Model Based Safety Assessment Dynamic System
Grigoras, .Romulus
Assessment Techniques ·Failure mode and effect analysis (FMEA) Model: from a local failure to its system chain .... 2 Functional FMEA template FT unannunciated loss of wheel braking #12;Drawbacks of the Classical Safety Assessment Techniques · Fault Tree, FMEA Give failure propagation paths without referring
Assessing the reliability of linear dynamic transformer thermal modelling
Assessing the reliability of linear dynamic transformer thermal modelling X. Mao, D.J. Tylavsky and G.A. McCulla Abstract: Improving the utilisation of transformers requires that the hot-spot and top. An alternative method for assessing transformer model reliability is provided. 1 Introduction The maximally
A next-generation modeling capability assesses wind turbine array fluid dynamics and aeroelastic simulations Characterizing and optimizing overall performance of wind plants composed of large numbers at the National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL) are coupling physical models of the atmosphere and wind
Penny, Will
Hierarchical Dynamic Models Will Penny OU Processes Embedding OU(2) process Dynamic Models Hierarchical Dynamic Models Will Penny 26th May 2011 #12;Hierarchical Dynamic Models Will Penny OU Processes Dynamic Models Will Penny OU Processes Embedding OU(2) process Dynamic Models Generalised coordinates
Assessment of Models for Pedestrian Dynamics with Functional Principal Component Analysis
Chraibi, M; Gottschalk, H; Saadi, M; Seyfried, A
2015-01-01
Many agent based simulation approaches have been proposed for pedestrian flow. As such models are applied e.g.\\ in evacuation studies, the quality and reliability of such models is of vital interest. Pedestrian trajectories are functional data and thus functional principal component analysis is a natural tool to asses the quality of pedestrian flow models beyond average properties. In this article we conduct functional PCA for the trajectories of pedestrians passing through a bottleneck. We benchmark two agent based models of pedestrian flow against the experimental data using PCA average and stochastic features. Functional PCA proves to be an efficient tool to detect deviation between simulation and experiment and to asses quality of pedestrian models.
Cascading Dynamics and Mitigation Assessment in Power System Disturbances via a Hidden Failure Model
of Wisconsin, Madison WI, 53706, USA Abstract A hidden failure embedded DC model of power transmission systems, the role of the transmission system to provide reliable energy transportation is even more crucial. However, the U.S power transmission grid suffered from more than 400 major blackouts in the past 16 years [1
Dynamical systems probabilistic risk assessment.
Denman, Matthew R.; Ames, Arlo Leroy
2014-03-01
Probabilistic Risk Assessment (PRA) is the primary tool used to risk-inform nuclear power regulatory and licensing activities. Risk-informed regulations are intended to reduce inherent conservatism in regulatory metrics (e.g., allowable operating conditions and technical specifications) which are built into the regulatory framework by quantifying both the total risk profile as well as the change in the risk profile caused by an event or action (e.g., in-service inspection procedures or power uprates). Dynamical Systems (DS) analysis has been used to understand unintended time-dependent feedbacks in both industrial and organizational settings. In dynamical systems analysis, feedback loops can be characterized and studied as a function of time to describe the changes to the reliability of plant Structures, Systems and Components (SSCs). While DS has been used in many subject areas, some even within the PRA community, it has not been applied toward creating long-time horizon, dynamic PRAs (with time scales ranging between days and decades depending upon the analysis). Understanding slowly developing dynamic effects, such as wear-out, on SSC reliabilities may be instrumental in ensuring a safely and reliably operating nuclear fleet. Improving the estimation of a plant's continuously changing risk profile will allow for more meaningful risk insights, greater stakeholder confidence in risk insights, and increased operational flexibility.
Palo, P.A.; Meggitt, D.J.; Nordell, W.J.
1983-05-01
This paper presents a summary of the development and validation of undersea cable dynamics computer models by the Naval Civil Engineering Laboratory (NCEL) under the sponsorship of the Naval Facilities Engineering Command. These models allow for the analysis of both small displacement (strumming) and large displacement (static and dynamic) deformations of arbitrarily configured cable structures. All of the large displacement models described in this paper are available to the public. This paper does not emphasize the theoretical development of the models (this information is available in other references) but emphasizes the various features of the models, the comparisons between model output and experimental data, and applications for which the models have been used.
Dynamic Operational Risk Assessment with Bayesian Network
Barua, Shubharthi
2012-10-19
dependencies of equipment/components and timing of safety system operations, all of which are time dependent criteria that can influence dynamic processes. The conventional risk assessment methodologies can quantify dynamic changes in processes with limited...
Assessment of boreal forest historical C dynamics in Yukon River...
Office of Scientific and Technical Information (OSTI)
this study we applied a large-scale ecosystem model that included dynamics of organic soil horizons and soil organic matter characteristics of multiple pools to assess forest C...
ORISE: Dose modeling and assessments
Broader source: All U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) Office Webpages (Extended Search)
Dose modeling and assessments The Oak Ridge Institute for Science and Education (ORISE) offers dose modeling and assessment services to demonstrate that federal andor state...
Research progress in dynamic security assessment
Not Available
1982-12-01
Areas discussed are power system modeling, state estimation, structure decomposition, state forecasting, clustering and security measure development. A detailed dynamic model of a multi-machine power system has been developed. A process state estimator was developed to estimate the long-term dynamic behavior of the power system. The algorithm is identical to the extended Kalman filter but has a modified process noise driving term. A two-stage structure estimation technique was proposed for identifying the power system network configuration. Two approaches to structure decomposition were investigated. A time-scale decomposition of the system equations, based on a singular perturbation approach, was evaluated using a detailed model of a generating system. Spatial decomposition was examined by applying an optimal network decomposition technique to a 39-bus test system. Stochastic approximation based approaches to estimator simplification were examined. Explicit expressions were obtained for the evolution of the first and second moments of the system state. Research into security measures proceeded in three directions. The first area involves viewing the security assessment problem as a hyperplane crossing problem for a stochastic process. The second approach examined the stability of an unforced linear system where the system coefficients are subject to future jumps. The third area of research has led to the formulation of a security measure suitable for on-line assessment of transient stability.
Tools for dynamic model development
Schaber, Spencer Daniel
2014-01-01
For this thesis, several tools for dynamic model development were developed and analyzed. Dynamic models can be used to simulate and optimize the behavior of a great number of natural and engineered systems, from the ...
Integrated Assessment Modeling
Edmonds, James A.; Calvin, Katherine V.; Clarke, Leon E.; Janetos, Anthony C.; Kim, Son H.; Wise, Marshall A.; McJeon, Haewon C.
2012-10-31
This paper discusses the role of Integrated Assessment models (IAMs) in climate change research. IAMs are an interdisciplinary research platform, which constitutes a consistent scientific framework in which the large-scale interactions between human and natural Earth systems can be examined. In so doing, IAMs provide insights that would otherwise be unavailable from traditional single-discipline research. By providing a broader view of the issue, IAMs constitute an important tool for decision support. IAMs are also a home of human Earth system research and provide natural Earth system scientists information about the nature of human intervention in global biogeophysical and geochemical processes.
Sensitivity Analysis of a Dynamic Fleet Management Model Using Approximate Dynamic Programming
Topaloglu, Huseyin
of fleet management models is to make the vehicle repositioning and vehicle-to-load assignment decisions soSensitivity Analysis of a Dynamic Fleet Management Model Using Approximate Dynamic Programming present tractable algorithms to assess the sensitivity of a stochastic dynamic fleet management model
Adequacy Assessment in Power Systems Using Genetic Algorithm and Dynamic Programming
Zhao, Dongbo
2011-02-22
Page B. The Simplification of Adequacy Assessment Model ................ 45 C. Dynamic Programming for Adequacy Assessment ................... 46 D. An Example Showing the Process of the Algorithm...] ....................................................... 41 9 Road Network [15] (Example 2) ................................................................ 42 10 Success Probability Pruned by Dynamic Programming vs. Time ............. 59 11 Success Probability Pruned by Monte Carlo Simulation...
Assessment of Molecular Modeling & Simulation
2002-01-03
This report reviews the development and applications of molecular and materials modeling in Europe and Japan in comparison to those in the United States. Topics covered include computational quantum chemistry, molecular simulations by molecular dynamics and Monte Carlo methods, mesoscale modeling of material domains, molecular-structure/macroscale property correlations like QSARs and QSPRs, and related information technologies like informatics and special-purpose molecular-modeling computers. The panel's findings include the following: The United States leads this field in many scientific areas. However, Canada has particular strengths in DFT methods and homogeneous catalysis; Europe in heterogeneous catalysis, mesoscale, and materials modeling; and Japan in materials modeling and special-purpose computing. Major government-industry initiatives are underway in Europe and Japan, notably in multi-scale materials modeling and in development of chemistry-capable ab-initio molecular dynamics codes.
1 Copyright 2003 by ASME IMPROVING LIFE CYCLE ASSESSMENT BY INCLUDING SPATIAL, DYNAMIC AND PLACE-
1 Copyright © 2003 by ASME IMPROVING LIFE CYCLE ASSESSMENT BY INCLUDING SPATIAL, DYNAMIC AND PLACE Drawing from the substantial body of literature on life cycle assessment / analysis (LCA), the article models is suggested as a means of improving the impact assessment phase of LCA. Keywords: Life Cycle
Dynamic models for nonstationary signal segmentation
Penny, Will
Dynamic models for nonstationary signal segmentation William D. Penny and Stephen J. Roberts w.penny
DYNAMIC MODELING FUEL PROCESSORS
Mease, Kenneth D.
turbine module (compressor and turbine sub-modules) Catalytic oxidizer Combustor module Heat exchanger, PEM, Gas Turbine General Model Assumptions · 1D process flow · Well-stirred within nodal volume · Slow reactants #12;Steam Reformation Occurs in Reformer and Fuel Cells Methane reformation reaction Water Gas
Modeling Blog Dynamics Michaela Gotz
Leskovec, Jure
Modeling Blog Dynamics Michaela G¨otz Cornell University goetz@cs.cornell.edu Jure Leskovec@cs.cmu.edu Christos Faloutsos Carnegie Mellon University christos@cs.cmu.edu Abstract How do blogs produce posts? What local, underlying mech- anisms lead to the bursty temporal behaviors observed in blog networks? Earlier
Utility of Social Modeling for Proliferation Assessment - Preliminary Assessment
Coles, Garill A.; Gastelum, Zoe N.; Brothers, Alan J.; Thompson, Sandra E.
2009-06-01
This Preliminary Assessment draft report will present the results of a literature search and preliminary assessment of the body of research, analysis methods, models and data deemed to be relevant to the Utility of Social Modeling for Proliferation Assessment research. This report will provide: 1) a description of the problem space and the kinds of information pertinent to the problem space, 2) a discussion of key relevant or representative literature, 3) a discussion of models and modeling approaches judged to be potentially useful to the research, and 4) the next steps of this research that will be pursued based on this preliminary assessment. This draft report represents a technical deliverable for the NA-22 Simulations, Algorithms, and Modeling (SAM) program. Specifically this draft report is the Task 1 deliverable for project PL09-UtilSocial-PD06, Utility of Social Modeling for Proliferation Assessment. This project investigates non-traditional use of social and cultural information to improve nuclear proliferation assessment, including nonproliferation assessment, proliferation resistance assessments, safeguards assessments and other related studies. These assessments often use and create technical information about the State’s posture towards proliferation, the vulnerability of a nuclear energy system to an undesired event, and the effectiveness of safeguards. This project will find and fuse social and technical information by explicitly considering the role of cultural, social and behavioral factors relevant to proliferation. The aim of this research is to describe and demonstrate if and how social science modeling has utility in proliferation assessment.
Computational Fluid Dynamics (CFD) Modelling on Soot Yield for Fire
Computational Fluid Dynamics (CFD) Modelling on Soot Yield for Fire Engineering Assessment Yong S (CFD) Modelling is now widely used by fire safety engineers throughout the world as a tool of the smoke control design as part of the performance based fire safety design in the current industry
A Relativistic Dynamical Collapse Model
Philip Pearle
2014-12-21
A model is discussed where all operators are constructed from a quantum scalar field whose energy spectrum takes on all real values. The Schr\\"odinger picture wave function depends upon space and time coordinates for each particle, as well as an inexorably increasing evolution parameter $s$ which labels a foliation of space-like hypersurfaces. The model is constructed to be manifestly Lorentz invariant in the interaction picture. Free particle states and interactions are discussed in this framework. Then, the formalism of the CSL (Continuous Spontaneous Localization) theory of dynamical collapse is applied. The collapse-generating operator is chosen to to be the particle number space-time density. Unlike previous relativistically invariant models, the vacuum state is not excited. The collapse dynamics depends upon two parameters, a parameter $\\Lambda$ which represents the collapse rate/volume and a scale factor $\\ell$. A common example of collapse dynamics, involving a clump of matter in a superposition of two locations, is analyzed. The collapse rate is shown to be identical to that of non-relativistic CSL when the GRW-CSL choice of $\\ell=a=10^{-5}$cm, is made, along with $\\Lambda=\\lambda/a^{3}$ (GRW-CSL choice $\\lambda=10^{-16}s^{-1}$). However, it is also shown that the change of mass of a nucleon over the age of the universe is then unacceptably large. The case where $\\ell$ is the size of the universe is then considered. It is shown that the collapse behavior is satisfactory and the change of mass over the age of the universe is acceptably small, when $\\Lambda= \\lambda/\\ell a^{2}$.
Dynamical modeling of tidal streams
Bovy, Jo, E-mail: bovy@ias.edu [Institute for Advanced Study, Einstein Drive, Princeton, NJ 08540 (United States)
2014-11-01
I present a new framework for modeling the dynamics of tidal streams. The framework consists of simple models for the initial action-angle distribution of tidal debris, which can be straightforwardly evolved forward in time. Taking advantage of the essentially one-dimensional nature of tidal streams, the transformation to position-velocity coordinates can be linearized and interpolated near a small number of points along the stream, thus allowing for efficient computations of a stream's properties in observable quantities. I illustrate how to calculate the stream's average location (its 'track') in different coordinate systems, how to quickly estimate the dispersion around its track, and how to draw mock stream data. As a generative model, this framework allows one to compute the full probability distribution function and marginalize over or condition it on certain phase-space dimensions as well as convolve it with observational uncertainties. This will be instrumental in proper data analysis of stream data. In addition to providing a computationally efficient practical tool for modeling the dynamics of tidal streams, the action-angle nature of the framework helps elucidate how the observed width of the stream relates to the velocity dispersion or mass of the progenitor, and how the progenitors of 'orphan' streams could be located. The practical usefulness of the proposed framework crucially depends on the ability to calculate action-angle variables for any orbit in any gravitational potential. A novel method for calculating actions, frequencies, and angles in any static potential using a single orbit integration is described in the Appendix.
Model Fire Protection Assessment Guide
Office of Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy (EERE)
This Assessment guide covers the implementation of the DOE's responsibility of assuring that DOE and the DOE Contractors have established Fire Protection Programs that are at the level required for the area being assessed.
Modelling and Dynamic Simulation for Process Control
Skogestad, Sigurd
principles for model development are outlined, and these principles are applied to a simple ash tank (which. In this paper we consider dynamic process models obtained using fundamental principles (eg. based reactor, a simple trend analysis using temperature measurements may be suÆcient. Dynamic models
Quantitative Modeling of High Temperature Magnetization Dynamics
Zhang, Shufeng
2009-03-01
Final Technical Report Project title: Quantitative Modeling of High Temperature Magnetization Dynamics DOE/Office of Science Program Manager Contact: Dr. James Davenport
Conceptual aircraft dynamics from inverse aircraft modeling
Ziegler, Gregory E
1999-01-01
This thesis presents a method of construe' ting a nonlinear dynamics model of a theoretical aircraft from the nonlinear batch simulation of an existing aircrew This method provides control law designers with a method of fabricating nonlinear models...
Assessment and Event Based Analysis of Dynamic Wireless Networks
Paris-Sud XI, Université de
Assessment and Event Based Analysis of Dynamic Wireless Networks Denis Carvin1,2, Guillaume Kremer1 of mobile nodes in networks is significantly changing the way they are managed. Indeed, these wireless-estimation algorithm for wireless mobile networks. We then provide events' collection and distributed mining methods
Modeling and simulation of consumer response to dynamic pricing.
Valenzuela, J.; Thimmapuram, P.; Kim, J (Decision and Information Sciences); (Auburn Univ.)
2012-08-01
Assessing the impacts of dynamic-pricing under the smart grid concept is becoming extremely important for deciding its full deployment. In this paper, we develop a model that represents the response of consumers to dynamic pricing. In the model, consumers use forecasted day-ahead prices to shift daily energy consumption from hours when the price is expected to be high to hours when the price is expected to be low while maintaining the total energy consumption as unchanged. We integrate the consumer response model into the Electricity Market Complex Adaptive System (EMCAS). EMCAS is an agent-based model that simulates restructured electricity markets. We explore the impacts of dynamic-pricing on price spikes, peak demand, consumer energy bills, power supplier profits, and congestion costs. A simulation of an 11-node test network that includes eight generation companies and five aggregated consumers is performed for a period of 1 month. In addition, we simulate the Korean power system.
Are We Compromised? Modelling Security Assessment Games
International Association for Cryptologic Research (IACR)
against cyber-attacks. A security assessment is the process of determining how effectively an entity being examples of cyber attacks that fit this profile are the security breach at RSA Data Security [6Are We Compromised? Modelling Security Assessment Games Viet Pham and Carlos Cid Information
TEPP Planning Products Model Needs Assessment Self Assessment...
Office of Environmental Management (EM)
used in the event of an incident involving safeguards material. Model Needs Assessment T r a n s p o r t a t i o n E m e r g e n c y P r e p a r e d n e s s P r o g r a m R E V 8...
Dynamics Modelling of Biolistic Gene Guns
Zhang, M.; Tao, W.; Pianetta, P.A.
2009-06-04
The gene transfer process using biolistic gene guns is a highly dynamic process. To achieve good performance, the process needs to be well understood and controlled. Unfortunately, no dynamic model is available in the open literature for analysing and controlling the process. This paper proposes such a model. Relationships of the penetration depth with the helium pressure, the penetration depth with the acceleration distance, and the penetration depth with the micro-carrier radius are presented. Simulations have also been conducted. The results agree well with experimental results in the open literature. The contribution of this paper includes a dynamic model for improving and manipulating performance of the biolistic gene gun.
Modeling Exposure to Persistent Chemicals in Hazard and Risk Assessment
Cowan-Ellsberry, Christina E.
2010-01-01
Chemicals in Hazard and Risk Assessment Christina E. Cowan-implications for chemical risk assessment. J Environ MonitJM. 2006. Screening level risk assessment model for chemical
Simple Dynamic Gasifier Model That Runs in Aspen Dynamics
Robinson, P.J.; Luyben, W.L. [Lehigh University, Bethlehem, PA (United States). Dept. of Chemical Engineering
2008-10-15
Gasification (or partial oxidation) is a vital component of 'clean coal' technology. Sulfur and nitrogen emissions can be reduced, overall energy efficiency is increased, and carbon dioxide recovery and sequestration are facilitated. Gasification units in an electric power generation plant produce a fuel for driving combustion turbines. Gasification units in a chemical plant generate gas, which can be used to produce a wide spectrum of chemical products. Future plants are predicted to be hybrid power/chemical plants with gasification as the key unit operation. The widely used process simulator Aspen Plus provides a library of models that can be used to develop an overall gasifier model that handles solids. So steady-state design and optimization studies of processes with gasifiers can be undertaken. This paper presents a simple approximate method for achieving the objective of having a gasifier model that can be exported into Aspen Dynamics. The basic idea is to use a high molecular weight hydrocarbon that is present in the Aspen library as a pseudofuel. This component should have the same 1:1 hydrogen-to-carbon ratio that is found in coal and biomass. For many plantwide dynamic studies, a rigorous high-fidelity dynamic model of the gasifier is not needed because its dynamics are very fast and the gasifier gas volume is a relatively small fraction of the total volume of the entire plant. The proposed approximate model captures the essential macroscale thermal, flow, composition, and pressure dynamics. This paper does not attempt to optimize the design or control of gasifiers but merely presents an idea of how to dynamically simulate coal gasification in an approximate way.
Modeling of Alpine Atmospheric Dynamics II
Gohm, Alexander
Modeling of Alpine Atmospheric Dynamics II 707.424, VU 2, SS2005 Unit 7: Model code structure: mesoscale convective system 17-18 April 2004: Sierra hydraulic jump case 21 January 2005: the "Universiade) Introduction (brief description of the phenomenon and a description of the model and of the measurements
Dynamic modeling issues for power system applications
Song, Xuefeng
2005-02-17
Power system dynamics are commonly modeled by parameter dependent nonlinear differential-algebraic equations (DAE) x ???p y x f ) and 0 = p y x g ) . Due to (,, (,, the algebraic constraints, we cannot directly perform...
Johnson, Chris
Using the `Internet of Things' to Support Dynamic Risk Assessment in Future://www.dcs.gla.ac.uk/~johnson Keywords: Internet of Things, Area Navigation (RNAV), Dynamic Risk Assessment. Abstract. The `Internet. In contrast, this paper uses concepts from the Internet of Things to inform the dynamic risk assessments
Protein viscoelastic dynamics: a model system
Craig Fogle; Joseph Rudnick; David Jasnow
2015-02-02
A model system inspired by recent experiments on the dynamics of a folded protein under the influence of a sinusoidal force is investigated and found to replicate many of the response characteristics of such a system. The essence of the model is a strongly over-damped oscillator described by a harmonic restoring force for small displacements that reversibly yields to stress under sufficiently large displacement. This simple dynamical system also reveals unexpectedly rich behavior, exhibiting a series of dynamical transitions and analogies with equilibrium thermodynamic phase transitions. The effects of noise and of inertia are briefly considered and described.
ORISE: Dose modeling and assessments
Broader source: All U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) Office Webpages (Extended Search)
AFDC Printable Version Share this resource Send a link to EERE: Alternative Fuels Data Center Home Page to someone by E-mail Share EERE: Alternative Fuels Data Center Home Page on Facebook Tweet about EERE: Alternative Fuels Data Center Home Page on Twitter Bookmark EERE: Alternative Fuels Data Center Homesum_a_epg0_fpd_mmcf_m.xls" ,"Available from WebQuantity ofkandz-cm11 Outreach Home Room NewsInformationJesseworkSURVEY UNIVERSE The 2014CapabilitiesCareers CareerDose modeling and
Model and Analytic Processes for Export License Assessments
Thompson, Sandra E.; Whitney, Paul D.; Weimar, Mark R.; Wood, Thomas W.; Daly, Don S.; Brothers, Alan J.; Sanfilippo, Antonio P.; Cook, Diane; Holder, Larry
2011-09-29
This paper represents the Department of Energy Office of Nonproliferation Research and Development (NA-22) Simulations, Algorithms and Modeling (SAM) Program's first effort to identify and frame analytical methods and tools to aid export control professionals in effectively predicting proliferation intent; a complex, multi-step and multi-agency process. The report focuses on analytical modeling methodologies that alone, or combined, may improve the proliferation export control license approval process. It is a follow-up to an earlier paper describing information sources and environments related to international nuclear technology transfer. This report describes the decision criteria used to evaluate modeling techniques and tools to determine which approaches will be investigated during the final 2 years of the project. The report also details the motivation for why new modeling techniques and tools are needed. The analytical modeling methodologies will enable analysts to evaluate the information environment for relevance to detecting proliferation intent, with specific focus on assessing risks associated with transferring dual-use technologies. Dual-use technologies can be used in both weapons and commercial enterprises. A decision-framework was developed to evaluate which of the different analytical modeling methodologies would be most appropriate conditional on the uniqueness of the approach, data availability, laboratory capabilities, relevance to NA-22 and Office of Arms Control and Nonproliferation (NA-24) research needs and the impact if successful. Modeling methodologies were divided into whether they could help micro-level assessments (e.g., help improve individual license assessments) or macro-level assessment. Macro-level assessment focuses on suppliers, technology, consumers, economies, and proliferation context. Macro-level assessment technologies scored higher in the area of uniqueness because less work has been done at the macro level. An approach to developing testable hypotheses for the macro-level assessment methodologies is provided. The outcome of this works suggests that we should develop a Bayes Net for micro-level analysis and continue to focus on Bayes Net, System Dynamics and Economic Input/Output models for assessing macro-level problems. Simultaneously, we need to develop metrics for assessing intent in export control, including the risks and consequences associated with all aspects of export control.
