITS LOCATED IN TROPICAL CLIMATES.  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

WEATHER SEQUENCES FOR PREDICTING HVAC SYSTEM BEHAVIOUR IN RESIDENTIAL UNITS LOCATED IN TROPICAL on the energy needs of HVAC system. We'll apply the method on the tropical Reunion Island. The methodological

Paris-Sud XI, Université de

163

Two Tales of Initializing Decadal Climate Prediction Experiments with the ECHAM5/MPI-OM Model  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

This paper investigates the impact of different ocean initialization strategies on the forecast skill of decadal prediction experiments performed with the ECHAM5/Max Planck Institute Ocean Model (MPI-OM) coupled model. The ocean initializations ...

Daniela Matei; Holger Pohlmann; Johann Jungclaus; Wolfgang Müller; Helmuth Haak; Jochem Marotzke

2012-12-01T23:59:59.000Z

164

A Comprehensive Radiation Scheme for Numerical Weather Prediction Models with Potential Applications in Climate Simulations  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

A comprehensive scheme for the parameterization of radiative transfer in numerical weather Prediction (NWP) models has been developed. The scheme is based on the solution of the ?-two-stream version of the radiative transfer equation ...

Bodo Ritter; Jean-Francois Geleyn

1992-02-01T23:59:59.000Z

165

Potential Predictability of U.S. Summer Climate with “Perfect” Soil Moisture  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

The potential predictability of surface-air temperature and precipitation over the United States was assessed for a GCM forced by observed sea surface temperatures and an estimate of observed soil-moisture content. The latter was obtained by ...

Fanglin Yang; Arun Kumar; K-M. Lau

2004-10-01T23:59:59.000Z

166

A Semiempirical Downscaling Approach for Predicting Regional Temperature Impacts Associated with Climatic Change  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

A statistical downscaling approach is developed for generating regional temperature change predictions from GCM results. The approach utilizes GCM free atmosphere output and surface observations in a framework conceptually similar to the model ...

David J. Sailor; Xiangshang Li

1999-01-01T23:59:59.000Z

167

Potential Predictability and AMIP Implications of Midlatitude Climate Variability in Two General Circulation Models  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

Ensembles of extended Atmospheric Model Intercomparison Project (AMIP) runs from the general circulation models of the National Centers for Environmental Prediction (formerly the National Meteorological Center) and the Max-Planck Institute (...

T. P. Barnett; K. Arpe; L. Bengtsson; M. Ji; A. Kumar

1997-09-01T23:59:59.000Z

168

Prediction of Seasonal Forest Fire Severity in Canada from Large-Scale Climate Patterns  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

An empirical scheme for predicting the meteorological conditions that lead to summer forest fire severity for Canada using the multivariate singular value decomposition (SVD) has been developed for the 1953–2007 period. The levels and sources of ...

Amir Shabbar; Walter Skinner; Mike D. Flannigan

2011-04-01T23:59:59.000Z

169

Earth Radiation Budget: Results of Outgoing Longwave Radiation from Nimbus-7, NOAA-9, and ERBS Satellites  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

Eighteen months of wide field-of-view (WFOV) outgoing longwave radiation (OLR) measurements from the Earth Radiation Budget Experiment (ERBE) NOAA-9 and NOAA-10 spacecraft have been deconvolved to produce resolution-enhanced flux maps at the top ...

T. Dale Bess; G. Louis Smith

1993-05-01T23:59:59.000Z

170

The Intensity Forecasting Experiment: A NOAA Multiyear Field Program for Improving Tropical Cyclone Intensity Forecasts  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

In 2005, NOAA's Hurricane Research Division (HRD), part of the Atlantic Oceanographic and Meteorological Laboratory, began a multiyear experiment called the Intensity Forecasting Experiment (IFEX). By emphasizing a partnership among NOAA's HRD, ...

Robert Rogers; Sim Aberson; Michael Black; Peter Black; Joe Cione; Peter Dodge; John Gamache; John Kaplan; Mark Powell; Jason Dunion; Eric Uhlhorn; Nick Shay; Naomi Surgi

2006-11-01T23:59:59.000Z

171

NOAA and U.S. Department of Energy Expand Efforts to Increase...  

Energy.gov (U.S. Department of Energy (DOE)) Indexed Site

NOAA and U.S. Department of Energy Expand Efforts to Increase Energy Efficiency at National Marine Sanctuaries NOAA and U.S. Department of Energy Expand Efforts to Increase Energy...

172

Operational Aerosol Observations (AEROBS) from AVHRR/3 On Board NOAA-KLM Satellites  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

Since 1988, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) has provided operational aerosol observations (AEROBS) from the Advanced Very High Resolution Radiometer (AVHRR/2) on board the afternoon NOAA satellites [nominal equator ...

Alexander Ignatov; John Sapper; Stephen Cox; Istvan Laszlo; Nicholas R. Nalli; Katherine B. Kidwell

2004-01-01T23:59:59.000Z

173

Real-Time Guidance Provided by NOAA's Hurricane Research Division to Forecasters during Emily of 1993  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

The Hurricane Research Division (HRD) is NOAA/s primary component for research on tropical cyclones. In accomplishing research goals, many staff members have developed analysis procedures and forecast models that not only help improve the ...

Robert W. Burpee; Sim D. Aberson; Peter G. Black; Mark DeMaria; James L. Franklin; Joseph S. Griffin; Samuel H. Houston; John Kaplan; Frank D. Marks Jr.; Mark D. Powell; Hugh E. Willoughby; Stephen J. Lord

1994-10-01T23:59:59.000Z

174

Correction of Inertial Navigation with Loran C on NOAA's P-3 Aircraft  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) maintains two Orion WP-3D aircraft based in Miami, Florida, and used for atmospheric and oceanographic research in support of NOAA projects and missions.

Jeffrey M. Masters; James A. Leise

1993-04-01T23:59:59.000Z

175

Accelerated Changes of Environmental Conditions on the Tibetan Plateau Caused by Climate Change  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

Variations of land surface parameters over the Tibetan Plateau have great importance on local energy and water cycles, the Asian monsoon, and climate change studies. In this paper, the NOAA/NASA Pathfinder Advanced Very High Resolution Radiometer (...

Lei Zhong; Zhongbo Su; Yaoming Ma; Mhd. Suhyb Salama; José A. Sobrino

2011-12-01T23:59:59.000Z

176

NOAA ARL Monthly Activity Report Bruce B. Hicks, Director  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

Volcanic Ash Meeting 7. SURFRAD. 8. Central UV Calibration Facility (CUCF) 9. Umkehr Ozone Profile 10 recent version of Hysplit was installed on the AFTAC Sun computer system and at their contractor's site and concentration display programs have been revised to handle more complex simulations. roland.draxler@noaa.gov 4

177

NOAA'S Hurricane Intensity Forecasting Experiment: A Progress Report  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

An update of the progress achieved as part of the NOAA Intensity Forecasting Experiment (IFEX) is provided. Included is a brief summary of the noteworthy aircraft missions flown in the years since 2005, the first year IFEX flights occurred, as well as a ...

Robert Rogers; Sim Aberson; Altug Aksoy; Bachir Annane; Michael Black; Joseph Cione; Neal Dorst; Jason Dunion; John Gamache; Stan Goldenberg; Sundararaman Gopalakrishnan; John Kaplan; Bradley Klotz; Sylvie Lorsolo; Frank Marks; Shirley Murillo; Mark Powell; Paul Reasor; Kathryn Sellwood; Eric Uhlhorn; Tomislava Vukicevic; Jun Zhang; Xuejin Zhang

2013-06-01T23:59:59.000Z

178

Development of a Unified Land Model for Prediction of Surface Hydrology and Land–Atmosphere Interactions  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

A unified land model (ULM) is described that combines the surface flux parameterizations in the Noah land surface model (used in most of NOAA’s coupled weather and climate models) with the Sacramento Soil Moisture Accounting model (Sac; used for ...

Ben Livneh; Pedro J. Restrepo; Dennis P. Lettenmaier

2011-12-01T23:59:59.000Z

179

Collaborative Research: Towards Advanced Understanding and Predictive Capability of Climate Change in the Arctic using a High-Resolution Regional Arctic Climate System Model  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

Primary activities are reported in these areas: climate system component studies via one-way coupling experiments; development of the Regional Arctic Climate System Model (RACM); and physical feedback studies focusing on changes in Arctic sea ice using the fully coupled model.

Lettenmaier, Dennis P

2013-04-08T23:59:59.000Z

180

NOAA's National Marine Sanctuaries Media Library | Data.gov  

NLE Websites -- All DOE Office Websites (Extended Search)

National Marine Sanctuaries Media Library National Marine Sanctuaries Media Library Agriculture Community Menu DATA APPS EVENTS DEVELOPER STATISTICS COLLABORATE ABOUT Agriculture You are here Data.gov » Communities » Agriculture » Data NOAA's National Marine Sanctuaries Media Library Dataset Summary Description NOAA (National Ocean Service) Office of National Marine Sanctuaries' Media Library is an online vault where a comprehensive collection of select video clips and high-resolution still images from America's underwater treasures are securely stored and available for searchable access and download. Tags {ONMS,"Office of National Marine Sanctuaries",MPA,"Marine Protected Area",habitat,fisheries,seafloor,lithology,oceans,"Environmental Monitoring",photos,video,recreation,travel,tourism,"whales,fish",sharks,culture,heritage,birds,science,research,plants,mammals,reptiles,media}

Note: This page contains sample records for the topic "noaa climate prediction" from the National Library of EnergyBeta (NLEBeta).
While these samples are representative of the content of NLEBeta,
they are not comprehensive nor are they the most current set.
We encourage you to perform a real-time search of NLEBeta
to obtain the most current and comprehensive results.


181

ORISE: Capabilities in Climate and Atmospheric Research  

NLE Websites -- All DOE Office Websites (Extended Search)

Capabilities Capabilities ORISE partners with NOAA to operate climate monitoring network U.S. Climate Reference Network (CRN) station in Hawaii The U.S. Climate Reference Network (CRN) consists of 121 stations throughout the continental U.S., Alaska, Hawaii and Canada. The stations use highly accurate and reliable sensors and gauges to measure temperature, wind speed and precipitation. The network allows scientists to study the climate of an area over sustained periods, from 50 to 100 years. Pictured here is a CRN station at the Mauna Loa Slope Observatory in Hawaii. The Oak Ridge Institute for Science and Education (ORISE) works closely with the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's (NOAA) Atmospheric Turbulence and Diffusion Division (ATDD) to perform lower

182

Short-Term Climate Variability and Atmospheric Teleconnections from Satellite-Observed Outgoing Longwave Radiation. Part I: Simultaneous Relationships  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

Satellite-inferred short-term climate variability and atmospheric teleconnections are studied using seven years (1974–81) of Outgoing Longwave Radiation (OLR) data from NOAA polar orbiters. This study utilizes composite, partition-of-variance and ...

Ka-Ming Lau; Paul H. Chan

1983-12-01T23:59:59.000Z

183

A Year of Radiation Measurements at the North Slope of Alaska Second Quarter 2009 ARM and Climate Change Prediction Program Metric Report  

SciTech Connect

In 2009, the Atmospheric Radiation Measurement (ARM) Program and the Climate Change Prediction Program (CCPP) have been asked to produce joint science metrics. For CCPP, the second quarter metrics are reported in Evaluation of Simulated Precipitation in CCSM3: Annual Cycle Performance Metrics at Watershed Scales. For ARM, the metrics will produce and make available new continuous time series of radiative fluxes based on one year of observations from Barrow, Alaska, during the International Polar Year and report on comparisons of observations with baseline simulations of the Community Climate System Model (CCSM).

S.A. McFarlane, Y. Shi, C.N. Long

2009-04-15T23:59:59.000Z

184

Collaborative Research: Towards Advanced Understanding and Predictive Capability of Climate Change in the Arctic Using a High-Resolution Regional Arctic Climate Model  

SciTech Connect

The primary research task completed for this project was the development of the Regional Arctic Climate Model (RACM). This involved coupling existing atmosphere, ocean, sea ice, and land models using the National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR) Community Climate System Model (CCSM) coupler (CPL7). RACM is based on the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) atmospheric model, the Parallel Ocean Program (POP) ocean model, the CICE sea ice model, and the Variable Infiltration Capacity (VIC) land model. A secondary research task for this project was testing and evaluation of WRF for climate-scale simulations on the large pan-Arctic model domain used in RACM. This involved identification of a preferred set of model physical parameterizations for use in our coupled RACM simulations and documenting any atmospheric biases present in RACM.

Cassano, John [Principal Investigator

2013-06-30T23:59:59.000Z

185

Toward Climate Prediction: Interannual Potential Predictability due to an Increase in CO2 Concentration as Diagnosed from an Ensemble of AO GCM Integrations  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

Predictability studies of the second kind are often carried out to address the potential in predicting atmospheric variables based on knowledge of changes in sea surface temperature (SST). Here a predictability study of the second kind is ...

Jin-Song von Storch

2008-09-01T23:59:59.000Z

186

National Climate Assessment: Background and Process  

NLE Websites -- All DOE Office Websites (Extended Search)

Background and Process Print E-mail Background and Process Print E-mail Please view the links below to find out more about the background and process of the National Climate Assessment: National Climate Assessment Development & Advisory Committee Charter ( PDF) National Climate Assessment Proposed 2013 Report Outline [updated on 12/08/2011] (PDF) Strategy On May 20th, 2011 the National Climate Assessment released the following two strategy documents: National Climate Assessment Strategy Summary National Climate Assessment Engagement Strategy Federal Register Notices November 18, 2013 National Climate Assessment and Development Advisory Committee (NCADAC) Notice of Open Meeting pdf | html A Notice by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration on 10/29/2013 This notice sets forth the schedule of a forthcoming meeting of the DoC NOAA National Climate Assessment and Development Advisory Committee (NCADAC).

187

climate change | OpenEI Community  

Open Energy Info (EERE)

climate change climate change Home Graham7781's picture Submitted by Graham7781(1992) Super contributor 18 January, 2013 - 15:46 U.S. Global Change Research Program publishes "National Climate Assessment" report for United States climate change drought OpenEI sea level rise temperatures U.S. Global Climate Change program The U.S. Global Change Research Program, established under the Department of Commerce in 2010, and partnered with NOAA, released an extensive National Climate Assessment report, projecting future climate changes in the United States under different scenarios. The 1,200 page report highlights some rather grim findings about the future of climate change. Here are 5 of the more disconcerting graphics from the report: 1. U.S. Average Temperatures Syndicate content

188

Educational Global Climate Change Links  

NLE Websites -- All DOE Office Websites (Extended Search)

Educational Global Climate Change Links Educational Global Climate Change Links Evidence of the importance of global climate change to the future generation is reflected in the increasing number of queries CDIAC receives from students and educators, from a range of educational levels. We have compiled a listing of some sites that we hope will be of interest and of use to those looking for information, fun, ideas, and ways that they can make a difference. These links were chosen because we have found them useful in responding to those with inquiring minds. These links will take the user outside of CDIAC, and are by no means comprehensive. We are not responsible for the content or intent of these outside links. Tools you can use! NOAA's Global Climate Dashboard - The Global Climate Dashboard is

189

Scott,Abbott,303,497-7022,,Scott.Abbott@noaa.gov,National ...  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

... Satellite Data And Inf Ser,E/GC2 Solar-Terriestrial Physics ... National Oceanic And Atmospheric Administration,WS1 National Weather Service,NOAA ...

2013-12-25T23:59:59.000Z

190

Revisiting the Statewide Climate Extremes for the United States: Evaluating Existing Extremes, Archived Data, and New Observations  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

New all-time extreme climate records have been set in several states over the past few years. These records highlighted a need to review the existing statewide climate extremes tables maintained by the NOAA National Climatic Data Center (NCDC). Also, ...

Karsten A. Shein; Dennis P. Todey; F. Adnan Akyuz; James R. Angel; Timothy M. Kearns; James L. Zdrojewski

2013-03-01T23:59:59.000Z

191

Details of U.S. Climate Zones:  

U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) Indexed Site

Details of U.S. Climate Zones Details of U.S. Climate Zones Details of U.S. Climate Zones: The CBECS climate zones are groups of climate divisions, as defined by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), which are regions within a state that are as climatically homogeneous as possible. Each NOAA climate division is placed into one of five CBECS climate zones based on its 30-year average heating degree-days (HDD) and cooling degree-days (CDD) for the period 1971 through 2000. (These climate zones have been updated for the 2003 CBECS. All previous CBECS used averages for the 45-year period from 1931 through 1975.) A HDD is a measure of how cold a location was over a period of time, relative to a base temperature (in CBECS, 65 degrees Fahrenheit). The heating degree-day is the difference between that day's average temperature and 65 degrees if the daily average is less than 65; it is zero if the daily average temperature is greater than or equal to 65. For example, if the average temperature for a given day is 40 degrees, then the heating degree-days for that single day equal 25. Heating degree-days for a year are the sum of the daily heating degree-days that year.

192

Methods and Resources for Climate Impacts Research  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

The prediction of climate variability and change requires the use of a range of simulation models. Multiple climate model simulations are needed to sample the inherent uncertainties in seasonal to centennial prediction. Because climate models are ...

Andrew Juan Challinor; Tom Osborne; Len Shaffrey; Hilary Weller; Andy Morse; Tim Wheeler; Pier Luigi Vidale

2009-06-01T23:59:59.000Z

193

Statistical Predictability and Parametric Models of Daily Ambient Temperature and Solar Irradiance: An Analysis in the Italian Climate  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

Stochastic–dynamic models are discussed for both air temperature and solar irradiance daily time series in the Italian climate. Most of the methodologies discussed in this paper are well known and established for processes having a Gaussian ...

U. Amato; V. Cuomo; F. Fontana; C. Serio

1989-08-01T23:59:59.000Z

194

Climate Variability and Trends in SSU Radiances: A Comparison of Model Predictions and Satellite Observations in the Middle Stratosphere  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

Several recent studies have highlighted the potential of utilizing statistical techniques to pattern match observations and model simulations in order to establish a causal relationship between anthropogenic activity and climate change. Up to now ...

H. E. Brindley; A. J. Geer; J. E. Harries

1999-11-01T23:59:59.000Z

195

An Assessment of the Sea Surface Temperature Influence on Surface Wind Stress in Numerical Weather Prediction and Climate Models  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

The ability of six climate models to capture the observed coupling between SST and surface wind stress in the vicinity of strong midlatitude SST fronts is analyzed. The analysis emphasizes air–sea interactions associated with ocean meanders in ...

Eric D. Maloney; Dudley B. Chelton

2006-06-01T23:59:59.000Z

196

The Role of Pacific Climate on Low-Frequency Hydroclimatic Variability and Predictability in Southern Alberta, Canada  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

Wavelet and rank correlation analysis were used to identify the links between primary Pacific climate variability modes and low-frequency hydroclimatic variability in the South Saskatchewan River basin (SSRB) of southern Alberta. The April–...

Adam K. Gobena; Thian Y. Gan

2009-12-01T23:59:59.000Z

197

NOAA Technical Memorandum ERL GLERL-20 SUMMARY OF GREAT LAKES WEATHER AND ICE CONDITIONS,  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

Cooling Phase 3.2.2 Ice Formation and Breakup Phases 3.2.3 The Ice Cycle on Lake Superior 3.2.4 The IceNOAA Technical Memorandum ERL GLERL-20 SUMMARY OF GREAT LAKES WEATHER AND ICE CONDITIONS, WINTER of this NOAA Environmental Research Laboratories publication. ii #12;LANDSAT fake color image of ice cover

198

Verification of the NOAA Smoke Forecasting System: Model Sensitivity to the Injection Height  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

A detailed evaluation of NOAA’s Smoke Forecasting System (SFS) is a fundamental part of its development and further refinement. In this work, particulate matter with a diameter less than or equal to 2.5-?m (PM2.5) concentration levels, simulated ...

Ariel F. Stein; Glenn D. Rolph; Roland R. Draxler; Barbara Stunder; Mark Ruminski

2009-04-01T23:59:59.000Z

199

ARM - PI Product - ARM-LBNL-NOAA Flask Sampler for Carbon Cycle Gases  

NLE Websites -- All DOE Office Websites (Extended Search)

ProductsARM-LBNL-NOAA Flask Sampler for Carbon Cycle ProductsARM-LBNL-NOAA Flask Sampler for Carbon Cycle Gases Comments? We would love to hear from you! Send us a note below or call us at 1-888-ARM-DATA. Send PI Product : ARM-LBNL-NOAA Flask Sampler for Carbon Cycle Gases Site(s) SGP General Description Data from ccg-flasks are sampled at the ARM SGP site and analyzed by the NOAA Earth System Research Laboratory (ESRL) as part of the NOAA Cooperative Global Air Sampling Network. Surface samples are collected from a 60m tower at the SGP Central Facility, usually once per week on one afternoon. The aircraft samples are collected approximately weekly from a chartered aircraft, and the collection flight path is centered over the tower where the surface samples are collected. Samples are collected by the ARM/LBNL Carbon Project. CO2 flask data contains measurements of CO2

200

Department of Energy to Provide Supercomputing Time to Run NOAA...  

Energy.gov (U.S. Department of Energy (DOE)) Indexed Site

and regional climate change induced by increasing atmospheric concentrations of aerosols and greenhouse gases; quantify sources and sinks of energy-related greenhouse gases;...

Note: This page contains sample records for the topic "noaa climate prediction" from the National Library of EnergyBeta (NLEBeta).
While these samples are representative of the content of NLEBeta,
they are not comprehensive nor are they the most current set.
We encourage you to perform a real-time search of NLEBeta
to obtain the most current and comprehensive results.


201

Tropical and subtropical cloud transitions in weather and climate prediction models: the GCSS/WGNE Pacific Cross-Section Intercomparison (GPCI)  

SciTech Connect

A model evaluation approach is proposed where weather and climate prediction models are analyzed along a Pacific Ocean cross-section, from the stratocumulus regions off the coast of California, across the shallow convection dominated trade-winds, to the deep convection regions of the ITCZ: the GCSS/WGNE Pacific Cross-section Intercomparison (GPCI). The main goal of GPCI is to evaluate, and help understand and improve the representation of tropical and sub-tropical cloud processes in weather and climate prediction models. In this paper, a detailed analysis of cloud regime transitions along the cross-section from the sub-tropics to the tropics for the season JJA of 1998 is presented. This GPCI study confirms many of the typical weather and climate prediction model problems in the representation of clouds: underestimation of clouds in the stratocumulus regime by most models with the corresponding consequences in terms of shortwave radiation biases; overestimation of clouds by the ECMWF Re-Analysis (ERA40) in the deep tropics (in particular) with the corresponding impact in the outgoing longwave radiation; large spread between the different models in terms of cloud cover, liquid water path and shortwave radiation; significant differences between the models in terms of vertical crosssections of cloud properties (in particular), vertical velocity and relative humidity. An alternative analysis of cloud cover mean statistics is proposed where sharp gradients in cloud cover along the GPCI transect are taken into account. This analysis shows that the negative cloud bias of some models and ERA40 in the stratocumulus regions (as compared to ISCCP) is associated not only with lower values of cloud cover in these regimes, but also with a stratocumulus-to-cumulus transition that occurs too early along the trade-wind Lagrangian trajectory. Histograms of cloud cover along the cross-section differ significantly between models. Some models exhibit a quasi-bimodal structure with cloud cover being either very large (close to 100%) or very small, while other models show a more continuous transition. The ISCCP observations suggest that reality is in-between these two extreme examples. These different patterns reflect the diverse nature of the cloud, boundary layer, and convection parameterizations in the participating weather and climate prediction models.

Teixeira, J.; Cardoso, S.; Bonazzola, M.; Cole, Jason N.; DelGenio, Anthony D.; DeMott, C.; Franklin, A.; Hannay, Cecile; Jakob, Christian; Jiao, Y.; Karlsson, J.; Kitagawa, H.; Koehler, M.; Kuwano-Yoshida, A.; LeDrian, C.; Lock, Adrian; Miller, M.; Marquet, P.; Martins, J.; Mechoso, C. R.; Meijgaard, E. V.; Meinke, I.; Miranda, P.; Mironov, D.; Neggers, Roel; Pan, H. L.; Randall, David A.; Rasch, Philip J.; Rockel, B.; Rossow, William B.; Ritter, B.; Siebesma, A. P.; Soares, P.; Turk, F. J.; Vaillancourt, P.; Von Engeln, A.; Zhao, M.

2011-11-01T23:59:59.000Z

202

Lessons Learned from IPCC AR4: Scientific Developments Needed to Understand, Predict, and Respond to Climate Change  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

The Fourth Assessment Report (AR4) of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) concluded that global warming is “unequivocal” and that most of the observed increase since the mid-twentieth century is very likely due to the increase in ...

Sarah J. Doherty; Stephan Bojinski; David Goodrich; Ann Henderson-Sellers; Kevin Noone; Nathaniel L. Bindoff; John A. Church; Kathy A. Hibbard; Thomas R. Karl; Lucka Kajfez-Bogataj; Amanda H. Lynch; David E. Parker; Peter W. Thorne; I. Colin Prentice; Venkatachalam Ramaswamy; Roger W. Saunders; Mark Stafford Smith; Konrad Steffen; Thomas F. Stocker; Kevin E. Trenberth; Michel M. Verstraete; Francis W. Zwiers

2009-04-01T23:59:59.000Z

203

Relative Merit of Model Improvement versus Availability of Retrospective Forecasts: The Case of Climate Forecast System MJO Prediction  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

Retrospective forecasts of the new NCEP Climate Forecast System (CFS) have been analyzed out to 45 days from 1999 to 2009 with four members (0000, 0600, 1200, and 1800 UTC) each day. The new version of CFS [CFS, version 2 (CFSv2)] shows ...