Consistent nonlinear dynamics: identifying model inadequacy
Patrick E. McSharry; Leonard A. Smith
2004-03-09
Empirical modelling often aims for the simplest model consistent with the data. A new technique is presented which quantifies the consistency of the model dynamics as a function of location in state space. As is well-known, traditional statistics of nonlinear models like root-mean-square (RMS) forecast error can prove misleading. Testing consistency is shown to overcome some of the deficiencies of RMS error, both within the perfect model scenario and when applied to data from several physical systems using previously published models. In particular, testing for consistent nonlinear dynamics provides insight towards (i) identifying when a delay reconstruction fails to be an embedding, (ii) allowing state dependent model selection and (iii) optimising local neighbourhood size. It also provides a more relevant (state dependent) threshold for identifying false nearest neighbours.
Bayesian Nonparametric Inference of Switching Dynamic Linear Models
Fox, Emily Beth
Many complex dynamical phenomena can be effectively modeled by a system that switches among a set of conditionally linear dynamical modes. We consider two such models: the switching linear dynamical system (SLDS) and the ...
Modeling the Dynamics of Fermentation and Respiratory
Sheffield, University of
Modeling the Dynamics of Fermentation and Respiratory Processes in a Groundwater Plume of Phenolic implemented into a field- scale reactive transport model of a groundwater plume of phenolic contaminants toxicity toward degradation, bioavailability of mineral oxides, and adsorption of biogenic Fe(II) species
Six Degree of Freedom Morphing Aircraft Dynamical Model with Aerodynamics
Niksch, Adam
2010-01-14
model of a morphing aircraft is needed. This paper develops an aerodynamic model and a dynamic model of a morphing flying wing aircraft. The dynamic model includes realistic aerodynamic forces, consisting of lift, drag, and pitching moment about...
Analytical modeling of balloon launch dynamics
Strganac, Thomas W
1980-01-01
aerodynam1cs. Actual fl1ght data has been used to qualify the model via comparisons of the launch trans1ent configurations. DEDICATION To my father. . THOMAS JOHN STRGANAC 1922-1980 . . . who provided me the examp1e to fo1Iow in life. ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS... OF TABLES. LIST OF FIGURES NOMENCLATURE. INTRODUCTION. PRESENT STATUS. DYNAMIC MODEL Forces on the Balloon. Buoyancy . Weight Distribution. Catenary . Bubble Aerodynamics, Equations of Motion. Kutta-Simpson Solution Technique NUMERICAL MODEL...
Assessment of Algal Farm Designs using a Dynamic Modular Approach
Abodeely, Jared M. [Idaho National Laboratory (INL), Idaho Falls, ID (United States). Biofuels and Renewable Energy Technology; Stevens, Daniel M. [Idaho National Laboratory (INL), Idaho Falls, ID (United States). Biofuels and Renewable Energy Technology; Ray, Allison E. [Idaho National Laboratory (INL), Idaho Falls, ID (United States). Biofuels and Renewable Energy Technology; Newby, Deborah T. [Idaho National Laboratory (INL), Idaho Falls, ID (United States). Biofuels and Renewable Energy Technology; Coleman, Andre M. [Pacific Northwest National Laboratory (PNNL), Richland, WA (United States). Hydrology Technical Group; Cafferty, Kara G. [Idaho National Laboratory (INL), Idaho Falls, ID (United States). Biofuels and Renewable Energy Technology
2014-07-01
The notion of renewable energy provides an importantmechanism for diversifying an energy portfolio,which ultimately would have numerous benefits including increased energy resilience, reduced reliance on foreign energysupplies, reduced GHG emissions, development of a green energy sector that contributes to economic growth,and providing a sustainable energy supply. The conversion of autotrophic algae to liquid transportation fuels is the basis of several decades of research to competitively bring energy-scale production into reality; however, many challenges still remain for making algal biofuels economically viable. Addressing current challenges associatedwith algal production systems, in part, requires the ability to assess spatial and temporal variability, rapidly evaluate alternative algal production system designs, and perform large-scale assessments considering multiple scenarios for thousands of potential sites. We introduce the development and application of the Algae Logistics Model (ALM) which is tailored to help address these challenges. The flexible nature of the ALM architecture allows the model to: 1) interface with external biomass production and resource assessment models, as well as other relevant datasets including those with spatiotemporal granularity; 2) interchange design processes to enable operational and economic assessments ofmultiple design configurations, including the integration of current and new innovative technologies; and 3) conduct trade-off analysis to help understand the site-specific techno-economic trade-offs and inform technology decisions. This study uses the ALM to investigate a baseline open-pond production system determined by model harmonization efforts conducted by the U.S. Department of Energy. Six sites in the U.S. southern-tierwere sub-selected and assessed using daily site-specific algaebiomass productivity data to determine the economic viability of large-scale open-pond systems. Results show that costs can vary significantly depending on location and biomass productivity and that integration of novel dewatering equipment, order of operations, and equipment scaling can also have significant impacts on economics.
Assessment of Algal Farm Designs Using a Dynamic Modular Approach
Abodeely, Jared; Coleman, Andre M.; Stevens, Daniel M.; Ray, Allison E.; Cafferty, Kara G.; Newby, Deborah T.
2014-07-01
The notion of renewable energy provides an important mechanism for diversifying an energy portfolio, which ultimately would have numerous benefits including increased energy resilience, reduction of foreign energy supplies, reduced GHG emissions, development of a green energy sector that contributes to economic growth, and providing a sustainable energy supply. The conversion of autotrophic algae to liquid transportation fuels is the basis of several decades of research to competitively bring energy-scale production into reality; however, many challenges still remain for making algal biofuels economically viable. Addressing current challenges associated with algal production systems, in part, requires the ability to assess spatial and temporal variability, rapidly evaluate alternative algal production system designs, and perform large-scale assessments considering multiple scenarios for thousands of potential sites. We introduce the Algae Logistics Model (ALM) which helps to address these challenges. The flexible nature of the ALM architecture allows the model to: 1) interface with external biomass production and resource assessment models, as well as other relevant datasets including those with spatiotemporal granularity; 2) interchange design processes to enable operational and economic assessments of multiple design configurations, including the integration of current and new innovative technologies; and 3) conduct trade-off analysis to help understand the site-specific techno-economic trade-offs and inform technology decisions. This study uses the ALM to investigate a baseline open-pond production system determined by model harmonization efforts conducted by the U.S. Department of Energy. Six sites in the U.S. southern-tier were sub-selected and assessed using daily site-specific algae biomass productivity data to determine the economic viability of large-scale open-pond systems. Results show that costs can vary significantly depending on location and biomass productivity and that integration of novel dewatering equipment, order of operations, and equipment scaling can also have significant impacts on economics.
Modeling of Reactor Kinetics and Dynamics
Matthew Johnson; Scott Lucas; Pavel Tsvetkov
2010-09-01
In order to model a full fuel cycle in a nuclear reactor, it is necessary to simulate the short time-scale kinetic behavior of the reactor as well as the long time-scale dynamics that occur with fuel burnup. The former is modeled using the point kinetics equations, while the latter is modeled by coupling fuel burnup equations with the kinetics equations. When the equations are solved simultaneously with a nonlinear equation solver, the end result is a code with the unique capability of modeling transients at any time during a fuel cycle.
DYNAMIC MODELING PROTON EXCHANGE MEMBRANE FUEL CELL
Mease, Kenneth D.
DYNAMIC MODELING PROTON EXCHANGE MEMBRANE FUEL CELL OVERVIEW Current/Completed Plug Power to garner SCAQMD funding for fuel cell testing GenCore system is sensitive to diluents · As built design stream to compensate for removal of EGR · Functionality of the modified GenCore Fuel Cell system
Feature extraction for structural dynamics model validation
Hemez, Francois [Los Alamos National Laboratory; Farrar, Charles [Los Alamos National Laboratory; Park, Gyuhae [Los Alamos National Laboratory; Nishio, Mayuko [UNIV OF TOKYO; Worden, Keith [UNIV OF SHEFFIELD; Takeda, Nobuo [UNIV OF TOKYO
2010-11-08
This study focuses on defining and comparing response features that can be used for structural dynamics model validation studies. Features extracted from dynamic responses obtained analytically or experimentally, such as basic signal statistics, frequency spectra, and estimated time-series models, can be used to compare characteristics of structural system dynamics. By comparing those response features extracted from experimental data and numerical outputs, validation and uncertainty quantification of numerical model containing uncertain parameters can be realized. In this study, the applicability of some response features to model validation is first discussed using measured data from a simple test-bed structure and the associated numerical simulations of these experiments. issues that must be considered were sensitivity, dimensionality, type of response, and presence or absence of measurement noise in the response. Furthermore, we illustrate a comparison method of multivariate feature vectors for statistical model validation. Results show that the outlier detection technique using the Mahalanobis distance metric can be used as an effective and quantifiable technique for selecting appropriate model parameters. However, in this process, one must not only consider the sensitivity of the features being used, but also correlation of the parameters being compared.
Switched Dynamical Latent Force Models for Modelling Transcriptional Regulation
López-Lopera, Andrés F
2015-01-01
In order to develop statistical approaches for transcription networks, statistical community has proposed several methods to infer activity levels of proteins, from time-series measurements of targets' expression levels. A few number of approaches have been proposed in order to outperform the representation of fast switching time instants, but computational overheads are significant due to complex inference algorithms. Using the theory related to latent force models (LFM), the development of this project provide a switched dynamical hybrid model based on Gaussian processes (GPs). To deal with discontinuities in dynamical systems (or latent driving force), an extension of the single input motif approach is introduced, that switches between different protein concentrations, and different dynamical systems. This creates a versatile representation for transcription networks that can capture discrete changes and non-linearities in the dynamics. The proposed method is evaluated on both simulated data and real data,...
Transactions in GIS Dynamic Modelling and Visualization on the Internet
Worboys, Mike
1 Transactions in GIS Dynamic Modelling and Visualization on the Internet Bo Huang* and Michael F for GIS to incorporate dynamic analytic models. At the same time, there is a need to distribute results of dynamic GIS using the Internet. Therefore, this paper sets out to explore the implementation of dynamic
A Dynamic Network Oligopoly Model Transportation Costs, Product Differentiation,
Nagurney, Anna
of Operations & Information Management Isenberg School of Management University of Massachusetts AmherstA Dynamic Network Oligopoly Model with Transportation Costs, Product Differentiation, and Quality of Massachusetts Amherst A Dynamic Network Oligopoly Model with Quality Competition #12;Acknowledgments
Modeling Dynamics of Post Disaster Recovery
Nejat, Ali
2012-10-19
: Civil Engineering MODELING DYNAMICS OF POST DISASTER RECOVERY A Dissertation by ALI NEJAT Submitted to the Office of Graduate Studies of Texas A&M University in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of DOCTOR... OF PHILOSOPHY Approved by: Chair of Committee, Ivan Damnjanovic Committee Members, Stuart D. Anderson Kenneth F. Reinschmidt Sergiy Butenko Arnold Vedlitz Head of Department, John Niedzwecki August 2011 Major Subject: Civil Engineering...
Regional Dynamics Model (REDYN) | Open Energy Information
AFDC Printable Version Share this resource Send a link to EERE: Alternative Fuels Data Center Home Page to someone by E-mail Share EERE: Alternative Fuels Data Center Home Page on Facebook Tweet about EERE: Alternative Fuels Data Center Home Page on Twitter Bookmark EERE: Alternative Fuels Data Center Home Page on Google Bookmark EERE: Alternative Fuels Data Center Home Page onRAPID/Geothermal/Exploration/Colorado <RAPID/Geothermal/WaterEnergyRedfield1989) Jump to:|OpenRegenesisDynamics Model
DYNAMICAL MODELING OF GALAXY MERGERS USING IDENTIKIT
Privon, G. C.; Evans, A. S.; Barnes, J. E.; Hibbard, J. E.; Yun, M. S.; Mazzarella, J. M.; Armus, L.; Surace, J.
2013-07-10
We present dynamical models of four interacting systems: NGC 5257/8, The Mice, the Antennae, and NGC 2623. The parameter space of the encounters are constrained using the Identikit model-matching and visualization tool. Identikit utilizes hybrid N-body and test particle simulations to enable rapid exploration of the parameter space of galaxy mergers. The Identikit-derived matches of these systems are reproduced with self-consistent collisionless simulations which show very similar results. The models generally reproduce the observed morphology and H I kinematics of the tidal tails in these systems with reasonable properties inferred for the progenitor galaxies. The models presented here are the first to appear in the literature for NGC 5257/8 and NGC 2623, and The Mice and the Antennae are compared with previously published models. Based on the assumed mass model and our derived initial conditions, the models indicate that the four systems are currently being viewed 175-260 Myr after first passage and cover a wide range of merger stages. In some instances there are mismatches between the models and the data (e.g., in the length of a tail); these are likely due to our adoption of a single mass model for all galaxies. Despite the use of a single mass model, these results demonstrate the utility of Identikit in constraining the parameter space for galaxy mergers when applied to real data.
Assessment of Combustion and Turbulence Models for the Simulation...
Office of Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy (EERE) Indexed Site
Combustion and Turbulence Models for the Simulation of Combustion Processes in a DI Diesel Engine Assessment of Combustion and Turbulence Models for the Simulation of Combustion...
Receptor modeling assessment of particle total exposure assessment methodology data
Yakovleva, E.; Hopke, P.K.; Wallace, L.
1999-10-15
Data from the 1991 Particle Total Exposure Assessment Methodology (PTEAM) study in Riverside, CA, were analyzed using a new receptor modeling method. In this study, ambient (outdoor), indoor, and personal particulate matter (PM) concentrations and elemental concentrations of PM{sub 2.5} and PM{sub 10} were measured for a number of participants. These measurements made is possible to relate the pollution to which people were exposed throughout their daily activities with the outdoor air conditions. Personal daytime concentrations of the PM{sub 10} and majority of elements were significantly higher than outdoor or indoor concentrations, suggesting that a significant part of personal aerosol exposure is the result of personal daily activities. Possible sources of additional particulate mass include resuspension of particles that penetrate from the outdoors and formation of new particles during cooking, smoking, etc. Positive matrix factorization analysis was performed to describe the sources of personal exposure. To identify relative contribution of different sources, regression of the particulate matter mass against the factor contributions was performed. Major sources of PM{sub 2.5} were oil combustion, nonferrous metal operations, and motor vehicles. The mass contributions of particles from these sources were similar for outdoor air and personal exposure. Personal exposure to particles from these sources can be controlled by changing outdoor sources. The primary source of PM{sub 10} was soil.
Restoration of the Potosi Dynamic Model 2010
Adushita, Yasmin; Leetaru, Hannes
2014-09-30
In topical Report DOE/FE0002068-1 [2] technical performance evaluations on the Cambrian Potosi Formation were performed through reservoir modeling. The data included formation tops from mud logs, well logs from the VW1 and the CCS1 wells, structural and stratigraphic formation from three dimensional (3D) seismic data, and field data from several waste water injection wells for Potosi Formation. Intention was for two million tons per annum (MTPA) of CO2 to be injected for 20 years. In this Task the 2010 Potosi heterogeneous model (referred to as the "Potosi Dynamic Model 2010" in this report) was re-run using a new injection scenario; 3.2 MTPA for 30 years. The extent of the Potosi Dynamic Model 2010, however, appeared too small for the new injection target. It was not sufficiently large enough to accommodate the evolution of the plume. Also, it might have overestimated the injection capacity by enhancing too much the pressure relief due to the relatively close proximity between the injector and the infinite acting boundaries. The new model, Potosi Dynamic Model 2013a, was built by extending the Potosi Dynamic Model 2010 grid to 30 miles x 30 miles (48 km by 48 km), while preserving all property modeling workflows and layering. This model was retained as the base case. Potosi Dynamic Model 2013.a gives an average CO2 injection rate of 1.4 MTPA and cumulative injection of 43 Mt in 30 years, which corresponds to 45% of the injection target. This implies that according to this preliminary model, a minimum of three (3) wells could be required to achieve the injection target. The injectivity evaluation of the Potosi formation will be revisited in topical Report 15 during which more data will be integrated in the modeling exercise. A vertical flow performance evaluation could be considered for the succeeding task to determine the appropriate tubing size, the required injection tubing head pressure (THP) and to investigate whether the corresponding well injection rate falls within the tubing erosional velocity limit. After 30 years, the plume extends 15 miles (24 km) in E-W and 14 miles (22 km) in N-S directions. After injection is completed, the plume continues to migrate laterally, mainly driven by the remaining pressure gradient. After 100 years post-injection, the plume extends 17 miles (27 km) in E-W and 15 miles (24 km) in N-S directions. The increase of reservoir pressure at the end of injection is approximately 370 psia around the injector and gradually decreases away from the well. The reservoir pressure increase is less than 30 psia beyond 14 miles (22 km) away from injector. The initial reservoir pressure is restored after approximately 20 years post-injection. This result, however, is associated with uncertainties on the boundary conditions, and a sensitivity analysis could be considered for the succeeding tasks. It is important to remember that the respective plume extent and areal pressure increase corresponds to an injection of 43 Mt CO2. Should the targeted cumulative injection of 96 Mt be achieved; a much larger plume extent and areal pressure increase could be expected. Re-evaluating the permeability modeling, vugs and heterogeneity distributions, and relative permeability input could be considered for the succeeding Potosi formation evaluations. A simulation using several injectors could also be considered to determine the required number of wells to achieve the injection target while taking into account the pressure interference.
AFDM: An Advanced Fluid-Dynamics Model
Bohl, W.R.; Parker, F.R. (Los Alamos National Lab., NM (USA)); Wilhelm, D. (Kernforschungszentrum Karlsruhe GmbH (Germany, F.R.). Inst. fuer Neutronenphysik und Reaktortechnik); Berthier, J. (CEA Centre d'Etudes Nucleaires de Grenoble, 38 (France)); Goutagny, L. (CEA Centre d'Etudes Nucleaires de Cadarache, 13 - Saint-Paul-lez-Durance (France). Inst. de Protection et de Surete Nucleaire); Ninokata,
1990-09-01
AFDM, or the Advanced Fluid-Dynamics Model, is a computer code that investigates new approaches simulating the multiphase-flow fluid-dynamics aspects of severe accidents in fast reactors. The AFDM formalism starts with differential equations similar to those in the SIMMER-II code. These equations are modified to treat three velocity fields and supplemented with a variety of new models. The AFDM code has 12 topologies describing what material contacts are possible depending on the presence or absence of a given material in a computational cell, on the dominant liquid, and on the continuous phase. Single-phase, bubbly, churn-turbulent, cellular, and dispersed flow regimes are permitted for the pool situations modeled. Virtual mass terms are included for vapor in liquid-continuous flow. Interfacial areas between the continuous and discontinuous phases are convected to allow some tracking of phenomenological histories. Interfacial areas are also modified by models of nucleation, dynamic forces, turbulence, flashing, coalescence, and mass transfer. Heat transfer is generally treated using engineering correlations. Liquid-vapor phase transitions are handled with the nonequilibrium, heat-transfer-limited model, whereas melting and freezing processes are based on equilibrium considerations. Convection is treated using a fractional-step method of time integration, including a semi-implicit pressure iteration. A higher-order differencing option is provided to control numerical diffusion. The Los Alamos SESAME equation-of-state has been implemented using densities and temperatures as the independent variables. AFDM programming has vectorized all computational loops consistent with the objective of producing an exportable code. 24 refs., 4 figs.
A Game-Theoretical Dynamic Model for Electricity Markets
Oct 6, 2010 ... Abstract: We present a game-theoretical dynamic model for competitive electricity markets.We demonstrate that the model can be used to ...
Dislocation dynamics: from microscopic models to macroscopic crystal plasticity
Hajj, A El; Monneau, R
2009-01-01
In this paper we study the connection between four models describing dislocation dynamics: a generalized 2D Frenkel-Kontorova model at the atomic level, the Peierls-Nabarro model, the discrete dislocation dynamics and a macroscopic model with dislocation densities. We show how each model can be deduced from the previous one at a smaller scale.
Model for assessing bronchial mucus transport
Agnew, J.E.; Bateman, J.R.M.; Pavia, D.; Clarke, S.W.
1984-02-01
The authors propose a scheme for the assessment of regional mucus transport using inhaled Tc-99m aerosol particles and quantitative analysis of serial gamma-camera images. The model treats input to inner and intermediate lung regions as the total of initial deposition there plus subsequent transport into these regions from more peripheral airways. It allows for interregional differences in the proportion of particles deposited on the mucus-bearing conducting airways, and does not require a gamma image 24 hr after particle inhalation. Instead, distribution of particles reaching the respiratory bronchioles or alveoli is determined from a Kr-81m ventilation image, while the total amount of such deposition is obtained from 24-hr Tc-99m retention measured with a sensitive counter system. The model is applicable to transport by mucociliary action or by cough, and has been tested in ten normal and ten asthmatic subjects.
Model-based Risk Assessment What does model-based mean?
Stølen, Ketil
Model-based Risk Assessment What does model-based mean? Model-based means based on modelling keeping a good overview at the same time. What does Risk Assessment mean? A risk assessment is a process to change the system in order to reduce these indicated risks. Why Risk Assessment? IT-systems get bigger
Peterson, Robert K. D.
MODELING/GIS, RISK ASSESSMENT, ECONOMIC IMPACT A Probabilistic Risk Assessment for Deployed a retrospective probabilistic risk assessment for military personnel potentially exposed to insecticides during, and cypermethrin used for residual sprays. We used the risk quotient (RQ) method for our risk assessment (estimated
Dynamical model for light composite fermions
Derman, E.
1981-04-01
A simple dynamical model for the internal structure of the three light lepton and quark generations (..nu../sub e/,e,u,d), (..nu../sub ..mu../,..mu..,c,s), and (..nu../sub tau/,tau,t,b) is proposed. Each generation is constructed of only one fundamental massive generation F=(L-italic/sup 0/,L/sup -/,U,D) with the same (SU/sub 3/)/sub c/ x SU/sub 2/ x U/sub 1/ quantum numbers as the light generations, bound to a core of one or more massive Higgs bosons H, where H is the single physical Higgs boson necessary for spontaneous symmetry breaking in the standard model. For example, e/sup -/=L/sup -/H), ..mu../sup -/=L/sup -/HH), tau/sup -/=L/sup -/HHH). It is shown that the known binding force due to H exchange is attractive and strong enough to produce light bound states. Dynamical calculations for the bound-state composite fermions using the Bethe-Salpeter equation, together with some phenomenological imput, suggest M/sub H/approx.16 TeV and M/sub F/approx.100 GeV. It is likely that such bound states can have properties compatible with the up to now apparently elementary appearance of known fermions, for example, their Dirac magnetic moments and absence of intergeneration radiative decays (such as ..mu -->..e..gamma..). Phenomenological consequences and tests of the model are discussed.
Performance model assessment for multi-junction concentrating photovoltaic systems.
Riley, Daniel M.; McConnell, Robert.; Sahm, Aaron; Crawford, Clark; King, David L.; Cameron, Christopher P.; Foresi, James S.
2010-03-01
Four approaches to modeling multi-junction concentrating photovoltaic system performance are assessed by comparing modeled performance to measured performance. Measured weather, irradiance, and system performance data were collected on two systems over a one month period. Residual analysis is used to assess the models and to identify opportunities for model improvement.