Qin Zhang; Huug van den Dool

2012-08-01T23:59:59.000Z

204

THE APPLICATION OF A STATISTICAL DOWNSCALING PROCESS TO DERIVE 21{sup ST} CENTURY RIVER FLOW PREDICTIONS USING A GLOBAL CLIMATE SIMULATION  

SciTech Connect

The ability of water managers to maintain adequate supplies in coming decades depends, in part, on future weather conditions, as climate change has the potential to alter river flows from their current values, possibly rendering them unable to meet demand. Reliable climate projections are therefore critical to predicting the future water supply for the United States. These projections cannot be provided solely by global climate models (GCMs), however, as their resolution is too coarse to resolve the small-scale climate changes that can affect hydrology, and hence water supply, at regional to local scales. A process is needed to ‘downscale’ the GCM results to the smaller scales and feed this into a surface hydrology model to help determine the ability of rivers to provide adequate flow to meet future needs. We apply a statistical downscaling to GCM projections of precipitation and temperature through the use of a scaling method. This technique involves the correction of the cumulative distribution functions (CDFs) of the GCM-derived temperature and precipitation results for the 20{sup th} century, and the application of the same correction to 21{sup st} century GCM projections. This is done for three meteorological stations located within the Coosa River basin in northern Georgia, and is used to calculate future river flow statistics for the upper Coosa River. Results are compared to the historical Coosa River flow upstream from Georgia Power Company’s Hammond coal-fired power plant and to flows calculated with the original, unscaled GCM results to determine the impact of potential changes in meteorology on future flows.

Werth, D.; Chen, K. F.

2013-08-22T23:59:59.000Z

205

Predicting the impacts of climate change on animal distributions: the importance of local adaptation and species' traits  

SciTech Connect

The geographic range limits of many species are strongly affected by climate and are expected to change under global warming. For species that are able to track changing climate over broad geographic areas, we expect to see shifts in species distributions toward the poles and away from the equator. A number of ecological and evolutionary factors, however, could restrict this shifting or redistribution under climate change. These factors include restricted habitat availability, restricted capacity for or barriers to movement, or reduced abundance of colonists due the perturbation effect of climate change. This research project examined the last of these constraints - that climate change could perturb local conditions to which populations are adapted, reducing the likelihood that a species will shift its distribution by diminishing the number of potential colonists. In the most extreme cases, species ranges could collapse over a broad geographic area with no poleward migration and an increased risk of species extinction. Changes in individual species ranges are the processes that drive larger phenomena such as changes in land cover, ecosystem type, and even changes in carbon cycling. For example, consider the poleward range shift and population outbreaks of the mountain pine beetle that has decimated millions of acres of Douglas fir trees in the western US and Canada. Standing dead trees cause forest fires and release vast quantities of carbon to the atmosphere. The beetle likely shifted its range because it is not locally adapted across its range, and it appears to be limited by winter low temperatures that have steadily increased in the last decades. To understand range and abundance changes like the pine beetle, we must reveal the extent of adaptive variation across species ranges - and the physiological basis of that adaptation - to know if other species will change as readily as the pine beetle. Ecologists tend to assume that range shifts are the dominant response of species to climate change, but our experiments suggest that other processes may act in some species that reduce the likelihood of geographic range change. In the first part of our DOE grant (ending 2008) we argued that the process of local adaptation of populations within a species range, followed by climatic changes that occur too quickly for adaptive evolution, is an underappreciated mechanism by which climate change could affect biodiversity. When this process acts, species ranges may not shift readily toward the poles, slowing the rate of species and biome change. To test this claim, we performed an experiment comparing core and peripheral populations in a series of field observations, translocation experiments, and genetic analyses. The papers in Appendix A were generated from 2005-2008 funding. In the second part of the DOE grant (ending 2011) we studied which traits promote population differentiation and local adaptation by building genomic resources for our study species and using these resources to reveal differences in gene expression in peripheral and core populations. The papers in Appendix B were generated from 2008-2011 funding. This work was pursued with two butterfly species that have contrasting life history traits (body size and resource specialization) and occupy a common ecosystem and a latitudinal range. These species enabled us to test the following hypotheses using a single phylogenetic group.

HELLMANN, J. J.; LOBO, N. F.

2011-12-20T23:59:59.000Z

206

DOE, BOEMRE and NOAA Announce Nearly $5 Million for Joint Environmental  

Energy.gov (U.S. Department of Energy (DOE)) Indexed Site

DOE, BOEMRE and NOAA Announce Nearly $5 Million for Joint DOE, BOEMRE and NOAA Announce Nearly $5 Million for Joint Environmental Research Projects to Advance Ocean Renewable Energy DOE, BOEMRE and NOAA Announce Nearly $5 Million for Joint Environmental Research Projects to Advance Ocean Renewable Energy October 26, 2010 - 12:00am Addthis WASHINGTON, DC - The Department of Energy (DOE), Bureau of Ocean Energy Management, Regulation and Enforcement (BOEMRE), and the Department of Commerce's National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) today announced eight joint research awards totaling nearly $5 million to support the responsible siting and permitting of offshore wind energy facilities and ocean energy generated from waves, tides, currents and thermal gradients. This critical research will address key information gaps

207

Vertical Structure of Precipitation and Related Microphysics Observed by NOAA Profilers and TRMM during NAME 2004  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

In support of the 2004 North American Monsoon Experiment (NAME) field campaign, NOAA established and maintained a field site about 100 km north of Mazatlán, Mexico, consisting of wind profilers, precipitation profilers, surface upward–downward-...

Christopher R. Williams; Allen B. White; Kenneth S. Gage; F. Martin Ralph

2007-05-01T23:59:59.000Z

208

DOE, BOEMRE and NOAA Announce Nearly $5 Million for Joint Environmental  

Energy.gov (U.S. Department of Energy (DOE)) Indexed Site

DOE, BOEMRE and NOAA Announce Nearly $5 Million for Joint DOE, BOEMRE and NOAA Announce Nearly $5 Million for Joint Environmental Research Projects to Advance Ocean Renewable Energy DOE, BOEMRE and NOAA Announce Nearly $5 Million for Joint Environmental Research Projects to Advance Ocean Renewable Energy October 26, 2010 - 12:00am Addthis WASHINGTON, DC - The Department of Energy (DOE), Bureau of Ocean Energy Management, Regulation and Enforcement (BOEMRE), and the Department of Commerce's National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) today announced eight joint research awards totaling nearly $5 million to support the responsible siting and permitting of offshore wind energy facilities and ocean energy generated from waves, tides, currents and thermal gradients. This critical research will address key information gaps

209

NOAA and U.S. Department of Energy Expand Efforts to Increase Energy  

Energy.gov (U.S. Department of Energy (DOE)) Indexed Site

NOAA and U.S. Department of Energy Expand Efforts to Increase NOAA and U.S. Department of Energy Expand Efforts to Increase Energy Efficiency at National Marine Sanctuaries NOAA and U.S. Department of Energy Expand Efforts to Increase Energy Efficiency at National Marine Sanctuaries January 29, 2008 - 11:13am Addthis HONOLULU, HI - Through the signing of a Memorandum of Understanding (MOU) the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's (NOAA) National Marine Sanctuary Program (NMSP) and the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) today expanded cooperative efforts to promote and increase energy efficiency at the country's national marine sanctuaries. DOE will facilitate three initial energy audits at NMSP facilities in Maui, Hawaii, Key West, Florida; and Scituate, Massachusetts, to identify potential energy-saving opportunities that NMSP can implement throughout the

210

NOAA's Second-Generation Global Medium-Range Ensemble Reforecast Dataset  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

A multidecadal ensemble reforecast database is now available that is approximately consistent with the operational 0000 UTC cycle of the 2012 NOAA Global Ensemble Forecast System (GEFS). The reforecast dataset consists of an 11-member ensemble run once ...

Thomas M. Hamill; Gary T. Bates; Jeffrey S. Whitaker; Donald R. Murray; Michael Fiorino; Thomas J. Galarneau Jr.; Yuejian Zhu; William Lapenta

2013-10-01T23:59:59.000Z

211

Comparison of an Experimental NOAA AVHRR Cloud Dataset with Other Observed and Forecast Cloud Datasets  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

CLAVR [cloud from AVHRR (Advanced Very High Resolution Radiometer)] is a global cloud dataset under development at NOAA/NESDIS (National Environmental Satellite, Data, and Information Service). Total cloud amount from two experimental cases, 9 ...

Yu-Tai Hou; Kenneth A. Campana; Kenneth E. Mitchell; Shi-Keng Yang; Larry L. Stowe

1993-12-01T23:59:59.000Z

212

Intercomparison of Cloud Imagery from the DMSP OLS, NOAA AVHRR, GOES VISSR, and Landsat MSS  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

Concurrent visible and infrared imagery from four satellite sensors (DMSP OLS, NOAA AVHRR, GOES VISSR, Landsat MSS) have been intercompared. Inherent differences in observed cloud properties and cloud field analyses are noted due to individual ...

R. G. Isaacs; J. C. Barnes

1987-12-01T23:59:59.000Z

213

NOAA's nowCOAST Web Mapping Portal to Near-Real-Time Coastal...  

NLE Websites -- All DOE Office Websites (Extended Search)

NOAA's nowCOAST Web Mapping Portal to Near-Real-Time Coastal Information Ocean Data Tools Technical Guide Map Gallery Regional Planning Feedback Ocean You are here Data.gov ...

214

Observational Analyses of North Atlantic Tropical Cyclones from NOAA Polar-Orbiting Satellite Microwave Data  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

Passive microwave observations from the current NOAA series of polar-orbiting satellites of a large sample of North Atlantic tropical cyclones are qualitatively and quantitatively analyzed. Microwave observations can penetrate the cloud cover ...

Christopher S. Velden

1989-01-01T23:59:59.000Z

215

Description and Verification of the NOAA Smoke Forecasting System: The 2007 Fire Season  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

An overview of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s (NOAA) current operational Smoke Forecasting System (SFS) is presented. This system is intended as guidance to air quality forecasters and the public for fine particulate matter ...

Glenn D. Rolph; Roland R. Draxler; Ariel F. Stein; Albion Taylor; Mark G. Ruminski; Shobha Kondragunta; Jian Zeng; Ho-Chun Huang; Geoffrey Manikin; Jeffery T. McQueen; Paula M. Davidson

2009-04-01T23:59:59.000Z

216

The Importance of Educating the Public Regarding NOAA Weather Radio Reception and Placement within a Structure  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

The recent expansion of The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) Weather Radio (NWR) transmitter locations across the United States delivered the NWR signal to previously unserved areas. This paper will show that although ...

Timothy W. Troutman; Lawrence J. Vannozzi; John T. Fleming

2001-12-01T23:59:59.000Z

217

A Bias in the Midtropospheric Channel Warm Target Factor on the NOAA-9 Microwave Sounding Unit  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

The University of Alabama at Huntsville (UAH), Remote Sensing Systems (RSS), and the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) have constructed long-term temperature records for deep atmospheric layers using satellite Microwave ...

Stephen Po-Chedley; Qiang Fu

2012-05-01T23:59:59.000Z

218

The NOAA Integrated Surface Irradiance Study (ISIS)—A New Surface Radiation Monitoring Program  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

This paper describes a new radiation monitoring program, the Integrated Surface Irradiance Study (ISIS), that builds upon and takes over from earlier NOAA networks monitoring components of solar radiation [both the visible component (SOLRAD) and ...

B. B. Hicks; J. J. DeLuisi; D. R. Matt

1996-12-01T23:59:59.000Z

219

Characteristics of the NOAA/NESDIS Cloud Retrieval Algorithm Using HIRS-MSU Radiance Measurements  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

A cloud retrieval algorithm using NOAA/National Environmental Satellite, Data and Information Service High-Resolution Infrared Radiation Sounder 2 Microwave Sounding Unit measurements from a polar-orbiting satellite, described in McMillin et al., ...

Shi-Keng Yang; Si-Song Zhou; Larry M. Mcmillin; Ken A. Campana

1996-11-01T23:59:59.000Z

220

A Method for Determining the Sensor Degradation Rates of NOAA AVHRR Channels 1 and 2  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

A method is described to determine the degradation rates of NOAA Advanced Very High Resolution Radiometer (AVHRR) visible channels. Thirty-eight desert targets (each 20 km × 20 km) were selected over the northwest region of China after testing ...

A. Wu; Q. Zhonc

1994-01-01T23:59:59.000Z

Note: This page contains sample records for the topic "noaa climate prediction" from the National Library of EnergyBeta (NLEBeta).
While these samples are representative of the content of NLEBeta,
they are not comprehensive nor are they the most current set.
We encourage you to perform a real-time search of NLEBeta
to obtain the most current and comprehensive results.


221

The NOAA Hydrometeorology Testbed Soil Moisture Observing Networks: Design, Instrumentation, and Preliminary Results  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

The NOAA Hydrometeorology Testbed (HMT) program has deployed soil moisture observing networks in the watersheds of the Russian River and the North Fork (NF) of the American River in northern California, and the San Pedro River in southeastern ...

Robert J. Zamora; F. Martin Ralph; Edward Clark; Timothy Schneider

2011-09-01T23:59:59.000Z

222

Validation of Environment Canada and NOAA UV Index Forecasts with Brewer Measurements from Canada  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

Ground-based ultraviolet (UV) irradiance measurements by Brewer spectrophotometers at 10 sites across Canada are compared with UV index forecasts for the same locations from Environment Canada (EC) and NOAA. For the EC forecast validation, ...

Huixia He; Vitali E. Fioletov; David W. Tarasick; Thomas W. Mathews; Craig Long

2013-06-01T23:59:59.000Z

223

NOAA Technical Memorandum GLERL-147b IMPACT OF CLIMATE CHANGE ON THE GREAT LAKES ECOSYSTEM  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

homeless people. Clin Infect Dis. 2002;35:684­9. 7. Kosek M, Lavarello R, Gilman RH, Delgado J, Manguina C

224

NOAA Technical Memorandum GLERL-147a IMPACT OF CLIMATE CHANGE ON THE GREAT LAKES ECOSYSTEM  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

Coordinator, USGS Invasive Species Program Sandra Kosek-Sills, Planner, Ohio Department of Natural Resources

225

Toward a Policy for Climate Impacts  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

Current increases in the understanding of climatic processes, the availability of climate predictions, and the assessment of climatic impacts indicate that development of public policy to mitigate adverse impacts and enhance beneficial ones is ...

Peter J. Robinson; Howard L. Hill

1987-07-01T23:59:59.000Z

226

Why We Should Monitor the Climate  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

A successful global climate monitoring system must fulfill clear societal objectives. For some aspects of climate monitoring, the societal goals are understood and are clearly stated, but long-term, decadal/centennial climate predictions have, in ...

Richard Goody; James Anderson; Thomas Karl; Roberta Balstad Miller; Gerald North; Joanne Simpson; Graeme Stephens; Warren Washington

2002-06-01T23:59:59.000Z

227

Testing Climate Models: An Approach  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

The scientific merit of decadal climate projections can only be established by means of comparisons with observations. Testing of models that are used to predict climate change is of such importance that no single approach will provide the ...

Richard Goody; James Anderson; Gerald North

1998-11-01T23:59:59.000Z

228

NOAA ARL Monthly Activity Report Richard S. Artz, Acting Director  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

.S. Climate Reference Network 12. Urban Dispersion -- New York City Program 13. Air Quality Forecast Model as well as real-time air quality index conditions for over 300 cities across the United States generated by nuclear fission and released into the atmosphere in fuel rod reprocessing. Concentrations of Kr

229

ORISE: U.S. Climate Reference Network (USCRN)  

NLE Websites -- All DOE Office Websites (Extended Search)

Climate Reference Network (USCRN) Climate Reference Network (USCRN) U.S. Climate Reference Network (USCRN) Map courtesy of the National Climatic Data Center The U.S. Climate Reference Network (USCRN), a network of climate stations, records real-time temperature, precipitation, wind speed, and solar radiation trends across the rural United States and in some parts of Canada. A National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) initiative, the USCRN consists of a total of 121 stations throughout the continental U.S., Alaska, Hawaii and Canada. With an unparalleled 99.9 percent reporting accuracy, the USCRN provides the most accurate and reliable environmental climate data that the U.S. has ever collected. Its primary purpose is to provide consistent, long-term (50 to 100 years) observations of temperature

230

Wave climate and trends for the Gulf of Mexico: A 30 year wave hindcast  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

This paper describes wave climate and variability in the Gulf of Mexico based on a 30-years wave hindcast. The North American Regional Reanalysis wind fields (NCEP at NOAA) are employed to drive a third generation spectral wave model with high- ...

Christian M. Appendini; Alec Torres-Freyermuth; Paulo Salles; Jose López-González; E. Tonatiuh Mendoza

231

The CI-FLOW Project: A System for Total Water Level Prediction from the Summit to the Sea  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

The objective of the Coastal and Inland Flooding Observation and Warning (CI-FLOW) project is to prototype new hydrometeorologic techniques to address a critical NOAA service gap: routine total water level predictions for tidally influenced watersheds. ...

Suzanne Van Cooten; Kevin E. Kelleher; Kenneth Howard; Jian Zhang; Jonathan J. Gourley; John S. Kain; Kodi Nemunaitis-Monroe; Zac Flamig; Heather Moser; Ami Arthur; Carrie Langston; Randall Kolar; Yang Hong; Kendra Dresback; Evan Tromble; Humberto Vergara; Richard A Luettich Jr.; Brian Blanton; Howard Lander; Ken Galluppi; Jessica Proud Losego; Cheryl Ann Blain; Jack Thigpen; Katie Mosher; Darin Figurskey; Michael Moneypenny; Jonathan Blaes; Jeff Orrock; Rich Bandy; Carin Goodall; John G. W. Kelley; Jason Greenlaw; Micah Wengren; Dave Eslinger; Jeff Payne; Geno Olmi; John Feldt; John Schmidt; Todd Hamill; Robert Bacon; Robert Stickney; Lundie Spence

2011-11-01T23:59:59.000Z

232

Regional Climate Simulations for Impact Assessment: Project to Intercompare Regional Climate Simulations (PIRCS) Interim Report -- 1998  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

This project provides the first direct intercomparison of regional climate model predictions with observations, as a means to quantify the uncertainties in future predictions of climate change. Results from regional climate model simulations will be inputs to national and international assessments of possible future climate change and impacts due to increased emissions of greenhouse gases and aerosols.

1998-12-31T23:59:59.000Z

233

NOAA predicts a near-normal 2012 Atlantic hurricane season - Today ...  

U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA)

Biofuels: Ethanol & Biodiesel ... Tropical storms and hurricanes can temporarily disrupt the U.S. oil and natural gas supply chain (producing fields, gathering ...

234

Tropical Moored Buoy Implementation Panel (TIP) Report M. J. McPhaden, NOAA/PMEL  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

Hole technical report in December 2002. Barometric pressure and downwelling long wave radiation fromTropical Moored Buoy Implementation Panel (TIP) Report M. J. McPhaden, NOAA/PMEL Prepared. This year, field testing of sonic anemometers has begun in the hopes of reducing wind data loss from

235

Fish Oil Research, 1920-87, in the National Marine Fisheries Service, NOAA  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

Fish Oil Research, 1920-87, in the National Marine Fisheries Service, NOAA MAURICE E. STANSBY fatty acids (which occur almost exclusively in the oil of fish) may have beneficial effects in re ducing research has also been carried out by laboratories of this agency on other aspects of fish oils which have

236

A Global 9-yr Biophysical Land Surface Dataset from NOAA AVHRR Data  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

Global, monthly, 1° by 1° biophysical land surface datasets for 1982–90 were derived from data collected by the Advanced Very High Resolution Radiometer (AVHRR) on board the NOAA-7, -9, and -11 satellites. The AVHRR data are adjusted for sensor ...

S. O. Los; N. H. Pollack; M. T. Parris; G. J. Collatz; C. J. Tucker; P. J. Sellers; C. M. Malmström; R. S. DeFries; L. Bounoua; D. A. Dazlich

2000-04-01T23:59:59.000Z

237

TOWARDS A CHARACTERIZATION OF ARCTIC MIXED-PHASE CLOUDS CIRES/NOAA/ETL  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

, radar-based retrieval methods. On average, mixed-phase cloud ice particle mean diameters increase fromTOWARDS A CHARACTERIZATION OF ARCTIC MIXED-PHASE CLOUDS Shupe, M. CIRES/NOAA/ETL Kollias, P Laboratory P.O. Box, Upton, NY www.bnl.gov ABSTRACT Mixed-phase clouds play a unique role in the Arctic

238

Hands On Science with NOAA TITLE: Tying Science to History... Making Rope by Hand  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

Hands ­ On Science with NOAA TITLE: Tying Science to History... Making Rope by Hand OVERVIEW, or wool yarn. INSTRUCTIONS: 1. Each participant should receive 2 lengths of single strand fiber about 15 is fascinating! Research and discuss the development of rope-making technology through human history. · Research

239

Calibration of METEOSAT Infrared Radiometer using Split Window Channels of NOAA AVHRR  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

A multispectral/multiangular procedure is proposed to calibrate the infrared channel of METEOSAT-2 IR 1 (760–980 cm?1), using the radiances of NOAA-7 AVHRR channels 4 (870–980 cm?1) and 5 (795–885 cm?1). The METEOSAT radiance can be successfully ...

A. Asem; P. Y. Deschamps; D. Ho

1987-12-01T23:59:59.000Z

240

Albedo of the U.S. Great Plains as Determined from NOAA-9 AVHRR Data  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

The seasonal variation of surface albedo is derived from NOAA-9 AVHRR observations of the US. Great Plains during the snow-free months of 1986 and 1987. Monthly albedo maps are constructed using a simple model-independent technique which includes ...

G. Gutman; G. Ohring; D. Tarpley; R. Ambroziak

1989-06-01T23:59:59.000Z

Note: This page contains sample records for the topic "noaa climate prediction" from the National Library of EnergyBeta (NLEBeta).
While these samples are representative of the content of NLEBeta,
they are not comprehensive nor are they the most current set.
We encourage you to perform a real-time search of NLEBeta
to obtain the most current and comprehensive results.


241

Statistical Assessment of the Quality of TIROS-N and NOAA-6 Satellite Soundings  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

A statistical evaluation of satellite soundings from TIROS-N and NOAA-6 is presented. Collocated satellite-radiosonde data were collected by season from July 1979 through May 1980 for clear and cloudy retrievals. In addition to RMS and mean error ...

Arnold Gruber; Carmella Davis Watkins

1982-07-01T23:59:59.000Z

242

NOAA Weather Radio as an Emergency Communication Vehicle in West Tennessee  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

In March 1994, a telephone survey was conducted in west Tennessee to determine the extent to which NOAA Weather Radio (NWR) is used by residents of the region. Interviews were completed with 407 respondents for an error rate of ±4.86%. The data ...

James W. Redmond

1995-09-01T23:59:59.000Z

243

U.S. Global Climate Change program | OpenEI Community  

Open Energy Info (EERE)

U.S. Global Climate Change program U.S. Global Climate Change program Home Graham7781's picture Submitted by Graham7781(1992) Super contributor 18 January, 2013 - 15:46 U.S. Global Change Research Program publishes "National Climate Assessment" report for United States climate change drought OpenEI sea level rise temperatures U.S. Global Climate Change program The U.S. Global Change Research Program, established under the Department of Commerce in 2010, and partnered with NOAA, released an extensive National Climate Assessment report, projecting future climate changes in the United States under different scenarios. The 1,200 page report highlights some rather grim findings about the future of climate change. Here are 5 of the more disconcerting graphics from the report: 1. U.S. Average Temperatures

244

Testing Statistical Cloud Scheme Ideas in the GFDL Climate Model  

NLE Websites -- All DOE Office Websites (Extended Search)

Testing Statistical Cloud Scheme Ideas in the GFDL Climate Model Testing Statistical Cloud Scheme Ideas in the GFDL Climate Model Klein, Stephen Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory Pincus, Robert NOAA-CIRES Climate Diagnostics Center Category: Modeling Statistical cloud schemes (or assumed probability distribution function cloud schemes) are attractive because they provide a way to implement horizontal sub-grid scale cloud heterogeneity in a self-consistent way between physical parameterizations of the a climate model, such as radiation and cloud microphysics. In this work, we will present results dealing with two aspects of our ongoing work towards the implementation of statistical cloud scheme ideas in the climate model of Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory. First, we will address the representation of cloud

245

On North American Decadal Climate for 2011–20  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

The predictability of North American climate is diagnosed by taking into account both forced climate change and natural decadal-scale climate variability over the next decade. In particular, the “signal” in North American surface air temperature ...

Martin Hoerling; James Hurrell; Arun Kumar; Laurent Terray; Jon Eischeid; Philip Pegion; Tao Zhang; Xiaowei Quan; TaiYi Xu

2011-08-01T23:59:59.000Z

246

Theory of Optimal Weighting of Data to Detect Climatic Change  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

A search for climatic change predicted by climate models can easily yield unconvincing results because of “climatic noise,” the inherent, unpredictable variability of time-averaged atmospheric data. We describe a weighted average of data that ...

Thomas L. Bell

1986-08-01T23:59:59.000Z

247

A Two-Season Impact Study of NOAA Polar-Orbiting Satellites in the NCEP Global Data Assimilation System  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

Observing system experiments (OSEs) during two seasons are used to quantify the important contributions made to forecast quality from the use of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s (NOAA) polar-orbiting satellites. The impact is ...

James A. Jung; Tom H. Zapotocny; John F. Le Marshall; Russ E. Treadon

2008-10-01T23:59:59.000Z

248

Evapotranspiration over an Agricultural Region Using a Surface Flux/Temperature Model Based on NOAA-AVHRR Data  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

The possibility of using infrared surface temperatures from satellites (NOAA, GOES) for inferring daily evaporation and soil moisture distribution over large areas (102 to 105 km2) has been extensively studied during the past few years. The ...