Nonlinear Hybrid Dynamical Systems: Modeling, Optimal Control, and Applications
Stryk, Oskar von
Nonlinear Hybrid Dynamical Systems: Modeling, Optimal Control, and Applications Martin Buss1¨unchen, Germany Abstract. Nonlinear hybrid dynamical systems are the main focus of this paper. A modeling Introduction The recent interest in nonlinear hybrid dynamical systems has forced the merger of two very
Dynamical Systems Analysis of Various Dark Energy Models
Nandan Roy
2015-11-25
In this thesis, we used dynamical systems analysis to find the qualitative behaviour of some dark energy models. Specifically, dynamical systems analysis of quintessence scalar field models, chameleon scalar field models and holographic models of dark energy are discussed in this thesis.
Dynamical Systems Analysis of Various Dark Energy Models
Roy, Nandan
2015-01-01
In this thesis, we used dynamical systems analysis to find the qualitative behaviour of some dark energy models. Specifically, dynamical systems analysis of quintessence scalar field models, chameleon scalar field models and holographic models of dark energy are discussed in this thesis.
Risk assessment compatible fire models (RACFMs)
Lopez, A.R.; Gritzo, L.A.; Sherman, M.P.
1998-07-01
A suite of Probabilistic Risk Assessment Compatible Fire Models (RACFMs) has been developed to represent the hazard posed by a pool fire to weapon systems transported on the B52-H aircraft. These models represent both stand-off (i.e., the weapon system is outside of the flame zone but exposed to the radiant heat load from fire) and fully-engulfing scenarios (i.e., the object is fully covered by flames). The approach taken in developing the RACFMs for both scenarios was to consolidate, reconcile, and apply data and knowledge from all available resources including: data and correlations from the literature, data from an extensive full-scale fire test program at the Naval Air Warfare Center (NAWC) at China Lake, and results from a fire field model (VULCAN). In the past, a single, effective temperature, T{sub f}, was used to represent the fire. The heat flux to an object exposed to a fire was estimated using the relationship for black body radiation, {sigma}T{sub f}{sup 4}. Significant improvements have been made by employing the present approach which accounts for the presence of temperature distributions in fully-engulfing fires, and uses best available correlations to estimate heat fluxes in stand-off scenarios.
ESD.864 Modeling and Assessment for Policy, Spring 2011
Selin, Noelle
ESD.864 Modeling and Assessment for Policy explores how scientific information and quantitative models can be used to inform policy decision-making. Students will develop an understanding of quantitative modeling techniques ...
Linking Dynamical and Population Genetic Models of Persistent Viral Infection
Kelly, John K.; Williamson, Scott; Orive, Maria E.; Smith, Marilyn S.; Holt, Robert D.
2003-07-01
This article develops a theoretical framework to link dynamical and population genetic models of persistent viral infection. This linkage is useful because, while the dynamical and population genetic theories have developed ...
Dr. Atul Jain
2005-04-17
This report outlines the progress on the development and application of Integrated Assessment Modeling of Carbon Sequestrations and Land Use Emissions supported by the DOE Office of Biological and Environmental Research (OBER), U.S. Department of Energy, Grant No. DOE-DE-FG02-01ER63069. The overall objective of this collaborative project between the University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign (UIUC), Oak Ridge National Laboratory (ORNL), Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory (LLNL), and Pacific Northwest National Laboratory (PNNL) was to unite the latest advances in carbon cycle research with scientifically based models and policy-related integrated assessment tools that incorporate computationally efficient representations of the latest knowledge concerning science and emission trajectories, and their policy implications. As part of this research we accomplished the following tasks that we originally proposed: (1) In coordination with LLNL and ORNL, we enhanced the Integrated Science Assessment Model's (ISAM) parametric representation of the ocean and terrestrial carbon cycles that better represent spatial and seasonal variations, which are important to study the mechanisms that influence carbon sequestration in the ocean and terrestrial ecosystems; (2) Using the MiniCAM modeling capability, we revised the SRES (IPCC Special Report on Emission Scenarios; IPCC, 2000) land use emission scenarios; and (3) On the application front, the enhanced version of ISAM modeling capability is applied to understand how short- and long-term natural carbon fluxes, carbon sequestration, and human emissions contribute to the net global emissions (concentrations) trajectories required to reach various concentration (emission) targets. Under this grant, 21 research publications were produced. In addition, this grant supported a number of graduate and undergraduate students whose fundamental research was to learn a disciplinary field in climate change (e.g., ecological dynamics and ocean circulations) and then complete research on how this field could be linked to the other factors we need to consider in its dynamics (e.g., land use, ocean and terrestrial carbon sequestration and climate change).
AFDM: An Advanced Fluid-Dynamics Model
Berthier, J. (CEA Centre d'Etudes Nucleaires de Grenoble, 38 (France)); Wilhelm, D. (Kernforschungszentrum Karlsruhe GmbH (Germany, F.R.). Inst. fuer Neutronenphysik und Reaktortechnik); Bohl, W.R. (Los Alamos National Lab., NM (USA))
1990-09-01
This report consists of three parts. First, for the standard Advanced Fluid-Dynamics Model (AFDM), heat-transfer coefficients between components are worked out, depending on the different possible topologies. Conduction, convection, and radiative heat-transfer mechanisms are modeled. For solid particles, discontinuous phases that obey a rigid'' model, and components lacking relative motion, heat transfer is by conduction. Convection is represented for fluids in motion inside circulating'' bubbles and/or droplets. Radiation is considered between droplets in vapor continuous flow. In addition, a film-boiling model has been formulated, where radiation provides the lower limit on the fuel-to-coolant heat-transfer coefficient. Second, the momentum-exchange coefficients are defined for the standard AFDM. Between a continuous and discontinuous phase, the model consists of both laminar and turbulent terms. The most important feature is the drag coefficient in the turbulent term. It is calculated by a drag similarity hypothesis with limits for large Reynolds numbers, distorted particles,'' and churn-turbulent flow. A unique hysteresis algorithm exists to treat the liquid continuous to vapor continuous transition. Two discontinuous components are coupled using a turbulent term with an input drag coefficient. Fluid- structure momentum exchange is represented with a standard friction-factor correlation. Third, the formulas used for the AFDM simplified Step 1 models are discussed. These include the heat-transfer coefficients, the momentum-exchange functions, and the manner in which interfacial areas are determined from input length scales. The simplified modeling uses steady-state engineering correlations, as in SIMMER-II.
A Parallelizable and Approximate Dynamic Programming-Based Dynamic Fleet Management Model with
Topaloglu, Huseyin
-based dynamic fleet management model that can handle random load arrivals, random travel times and multiple-based model for the dynamic fleet management problem with random load arrivals, random travel times-based models for fleet management problems with random load arrivals, deterministic travel times and a single
Solid Oxide Fuel Cell: Perspective of Dynamic Modeling and Control
Huang, Biao
Solid Oxide Fuel Cell: Perspective of Dynamic Modeling and Control Biao Huang Yutong Qi Monjur: This paper presents a review of state-of-the-art solid oxide fuel cells (SOFC), from perspective of dynamic. Keywords: Solid Oxide Fuel Cell, Control Relevant Model, Model Predictive Control 1. INTRODUCTION Today
Dynamic model failure tests of dam structures Dalian University of Technology, Dalian 116024, China
Spencer Jr., Billie F.
index for the safety assessment of concrete dams and is predicted through dynamic model failure tests INTRODUCTION A great number of high dams will be built in highly seismic areas, the safety evaluation 116024, China ABSTRACT: For the earthquake safety evaluation of dam structures, it is desirable to extend
Coastal Dynamics 2013 MODELING OF THE TOHOKU-OKI 2011 TSUNAMI GENERATION, FAR-FIELD AND
Kirby, James T.
Coastal Dynamics 2013 Paper No. MODELING OF THE TOHOKU-OKI 2011 TSUNAMI GENERATION, FAR Tsunami hazard assessment for future megathrust earthquakes requires that we understand the source mechanisms and tsunami generation processes for large historical events, such as the devastating Tohoku
Dynamics of a multigroup epidemiological model with group ...
Lamwah Chow
2011-09-22
spread across multiple countries and transmission between different subgroups in a ... Multigroup models have been used to study transmission dynamics of ...
Deep Learning Helicopter Dynamics Models Ali Punjani and Pieter Abbeel
Abbeel, Pieter
Deep Learning Helicopter Dynamics Models Ali Punjani and Pieter Abbeel Abstract-- We consider the problem of system identification of helicopter dynamics. Helicopters are complex systems, cou- pling rigid inspiration from recent results in Deep Learning to represent the helicopter dynamics with a Rectified Linear
VISION -- A Dynamic Model of the Nuclear Fuel Cycle
J. J. Jacobson; A. M. Yacout; S. J. Piet; D. E. Shropshire; G. E. Matthern
2006-02-01
The Advanced Fuel Cycle Initiative’s (AFCI) fundamental objective is to provide technology options that – if implemented – would enable long-term growth of nuclear power while improving sustainability and energy security. The AFCI organization structure consists of four areas; Systems Analysis, Fuels, Separations and Transmutations. The Systems Analysis Working Group is tasked with bridging the program technical areas and providing the models, tools, and analyses required to assess the feasibility of design and deploy¬ment options and inform key decision makers. An integral part of the Systems Analysis tool set is the development of a system level model that can be used to examine the implications of the different mixes of reactors, implications of fuel reprocessing, impact of deployment technologies, as well as potential “exit” or “off ramp” approaches to phase out technologies, waste management issues and long-term repository needs. The Verifiable Fuel Cycle Simulation Model (VISION) is a computer-based simulation model that allows performing dynamic simulations of fuel cycles to quantify infrastructure requirements and identify key trade-offs between alternatives. VISION is intended to serve as a broad systems analysis and study tool applicable to work conducted as part of the AFCI (including costs estimates) and Generation IV reactor development studies.
Dynamical Reduction Models with General Gaussian Noises
Angelo Bassi; GianCarlo Ghirardi
2002-01-27
We consider the effect of replacing in stochastic differential equations leading to the dynamical collapse of the statevector, white noise stochastic processes with non white ones. We prove that such a modification can be consistently performed without altering the most interesting features of the previous models. One of the reasons to discuss this matter derives from the desire of being allowed to deal with physical stochastic fields, such as the gravitational one, which cannot give rise to white noises. From our point of view the most relevant motivation for the approach we propose here derives from the fact that in relativistic models the occurrence of white noises is the main responsible for the appearance of untractable divergences. Therefore, one can hope that resorting to non white noises one can overcome such a difficulty. We investigate stochastic equations with non white noises, we discuss their reduction properties and their physical implications. Our analysis has a precise interest not only for the above mentioned subject but also for the general study of dissipative systems and decoherence.
Uncertainties and assessments of chemistry-climate models of the
Wirosoetisno, Djoko
and assessments of chemistry-climate models of the stratosphere. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 3 (1). pp. 1, 127, 2003 www.atmos-chem-phys.org/acp/3/1/ Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics UncertaintiesUncertainties and assessments of chemistry-climate models of the stratosphere Article Published
Structure and Dynamics of Dinucleosomes Assessed by Atomic Force Microscopy
DOE Public Access Gateway for Energy & Science Beta (PAGES Beta)
Filenko, Nina A.; Palets, Dmytro B.; Lyubchenko, Yuri L.
2012-01-01
Dynamics of nucleosomes and their interactions are important for understanding the mechanism of chromatin assembly. Internucleosomal interaction is required for the formation of higher-order chromatin structures. Although H1 histone is critically involved in the process of chromatin assembly, direct internucleosomal interactions contribute to this process as well. To characterize the interactions of nucleosomes within the nucleosome array, we designed a dinucleosome and performed direct AFM imaging. The analysis of the AFM data showed dinucleosomes are very dynamic systems, enabling the nucleosomes to move in a broad range along the DNA template. Di-nucleosomes in close proximity were observed, but their populationmore »was low. The use of the zwitterionic detergent, CHAPS, increased the dynamic range of the di-nucleosome, facilitating the formation of tight di-nucleosomes. The role of CHAPS and similar natural products in chromatin structure and dynamics is also discussed.« less
From quantum to classical dynamics: Dynamic crossover in the relativistic $O(N)$ model
Mesterházy, David; Tanizaki, Yuya
2015-01-01
We investigate the transition from quantum to classical dynamics in the relativistic $O(N)$ vector model using the nonperturbative functional renormalization group in the real-time formalism. In thermal equilibrium, the theory is characterized by two scales, the interaction range for coherent scattering of particles and the mean free path determined by the rate of incoherent collision with excitations in the thermal medium. Their competition determines the renormalization group flow and the effective dynamics of the model. Here we quantify the dynamic properties of the model in terms of the scale-dependent dynamic critical exponent $z$ for arbitrary temperatures and in $2 \\leq d \\leq 4$ spatial dimensions.
A Dynamic Network Oligopoly Model Transportation Costs, Product Differentiation,
Nagurney, Anna
and Operations Management Isenberg School of Management University of Massachusetts Amherst, Massachusetts 01003A Dynamic Network Oligopoly Model with Transportation Costs, Product Differentiation, and Quality Network Oligopoly Model with Quality Competition #12;Acknowledgments This research was supported, in part
Assessment of Tools and Data for System-Level Dynamic Analyses
Steven J. Piet; Nick R. Soelberg
2011-06-01
The only fuel cycle for which dynamic analyses and assessments are not needed is the null fuel cycle - no nuclear power. For every other concept, dynamic analyses are needed and can influence relative desirability of options. Dynamic analyses show how a fuel cycle might work during transitions from today's partial fuel cycle to something more complete, impact of technology deployments, location of choke points, the key time lags, when benefits can manifest, and how well parts of fuel cycles work together. This report summarizes the readiness of existing Fuel Cycle Technology (FCT) tools and data for conducting dynamic analyses on the range of options. VISION is the primary dynamic analysis tool. Not only does it model mass flows, as do other dynamic system analysis models, but it allows users to explore various potential constraints. The only fuel cycle for which constraints are not important are those in concept advocates PowerPoint presentations; in contrast, comparative analyses of fuel cycles must address what constraints exist and how they could impact performance. The most immediate tool need is extending VISION to the thorium/U233 fuel cycle. Depending on further clarification of waste management strategies in general and for specific fuel cycle candidates, waste management sub-models in VISION may need enhancement, e.g., more on 'co-flows' of non-fuel materials, constraints in waste streams, or automatic classification of waste streams on the basis of user-specified rules. VISION originally had an economic sub-model. The economic calculations were deemed unnecessary in later versions so it was retired. Eventually, the program will need to restore and improve the economics sub-model of VISION to at least the cash flow stage and possibly to incorporating cost constraints and feedbacks. There are multiple sources of data that dynamic analyses can draw on. In this report, 'data' means experimental data, data from more detailed theoretical or empirical calculations on technology performance, and assumptions such as the earliest date a technology can be deployed. The only fuel cycles for which we currently have adequate data are those we are sure we will never build, e.g., a PUREX plant in the U.S. For actual candidates, even for once through LWRs, there remain missing data such as how the fuel cycle would be completed with a geologic repository. The most immediate data needs are probably basic reactor physics data for new concepts and data associated with waste management for anything other than current technology. The readiness of tools and data is fluid and depends on what purposes are envisioned to drive upcoming analyses and further definition of the waste-related characteristics of fuel cycle candidates. Tools and data sets evolve as needs evolve. Thus, much of the document explains that if the FCT program wants a certain type of analysis, then the tools and data needs are as indicated. For example, functions can be treated as either commodities or facilities. Reactors, separation, fuel fabrication, repository are treated as facility types. Other functions such as uranium mining, conversion, enrichment, and waste packaging and non-repository disposal are treated as commodities and therefore not modeled as extensively. In summary, the tools are functional and can answer many fuel cycle questions but some analyses will require that the tools be modified to support those analyses.
Learning vehicular dynamics, with application to modeling helicopters
Thrun, Sebastian
Learning vehicular dynamics, with application to modeling helicopters Pieter Abbeel Computer Abstract We consider the problem of modeling a helicopter's dynamics based on stateaction trajectories such as learned by CIFER (the industry standard in helicopter identification), and show that the linear
Learning vehicular dynamics, with application to modeling helicopters
Thrun, Sebastian
Learning vehicular dynamics, with application to modeling helicopters Pieter Abbeel Computer Abstract We consider the problem of modeling a helicopter's dynamics based on state-action trajectories such as learned by CIFER (the industry standard in helicopter identification), and show that the linear
Quality Assurance for Performance Assessment Modeling
Broader source: Energy.gov [DOE]
Presentation from the 2015 Annual Performance and Risk Assessment (P&RA) Community of Practice (CoP) Technical Exchange Meeting held in Richland, Washington on December 15-16, 2015.
Next Generation On-Line Dynamic Security Assessment
risk based analysis to select multi-element contingencies, c) Increased processing efficiency/or corrective control action to steer the system away from the boundary of insecurity. An overview of the work project report. Part I. Determination of the Right-Sized Dynamic Equivalent (work done at Arizona State
Dynamic Modeling in Solid-Oxide Fuel Cells Controller Design
Lu, Ning; Li, Qinghe; Sun, Xin; Khaleel, Mohammad A.
2007-06-28
In this paper, a dynamic model of the solid-oxide fuel cell (SOFC) power unit is developed for the purpose of designing a controller to regulate fuel flow rate, fuel temperature, air flow rate, and air temperature to maintain the SOFC stack temperature, fuel utilization rate, and voltage within operation limits. A lumped model is used to consider the thermal dynamics and the electro-chemial dynamics inside an SOFC power unit. The fluid dynamics at the fuel and air inlets are considered by using the in-flow ramp-rates.
Developing a Dynamic Pharmacophore Model for HIV-1 Integrase
Carlson, Heather A.; Masukawa, Keven M.; Rubins, Kathleen; Bushman, Frederic; Jorgensen, William L.; Lins, Roberto; Briggs, James; Mccammon, Andy
2000-05-11
We present the first receptor-based pharmacophore model for HIV-1 integrase. The development of ''dynamic'' pharmacophore models is a new method that accounts for the inherent flexibility of the active site and aims to reduce the entropic penalties associated with binding a ligand. Furthermore, this new drug discovery method overcomes the limitation of an incomplete crystal structure of the target protein. A molecular dynamics (MD) simulation describes the flexibility of the uncomplexed protein. Many conformational models of the protein are saved from the MD simulations and used in a series of multi-unit search for interacting conformers (MUSIC) simulations. MUSIC is a multiple-copy minimization method, available in the BOSS program; it is used to determine binding regions for probe molecules containing functional groups that complement the active site. All protein conformations from the MD are overlaid, and conserved binding regions for the probe molecules are identified. Those conserved binding regions define the dynamic pharmacophore model. Here, the dynamic model is compared to known inhibitors of the integrase as well as a three-point, ligand-based pharmacophore model from the literature. Also, a ''static'' pharmacophore model was determined in the standard fashion, using a single crystal structure. Inhibitors thought to bind in the active site of HIV-1 integrase fit the dynamic model but not the static model. Finally, we have identified a set of compounds from the Available Chemicals Directory that fit the dynamic pharmacophore model, and experimental testing of the compounds has confirmed several new inhibitors.
Modeling dilute sediment suspension using large-eddy simulation with a dynamic mixed model
Fringer, Oliver B.
Modeling dilute sediment suspension using large-eddy simulation with a dynamic mixed model Yi Transport of suspended sediment in high Reynolds number channel flows Re=O 600 000 is simulated using large-eddy simulation along with a dynamic-mixed model DMM . Because the modeled sediment concentration is low
Generic solar photovoltaic system dynamic simulation model specification.
Ellis, Abraham; Behnke, Michael Robert; Elliott, Ryan Thomas
2013-10-01
This document is intended to serve as a specification for generic solar photovoltaic (PV) system positive-sequence dynamic models to be implemented by software developers and approved by the WECC MVWG for use in bulk system dynamic simulations in accordance with NERC MOD standards. Two specific dynamic models are included in the scope of this document. The first, a Central Station PV System model, is intended to capture the most important dynamic characteristics of large scale (> 10 MW) PV systems with a central Point of Interconnection (POI) at the transmission level. The second, a Distributed PV System model, is intended to represent an aggregation of smaller, distribution-connected systems that comprise a portion of a composite load that might be modeled at a transmission load bus.
Wind resource assessment with a mesoscale non-hydrostatic model
Boyer, Edmond
Wind resource assessment with a mesoscale non- hydrostatic model Vincent Guénard, Center for Energy is developed for assessing the wind resource and its uncertainty. The work focuses on an existing wind farm mast measurements. The wind speed and turbulence fields are discussed. It is shown that the k
Dioxins in San Francisco Conceptual Model/Impairment Assessment
FINAL Dioxins in San Francisco Bay Conceptual Model/Impairment Assessment Prepared by Mike Connor Partnership November 12, 2004 SFEI Contribution #309 #12;Dioxins in San Francisco Bay: Impairment Assessment. This CM/IA report examines dioxins in San Francisco Bay. Dioxins comprise a group of several hundred
Using Tropos Methodology to Model an Integrated Health Assessment System
health assessment of health and social care needs of older people is used as the case study throughoutUsing Tropos Methodology to Model an Integrated Health Assessment System Haralambos Mouratidis 1 of Trento, Italy pgiorgini@dit.unit.it Abstract. This paper presents a case study to illustrate the features
Assessment of Dynamic Closure for Premixed Combustion LES
Langella, Ivan; Swaminathan, Nedunchezhian; Gao, Yuan; Chakraborty, Nilanjan
2015-08-04
model 1. Introduction High efficiency and low emission can be achieved simultaneously for power plants used in transport sectors, specifically gas turbines, using lean turbulent premixed combustion. A strong interplay between thermochemical and fluid... stream_source_info Langella et al 2015 Combustion Theory and Modelling.pdf.txt stream_content_type text/plain stream_size 77455 Content-Encoding UTF-8 stream_name Langella et al 2015 Combustion Theory and Modelling.pdf.txt Content...
Dynamic wind turbine models in power system simulation tool
Dynamic wind turbine models in power system simulation tool DIgSILENT Anca D. Hansen, Florin Iov Iov, Poul Sørensen, Nicolaos Cutululis, Clemens Jauch, Frede Blaabjerg Title: Dynamic wind turbine system simulation tool PowerFactory DIgSILENT for different wind turbine concepts. It is the second
Novel Dynamical Modeling for Series-Parallel Resonant Converter
Noé, Reinhold
and voltage waveforms in the resonant tank are assumed to be sinusoidal. Using this approach steady enables accurate calculation of steady-state characteristics under all (light to heavy) load conditions. For studying the dynamical behavior of the SPRC and for control design dynamical modeling techniques
Fibre Based Modeling of Wood Dynamics and Fracture
Bridson, Robert
Fibre Based Modeling of Wood Dynamics and Fracture by Sean Meiji Sutherland B.Sc., The University for the simulation of the dynamics and fracturing char- acteristics of wood, specifically its anisotropic behaviour bundles of fibres. Additionally, we describe the conditions under which fracture occurs in the material
Stochastic modeling of lift and drag dynamics under turbulent conditions
Peinke, Joachim
Matthias Wächter Joachim Peinke ForWind - Center for Wind Energy Research University of Oldenburg, Germany measurement. The model is being developed with the aim to integrate it into a general wind energy converter dynamics, drag dynamics. 1 Introduction Wind energy converters (WECs) are permanently exposed to turbulent
Comparing Families of Dynamic Causal Models Will D. Penny1
Daunizeau, Jean
Comparing Families of Dynamic Causal Models Will D. Penny1 *, Klaas E. Stephan1,2 , Jean Daunizeau1: Penny WD, Stephan KE, Daunizeau J, Rosa MJ, Friston KJ, et al. (2010) Comparing Families of Dynamic, 2010; Published March 12, 2010 Copyright: Ã? 2010 Penny et al. This is an open-access article
Aging of asymmetric dynamics on the random energy model
Pierre Mathieu; Jean-Christophe Mourrat
2013-03-20
We show aging of Glauber-type dynamics on the random energy model, in the sense that we obtain the scaling limits of the clock process and of the age process. The latter encodes the Gibbs weight of the configuration occupied by the dynamics. Both limits are expressed in terms of stable subordinators.
Dynamic Simulation Model of a Consumer Foods Production Process !