O. Taconet; R. Bernard; D. Vidal-Madjar

1986-03-01T23:59:59.000Z

249

Object-Based Evaluation of a Storm-Scale Ensemble during the 2009 NOAA Hazardous Weather Testbed Spring Experiment  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

Object-based verification of deterministic forecasts from a convection-allowing ensemble for the 2009 NOAA Hazardous Weather Testbed Spring Experiment is conducted. The average of object attributes is compared between forecasts and observations ...

Aaron Johnson; Xuguang Wang

2013-03-01T23:59:59.000Z

250

Multiyear Observations of the Tropical Atlantic Atmosphere: Multidisciplinary Applications of the NOAA Aerosols and Ocean Science Expeditions  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

This paper gives an overview of a unique set of ship-based atmospheric data acquired over the tropical Atlantic Ocean during boreal spring and summer as part of ongoing National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) Aerosols and Ocean Science ...

Nicholas R. Nalli; Everette Joseph; Vernon R. Morris; Christopher D. Barnet; Walter W. Wolf; Daniel Wolfe; Peter J. Minnett; Malgorzata Szczodrak; Miguel A. Izaguirre; Rick Lumpkin; Hua Xie; Alexander Smirnov; Thomas S. King; Jennifer Wei

2011-06-01T23:59:59.000Z

251

Satellite-Based Tropical Cyclone Intensity Estimation Using the NOAA-KLM Series Advanced Microwave Sounding Unit (AMSU)  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

Satellite-borne passive microwave radiometers, such as the Advanced Microwave Sounding Unit (AMSU) on the NOAA polar-orbiting series, are well suited to monitor tropical cyclones (TCs) by virtue of their ability to assess changes in tropospheric ...

Kurt F. Brueske; Christopher S. Velden

2003-04-01T23:59:59.000Z

252

Estimation of Surface Energy Balance from Radiant Surface Temperature and NOAA AVHRR Sensor Reflectances over Agricultural and Native Vegetation  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

A model is developed to evaluate surface heat flux densities using the radiant surface temperature and red and near-infrared reflectances from the NOAA Advanced Very High Resolution Radiometer sensor. Net radiation is calculated from an empirical ...

Huang Xinmei; T. J. Lyons; R. C. G. Smith; J. M. Hacker; P. Schwerdtfeger

1993-08-01T23:59:59.000Z

253

An Evaluation of Soundings, Analyses and Model Forecasts Derived from TIROS-N and NOAA-6 Satellite Data  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

Evaluations of operational TIROS-N and NOAA-6 temperature soundings over North America are presented for an early January 1980 period one month after completion of the First GARP Global Experiment. In addition to collocated comparisons, synoptic ...

Thomas L. Koehler; John C. Derber; Brian D. Schmidt; Lyle H. Horn

1983-03-01T23:59:59.000Z

254

Evaluation of WRF Model Output for Severe Weather Forecasting from the 2008 NOAA Hazardous Weather Testbed Spring Experiment  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

This study assesses forecasts of the preconvective and near-storm environments from the convection-allowing models run for the 2008 National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) Hazardous Weather Testbed (HWT) spring experiment. ...

Michael C. Coniglio; Kimberly L. Elmore; John S. Kain; Steven J. Weiss; Ming Xue; Morris L. Weisman

2010-04-01T23:59:59.000Z

255

NOAA Technical Memorandum ERL GLERL-31 SUMMARY OF GREAT LAKES WEATHER AND ICE CONDITIONS,  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

Description 3.2.1 Fall Cooling Phase 3.2.2 Ice Formation and Breakup Phases 3.2.3 The Ice Cycle cm LakeEs of +* SUMMARY OF GREAT LAKES WEATHER AND ICE CONDITIONS, WINTER 1978-79 B. H. Dewitt D. F. Kahlbaum D. G. Baker,-MOSWERlC AOMlNlSTRAllON #12;NOAA Technical Memorandum ERL GLERL-31 SUMMARY OF GREAT LAKES WEATHER AND ICE

256

National Climate Assessment and Development Advisory Committee (NCADAC)  

NLE Websites -- All DOE Office Websites (Extended Search)

Notice Of Open Meeting Print E-mail Notice Of Open Meeting Print E-mail Please note this meeting has been cancelled. For more information please contact Cynthia Decker. National Climate Assessment and Development Advisory Committee (NCADAC) Notice Of Open Meeting pdf | html A Notice by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration on 09/16/2013 This notice sets forth the schedule of a forthcoming meeting of the DoC NOAA National Climate Assessment and Development Advisory Committee (NCADAC). Time and Date: The meeting will be held October 1, 2013 from 9 a.m. to 5 p.m. and October 2, 2013 from 9 a.m. to 12 p.m. These times are subject to change. Please refer to the Web page http://www.nesdis.noaa.gov/NCADAC/index.html for changes and for the most up-to-date meeting agenda. Place: The meeting will be held at the Four Points by Sheraton located at 1201 K Street NW., Washington, DC 20005. Please check the Web site http://www.nesdis.noaa.gov/NCADAC/index.html for confirmation of the venue and for directions.

257

A Climate Time-Machine: 20th Century Reanalysis Project Explores Earth's  

NLE Websites -- All DOE Office Websites (Extended Search)

Climate Time-Machine Climate Time-Machine Climate Time-Machine 20th Century Reanalysis Project Explores Earth's Past and Future Climate January 25, 2011 | Tags: Climate Research, Franklin Berkeley Lab Contact: Jon Bashor, jbashor@lbl.gov, +1 510 486 5849 Wiley-Blackwell Contact: Ben Norman, lifesciencenews@wiley.com,+44(0)1243 770 375 Science Contact: Jeffrey Whitaker, Jeffrey.S.Whitaker@noaa.gov, +1 303 497 6313 2011-01-25-20C-Climate.jpg A dust storm approaching Stratford, TX on April 18, 1935. The 20th Century Reanalysis Project will provide missing information about the conditions in which early-century extreme climate events occurred, such as the prolonged drought that led to the Dust Bowl of the 1930s. From the hurricane that smashed into New York in 1938 to the impact of the

258

U.S. Global Change Research Program publishes "National Climate Assessment"  

Open Energy Info (EERE)

U.S. Global Change Research Program publishes "National Climate Assessment" U.S. Global Change Research Program publishes "National Climate Assessment" report for United States Home > Groups > OpenEI Community Central Graham7781's picture Submitted by Graham7781(2002) Super contributor 18 January, 2013 - 15:46 climate change drought OpenEI sea level rise temperatures U.S. Global Climate Change program The U.S. Global Change Research Program, established under the Department of Commerce in 2010, and partnered with NOAA, released an extensive National Climate Assessment report, projecting future climate changes in the United States under different scenarios. The 1,200 page report highlights some rather grim findings about the future of climate change. Here are 5 of the more disconcerting graphics from the report: 1. U.S. Average Temperatures

259

Climate Collections  

NLE Websites -- All DOE Office Websites (Extended Search)

Regional/Global > Climate Collections Regional/Global > Climate Collections Climate Collections Overview Climate encompasses the statistics of temperature, humidity, atmospheric pressure, wind, rainfall, atmospheric particle count, and numerous other meteorological elements in a given region over long periods of time. Climate can be contrasted to weather, which is the present condition of these same elements over periods up to two weeks. The climate collections project includes data sets containing measured and modeled values for variables such as temperature, precipitation, humidity, radiation, wind velocity, and cloud cover and include station measurements as well as gridded mean values. The ORNL DAAC Climate Collections Data archive includes 10 data products from the following categories:

260

Changing climate  

SciTech Connect

This article reviews a book written by a committee of the National Research Council. The book discussed the Greenhouse Effect which is a warming of the earth's atmosphere caused by the doubling of the atmospheric carbon dioxide concentration. The excess carbon dioxide is pollution derived from the burning of fossil fuels. The report suggested that the warming of the atmosphere would cause thawing of the polar regions which in turn would cause a rise in sea levels and flooding of the coastal lowlands. In addition to the flooding, the report predicted climate changes that would effect the productivity of croplands in the west. The authors of the report stressed that there was no way to avoid this warming of the earth. They suggested that people should start preparing for the inevitable.

1983-01-01T23:59:59.000Z

Note: This page contains sample records for the topic "noaa climate prediction" from the National Library of EnergyBeta (NLEBeta).
While these samples are representative of the content of NLEBeta,
they are not comprehensive nor are they the most current set.
We encourage you to perform a real-time search of NLEBeta
to obtain the most current and comprehensive results.


261

Impact of WRF Physics and Grid Resolution on Low-level Wind Prediction: Towards the Assessment of Climate Change Impact on Future Wind Power  

SciTech Connect

The Weather Research and Forecast (WRF) model is used in short-range simulations to explore the sensitivity of model physics and horizontal grid resolution. We choose five events with the clear-sky conditions to study the impact of different planetary boundary layer (PBL), surface and soil-layer physics on low-level wind forecast for two wind farms; one in California (CA) and the other in Texas (TX). Short-range simulations are validated with field measurements. Results indicate that the forecast error of the CA case decreases with increasing grid resolution due to the improved representation of valley winds. Besides, the model physics configuration has a significant impact on the forecast error at this location. In contrast, the forecast error of the TX case exhibits little dependence on grid resolution and is relatively independent of physics configuration. Therefore, the occurrence frequency of lowest root mean square errors (RMSEs) at this location is used to determine an optimal model configuration for subsequent decade-scale regional climate model (RCM) simulations. In this study, we perform two sets of 20-year RCM simulations using the data from the NCAR Global Climate Model (GCM) simulations; one set models the present climate and the other simulates the future climate. These RCM simulations will be used to assess the impact of climate change on future wind energy.

Chin, H S; Glascoe, L; Lundquist, J; Wharton, S

2010-02-24T23:59:59.000Z

262

Berkeley Lab Earth Sciences Division - Research - Programs - Climate &  

NLE Websites -- All DOE Office Websites (Extended Search)

research > programs > climate_carbon_sciences research > programs > climate_carbon_sciences Climate & Carbon Sciences Program Research Areas The Carbon Cycle Better Models for Robust Climate Projection Climate Science for a Sustainable Energy Future Projects Contacts Facilities & Centers Publications Climate & Carbon Sciences Program Climate & Carbon Sciences Program The global carbon cycle strongly regulates earth's climate, while anthropogenic disturbance of the carbon cycle is the main cause of current and predicted climate change. At the same time, humans depend on the terrestrial carbon cycle for food, fiber, energy, and pharmaceuticals. The Climate and Carbon Sciences Program of the Earth Sciences Division at Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory encompasses both atmospheric and

263

Climate & Environment | More Science | ORNL  

NLE Websites -- All DOE Office Websites (Extended Search)

Climate & Environment Climate & Environment SHARE Climate and Environment Climate and environmental scientists at ORNL conduct research, develop technology and perform analyses to understand and predict how environmental systems respond to global and regional changes - including climate change, environmental stress and energy production and use. By integrating field and laboratory methods with new theory, modeling, data systems and policy analysis, we develop solutions to complex environmental challenges. ORNL has an increasing programmatic focus on climate change and subsurface biogeochemical research. Current priorities in the area of climate and environmental research are focused on understanding biogeochemical cycling in terrestrial ecosystems by creating new databases and models to inform

264

Climate & Environmental Sciences | More Science | ORNL  

NLE Websites -- All DOE Office Websites (Extended Search)

Climate & Environment Climate & Environment SHARE Climate and Environmental Sciences Climate and environmental scientists at ORNL conduct research, develop technology and perform analyses to understand and predict how environmental systems respond to global and regional changes - including climate change, environmental stress and energy production and use. By integrating field and laboratory methods with new theory, modeling, data systems and policy analysis, we develop solutions to complex environmental challenges. ORNL has an increasing programmatic focus on climate change and subsurface biogeochemical research. Current priorities in the area of climate and environmental research are focused on understanding biogeochemical cycling in terrestrial ecosystems by creating new databases and models to inform

265

Climate & Environmental Sciences | More Science | ORNL  

NLE Websites -- All DOE Office Websites (Extended Search)

Climate & Environment Climate & Environment SHARE Climate and Environmental Sciences Climate and environmental scientists at ORNL conduct research, develop technology and perform analyses to understand and predict how environmental systems respond to global and regional changes - including climate change, environmental stress and energy production and use. By integrating field and laboratory methods with new theory, modeling, data systems and policy analysis, we develop solutions to complex environmental challenges. ORNL has an increasing programmatic focus on climate change and subsurface biogeochemical research. Current priorities in the area of climate and environmental research are focused on understanding biogeochemical cycling in terrestrial ecosystems by creating new databases and models to inform

266

Review of science issues, deployment strategy, and status for the ARM north slope of Alaska-Adjacent Arctic Ocean climate research site  

SciTech Connect

Recent climate modeling results point to the Arctic as a region that is particularly sensitive to global climate change. The Arctic warming predicted by the models to result from the expected doubling of atmospheric carbon dioxide is two to three times the predicted mean global warming, and considerably greater than the warming predicted for the Antarctic. The North Slope of Alaska-Adjacent Arctic Ocean (NSA-AAO) Cloud and Radiation Testbed (CART) site of the Atmospheric Radiation Measurement (ARM) Program is designed to collect data on temperature-ice-albedo and water vapor-cloud-radiation feedbacks, which are believed to be important to the predicted enhanced warming in the Arctic. The most important scientific issues of Arctic, as well as global, significance to be addressed at the NSA-AAO CART site are discussed, and a brief overview of the current approach toward, and status of, site development is provided. ARM radiometric and remote sensing instrumentation is already deployed and taking data in the perennial Arctic ice pack as part of the SHEBA (Surface Heat Budget of the Arctic ocean) experiment. In parallel with ARM`s participation in SHEBA, the NSA-AAO facility near Barrow was formally dedicated on 1 July 1997 and began routine data collection early in 1998. This schedule permits the US Department of Energy`s ARM Program, NASA`s Arctic Cloud program, and the SHEBA program (funded primarily by the National Science Foundation and the Office of Naval Research) to be mutually supportive. In addition, location of the NSA-AAO Barrow facility on National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration land immediately adjacent to its Climate Monitoring and Diagnostic Laboratory Barrow Observatory includes NOAA in this major interagency Arctic collaboration.

Stamnes, K. [Univ. of Alaska, Fairbanks, AK (United States). Geophysical Inst.; Ellingson, R.G. [Univ. of Maryland, College Park, MD (United States). Dept. of Meteorology; Curry, J.A. [Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO (United States). Dept. of Aerospace and Engineering Sciences; Walsh, J.E. [Univ. of Illinois, Urbana, IL (United States). Dept. of Atmospheric Sciences; Zak, B.D. [Sandia National Labs., Albuquerque, NM (United States)

1999-01-01T23:59:59.000Z

267

Climate Vision: Presidential Statements - February 14, 2002  

Office of Scientific and Technical Information (OSTI)

President Announces Clear Skies & Global Climate Change Initiatives President Announces Clear Skies & Global Climate Change Initiatives National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration Silver Spring, Maryland February 14, 2002 THE PRESIDENT: Thank you very much for that warm welcome. It's an honor to join you all today to talk about our environment and about the prospect of dramatic progress to improve it. Today, I'm announcing a new environmental approach that will clean our skies, bring greater health to our citizens and encourage environmentally responsible development in America and around the world. Particularly, it's an honor to address this topic at NOAA, whose research is providing us with the answers to critical questions about our environment. And so I want to thank Connie for his hospitality and I want to thank you for yours, as well. Connie said he felt kind of like Sasha

268

The Climate of the McMurdo, Antarctica, Region as Represented by One Year of Forecasts from the Antarctic Mesoscale Prediction System  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

In response to the need for improved weather prediction capabilities in support of the U.S. Antarctic Program’s Antarctic field operations, the Antarctic Mesoscale Prediction System (AMPS) was implemented in October 2000. AMPS employs a limited-...

Andrew J. Monaghan; David H. Bromwich; Jordan G. Powers; Kevin W. Manning

2005-04-01T23:59:59.000Z

269

Statistical Prediction of January-February Mean Northern Hemisphere Lower Tropospheric Climate from the 11-Year Solar Cycle and the Southern Oscillation for West and East QBO Phases  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

The association between the 11-year solar cycle and the tropospheric Northern Hemisphere climate in January-February for the 21 west QBO phase years in the 1951–88 period failed strongly in 1989. This failure is explained in part by the high ...

Anthony G. Barnston; Robert E. Livezey

1991-02-01T23:59:59.000Z

270

Using Tree Rings to Predict the Response of Tree Growth to Climate Change in the Continental United States during the Twenty-First Century  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

In the early 1900s, tree-ring scientists began analyzing the relative widths of annual growth rings preserved in the cross sections of trees to infer past climate variations. Now, many ring-width index (RWI) chronologies, each representing a ...

A. Park Williams; Joel Michaelsen; Steven W. Leavitt; Christopher J. Still

2010-12-01T23:59:59.000Z

271

Primary Modes and Predictability of Year-to-Year Snowpack Variations in the Western United States from Teleconnections with Pacific Ocean Climate  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

Snowpack, as measured on 1 April, is the primary source of warm-season streamflow for most of the western United States and thus represents an important source of water supply. An understanding of climate factors that influence the variability of ...

Gregory J. McCabe; Michael D. Dettinger

2002-02-01T23:59:59.000Z

272

NICCR - National Institute for Climate Change Research  

NLE Websites -- All DOE Office Websites (Extended Search)

project proposes to develop an approach useful in the prediction of potential effects of climate change on semiarid pion-juniper woodlands. The study will assess tree mortality...

273

Detailed methodology for mapping Sea Level Rise marsh migration: This document describes the mapping process used by the NOAA Coastal Services Center to map  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

to map SLR does not incorporate a detailed pipe network analysis or engineering grade hydrologic analysis Considerations handbook (http://www.csc.noaa.gov/topobathy/topographic- and

274

Crucial Experiments in Climate Science  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

This article discusses the interplay between computational experiments and scientific advancement in dynamical meteorology and climate dynamics. In doing so, the emphasis is on the dual role of computations in prediction and experimentation, ...

A. Navarra; J. L. Kinter III; J. Tribbia

2010-03-01T23:59:59.000Z

275

New Reports Explore How A Shifting Climate May Impact Eight U.S. Regions  

NLE Websites -- All DOE Office Websites (Extended Search)

Reports Explore How A Shifting Climate May Impact Eight U.S. Regions Print E-mail Reports Explore How A Shifting Climate May Impact Eight U.S. Regions Print E-mail President Obama Announces His Climate Action Plan Tuesday, July 30, 2013 The United States will be a much hotter place, precipitation patterns will shift, and climate extremes will increase by the end of the 21st century, according to reports released in January 2013 by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) in support of the National Climate Assessment (NCA). More recently, the U.S. Global Change Research Program (USGCRP) summarized the January reports into 2-page summaries for each region. The 2-page summaries outline current changes - and possible future changes - in climate according to region, looking at the Northeast, Southeast, Midwest, Great Plains, Northwest, Southwest, Alaska, and Hawai'i/Pacific Islands as well as summarizing overall nationwide trends.

276

Validation of GOES-Derived Surface Radiation Using NOAA's Physical Retrieval Method  

SciTech Connect

This report was part of a multiyear collaboration with the University of Wisconsin and the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) to produce high-quality, satellite-based, solar resource datasets for the United States. High-quality, solar resource assessment accelerates technology deployment by making a positive impact on decision making and reducing uncertainty in investment decisions. Satellite-based solar resource datasets are used as a primary source in solar resource assessment. This is mainly because satellites provide larger areal coverage and longer periods of record than ground-based measurements. With the advent of newer satellites with increased information content and faster computers that can process increasingly higher data volumes, methods that were considered too computationally intensive are now feasible. One class of sophisticated methods for retrieving solar resource information from satellites is a two-step, physics-based method that computes cloud properties and uses the information in a radiative transfer model to compute solar radiation. This method has the advantage of adding additional information as satellites with newer channels come on board. This report evaluates the two-step method developed at NOAA and adapted for solar resource assessment for renewable energy with the goal of identifying areas that can be improved in the future.

Habte, A.; Sengupta, M.; Wilcox, S.

2013-01-01T23:59:59.000Z

277

Uncertainty Assessment of Future Hydroclimatic Predictions: A Comparison of Probabilistic and Scenario-Based Approaches  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

During the last decade, numerous studies have been carried out to predict future climate based on climatic models run on the global scale and fed by plausible scenarios about anthropogenic forcing to climate. Based on climatic model output, ...

D. Koutsoyiannis; A. Efstratiadis; K. P. Georgakakos

2007-06-01T23:59:59.000Z

278

The ECPC Coupled Prediction Model  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

This paper presents a new Experimental Climate Prediction Center (ECPC) Coupled Prediction Model (ECPM). The ECPM includes the Jet Propulsion Laboratory (JPL) version of the Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT) ocean model coupled to the ...

E. Yulaeva; M. Kanamitsu; J. Roads

2008-01-01T23:59:59.000Z

279

National Climate Assessment and Development Advisory Committee (NCADAC)  

NLE Websites -- All DOE Office Websites (Extended Search)

Print E-mail Print E-mail National Climate Assessment and Development Advisory Committee (NCADAC) pdf | html A Notice by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration on 08/21/2013 This notice sets forth the schedule of a forthcoming meeting of the DoC NOAA National Climate Assessment and Development Advisory Committee (NCADAC). Time and Date: The meeting will be held Monday, September 9, 2013 from 3:00 p.m.-5:00 p.m. Eastern time. Place: This meeting will be a conference call. Public access and materials will be available at the office of the U.S. Global Change Research Program, Conference Room A, Suite 250, 1717 Pennsylvania Avenue NW., Washington, DC 20006. The public will not be able to dial into the call. Please check the National Climate Assessment Web site for additional information at http://www.globalchange.gov/what-we-do/assessment.

280

Change in Pacific nitrogen content tied to climate change  

NLE Websites -- All DOE Office Websites (Extended Search)

4 4 For immediate release: 12/15/2013 | NR-13-12-04 High Resolution Image Living and fossilized coral are gathered from dives in the Hawaiian Islands. A Lawrence Livermore scientist and collaborators have studied coral to determine that a long-term shift in nitrogen content in the Pacific Ocean has occurred as a result of climate change. Image courtesy of NOAA Hawaii Undersea Research Laboratory. Change in Pacific nitrogen content tied to climate change Anne M Stark, LLNL, (925) 422-9799, stark8@llnl.gov Using deep sea corals gathered near the Hawaiian Islands, a Lawrence Livermore scientist, in collaboration with UC Santa Cruz colleagues, has determined that a long-term shift in nitrogen content in the Pacific Ocean has occurred as a result of climate change.

Note: This page contains sample records for the topic "noaa climate prediction" from the National Library of EnergyBeta (NLEBeta).
While these samples are representative of the content of NLEBeta,
they are not comprehensive nor are they the most current set.
We encourage you to perform a real-time search of NLEBeta
to obtain the most current and comprehensive results.


281

Climate Science Overview  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

NIST Home > Climate Science Overview. NIST Greenhouse Gas Measurements and Climate Research Program Overview. Earth's climate is ...

2010-07-06T23:59:59.000Z

282

Climate Reference Network Daily01 Product | Data.gov  

NLE Websites -- All DOE Office Websites (Extended Search)

Michael.Palecki@noaa.gov Unique Identifier DOC-2662 Public Access Level public Data Dictionary ftp:ftp.ncdc.noaa.govpubdatauscrnproductsdaily01README.txt Data Download URL...

283

Climate Reference Network Hourly02 Product | Data.gov  

NLE Websites -- All DOE Office Websites (Extended Search)

Michael.Palecki@noaa.gov Unique Identifier DOC-2663 Public Access Level public Data Dictionary ftp:ftp.ncdc.noaa.govpubdatauscrnproductshourly02README.txt Data Download...

284

Reply to “Comments on ‘A Bias in the Midtropospheric Channel Warm Target Factor on the NOAA-9 Microwave Sounding Unit’”  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

The main finding by Po-Chedley and Fu was that the University of Alabama in Huntsville (UAH) microwave sounding unit (MSU) product has a bias in its NOAA-9 midtropospheric channel (TMT) warm target factor, which leads to a cold bias in the TMT ...

Stephen Po-Chedley; Qiang Fu

2013-05-01T23:59:59.000Z

285

Twenty-Four-Hour Observations of the Marine Boundary Layer Using Shipborne NOAA High-Resolution Doppler Lidar  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

Shipborne observations obtained with the NOAA high-resolution Doppler lidar (HRDL) during the 1999 Nauru (Nauru99) campaign were used to study the structure of the marine boundary layer (MBL) in the tropical Pacific Ocean. During a day with weak ...

Volker Wulfmeyer; Tijana Janji?

2005-11-01T23:59:59.000Z

286

OCAO Computer Refreshment Policy The NOAA CAO is responsible for budgeting and procuring all personal computers and other  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

6/20/2007 OCAO Computer Refreshment Policy Purpose: The NOAA CAO is responsible for budgeting and procuring all personal computers and other support computers used by OCAO staff. To facilitate adequate capital planning and clarify acquisition policies, the following Computer Refreshment Policy

287

Time-Distance analysis of the Emerging Active Region NOAA 10790  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

We investigate the emergence of Active Region NOAA 10790 by means of time--distance helioseismology. Shallow regions of increased sound speed at the location of increased magnetic activity are observed, with regions becoming deeper at the locations of sunspot pores. We also see a long-lasting region of decreased sound speed located underneath the region of the flux emergence, possibly relating to a temperature perturbation due to magnetic quenching of eddy diffusivity, or to a dense flux tube. We detect and track an object in the subsurface layers of the Sun characterised by increased sound speed which could be related to emerging magnetic flux and thus obtain a provisional estimate of the speed of emergence of around $1 {\\rm km s^{-1}}$.

S. Zharkov; M. J. Thompson

2008-07-18T23:59:59.000Z

288

NOAA/DOE CWP structural analysis package. [CWPFLY, CWPEXT, COTEC, and XOTEC codes  

DOE Green Energy (OSTI)

The theoretical development and computer code user's manual for analysis of the Ocean Thermal Energy Conversion (OTEC) plant cold water pipe (CWP) are presented. The analysis of the CWP includes coupled platform/CWP loadngs and dynamic responses. This report with the exception of the Introduction and Appendix F was orginally published as Hydronautics, Inc., Technical Report No. 7825-2 (by Barr, Chang, and Thasanatorn) in November 1978. A detailed theoretical development of the equations describing the coupled platform/CWP system and preliminary validation efforts are described. The appendices encompass a complete user's manual, describing the inputs, outputs and operation of the four component programs, and detail changes and updates implemented since the original release of the code by Hydronautics. The code itself is available through NOAA's Office of Ocean Technology and Engineering Services.

Pompa, J.A.; Lunz, D.F. (eds.)

1979-09-01T23:59:59.000Z

289

Does An ENSO-Conditional Skill Mask Improve Seasonal Predictions?  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

The National Centers for Environmental Prediction, Climate Prediction Center uses statistical tools together with the Climate Forecast System to produce forecasts for seasonal outlooks of U.S. temperature and precipitation. They are combined using ...

Kathy Pegion; Arun Kumar

290

Spatial-Scale Dependence of Climate Model Performance in the CMIP3 Ensemble  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

About 20 global climate models have been run for the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Fourth Assessment Report (AR4) to predict climate change due to anthropogenic activities. Evaluating these models is an important step to ...

David Masson; Reto Knutti

2011-06-01T23:59:59.000Z

291

Dynamics of Interdecadal Climate Variability: A Historical Perspective  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

The emerging interest in decadal climate prediction highlights the importance of understanding the mechanisms of decadal to interdecadal climate variability. The purpose of this paper is to provide a review of our understanding of interdecadal ...

Zhengyu Liu

2012-03-01T23:59:59.000Z

292

Data Clustering Reveals Climate Impacts on Local Wind Phenomena  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

The authors demonstrate the utility of k-means clustering for identifying relationships between winds at turbine heights and climate oscillations, thereby developing a method suited for predicting the impacts of climate change on wind resources. ...

Andrew Clifton; Julie K. Lundquist

2012-08-01T23:59:59.000Z

293

Application of MJO Simulation Diagnostics to Climate Models  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

The ability of eight climate models to simulate the Madden–Julian oscillation (MJO) is examined using diagnostics developed by the U.S. Climate Variability and Predictability (CLIVAR) MJO Working Group. Although the MJO signal has been extracted ...

D. Kim; K. Sperber; W. Stern; D. Waliser; I.-S. Kang; E. Maloney; W. Wang; K. Weickmann; J. Benedict; M. Khairoutdinov; M.-I. Lee; R. Neale; M. Suarez; K. Thayer-Calder; G. Zhang

2009-12-01T23:59:59.000Z

294

Climate Change Science Institute | Clean Energy | ORNL  

NLE Websites -- All DOE Office Websites (Extended Search)

Climate Change Science Institute Climate Change Science Institute SHARE Climate Change Science Institute To advance understanding of the Earth system, describe the consequences of climate change, and evaluate and inform policy on the outcomes of climate change responses. The Climate Change Science Institute is an inter-disciplinary, cross-directorate research organization created in 2009 to advance climate change science research. More than 100 researchers from the Computing and Computational Sciences and the Energy and Environmental Sciences Directorates at ORNL actively participate in CCSI research. CCSI aims to understand the fate of carbon in the climate system-the central issue of greenhouse-gas-induced warming-so we can develop the predictive infrastructure to help answer questions about low-probability, high-impact

295

Habitable Climates  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

According to the standard liquid-water definition, the Earth is only partially habitable. We reconsider planetary habitability in the framework of energy-balance models, the simplest seasonal models in physical climatology, to assess the spatial and temporal habitability of Earth-like planets. We quantify the degree of climatic habitability of our models with several metrics of fractional habitability. Previous evaluations of habitable zones may have omitted important climatic conditions by focusing on close Solar System analogies. For example, we find that model pseudo-Earths with different rotation rates or different land-ocean fractions have fractional habitabilities that differ significantly from that of the Earth itself. Furthermore, the stability of a planet's climate against albedo-feedback snowball events strongly impacts its habitability. Therefore, issues of climate dynamics may be central in assessing the habitability of discovered terrestrial exoplanets, especially if astronomical forcing conditions are different from the moderate Solar System cases.

David S. Spiegel; Kristen Menou; Caleb A. Scharf

2007-11-30T23:59:59.000Z

296

Combined effects of anthropogenic emissions and resultant climatic changes on atmospheric OH  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

Using a coupled global atmospheric chemistry and climate model we have predicted the evolution of tropospheric concentrations of chemical species along with climate parameters, based on a set of economic model predictions ...

Wang, Chien.; Prinn, Ronald G.

297

CORRELATION OF DNA METHYLATION WITH MERCURY CONTAMINATION IN MARINE ORGANISMS: A CASE STUDY OF NOAA MUSSEL WATCH TISSUE SAMPLES  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

American oysters (Crassostrea virginica) obtained from the NOAA Mussel Watch program were screened for DNA methylation, a type of epigenetic response to stressors. Oysters were collected from sites in the Gulf of Mexico having high mercury contamination (measured by NOAA) and from sites with little to no measurable mercury. Assessment of anthropogenic stressors such as mercury in the coastal environment has traditionally relied upon species diversity indices or assays to determine lethal doses. However, these indices fail to examine sub-lethal impacts such as gene expression. A ‘global’ DNA methylation kit, recently introduced by Sigma-Aldrich, was used to spectrophotometrically compare the degree of methylation in DNA extracted from contaminated oysters and non-contaminated oysters. DNA methylation was higher in oysters from pristine sites than in oysters from contaminated sites.

Brinkmeyer, Robin; Taylor, Robert; Germ, Kaylyn E.

2011-08-04T23:59:59.000Z

298

Tropical Cyclone Activity Downscaled from NOAA-CIRES Reanalysis, 1908-1958  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

A recently developed technique for deducing tropical cyclone activity from global reanalyses and climate models is applied to a reanalysis of the global atmosphere during the period 1908-1958. This reanalysis assimilates ...

Emanuel, Kerry Andrew

299

Contacts: Chris Vaccaro, NOAA FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE 301-713-0622 May 11, 2011  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

to the uncertainty of future climate, land-use changes, an aging water delivery infrastructure, and an increasing utilizing the best available science," said Jane Lubchenco, Ph.D., under secretary of commerce for oceans

300

Spatial and temporal responses of different crop-growing environments to agricultural drought: a study in Haryana state, India using NOAA AVHRR data  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

Spatial and temporal responses to agricultural drought of different districts with different crop-growing environments were assessed using National Oceanic & Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) Advanced Very High Resolution Radiometer (AVHRR)-derived ...

C. S. Murthy; M. V. R. Sesha Sai; K. Chandrasekar; P. S. Roy

2009-01-01T23:59:59.000Z

Note: This page contains sample records for the topic "noaa climate prediction" from the National Library of EnergyBeta (NLEBeta).
While these samples are representative of the content of NLEBeta,
they are not comprehensive nor are they the most current set.
We encourage you to perform a real-time search of NLEBeta
to obtain the most current and comprehensive results.


301

Assimilating AMSU-A Radiances in TC Core Area with NOAA Operational HWRF (2011) and a Hybrid Data Assimilation System: Danielle (2010)  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

A regional hybrid variational-ensemble data assimilation system (HVEDAS), the Maximum Likelihood Ensemble Filter (MLEF), is applied to the 2011 version of the NOAA operational Hurricane Weather Research and Forecasting (HWRF) model to evaluate the ...

Man Zhang; Milija Zupanski; Min-Jeong Kim; John A. Knaff

302

Intersatellite Radiance Biases for the High-Resolution Infrared Radiation Sounders (HIRS) on board NOAA-15, -16, and -17 from Simultaneous Nadir Observations  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

Intersatellite radiance comparisons for the 19 infrared channels of the High-Resolution Infrared Radiation Sounders (HIRS) on board NOAA-15, -16, and -17 are performed with simultaneous nadir observations at the orbital intersections of the ...

Changyong Cao; Hui Xu; Jerry Sullivan; Larry McMillin; Pubu Ciren; Yu-Tai Hou

2005-04-01T23:59:59.000Z

303

Effects of the Choice of Meteorological Data on a Radiation Model Simulation of the NOAA Technique for Estimating Outgoing Longwave Radiation from Satellite Radiance Observations  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

The technique used by NOAA to estimate the outgoing longwave flux from 10 ?m window radiance observations has been reexamined because the data that result from the application of the empirically determined regression equation are systematically ...

Robert G. Ellingson; David J. Yanuk; Arnold Gruber

1989-08-01T23:59:59.000Z

304

Determination of Atmospheric Temperature Profiles from a Statistical Combination of Ground-Based Profiler and Operational NOAA 6/7 Satellite Retrievals  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

Radiometric soundings from the Wave Propagation Laboratory's ground-based Profiler, the NOAA 6/7 satellites, and the combination of the two, were compared in their ability to derive temperature and moisture profiles. Radiosonde data for the ...

E. R. Westwater; W. B. Sweezy; L. M. McMillin; Charles Dean

1984-05-01T23:59:59.000Z

305

EVOLUTION OF CURRENTS OF OPPOSITE SIGNS IN THE FLARE-PRODUCTIVE SOLAR ACTIVE REGION NOAA 10930  

SciTech Connect

Analysis of a time series of high spatial resolution vector magnetograms of the active region NOAA 10930 available from the Solar Optical Telescope SpectroPolarimeter on board Hinode revealed that there is a mixture of upward and downward currents in the two footpoints of an emerging flux rope. The flux emergence rate is almost the same in both the polarities. We observe that along with an increase in magnetic flux, the net current in each polarity increases initially for about three days after which it decreases. This net current is characterized by having exactly opposite signs in each polarity while its magnitude remains almost the same most of the time. The decrease of the net current in both the polarities is due to the increase of current having a sign opposite to that of the net current. The dominant current, with the same sign as the net current, is seen to increase first and then decreases during the major X-class flares. Evolution of non-dominant current appears to be a necessary condition for flare initiation. The above observations can be plausibly explained in terms of the superposition of two different force-free states resulting in a non-zero Lorentz force in the corona. This Lorentz force then pushes the coronal plasma and might facilitate the magnetic reconnection required for flares. Also, the evolution of the net current is found to follow the evolution of magnetic shear at the polarity inversion line.

Ravindra, B. [Indian Institute of Astrophysics, Koramangala, Bangalore 560 034 (India); Venkatakrishnan, P.; Tiwari, Sanjiv Kumar; Bhattacharyya, R., E-mail: ravindra@iiap.res.in, E-mail: pvk@prl.res.in, E-mail: tiwari@mps.mpg.de, E-mail: ramit@prl.res.in [Udaipur Solar Observatory, Physical Research Laboratory, Dewali, Bari Road, Udaipur 313 001 (India)

2011-10-10T23:59:59.000Z

306

Evolution of Anemone AR NOAA 10798 and the Related Geo-Effective Flares and CMEs  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

We present a detailed examination of the features of the Active Region (AR) NOAA 10798. This AR generated coronal mass ejections (CMEs) that caused a large geomagnetic storm on 24 August 2005 with the minimum Dst index of -216 nT. We examined the evolution of the AR and the features on/near the solar surface and in the interplanetary space. The AR emerged in the middle of a small coronal hole, and formed a {\\it sea anemone} like configuration. H$\\alpha$ filaments were formed in the AR, which have southward axial field. Three M-class flares were generated, and the first two that occurred on 22 August 2005 were followed by Halo-type CMEs. The speeds of the CMEs were fast, and recorded about 1200 and 2400 km s$^{-1}$, respectively. The second CME was especially fast, and caught up and interacted with the first (slower) CME during their travelings toward Earth. These acted synergically to generate an interplanetary disturbance with strong southward magnetic field of about -50 nT, which was followed by the large g...

Asai, Ayumi; Ishii, Takako T; Oka, Mitsuo; Kataoka, Ryuho; Fujiki, Ken'ichi; Gopalswamy, Nat

2008-01-01T23:59:59.000Z

307

Evolution of Anemone AR NOAA 10798 and the Related Geo-Effective Flares and CMEs  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

We present a detailed examination of the features of the Active Region (AR) NOAA 10798. This AR generated coronal mass ejections (CMEs) that caused a large geomagnetic storm on 24 August 2005 with the minimum Dst index of -216 nT. We examined the evolution of the AR and the features on/near the solar surface and in the interplanetary space. The AR emerged in the middle of a small coronal hole, and formed a {\\it sea anemone} like configuration. H$\\alpha$ filaments were formed in the AR, which have southward axial field. Three M-class flares were generated, and the first two that occurred on 22 August 2005 were followed by Halo-type CMEs. The speeds of the CMEs were fast, and recorded about 1200 and 2400 km s$^{-1}$, respectively. The second CME was especially fast, and caught up and interacted with the first (slower) CME during their travelings toward Earth. These acted synergically to generate an interplanetary disturbance with strong southward magnetic field of about -50 nT, which was followed by the large geomagnetic storm.

Ayumi Asai; Kazunari Shibata; Takako T. Ishii; Mitsuo Oka; Ryuho Kataoka; Ken'ichi Fujiki; Nat Gopalswamy

2008-12-11T23:59:59.000Z

308

CALCULATING ENERGY STORAGE DUE TO TOPOLOGICAL CHANGES IN EMERGING ACTIVE REGION NOAA AR 11112  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

The minimum current corona model provides a way to estimate stored coronal energy using the number of field lines connecting regions of positive and negative photospheric flux. This information is quantified by the net flux connecting pairs of opposing regions in a connectivity matrix. Changes in the coronal magnetic field, due to processes such as magnetic reconnection, manifest themselves as changes in the connectivity matrix. However, the connectivity matrix will also change when flux sources emerge or submerge through the photosphere, as often happens in active regions. We have developed an algorithm to estimate the changes in flux due to emergence and submergence of magnetic flux sources. These estimated changes must be accounted for in order to quantify storage and release of magnetic energy in the corona. To perform this calculation over extended periods of time, we must additionally have a consistently labeled connectivity matrix over the entire observational time span. We have therefore developed an automated tracking algorithm to generate a consistent connectivity matrix as the photospheric source regions evolve over time. We have applied this method to NOAA Active Region 11112, which underwent a GOES M2.9 class flare around 19:00 on 2010 October 16th, and calculated a lower bound on the free magnetic energy buildup of {approx}8.25 Multiplication-Sign 10{sup 30} erg over 3 days.

Tarr, Lucas; Longcope, Dana [Department of Physics, Montana State University, Bozeman, MT 59717 (United States)

2012-04-10T23:59:59.000Z

309

NUMERICAL MODELING OF THE INITIATION OF CORONAL MASS EJECTIONS IN ACTIVE REGION NOAA 9415  

SciTech Connect

Coronal mass ejections (CMEs) and solar flares are the main drivers of weather in space. Understanding how these events occur and what conditions might lead to eruptive events is of crucial importance for up to date and reliable space weather forecasting. The aim of this paper is to present a numerical magnetohydrodynamic (MHD) data-inspired model suitable for the simulation of the CME initiation and their early evolution. Starting from a potential magnetic field extrapolation of the active region (AR) NOAA 9415, we solve the full set of ideal MHD equations in a non-zero plasma-{beta} environment. As a consequence of the applied twisting motions, a force-free-magnetic field configuration is obtained, which has the same chirality as the investigated AR. We investigate the response of the solar corona when photospheric motions resembling the ones observed for AR 9415 are applied at the inner boundary. As a response to the converging shearing motions, a flux rope is formed that quickly propagates outward, carrying away the plasma confined inside the flux rope against the gravitational attraction by the Sun. Moreover, a compressed leading edge propagating at a speed of about 550 km s{sup -1} and preceding the CME is formed. The presented simulation shows that both the initial magnetic field configuration and the plasma-magnetic-field interaction are relevant for a more comprehensive understanding of the CME initiation and early evolution phenomenon.

Zuccarello, F. P.; Poedts, S. [Centre for Mathematical Plasma-Astrophysics, KU Leuven, Celestijnenlaan 200B, B-3001 Leuven (Belgium); Meliani, Z., E-mail: Francesco.Zuccarello@wis.kuleuven.be, E-mail: Stefaan.Poedts@wis.kuleuven.be, E-mail: zakaria.meliani@obspm.fr [Observatoire de Paris, LUTh, F-92190 Meudon (France)

2012-10-20T23:59:59.000Z

310

Global climate change and international security  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

On May 8--10, 1991, the Midwest Consortium of International Security Studies (MCISS) and Argonne National Laboratory cosponsored a conference on Global Climate Change and International Security. The aim was to bring together natural and social scientists to examine the economic, sociopolitical, and security implications of the climate changes predicted by the general circulation models developed by natural scientists. Five themes emerged from the papers and discussions: (1) general circulation models and predicted climate change; (2) the effects of climate change on agriculture, especially in the Third World; (3) economic implications of policies to reduce greenhouse gas emissions; (4) the sociopolitical consequences of climate change; and (5) the effect of climate change on global security.

Rice, M.

1991-01-01T23:59:59.000Z

311

The Advanced Very High Resolution Radiometer Pathfinder Atmosphere (PATMOS) Climate Dataset: A Resource for Climate Research  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

As part of the joint National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) and National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA) Pathfinder program, the NOAA National Environmental Satellite, Data, and Information Service (NESDIS) has created ...

Herbert Jacobowitz; Larry L. Stowe; George Ohring; Andrew Heidinger; Kenneth Knapp; Nicholas R. Nalli

2003-06-01T23:59:59.000Z

312

On the Effective Number of Climate Models  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

Projections of future climate change are increasingly based on the output of many different models. Typically, the mean over all model simulations is considered as the optimal prediction, with the underlying assumption that different models ...

Christopher Pennell; Thomas Reichler

2011-05-01T23:59:59.000Z

313

Study Climate and Global Change  

NLE Websites -- All DOE Office Websites (Extended Search)

What We Study How We Study Prepare The Nation For Change Assess the U.S. Climate Make Our Science Accessible Link Climate Change & Health Provide Data and Tools Coordinate Internationally Study Climate and Global Change Print E-mail Deforestation What is global change? "Global change" refers to changes in the global environment that may alter the capacity of the Earth to sustain life. This includes alterations in: Climate Land productivity Oceans or other water resources Atmospheric chemistry Ecological systems Demographic and socioeconomic trends What is global change research? According to the Global Change Research Act of 1990, "Global change research" refers to the study, monitoring, assessment, prediction, and information management activities used to describe and understand the:

314

Recent Global Climate Change-Related News and Publications  

NLE Websites -- All DOE Office Websites (Extended Search)

Recent Global Climate Change-Related News and Publications Recent Global Climate Change-Related News and Publications A sampling of what CDIAC staff members have been following: Extreme summer weather in northern mid-latitudes linked to a vanishing cryosphere. Tang, Q., X. Zhang, and J.A. Francis, 2013, Nature Climate Change DOI: 10.1038/nclimate2065. Uncertainty in annual aankings from NOAA's global temperature time series. Arguez A., T.R. Karl, M.F. Squires, and R.S. Vose, 2013, Geophysical Research Letters DOI: 10.1002/2013GL057999. Climate extremes and the carbon cycle. Reichstein, M., et al.., 2013, Nature DOI: 10.1038/nature12350. Anatomy of an extreme event. Hoerling, M., et al., 2013, J. Climate DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00270.1. Australia's unique influence on global sea level in 2010-2011. Fasullo, J.T., C. Boening, F.W. Landerer, and R.S. Nerem, 2013, Geophysical

315

EVOLUTION OF RELATIVE MAGNETIC HELICITY AND CURRENT HELICITY IN NOAA ACTIVE REGION 11158  

SciTech Connect

Both magnetic and current helicities are crucial ingredients for describing the complexity of active-region magnetic structure. In this Letter, we present the temporal evolution of these helicities contained in NOAA active region 11158 during five days from 2011 February 12 to 16. The photospheric vector magnetograms of the Helioseismic and Magnetic Imager on board the Solar Dynamic Observatory were used as the boundary conditions for the coronal field extrapolation under the assumption of nonlinear force-free field, from which we calculated both relative magnetic helicity and current helicity. We construct a time-altitude diagram in which altitude distribution of the magnitude of current helicity density is displayed as a function of time. This diagram clearly shows a pattern of upwardly propagating current helicity density over two days prior to the X2.2 flare on February 15 with an average propagation speed of {approx}36 m s{sup -1}. The propagation is synchronous with the emergence of magnetic flux into the photosphere, and indicative of a gradual energy buildup for the X2.2 flare. The time profile of the relative magnetic helicity shows a monotonically increasing trend most of the time, but a pattern of increasing and decreasing magnetic helicity above the monotonic variation appears prior to each of two major flares, M6.6 and X2.2, respectively. The physics underlying this bump pattern is not fully understood. However, the fact that this pattern is apparent in the magnetic helicity evolution but not in the magnetic flux evolution makes it a useful indicator in forecasting major flares.

Jing, Ju; Liu, Chang; Lee, Jeongwoo; Xu, Yan; Deng, Na; Wang, Haimin [Space Weather Research Laboratory, New Jersey Institute of Technology, Newark, NJ 07102 (United States); Park, Sung-Hong [Korea Astronomy and Space Science Institute, Daejeon, 305-348 (Korea, Republic of); Wiegelmann, Thomas, E-mail: ju.jing@njit.edu, E-mail: chang.liu@njit.edu, E-mail: yx2@njit.edu, E-mail: na.deng@njit.edu, E-mail: haimin@flare.njit.edu, E-mail: freemler@kasi.re.kr, E-mail: leej@njit.edu, E-mail: wiegelmann@linmpi.mpg.de [Max Planck Institut fuer Sonnensystemforschung (MPS), Max-Planck-Strasse 2, 37191 Katlenburg-Lindau (Germany)

2012-06-10T23:59:59.000Z

316

CALCULATING SEPARATE MAGNETIC FREE ENERGY ESTIMATES FOR ACTIVE REGIONS PRODUCING MULTIPLE FLARES: NOAA AR11158  

SciTech Connect

It is well known that photospheric flux emergence is an important process for stressing coronal fields and storing magnetic free energy, which may then be released during a flare. The Helioseismic and Magnetic Imager (HMI) on board the Solar Dynamics Observatory (SDO) captured the entire emergence of NOAA AR 11158. This region emerged as two distinct bipoles, possibly connected underneath the photosphere, yet characterized by different photospheric field evolutions and fluxes. The combined active region complex produced 15 GOES C-class, two M-class, and the X2.2 Valentine's Day Flare during the four days after initial emergence on 2011 February 12. The M and X class flares are of particular interest because they are nonhomologous, involving different subregions of the active region. We use a Magnetic Charge Topology together with the Minimum Current Corona model of the coronal field to model field evolution of the complex. Combining this with observations of flare ribbons in the 1600 A channel of the Atmospheric Imaging Assembly on board SDO, we propose a minimization algorithm for estimating the amount of reconnected flux and resulting drop in magnetic free energy during a flare. For the M6.6, M2.2, and X2.2 flares, we find a flux exchange of 4.2 Multiplication-Sign 10{sup 20} Mx, 2.0 Multiplication-Sign 10{sup 20} Mx, and 21.0 Multiplication-Sign 10{sup 20} Mx, respectively, resulting in free energy drops of 3.89 Multiplication-Sign 10{sup 30} erg, 2.62 Multiplication-Sign 10{sup 30} erg, and 1.68 Multiplication-Sign 10{sup 32} erg.

Tarr, Lucas; Longcope, Dana; Millhouse, Margaret [Department of Physics, Montana State University, Bozeman, MT 59717 (United States)

2013-06-10T23:59:59.000Z

317

Climate VISION: News - Bush Administration Launches "Climate...  

Office of Scientific and Technical Information (OSTI)

Will Address Challenge of Climate Change WASHINGTON, D.C., - Today, the Department of Energy, on behalf of the Administration, launched the President's "Climate VISION"...

318

Application: Cold Climate  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

*. Bookmark and Share. Application: Cold Climate. Fire Suppression in Cold Climates: A Technical Review.. Catchpole, DV; 2000. ...

2011-12-22T23:59:59.000Z

319

INCCA: Integrated Climate and Carbon  

SciTech Connect

The INCCA (Integrated Climate and Carbon) initiative will develop and apply the ability to simulate the fate and climate impact of fossil fuel-derived carbon dioxide (CO{sub 2}) and aerosols on a global scale. Coupled climate and carbon cycle modeling like that proposed for INCCA is required to understand and predict the future environmental impacts of fossil fuel burning. At present, atmospheric CO{sub 2} concentrations are prescribed, not simulated, in large climate models. Credible simulations of the entire climate system, however, need to predict time-evolving atmospheric greenhouse forcing using anthropogenic emissions as the fundamental input. Predicting atmospheric COS concentrations represents a substantial scientific advance because there are large natural sources and sinks of carbon that are likely to change as a result of climate change. Both terrestrial (e.g., vegetation on land) and oceanic components of the carbon cycle are known to be sensitive to climate change. Estimates of the amount of man-made CO{sub 2} that will accumulate in the atmosphere depend on understanding the carbon cycle. For this reason, models that use CO{sub 2} emissions, not prescribed atmospheric concentrations, as fundamental inputs are required to directly address greenhouse-related questions of interest to policymakers. INCCA is uniquely positioned to make rapid progress in this high-priority area of global change modeling and prediction because we can leverage previous and ongoing LLNL developments, and use existing component models that are well-developed and published. The need for a vastly improved carbon dioxide prediction capability is appreciated by the DOE. As the US Accelerated Climate Prediction Initiative (ACPI) progresses, we expect the DOE will emphasize the carbon cycle as the next major department-level earth science focus. INCCA will position LLNL for substantial additional funding as this new focus is realized. In the limited time since our LDRD funding was first received (1 November 2000) we have made good progress in acquisition and testing of component models, applications of the terrestrial biosphere model, enhancements to the ocean carbon cycle model and development of the fossil fuel aerosol model.