Sun, Yu
schedule based on product list The SIMUL8 Component 1. Over 200 lines of simula0on code 2. ReadsDynamic Simulation Model of a Consumer Foods Production Process ! Goals · Create a dynamic simula0 Created par0ally automated Excel files to go handin hand with simula0on o Contains all SKUs and meat
Dynamic Modelling for Control of Fuel Cells Federico Zenith
Skogestad, Sigurd
Dynamic Modelling for Control of Fuel Cells Federico Zenith Sigurd Skogestad Department of Chemical Engineering Norwegian University of Science and Technology ( ntnu) Trondheim Abstract Fuel-cell dynamics have been investigated with a variable-resistance board applied to a high temperature polymer fuel cell
Quantitative Adaptation Analytics for Assessing Dynamic Systems of Systems.
Gauthier, John H.; Miner, Nadine E.; Wilson, Michael L.; Le, Hai D.; Kao, Gio K; Melander, Darryl J.; Longsine, Dennis Earl; Vander Meer, Robert Charles,
2015-01-01
Our society is increasingly reliant on systems and interoperating collections of systems, known as systems of systems (SoS). These SoS are often subject to changing missions (e.g., nation- building, arms-control treaties), threats (e.g., asymmetric warfare, terrorism), natural environments (e.g., climate, weather, natural disasters) and budgets. How well can SoS adapt to these types of dynamic conditions? This report details the results of a three year Laboratory Directed Research and Development (LDRD) project aimed at developing metrics and methodologies for quantifying the adaptability of systems and SoS. Work products include: derivation of a set of adaptability metrics, a method for combining the metrics into a system of systems adaptability index (SoSAI) used to compare adaptability of SoS designs, development of a prototype dynamic SoS (proto-dSoS) simulation environment which provides the ability to investigate the validity of the adaptability metric set, and two test cases that evaluate the usefulness of a subset of the adaptability metrics and SoSAI for distinguishing good from poor adaptability in a SoS. Intellectual property results include three patents pending: A Method For Quantifying Relative System Adaptability, Method for Evaluating System Performance, and A Method for Determining Systems Re-Tasking.
RAVEN and Dynamic Probabilistic Risk Assessment: Software overview
Andrea Alfonsi; Cristian Rabiti; Diego Mandelli; Joshua Cogliati; Robert Kinoshita; Antonio Naviglio
2014-09-01
RAVEN is a generic software framework to perform parametric and probabilistic analysis based on the response of complex system codes. The initial development was aimed to provide dynamic risk analysis capabilities to the Thermo-Hydraulic code RELAP-7 [], currently under development at the Idaho National Laboratory. Although the initial goal has been fully accomplished, RAVEN is now a multi-purpose probabilistic and uncertainty quantification platform, capable to agnostically communicate with any system code. This agnosticism has been employed by providing Application Programming Interfaces (APIs). These interfaces are used to allow RAVEN to interact with any code as long as all the parameters that need to be perturbed are accessible by inputs files or via python interfaces. RAVEN is capable to investigate the system response, investigating the input space using Monte Carlo, Grid, or Latin Hyper Cube sampling schemes, but its strength is focused toward system feature discovery, such as limit surfaces, separating regions of the input space leading to system failure, using dynamic supervised learning techniques. The paper presents an overview of the software capabilities and their implementation schemes followed by some application examples.
REGULAR ARTICLE A Simple Dynamic Model of Respiratory Pump
Fontecave-Jallon, Julie
REGULAR ARTICLE A Simple Dynamic Model of Respiratory Pump Pascale Calabrese · Pierre Baconnier the relative motion of rib cage and abdomen during quiet breathing. Keywords Respiratory pump model Á. Hillman and Finucane (1987) have produced a simple model of the respiratory pump that ``appears
A Diffusion Model in Population Genetics with Mutation and Dynamic
O'Leary, Michael
A Diffusion Model in Population Genetics with Mutation and Dynamic Fitness Mike O'Leary Department of Mathematics Towson University May 24, 2008 Mike O'Leary (Towson University) A Diffusion Model in Genetics May Miller, Georgetown University Mike O'Leary (Towson University) A Diffusion Model in Genetics May 24, 2008
COMPUTATIONAL FLUID DYNAMICS MODELING OF SOLID OXIDE FUEL CELLS
COMPUTATIONAL FLUID DYNAMICS MODELING OF SOLID OXIDE FUEL CELLS Ugur Pasaogullari and Chao-dimensional model has been developed to simulate solid oxide fuel cells (SOFC). The model fully couples current density operation. INTRODUCTION Solid oxide fuel cells (SOFC) are among possible candidates
A Compositional and Dynamic Model for Face Aging
Zhu, Song Chun
A Compositional and Dynamic Model for Face Aging Jinli Suo, Song-Chun Zhu, Shiguang Shan, Member model for face aging. The compositional model represents faces in each age group by a hierarchical And.) crucial for age perception and Or nodes represent large diversity of faces by alternative selections
Safety assessment document for the dynamic test complex (Building 836)
Odell, B.N.; Pfeifer, H.E.
1981-11-24
A safety assessment was performed to determine if potential accidents at the 836 Complex at Site 300 could present undue hazards to the general public, personnel at Site 300, or have an adverse effect on the environment. The credible accidents that might have an effect on these facilities or have off-site consequences were considered. These were earthquake, extreme wind (including missiles), lightning, flood, criticality, high explosive (H) detonation that disperses uranium and beryllium, spontaneous oxidation of plutonium, explosions due to finely divided particles, and a fire.
A Dynamic Island Model for Adaptive Operator Selection Caner Candan
Goëffon, Adrien
A Dynamic Island Model for Adaptive Operator Selection Caner Candan LERIA - University of Angers Angers, France caner.candan@univ-angers.fr Adrien Goëffon LERIA - University of Angers Angers, France
Applications of axial and radial compressor dynamic system modeling
Spakovszky, Zoltán S. (Zoltán Sándor), 1972-
2001-01-01
The presented work is a compilation of four different projects related to axial and centrifugal compression systems. The projects are related by the underlying dynamic system modeling approach that is common in all of them. ...
Human Growth and Body Weight Dynamics: An Integrative Systems Model
Rahmandad, Hazhir
Quantifying human weight and height dynamics due to growth, aging, and energy balance can inform clinical practice and policy analysis. This paper presents the first mechanism-based model spanning full individual life and ...
Modeling and control of undesirable dynamics in atomic force microscopes
El Rifai, Osamah M
2002-01-01
The phenomenal resolution and versatility of the atomic force microscope (AFM), has made it a widely-used instrument in nanotechnology. In this thesis, a detailed model of AFM dynamics has been developed. It includes a new ...
Model reduction for nonlinear dynamical systems with parametric uncertainties
Zhou, Yuxiang Beckett
2012-01-01
Nonlinear dynamical systems are known to be sensitive to input parameters. In this thesis, we apply model order reduction to an important class of such systems -- one which exhibits limit cycle oscillations (LCOs) and ...
Off-line calibration of Dynamic Traffic Assignment models
Balakrishna, Ramachandran, 1978-
2006-01-01
Advances in Intelligent Transportation Systems (ITS) have resulted in the deployment of surveillance systems that automatically collect and store extensive network-wide traffic data. Dynamic Traffic Assignment (DTA) models ...
Transmission Dynamics of an Influenza Model with Age of Infection ...
2010-07-20
J Dyn Diff Equat. DOI 10.1007/s10884-010-9178-x. Transmission Dynamics of an Influenza Model with Age of Infection and Antiviral Treatment. Zhipeng Qiu ...
Dynamic (G2) Model Design Document, 24590-WTP-MDD-PR-01-002, Rev. 12
Deng, Yueying; Kruger, Albert A.
2013-12-16
The Hanford Tank Waste Treatment and Immobilization Plant (WTP) Statement of Work (Department of Energy Contract DE-AC27-01RV14136, Section C) requires the contractor to develop and use process models for flowsheet analyses and pre-operational planning assessments. The Dynamic (G2) Flowsheet is a discrete-time process model that enables the project to evaluate impacts to throughput from eventdriven activities such as pumping, sampling, storage, recycle, separation, and chemical reactions. The model is developed by the Process Engineering (PE) department, and is based on the Flowsheet Bases, Assumptions, and Requirements Document (24590-WTP-RPT-PT-02-005), commonly called the BARD. The terminologies of Dynamic (G2) Flowsheet and Dynamic (G2) Model are interchangeable in this document. The foundation of this model is a dynamic material balance governed by prescribed initial conditions, boundary conditions, and operating logic. The dynamic material balance is achieved by tracking the storage and material flows within the plant as time increments. The initial conditions include a feed vector that represents the waste compositions and delivery sequence of the Tank Farm batches, and volumes and concentrations of solutions in process equipment before startup. The boundary conditions are the physical limits of the flowsheet design, such as piping, volumes, flowrates, operation efficiencies, and physical and chemical environments that impact separations, phase equilibriums, and reaction extents. The operating logic represents the rules and strategies of running the plant.
Multi-resolution modeling of the dynamic loading of metal matrix...
Office of Scientific and Technical Information (OSTI)
Journal Article: Multi-resolution modeling of the dynamic loading of metal matrix composites. Citation Details In-Document Search Title: Multi-resolution modeling of the dynamic...
Developing Generic Dynamic Models for the 2030 Eastern Interconnection Grid
Kou, Gefei; Hadley, Stanton W; Markham, Penn N; Liu, Yilu
2013-12-01
The Eastern Interconnection Planning Collaborative (EIPC) has built three major power flow cases for the 2030 Eastern Interconnection (EI) based on various levels of energy/environmental policy conditions, technology advances, and load growth. Using the power flow cases, this report documents the process of developing the generic 2030 dynamic models using typical dynamic parameters. The constructed model was validated indirectly using the synchronized phasor measurements by removing the wind generation temporarily.
Jamming transitions in force-based models for pedestrian dynamics
Chraibi, Mohcine; Tordeux, Antoine; Nishinari, Katsuhiro; Schadschneider, Andreas; Seyfried, Armin
2015-01-01
Force-based models describe pedestrian dynamics in analogy to classical mechanics by a system of second order ordinary differential equations. By investigating the linear stability of two main classes of forces, parameter regions with unstable homogeneous states are identified. In this unstable regime it is then checked whether phase transitions or stop-and-go waves occur. Results based on numerical simulations show, however, that the investigated models lead to unrealistic behavior in form of backwards moving pedestrians and overlapping. This is one reason why stop-and-go waves have not been observed in these models. The unrealistic behavior is not related to the numerical treatment of the dynamic equations but rather indicates an intrinsic problem of this model class. Identifying the underlying generic problems gives indications how to define models that do not show such unrealistic behavior. As an example we introduce a new force-based model which produces realistic jam dynamics without the appearance of u...
Dynamic reactor modeling with applications to SPR and ZEDNA.
Suo-Anttila, Ahti Jorma
2011-12-01
A dynamic reactor model has been developed for pulse-type reactor applications. The model predicts reactor power, axial and radial fuel expansion, prompt and delayed neutron population, and prompt and delayed gamma population. All model predictions are made as a function of time. The model includes the reactivity effect of fuel expansion on a dynamic timescale as a feedback mechanism for reactor power. All inputs to the model are calculated from first principles, either directly by solving systems of equations, or indirectly from Monte Carlo N-Particle Transport Code (MCNP) derived results. The model does not include any empirical parameters that can be adjusted to match experimental data. Comparisons of model predictions to actual Sandia Pulse Reactor SPR-III pulses show very good agreement for a full range of pulse magnitudes. The model is also applied to Z-pinch externally driven neutron assembly (ZEDNA) type reactor designs to model both normal and off-normal ZEDNA operations.
Mesoscale modeling of phase transition dynamics of thermoresponsive polymers
Li, Zhen; Li, Xuejin; Karniadakis, George Em
2015-01-01
We present a non-isothermal mesoscopic model for investigation of the phase transition dynamics of thermoresponsive polymers. Since this model conserves energy in the simulations, it is able to correctly capture not only the transient behavior of polymer precipitation from solvent, but also the energy variation associated with the phase transition process. Simulations provide dynamic details of the thermally induced phase transition and confirm two different mechanisms dominating the phase transition dynamics. A shift of endothermic peak with concentration is observed and the underlying mechanism is explored.
AIR INGRESS ANALYSIS: PART 2 – COMPUTATIONAL FLUID DYNAMIC MODELS
Chang H. Oh; Eung S. Kim; Richard Schultz; Hans Gougar; David Petti; Hyung S. Kang
2011-01-01
The Idaho National Laboratory (INL), under the auspices of the U.S. Department of Energy, is performing research and development that focuses on key phenomena important during potential scenarios that may occur in very high temperature reactors (VHTRs). Phenomena Identification and Ranking Studies to date have ranked an air ingress event, following on the heels of a VHTR depressurization, as important with regard to core safety. Consequently, the development of advanced air ingress-related models and verification and validation data are a very high priority. Following a loss of coolant and system depressurization incident, air will enter the core of the High Temperature Gas Cooled Reactor through the break, possibly causing oxidation of the in-the core and reflector graphite structure. Simple core and plant models indicate that, under certain circumstances, the oxidation may proceed at an elevated rate with additional heat generated from the oxidation reaction itself. Under postulated conditions of fluid flow and temperature, excessive degradation of the lower plenum graphite can lead to a loss of structural support. Excessive oxidation of core graphite can also lead to the release of fission products into the confinement, which could be detrimental to a reactor safety. Computational fluid dynamic model developed in this study will improve our understanding of this phenomenon. This paper presents two-dimensional and three-dimensional CFD results for the quantitative assessment of the air ingress phenomena. A portion of results of the density-driven stratified flow in the inlet pipe will be compared with results of the experimental results.
Dynamic competition model for construction contractors
Kim, Hyung Jin
2004-01-01
as an entity in a dynamic system, in which every entity is a profit optimizer responding to market conditions as well as its competitors' actions. In construction, the issue of competition has been focused on competitive bidding, which is a critical mechanism...
Eutrophication risk assessment in coastal embayments using simple statistical models
Arhonditsis, George B.
Eutrophication risk assessment in coastal embayments using simple statistical models G. Arhonditsis was the development of regression models relating the levels of chlorophyll a (Chl) with the concentration of the limiting nutrientusually nitrogenand the renewal rate of the systems. The method was applied
Assessing possible dynamical effects of condensate in high resolution climate simulations
Dai, Aiguo
Assessing possible dynamical effects of condensate in high resolution climate simulations J. T, condensed water species can add significant mass to an atmospheric column. This mass can create positive the pressure induced by condensates. A simple parameterization of this condensate loading as a function
Assessment of dynamic energy conversion systems for radioisotope heat sources
Thayer, G.R.; Mangeng, C.A.
1985-06-01
The use of dynamic conversion systems to convert the heat generated in a 7500 W(t) 90 Sr radioisotopic heat source to electricity is examined. The systems studies were Stirling; Brayton Cycle; three organic Rankines (ORCs) (Barber-Nichols/ORMAT, Sundstrand, and TRW); and an organic Rankine plus thermoelectrics. The systems were ranked for a North Warning System mission using a Los Alamos Multiattribute Decision Theory code. Three different heat source designs were used: case I with a beginning of life (BOL) source temperature of 640 C, case II with a BOL source temperature of 745/sup 0/C, and case III with a BOL source temperature of 945/sup 0/C. The Stirling engine system was the top-ranked system of cases I and II, closely followed by the ORC systems in case I and ORC plus thermoelectrics in case II. The Brayton cycle system was top-ranked for case III, with the Stirling engine system a close second. The use of /sup 238/Pu in heat source sizes of 7500 W(t) was examined and found to be questionable because of cost and material availability and because of additional requirements for analysis of safeguards and critical mass.
A stochastic evolutionary model for capturing human dynamics
Fenner, Trevor; Loizou, George
2015-01-01
The recent interest in human dynamics has led researchers to investigate the stochastic processes that explain human behaviour in various contexts. Here we propose a generative model to capture the dynamics of survival analysis, traditionally employed in clinical trials and reliability analysis in engineering. We derive a general solution for the model in the form of a product, and then a continuous approximation to the solution via the renewal equation describing age-structured population dynamics. This enables us to model a wide rage of survival distributions, according to the choice of the mortality distribution. We provide empirical evidence for the validity of the model from a longitudinal data set of popular search engine queries over 114 months, showing that the survival function of these queries is closely matched by the solution for our model with power-law mortality.
Structure formation: Models, Dynamics and Status
T. Padmanabhan
1995-08-25
The constraints on the models for the structure formation arising from various cosmological observations at different length scales are reviewed. The status of different models for structure formation is examined critically in the light of these observations.
Modeling emotion dynamics in intelligent agents
Seif El-Nasr, Magy
1998-01-01
Emotions were shown to have a leading role in the human decision-making process, and thus they play an important role in human intelligence. Intelligent agents' research produced many models of emotional agents. However, most of these models focused...
Using connectionist models to assess programmers' expertise
Chapa-Villarreal, Rodolfo
1994-01-01
A programmer can be classified as a novice or an expert according to the performance exhibited in a programming related task. The objective of this thesis is to show that a neural network can be used to model the classification strategies...
Learning Usability Assessment Models for Web Sites
Davis, Paul
2012-02-14
and the department faculty and staff for making my time at Texas A&M University a great experience. I wish to acknowledge and thank the Space Telescope Institute (STScI) and NASA for use of HubbleSite (hubblesite.org). My gratitude and acknowledgement go... .................................................................. 4 2 Model of linear relationship and pair ratings ............................................. 7 3 Data-centric design of system .................................................................... 27 4 Highest overall precision above...
Dislocation dynamics: from microscopic models to macroscopic crystal plasticity
El Hajj, Ahmad
Dislocation dynamics: from microscopic models to macroscopic crystal plasticity A. El Hajj , H study ranges from atomic models to macroscopic crystal plasticity. At each scale, dislocations can crystal Z3 where each position with integer coordinates is occupied by one atom. We want to describe
Fluid Dynamic Models of Flagellar and Ciliary Beating
Fauci, Lisa
University, New Orleans, Louisiana, USA ABSTRACT: We have developed a fluidmechanical model of a eucaryotic mechanics of microtubules, and forces due to nexin links with a surrounding incompressible fluid. This model mechanisms, the passive elastic structure of the axoneme, and the external fluid dynamics. These flagellar
SIMULATING MARKET TRANSFORMATION DYNAMICS USING A HYBRID ENERGY ECONOMY MODEL
ii SIMULATING MARKET TRANSFORMATION DYNAMICS USING A HYBRID ENERGY ECONOMY MODEL: A LOOK the likely effects of alternative policies, potential adoption rates of clean technologies, and costs to society in the long run. My goal was to use a "hybrid" energy economy model (CIMS), which combines
A STOCHASTIC CELLULAR AUTOMATON MODEL OF EBOLA VIRUS DYNAMICS
Hawkins, Jane M.
A STOCHASTIC CELLULAR AUTOMATON MODEL OF EBOLA VIRUS DYNAMICS E. BURKHEAD AND J. HAWKINS Abstract. We construct a stochastic cellular automaton (SCA) model for the spread of the Ebola virus (EBOV). We of virus and the typical immune response to it, and the differences which reflect the drastically different
A Dynamic Model coupling Photoacclimation and Photoinhibition in Microalgae
Boyer, Edmond
in microalgae, thereby spanning multiple time scales. The properties of the model are investigated under quasi2 mitigation due to their inherent consumption of CO2 during photosynthesis, they can be coupledA Dynamic Model coupling Photoacclimation and Photoinhibition in Microalgae Philipp Hartmann1
Numerically Estimating Internal Models of Dynamic Virtual Objects
Sekuler, Robert
human subjects to manipulate a computer-animated virtual object. This virtual object (vO) was a high, human cognition, human information processing, ideal performer, internal model, virtual object, virtual, specifically how humans acquire an internal model of a dynamic virtual object. Our methodology minimizes
Dynamical many-body localization in an integrable model
Aydin Cem Keser; Sriram Ganeshan; Gil Refael; Victor Galitski
2015-06-17
We investigate dynamical many-body localization and delocalization in an integrable system of periodically-kicked, interacting linear rotors. The Hamiltonian we investigate is linear in momentum, and its Floquet evolution operator is analytically tractable for arbitrary interaction strengths. One of the hallmarks of this model is that depending on certain parameters, it manifest both localization and delocalization in momentum space. We explicitly show that, for this model, the energy being bounded at long times is not a sufficient condition for dynamical localization. Besides integrals of motion associated to the integrability, this model manifests additional integrals of motion, which are the exclusive consequence of dynamical many-body localization. We also propose an experimental scheme, involving voltage-biased Josephson junctions, to realize such many-body kicked models.
Interactive Rapid Dose Assessment Model (IRDAM): reactor-accident assessment methods. Vol. 2
Poeton, R.W.; Moeller, M.P.; Laughlin, G.J.; Desrosiers, A.E.
1983-05-01
As part of the continuing emphasis on emergency preparedness, the US Nuclear Regulatory Commission (NRC) sponsored the development of a rapid dose assessment system by Pacific Northwest Laboratory (PNL). This system, the Interactive Rapid Dose Assessment Model (IRDAM) is a micro-computer based program for rapidly assessing the radiological impact of accidents at nuclear power plants. This document describes the technical bases for IRDAM including methods, models and assumptions used in calculations. IRDAM calculates whole body (5-cm depth) and infant thyroid doses at six fixed downwind distances between 500 and 20,000 meters. Radionuclides considered primarily consist of noble gases and radioiodines. In order to provide a rapid assessment capability consistent with the capacity of the Osborne-1 computer, certain simplifying approximations and assumptions are made. These are described, along with default values (assumptions used in the absence of specific input) in the text of this document. Two companion volumes to this one provide additional information on IRDAM. The user's Guide (NUREG/CR-3012, Volume 1) describes the setup and operation of equipment necessary to run IRDAM. Scenarios for Comparing Dose Assessment Models (NUREG/CR-3012, Volume 3) provides the results of calculations made by IRDAM and other models for specific accident scenarios.
Economic assessment model architecture for AGC/AVLIS selection
Hoglund, R.L.
1984-05-24
The economic assessment model architecture described provides the flexibility and completeness in economic analysis that the selection between AGC and AVLIS demands. Process models which are technology-specific will provide the first-order responses of process performance and cost to variations in process parameters. The economics models can be used to test the impacts of alternative deployment scenarios for a technology. Enterprise models provide global figures of merit for evaluating the DOE perspective on the uranium enrichment enterprise, and business analysis models compute the financial parameters from the private investor's viewpoint.
DYNAMICAL MODEL OF AN EXPANDING SHELL
Pe'er, Asaf [Harvard-Smithsonian Center for Astrophysics, MS-51, 60 Garden Street, Cambridge, MA 02138 (United States)
2012-06-10
Expanding blast waves are ubiquitous in many astronomical sources, such as supernova remnants, X-ray emitting binaries, and gamma-ray bursts. I consider here the dynamics of such an expanding blast wave, both in the adiabatic and the radiative regimes. As the blast wave collects material from its surroundings, it decelerates. A full description of the temporal evolution of the blast wave requires consideration of both the energy density and the pressure of the shocked material. The obtained equation is different from earlier works in which only the energy was considered. The solution converges to the familiar results in both the ultrarelativistic and the sub-relativistic (Newtonian) regimes.
Slow dynamics in a model of the cellulose network
O. V. Manyuhina; A. Fasolino; M. I. Katsnelson
2007-06-07
We present numerical simulations of a model of cellulose consisting of long stiff rods, representing cellulose microfibrils, connected by stretchable crosslinks, representing xyloglucan molecules, hydrogen bonded to the microfibrils. Within a broad range of temperature the competing interactions in the resulting network give rise to a slow glassy dynamics. In particular, the structural relaxation described by orientational correlation functions shows a logarithmic time dependence. The glassy dynamics is found to be due to the frustration introduced by the network of xyloglucan molecules. Weakening of interactions between rod and xyloglucan molecules results in a more marked reorientation of cellulose microfibrils, suggesting a possible mechanism to modify the dynamics of the plant cell wall.