Thompson, S L

2001-03-13T23:59:59.000Z

320

Climate & Environmental Sciences | Clean Energy | ORNL  

NLE Websites -- All DOE Office Websites (Extended Search)

Climate Change Science Institute Earth and Aquatic Sciences Ecosystem Science Environmental Data Science and Systems Energy, Water and Ecosystem Engineering Human Health Risk and Environmental Analysis Renewable Energy Systems Manufacturing Fossil Energy Sensors & Measurement Sustainable Electricity Systems Biology Transportation Clean Energy Home | Science & Discovery | Clean Energy | Research Areas | Climate & Environment SHARE Climate and Environmental Sciences Scientists Scott Brooks and Carrie Miller collect water quality data, East Fork Poplar Creek, November 15, 2012. Sampling site for mercury. Climate and environmental scientists at ORNL conduct research, develop technology and perform analyses to understand and predict how environmental systems respond to global and regional changes - including

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321

Puget Sound Operational Forecast System - A Real-time Predictive Tool for Marine Resource Management and Emergency Responses  

SciTech Connect

To support marine ecological resource management and emergency response and to enhance scientific understanding of physical and biogeochemical processes in Puget Sound, a real-time Puget Sound Operational Forecast System (PS-OFS) was developed by the Coastal Ocean Dynamics & Ecosystem Modeling group (CODEM) of Pacific Northwest National Laboratory (PNNL). PS-OFS employs the state-of-the-art three-dimensional coastal ocean model and closely follows the standards and procedures established by National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) National Ocean Service (NOS). PS-OFS consists of four key components supporting the Puget Sound Circulation and Transport Model (PS-CTM): data acquisition, model execution and product archive, model skill assessment, and model results dissemination. This paper provides an overview of PS-OFS and its ability to provide vital real-time oceanographic information to the Puget Sound community. PS-OFS supports pacific northwest region’s growing need for a predictive tool to assist water quality management, fish stock recovery efforts, maritime emergency response, nearshore land-use planning, and the challenge of climate change and sea level rise impacts. The structure of PS-OFS and examples of the system inputs and outputs, forecast results are presented in details.

Yang, Zhaoqing; Khangaonkar, Tarang; Chase, Jared M.; Wang, Taiping

2009-12-01T23:59:59.000Z

322

New Report Summarizes Climate Change Impacts on U.S. Oceans, Marine  

NLE Websites -- All DOE Office Websites (Extended Search)

New Report Summarizes Climate Change Impacts on U.S. Oceans, Marine Resources Print E-mail New Report Summarizes Climate Change Impacts on U.S. Oceans, Marine Resources Print E-mail New Report Summarizes Climate Change Impacts on U.S. Oceans, Marine Resources Thursday, September 19, 2013 Featured by NOAA, a member of the U.S. Global Change Research Program According to a new technical report prepared for the 2013 National Climate Assessment, the nation's valuable ocean ecosystems and marine resources are already being affected by a changing climate. These impacts are expected to increase in the coming years, putting marine resources - and the people and economies that depend on them - at high risk in a changing world. The report, Oceans and Marine Resources in a Changing Climate reviews how climate variability is affecting the physical, chemical, and biological conditions of ocean ecosystems, and how these changes are already having societal impacts by affecting fisheries and other valuable ocean products and services. It also synthesizes information on projected climate-driven changes in U.S. ocean ecosystems over the next 25 to 100 years.

323

U.S. climate tilts toward the greenhouse  

SciTech Connect

Thomas Karl and his colleagues at the National Climatic Data Center in NC have found indications that the US climate has turned toward a greenhouse regime in the past 15 years. By combining data on summer droughts, wet winters, drenching rainstorms, and other weather extreams, expected to grow more common in a warmer climate, the researchers have developed a Greenhouse Climate Response Index. This short article describes the Index and comments of other scientists about its ability to predict Greenhouse responses.

Kerr, R.A.

1995-04-21T23:59:59.000Z

324

Analysis of Permafrost Thermal Dynamics and Response to Climate Change in the CMIP5 Earth System Models  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

The authors analyze global climate model predictions of soil temperature [from the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project phase 5 (CMIP5) database] to assess the models’ representation of current-climate soil thermal dynamics and their predictions ...

Charles D. Koven; William J. Riley; Alex Stern

2013-03-01T23:59:59.000Z

325

Recent Advances in Tropical Climate Prediction  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

A review is given of the current status of long-range forecasting in the low latitudes. Promising leads have developed over the past five years in the seasonal forecasting for certain target regions of the Tropics. Various approaches are of ...

Stefan Hastenrath

1995-06-01T23:59:59.000Z

326

Predicting Fire Frequency with Chemistry and Climate  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

of simulation.For the restof the compounds, the dependenceof volatilization on creasesin volatilizationflux vaporpressuredetermination.Thermochim.Acta l:355 356. Be (Iv out eX- to! I tr:utrQ ility )ef. on. tive ou8 :ific ica. and rcr

327

Global climate change: Implications, challenges and mitigation measures  

SciTech Connect

The present volume discusses topics in the fields of natural climatic fluctuations, the greenhouse effect, climate modeling, the biophysical and socioeconomic impacts of climate change, climate-change effect mitigation and adaptation strategies, and domestic (US) and international perspectives on regulation of climate-affecting activities. Attention is given to past climates as a guide to the future, the certainty of contemporary global warming, the physics of the greenhouse effect, the global carbon cycle, general circulation model studies of global warming, the implications of sea-level rise, forests' role in global climate change, the ecological effects of rapid climate change, predicted effects of climate change on agriculture, the impact of global warming on human health, energy supply technologies for reducing greenhouse gas emissions, and the U.N.'s 1992 Earth Summit Conference.

Majumdar, S.K.; Kalkstein, L.S.; Yarnal, B.M.; Miller, E.W.; Rosenfeld, L.M.

1992-01-01T23:59:59.000Z

328

Berkeley Lab Scientific Programs: Climate Change and Environmental Science  

NLE Websites -- All DOE Office Websites (Extended Search)

Climate Change and Environmental Science Climate image Earth scientists study global climate with the help of computational models At Berkeley Lab, climate scientists, geologists, microbiologists, computer scientists, and engineers tackle some of the planet's most pressing issues. Climate modeling Lab scientists are creating a new kind of climate model that integrates cutting-edge climate science, such as the pioneering work on the carbon cycle conducted at Berkeley Lab. The goal is not to predict climate alone but interactions among climate, water, and energy on a global scale. It will be able to incorporate fresh data and generate new scenarios at any point: energy demand and carbon emissions; changes in the composition of the atmosphere and the heat entering and leaving it; impacts on ecosystems

329

A Hierarchical Evaluation of Regional Climate Simulations  

SciTech Connect

Global climate models (GCMs) are the primary tools for predicting the evolution of the climate system. Through decades of development, GCMs have demonstrated useful skill in simulating climate at continental to global scales. However, large uncertainties remain in projecting climate change at regional scales, which limit our ability to inform decisions on climate change adaptation and mitigation. To bridge this gap, different modeling approaches including nested regional climate models (RCMs), global stretch-grid models, and global high-resolution atmospheric models have been used to provide regional climate simulations (Leung et al. 2003). In previous efforts to evaluate these approaches, isolating their relative merits was not possible because factors such as dynamical frameworks, physics parameterizations, and model resolutions were not systematically constrained. With advances in high performance computing, it is now feasible to run coupled atmosphere-ocean GCMs at horizontal resolution comparable to what RCMs use today. Global models with local refinement using unstructured grids have become available for modeling regional climate (e.g., Rauscher et al. 2012; Ringler et al. 2013). While they offer opportunities to improve climate simulations, significant efforts are needed to test their veracity for regional-scale climate simulations.

Leung, Lai-Yung R.; Ringler, Todd; Collins, William D.; Taylor, Mark; Ashfaq, Moetasim

2013-08-20T23:59:59.000Z

330

Mississippi Climate & Hydrology Conference  

SciTech Connect

The GEWEX Continental International Project (GCIP), which started in 1995 and completed in 2001, held its grand finale conference in New Orleans, LA in May 2002. Participants at this conference along with the scientists funded through the GCIP program are invited to contribute a paper to a special issue of Journal of Geophysical Research (JGR). This special JGR issue (called GCIP3) will serve as the final report on scientific research conducted by GCIP investigators. Papers are solicited on the following topical areas, but are not limited to, (1) water energy budget studies; (2) warm season precipitation; (3) predictability and prediction system; (4) coupled land-atmosphere models; (5) climate and water resources applications. The research areas cover observations, modeling, process studies and water resources applications.

Lawford, R.; Huang, J.

2002-05-01T23:59:59.000Z

331

Climate Survey  

NLE Websites -- All DOE Office Websites (Extended Search)

Operations Employee Operations Employee Climate Survey March 2009 Acknowledgements The Berkeley Lab Survey Team consisted of the following: Jim Krupnick, Sponsor Vera Potapenko, Project Lead Karen Ramorino, Project Manager Chris Paquette, MOR Associates Alexis Bywater, MOR Associates MOR Associates, an external consulting firm, acted as project manager for this effort, analyzing the data and preparing this report. MOR Associates specializes in continuous improve- ment, strategic thinking and leadership development. MOR Associates has conducted a number of large-scale surveys for organizations in higher education, including MIT, Stanford, the University of Chicago, and others. MOR Associates, Inc. 462 Main Street, Suite 300 Watertown, MA 02472 tel: 617.924.4501

332

Climatic Change  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

Carbon dioxide (CO2) sequestration has been proposed as a key component in technological portfolios for managing anthropogenic climate change, since it may provide a faster and cheaper route to significant reductions in atmospheric CO2 concentrations than abating CO2 production. However, CO2 sequestration is not a perfect substitute for CO2 abatement because CO2 may leak back into the atmosphere (thus imposing future climate change impacts) and because CO2 sequestration requires energy (thus producing more CO2 and depleting fossil fuel resources earlier). Here we use analytical and numerical models to assess the economic efficiency of CO2 sequestration and analyze the optimal timing and extent of CO2 sequestration. The economic efficiency factor of CO2 sequestration can be expressed as the ratio of the marginal net benefits of sequestering CO2 and avoiding CO2 emissions. We derive an analytical solution for this efficiency factor for a simplified case in which we account for CO2 leakage, discounting, the additional fossil fuel requirement of CO2 sequestration, and the growth rate of carbon taxes. In this analytical model, the economic efficiency of CO2 sequestration decreases as the CO2 tax growth rate, leakage rates and energy requirements for CO2 sequestration increase.

Klaus Keller; David Mcinerney; David F. Bradford

2007-01-01T23:59:59.000Z

333

Philosophy of Climate Science  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

The use of climate simulations in scientific assessments of climate change and in the formulation of climatechange scenarios has been contested for, among others, methodological reasons. The "philosophy of climate science"encompasses discussions ...

Arthur C. Petersen

2000-02-01T23:59:59.000Z

334

Comparisons of Satellite-Derived Atmospheric Motion Vectors, Rawinsondes, and NOAA Wind Profiler Observations  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

Geostationary satellite-derived atmospheric motion vectors (AMVs) have been used over several decades in a wide variety of meteorological applications. The ever-increasing horizontal and vertical resolution of numerical weather prediction models ...

Kristopher M. Bedka; Christopher S. Velden; Ralph A. Petersen; Wayne F. Feltz; John R. Mecikalski

2009-08-01T23:59:59.000Z

335

Climate Action Plan (Kentucky)  

Energy.gov (U.S. Department of Energy (DOE))

The Commonwealth of Kentucky established the Kentucky Climate Action Plan Council (KCAPC) process to identify opportunities for Kentucky to respond to the challenge of global climate change while...

336

SEAB Climate Action Plan  

Energy.gov (U.S. Department of Energy (DOE))

A presentation on the Climate Action Plan presented by Dr. Jonathan Pershing, Deputy Assistant Secretary for Climate Change at the U.S. Department of Energy.

337

Highlight about report on bridging data gaps in climate record  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

... attended, including experts from NASA, NOAA, the US Geological Survey, the University of Wisconsin, Harvard University, and Utah State University ...

2011-02-28T23:59:59.000Z

338

Coupled chemistry/climate issues  

SciTech Connect

Driven by both natural and anthropogenic causes, the distributions of trace chemical species in the atmosphere has altered the natural state of the chemical distribution and, the authors believe, the climate system. A clear example of this change and its effect on climate is through tropospheric ozone. Evidence shows that over the last decade tropospheric ozone has increased, probably caused by increasing concentrations and emissions of CH{sub 4}, CO, NO{sub x}, and NMHCs (nonmethane hydrocarbons). Tropospheric ozone is photochemically produced when nitrogen oxides react in the presence of carbon monoxide, methane, non-methane hydrocarbons and sunlight. The chemistry of ozone and NO{sub x} is also closely associated with the hydroxyl radical (OH), which governs the atmospheric lifetime of a number of species, including CH{sub 4} and chlorofluorocarbons (CFCs), which are major greenhouse gases and which affect the chemical balance of the stratosphere. Increases in the concentrations of CO and CH{sub 4} can lead to decreased concentrations of OH and a positive feedback on the atmospheric lifetimes of CO and methane. The same would occur for other greenhouse gases and for some of the important reactions which form aerosols in the troposphere. This would further enhance the concentrations of the gases and accelerate the radiative effects from these greenhouse species, strongly affecting climate and the accurate prediction of climate. It is believed that warmer climates will also increase the amount of water in the atmosphere, thereby providing another chemistry feedback on OH.

Rotman, D.A. [Lawrence Livermore National Lab., CA (United States). Global Climate Research Div.; Wuebbles, D.J. [Univ. of Illinois, Urbana, IL (United States)

1994-09-01T23:59:59.000Z

339

The 100 000-Yr Cycle in Tropical SST, Greenhouse Forcing, and Climate Sensitivity  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

The key scientific uncertainty in the global warming debate is the equilibrium climate sensitivity. Coupled atmosphere–ocean general circulation models predict a wide range of equilibrium climate sensitivities, with a consequently large spread of ...

David W. Lea

2004-06-01T23:59:59.000Z

340

Mission to Planet Earth: Role of Clouds and Radiation in Climate  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

The role of clouds in modifying the earth's radiation balance is well recognized as a key uncertainty in predicting any potential future climate change. This statement is true whether the climate change of interest is caused by changing emissions ...

Bruce A. Wielicki; Edwin F. Harrison; Robert D. Cess; Michael D. King; David A. Randall

1995-11-01T23:59:59.000Z

Note: This page contains sample records for the topic "noaa climate prediction" from the National Library of EnergyBeta (NLEBeta).
While these samples are representative of the content of NLEBeta,
they are not comprehensive nor are they the most current set.
We encourage you to perform a real-time search of NLEBeta
to obtain the most current and comprehensive results.


341

Inadvertent Weather Modification in Urban Areas: Lessons for Global Climate Change  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

Large metropolitan areas in North America, home to 65% of the nation's population, have created major changes in their climates over the past 150 years. The rate and amount of the urban climate change approximate those being predicted globally ...

Stanley A. Changnon

1992-05-01T23:59:59.000Z

342

The “Year” of Tropical Convection (May 2008–April 2010): Climate Variability and Weather Highlights  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

The representation of tropical convection remains a serious challenge to the skillfulness of our weather and climate prediction systems. To address this challenge, the World Climate Research Programme (WCRP) and The Observing System Research and ...

Duane E. Waliser; Mitchell W. Moncrieff; David Burridge; Andreas H. Fink; Dave Gochis; B. N. Goswami; Bin Guan; Patrick Harr; Julian Heming; Huang-Hsuing Hsu; Christian Jakob; Matt Janiga; Richard Johnson; Sarah Jones; Peter Knippertz; Jose Marengo; Hanh Nguyen; Mick Pope; Yolande Serra; Chris Thorncroft; Matthew Wheeler; Robert Wood; Sandra Yuter

2012-08-01T23:59:59.000Z

343

A Strategy for Process-Oriented Validation of Coupled Chemistry–Climate Models  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

Accurate and reliable predictions and an understanding of future changes in the stratosphere are major aspects of the subject of climate change. Simulating the interaction between chemistry and climate is of particular importance, because ...

V. Eyring; N. R. P. Harris; M. Rex; T. G. Shepherd; D. W. Fahey; G. T. Amanatidis; J. Austin; M. P. Chipperfield; M. Dameris; P. M. De F. Forster; A. Gettelman; H. F. Graf; T. Nagashima; P. A. Newman; S. Pawson; M. J. Prather; J. A. Pyle; R. J. Salawitch; B. D. Santer; D. W. Waugh

2005-08-01T23:59:59.000Z

344

An Improved Parameterization for Simulating Arctic Cloud Amount in the CCSM3 Climate Model  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

A simple alternative parameterization for predicting cloud fraction in the Community Climate System Model, version 3 (CCSM3) global climate model is presented. This formula, dubbed “freeezedry,” is designed to alleviate the bias of excessive low ...

Steve Vavrus; Duane Waliser

2008-11-01T23:59:59.000Z

345

Temporal- and Spatial-Scale Dependence of Three CMIP3 Climate Models in Simulating the Surface Temperature Trend in the Twentieth Century  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

Motivated by increasing interests in regional- and decadal-scale climate predictions, this study systematically analyzed the spatial- and temporal-scale dependence of the prediction skill of global climate models in surface air temperature (SAT) ...

Koichi Sakaguchi; Xubin Zeng; Michael A. Brunke

2012-04-01T23:59:59.000Z

346

Formulating Climate Change Scenarios to Inform Climate - Resilient...  

Open Energy Info (EERE)

Formulating Climate Change Scenarios to Inform Climate - Resilient Development Strategies Jump to: navigation, search Tool Summary Name: Formulating Climate Change Scenarios to...

347

Department of Energy award DE-SC0004164 Climate and National Security: Securing Better Forecasts  

SciTech Connect

The Climate and National Security: Securing Better Forecasts symposium was attended by senior policy makers and distinguished scientists. The juxtaposition of these communities was creative and fruitful. They acknowledged they were speaking past each other. Scientists were urged to tell policy makers about even improbable outcomes while articulating clearly the uncertainties around the outcomes. As one policy maker put it, we are accustomed to making these types of decisions. These points were captured clearly in an article that appeared on the New York Times website and can be found with other conference materials most easily on our website, www.scripps.ucsd.edu/cens/. The symposium, generously supported by the NOAA/JIMO, benefitted the public by promoting scientifically informed decision making and by the transmission of objective information regarding climate change and national security.

Reno Harnish

2011-08-16T23:59:59.000Z

348

Lagged Ensembles, Forecast Configuration, and Seasonal Predictions  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

An analysis of lagged ensemble seasonal forecasts from the National Centers for Environmental Prediction (NCEP) Climate Forecast System, version 2 (CFSv2), is presented. The focus of the analysis is on the construction of lagged ensemble forecasts ...

Mingyue Chen; Wanqiu Wang; Arun Kumar

2013-10-01T23:59:59.000Z

349

Lagged Ensembles, Forecast Configuration, and Seasonal Predictions  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

An analysis of lagged ensemble seasonal forecasts from the National Centers for Environmental Prediction (NCEP) Climate Forecast System version 2 (CFSv2) is presented. The focus of the analysis is on the construction of lagged ensemble forecasts ...

Mingyue Chen; Wanqiu Wang; Arun Kumar

350

Diagnosis of Multiyear Predictability on Continental Scales  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

A new statistical optimization method is used to identify components of surface air temperature and precipitation on six continents that are predictable in multiple climate models on multiyear time scales. The components are identified from ...

Liwei Jia; Timothy DelSole

2011-10-01T23:59:59.000Z

351

Mixed-mode simulations for climate feasibility  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

across all 16 California climate zones. Quantify the largerspan all 16 official CA climate zones with system sizing andClimate analysis For each climate zone: Quantitative climate

Borgeson, Sam; Brager, Gail; Coffey, Brian; Haves, Phil

2009-01-01T23:59:59.000Z

352

Improving Intraseasonal Prediction with a New Ensemble Generation Strategy  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

The Australian Bureau of Meteorology has recently enhanced its capability to make coupled model forecasts of intraseasonal climate variations. The Predictive Ocean Atmosphere Model for Australia (POAMA, version 2) seasonal prediction forecast ...

Debra Hudson; Andrew G. Marshall; Yonghong Yin; Oscar Alves; Harry H. Hendon

2013-12-01T23:59:59.000Z

353

The North American Multi-Model Ensemble (NMME): Phase-1 Seasonal to Interannual Prediction, Phase-2 Toward Developing Intra-Seasonal Prediction  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

The recent US National Academies report “Assessment of Intraseasonal to Interannual Climate Prediction and Predictability” was unequivocal in recommending the need for the development of a North American Multi-Model Ensemble (NMME) operational predictive ...

Ben P. Kirtman; Dughong Min; Johnna M. Infanti; James L. Kinter III; Daniel A. Paolino; Qin Zhang; Huug van den Dool; Suranjana Saha; Malaquias Pena Mendez; Emily Becker; Peitao Peng; Patrick Tripp; Jin Huang; David G. DeWitt; Michael K. Tippett; Anthony G. Barnston; Shuhua Li; Anthony Rosati; Siegfried D. Schubert; Michele Rienecker; Max Suarez; Zhao E. Li; Jelena Marshak; Young-Kwon Lim; Joseph Tribbia; Kathleen Pegion; William J. Merryfield; Bertrand Denis; Eric F. Wood

354

CDIAC Climate Reconstruction Data Sets  

NLE Websites -- All DOE Office Websites (Extended Search)

Climate Reconstructions CDIAC Climate Holdings Containing Climate Reconstruction Data Data Set Name Investigators Data TypeFormat Period of Record Historic isotopic temperature...

355

Eos Climate | Open Energy Information  

Open Energy Info (EERE)

Eos Climate Jump to: navigation, search Name Eos Climate Place South San Francisco, California Zip 94080 Product California-based firm focused on developing climate change...

356

Climate Change | Department of Energy  

Energy.gov (U.S. Department of Energy (DOE)) Indexed Site

Science & Innovation Climate Change Climate Change Learn about the effects climate change can have on our energy supplies and infrastructure and explore a...

357

SEESM: Scalable Extensible Earth System Model for Climate Change Science |  

NLE Websites -- All DOE Office Websites (Extended Search)

SEESM: Scalable Extensible Earth System Model for Climate Change Science SEESM: Scalable Extensible Earth System Model for Climate Change Science SEESM: Scalable Extensible Earth System Model for Climate Change Science This SciDAC project will transform an existing, state-of-the-science, third-generation global climate model, the Community Climate System Model (CCSM3), into a first-generation Earth system model that fully simulates the relationships between the physical, chemical, and bio-geochemical processes in the climate system. The model will incorporate new processes necessary to predict future climates based on the specification of greenhouse gas emissions rather than specification of atmospheric concentrations, as is done in present models, which make assumptions about the carbon cycle that are likely not valid. This project will include comprehensive treatments of the processes

358

Nature Conservancy-Climate Wizard | Open Energy Information  

Open Energy Info (EERE)

Nature Conservancy-Climate Wizard Nature Conservancy-Climate Wizard Jump to: navigation, search Tool Summary LAUNCH TOOL Name: Nature Conservancy-Climate Wizard Agency/Company /Organization: The Nature Conservancy Sector: Climate, Energy, Land Focus Area: Agriculture, Forestry Topics: Co-benefits assessment, GHG inventory Resource Type: Maps, Software/modeling tools User Interface: Website Website: www.climatewizard.org/AboutUs.html Web Application Link: www.climatewizard.org/ Cost: Free UN Region: Northern America, Central Asia, Eastern Asia, South-Eastern Asia Language: English Nature Conservancy-Climate Wizard Screenshot References: TNC- Climate Wizard [1] With ClimateWizard you can: view historic temperature and rainfall maps for anywhere in the world view state-of-the-art future predictions of temperature and rainfall

359

Building an advanced climate model: Program plan for the CHAMMP (Computer Hardware, Advanced Mathematics, and Model Physics) Climate Modeling Program  

SciTech Connect

The issue of global warming and related climatic changes from increasing concentrations of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere has received prominent attention during the past few years. The Computer Hardware, Advanced Mathematics, and Model Physics (CHAMMP) Climate Modeling Program is designed to contribute directly to this rapid improvement. The goal of the CHAMMP Climate Modeling Program is to develop, verify, and apply a new generation of climate models within a coordinated framework that incorporates the best available scientific and numerical approaches to represent physical, biogeochemical, and ecological processes, that fully utilizes the hardware and software capabilities of new computer architectures, that probes the limits of climate predictability, and finally that can be used to address the challenging problem of understanding the greenhouse climate issue through the ability of the models to simulate time-dependent climatic changes over extended times and with regional resolution.

1990-12-01T23:59:59.000Z

360

Artificial neural networks for electricity consumption forecasting considering climatic factors  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

This work develops Artificial Neural Networks (ANN) models applied to predict the consumption forecasting considering climatic factors. It is intended to verify the influence of climatic factors on the electricity consumption forecasting through the ... Keywords: artificial neural networks, electricity consumption forecasting

Francisco David Moya Chaves

2010-06-01T23:59:59.000Z

Note: This page contains sample records for the topic "noaa climate prediction" from the National Library of EnergyBeta (NLEBeta).
While these samples are representative of the content of NLEBeta,
they are not comprehensive nor are they the most current set.
We encourage you to perform a real-time search of NLEBeta
to obtain the most current and comprehensive results.


361

The Southern Ocean and Its Climate in CCSM4  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

The new Community Climate System Model, version 4 (CCSM4), provides a powerful tool to understand and predict the earth’s climate system. Several aspects of the Southern Ocean in the CCSM4 are explored, including the surface climatology and ...

Wilbert Weijer; Bernadette M. Sloyan; Mathew E. Maltrud; Nicole Jeffery; Matthew W. Hecht; Corinne A. Hartin; Erik van Sebille; Ilana Wainer; Laura Landrum

2012-04-01T23:59:59.000Z

362

A Contribution to the Encyclopedia of Climate and Weather Yi Ming NOAA/Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory, Princeton, New Jersey USA  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

, the concerns over public health prompted researchers to study the fallout (radioactive dust) from nuclear-phase pollutants) in densely populated cities (such as London and Los Angeles). In the 1970s, a small group

363

Improving the Prediction of the East Asian Summer Monsoon: New Approaches Nansen-Zhu International Research Centre, Institute of Atmospheric Physics, and Key Laboratory of Regional Climate-Environment for  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

Improving the Prediction of the East Asian Summer Monsoon: New Approaches KE FAN Nansen, in final form 28 March 2012) ABSTRACT East Asian summer monsoon (EASM) prediction is difficult because of the summer monsoon's weak and unstable linkage with El Nin~o­Southern Oscillation (ENSO) interdecadal

364

A New Algorithm for Low-Frequency Climate Response  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

The low-frequency response to changes in external forcing for the climate system is a fundamental issue. In two recent papers the authors developed a new blended response algorithm for predicting the response of a nonlinear chaotic forced-...

Rafail V. Abramov; Andrew J. Majda

2009-02-01T23:59:59.000Z

365

Climate of West Antarctica and Influence of Marine Air Intrusions  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

High-resolution numerical weather forecasts from the Antarctic Mesoscale Prediction System (AMPS) archive are used to investigate the climate of West Antarctica (WA) during 2006–07. A comparison with observations from West Antarctic automatic ...

Julien P. Nicolas; David H. Bromwich

2011-01-01T23:59:59.000Z

366

Reconciling Non-Gaussian Climate Statistics with Linear Dynamics  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

Linear stochastically forced models have been found to be competitive with comprehensive nonlinear weather and climate models at representing many features of the observed covariance statistics and at predictions beyond a week. Their success ...

Prashant D. Sardeshmukh; Philip Sura

2009-03-01T23:59:59.000Z

367

Biofuels, Climate Policy and the European Vehicle Fleet  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

We examine the effect of biofuels mandates and climate policy on the European vehicle fleet, considering the prospects for diesel and gasoline vehicles. We use the MIT Emissions Prediction and Policy Analysis (EPPA) model, ...

Rausch, Sebastian

368

Climate controls on coral growth in the Caribbean  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

Accurate predictions of Caribbean coral reef responses to global climate change are currently limited by a lack of knowledge of the dominant environmental controls on coral growth. Corals exhibit significant responses to ...

Bosshart, Sara A. (Sara Allison)

2013-01-01T23:59:59.000Z

369

Bayesian Analysis of U.S. Hurricane Climate  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

Predictive climate distributions of U.S. landfalling hurricanes are estimated from observational records over the period 1851–2000. The approach is Bayesian, combining the reliable records of hurricane activity during the twentieth century with ...

James B. Elsner; Brian H. Bossak

2001-12-01T23:59:59.000Z

370

Arctic Methane, Hydrates, and Global Climate  

NLE Websites -- All DOE Office Websites (Extended Search)

Arctic Methane, Hydrates, and Global Climate Arctic Methane, Hydrates, and Global Climate Speaker(s): Matthew T. Reagan Date: March 17, 2010 - 12:00pm Location: 90-3122 Paleooceanographic evidence has been used to postulate that methane may have had a significant role in regulating past climate. However, the behavior of contemporary permafrost deposits and oceanic methane hydrate deposits subjected to rapid temperature changes, like those now occurring in the arctic and those predicted under future climate change scenarios, has only recently been investigated. A recent expedition to the west coast of Spitsbergen discovered substantial methane gas plumes exiting the seafloor at depths that correspond to the upper limit of the receding gas hydrate stability zone. It has been suggested that these plumes may be the

371

NICCR - National Institute for Climate Change Research  

NLE Websites -- All DOE Office Websites (Extended Search)

Loik Abstract Loik Abstract Climate Change Impacts on Shrub-Forest Ecotones in the Western US Principle Investigator: Michael E. Loik, University of California, Santa Cruz Co-PI: Daniel F. Doak, University of California, Santa Cruz (after Aug. 2007: University of Wyoming) Unfunded collaborator: Ronald P. Neilson, Pacific Northwest Forest Service Research Laboratory Abstract:: This research is motivated by (i) the importance of snow as a dominant form of precipitation for a large portion of arid and semi-arid regions of the western United States, (ii) uncertainty in how changes in snow climate will affect ecotones between terrestrial ecosystems of the West, and (iii) the need to better understand how climate change impacts recruitment of dominant organisms of range and forest lands of the West, in order to better predict climate change effects on distributions of terrestrial ecosystems.

372

Linking Weather and Climate  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

Historically, the atmospheric sciences have tended to treat problems of weather and climate separately. The real physical system, however, is a continuum, with short-term (minutes to days) “weather” fluctuations influencing climate variations and ...

Randall M. Dole

2008-11-01T23:59:59.000Z

373

The Climate Policy Dilemma  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

Climate policy poses a dilemma for environmental economists. The economic argument for stringent GHG abatement is far from clear. There is disagreement among both climate scientists and economists over the likelihood of ...

Pindyck, Robert S.

374

Climate Action Plan (Delaware)  

Energy.gov (U.S. Department of Energy (DOE))

The Delaware Climate Change Action Plan (DCCAP) was prepared with funding from the Delaware State Energy Office and the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency’s State and Local Climate Change Program...

375

Climate Science Measurements Portal  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

... comparability and for international acceptance of measurement results and insights concerning climatic ... Global Warming and Greenhouse Gases ...

2012-12-27T23:59:59.000Z

376

International Governance of Climate Engineering  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

Solar Radiation Management Governance Initiative conference); Daniel Bodansky, Governing Climate Engineering: Scenarios for Analysis (Harvard Project on Climate Agreements,

Parson, Edward; Ernst, Lia

2012-01-01T23:59:59.000Z

377

An Improved Gridded Historical Daily Precipitation Analysis for Brazil  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

A gauge-only precipitation data quality control and analysis system has been developed for monitoring precipitation at NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center (CPC). Over the past 10 yr the system has been used to develop and deliver many different ...

Viviane B. S. Silva; Vernon E. Kousky; Wei Shi; R. Wayne Higgins

2007-08-01T23:59:59.000Z

378

Statistical Descriptors of Climate  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

An adequate description of climate is required to meet the informational needs of planners and policy-makers who use climate as a factor in their decision-making processes. Because normals have become firmly entrenched as a descriptor of climate, ...

Nathaniel B. Guttman

1989-06-01T23:59:59.000Z

379

Long-Lead Forecasts of Seasonal Precipitation in Africa Using CCA  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

A potentially operational forecast system for 3-month total precipitation for three sections of the African continent has been developed at NOAA's Climate Prediction Center using the statistical method of canonical correlation analysis (CCA). The ...

Anthony G. Barnston; Wassila Thiao; Vadlamani Kumar

1996-12-01T23:59:59.000Z

380

Long-Lead Forecasts of Seasonal Precipitation in the Tropical Pacific Islands Using CCA  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

A potentially operational system for 3-month total precipitation forecasts for island stations in the tropical Pacific has been developed at NOAA's Climate Prediction Center using the statistical method of canonical correlation analysis (CCA). ...

Yuxiang He; Anthony G. Barnston

1996-09-01T23:59:59.000Z

Note: This page contains sample records for the topic "noaa climate prediction" from the National Library of EnergyBeta (NLEBeta).
While these samples are representative of the content of NLEBeta,
they are not comprehensive nor are they the most current set.
We encourage you to perform a real-time search of NLEBeta
to obtain the most current and comprehensive results.


381

Evaluation of High-Resolution Satellite Precipitation Products over Very Complex Terrain in Ethiopia  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

This study focuses on the evaluation of 3-hourly, 0.25° × 0.25°, satellite-based precipitation products: the Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission (TRMM) Multisatellite Precipitation Analysis (TMPA) 3B42RT, the NOAA/Climate Prediction Center ...

Feyera A. Hirpa; Mekonnen Gebremichael; Thomas Hopson

2010-05-01T23:59:59.000Z

382

A New Homogenized Climate Division Precipitation Dataset for Analysis of Climate Variability and Climate Change  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

A new homogeneous climate division monthly precipitation dataset [based on full network estimated precipitation (FNEP)] was created as an alternative to the National Climatic Data Center (NCDC) climate division dataset. These alternative climate ...

D. Brent McRoberts; John W. Nielsen-Gammon

2011-06-01T23:59:59.000Z

383

Formulating Climate Change Scenarios to Inform Climate - Resilient  

Open Energy Info (EERE)

Formulating Climate Change Scenarios to Inform Climate - Resilient Formulating Climate Change Scenarios to Inform Climate - Resilient Development Strategies Jump to: navigation, search Tool Summary Name: Formulating Climate Change Scenarios to Inform Climate - Resilient Development Strategies Agency/Company /Organization: United Nations Development Programme (UNDP) Topics: Low emission development planning Resource Type: Guide/manual Website: www.climatefinanceoptions.org/cfo/node/256 Language: English Formulating Climate Change Scenarios to Inform Climate - Resilient Development Strategies Screenshot References: Formulating Climate Change Scenarios to Inform Climate - Resilient Development Strategies[1] Tool Overview "This guidebook is part of a series of manuals, guidebooks, and toolkits that draw upon the experience and information generated by UNDP's support

384

Quantifying the Predictive Skill in Long-Range Forecasting. Part II: Model Error in Coarse-Grained Markov Models with Application to Ocean-Circulation Regimes  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

An information-theoretic framework is developed to assess the predictive skill and model error in imperfect climate models for long-range forecasting. Here, of key importance is a climate equilibrium consistency test for detecting false predictive ...

Dimitrios Giannakis; Andrew J. Majda

2012-03-01T23:59:59.000Z

385

Little Climates -- Part One  

NLE Websites -- All DOE Office Websites (Extended Search)

Part One Part One Nature Bulletin No. 478-A January 27, 1973 Forest Preserve District of Cook County George W. Dunne, President Roland F. Eisenbeis, Supt. of Conservation LITTLE CLIMATES -- Part One: Weather in the Soi. Climate vitally affects our lives. Wherever we live, climate has largely determined the plant and animal life in that region, the development of civilization there and what people do. The climate of any region represents its overall weather picture: the sum of its weather today, tomorrow, and during past centuries. We are accustomed to think of climate as a set of conditions occurring entirely in the atmosphere above the earth's surface, and it may sound silly when we say that there are climates underground -- little climates just as real as those above -- but it's true, There are special kinds of weather in the soil.

386

ORISE Climate and Atmospheric Research: Contact Us  

NLE Websites -- All DOE Office Websites (Extended Search)

Contact Us Dr. Bruce Baker Director, NOAAARLATDD Work: 865.576.1233 Bruce.Baker@noaa.gov Location: 456 South Illinois Ave. P.O. Box 2456 Oak Ridge, TN 37831-2456...

387

Customized Spatial Climate Models for North America  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

Over the past two decades, researchers at Natural Resources Canada's Canadian Forest Service, in collaboration with the Australian National University (ANU), Environment Canada (EC), and the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), have ...

Daniel W. McKenney; Michael F. Hutchinson; Pia Papadopol; Kevin Lawrence; John Pedlar; Kathy Campbell; Ewa Milewska; Ron F. Hopkinson; David Price; Tim Owen

2011-12-01T23:59:59.000Z

388

INTERPRETING ERUPTIVE BEHAVIOR IN NOAA AR 11158 VIA THE REGION'S MAGNETIC ENERGY AND RELATIVE-HELICITY BUDGETS  

SciTech Connect

In previous works, we introduced a nonlinear force-free method that self-consistently calculates the instantaneous budgets of free magnetic energy and relative magnetic helicity in solar active regions (ARs). Calculation is expedient and practical, using only a single vector magnetogram per computation. We apply this method to a time series of 600 high-cadence vector magnetograms of the eruptive NOAA AR 11158 acquired by the Helioseismic and Magnetic Imager on board the Solar Dynamics Observatory over a five-day observing interval. Besides testing our method extensively, we use it to interpret the dynamical evolution in the AR, including eruptions. We find that the AR builds large budgets of both free magnetic energy and relative magnetic helicity, sufficient to power many more eruptions than the ones it gave within the interval of interest. For each of these major eruptions, we find eruption-related decreases and subsequent free-energy and helicity budgets that are consistent with the observed eruption (flare and coronal mass ejection (CME)) sizes. In addition, we find that (1) evolution in the AR is consistent with the recently proposed (free) energy-(relative) helicity diagram of solar ARs, (2) eruption-related decreases occur before the flare and the projected CME-launch times, suggesting that CME progenitors precede flares, and (3) self terms of free energy and relative helicity most likely originate from respective mutual terms, following a progressive mutual-to-self conversion pattern that most likely stems from magnetic reconnection. This results in the non-ideal formation of increasingly helical pre-eruption structures and instigates further research on the triggering of solar eruptions with magnetic helicity firmly placed in the eruption cadre.

Tziotziou, Kostas; Georgoulis, Manolis K. [Research Center for Astronomy and Applied Mathematics (RCAAM) Academy of Athens, 4 Soranou Efesiou Street, Athens, GR-11527 (Greece); Liu Yang [W. W. Hansen Experimental Physics Laboratory, Stanford University, Stanford, CA 94305-4085 (United States)

2013-08-01T23:59:59.000Z

389

Global fish production and climate change  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

Current global fisheries production of {approx}160 million tons is rising as a result of increases in aquaculture production. A number of climate-related threats to both capture fisheries and aquaculture are identified, but there is low confidence in predictions of future fisheries production because of uncertainty over future global aquatic net primary production and the transfer of this production through the food chain to human consumption. Recent changes in the distribution and productivity of a number of fish species can be ascribed with high confidence to regional climate variability, such as the El Nino-Southern Oscillation. Future production may increase in some high-latitude regions because of warming and decreased ice cover, but the dynamics in low-latitude regions are giverned by different processes, and production may decline as a result of reduced vertical mixing of the water column and, hence, reduced recycling of nutrients. There are strong interactions between the effects of fishing and the effects of climate because fishing reduces the age, size, and geographic diversity of populations and the biodiversity of marine ecosystems, making both more sensitive to additional stresses such as climate change. Inland fisheries are additionally threatened by changes in precipiation and water management. The frequency and intensity of extreme climate events is likely to have a major impact on future fisheries production in both inland and marine systems. Reducing fishing mortality in the majority of fisheries, which are currently fully exploited or overexploited, is the pricipal feasible means of reducing the impacts of climate change.

Brander, K.M. [International Council for the Exploration of the Sea, Copenhagen (Denmark)

2007-12-11T23:59:59.000Z

390

Climate Change Science Program Issues Report on Climate Models | Department  

Energy.gov (U.S. Department of Energy (DOE)) Indexed Site

Climate Change Science Program Issues Report on Climate Models Climate Change Science Program Issues Report on Climate Models Climate Change Science Program Issues Report on Climate Models July 31, 2008 - 2:40pm Addthis WASHINGTON, DC - The U.S. Climate Change Science Program (CCSP) today announced the release of the report "Climate Models: An Assessment of Strengths and Limitations," the 10th in a series of 21 Synthesis and Assessment Products (SAPs) managed by U.S. federal agencies. Developed under the leadership of the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE), this report, SAP 3.1, describes computer models of the Earth's climate and their ability to simulate current climate change. "Complex climate models are tools that provide insights and knowledge into how future climate may evolve. To assure that future climate projections

391

MCA4Climate - Guidance for scientifically sound climate change planning |  

Open Energy Info (EERE)

MCA4Climate - Guidance for scientifically sound climate change planning MCA4Climate - Guidance for scientifically sound climate change planning Jump to: navigation, search LEDSGP green logo.png FIND MORE DIA TOOLS This tool is part of the Development Impacts Assessment (DIA) Toolkit from the LEDS Global Partnership. Tool Summary LAUNCH TOOL Name: Multicriteria Analysis for Climate (MCA4climate) Agency/Company /Organization: United Nations Environment Programme (UNEP), World Bank Climate Smart Planning Platform Sector: Climate, Energy, Land Topics: Co-benefits assessment, Low emission development planning, Policies/deployment programs Resource Type: Guide/manual Complexity/Ease of Use: Moderate Website: www.mca4climate.info/ Program Start: 2011 Cost: Free Multicriteria Analysis for Climate (MCA4climate) Screenshot References: MCA4Climate - Guidance for scientifically sound climate change planning[1]

392

Is this climate porn? How does climate change communication  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

Is this climate porn? How does climate change communication affect our perceptions and behaviour;1 Is this climate porn? How does climate change communication affect our perceptions and behaviour? Thomas D. Lowe 1 these kinds of messages (which have recently been dubbed `climate porn' (Ereaut and Segnit, 2006)), can

Watson, Andrew

393

Global Climate Data  

NLE Websites -- All DOE Office Websites (Extended Search)

Data Data The climate data at the ORNL DAAC are used primarily as driving variables in terrestrial biogeochemistry models. These models typically use data on temperature (min,max), precipitation, humidity (relative humidity, vapor pressure deficit, dew point), radiation (PFD in PAR, shortwave, direct/diffuse, and UV radiation, daylength), and wind velocity. Climate / meteorology data are required at hourly to monthly time scales, either point or gridded, at spatial scales ranging from regional to continental to global. The ORNL DAAC currently distributes climate data from several related projects: VEMAP-1 Hydroclimatology, and Global Historical Climatology Network. We are also now distributing climate data developed at the East Anglia Climate Research Unit and the Potsdam Institute for Climate Research.

394

Additional Climate Reports  

NLE Websites -- All DOE Office Websites (Extended Search)

Additional Climate Reports Print E-mail Additional Climate Reports Print E-mail Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Reports Internationally, many assessments have been produced to address important questions related to environmental issues such as ozone depletion, climate change, and the loss of biodiversity. Many of these assessments have provided the scientific basis for the elaboration of international agreements, including the Assessment Report Series from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). The IPCC is a scientific intergovernmental body set up by the World Meteorological Organization (WMO) and by the United Nations Environment Programme (UNEP). IPCC assesses the scientific, technical and socio-economic information relevant for the understanding of the risk of human-induced climate change. Because of its intergovernmental nature, the IPCC is able to provide scientific technical and socio-economic information in a policy-relevant but policy neutral way to decision makers.

395

National Climate Assessment: Overview  

NLE Websites -- All DOE Office Websites (Extended Search)

Production Team Production Team Indicators System Coastal Resilience Resources Make Our Science Accessible Link Climate Change & Health Provide Data and Tools Coordinate Internationally National Climate Assessment: Overview Print E-mail What is the National Climate Assessment (NCA)? The NCA is an important resource for understanding and communicating climate change science and impacts in the United States. It informs the nation about already observed changes, the current status of the climate, and anticipated trends for the future. The NCA report process integrates scientific information from multiple sources and sectors to highlight key findings and significant gaps in our knowledge. The NCA also establishes consistent methods for evaluating climate impacts in the U.S. in the context of broader global change. Finally, findings from the NCA provide input to Federal science priorities and are used by U.S. citizens, communities, and businesses as they create more sustainable and environmentally sound plans for the nation's future.

396

The changing climate  

SciTech Connect

The earth owes its hospitable climate to the greenhouse effect, but now the effect threatens to intensify, rapidly warming the planet. Rising concentrations of carbon dioxide and other gases are the cause. The danger of warming is serious enough to warrant prompt action. The paper examines data on atmospheric warming and attempts to project effects into the future using atmospheric models. Three kinds of response to the threat are described: technical measures to counteract climatic change; adaptation to the changing climate; and prevention.

Schneider, S.H.

1989-09-01T23:59:59.000Z

397

Environment/Climate Portal  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

... exercises for environmental contaminants in marine specimens were administered in 2007/2008 by the … more. >> see all Environment/Climate ...

2013-10-23T23:59:59.000Z

398

Energy and Climate  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

Implementation of renewable energy and climate change related policies around the ... These will be critical for both policy-making purposes ...

2013-12-05T23:59:59.000Z

399

Climate Suitability Tool Description  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

... The Climate Suitability Tool implements the method outlined in the following publications ... The analysis is based on a single-zone model of natural ...

400

ARM Climate Research Facility  

NLE Websites -- All DOE Office Websites (Extended Search)

TR-081.2 iii Abstract This report provides a short description of the Atmospheric Radiation Measurement (ARM) Climate Research Facility microwave radiometer (MWR) Retrieval...

Note: This page contains sample records for the topic "noaa climate prediction" from the National Library of EnergyBeta (NLEBeta).
While these samples are representative of the content of NLEBeta,
they are not comprehensive nor are they the most current set.
We encourage you to perform a real-time search of NLEBeta
to obtain the most current and comprehensive results.


401

Regional Climate Information & Modeling  

NLE Websites -- All DOE Office Websites (Extended Search)

Information & Modeling Print E-mail The specific impacts and vulnerabilities posed by climate change are largely defined by regional differences 9in things like geography,...

402

Climate and Architecture: The TVA Climatic Data Base  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

The TVA Climatic Data Base (Finsen, 1980) is a graphic portrayal and analysis of the climatic elements and influences important to the building professions toward the resolution of climate responsive architectural design. The data base, including ...

Peter I. Finsen; Charles L. Bach; Robert C. Beebe

1981-12-01T23:59:59.000Z

403

Climate-Science Computational Development Team: The Climate End...  

NLE Websites -- All DOE Office Websites (Extended Search)

Argonne National Laboratory Robert Jacob, Argonne National Laboratory Climate-Science Computational Development Team: The Climate End Station II PI Name: Warren Washington...

404

Climate Change and National Security  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

Climate change is increasingly recognized as having national security implications, which has prompted dialogue between the climate change and national security communities—with resultant advantages and differences. Climate change research has ...

Elizabeth L. Malone

2013-01-01T23:59:59.000Z

405

Climate change risk and response  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

Climate Change Center White Paper. Cayan, Dan, PeterClimate Change Center White Paper. Cayan, Daniel R. , EdwinClimate Change Center White Paper. duVair, Pierre, Douglas

Kahrl, Fredrich; Roland-Holst, David

2008-01-01T23:59:59.000Z

406

Climate Modeling with Spectral Elements  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

As an effort toward improving climate model–component performance and accuracy, an atmospheric-component climate model has been developed, entitled the Spectral Element Atmospheric Climate Model and denoted as CAM_SEM. CAM_SEM includes a unique ...

Ferdinand Baer; Houjun Wang; Joseph J. Tribbia; Aimé Fournier

2006-12-01T23:59:59.000Z

407

CLIMATE PROTECTION UPDATE  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

Climate disruption is an urgent threat to the environmental and economic health of our communities. With less than 5 % of the world’s population, the United States produces more than 25 % of the global greenhouse gas emissions, and those emissions are continuing to grow. On February 16, 2005 the Kyoto Protocol, the international agreement to address climate disruption, became law for the 163

unknown authors

2006-01-01T23:59:59.000Z

408

The Advanced Very High Resolution Radiometer (AVHRR) Pathfinder Atmosphere (PATMOS) Climate Dataset: Initial Analyses and Evaluations  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

As part of the joint National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration–National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NOAA–NASA) Pathfinder program, the NOAA/National Environmental Satellite, Data and Information Service (NESDIS) has created a ...

Larry L. Stowe; Herbert Jacobowitz; George Ohring; Kenneth R. Knapp; Nicholas R. Nalli

2002-06-01T23:59:59.000Z

409

Simulations of present and future climates in the western U.S. with four nested regional climate models  

SciTech Connect

We analyze simulations of present and future climates in the western U.S. performed with four regional climate models (RCMs) nested within two global ocean-atmosphere climate models. Our primary goal is to assess the range of regional climate responses to increased greenhouse gases in available RCM simulations. The four RCMs used different geographical domains, different increased greenhouse gas scenarios for future-climate simulations, and (in some cases) different lateral boundary conditions. For simulations of the present climate, we compare RCM results to observations and to results of the GCM that provided lateral boundary conditions to the RCM. For future-climate (increased greenhouse gas) simulations, we compare RCM results to each other and to results of the driving GCMs. When results are spatially averaged over the western U.S., we find that the results of each RCM closely follow those of the driving GCM in the same region, in both present and future climates. In present-climate simulations, the RCMs have biases in spatially-averaged simulated precipitation and near-surface temperature that seem to be very close to those of the driving GCMs. In future-climate simulations, the spatially-averaged RCM-projected responses in precipitation and near-surface temperature are also very close to those of the respective driving GCMs. Precipitation responses predicted by the RCMs are in many regions not statistically significant compared to interannual variability. Where the predicted precipitation responses are statistically significant, they are positive. The models agree that near-surface temperatures will increase, but do not agree on the spatial pattern of this increase. The four RCMs produce very different estimates of water content of snow in the present climate, and of the change in this water content in response to increased greenhouse gases.