STOCHASTIC DYNAMICS OF A COUPLED ATMOSPHEREOCEAN MODEL
's longwave radiation coefficient and the shortwave solar radiation profile. Third, we have demon- strated this coupled atmosphere-ocean model consists of stochastic Date: February 5, 2002. 1991 Mathematics Subject
Generative modeling of dynamic visual scenes
Lin, Dahua, Ph. D. Massachusetts Institute of Technology
2012-01-01
Modeling visual scenes is one of the fundamental tasks of computer vision. Whereas tremendous efforts have been devoted to video analysis in past decades, most prior work focuses on specific tasks, leading to dedicated ...
Modeling Infection with Multi-agent Dynamics
Dong, Wen
2012-01-01
Developing the ability to comprehensively study infections in small populations enables us to improve epidemic models and better advise individuals about potential risks to their health. We currently have a limited ...
Diagnostic indicators for integrated assessment models of climate policy
Kriegler, Elmar; Petermann, Nils; Krey, Volker; Schwanitz, Jana; Luderer, Gunnar; Ashina, Shuichi; Bosetti, Valentina; Eom, Jiyong; Kitous, Alban; Mejean, Aurelie; Paroussos, Leonidas; Sano, Fuminori; Turton, Hal; Wilson, Charlie; Van Vuuren, Detlef
2015-01-01
Integrated assessments of how climate policy interacts with energy-economic systems can be performed by a variety of models with different functional structures. This article proposes a diagnostic scheme that can be applied to a wide range of integrated assessment models to classify differences among models based on their carbon price responses. Model diagnostics can uncover patterns and provide insights into why, under a given scenario, certain types of models behave in observed ways. Such insights are informative since model behavior can have a significant impact on projections of climate change mitigation costs and other policy-relevant information. The authors propose diagnostic indicators to characterize model responses to carbon price signals and test these in a diagnostic study with 11 global models. Indicators describe the magnitude of emission abatement and the associated costs relative to a harmonized baseline, the relative changes in carbon intensity and energy intensity and the extent of transformation in the energy system. This study shows a correlation among indicators suggesting that models can be classified into groups based on common patterns of behavior in response to carbon pricing. Such a classification can help to more easily explain variations among policy-relevant model results.
CSAW: a dynamical model of protein folding
Kerson Huang
2006-01-12
CSAW (conditioned self-avoiding walk) is a model of protein folding that combines SAW (self-avoiding walk) with Monte-Carlo. It simulates the Brownian motion of a chain molecule in the presence of interactions, both among chain residues, and with the environment. In a first model that includes the hydrophobic effect and hydrogen bonding, a chain of 30 residues folds into a native state with stable secondary and tertiary structures. The process starts with a rapid collapse into an intermediate "molten globule", which slowly decays into the native state afer a relatively long quiescent period. The behavior of the radius of gyration mimics experimental data.
Analytical properties of a three-compartmental dynamical demographic model
E. B. Postnikov
2015-07-29
The three-compartmental demographic model by Korotaeyv-Malkov-Khaltourina, connecting population size, economic surplus, and educational level, is considered from the point of view of dynamical systems theory. It is shown that there exist two integrals of motion, which enable the system to be reduced to one non-linear ordinary differential equation. The study of its structure provides analytical criteria for the dominance ranges of the dynamics of Malthus and Kremer. Additionally, the particular ranges of parameters enable the derived general ordinary differential equations to be reduced to the models of Gompertz and Thoularis-Wallace.
Statewide and Electricity-Sector Models for Economic Assessments of
is an Assistant Professor of Urban and Regional Planning, University of Hawaii at Manoa. She teaches graduate/Pacific Region; energy policy; planning methods; and environmental valuation. She specializes in economicStatewide and Electricity-Sector Models for Economic Assessments of Hawai`i Clean Energy Policies
POWER PLANT IMPACT ASSESSMENT: A SIMPLE FISHERY PRODUCTION MODEL APPROACH
POWER PLANT IMPACT ASSESSMENT: A SIMPLE FISHERY PRODUCTION MODEL APPROACH ALECD. MACCALL,' KEITHR power plant entrainment mortality as a fraction (Rc) of the abundance ofthat cohort in the absence of power plant impact can be calculated by Rc = exp (-Ejtj) wheretj is the duration oflife stagei, and
Water Body Temperature Model for Assessing Climate Change Impacts
climatological data and thermal pollution from river-based power plants to historical river flow data in orderWater Body Temperature Model for Assessing Climate Change Impacts on Thermal Cooling Ken Strzepek Climate Change Impacts on Thermal Cooling Ken Strzepek* , Charles Fant* , Yohannes Gebretsadik , Megan
Yuan, Fengming [ORNL; Yi, Shuhua [Cold and Arid Regions Environmental and Engineering Research Institute, CAS; McGuire, A. David [University of Alaska; Johnson, Kristopher D [University of Alaska, Fairbanks; Liang, Jingjing [University of Alaska, Fairbanks; Harden, Jennifer [USGS, Menlo Park, CA; Kasischke, Eric S. [University of Maryland, College Park; Kurz, Werner [Canadian Forest Service
2012-01-01
Carbon (C) dynamics of boreal forest ecosystems have substantial implications for efforts to mitigate the rise of atmospheric CO2 and may be substantially influenced by warming and changing wildfire regimes. In this study we applied a large-scale ecosystem model that included dynamics of organic soil horizons and soil organic matter characteristics of multiple pools to assess forest C stock changes of the Yukon River Basin (YRB) in Alaska, USA, and Canada from 1960 through 2006, a period characterized by substantial climate warming and increases in wildfire. The model was calibrated for major forests with data from long-term research sites and evaluated using a forest inventory database. The regional assessment indicates that forest vegetation C storage increased by 46 Tg C, but that total soil C storage did not change appreciably during this period. However, further analysis suggests that C has been continuously lost from the mineral soil horizon since warming began in the 1970s, but has increased in the amorphous organic soil horizon. Based on a factorial experiment, soil C stocks would have increased by 158 Tg C if the YRB had not undergone warming and changes in fire regime. The analysis also identified that warming and changes in fire regime were approximately equivalent in their effects on soil C storage, and interactions between these two suggests that the loss of organic horizon thickness associated with increases in wildfire made deeper soil C stocks more vulnerable to loss via decomposition. Subbasin analyses indicate that C stock changes were primarily sensitive to the fraction of burned forest area within each subbasin and that boreal forest ecosystems in the YRB are currently transitioning from being sinks to sources at ;0.7% annual area burned. We conclude that it is important for international mitigation efforts focused on controlling atmospheric CO2 to consider how climate warming and changes in fire regime may concurrently affect the CO2 sink strength of boreal forests. It is also important for large-scale biogeochemical and earth system models to include organic soil dynamics in applications to assess regional C dynamics of boreal forests responding to warming and changes in fire regime.
Green Algae as Model Organisms for Biological Fluid Dynamics
Goldstein, Raymond E
2014-01-01
In the past decade the volvocine green algae, spanning from the unicellular $Chlamydomonas$ to multicellular $Volvox$, have emerged as model organisms for a number of problems in biological fluid dynamics. These include flagellar propulsion, nutrient uptake by swimming organisms, hydrodynamic interactions mediated by walls, collective dynamics and transport within suspensions of microswimmers, the mechanism of phototaxis, and the stochastic dynamics of flagellar synchronization. Green algae are well suited to the study of such problems because of their range of sizes (from 10 $\\mu$m to several millimetres), their geometric regularity, the ease with which they can be cultured and the availability of many mutants that allow for connections between molecular details and organism-level behavior. This review summarizes these recent developments and highlights promising future directions in the study of biological fluid dynamics, especially in the context of evolutionary biology, that can take advantage of these re...
Green Algae as Model Organisms for Biological Fluid Dynamics
Raymond E. Goldstein
2014-09-08
In the past decade the volvocine green algae, spanning from the unicellular $Chlamydomonas$ to multicellular $Volvox$, have emerged as model organisms for a number of problems in biological fluid dynamics. These include flagellar propulsion, nutrient uptake by swimming organisms, hydrodynamic interactions mediated by walls, collective dynamics and transport within suspensions of microswimmers, the mechanism of phototaxis, and the stochastic dynamics of flagellar synchronization. Green algae are well suited to the study of such problems because of their range of sizes (from 10 $\\mu$m to several millimetres), their geometric regularity, the ease with which they can be cultured and the availability of many mutants that allow for connections between molecular details and organism-level behavior. This review summarizes these recent developments and highlights promising future directions in the study of biological fluid dynamics, especially in the context of evolutionary biology, that can take advantage of these remarkable organisms.
Modeling Dynamic Landscapes in Open Source GIS
Mitasova, Helena
2013-11-20
is free online • message board discussion, help • Google sites: post HW, get feedback • register to get credit Solar radiation modeling: monthly totals Applications in urban areas: solar panels, building design, thermal conditions,… Helena Mitasova, NCSU... topics: • Solar energy potential • Coastal hazards • Watershed analysis • Trail and greenway design • Lidar data processing Most students use ArcGIS but number of students who use GRASS for at least part of their project is increasing every semester...
An efficient model of drillstring dynamics
Butlin, T.; Langley, R. S.
2015-07-23
Vibration problems represent a significant cost to the oilwell drilling industry due to a wide range of problematic phenomena that can occur [1]. Torsional vibration can cause fatigue, damage to the drillbit if the direction of rotation periodically reverses... ,14]). There are many other effects that could be included in a drillstring model, such as fluid-structure interaction, the effect of free particles at frictional and cutting interfaces, well-path tortu- osity, mud-pump excitation, and buckling. It is clear...
Dynamic crack initiation toughness : experiments and peridynamic modeling.
Foster, John T.
2009-10-01
This is a dissertation on research conducted studying the dynamic crack initiation toughness of a 4340 steel. Researchers have been conducting experimental testing of dynamic crack initiation toughness, K{sub Ic}, for many years, using many experimental techniques with vastly different trends in the results when reporting K{sub Ic} as a function of loading rate. The dissertation describes a novel experimental technique for measuring K{sub Ic} in metals using the Kolsky bar. The method borrows from improvements made in recent years in traditional Kolsky bar testing by using pulse shaping techniques to ensure a constant loading rate applied to the sample before crack initiation. Dynamic crack initiation measurements were reported on a 4340 steel at two different loading rates. The steel was shown to exhibit a rate dependence, with the recorded values of K{sub Ic} being much higher at the higher loading rate. Using the knowledge of this rate dependence as a motivation in attempting to model the fracture events, a viscoplastic constitutive model was implemented into a peridynamic computational mechanics code. Peridynamics is a newly developed theory in solid mechanics that replaces the classical partial differential equations of motion with integral-differential equations which do not require the existence of spatial derivatives in the displacement field. This allows for the straightforward modeling of unguided crack initiation and growth. To date, peridynamic implementations have used severely restricted constitutive models. This research represents the first implementation of a complex material model and its validation. After showing results comparing deformations to experimental Taylor anvil impact for the viscoplastic material model, a novel failure criterion is introduced to model the dynamic crack initiation toughness experiments. The failure model is based on an energy criterion and uses the K{sub Ic} values recorded experimentally as an input. The failure model is then validated against one class of problems showing good agreement with experimental results.
STRUCTURAL VALIDATION OF SYSTEM DYNAMICS AND AGENT-BASED SIMULATION MODELS
Tesfatsion, Leigh
, population dynamics, energy systems, and urban planning. The usefulness of these models is predicated including global warming, population dynamics, energy systems, and urban planning simply defy a face
An intelligent floor field cellular automata model for pedestrian dynamics
Ekaterina Kirik; Tat'yana Yurgel'yan; Dmitriy Krouglov
2009-06-15
A stochastic cellular automata (CA) model for pedestrian dynamics is presented. Our goal is to simulate different types of pedestrian movement, from regular to panic. But here we emphasize regular situations which imply that pedestrians analyze environment and choose their route more carefully. And transition probabilities have to depict such effect. The potentials of floor fields and environment analysis are combined in the model obtained. People patience is included in the model. This makes simulation of pedestrians movement more realistic. Some simulation results are presented and comparison with basic FF-model is made.
Multi-model assessment of stratospheric ozone return dates and ozone recovery in
Wirosoetisno, Djoko
Multi-model assessment of stratospheric ozone return dates and ozone recovery in CCMVal-2 models. (2010) Multi-model assessment of stratospheric ozone return dates and ozone recovery in CCMVal-2 models Chemistry and Physics Multi-model assessment of stratospheric ozone return dates and ozone recovery
Approximate Dynamic Programming for Networks: Fluid Models and Constraint Reduction
Veatch, Michael H.
of approximating functions for the differential cost. The first contribution of this paper is identifying new or piece-wise quadratic. Fluid cost has been used to initialize the value iteration algorithm [5Approximate Dynamic Programming for Networks: Fluid Models and Constraint Reduction Michael H
Counterclockwise Dynamics of a Rate-Independent Semilinear Duhem Model
Bernstein, Dennis S.
Counterclockwise Dynamics of a Rate-Independent Semilinear Duhem Model Ashwani K. Padthe, Jin of a hysteretic simple closed curve. In magnetics, hysteresis caused by the irreversible flux-change mechanism dissipates energy in the form of heat [2]. In both cases, the energy dissipated in one cycle is equal
Dynamic and Static Influence Models on Starbucks Networks Minkyoung Kim
Dynamic and Static Influence Models on Starbucks Networks Minkyoung Kim Interdisciplinary Program Starbucks stores in Korea, which have been spread most rapidly in the world, as an exemplary social network for Starbucks to open the 100th store in Korea, which is the fastest growth of Starbucks in the world [10
GLOBAL DYNAMICS OF AN SEIR EPIDEMIC MODEL WITH VERTICAL TRANSMISSION
Li, Michael
GLOBAL DYNAMICS OF AN SEIR EPIDEMIC MODEL WITH VERTICAL TRANSMISSION MICHAEL Y. LI, HAL L. SMITH population through both horizontal and vertical transmission. The total host population is assumed to have at an endemic equilibrium state if it initially exists. The contribution of the vertical transmission
Modeling Combined Time-and Event-Driven Dynamic Systems
Baclawski, Kenneth B.
such as logistical systems, distributed sensor sys- tems and intelligent highway vehicle systems, are complex dynamic. In this approach, future behaviors are generated through quantitative simulation which "executes" a simulation model, typically at fixed time steps, to obtain quantitative values of state and/or output variables. 1
Multiscale modeling of polystyrene dynamics in different environments
Faller, Roland
Multiscale modeling of polystyrene dynamics in different environments Qi Sun1 , Florence Pon1 simulations can address not only the average properties of the system but also the distribution over any component in their neighborhood and vice versa. The simulation temperature of 450 K is chosen to be above
Geographical Information Systems and Dynamic Modeling via Agent Based Systems
de Figueiredo, Luiz Henrique
Geographical Information Systems and Dynamic Modeling via Agent Based Systems Cláudio Antônio da fariasol@eng.uerj.br ABSTRACT A full integration among Geographical Information Systems and Agent Based integrated with Geographical Information Systems (GIS). The first one is the movement of pedestrians
Modelling microbial population dynamics in nitritation processes Elisabetta Giusti a
Modelling microbial population dynamics in nitritation processes Elisabetta Giusti a , Stefano. Marta 3, I-50139 Florence, Italy b ENEA, Italian National Agency for New Technologies, Energy January 2011 Accepted 1 February 2011 Available online 3 March 2011 Keywords: Microbial kinetics Activated
Lessons Learned from Quantitative Dynamical Modeling in Systems Biology
Timmer, Jens
Lessons Learned from Quantitative Dynamical Modeling in Systems Biology Andreas Raue1,2 *. , Marcel of Physics, University of Freiburg, Freiburg, Germany, 2 Institute of Computational Biology, Helmholtz Center, Munich, Germany, 3 Systems Biology of Signal Transduction, German Cancer Research Center
Transport coefficients of a mesoscopic fluid dynamics model
N. Kikuchi; C. M. Pooley; J. F. Ryder; J. M. Yeomans
2003-02-21
We investigate the properties of stochastic rotation dynamics (Malevanets-Kapral method), a mesoscopic model used for simulating fluctuating hydrodynamics. Analytical results are given for the transport coefficients. We discuss the most efficient way of measuring the transport properties and obtain excellent agreement between the theoretical and numerical calculations.
Parameterized Model Order Reduction of Nonlinear Dynamical Systems
Reif, Rafael
Parameterized Model Order Reduction of Nonlinear Dynamical Systems Brad Bond Research Laboratory reduction technique for non-linear systems. Our approach combines an existing non-parameterized trajectory piecewise linear method for non-linear systems, with an existing moment matching param- eterized technique
Modeling the Dynamic Interaction of Hebbian and Homeostatic Plasticity
Stryker, Michael
Neuron Article Modeling the Dynamic Interaction of Hebbian and Homeostatic Plasticity Taro.toyoizumi@brain.riken.jp http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.neuron.2014.09.036 SUMMARY Hebbian and homeostatic plasticity together of plasticity directly modifies synaptic strength. Equilibrium is reached when the two are inducing equal
Modelling of the static and dynamic mechanical properties of human
Haslwanter, Thomas
Modelling of the static and dynamic mechanical properties of human otoliths DISSERTATION zur of the city of Paris #12;#12;Abstract The aim of this study is a numerical investigation of the static in the inner ears. They sense accelerations of the head. In the static case, information retrieved from them
Dynamic Modelling and Control Design of Pre-combustion Power
Foss, Bjarne A.
principles. The pre- combustion gas power cycle plants consist of reformers and separation units, com and control design of two pre-combustion power cycles, i.e., a hydro- gen membrane reformer (HMR) based power- pressors, gas and steam turbines and a heat recovery system. Analysis of dynamic models at an early stage
Dynamical Model of Rocket Propellant Loading with Liquid Hydrogen
Muratov, Cyrill
when liquid hydrogen is moved from a storage tank to an external tank via a transfer line. By employingDynamical Model of Rocket Propellant Loading with Liquid Hydrogen Viatcheslav V. Osipov MCT, Incevaporation of hydrogen, pressurization of the tanks, and liquid hydrogen and hydrogen vaporflows inthe presence
Open problem: Dynamic Relational Models for Improved Hazardous Weather Prediction
McGovern, Amy
Open problem: Dynamic Relational Models for Improved Hazardous Weather Prediction Amy McGovern1 dis- covery methods for use on mesoscale weather data. Severe weather phenomena such as tornados, thun, current techniques for predicting severe weather are tied to specific characteristics of the radar systems
Fuel cycle assessment: A compendium of models, methodologies, and approaches
Not Available
1994-07-01
The purpose of this document is to profile analytical tools and methods which could be used in a total fuel cycle analysis. The information in this document provides a significant step towards: (1) Characterizing the stages of the fuel cycle. (2) Identifying relevant impacts which can feasibly be evaluated quantitatively or qualitatively. (3) Identifying and reviewing other activities that have been conducted to perform a fuel cycle assessment or some component thereof. (4) Reviewing the successes/deficiencies and opportunities/constraints of previous activities. (5) Identifying methods and modeling techniques/tools that are available, tested and could be used for a fuel cycle assessment.
Gauge turbulence, topological defect dynamics, and condensation in Higgs models
Gasenzer, Thomas; McLerran, Larry; Pawlowski, Jan M.; Sexty, Dénes
2014-07-28
The real-time dynamics of topological defects and turbulent configurations of gauge fields for electric and magnetic confinement are studied numerically within a 2+1D Abelian Higgs model. It is shown that confinement is appearing in such systems equilibrating after a strong initial quench such as the overpopulation of the infrared modes. While the final equilibrium state does not support confinement, metastable vortex defect configurations appearing in the gauge field are found to be closely related to the appearance of physically observable confined electric and magnetic charges. These phenomena are seen to be intimately related to the approach of a non-thermal fixed point of the far-from-equilibrium dynamical evolution, signaled by universal scaling in the gauge-invariant correlation function of the Higgs field. Even when the parameters of the Higgs action do not support condensate formation in the vacuum, during this approach, transient Higgs condensation is observed. We discuss implications of these results for the far-from-equilibrium dynamics of Yang–Mills fields and potential mechanisms of how confinement and condensation in non-Abelian gauge fields can be understood in terms of the dynamics of Higgs models. These suggest that there is an interesting new class of dynamics of strong coherent turbulent gauge fields with condensates.
Gauge turbulence, topological defect dynamics, and condensation in Higgs models
Gasenzer, Thomas [Heidelberg Univ. (Germany). Inst. for Theoretische Physik; GSI-Darmstadt (Germany). ExtreMe Matter Inst. (EMMI); McLerran, Larry [Brookhaven National Lab. (BNL), Upton, NY (United States). RIKEN Research Center and Physics Dept.; China Central Normal Univ., Wuhan (China). Physics Dept.; Pawlowski, Jan M. [Heidelberg Univ. (Germany). Inst. for Theoretische Physik; GSI-Darmstadt (Germany). ExtreMe Matter Inst. (EMMI); Sexty, Dénes [Heidelberg Univ. (Germany). Inst. for Theoretische Physik; GSI-Darmstadt (Germany). ExtreMe Matter Inst. (EMMI)
2014-10-01
The real-time dynamics of topological defects and turbulent configurations of gauge fields for electric and magnetic confinement are studied numerically within a 2+1D Abelian Higgs model. It is shown that confinement is appearing in such systems equilibrating after a strong initial quench such as the overpopulation of the infrared modes. While the final equilibrium state does not support confinement, metastable vortex defect configurations appearing in the gauge field are found to be closely related to the appearance of physically observable confined electric and magnetic charges. These phenomena are seen to be intimately related to the approach of a non-thermal fixed point of the far-from-equilibrium dynamical evolution, signaled by universal scaling in the gauge-invariant correlation function of the Higgs field. Even when the parameters of the Higgs action do not support condensate formation in the vacuum, during this approach, transient Higgs condensation is observed. We discuss implications of these results for the far-from-equilibrium dynamics of Yang–Mills fields and potential mechanisms of how confinement and condensation in non-Abelian gauge fields can be understood in terms of the dynamics of Higgs models. These suggest that there is an interesting new class of dynamics of strong coherent turbulent gauge fields with condensates.
Gauge turbulence, topological defect dynamics, and condensation in Higgs models
DOE Public Access Gateway for Energy & Science Beta (PAGES Beta)
Gasenzer, Thomas; McLerran, Larry; Pawlowski, Jan M.; Sexty, Dénes
2014-07-28
The real-time dynamics of topological defects and turbulent configurations of gauge fields for electric and magnetic confinement are studied numerically within a 2+1D Abelian Higgs model. It is shown that confinement is appearing in such systems equilibrating after a strong initial quench such as the overpopulation of the infrared modes. While the final equilibrium state does not support confinement, metastable vortex defect configurations appearing in the gauge field are found to be closely related to the appearance of physically observable confined electric and magnetic charges. These phenomena are seen to be intimately related to the approach of a non-thermal fixedmore »point of the far-from-equilibrium dynamical evolution, signaled by universal scaling in the gauge-invariant correlation function of the Higgs field. Even when the parameters of the Higgs action do not support condensate formation in the vacuum, during this approach, transient Higgs condensation is observed. We discuss implications of these results for the far-from-equilibrium dynamics of Yang–Mills fields and potential mechanisms of how confinement and condensation in non-Abelian gauge fields can be understood in terms of the dynamics of Higgs models. These suggest that there is an interesting new class of dynamics of strong coherent turbulent gauge fields with condensates.« less
On the modelling of spur and helical gear dynamic behaviour
Velex, Philippe
2012-01-01
This chapter is aimed at introducing the fundamentals of spur and helical gear dynamics. Using three-dimensional lumped models and a thin-slice approach for mesh elasticity, the general equations of motion for single-stage spur or helical gears are presented. Some particular cases including the classic one degree-of-freedom model are examined in order to introduce and illustrate the basic phenomena. The interest of the concept of transmission errors is analysed and a number of practical considerations are deduced. Emphasis is deliberately placed on analytical results which, although approximate, allow a clearer understanding of gear dynamics than that provided by extensive numerical simulations. Some extensions towards continuous models are presented.
Mathematical Modeling of Microbial Community Dynamics: A Methodological Review
Song, Hyun-Seob; Cannon, William R.; Beliaev, Alex S.; Konopka, Allan
2014-10-17
Microorganisms in nature form diverse communities that dynamically change in structure and function in response to environmental variations. As a complex adaptive system, microbial communities show higher-order properties that are not present in individual microbes, but arise from their interactions. Predictive mathematical models not only help to understand the underlying principles of the dynamics and emergent properties of natural and synthetic microbial communities, but also provide key knowledge required for engineering them. In this article, we provide an overview of mathematical tools that include not only current mainstream approaches, but also less traditional approaches that, in our opinion, can be potentially useful. We discuss a broad range of methods ranging from low-resolution supra-organismal to high-resolution individual-based modeling. Particularly, we highlight the integrative approaches that synergistically combine disparate methods. In conclusion, we provide our outlook for the key aspects that should be further developed to move microbial community modeling towards greater predictive power.
Gaussian Process Model for Collision Dynamics of Complex Molecules
Cui, Jie
2015-01-01
We show that a Gaussian Process model can be combined with a small number of scattering calculations to provide an accurate multi-dimensional dependence of scattering observables on the experimentally controllable parameters (such as the collision energy, temperature or external fields) as well as the potential energy surface parameters. This can be used for solving the inverse scattering problem, the prediction of collision properties of a specific molecular system based on the information for another molecule, the efficient calculation of thermally averaged observables and for reducing the error of the molecular dynamics calculations by averaging over the potential energy surface variations. We show that, trained by a combination of classical and quantum dynamics calculations, the model provides an accurate description of the scattering cross sections, even near scattering resonances. In this case, the classical calculations stabilize the model against uncertainties arising from wildly varying correlations ...
Agent Model Development for Assessing Climate-Induced Geopolitical Instability.
Boslough, Mark B.; Backus, George A.
2005-12-01
We present the initial stages of development of new agent-based computational methods to generate and test hypotheses about linkages between environmental change and international instability. This report summarizes the first year's effort of an originally proposed three-year Laboratory Directed Research and Development (LDRD) project. The preliminary work focused on a set of simple agent-based models and benefited from lessons learned in previous related projects and case studies of human response to climate change and environmental scarcity. Our approach was to define a qualitative model using extremely simple cellular agent models akin to Lovelock's Daisyworld and Schelling's segregation model. Such models do not require significant computing resources, and users can modify behavior rules to gain insights. One of the difficulties in agent-based modeling is finding the right balance between model simplicity and real-world representation. Our approach was to keep agent behaviors as simple as possible during the development stage (described herein) and to ground them with a realistic geospatial Earth system model in subsequent years. This work is directed toward incorporating projected climate data--including various C02 scenarios from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Third Assessment Report--and ultimately toward coupling a useful agent-based model to a general circulation model.3
Sensitivity analysis of a dynamic model for submerged arc silicon furnaces.
Foss, Bjarne A.
Sensitivity analysis of a dynamic model for submerged arc silicon furnaces. B. F. Lund1 , B. A for a dynamic model of submerged arc silicon furnaces. The model we study, called "Simod", was developed updating a nonlinear, dynamic model of a silicon furnace. We have identified a parameter set that has
Model for dynamic self-assembled magnetic surface structures.
Belkin, M.; Glatz, A.; Snezhko, A.; Aranson, I. S.; Materials Science Division; Northwestern Univ.
2010-07-07
We propose a first-principles model for the dynamic self-assembly of magnetic structures at a water-air interface reported in earlier experiments. The model is based on the Navier-Stokes equation for liquids in shallow water approximation coupled to Newton equations for interacting magnetic particles suspended at a water-air interface. The model reproduces most of the observed phenomenology, including spontaneous formation of magnetic snakelike structures, generation of large-scale vortex flows, complex ferromagnetic-antiferromagnetic ordering of the snake, and self-propulsion of bead-snake hybrids.
Robertson, David E.; Cataldo, Dominic A.; Napier, Bruce A.; Krupka, Kenneth M.; Sasser, Lyle B.
2003-07-20
A literature review and assessment was conducted by Pacific Northwest National Laboratory (PNNL) to update information on plant and animal radionuclide transfer factors used in performance-assessment modeling. A group of 15 radionuclides was included in this review and assessment. The review is composed of four main sections, not including the Introduction. Section 2.0 provides a review of the critically important issue of physicochemical speciation and geochemistry of the radionuclides in natural soil-water systems as it relates to the bioavailability of the radionuclides. Section 3.0 provides an updated review of the parameters of importance in the uptake of radionuclides by plants, including root uptake via the soil-groundwater system and foliar uptake due to overhead irrigation. Section 3.0 also provides a compilation of concentration ratios (CRs) for soil-to-plant uptake for the 15 selected radionuclides. Section 4.0 provides an updated review on radionuclide uptake data for animal products related to absorption, homeostatic control, approach to equilibration, chemical and physical form, diet, and age. Compiled transfer coefficients are provided for cow’s milk, sheep’s milk, goat’s milk, beef, goat meat, pork, poultry, and eggs. Section 5.0 discusses the use of transfer coefficients in soil, plant, and animal modeling using regulatory models for evaluating radioactive waste disposal or decommissioned sites. Each section makes specific suggestions for future research in its area.
Kinetic Modeling and Assessment of Lime Pretreatment of Poplar Wood
Sierra Ramirez, Rocio
2012-02-14
, industrial, and agricultural). 5. Appropriate selection of feedstock and conversion technology. 6. Improved efficiency of the production technology obtained through intensive research and development. 7. More efficient use of energy, including vehicle...-1 KINETIC MODELING AND ASSESSMENT OF LIME PRETREATMENT OF POPLAR WOOD A Dissertation by ROCIO SIERRA RAMIREZ Submitted to the Office of Graduate Studies of Texas A&M University in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree...
PORFLOW Modeling Supporting The H-Tank Farm Performance Assessment
Jordan, J. M.; Flach, G. P.; Westbrook, M. L.
2012-08-31
Numerical simulations of groundwater flow and contaminant transport in the vadose and saturated zones have been conducted using the PORFLOW code in support of an overall Performance Assessment (PA) of the H-Tank Farm. This report provides technical detail on selected aspects of PORFLOW model development and describes the structure of the associated electronic files. The PORFLOW models for the H-Tank Farm PA, Rev. 1 were updated with grout, solubility, and inventory changes. The aquifer model was refined. In addition, a set of flow sensitivity runs were performed to allow flow to be varied in the related probabilistic GoldSim models. The final PORFLOW concentration values are used as input into a GoldSim dose calculator.
Fant, C.A.
This paper describes the use of the CliCrop model in the context of climate change general assessment
Model of a deterministic detector and dynamical decoherence
Lee, Jae Weon; Shepelyansky, Dima L. [Laboratoire de Physique Theorique, UMR 5152 du CNRS, Univ. P. Sabatier, 31062 Toulouse Cedex 4 (France); Averin, Dmitri V. [Department of Physics, University of Stony Brook, SUNY, Stony Brook, New York 11794 (United States); Benenti, Giuliano [Center for Nonlinear and Complex Systems, Universita degli Studi dell'Insubria and Istituto Nazionale per la Fisica della Materia, Unita di Como, Via Valleggio 11, 22100 Como (Italy)
2005-07-15
We discuss a deterministic model of detector coupled to a two-level system (a qubit). The detector is a quasiclassical object whose dynamics is described by the kicked rotator Hamiltonian. We show that in the regime of quantum chaos the detector acts as a chaotic bath and induces decoherence of the qubit. We discuss the dephasing and relaxation rates and demonstrate that the main features of single-qubit decoherence due to a heat bath can be reproduced by our fully deterministic dynamical model. Moreover, we show that, for strong enough qubit-detector coupling, the dephasing rate is given by the rate of exponential instability of the detector's dynamics, that is, by the Lyapunov exponent of classical motion. Finally, we discuss the measurement in the regimes of strong and weak qubit-detector coupling. For the case of strong coupling the detector performs a measurement of the up/down state of the qubit. In the case of weak coupling, due to chaos, the dynamical evolution of the detector is strongly sensitive to the state of the qubit. However, in this case it is unclear how to extract a signal from any measurement with a coarse-graining in the phase space on a size much larger than the Planck cell.
Keratin Dynamics: Modeling the Interplay between Turnover and Transport
Stephanie Portet; Anotida Madzvamuse; Andy Chung; Rudolf E. Leube; Reinhard Windoffer
2015-04-01
Keratin are among the most abundant proteins in epithelial cells. Functions of the keratin network in cells are shaped by their dynamical organization. Using a collection of experimentally-driven mathematical models, different hypotheses for the turnover and transport of the keratin material in epithelial cells are tested. The interplay between turnover and transport and their effects on the keratin organization in cells are hence investigated by combining mathematical modeling and experimental data. Amongst the collection of mathematical models considered, a best model strongly supported by experimental data is identified. Fundamental to this approach is the fact that optimal parameter values associated with the best fit for each model are established. The best candidate among the best fits is characterized by the disassembly of the assembled keratin material in the perinuclear region and an active transport of the assembled keratin. Our study shows that an active transport of the assembled keratin is required to explain the experimentally observed keratin organization.
Multi-resolution modeling of the dynamic loading of metal matrix...
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Multi-resolution modeling of the dynamic loading of metal matrix composites. Citation Details In-Document Search Title: Multi-resolution modeling of the dynamic loading of metal...
Dynamic ModelingDynamic Modeling the Electric Power Networkthe Electric Power Network
Oro, Daniel
at the National Energy Modeling System/Annual Energy Outlook Conference, Washington, DC, March 10, 2003] #12
On preparation of viscous pore fluids for dynamic centrifuge modelling
Adamidis, O.; Madabhushi, S. P. G.
2014-11-21
upon cooling. Gelation temperatures for METHOCEL F50 are well above the expected range of temperatures in dynamic centrifuge modelling [Dow, 2002]. As a result, the gelation process is not consid- ered in this study. Measurements of viscosity... + e e · ki (24) where k is the coefficient of permeability and i is the hydraulic gradient. Since an upper estimate for shearing rate is sought after, the critical hydraulic gradient, for which the seepage forces become equal to the submerged weight...
Introducing a new 3D dynamical model for barred galaxies
Jung, Christof
2015-01-01
The regular or chaotic dynamics of an analytical realistic three dimensional model composed of a spherically symmetric central nucleus, a bar and a flat disk is investigated. For describing the properties of the bar we introduce a new simple dynamical model and we explore the influence on the character of orbits of all the involved parameters of it, such as the mass and the scale length of the bar, the major semi-axis and the angular velocity of the bar as well as the energy. Regions of phase space with ordered and chaotic motion are identified in dependence on these parameters and for breaking the rotational symmetry. First we study in detail the dynamics in the invariant plane $z = p_z = 0$ using the Poincar\\'e map as a basic tool and then we study the full 3 dimensional case using the SALI method as principal tool for distinguishing between order and chaos. We also present strong evidence obtained through the numerical simulations that our new bar model can realistically describe the formation and the evol...
Nuclear Hybrid Energy System Modeling: RELAP5 Dynamic Coupling Capabilities
Piyush Sabharwall; Nolan Anderson; Haihua Zhao; Shannon Bragg-Sitton; George Mesina
2012-09-01
The nuclear hybrid energy systems (NHES) research team is currently developing a dynamic simulation of an integrated hybrid energy system. A detailed simulation of proposed NHES architectures will allow initial computational demonstration of a tightly coupled NHES to identify key reactor subsystem requirements, identify candidate reactor technologies for a hybrid system, and identify key challenges to operation of the coupled system. This work will provide a baseline for later coupling of design-specific reactor models through industry collaboration. The modeling capability addressed in this report focuses on the reactor subsystem simulation.
An Inspector's Assessment of the New Model Safeguards Approach for Enrichment Plants
Curtis, Michael M.
2007-07-31
This conference paper assesses the changes that are being made to the Model Safeguards Approach for Gas Centrifuge Enrichment Plants.
DOE Public Access Gateway for Energy & Science Beta (PAGES Beta)
Vugrin, Eric D.; Rostron, Brian L.; Verzi, Stephen J.; Brodsky, Nancy S.; Brown, Theresa J.; Choiniere, Conrad J.; Coleman, Blair N.; Paredes, Antonio; Apelberg, Benjamin J.
2015-03-27
Background Recent declines in US cigarette smoking prevalence have coincided with increases in use of other tobacco products. Multiple product tobacco models can help assess the population health impacts associated with use of a wide range of tobacco products. Methods and Findings We present a multi-state, dynamical systems population structure model that can be used to assess the effects of tobacco product use behaviors on population health. The model incorporates transition behaviors, such as initiation, cessation, switching, and dual use, related to the use of multiple products. The model tracks product use prevalence and mortality attributable to tobacco use formore »the overall population and by sex and age group. The model can also be used to estimate differences in these outcomes between scenarios by varying input parameter values. We demonstrate model capabilities by projecting future cigarette smoking prevalence and smoking-attributable mortality and then simulating the effects of introduction of a hypothetical new lower-risk tobacco product under a variety of assumptions about product use. Sensitivity analyses were conducted to examine the range of population impacts that could occur due to differences in input values for product use and risk. We demonstrate that potential benefits from cigarette smokers switching to the lower-risk product can be offset over time through increased initiation of this product. Model results show that population health benefits are particularly sensitive to product risks and initiation, switching, and dual use behaviors. Conclusion Our model incorporates the variety of tobacco use behaviors and risks that occur with multiple products. As such, it can evaluate the population health impacts associated with the introduction of new tobacco products or policies that may result in product switching or dual use. Further model development will include refinement of data inputs for non-cigarette tobacco products and inclusion of health outcomes such as morbidity and disability.« less
CREATING DYNAMIC EQUIVALENT PV CIRCUIT MODELS WITH IMPEDANCE SPECTROSCOPY FOR ARC FAULT MODELING
CREATING DYNAMIC EQUIVALENT PV CIRCUIT MODELS WITH IMPEDANCE SPECTROSCOPY FOR ARC FAULT MODELING ® (NEC® ) requires new photovoltaic (PV) systems on or penetrating a building to include a listed arc of the arcing frequencies through PV components despite the potential for modules and other PV components
Modelling the e#ects of air pollution on health using Bayesian Dynamic Generalised Linear Models
Bath, University of
(2004)). Large multicity studies such as `Air pollution and health: a European approach' (APHEA across a number of US and European cities. Shortterm e#ects of air pollution on health are estimatedModelling the e#ects of air pollution on health using Bayesian Dynamic Generalised Linear Models
Modeling Exposure to Persistent Chemicals in Hazard and Risk Assessment
Cowan-Ellsberry, Christina E.; McLachlan, Michael S.; Arnot, Jon A.; MacLeod, Matthew; McKone, Thomas E.; Wania, Frank
2008-11-01
Fate and exposure modeling has not thus far been explicitly used in the risk profile documents prepared to evaluate significant adverse effect of candidate chemicals for either the Stockholm Convention or the Convention on Long-Range Transboundary Air Pollution. However, we believe models have considerable potential to improve the risk profiles. Fate and exposure models are already used routinely in other similar regulatory applications to inform decisions, and they have been instrumental in building our current understanding of the fate of POP and PBT chemicals in the environment. The goal of this paper is to motivate the use of fate and exposure models in preparing risk profiles in the POP assessment procedure by providing strategies for incorporating and using models. The ways that fate and exposure models can be used to improve and inform the development of risk profiles include: (1) Benchmarking the ratio of exposure and emissions of candidate chemicals to the same ratio for known POPs, thereby opening the possibility of combining this ratio with the relative emissions and relative toxicity to arrive at a measure of relative risk. (2) Directly estimating the exposure of the environment, biota and humans to provide information to complement measurements, or where measurements are not available or are limited. (3) To identify the key processes and chemical and/or environmental parameters that determine the exposure; thereby allowing the effective prioritization of research or measurements to improve the risk profile. (4) Predicting future time trends including how quickly exposure levels in remote areas would respond to reductions in emissions. Currently there is no standardized consensus model for use in the risk profile context. Therefore, to choose the appropriate model the risk profile developer must evaluate how appropriate an existing model is for a specific setting and whether the assumptions and input data are relevant in the context of the application. It is possible to have confidence in the predictions of many of the existing models because of their fundamental physical and chemical mechanistic underpinnings and the extensive work already done to compare model predictions and empirical observations. The working group recommends that modeling tools be applied for benchmarking PBT/POPs according to exposure-to-emissions relationships, and that modeling tools be used to interpret emissions and monitoring data. The further development of models that couple fate, long-range transport, and bioaccumulation should be fostered, especially models that will allow time trends to be scientifically addressed in the risk profile.
A Nonlocal Peridynamic Plasticity Model for the Dynamic Flow and Fracture of Concrete.
Vogler, Tracy; Lammi, Christopher James
2014-10-01
A nonlocal, ordinary peridynamic constitutive model is formulated to numerically simulate the pressure-dependent flow and fracture of heterogeneous, quasi-brittle ma- terials, such as concrete. Classical mechanics and traditional computational modeling methods do not accurately model the distributed fracture observed within this family of materials. The peridynamic horizon, or range of influence, provides a characteristic length to the continuum and limits localization of fracture. Scaling laws are derived to relate the parameters of peridynamic constitutive model to the parameters of the classical Drucker-Prager plasticity model. Thermodynamic analysis of associated and non-associated plastic flow is performed. An implicit integration algorithm is formu- lated to calculate the accumulated plastic bond extension and force state. The gov- erning equations are linearized and the simulation of the quasi-static compression of a cylinder is compared to the classical theory. A dissipation-based peridynamic bond failure criteria is implemented to model fracture and the splitting of a concrete cylinder is numerically simulated. Finally, calculation of the impact and spallation of a con- crete structure is performed to assess the suitability of the material and failure models for simulating concrete during dynamic loadings. The peridynamic model is found to accurately simulate the inelastic deformation and fracture behavior of concrete during compression, splitting, and dynamically induced spall. The work expands the types of materials that can be modeled using peridynamics. A multi-scale methodology for simulating concrete to be used in conjunction with the plasticity model is presented. The work was funded by LDRD 158806.
User Guide for PV Dynamic Model Simulation Written on PSCAD Platform
Muljadi, E.; Singh, M.; Gevorgian, V.
2014-11-01
This document describes the dynamic photovoltaic model developed by the National Renewable Energy Laboratory and is intended as a guide for users of these models.
Use dynamic simulation to model HPU reactor depressuring
Ernest, J.B.; Depew, C.A. (Fluor Daniel, Inc., Irvine, CA (United States))
1995-01-01
Dynamic simulation is the best available method for the analysis of hydroprocessing unit (HPU) depressuring. Depressuring is crucial for the safe operation of hydrocracking and other HPUs with catalysts that have hydrocracking activity. Effective design for depressuring is valuable for all types of HPUs, both grass-roots and revamps. Reactor loop depressuring can set design temperatures and pressures for the reactor effluent cooling train and other equipment and piping in an HPU. Unfortunately, usual methods for determining equipment and piping design conditions during depressuring leave much room for improvement because they poorly account for time-dependent temperature and pressure changes. Dynamic simulation makes it practical to more accurately estimate these transient conditions. The paper discusses depressuring design, including the nature of depressuring, the impact of depressuring on design, and depressuring calculation methods. The author then describes modeling of hydroprocessing unit depressuring by discussing the general and particular correspondence of simulation modules to physical equipment using the base case of total electrical power failure. The special data that is required for dynamic simulation is described and typical simulation results are given. Lastly, the advantages of dynamic simulation are summarized.
Dynamics of Molecular Motors in Reversible Burnt-Bridge Models
Maxim N. Artyomov; Alexander Yu. Morozov; Anatoly B. Kolomeisky
2009-11-22
Dynamic properties of molecular motors whose motion is powered by interactions with specific lattice bonds are studied theoretically with the help of discrete-state stochastic "burnt-bridge" models. Molecular motors are depicted as random walkers that can destroy or rebuild periodically distributed weak connections ("bridges") when crossing them, with probabilities $p_1$ and $p_2$ correspondingly. Dynamic properties, such as velocities and dispersions, are obtained in exact and explicit form for arbitrary values of parameters $p_1$ and $p_2$. For the unbiased random walker, reversible burning of the bridges results in a biased directed motion with a dynamic transition observed at very small concentrations of bridges. In the case of backward biased molecular motor its backward velocity is reduced and a reversal of the direction of motion is observed for some range of parameters. It is also found that the dispersion demonstrates a complex, non-monotonic behavior with large fluctuations for some set of parameters. Complex dynamics of the system is discussed by analyzing the behavior of the molecular motors near burned bridges.
Eulerian hydrocode modeling of a dynamic tensile extrusion experiment (u)
Burkett, Michael W; Clancy, Sean P
2009-01-01
Eulerian hydrocode simulations utilizing the Mechanical Threshold Stress flow stress model were performed to provide insight into a dynamic extrusion experiment. The dynamic extrusion response of copper (three different grain sizes) and tantalum spheres were simulated with MESA, an explicit, 2-D Eulerian continuum mechanics hydrocode and compared with experimental data. The experimental data consisted of high-speed images of the extrusion process, recovered extruded samples, and post test metallography. The hydrocode was developed to predict large-strain and high-strain-rate loading problems. Some of the features of the features of MESA include a high-order advection algorithm, a material interface tracking scheme and a van Leer monotonic advection-limiting. The Mechanical Threshold Stress (MTS) model was utilized to evolve the flow stress as a function of strain, strain rate and temperature for copper and tantalum. Plastic strains exceeding 300% were predicted in the extrusion of copper at 400 m/s, while plastic strains exceeding 800% were predicted for Ta. Quantitative comparisons between the predicted and measured deformation topologies and extrusion rate were made. Additionally, predictions of the texture evolution (based upon the deformation rate history and the rigid body rotations experienced by the copper during the extrusion process) were compared with the orientation imaging microscopy measurements. Finally, comparisons between the calculated and measured influence of the initial texture on the dynamic extrusion response of tantalum was performed.
Dynamic mesoscale model of dipolar fluids via fluctuating hydrodynamics
Persson, Rasmus A. X.; Chu, Jhih-Wei, E-mail: jwchu@nctu.edu.tw [Institute of Bioinformatics and Systems Biology, National Chiao Tung University, Hsinchu 30068, Taiwan (China); Department of Biological Science and Technology, National Chiao Tung University, Hsinchu 30068, Taiwan (China); Voulgarakis, Nikolaos K. [Department of Mathematics, Washington State University, Richland, Washington 99372 (United States)
2014-11-07
Fluctuating hydrodynamics (FHD) is a general framework of mesoscopic modeling and simulation based on conservational laws and constitutive equations of linear and nonlinear responses. However, explicit representation of electrical forces in FHD has yet to appear. In this work, we devised an Ansatz for the dynamics of dipole moment densities that is linked with the Poisson equation of the electrical potential ? in coupling to the other equations of FHD. The resulting ?-FHD equations then serve as a platform for integrating the essential forces, including electrostatics in addition to hydrodynamics, pressure-volume equation of state, surface tension, and solvent-particle interactions that govern the emergent behaviors of molecular systems at an intermediate scale. This unique merit of ?-FHD is illustrated by showing that the water dielectric function and ion hydration free energies in homogeneous and heterogenous systems can be captured accurately via the mesoscopic simulation. Furthermore, we show that the field variables of ?-FHD can be mapped from the trajectory of an all-atom molecular dynamics simulation such that model development and parametrization can be based on the information obtained at a finer-grained scale. With the aforementioned multiscale capabilities and a spatial resolution as high as 5 Å, the ?-FHD equations represent a useful semi-explicit solvent model for the modeling and simulation of complex systems, such as biomolecular machines and nanofluidics.
Multiphase flow in the advanced fluid dynamics model
Bohl, W.R.; Wilhelm, D.; Berthier, J.; Parker, F.P.; Ichikawa, S.; Goutagny, L.; Ninokata, H.