Duffy, P B; Arritt, R W; Coquard, J; Gutowski, W; Han, J; Iorio, J; Kim, J; Leung, L R; Roads, J; Zeledon, E

2004-06-15T23:59:59.000Z

410

Climate VISION: News  

Office of Scientific and Technical Information (OSTI)

News Climate Vison RSS Recent News Feed News Climate Vison RSS Recent News Feed July 20, 2010 Secretary Chu Announces Initiatives to Promote Clean Energy at First Clean Energy Ministerial Read the Press Release and Download Fact Sheet (PDF 76 KB) July 20, 2010 Government and corporate leaders announced a new public-private partnership, Global Superior Energy Performancecm at the Clean Energy Ministerial in Washington D.C. Read More and Download Fact Sheet (PDF 124 KB) June 20, 2010 Seventh Meeting of the Leaders' Representatives of the Major Economies Forum on Energy and Climate Read the Co-Chair's Summary June 1, 2010 Department of State releases Fifth U.S. Climate Action Report Read the Press Release December 18, 2009 Remarks by the President at the Morning Plenary Session of the United Nations Climate Change Conference

411

Climate VISION: News Archive  

Office of Scientific and Technical Information (OSTI)

News Archive News Archive Collapse all | Expand all 2007 November 30, 2007 USTR Schwab to Announce New Climate Initiatives for WTO, Including a New Environmental Goods and Services Agreement November 28, 2007 U.S. Energy Information Administration Anounces U.S. Greenhouse Gas Emissions Declined 1.5 Percent in 2006 November 20, 2007 Nobel Peace Prize for Research on Climate Change Awarded to U.S. Forest Service Scientists November 16, 2007 Our Changing Planet: The U.S. Climate Change Science Program for Fiscal Year 2008 Report Released October 18, 2007 U.S. DOE Issues Third U.S. Climate Change Science Program Report October 15, 2007 The Government of India Hosts the Second Asia-Pacific Partnership on Clean Development and Climate Ministerial Meeting Fall 2007 EPA's 2nd measurement campaign to evaluate the performance of installed PFC

412

Climate Advisers | Open Energy Information  

Open Energy Info (EERE)

strategies, and investments. In short, the firm is working with others to actively shape the low carbon economy. Climate Advisers believes climate change poses serious...

413

National Climate Assessment: Production Team  

NLE Websites -- All DOE Office Websites (Extended Search)

NCA & Development Advisory Committee NCA & Development Advisory Committee Production Team Indicators System Coastal Resilience Resources Make Our Science Accessible Link Climate Change & Health Provide Data and Tools Coordinate Internationally National Climate Assessment: Production Team Print E-mail National Climate Assessment Staff (USGCRP National Coordination Office) Current NCA Staff Dr. Fabien Laurier, Director, Third National Climate Assessment Dr. Glynis Lough, Chief of Staff for the National Climate Assessment Emily Therese Cloyd, Engagement Coordinator for the National Climate Assessment Bryce Golden-Chen, Program Coordinator for the National Climate Assessment Alison Delgado, Scientist Dr. Ilya Fischhoffkri, Scientist Melissa Kenney, Indicators Coordinator Dr. Fred Lipschultz, Regional Coordinator for the National Climate Assessment

414

Climate change risk and response  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

Climate Change and Electricity Demand: Applying the NewClimate Change and Electricity Demand in California. ”Extreme Heat, and Electricity Demand in California. ”

Kahrl, Fredrich; Roland-Holst, David

2008-01-01T23:59:59.000Z

415

National Climate Assessment: Previous Assessments  

NLE Websites -- All DOE Office Websites (Extended Search)

Team Indicators System Coastal Resilience Resources Make Our Science Accessible Link Climate Change & Health Provide Data and Tools Coordinate Internationally National Climate...

416

Second National Climate Assessment (2009)  

NLE Websites -- All DOE Office Websites (Extended Search)

Print E-mail alt What is the Second National Climate Assessment? The Second National Climate Assessment, entitled Global Change Impacts in the United States, was published in...

417

Decadal Predictability of the Atlantic Ocean in a Coupled GCM: Forecast Skill and Optimal Perturbations Using Linear Inverse Modeling  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

The decadal predictability of three-dimensional Atlantic Ocean anomalies is examined in a coupled global climate model [the third climate configuration of the Met Office Unified Model (HadCM3)] using a linear inverse modeling (LIM) approach. It ...

Ed Hawkins; Rowan Sutton

2009-07-01T23:59:59.000Z

418

Climate change 2007 - mitigation of climate change  

SciTech Connect

This volume of the Fourth Assessment Report (AR4) of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) provides a comprehensive, state-of-the-art and worldwide overview of scientific knowledge related to the mitigation of climate change. It includes a detailed assessment of costs and potentials of mitigation technologies and practices, implementation barriers, and policy options for the sectors: energy supply, transport, buildings, industry, agriculture, forestry and waste management. It links sustainable development policies with climate change practices. This volume will again be the standard reference for all those concerned with climate change. Contents: Foreword; Preface; Summary for policymakers; Technical Summary; 1. Introduction; 2. Framing issues; 3. Issues related to mitigation in the long term context; 4. Energy supply; 5. Transport and its infrastructure; 6. Residential and commercial buildings; 7. Industry; 8. Agriculture; 9. Forestry; 10. Waste management; 11. Mitigation from a cross sectoral perspective; 12. Sustainable development and mitigation; 13. Policies, instruments and co-operative agreements. 300 figs., 50 tabs., 3 annexes.

Metz, B.; Davidson, O.; Bosch, P.; Dave, R.; Meyer, L. (eds.)

2007-07-01T23:59:59.000Z

419

Decadal Climate Information Needs of Stakeholders for Decision Support in Water and Agriculture Production Sectors: A Case Study in the Missouri River Basin  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

Many decadal climate prediction efforts have been initiated under phase 5 of the World Climate Research Programme Coupled Model Intercomparison Project. There is considerable ongoing discussion about model deficiencies, initialization techniques, ...

Vikram M. Mehta; Cody L. Knutson; Norman J. Rosenberg; J. Rolf Olsen; Nicole A. Wall; Tonya K. Bernadt; Michael J. Hayes

2013-01-01T23:59:59.000Z

420

Review of Science Issues, Deployment Strategy, and Status for the ARM North Slope of Alaska–Adjacent Arctic Ocean Climate Research Site  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

Recent climate modeling results point to the Arctic as a region that is particularly sensitive to global climate change. The Arctic warming predicted by the models to result from the expected doubling of atmospheric carbon dioxide is two to three ...

K. Stamnes; R. G. Ellingson; J. A. Curry; J. E. Walsh; B. D. Zak

1999-01-01T23:59:59.000Z

Note: This page contains sample records for the topic "noaa climate prediction" from the National Library of EnergyBeta (NLEBeta).
While these samples are representative of the content of NLEBeta,
they are not comprehensive nor are they the most current set.
We encourage you to perform a real-time search of NLEBeta
to obtain the most current and comprehensive results.


421

SWERA/Climate Layers Information | Open Energy Information  

Open Energy Info (EERE)

Climate Layers Information Climate Layers Information < SWERA Jump to: navigation, search SWERA logo.png Solar and Wind Energy Resource Assessment (SWERA) Interactive Web PortalPowered by OpenEI Getting Started Data Sets Analysis Tools About SWERA Climate Layers The climate layers are derived from data provided by NASA's Prediction of Worldwide Energy Resource (POWER) project derived from NASA's climate research to support renewable energy industries. The Surface meteorology and Solar Energy (SSE) data set contains solar parameters principally derived from satellite observations and meteorology parameters from an atmospheric model constrained to satellite and sounding observations. It is a 22-year climatology (July 1983- June 2005) on a one-degree latitude by one-degree longitude grid. The global coverage of the SSE data set fills

422

Man-made climate change:Facts and fiction  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

Important issues about climate change are summarized and discussed: A large body of evidence shows that the world climate is getting warmer. Climate models give a consistent explanation of this observation once human-made emissions of greenhouse gases are taken into account. Furthermore, the main source of greenhouse gases comes from the burning of oil, gas and coal, mainly in the industrialized countries. Without any change of behaviour, the possible predicted consequences of this climate change for the coming decades are very disturbing. Today's (in)action's will have long-term consequences for the entire biosphere and the living conditions of many future generations. The combination of the various points related to the climate change leads to a final question: "For how long will Humanity continue to bury its head in the sand?"

Dittmar, M; Dittmar, Michael; Nicollerat, Anne-Sylvie

2004-01-01T23:59:59.000Z

423

TECHNICAL BASIS DOCUMENT NO. 1: CLIMATE AND INFILTRATION  

SciTech Connect

For the past 20 years, extensive field, laboratory, and modeling investigations have been performed at Yucca Mountain, which have led to the development of a number of conceptual models of infiltration and climate for the Yucca Mountain region around the repository site (Flint, A.L. et al. 2001; Wang and Bodvarsson 2003). Evaluating the amount of infiltrating water entering the subsurface is important, because this water may affect the percolation flux, which, in turn, controls seepage into the waste emplacement drifts and radionuclide transport from the repository to the water table. Forecasting of climatic data indicates that during the next 10,000 years at Yucca Mountain, the present-day climate should persist for 400 to 600 years, followed by a warmer and much wetter monsoon climate for 900 to 1,400 years, and by a cooler and wetter glacial-transition climate for the remaining 8,000 to 8,700 years. The analysis of climatic forecasting indicates that long-term climate conditions are generally predictable from a past climate sequence, while short-term climate conditions and weather predictions may be more variable and uncertain. The use of past climate sequences to bound future climate sequences involves several types of uncertainties, such as (1) uncertainty in the timing of future climate, (2) uncertainty in the methodology of climatic forecasting, and (3) uncertainty in the earth's future physical processes. Some of the uncertainties of the climatic forecasting are epistemic (reducible) and aleatoric (irreducible). Because of the size of the model domain, INFIL treats many flow processes in a simplified manner. For example, uptake of water by roots occurs according to the ''distributed model'', in which available water in each soil layer is withdrawn in proportion to the root density in that layer, multiplied by the total evapotranspirative demand. Runoff is calculated simply as the excess of precipitation over a sum of infiltration and water storage in the root zone. More significantly, water movement throughout the soil profile is treated according to the bucket model, in which the amount of water that moves down from one layer to the next is equal to the mass of water in excess of field capacity in the upper layer. The development of a numerical model of infiltration involves a number of abstractions and simplifications to represent the complexity of environmental conditions at Yucca Mountain, such as the arid climate, mountain-type topography, heterogeneous soils and fractured rock, and irregular soil-rock interface.

NA

2004-05-01T23:59:59.000Z

424

Climate Zone 5C | Open Energy Information  

Open Energy Info (EERE)

Climate Zone 5C Jump to: navigation, search A type of climate defined in the ASHRAE 169-2006 standard consisting of Climate Zone Number 5 and Climate Zone Subtype C. Climate Zone...

425

Trace gases could double climate warming  

SciTech Connect

The atmospheric concentrations of several trace gases capable of changing the climate are increasing. Researchers are concerned about the trace gases despite their miniscule concentrations because they are such efficient absorbers of far-infrared radiation. The trace gases that concern climatologists are methane, nitrous oxide, and the chlorofluorocarbons or CFC's. The increase in atmospheric concentrations of these gases are discussed and atmospheric models predicting their greenhouse effect are described.

Kerr, R.A.

1983-06-24T23:59:59.000Z

426

The use of statistical climate-crop models for simulating yield to project the impacts of CO/sub 2/ induced climate change  

SciTech Connect

This report describes the use of mathematical models to forecast the effects of increased CO/sub 2/ concentration in the atmosphere. These models were created to predict crop yields under different climatic conditions. The authors have adapted them to consider climatic changes caused by the ''greenhouse effect.'' Principal climatic variables include monthly precipitation and temperature range. 40 refs., 5 figs., 4 tabs. (TEM)

Decker, W.L.; Achutuni, R.

1988-07-01T23:59:59.000Z

427

Charter for the ARM Climate Research Facility Science Board  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

The objective of the ARM Science Board is to promote the Nation’s scientific enterprise by ensuring that the best quality science is conducted at the DOE’s User Facility known as the ARM Climate Research Facility. The goal of the User Facility is to serve scientific researchers by providing unique data and tools to facilitate scientific applications for improving understanding and prediction of climate science.

Ferrell, W

2013-03-08T23:59:59.000Z

428

Climate VISION: Program Mission  

Office of Scientific and Technical Information (OSTI)

PROGRAM MISSION PROGRAM MISSION Climate VISION - Voluntary Innovative Sector Initiatives: Opportunities Now - is a voluntary public-private partnership initiative to improve energy efficiency and greenhouse gas intensity in energy-intensive industrial sectors. Climate VISION - Voluntary Innovative Sector Initiatives: Opportunities Now - is a public-private partnership initiative launched by the Department of Energy on February 12, 2003. Its primary goal is to identify and pursue cost-effective options to improve the energy or GHG intensity of industry operations by accelerating the transition to technologies, practices, and processes that are cleaner, more efficient, and capable of reducing, capturing or sequestering GHGs. Climate VISION links these objectives with technology development,

429

3-PG Productivity Modeling of Regenerating Amazon Forests: Climate Sensitivity and Comparison with MODIS-Derived NPP  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

Potential forest growth predicted by the Physiological Principles in Predicting Growth (3-PG) model was compared for forest and deforested areas in the Legal Amazon to assess potential differing regeneration associated with climate. Historical ...

Joseph D. White; Neal A. Scott; Adam I. Hirsch; Steven W. Running

2006-02-01T23:59:59.000Z

430

PREDICTIVE MODELS  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

PREDICTIVE MODELS is a collection of five models - CFPM, CO2PM, ICPM, PFPM, and SFPM - used in the 1982-1984 National Petroleum Council study of enhanced oil recovery (EOR) potential. Each pertains to a specific EOR process designed to squeeze additional oil from aging or spent oil fields. The processes are: 1) chemical flooding; 2) carbon dioxide miscible flooding; 3) in-situ combustion; 4) polymer flooding; and 5) steamflood. CFPM, the Chemical Flood Predictive Model, models micellar (surfactant)-polymer floods in reservoirs, which have been previously waterflooded to residual oil saturation. Thus, only true tertiary floods are considered. An option allows a rough estimate of oil recovery by caustic or caustic-polymer processes. CO2PM, the Carbon Dioxide miscible flooding Predictive Model, is applicable to both secondary (mobile oil) and tertiary (residual oil) floods, and to either continuous CO2 injection or water-alternating gas processes. ICPM, the In-situ Combustion Predictive Model, computes the recovery and profitability of an in-situ combustion project from generalized performance predictive algorithms. PFPM, the Polymer Flood Predictive Model, is switch-selectable for either polymer or waterflooding, and an option allows the calculation of the incremental oil recovery and economics of polymer relative to waterflooding. SFPM, the Steamflood Predictive Model, is applicable to the steam drive process, but not to cyclic steam injection (steam soak) processes. The IBM PC/AT version includes a plotting capability to produces a graphic picture of the predictive model results.

Ray, R.M. (DOE Bartlesville Energy Technology Center, Bartlesville, OK (United States))

1988-10-01T23:59:59.000Z

431

Estimates of Uncertainty in Predictions of Global Mean Surface Temperature  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

A method for estimating uncertainty in future climate change is discussed in detail and applied to predictions of global mean temperature change. The method uses optimal fingerprinting to make estimates of uncertainty in model simulations of ...

J. A. Kettleborough; B. B. B. Booth; P. A. Stott; M. R. Allen

2007-03-01T23:59:59.000Z

432

Further Work on the Prediction of Northeast Brazil Rainfall Anomalies  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

This study expands our earlier climate prediction work for Brazil's Nordeste to develop methods of forecasting the March–June precipitation with differing lead times by exploring the potential of various data sources and options of information ...

Stefan Hastenrath; Lawrence Greischar

1993-04-01T23:59:59.000Z

433

Impact of Initial Soil Wetness on Seasonal Atmospheric Prediction  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

This study investigates the importance of initial soil wetness in seasonal predictions with dynamical models. Two experiments are performed, each consisting of two ensembles of global climate model integrations initialized from early June ...

M. J. Fennessy; J. Shukla

1999-11-01T23:59:59.000Z

434

NIST Testimony on Climate Change  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

NIST Testimony on Climate Change. 2009. Monitoring, Measurement and Verification of Greenhouse Gas Emissions II: The ...

2010-10-05T23:59:59.000Z

435

The Polar Marine Climate Revisited  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

As an additional classification to Köppen’s climate classification for polar (E) climates, the Polar Marine (EM) climate was presented nearly five decades ago and is revisited in this paper. The EM climate was traced to the North Atlantic, North ...

Thomas J. Ballinger; Thomas W. Schmidlin; Daniel F. Steinhoff

2013-06-01T23:59:59.000Z

436

Climate Change and Runoff Management  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

· Adaptation strategies #12;What is climate? "Climate is properly the long average of weather in a single place UV radiation Solar radiation Reflected by atmosphere (34% ) Radiated by atmosphere as heat (66%) Heat climate concerns us? Humans experience climate as weather #12;High water impacts June 1-15, 2008 38 River

Sheridan, Jennifer

437

Rebound in Atmospheric Predictability and the Role of the Land Surface  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

Total predictability within a chaotic system like the earth’s climate cannot increase over time. However, it can be transferred between subsystems. Predictability of air temperature and precipitation in numerical model forecasts over North America ...

Zhichang Guo; Paul A. Dirmeyer; Timothy DelSole; Randal D. Koster

2012-07-01T23:59:59.000Z

438

Quantifying Predictability Variations in a Low-Order Occan-Atmosphere Model: A Dynamical Systems Approach  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

A dynamical systems approach is used to quantify the predictability of weather and climatic states of a low order, moist general circulation model. The effects on predictability of incorporating a simple oceanic circulation are evaluated. The ...

Jon M. Nese; John A. Dutton

1993-02-01T23:59:59.000Z

439

An Analysis of ENSO Prediction Skill in the CFS Retrospective Forecasts  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

The present study documents the so-called spring prediction and persistence barriers in association with El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) in the National Centers for Environmental Prediction (NCEP) Climate Forecast System (CFS) retrospective ...

Renguang Wu; Ben P. Kirtman; Huug van den Dool

2009-04-01T23:59:59.000Z

440

A Comparison of General Circulation Model Predictions to Sand Drift and Dune Orientations  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

The growing concern over climate change and desertification stresses the importance of aeolian process prediction. In this paper the use of a general circulation model to predict current aeolian features is examined. A GCM developed at NASA/...

Dan G. Blumberg; Ronald Greeley

1996-12-01T23:59:59.000Z

Note: This page contains sample records for the topic "noaa climate prediction" from the National Library of EnergyBeta (NLEBeta).
While these samples are representative of the content of NLEBeta,
they are not comprehensive nor are they the most current set.
We encourage you to perform a real-time search of NLEBeta
to obtain the most current and comprehensive results.


441

Climate Vision: Presidential Statements  

Office of Scientific and Technical Information (OSTI)

President-Elect Obama's Address to the Global Climate Summit President-Elect Obama's Address to the Global Climate Summit November 18, 2008 THE PRESIDENT: Let me begin by thanking the bipartisan group of U.S. governors who convened this meeting. Few challenges facing America - and the world - are more urgent than combating climate change. The science is beyond dispute and the facts are clear. Sea levels are rising. Coastlines are shrinking. We've seen record drought, spreading famine, and storms that are growing stronger with each passing hurricane season. Climate change and our dependence on foreign oil, if left unaddressed, will continue to weaken our economy and threaten our national security. I know many of you are working to confront this challenge. In particular, I want to commend Governor Sebelius, Governor Doyle, Governor Crist, Governor

442

Related Federal Climate Efforts  

NLE Websites -- All DOE Office Websites (Extended Search)

Related Federal Climate Efforts Print E-mail Related Federal Climate Efforts Print E-mail Interagency Task Force on Carbon Capture and Storage The Interagency Task Force on Carbon Capture and Storage (CCS) is a group of technologies for capturing, compressing, transporting and permanently storing power plant and industrial source emissions of carbon dioxide. Rapid development and deployment of clean coal technologies, particularly CCS, will help position the United States as a leader in the global clean energy race. Climate Change Adaptation Task Force The Task Force's work has been guided by a strategic vision of a resilient, healthy, and prosperous Nation in the face of a changing climate. To achieve this vision, the Task Force identified a set of guiding principles that public and private decision-makers should consider in designing and implementing adaptation strategies.

443

G-Climate  

Energy.gov (U.S. Department of Energy (DOE)) Indexed Site

67 67 AUDIT REPORT THE U.S. DEPARTMENT OF ENERGY'S GLOBAL CLIMATE CHANGE ACTIVITIES U.S. DEPARTMENT OF ENERGY OFFICE OF INSPECTOR GENERAL OFFICE OF AUDIT SERVICES APRIL 2000 April 6, 2000 MEMORANDUM FOR THE SECRETARY FROM: Gregory H. Friedman (Signed) Inspector General SUBJECT: INFORMATION: Audit Report on "The U.S. Department of Energy's Global Climate Change Activities" BACKGROUND The President's Climate Change Proposal of October 1997 and the United Nation's Framework Convention on Climate Change (FCCC), were intended to identify methods of reducing greenhouse gas emissions. The FCCC was ratified by the U.S. Senate in 1992 and put into force in July 1994. The purpose of the Kyoto

444

Climate Vision: Presidential Statements  

Office of Scientific and Technical Information (OSTI)

Remarks by the President at the Morning Plenary Session of the United Remarks by the President at the Morning Plenary Session of the United Nations Climate Change Conference Bella Center Copenhagen, Denmark December 18, 2009 (Read the White House Press page.) THE PRESIDENT: Good morning. It is an honor for me to join this distinguished group of leaders from nations around the world. We come here in Copenhagen because climate change poses a grave and growing danger to our people. All of you would not be here unless you -- like me -- were convinced that this danger is real. This is not fiction, it is science. Unchecked, climate change will pose unacceptable risks to our security, our economies, and our planet. This much we know. The question, then, before us is no longer the nature of the challenge -- the question is our capacity to meet it. For while the reality of climate

445

Global Climate Change Links  

NLE Websites -- All DOE Office Websites (Extended Search)

Global Climate Change Links Global Climate Change Links This page provides links to web pages that we at CDIAC feel do a responsible job of presenting information and discussion pertinent to the science behind the global climate change ("global warming") debate. These sites include those on both sides of the debate; some asserting that global warming is a clear and present danger, and others that might be labeled global warming "skeptics." Some of these sites don't take a position per se; they exist to offer the public objective scientific information and results on our present understanding of the climate system. The list is not intended to be comprehensive, by any means. We hope it will be especially helpful for those who may be just beginning their research into global

446

ARM Climate Research Facility  

NLE Websites -- All DOE Office Websites (Extended Search)

1 ARM Climate Research Facility Quarterly Value-Added Product Report Chitra Sivaraman August 2011 DISCLAIMER This report was prepared as an account of work sponsored by the U.S....

447

ARM Climate Research Facility  

NLE Websites -- All DOE Office Websites (Extended Search)

1 ARM Climate Research Facility Quarterly Value-Added Product Report Chitra Sivaraman June 2011 DISCLAIMER This report was prepared as an account of work sponsored by the U.S....

448

Climate: The Elements  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

The authors present an analytical climate model, which has the features that (i) the atmosphere is a simple oscillator for all periods ?1 year, (ii) the ocean stores heat, (iii) the ocean exchanges momentum with the atmosphere, and (iv) random ...

John A. T. Bye; Roland A. D. Byron-Scott; Adrian H. Gordon

1996-07-01T23:59:59.000Z

449

Climate Action Plan (Florida)  

Energy.gov (U.S. Department of Energy (DOE))

On July 12 and 13, 2007, Governor Charlie Crist hosted “Serve to Preserve: A Florida Summit on Global Climate Change.” The summit brought together leaders of business, government, science and...

450

Climate Action Plan (Vermont)  

Energy.gov (U.S. Department of Energy (DOE))

There is a growing scientific consensus that increasing emissions of greenhouse gases to the atmosphere are affecting the temperature and variability of the Earth’s climate. Recognizing the...

451

Regional Climate Research  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

The Workshop on Regional Climate Research: Needs and Opportunities was held 2–4 April 2001 at the National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, Colorado. The workshop was cosponsored by the National Science Foundation and the Department of ...

L. Ruby Leung; Linda O. Mearns; Filippo Giorgi; Robert L. Wilby

2003-01-01T23:59:59.000Z

452

DOE Climate Change Researchers  

Office of Scientific and Technical Information (OSTI)

Mike (LLNL) Structure of the Tropical Lower Stratosphere as Revealed by Three Reanalysis Data Sets An Appraisal of Coupled Climate Model Simulations A B C D E F G H J K L M P R S...

453

Detecting Climate Change  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

The likelihood ratio of the data for a hypothesis of some change, relative to the hypothesis of no change, is a suitable statistical measure for the detection of climate change. Likelihood ratios calculated on the basis of Angell and Korshover's (...

Edward S. Epstein

1982-08-01T23:59:59.000Z

454

Climate Assessment for 1999  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

The global climate during 1999 was impacted by Pacific cold episode (La Niña) conditions throughout the year, which resulted in regional precipitation and atmospheric circulation patterns across the Pacific Ocean and the Americas that are ...

Gerald D. Bell; Michael S. Halpert; Russell C. Schnell; R. Wayne Higgins; Jay Lawrimore; Vernon E. Kousky; Richard Tinker; Wasila Thiaw; Muthuvel Chelliah; Anthony Artusa

2000-06-01T23:59:59.000Z

455

OpenEI - climate  

Open Energy Info (EERE)

617 at http:en.openei.orgdatasets Climate: monthly and annual average relative humidity GIS data at one-degree resolution of the World from NASASSE http:en.openei.org...