1988-01-01
This paper describes the modeling used in the Advanced Fluid Dynamics Model (AFDM), a computer code to investigate new approaches to simulating severe accidents in fast reactors. The AFDM code has 12 topologies describing what material contacts are possible depending on the presence or absence of a given material in a computational cell, the dominant liquid, and the continuous phase. Single-phase, bubbly, churn-turbulent, cellular, and dispersed flow are permitted for the pool situations modeled. Interfacial areas between the continuous and discontinuous phases are convected to allow some tracking of phenomenological histories. Interfacial areas also are modified by models of nucleation, dynamic forces, turbulence, flashing, coalescence, and mass transfer. Heat transfer generally is treated using engineering correlations. Liquid/vapor phase transitions are handled with a nonequililbrium heat-transfer-limited model, whereas melting and freezing processes are based on equilibrium considerations. The Los Alamos SESAME equation of state (EOS) has been inplemented using densities and temperatures as the independent variables. A summary description of the AFDM numerical algorithm is provided. The AFDM code currently is being debugged and checked out. Two sample three-field calculations also are presented. The first is a three-phase bubble column mixing experiment performed at Argonne National Laboratory; the second is a liquid-liquid mixing experiment performed at Kernforschungszentrum, Karlsruhe, that resulted in rapid vapor production. We conclude that only qualitative comparisons currently are possible for complex multiphase situations. Many further model developments can be pursued, but there are limits because of the lack of a comprehensive theory, the lack of detailed multicomponent experimental data, and the difficulties in keeping the resulting model complexities tractable.
Computational fluid dynamic modeling of fluidized-bed polymerization reactors
Rokkam, Ram
2012-11-02
Polyethylene is one of the most widely used plastics, and over 60 million tons are produced worldwide every year. Polyethylene is obtained by the catalytic polymerization of ethylene in gas and liquid phase reactors. The gas phase processes are more advantageous, and use fluidized-bed reactors for production of polyethylene. Since they operate so close to the melting point of the polymer, agglomeration is an operational concern in all slurry and gas polymerization processes. Electrostatics and hot spot formation are the main factors that contribute to agglomeration in gas-phase processes. Electrostatic charges in gas phase polymerization fluidized bed reactors are known to influence the bed hydrodynamics, particle elutriation, bubble size, bubble shape etc. Accumulation of electrostatic charges in the fluidized-bed can lead to operational issues. In this work a first-principles electrostatic model is developed and coupled with a multi-fluid computational fluid dynamic (CFD) model to understand the effect of electrostatics on the dynamics of a fluidized-bed. The multi-fluid CFD model for gas-particle flow is based on the kinetic theory of granular flows closures. The electrostatic model is developed based on a fixed, size-dependent charge for each type of particle (catalyst, polymer, polymer fines) phase. The combined CFD model is first verified using simple test cases, validated with experiments and applied to a pilot-scale polymerization fluidized-bed reactor. The CFD model reproduced qualitative trends in particle segregation and entrainment due to electrostatic charges observed in experiments. For the scale up of fluidized bed reactor, filtered models are developed and implemented on pilot scale reactor.
A preliminary study to Assess Model Uncertainties in Fluid Flows
Marc Oliver Delchini; Jean C. Ragusa
2009-09-01
The goal of this study is to assess the impact of various flow models for a simplified primary coolant loop of a light water nuclear reactor. The various fluid flow models are based on the Euler equations with an additional friction term, gravity term, momentum source, and energy source. The geometric model is purposefully chosen simple and consists of a one-dimensional (1D) loop system in order to focus the study on the validity of various fluid flow approximations. The 1D loop system is represented by a rectangle; the fluid is heated up along one of the vertical legs and cooled down along the opposite leg. A pressurizer and a pump are included in the horizontal legs. The amount of energy transferred and removed from the system is equal in absolute value along the two vertical legs. The various fluid flow approximations are compressible vs. incompressible, and complete momentum equation vs. Darcy’s approximation. The ultimate goal is to compute the fluid flow models’ uncertainties and, if possible, to generate validity ranges for these models when applied to reactor analysis. We also limit this study to single phase flows with low-Mach numbers. As a result, sound waves carry a very small amount of energy in this particular case. A standard finite volume method is used for the spatial discretization of the system.
A CONCEPT TO ASSESS THE PERFORMANCE OF A PERMAFROST MODEL RUN FULLY COUPLED WITH A CLIMATE MODEL
Moelders, Nicole
A CONCEPT TO ASSESS THE PERFORMANCE OF A PERMAFROST MODEL RUN FULLY COUPLED WITH A CLIMATE MODEL APPROVED: Dean, College of Natural Science and Mathematics Dean of the Graduate School Date #12;A CONCEPT TO ASSESS THE PERFORMANCE OF A PERMAFROST MODEL RUN FULLY COUPLED WITH A CLIMATE MODEL A DISSERTATION
Model for Aggregated Water Heater Load Using Dynamic Bayesian Networks
Vlachopoulou, Maria; Chin, George; Fuller, Jason C.; Lu, Shuai; Kalsi, Karanjit
2012-07-19
The transition to the new generation power grid, or “smart grid”, requires novel ways of using and analyzing data collected from the grid infrastructure. Fundamental functionalities like demand response (DR), that the smart grid needs, rely heavily on the ability of the energy providers and distributors to forecast the load behavior of appliances under different DR strategies. This paper presents a new model of aggregated water heater load, based on dynamic Bayesian networks (DBNs). The model has been validated against simulated data from an open source distribution simulation software (GridLAB-D). The results presented in this paper demonstrate that the DBN model accurately tracks the load profile curves of aggregated water heaters under different testing scenarios.
Dynamic Decision Making for Graphical Models Applied to Oil Exploration
Martinelli, Gabriele; Hauge, Ragnar
2012-01-01
We present a framework for sequential decision making in problems described by graphical models. The setting is given by dependent discrete random variables with associated costs or revenues. In our examples, the dependent variables are the potential outcomes (oil, gas or dry) when drilling a petroleum well. The goal is to develop an optimal selection strategy that incorporates a chosen utility function within an approximated dynamic programming scheme. We propose and compare different approximations, from simple heuristics to more complex iterative schemes, and we discuss their computational properties. We apply our strategies to oil exploration over multiple prospects modeled by a directed acyclic graph, and to a reservoir drilling decision problem modeled by a Markov random field. The results show that the suggested strategies clearly improve the simpler intuitive constructions, and this is useful when selecting exploration policies.
Jeffrey C. JOe; Ronald L. Boring
2014-06-01
Probabilistic Risk Assessment (PRA) and Human Reliability Assessment (HRA) are important technical contributors to the United States (U.S.) Nuclear Regulatory Commission’s (NRC) risk-informed and performance based approach to regulating U.S. commercial nuclear activities. Furthermore, all currently operating commercial NPPs in the U.S. are required by federal regulation to be staffed with crews of operators. Yet, aspects of team performance are underspecified in most HRA methods that are widely used in the nuclear industry. There are a variety of "emergent" team cognition and teamwork errors (e.g., communication errors) that are 1) distinct from individual human errors, and 2) important to understand from a PRA perspective. The lack of robust models or quantification of team performance is an issue that affects the accuracy and validity of HRA methods and models, leading to significant uncertainty in estimating HEPs. This paper describes research that has the objective to model and quantify team dynamics and teamwork within NPP control room crews for risk informed applications, thereby improving the technical basis of HRA, which improves the risk-informed approach the NRC uses to regulate the U.S. commercial nuclear industry.
Assessing the role of static lengthscales behind glassy dynamics in polydisperse hard disks
John Russo; Hajime Tanaka
2015-02-20
The possible role of growing static order in the dynamical slowing down towards the glass transition has recently attracted considerable attention. On the basis of random first-order transition (RFOT) theory, a new method to measure the static correlation length of amorphous order, called "point-to-set (PTS)" length, has been proposed, and used to show that the dynamic length grows much faster than the static length. Here we study the nature of the PTS length, using a polydisperse hard disk system, which is a model that is known to exhibit a growing hexatic order upon densification. We show that the PTS correlation length is decoupled from the steeper increase of the correlation length of hexatic order, while closely mirroring the decay length of two-body density correlations. Our results thus provide a clear example that other forms of order can play an important role in the slowing down of the dynamics, casting a serious doubt on the order agnostic nature of the PTS length and its relevance to slow dynamics, provided that a polydisperse hard disk system is a typical glass former.
Entanglement dynamics in a model tripartite quantum system
Pradip Laha; B. Sudarsan; S. Lakshmibala; V. Balakrishnan
2015-09-23
A system comprising a $\\Lambda$-type or V-type atom interacting with two radiation fields exhibits, during its dynamical evolution, interesting optical phenomena such as electromagnetically-induced transparency (EIT) and a variety of nonclassical effects. Signatures of the latter are seen in the entanglement dynamics of the atomic subsystem and in appropriate field observables. Some of these effects have been experimentally detected, and have even been used to change the nonlinear optical properties of certain atomic media. It is therefore useful to investigate the roles played by specific initial states of the radiation fields, detuning parameters, field nonlinearities and the nature of field-atom couplings on EIT and on the entanglement between subsystems. We investigate these aspects in the framework of a simple model that captures the salient features of such tripartite entangled systems. Entanglement dynamics is shown to be very sensitive to the intensity-dependent atom-field couplings. Unexpected interesting features pertaining to the collapses and revivals of the atomic subsystem von Neumann entropy appear. These features could, in principle, be useful in enabling entanglement.
Dynamic Properties of Molecular Motors in Burnt-Bridge Models
Maxim N. Artyomov; Alexander Yu. Morozov; Ekaterina Pronina; Anatoly B. Kolomeisky
2007-05-04
Dynamic properties of molecular motors that fuel their motion by actively interacting with underlying molecular tracks are studied theoretically via discrete-state stochastic ``burnt-bridge'' models. The transport of the particles is viewed as an effective diffusion along one-dimensional lattices with periodically distributed weak links. When an unbiased random walker passes the weak link it can be destroyed (``burned'') with probability p, providing a bias in the motion of the molecular motor. A new theoretical approach that allows one to calculate exactly all dynamic properties of motor proteins, such as velocity and dispersion, at general conditions is presented. It is found that dispersion is a decreasing function of the concentration of bridges, while the dependence of dispersion on the burning probability is more complex. Our calculations also show a gap in dispersion for very low concentrations of weak links which indicates a dynamic phase transition between unbiased and biased diffusion regimes. Theoretical findings are supported by Monte Carlo computer simulations.
A LUMPED-PARAMETER DYNAMIC MODEL OF A THERMAL REGENERATOR FOR FREE-PISTON STIRLING ENGINES
Barth, Eric J.
A LUMPED-PARAMETER DYNAMIC MODEL OF A THERMAL REGENERATOR FOR FREE-PISTON STIRLING ENGINES Mark the mass flow, piston dynamics, and control volume behavior inside a free-piston Stirling engine. A new model for a Stirling engine thermal regenerator that incorporates a dynamically changing temperature
Polymer dynamics in repton model at large fields Anatoly B. Kolomeisky
Polymer dynamics in repton model at large fields Anatoly B. Kolomeisky Department of Chemistry, Poland Received 22 October 2003; accepted 26 January 2004 Polymer dynamics at large fields in Rubinstein simple exclusion models are used to analyze the reptation dynamics of polymers. It is found
A Dynamic Supply-Demand Model for Electricity Prices Manuela Buzoianu
A Dynamic Supply-Demand Model for Electricity Prices Manuela Buzoianu , Anthony E. Brockwell to as a dynamic supply-demand model, to simultaneously capture electricity price and usage time series. This model, and Duane J. Seppi Abstract We introduce a new model for electricity prices, based on the principle
Designability, thermodynamic stability, and dynamics in protein folding: A lattice model study
Levine, Alex J.
Designability, thermodynamic stability, and dynamics in protein folding: A lattice model study Re October 1998 In the framework of a lattice-model study of protein folding, we investigate the interplay model. Lattice models have been widely used in the study of protein folding dynamics.28 The main
Weeks, Eric R.
this behavior. The mode coupling theory [1] describes many aspects of dynamical behavior at high T is not only relevant in spin models [26], but also in a viscous equilibrium liquid. Finally, we show is still the understanding of the tremen- dous slowing down of molecular dynamics in supercooled liquids
Modeling Temporal Behavior in Large Networks: A Dynamic Mixed-Membership Model
Rossi, R; Gallagher, B; Neville, J; Henderson, K
2011-11-11
Given a large time-evolving network, how can we model and characterize the temporal behaviors of individual nodes (and network states)? How can we model the behavioral transition patterns of nodes? We propose a temporal behavior model that captures the 'roles' of nodes in the graph and how they evolve over time. The proposed dynamic behavioral mixed-membership model (DBMM) is scalable, fully automatic (no user-defined parameters), non-parametric/data-driven (no specific functional form or parameterization), interpretable (identifies explainable patterns), and flexible (applicable to dynamic and streaming networks). Moreover, the interpretable behavioral roles are generalizable, computationally efficient, and natively supports attributes. We applied our model for (a) identifying patterns and trends of nodes and network states based on the temporal behavior, (b) predicting future structural changes, and (c) detecting unusual temporal behavior transitions. We use eight large real-world datasets from different time-evolving settings (dynamic and streaming). In particular, we model the evolving mixed-memberships and the corresponding behavioral transitions of Twitter, Facebook, IP-Traces, Email (University), Internet AS, Enron, Reality, and IMDB. The experiments demonstrate the scalability, flexibility, and effectiveness of our model for identifying interesting patterns, detecting unusual structural transitions, and predicting the future structural changes of the network and individual nodes.
Coles, Garill A.; Brothers, Alan J.; Gastelum, Zoe N.; Olson, Jarrod; Thompson, Sandra E.
2009-10-26
The Utility of Social Modeling for Proliferation Assessment project (PL09-UtilSocial) investigates the use of social and cultural information to improve nuclear proliferation assessments, including nonproliferation assessments, Proliferation Resistance (PR) assessments, safeguards assessments, and other related studies. These assessments often use and create technical information about a host State and its posture towards proliferation, the vulnerability of a nuclear energy system (NES) to an undesired event, and the effectiveness of safeguards. This objective of this project is to find and integrate social and technical information by explicitly considering the role of cultural, social, and behavioral factors relevant to proliferation; and to describe and demonstrate if and how social science modeling has utility in proliferation assessment. This report describes a modeling approach and how it might be used to support a location-specific assessment of the PR assessment of a particular NES. The report demonstrates the use of social modeling to enhance an existing assessment process that relies on primarily technical factors. This effort builds on a literature review and preliminary assessment performed as the first stage of the project and compiled in PNNL-18438. [ T his report describes an effort to answer questions about whether it is possible to incorporate social modeling into a PR assessment in such a way that we can determine the effects of social factors on a primarily technical assessment. This report provides: 1. background information about relevant social factors literature; 2. background information about a particular PR assessment approach relevant to this particular demonstration; 3. a discussion of social modeling undertaken to find and characterize social factors that are relevant to the PR assessment of a nuclear facility in a specific location; 4. description of an enhancement concept that integrates social factors into an existing, technically based nuclear facility assessment; 5. a discussion of a way to engage with the owners of the PR assessment methodology to assess and improve the enhancement concept; 6. a discussion of implementation of the proposed approach, including a discussion of functionality and potential users; and 7. conclusions from the research. This report represents technical deliverables for the NA-22 Simulations, Algorithms, and Modeling program. Specifically this report is the Task 2 and 3 deliverables for project PL09-UtilSocial.
Entanglement dynamics for the double Tavis-Cummings model
Zhong-Xiao Man; Yun-Jie Xia; Nguyen Ba An
2009-02-14
A double Tavis-Cummings model (DTCM) is developed to simulate the entanglement dynamics of realistic quantum information processing where two entangled atom-pairs $AB$ and $CD$ are distributed in such a way that atoms $AC$ are embedded in a cavity $a$ while $BD$ are located in another remote cavity $b$. The evolutions of different types of initially shared entanglement of atoms are studied under various initial states of cavity fields. The results obtained in the DTCM are compared with that obtained in the double Jaynes-Cummings model (DJCM) [J. Phys. B \\textbf{40}, S45 (2007)] and an interaction strength theory is proposed to explain the parameter domain in which the so-called entanglement sudden death occurs for both the DTCM and DJCM.
Reeves, Geoffrey D [Los Alamos National Laboratory; Friedel, Reiner H W [Los Alamos National Laboratory; Chen, Yue [Los Alamos National Laboratory; Koller, Josef [Los Alamos National Laboratory; Henderson, Michael G [Los Alamos National Laboratory
2008-01-01
The Dynamic Radiation Environment Assimilation Model (DREAM) was developed at Los Alamos National Laboratory to assess, quantify, and predict the hazards from the natural space environment and the anthropogenic environment produced by high altitude nuclear explosions (HANE). DREAM was initially developed as a basic research activity to understand and predict the dynamics of the Earth's Van Allen radiation belts. It uses Kalman filter techniques to assimilate data from space environment instruments with a physics-based model of the radiation belts. DREAM can assimilate data from a variety of types of instruments and data with various levels of resolution and fidelity by assigning appropriate uncertainties to the observations. Data from any spacecraft orbit can be assimilated but DREAM was designed to function with as few as two spacecraft inputs: one from geosynchronous orbit and one from GPS orbit. With those inputs, DREAM can be used to predict the environment at any satellite in any orbit whether space environment data are available in those orbits or not. Even with very limited data input and relatively simple physics models, DREAM specifies the space environment in the radiation belts to a high level of accuracy. DREAM has been extensively tested and evaluated as we transition from research to operations. We report here on one set of test results in which we predict the environment in a highly-elliptical polar orbit. We also discuss long-duration reanalysis for spacecraft design, using DREAM for real-time operations, and prospects for 1-week forecasts of the radiation belt environment.
Griffith, Daniel Todd
2005-02-17
The main objective of this work is to demonstrate some new computational methods for estimation, optimization and modeling of dynamical systems that use automatic differentiation. Particular focus will be upon dynamical ...
Hunter, C
2007-12-17
The Savannah River National Laboratory's (SRNL) Atmospheric Technologies Group develops, maintains, and operates computer-based software applications for use in emergency response consequence assessment at DOE's Savannah River Site. These applications range from straightforward, stand-alone Gaussian dispersion models run with simple meteorological input to complex computational software systems with supporting scripts that simulate highly dynamic atmospheric processes. A software quality assurance program has been developed to ensure appropriate lifecycle management of these software applications. This program was designed to meet fully the overall structure and intent of SRNL's institutional software QA programs, yet remain sufficiently practical to achieve the necessary level of control in a cost-effective manner. A general overview of this program is described.
Toward a mechanistic modeling of nitrogen limitation on vegetation dynamics
Xu, Chonggang [Los Alamos National Laboratory (LANL); Fisher, Rosie [National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR); Wullschleger, Stan D [ORNL; Wilson, Cathy [Los Alamos National Laboratory (LANL); Cai, Michael [Los Alamos National Laboratory (LANL); McDowell, Nathan [Los Alamos National Laboratory (LANL)
2012-01-01
Nitrogen is a dominant regulator of vegetation dynamics, net primary production, and terrestrial carbon cycles; however, most ecosystem models use a rather simplistic relationship between leaf nitrogen content and photosynthetic capacity. Such an approach does not consider how patterns of nitrogen allocation may change with differences in light intensity, growing-season temperature and CO{sub 2} concentration. To account for this known variability in nitrogen-photosynthesis relationships, we develop a mechanistic nitrogen allocation model based on a trade-off of nitrogen allocated between growth and storage, and an optimization of nitrogen allocated among light capture, electron transport, carboxylation, and respiration. The developed model is able to predict the acclimation of photosynthetic capacity to changes in CO{sub 2} concentration, temperature, and radiation when evaluated against published data of V{sub c,max} (maximum carboxylation rate) and J{sub max} (maximum electron transport rate). A sensitivity analysis of the model for herbaceous plants, deciduous and evergreen trees implies that elevated CO{sub 2} concentrations lead to lower allocation of nitrogen to carboxylation but higher allocation to storage. Higher growing-season temperatures cause lower allocation of nitrogen to carboxylation, due to higher nitrogen requirements for light capture pigments and for storage. Lower levels of radiation have a much stronger effect on allocation of nitrogen to carboxylation for herbaceous plants than for trees, resulting from higher nitrogen requirements for light capture for herbaceous plants. As far as we know, this is the first model of complete nitrogen allocation that simultaneously considers nitrogen allocation to light capture, electron transport, carboxylation, respiration and storage, and the responses of each to altered environmental conditions. We expect this model could potentially improve our confidence in simulations of carbon-nitrogen interactions and the vegetation feedbacks to climate in Earth system models.
Parameter Estimation of Dynamic Air-conditioning Component Models Using Limited Sensor Data
Hariharan, Natarajkumar
2011-08-08
This thesis presents an approach for identifying critical model parameters in dynamic air-conditioning systems using limited sensor information. The expansion valve model and the compressor model parameters play a crucial ...
DYNAMIC MODELLING OF LIVING ANIONIC SOLUTION POLYMERIZATION OF STYRENE/BUTADIENE/DIVINYLBENZENE
Schittkowski, Klaus
DYNAMIC MODELLING OF LIVING ANIONIC SOLUTION POLYMERIZATION OF STYRENE/BUTADIENE model for the living anionic solution polymerization of styrene/butadiene/divinylbenzene in a continuous kinetic reactor model for the living anionic solution polymerization of styrene/butadiene
Assessment of PWR waterside corrosion models and data. Final report
Cox, B.
1985-10-01
The published data on waterside corrosion of PWR fuel cladding and unfuelled components have been reviewed, and the models used to assess the data have been studied. All corrosion models use too simplified a view of the corrosion process to obtain other than a general trend for the actual oxidation data. The in-reactor post-transition oxidation of the Zircaloys appears to be heavily dependent on water chemistry variations both between reactors, and along the length of an individual fuel rod. Crud deposition may be one primary cause of this, perhaps by allowing the independent development of the water chemistry within the crud layer, as much as by its effect on cladding surface temperatures. However, the effect of the thickening of the oxide film, which permits the development of an independent water chemistry inside the oxide, leading to an accelerating oxidation rate at large oxide thicknesses, seems to be the most important factor. It is concluded that a spectrum of results ranging from essentially no in-reactor enhancement of the oxidation rate to a sizeable enhancement (>10) may be seen depending upon the thickness of the oxide films, the water chemistry of the reactor, and crud deposition. A post-irradiation test that may help to distinguish between the factors involved has been suggested. 105 refs., 38 figs.
An integrated assessment modeling framework for uncertainty studies in global and regional
environmental changes. Being data-driven, the Program uses extensive Earth system and economic data and models System Model (IGSM), an integrated assessment model that couples an Earth system model of intermediate's Integrated Global System Model. Through this integrated model, the Program seeks to: discover new
THE DYNAMICAL STRUCTURE FACTOR AND CRITICAL BEHAVIOR OF A TRAFFIC FLOW MODEL
Lübeck, Sven
261 THE DYNAMICAL STRUCTURE FACTOR AND CRITICAL BEHAVIOR OF A TRAFFIC FLOW MODEL L. ROTERS, S. L. The behavior of the model is determined by three parameters, the maximal velocity v max , the noise parameter P of the dynamical structure factor of the Nagel Schreckenberg traffic flow model based on the local occupation
Modeling and Risk Assessment of CO{sub 2} Sequestration at the Geologic-basin Scale
Juanes, Ruben
2013-08-31
Objectives. The overall objective of this proposal was to develop tools for better understanding, modeling and risk assessment of CO{sub 2} permanence in geologic formations at the geologic basin scale. The main motivation was that carbon capture and storage (CCS) will play an important role as a climate change mitigation technology only if it is deployed at scale of gigatonne per year injections over a period of decades. Continuous injection of this magnitude must be understood at the scale of a geologic basin. Specifically, the technical objectives of this project were: (1) to develop mathematical models of capacity and injectivity at the basin scale; (2) to apply quantitative risk assessment methodologies that will inform on CO{sub 2} permanence; (3) to apply the models to geologic basins across the continental United States. These technical objectives go hand-in-hand with the overarching goals of: (1) advancing the science for deployment of CCS at scale; and (2) contributing to training the next generation of scientists and engineers that will implement and deploy CCS in the United States and elsewhere. Methods. The differentiating factor of this proposal was to perform fundamental research on migration and fate of CO{sub 2} and displaced brine at the geologic basin scale. We developed analytical sharp-interface models of the evolution of CO{sub 2} plumes over the duration of injection (decades) and after injection (centuries). We applied the analytical solutions of CO{sub 2} plume migration and pressure evolution to specific geologic basins, to estimate the maximum footprint of the plume, and the maximum injection rate that can be sustained during a certain injection period without fracturing the caprock. These results have led to more accurate capacity estimates, based on fluid flow dynamics, rather than ad hoc assumptions of an overall “efficiency factor.” We also applied risk assessment methodologies to evaluate the uncertainty in our predictions of storage capacity and leakage rates. This was possible because the analytical mathematical models provide ultrafast forward simulation and they contain few parameters. Impact. The project has been enormously successful both in terms of its scientific output (journal publications) as well as impact in the government and industry. The mathematical models and uncertainty quantification methodologies developed here o?er a physically-based approach for estimating capacity and leakage risk at the basin scale. Our approach may also facilitate deployment of CCS by providing the basis for a simpler and more coherent regulatory structure than an “individual-point-of-injection” permitting approach. It may also lead to better science-based policy for post-closure design and transfer of responsibility to the State.