456

ARM Climate Research Facility  

NLE Websites -- All DOE Office Websites (Extended Search)

0 ARM Climate Research Facility Quarterly Value-Added Product Report C Sivaraman May 2013 DISCLAIMER This report was prepared as an account of work sponsored by the U.S....

457

Global Climate Change  

NLE Websites -- All DOE Office Websites (Extended Search)

When President Bush announced his Global Climate Change Initiative in February 2002, he committed the United States to a new strategy to cut greenhouse gas emissions over the next...

458

Climate Action Plan (Maryland)  

Energy.gov (U.S. Department of Energy (DOE))

On April 20, 2007, Governor Martin O’Malley signed Executive Order 01.01.2007.07 establishing the Maryland Climate Change Commission (MCCC) charged with collectively developing an action plan to...

459

Bayesian Climate Change Assessment  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

A Bayesian fingerprinting methodology for assessing anthropogenic impacts on climate was developed. This analysis considers the effect of increased CO2 on near-surface temperatures. A spatial CO2 fingerprint based on control and forced model ...

L. Mark Berliner; Richard A. Levine; Dennis J. Shea

2000-11-01T23:59:59.000Z

460

Valuing Climate Forecast Information  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

The article describes research opportunities associated with evaluating the characteristics of climate forecasts in settings where sequential decisions are made. Illustrative results are provided for corn production in east central Illinois. ...

Steven T. Sonka; James W. Mjelde; Peter J. Lamb; Steven E. Hollinger; Bruce L. Dixon

1987-09-01T23:59:59.000Z

Note: This page contains sample records for the topic "noaa climate prediction" from the National Library of EnergyBeta (NLEBeta).
While these samples are representative of the content of NLEBeta,
they are not comprehensive nor are they the most current set.
We encourage you to perform a real-time search of NLEBeta
to obtain the most current and comprehensive results.


461

Climate Action Plan (Minnesota)  

Energy.gov (U.S. Department of Energy (DOE))

Recognizing the implications that global climate change may have on the economy, environment and quality of life in Minnesota, Governor Tim Pawlenty signed into law the 2007 Next Generation Energy...

462

Achieving Climate Sustainability  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

It is often assumed that climate change policies, including the Kyoto Protocol and the follow-on Copenhagen agreement now being negotiated, align well with sustainability's tenets. A closer look reveals this is not the case. First, they treat ...

William B. Gail

2010-02-01T23:59:59.000Z

463

Energy, Climate & Infrastructure Security  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

Energy, Climate & Infrastructure Security EXCEPTIONAL SERVICE IN THE NATIONAL INTEREST Sandia Security Administration under contract DE-AC04-94AL85000. SAND 2012-1670P Thermal thermal environments different from regulatory standards. Packaging, Transport, Storage & Security

464

Climate change effects on forests: A critical review  

SciTech Connect

While current projections of future climate change associated with increases in atmospheric greenhouse gases have a high degree of uncertainty, the potential effects of climate change on forests are of increasing concern. A number of studies based on forest simulation models predict substantial temperatures associated with increasing atmospheric carbon dioxide concentrations. However, the structure of these computer models may cause them to overemphasize the role of climate in controlling tree growth and mortality. We propose that forest simulation models be reformulated with more realistic representations of growth responses to temperature, moisture, mortality, and dispersal. We believe that only when these models more accurately reflect the physiological bases of the responses of tree species to climate variables can they be used to simulate responses of forests to rapid changes in climate. We argue that direct forest responses to climate change projected by such a reformulated model may be less traumatic and more gradual than those projected by current models. However, the indirect effects of climate change on forests, mediated by alterations of disturbance regimes or the actions of pests and pathogens, may accelerate climate-induced change in forests, and they deserve further study and inclusion within forest simulation models.

Loehle, C. [Argonne National Lab., IL (United States); LeBlanc, D. [Ball State Univ., Muncie, IN (United States). Dept. of Biology

1996-02-01T23:59:59.000Z

465

Global Climate Change Alliance Training Workshops on Mainstreaming Climate  

Open Energy Info (EERE)

Global Climate Change Alliance Training Workshops on Mainstreaming Climate Global Climate Change Alliance Training Workshops on Mainstreaming Climate Change Jump to: navigation, search Tool Summary LAUNCH TOOL Name: Global Climate Change Alliance Training Workshop on Mainstreaming Climate Change Agency/Company /Organization: Global Climate Change Alliance (GCCA) Sector: Climate Topics: Low emission development planning, -LEDS Resource Type: Training materials, Workshop Website: www.gcca.eu/pages/75_2-OCT-Workshop.html Cost: Free References: GCCA Countries Training Workshop[1] A GCCA workshop for OCT countries took place 27-28 January 2012 immediately following the OCT-EU Forum meeting in Brussels, Belgium. The workshop aimed at sharing views, knowledge, tools and experiences on climate change mitigation and adaptation and at raising awareness on the benefits and

466

Predictive rendering  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

This course intends to serve two closely related purposes: to provide an accurate definition of the term "predictive rendering" and to present the technological foundations for research in this area. The first goal of the course (a clear definition of ...

Alexander Wilkie; Andrea Weidlich; Marcus Magnor; Alan Chalmers

2009-12-01T23:59:59.000Z

467

Desert dust and anthropogenic aerosol interactions in the Community Climate System Model coupled-carbon-climate model  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

Coupled-carbon-climate simulations are an essential tool for predicting the impact of human activity onto the climate and biogeochemistry. Here we incorporate prognostic desert dust and anthropogenic aerosols into the CCSM3.1 coupled carbon-climate model and explore the resulting interactions with climate and biogeochemical dynamics through a series of transient anthropogenic simulations (20th and 21st centuries) and sensitivity studies. The inclusion of prognostic aerosols into this model has a small net global cooling effect on climate but does not significantly impact the globally averaged carbon cycle; we argue that this is likely to be because the CCSM3.1 model has a small climate feedback onto the carbon cycle. We propose a mechanism for including desert dust and anthropogenic aerosols into a simple carbon-climate feedback analysis to explain the results of our and previous studies. Inclusion of aerosols has statistically significant impacts on regional climate and biogeochemistry, in particular through the effects on the ocean nitrogen cycle and primary productivity of altered iron inputs from desert dust deposition.

Mahowald, Natalie [Cornell University; Rothenberg, D. [Cornell University; Lindsay, Keith [National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR); Doney, Scott C. [Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution; Moore, Jefferson Keith [University of California, Irvine; Randerson, James T. [University of California, Irvine; Thornton, Peter E [ORNL; Jones, C. D. [Hadley Center, Devon, England

2011-02-01T23:59:59.000Z

468

Building Technologies Office: Climate Zones  

NLE Websites -- All DOE Office Websites (Extended Search)

Climate Zones to Climate Zones to someone by E-mail Share Building Technologies Office: Climate Zones on Facebook Tweet about Building Technologies Office: Climate Zones on Twitter Bookmark Building Technologies Office: Climate Zones on Google Bookmark Building Technologies Office: Climate Zones on Delicious Rank Building Technologies Office: Climate Zones on Digg Find More places to share Building Technologies Office: Climate Zones on AddThis.com... About Take Action to Save Energy Partner With DOE Activities Solar Decathlon Building America Research Innovations Research Tools Building Science Education Climate-Specific Guidance Solution Center Partnerships Meetings Publications Home Energy Score Home Performance with ENERGY STAR Better Buildings Neighborhood Program Challenge Home Guidelines for Home Energy Professionals

469

The impact of climate change on the U.S. wind energy resource  

DOE Green Energy (OSTI)

I propose to use the new North American Regional Climate Change Assessment Program climate projections to estimate the change of the wind power resource under various carbon dioxide loading scenarios and for a range of climate models. We will compare our assessment with both our assessment based on the IPCC AR4 model runs, to explore the extent to which improved model resolution changes the prediction for the wind power resource, and with present day estimates from reanalysis and scatterometer winds.

Daniel Kirk-Davidoff; Daniel Barrie

2013-03-19T23:59:59.000Z

470

Mobile Climate Observatory on the Pacific  

NLE Websites -- All DOE Office Websites (Extended Search)

Climate Observatory on the Pacific The AMF2 mobile climate observatory is traveling the Pacific ocean between Los Angeles and Honolulu to improve the way global climate models...

471

Chicago Climate Exchange CCX | Open Energy Information  

Open Energy Info (EERE)

Chicago Climate Exchange CCX Jump to: navigation, search Name Chicago Climate Exchange (CCX) Place Chicago, Illinois Zip 60604 Product Chicago Climate Exchange (CCX) is aiming at...

472

SEAB Climate Action Plan | Department of Energy  

Energy.gov (U.S. Department of Energy (DOE)) Indexed Site

Climate Action Plan presented by Dr. Jonathan Pershing, Deputy Assistant Secretary for Climate Change at the U.S. Department of Energy. Climate Action Plan (pdf) More Documents...

473

Climate Change Science Institute | Clean Energy | ORNL  

NLE Websites -- All DOE Office Websites (Extended Search)

Climate Change Science Institute SHARE Climate Change Science Institute To advance understanding of the Earth system, describe the consequences of climate change, and evaluate and...

474

PREDICTIVE MODELS  

SciTech Connect

PREDICTIVE MODELS is a collection of five models - CFPM, CO2PM, ICPM, PFPM, and SFPM - used in the 1982-1984 National Petroleum Council study of enhanced oil recovery (EOR) potential. Each pertains to a specific EOR process designed to squeeze additional oil from aging or spent oil fields. The processes are: 1) chemical flooding, where soap-like surfactants are injected into the reservoir to wash out the oil; 2) carbon dioxide miscible flooding, where carbon dioxide mixes with the lighter hydrocarbons making the oil easier to displace; 3) in-situ combustion, which uses the heat from burning some of the underground oil to thin the product; 4) polymer flooding, where thick, cohesive material is pumped into a reservoir to push the oil through the underground rock; and 5) steamflood, where pressurized steam is injected underground to thin the oil. CFPM, the Chemical Flood Predictive Model, models micellar (surfactant)-polymer floods in reservoirs, which have been previously waterflooded to residual oil saturation. Thus, only true tertiary floods are considered. An option allows a rough estimate of oil recovery by caustic or caustic-polymer processes. CO2PM, the Carbon Dioxide miscible flooding Predictive Model, is applicable to both secondary (mobile oil) and tertiary (residual oil) floods, and to either continuous CO2 injection or water-alternating gas processes. ICPM, the In-situ Combustion Predictive Model, computes the recovery and profitability of an in-situ combustion project from generalized performance predictive algorithms. PFPM, the Polymer Flood Predictive Model, is switch-selectable for either polymer or waterflooding, and an option allows the calculation of the incremental oil recovery and economics of polymer relative to waterflooding. SFPM, the Steamflood Predictive Model, is applicable to the steam drive process, but not to cyclic steam injection (steam soak) processes.

Ray, R.M. (DOE Bartlesville Energy Technology Technology Center, Bartlesville, OK (United States))

1986-12-01T23:59:59.000Z

475

Climate Data Operators (CDO)  

NLE Websites -- All DOE Office Websites (Extended Search)

Climate Climate Data Operators (CDO) Climate Data Operators (CDO) Description and Overview CDO is a large tool set for working on climate data. NetCDF 3/4, GRIB including SZIP compression, EXTRA, SERVICE and IEG are supported as IO-formats. Apart from that cdo can be used to analyse any kind gridded data not related to climate science. CDO has very small memory requirements and can process files larger than the physical memory. How to Use CDO module load cdo cdo [Options] Operators ... Further Information CDO Online Documentation Availability Package Platform Category Version Module Install Date Date Made Default cdo carver libraries/ I/O 1.4.1 cdo/1.4.1 2012-01-13 2012-01-13 cdo carver libraries/ I/O 1.4.6 cdo/1.4.6 2012-05-24 2012-05-25 cdo carver libraries/ I/O 1.6.1 cdo/1.6.1 2013-07-02

476

BNL | Climate, Environment and Bisoscience  

NLE Websites -- All DOE Office Websites (Extended Search)

Climate, Environment, and Biosciences Climate, Environment, and Biosciences bioscience research Revealing Nature-from Microscopic to Atmospheric Scales With recognized expertise in plant sciences, imaging, and climate studies, Brookhaven Lab advances some of the most promising scientific methods of achieving a sustainable future. This cross-disciplinary research seeks to understand the relationships between climate change, sustainable energy initiatives, and the planet's natural ecosystems. As environmental and economic issues mount, this research will provide increasingly important guidance and opportunities for climate change management strategies, approaches to adaptation, and policy decisions. Building a Sustainable Future Major goals include: Significantly improving climate models based on high-quality data

477

ORISE: Climate and Atmospheric Research  

NLE Websites -- All DOE Office Websites (Extended Search)

Climate and Atmospheric Research Climate and Atmospheric Research Capabilities Overview U.S. Climate Reference Network U.S. Historical Climate Network Contact Us Oak Ridge Institute for Science Education Climate and Atmospheric Research The Oak Ridge Institute for Science and Education (ORISE) partners with the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's Atmospheric Turbulence and Diffusion Division (ATDD) to conduct climate research focused on issues of national and global importance. Research is performed with personnel support from ORISE's Independent Environmental Assessment and Verification (IEAV) programs, as well as in collaboration with scientists and engineers from Oak Ridge National Laboratory (ORNL), and numerous other organizations, government agencies, universities and private research institutions.

478

Constraints on Climate Sensitivity from Radiation Patterns in Climate Models  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

The estimated range of climate sensitivity, the equilibrium warming resulting from a doubling of the atmospheric carbon dioxide concentration, has not decreased substantially in past decades. New statistical methods for estimating the climate ...

Markus Huber; Irina Mahlstein; Martin Wild; John Fasullo; Reto Knutti

2011-02-01T23:59:59.000Z

479

Second National Climate Assessment: Climate Change Impacts By...  

NLE Websites -- All DOE Office Websites (Extended Search)

Climate Change Impacts By Region Print E-mail alt An affiliated website was created specifically for the 2009 National Climate Assessment so that the report would be more...

480

Second National Climate Assessment: Climate Change Impacts By...  

NLE Websites -- All DOE Office Websites (Extended Search)

Assessment: Climate Change Impacts By Sector Print E-mail alt An affiliated website was created specifically for the 2009 National Climate Assessment so that the report would be...

Note: This page contains sample records for the topic "noaa climate prediction" from the National Library of EnergyBeta (NLEBeta).
While these samples are representative of the content of NLEBeta,
they are not comprehensive nor are they the most current set.
We encourage you to perform a real-time search of NLEBeta
to obtain the most current and comprehensive results.


481

Climate System Response to External Forcings and Climate Change...  

NLE Websites -- All DOE Office Websites (Extended Search)

Climate System Response to External Forcings and Climate Change Projections in CCSM4 Submitted by mkaczmar on March 8, 2012 - 11:03 Authors: Meehl, G.A., Washington, WM, Arblaster,...

482

The Climate Sensitivity and Its Components Diagnosed from Earth Radiation Budget Data  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

One of the major uncertainties in the ability to predict future climate change, and hence its impacts, is the lack of knowledge of the earth’s climate sensitivity. Here, data are combined from the 1985–96 Earth Radiation Budget Experiment (ERBE) ...

Piers Mde F. Forster; Jonathan M. Gregory

2006-01-01T23:59:59.000Z

483

Climate change cripples forests  

NLE Websites -- All DOE Office Websites (Extended Search)

Climate Change Cripples Forests Climate Change Cripples Forests Climate change cripples forests A team of scientists concluded that in the warmer and drier Southwest of the near future, widespread tree mortality will cause forest and species distributions to change substantially. October 1, 2012 A dead pinon at the edge of the Grand Canyon, harbinger of the future for trees in the Southwest United States. Photo courtesy A. Park Williams. A dead pinon at the edge of the Grand Canyon, harbinger of the future for trees in the Southwest United States. Photo courtesy A. Park Williams. Contact Nancy Ambrosiano Communications Office (505) 667-0471 Email "There will still be wet winters, but they will more often be followed by warm summers, putting stress on trees and limiting their ability to respond

484

Climate Vision: Presidential Statements  

Office of Scientific and Technical Information (OSTI)

Remarks by the President at Major Economies Meeting on Energy Security and Remarks by the President at Major Economies Meeting on Energy Security and Climate Change September 28, 2007 THE PRESIDENT: Good morning. Thank you. Welcome to the State Department. I'm honored to address this historic meeting on energy security and climate change. And I appreciate you all being here. Energy security and climate change are two of the great challenges of our time. The United States takes these challenges seriously. The world's response will help shape the future of the global economy and the condition of our environment for future generations. The nations in this room have special responsibilities. We represent the world's major economies, we are major users of energy, and we have the resources and knowledge base to develop clean energy technologies.

485

Reduce Climate Change  

NLE Websites -- All DOE Office Websites (Extended Search)

Reduce Climate Change Reduce Climate Change Highway vehicles release about 1.5 billion metric tons of greenhouse gases (GHGs) into the atmosphere each year-mostly in the form of carbon dioxide (CO2)-contributing to global climate change. Each gallon of gasoline you burn creates 20 pounds of CO2. That's roughly 5 to 9 tons of CO2 each year for a typical vehicle. more... How can a gallon of gasoline create 20 pounds of carbon dioxide? It seems impossible that a gallon of gasoline, which weighs about 6.3 pounds, could produce 20 pounds of carbon dioxide (CO2) when burned. However, most of the weight of the CO2 doesn't come from the gasoline itself, but the oxygen in the air. When gasoline burns, the carbon and hydrogen separate. The hydrogen combines with oxygen to form water (H2O), and carbon combines with oxygen

486

Climate Vision: Presidential Statements  

Office of Scientific and Technical Information (OSTI)

at United Nations Secretary General Ban Ki-Moon's at United Nations Secretary General Ban Ki-Moon's Climate Change Summit United Nations Headquarters New York, New York September 22, 2009 (Read the White House Press page.) PRESIDENT OBAMA: Thank you very much. Good morning. I want to thank the Secretary General for organizing this summit, and all the leaders who are participating. That so many of us are here today is a recognition that the threat from climate change is serious, it is urgent, and it is growing. Our generation's response to this challenge will be judged by history, for if we fail to meet it -- boldly, swiftly, and together -- we risk consigning future generations to an irreversible catastrophe. No nation, however large or small, wealthy or poor, can escape the impact of climate change. Rising sea levels threaten every coastline. More

487

Cattle and Climate  

NLE Websites -- All DOE Office Websites (Extended Search)

Cattle and Climate Cattle and Climate Name: Peter Location: N/A Country: N/A Date: N/A Question: Is there any link bteween global warming / climate change and the increased population of cattle worldwide. If so can it be estimated what proportion of the potential problem arises from this source. Replies: Some scientist speculate that when cows expel intestinal gas (to put it politely!) they contribute to global warming by increasing the amount of methane in the atmosphere. They certainly aren't the only source-a study was done on termites also that showed that methane was expelled as they broke down cellulose-but if they are increasing in number they probably are one of many sources. I'm sorry I can't steer you towards actual studies, but I think they were done in the 1970's

488

Climate change cripples forests  

NLE Websites -- All DOE Office Websites (Extended Search)

Climate change cripples forests Climate change cripples forests Climate change cripples forests A team of scientists concluded that in the warmer and drier Southwest of the near future, widespread tree mortality will cause forest and species distributions to change substantially. October 1, 2012 A dead pinon at the edge of the Grand Canyon, harbinger of the future for trees in the Southwest United States. Photo courtesy A. Park Williams. A dead pinon at the edge of the Grand Canyon, harbinger of the future for trees in the Southwest United States. Photo courtesy A. Park Williams. Contact Nancy Ambrosiano Communications Office (505) 667-0471 Email "There will still be wet winters, but they will more often be followed by warm summers, putting stress on trees and limiting their ability to respond

489

Climate VISION: Contact Us  

Office of Scientific and Technical Information (OSTI)

CONTACT US CONTACT US General Contact Information Please contact the individuals below for all general questions about information found on this website. Department of Energy Contact Russell Conklin Policy Analyst U.S. Climate Change Technology Program U.S. Department of Energy Office of Climate Change Policy and Technology (PI-50) 202-586-8339 Web Site Contacts Matt Antes 410-953-6218 Energetics, Incorporated Or Rebecca Gordon 202-406-4138 Energetics, Incorporated Private Sector Initiatives Contact Information Please contact the individuals below for questions about information found on this website regarding the private sector initiatives. Collapse all | Expand all Aluminum - Contacts Association Climate VISION Lead Bob Streiter Aluminum Association 900 19th Street, NW Washington, D.C. 20006

490

Climate change cripples forests  

NLE Websites -- All DOE Office Websites (Extended Search)

Climate Change Cripples Forests Climate Change Cripples Forests Climate change cripples forests A team of scientists concluded that in the warmer and drier Southwest of the near future, widespread tree mortality will cause forest and species distributions to change substantially. October 1, 2012 A dead pinon at the edge of the Grand Canyon, harbinger of the future for trees in the Southwest United States. Photo courtesy A. Park Williams. A dead pinon at the edge of the Grand Canyon, harbinger of the future for trees in the Southwest United States. Photo courtesy A. Park Williams. Contact Nancy Ambrosiano Communications Office (505) 667-0471 Email "There will still be wet winters, but they will more often be followed by warm summers, putting stress on trees and limiting their ability to respond

491

Climate VISION: Industry Associations  

Office of Scientific and Technical Information (OSTI)

Industry Associations Industry Associations Aluminum Aluminum Association (Coordinating aluminum industry Climate VISION activities) The Aluminum Association, Inc. is the trade association for producers of primary aluminum, recyclers and semi-fabricated aluminum products, as well as suppliers to the industry. The Association provides leadership to the industry through its programs and services which aim to enhance aluminum's position in a world of proliferating materials, increase its use as the "material of choice," remove impediments to its fullest use, and assist in achieving the industry's environmental, societal, and economic objectives. Automobile Manufacturers Alliance of Automobile Manufacturers (Coordinating automobile industry Climate VISION activities) The Alliance of Automobile Manufacturers, Inc. is a trade association

492

The economic impact of global climate and tropospheric oxone on world agricultural production  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

The objective of my thesis is to analyze the economic impact on agriculture production from changes in climate and tropospheric ozone, and related policy interventions. The analysis makes use of the Emissions Prediction ...

Wang, Xiaodu

2005-01-01T23:59:59.000Z

493

Regional assessment of sampling techniques for more efficient dynamical climate downscaling  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

Dynamical downscaling is a computationally expensive method whereby fine-scale details of the atmosphere may be portrayed by running a limited area numerical weather prediction model (often called a regional climate model) nested within a coarse ...

James O. Pinto; Andrew J. Monaghan; Luca Delle Monache; Emilie Vanvyve; Daran L. Rife

494

Long-Range Forecasting of the Nile River Flows Using Climatic Forcing  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

Correlation analysis is used to determine the linear relationship between the Nile River flows and leading climatic indicators, such as SST and precipitation, in an effort to establish a basis for quantitative long-term streamflow prediction. The ...

Ahmed K. Eldaw; Jose D. Salas; Luis A. Garcia

2003-07-01T23:59:59.000Z

495

Distinguishing the Roles of Natural and Anthropogenically Forced Decadal Climate Variability  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

Given that over the course of the next 10–30 years the magnitude of natural decadal variations may rival that of anthropogenically forced climate change on regional scales, it is envisioned that initialized decadal predictions will provide ...

Amy Solomon; Lisa Goddard; Arun Kumar; James Carton; Clara Deser; Ichiro Fukumori; Arthur M. Greene; Gabriele Hegerl; Ben Kirtman; Yochanan Kushnir; Matthew Newman; Doug Smith; Dan Vimont; Tom Delworth; Gerald A. Meehl; Timothy Stockdale

2011-02-01T23:59:59.000Z

496

Characteristics of Subsurface Ocean Response to ENSO Assessed from Simulations with the NCEP Climate Forecast System  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

The subsurface ocean temperature response to El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is examined based on 31-yr (1981–2011) simulations with the National Centers for Environmental Prediction (NCEP) Climate Forecast System (CFS) coupled model. The ...

Hui Wang; Arun Kumar; Wanqiu Wang

497

Dynamical Downscaling of Austral Summer Climate Forecasts over Southern Africa Using a Regional Coupled Model  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

The prediction skill of dynamical downscaling is evaluated for climate forecasts over southern Africa using the Advanced Research Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model. As a case study, forecasts for the December–February (DJF) season of ...

J. V. Ratnam; S. K. Behera; S. B. Ratna; C. J. de W. Rautenbach; C. Lennard; J.-J. Luo; Y. Masumoto; K. Takahashi; T. Yamagata

2013-08-01T23:59:59.000Z

498

Reanalyses-Based Tropospheric Temperature Estimates: Uncertainties in the Context of Global Climate Change Detection  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

Uncertainties in estimates of tropospheric mean temperature were investigated in the context of climate change detection through comparisons of the National Centers for Environmental Prediction–National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCEP–NCAR) ...

Muthuvel Chelliah; C. F. Ropelewski

2000-09-01T23:59:59.000Z

499

Climatic Impacts of “Friagens” in Forested and Deforested Areas of the Amazon Basin  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

Meteorological observations from the Anglo–Brazilian Amazonian Climate Observation Study (ABRACOS), together with the global reanalysis from the National Center for Environmental Prediction (NCEP) and satellite images, have been used to study the ...

José A. Marengo; Carlos A. Nobre; Alistair D. Culf

1997-11-01T23:59:59.000Z

500

Some conservation issues for the dynamical cores of NWP and climate models  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

The rationale for designing atmospheric numerical model dynamical cores with certain conservation properties is reviewed. The conceptual difficulties associated with the multiscale nature of realistic atmospheric flow, and its lack of time-reversibility, ... Keywords: Climate simulation, Conservation, Weather prediction

J. Thuburn

2008-03-01T23:59:59.000Z