Comparing the escape dynamics in tidally limited star cluster models
Euaggelos E. Zotos
2015-08-21
The aim of this work is to compare the orbital dynamics in three different models describing the properties of a star cluster rotating around its parent galaxy in a circular orbit. In particular, we use the isochrone and the Hernquist potentials to model the spherically symmetric star cluster and we compare our results with the corresponding ones of a previous work in which the Plummer model was applied for the same purpose. Our analysis takes place both in the configuration $(x,y)$ and in the phase $(x,\\dot{x})$ space in order to elucidate the escape process as well as the overall orbital properties of the tidally limited star cluster. We restrict our investigation into two dimensions and we conduct a thorough numerical analysis distinguishing between ordered and chaotic orbits as well as between trapped and escaping orbits, considering only unbounded motion for several energy levels above the critical escape energy. It is of particular interest to determine the escape basins towards the two exit channels (near the Lagrangian points $L_1$ and $L_2$) and relate them with the corresponding escape times of the orbits.
Comparing the escape dynamics in tidally limited star cluster models
Zotos, Euaggelos E
2015-01-01
The aim of this work is to compare the orbital dynamics in three different models describing the properties of a star cluster rotating around its parent galaxy in a circular orbit. In particular, we use the isochrone and the Hernquist potentials to model the spherically symmetric star cluster and we compare our results with the corresponding ones of a previous work in which the Plummer model was applied for the same purpose. Our analysis takes place both in the configuration $(x,y)$ and in the phase $(x,\\dot{x})$ space in order to elucidate the escape process as well as the overall orbital properties of the tidally limited star cluster. We restrict our investigation into two dimensions and we conduct a thorough numerical analysis distinguishing between ordered and chaotic orbits as well as between trapped and escaping orbits, considering only unbounded motion for several energy levels above the critical escape energy. It is of particular interest to determine the escape basins towards the two exit channels (n...
Description of waste pretreatment and interfacing systems dynamic simulation model
Garbrick, D.J.; Zimmerman, B.D.
1995-05-01
The Waste Pretreatment and Interfacing Systems Dynamic Simulation Model was created to investigate the required pretreatment facility processing rates for both high level and low level waste so that the vitrification of tank waste can be completed according to the milestones defined in the Tri-Party Agreement (TPA). In order to achieve this objective, the processes upstream and downstream of the pretreatment facilities must also be included. The simulation model starts with retrieval of tank waste and ends with vitrification for both low level and high level wastes. This report describes the results of three simulation cases: one based on suggested average facility processing rates, one with facility rates determined so that approximately 6 new DSTs are required, and one with facility rates determined so that approximately no new DSTs are required. It appears, based on the simulation results, that reasonable facility processing rates can be selected so that no new DSTs are required by the TWRS program. However, this conclusion must be viewed with respect to the modeling assumptions, described in detail in the report. Also included in the report, in an appendix, are results of two sensitivity cases: one with glass plant water recycle steams recycled versus not recycled, and one employing the TPA SST retrieval schedule versus a more uniform SST retrieval schedule. Both recycling and retrieval schedule appear to have a significant impact on overall tank usage.
Temperature dependent transport coefficients in a dynamical holographic QCD model
Danning Li; Song He; Mei Huang
2014-11-19
We investigate temperature dependent behavior of various transport coefficients in a dynamical holographical QCD model. We show the nontrivial temperature dependent behavior of the transport coefficients, like bulk viscosity, electric conductivity as well as jet quenching parameter, and it is found that all these quantities reveal information of the phase transition. Furthermore, with introducing higher derivative corrections in 5D gravity, the shear viscosity over entropy density ratio also shows a valley around phase transition, and it is found that the shear viscosity over entropy density ratio times the jet quenching over temperature cubic ratio almost remains as a constant above phase transition, and the value is two times larger than the perturbative result in Phys.Rev.Lett.99.192301(2007).
Hydro-dynamical models for the chaotic dripping faucet
P. Coullet; L. Mahadevan; C. S. Riera
2004-08-20
We give a hydrodynamical explanation for the chaotic behaviour of a dripping faucet using the results of the stability analysis of a static pendant drop and a proper orthogonal decomposition (POD) of the complete dynamics. We find that the only relevant modes are the two classical normal forms associated with a Saddle-Node-Andronov bifurcation and a Shilnikov homoclinic bifurcation. This allows us to construct a hierarchy of reduced order models including maps and ordinary differential equations which are able to qualitatively explain prior experiments and numerical simulations of the governing partial differential equations and provide an explanation for the complexity in dripping. We also provide a new mechanical analogue for the dripping faucet and a simple rationale for the transition from dripping to jetting modes in the flow from a faucet.
Hydro-dynamical models for the chaotic dripping faucet
Coullet, P; Riera, C S
2004-01-01
We give a hydrodynamical explanation for the chaotic behaviour of a dripping faucet using the results of the stability analysis of a static pendant drop and a proper orthogonal decomposition (POD) of the complete dynamics. We find that the only relevant modes are the two classical normal forms associated with a Saddle-Node-Andronov bifurcation and a Shilnikov homoclinic bifurcation. This allows us to construct a hierarchy of reduced order models including maps and ordinary differential equations which are able to qualitatively explain prior experiments and numerical simulations of the governing partial differential equations and provide an explanation for the complexity in dripping. We also provide a new mechanical analogue for the dripping faucet and a simple rationale for the transition from dripping to jetting modes in the flow from a faucet.
Emerging disease dynamics in a model coupling within-host and ...
Xiuli Cen
2014-08-27
Aug 2, 2014 ... Immunological models consider the within-host dynamics independent of the interactions between hosts (e.g., De Leenheer and Smith, 2003;.
Microscale and mesoscale discrete models for dynamic fracture of structures built of brittle are derived either at microscale with random distribution of material properties or at a mesoscale
Creating dynamic equivalent PV circuit models with impedance spectroscopy for arc-fault modeling.
Johnson, Jay Dean; Kuszmaul, Scott S.; Strauch, Jason E.; Schoenwald, David Alan
2011-06-01
Article 690.11 in the 2011 National Electrical Code{reg_sign} (NEC{reg_sign}) requires new photovoltaic (PV) systems on or penetrating a building to include a listed arc fault protection device. Currently there is little experimental or empirical research into the behavior of the arcing frequencies through PV components despite the potential for modules and other PV components to filter or attenuate arcing signatures that could render the arc detector ineffective. To model AC arcing signal propagation along PV strings, the well-studied DC diode models were found to inadequately capture the behavior of high frequency arcing signals. Instead dynamic equivalent circuit models of PV modules were required to describe the impedance for alternating currents in modules. The nonlinearities present in PV cells resulting from irradiance, temperature, frequency, and bias voltage variations make modeling these systems challenging. Linearized dynamic equivalent circuits were created for multiple PV module manufacturers and module technologies. The equivalent resistances and capacitances for the modules were determined using impedance spectroscopy with no bias voltage and no irradiance. The equivalent circuit model was employed to evaluate modules having irradiance conditions that could not be measured directly with the instrumentation. Although there was a wide range of circuit component values, the complex impedance model does not predict filtering of arc fault frequencies in PV strings for any irradiance level. Experimental results with no irradiance agree with the model and show nearly no attenuation for 1 Hz to 100 kHz input frequencies.
Zhang, Xuesong; Izaurralde, Roberto C.; Arnold, Jeffrey; Williams, Jimmy R.; Srinivasan, Raghavan
2013-10-01
Climate change is one of the most compelling modern issues and has important implications for almost every aspect of natural and human systems. The Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) model has been applied worldwide to support sustainable land and water management in a changing climate. However, the inadequacies of the existing carbon algorithm in SWAT limit its application in assessing impacts of human activities on CO2 emission, one important source of greenhouse gases (GHGs) that traps heat in the earth system and results in global warming. In this research, we incorporate a revised version of the CENTURY carbon model into SWAT to describe dynamics of soil organic matter (SOM)- residue and simulate land-atmosphere carbon exchange.
Lin, Wen-Sheng [Hydrotech Research Institute, National Taiwan University, Taiwan (China)] [Hydrotech Research Institute, National Taiwan University, Taiwan (China); Yu, Charley; Cheng, Jing-Jy; Kamboj, Sunita; Gnanapragasam, Emmanuel [Argonne National Laboratory, Argonne, IL 60439 (United States)] [Argonne National Laboratory, Argonne, IL 60439 (United States); Liu, Chen-Wuing [Department of Bioenvironmental Systems Engineering, National Taiwan University, Taiwan (China)] [Department of Bioenvironmental Systems Engineering, National Taiwan University, Taiwan (China); Li, Ming-Hsu [Institute of Hydrological and Oceanic Sciences, National Central University, Taiwan (China)] [Institute of Hydrological and Oceanic Sciences, National Central University, Taiwan (China)
2013-07-01
Performance assessments are crucial steps for the long-term radiological safety requirements of low-level waste (LLW) disposal facility. How much concentration of radionuclides released from the near-field to biosphere and what radiation exposure levels of an individual can influence on the satisfactory performance of the LLW disposal facility and safety disposal environment. Performance assessment methodology for the radioactive waste disposal consists of the reactive transport modeling of safety-concerned radionuclides released from the near-field to the far-field, and the potential exposure pathways and the movements of radionuclides through the geosphere, biosphere and man of which the accompanying dose. Therefore, the integration of hydrogeochemical transport model and dose assessment code, HYDROGEOCHEM code and RESRAD family of codes is imperative. The RESRAD family of codes such as RESRAD-OFFSITE computer code can evaluate the radiological dose and excess cancer risk to an individual who is exposed while located within or outside the area of initial (primary) contamination. The HYDROGEOCHEM is a 3-D numerical model of fluid flow, thermal, hydrologic transport, and biogeochemical kinetic and equilibrium reactions in saturated and unsaturated media. The HYDROGEOCHEM model can also simulate the crucial geochemical mechanism, such as the effect of redox processes on the adsorption/desorption, hydrogeochemical influences on concrete degradation, adsorption/desorption of radionuclides (i.e., surface complexation model) between solid and liquid phase in geochemically dynamic environments. To investigate the safety assessment of LLW disposal facility, linking RESRAD-OFFSITE and HYDROGEOCHEM model can provide detailed tools of confidence in the protectiveness of the human health and environmental impact for safety assessment of LLW disposal facility. (authors)
Boyer, Edmond
, and simple models are usually considered in the analysis. This is an important constraint when uncertaintiesProbabilistic model identification of the bit-rock-interaction-model uncertainties in nonlinear model of uncertainties in a bit-rock interaction model for the nonlinear dynamics of a drill
Mixtures of Predictive Linear Gaussian Models for Nonlinear Stochastic Dynamical Systems
Baveja, Satinder Singh
Mixtures of Predictive Linear Gaussian Models for Nonlinear Stochastic Dynamical Systems David dynamical systems. The primary contribution of this work is to extend the PLG to nonlinear, stochastic- proves upon traditional linear dynamical system mod- els by using a predictive representation of state
Kunsman, David Marvin; Aldemir, Tunc (Ohio State University); Rutt, Benjamin (Ohio State University); Metzroth, Kyle (Ohio State University); Catalyurek, Umit (Ohio State University); Denning, Richard (Ohio State University); Hakobyan, Aram (Ohio State University); Dunagan, Sean C.
2008-05-01
This LDRD project has produced a tool that makes probabilistic risk assessments (PRAs) of nuclear reactors - analyses which are very resource intensive - more efficient. PRAs of nuclear reactors are being increasingly relied on by the United States Nuclear Regulatory Commission (U.S.N.R.C.) for licensing decisions for current and advanced reactors. Yet, PRAs are produced much as they were 20 years ago. The work here applied a modern systems analysis technique to the accident progression analysis portion of the PRA; the technique was a system-independent multi-task computer driver routine. Initially, the objective of the work was to fuse the accident progression event tree (APET) portion of a PRA to the dynamic system doctor (DSD) created by Ohio State University. Instead, during the initial efforts, it was found that the DSD could be linked directly to a detailed accident progression phenomenological simulation code - the type on which APET construction and analysis relies, albeit indirectly - and thereby directly create and analyze the APET. The expanded DSD computational architecture and infrastructure that was created during this effort is called ADAPT (Analysis of Dynamic Accident Progression Trees). ADAPT is a system software infrastructure that supports execution and analysis of multiple dynamic event-tree simulations on distributed environments. A simulator abstraction layer was developed, and a generic driver was implemented for executing simulators on a distributed environment. As a demonstration of the use of the methodological tool, ADAPT was applied to quantify the likelihood of competing accident progression pathways occurring for a particular accident scenario in a particular reactor type using MELCOR, an integrated severe accident analysis code developed at Sandia. (ADAPT was intentionally created with flexibility, however, and is not limited to interacting with only one code. With minor coding changes to input files, ADAPT can be linked to other such codes.) The results of this demonstration indicate that the approach can significantly reduce the resources required for Level 2 PRAs. From the phenomenological viewpoint, ADAPT can also treat the associated epistemic and aleatory uncertainties. This methodology can also be used for analyses of other complex systems. Any complex system can be analyzed using ADAPT if the workings of that system can be displayed as an event tree, there is a computer code that simulates how those events could progress, and that simulator code has switches to turn on and off system events, phenomena, etc. Using and applying ADAPT to particular problems is not human independent. While the human resources for the creation and analysis of the accident progression are significantly decreased, knowledgeable analysts are still necessary for a given project to apply ADAPT successfully. This research and development effort has met its original goals and then exceeded them.
A Dynamic Solar Core model: the SSM-like solution
Attila Grandpierre
1998-08-31
I point out that the all the arguments against an astrophysical solution do not exclude a yet not recognised class of solar models, in which an explosive energy source is present in the solar core besides the standard pp and CNO cycle. It is shown from first principle physics that stars have a non-pp,CNO source: local thermonuclear runaways. I derive a model independent inequality, which shows that the problem of the missing beryllium neutrinos lies in that the SuperKamiokande contains a term arising from neutrinos from a runaway source which can produce high-energy electrons and high-energy axions, and muon and tau neutrinos. I point out, that the temperature dependence of the individual neutrino fluxes is related to pure nuclear physics but the usual luminosity constraint is model dependent and actually is a questionable assumption. Allowing non-pp,CNO reaction chains a new approach arises to interpret the neutrino detector data. The explicit temperature dependence leads to $\\Phi_{pp} \\propto T^4$ instead of the usual $\\Phi_{pp} \\propto T^{-1/2}$ for the SSM luminosity constraint. I assume a Sun analogue to the SSM with a different $T_c$. The separate neutrino detector equations lead to separate detector-related temperatures with the neutrino detector data. The results show a slightly lower than standard central temperature. I attempt to show that helioseismology is not in a necessary conflict with the dynamic solar model presented here. The results of the calculations may propose solutions to the problems of solar and atmospheric neutrino oscillations without an ad hoc introduction of sterile neutrinos and present predictions to Borexino and SNO measurements. {\\it PACS numbers}: 26.65+t, 26.30.+k, 96.60Jw, 95.30.Cq
Föllmer, Hans
Risk assessment for uncertain cash flows: Model ambiguity, discounting ambiguity, and the role of bubbles Beatrice Acciaio Hans F¨ollmer Irina Penner August 26, 2010 Abstract We study the risk assessment penalization, and how they cause a breakdown of asymptotic safety of the risk assessment procedure. Mathematics
Modelling of Stochastic Hybrid Systems with Applications to Accident Risk Assessment
Del Moral , Pierre
Modelling of Stochastic Hybrid Systems with Applications to Accident Risk Assessment #12;The SYSTEMS WITH APPLICATIONS TO ACCIDENT RISK ASSESSMENT DISSERTATION to obtain the doctor's degree promotor Prof. dr. A. Bagchi #12;Contents 1 Introduction 3 1.1 Accident risk assessment
Assessing Uncertainty in Spatial Exposure Models for Air Pollution Health Effects Assessment
2007-01-01
assessing air pollution exposure within cities as a priorityof air pollution exposure within cities or the associ- atedpollution levels are spatially autocorrelated within cities, and
A Dynamic Solar Core Model: the Deviant Temperatures Approach
Attila Grandpierre
1998-08-31
I derive here a model independent inequality which shows that the problem of the missing beryllium neutrinos of the Sun roots in the fact that the SuperKamiokande contains a term arising from a non-pp,CNO source. First principle physics shows that the non-pp,CNO source is of thermonuclear runaway origin. Several indications suggest that the non-pp,CNO term plays a more significant role in the solar neutrino problems than neutrino oscillations. When removing the over-restricted SSM luminosity constraint, the temperature dependence of the neutrino fluxes is related to pure nuclear physics and follows $\\Phi_{pp} \\propto T^4$ instead of $\\Phi_{pp} \\propto T^{-1/2}$. The results of the calculations offer solutions to the solar neutrino problems and problems of neutrino oscillations. The dynamic solar model presents predictions to Borexino and SNO measurements. These predictions can serve to distinguish between the MSW and the non-pp,CNO effect. {\\it PACS numbers|: 26.65.+t, 26.30.+k, 96.60.JW, 95.30.Cq
The challenges of modelling antibody repertoire dynamics in HIV infection
DOE Public Access Gateway for Energy & Science Beta (PAGES Beta)
Luo, Shishi; Perelson, Alan S.
2015-07-20
Antibody affinity maturation by somatic hypermutation of B-cell immunoglobulin variable region genes has been studied for decades in various model systems using well-defined antigens. While much is known about the molecular details of the process, our understanding of the selective forces that generate affinity maturation are less well developed, particularly in the case of a co-evolving pathogen such as HIV. Despite this gap in understanding, high-throughput antibody sequence data are increasingly being collected to investigate the evolutionary trajectories of antibody lineages in HIV-infected individuals. Here, we review what is known in controlled experimental systems about the mechanisms underlying antibody selectionmore »and compare this to the observed temporal patterns of antibody evolution in HIV infection. In addition, we describe how our current understanding of antibody selection mechanisms leaves questions about antibody dynamics in HIV infection unanswered. Without a mechanistic understanding of antibody selection in the context of a co-evolving viral population, modelling and analysis of antibody sequences in HIV-infected individuals will be limited in their interpretation and predictive ability.« less
Ultrafast Structural Dynamics in Combustion Relevant Model Systems
Weber, Peter M.
2014-03-31
The research project explored the time resolved structural dynamics of important model reaction system using an array of novel methods that were developed specifically for this purpose. They include time resolved electron diffraction, time resolved relativistic electron diffraction, and time resolved Rydberg fingerprint spectroscopy. Toward the end of the funding period, we also developed time-resolved x-ray diffraction, which uses ultrafast x-ray pulses at LCLS. Those experiments are just now blossoming, as the funding period expired. In the following, the time resolved Rydberg Fingerprint Spectroscopy is discussed in some detail, as it has been a very productive method. The binding energy of an electron in a Rydberg state, that is, the energy difference between the Rydberg level and the ground state of the molecular ion, has been found to be a uniquely powerful tool to characterize the molecular structure. To rationalize the structure sensitivity we invoke a picture from electron diffraction: when it passes the molecular ion core, the Rydberg electron experiences a phase shift compared to an electron in a hydrogen atom. This phase shift requires an adjustment of the binding energy of the electron, which is measurable. As in electron diffraction, the phase shift depends on the molecular, geometrical structure, so that a measurement of the electron binding energy can be interpreted as a measurement of the molecule’s structure. Building on this insight, we have developed a structurally sensitive spectroscopy: the molecule is first elevated to the Rydberg state, and the binding energy is then measured using photoelectron spectroscopy. The molecule’s structure is read out as the binding energy spectrum. Since the photoionization can be done with ultrafast laser pulses, the technique is inherently capable of a time resolution in the femtosecond regime. For the purpose of identifying the structures of molecules during chemical reactions, and for the analysis of molecular species in the hot environments of combustion processes, there are several features that make the Rydberg ionization spectroscopy uniquely useful. First, the Rydberg electron’s orbit is quite large and covers the entire molecule for most molecular structures of combustion interest. Secondly, the ionization does not change vibrational quantum numbers, so that even complicated and large molecules can be observed with fairly well resolved spectra. In fact, the spectroscopy is blind to vibrational excitation of the molecule. This has the interesting consequence for the study of chemical dynamics, where the molecules are invariably very energetic, that the molecular structures are observed unobstructed by the vibrational congestion that dominates other spectroscopies. This implies also that, as a tool to probe the time-dependent structural dynamics of chemically interesting molecules, Rydberg spectroscopy may well be better suited than electron or x-ray diffraction. With recent progress in calculating Rydberg binding energy spectra, we are approaching the point where the method can be evolved into a structure determination method. To implement the Rydberg ionization spectroscopy we use a molecular beam based, time-resolved pump-probe multi-photon ionization/photoelectron scheme in which a first laser pulse excites the molecule to a Rydberg state, and a probe pulse ionizes the molecule. A time-of-flight detector measures the kinetic energy spectrum of the photoelectrons. The photoelectron spectrum directly provides the binding energy of the electron, and thereby reveals the molecule’s time-dependent structural fingerprint. Only the duration of the laser pulses limits the time resolution. With a new laser system, we have now reached time resolutions better than 100 fs, although very deep UV wavelengths (down to 190 nm) have slightly longer instrument functions. The structural dynamics of molecules in Rydberg-excited states is obtained by delaying the probe ionization photon from the pump photon; the structural dynamics of molecules in their ground state or e
Stochastic model for aerodynamic force dynamics on wind turbine blades in unsteady wind inflow
Luhur, Muhammad Ramzan; Kühn, Martin; Wächter, Matthias
2015-01-01
The paper presents a stochastic approach to estimate the aerodynamic forces with local dynamics on wind turbine blades in unsteady wind inflow. This is done by integrating a stochastic model of lift and drag dynamics for an airfoil into the aerodynamic simulation software AeroDyn. The model is added as an alternative to the static table lookup approach in blade element momentum (BEM) wake model used by AeroDyn. The stochastic forces are obtained for a rotor blade element using full field turbulence simulated wind data input and compared with the classical BEM and dynamic stall models for identical conditions. The comparison shows that the stochastic model generates additional extended dynamic response in terms of local force fluctuations. Further, the comparison of statistics between the classical BEM, dynamic stall and stochastic models' results in terms of their increment probability density functions gives consistent results.
DYNAMIC MODELING AND CONTROL OF REACTIVE DISTILLATION FOR HYDROGENATION OF BENZENE
Aluko, Obanifemi
2010-01-16
This work presents a modeling and control study of a reactive distillation column used for hydrogenation of benzene. A steady state and a dynamic model have been developed to investigate control structures for the column. ...
Modelling of power plant dynamics and uncertainties for robust control synthesis *
Ray, Asok
, TRAC type models3 have been applied to perform safety analysis of nuclear power plants. However, complex dynamic processes such as fossil and nuclear power plants can be modelled and simulated
Networking technology adoption : system dynamics modeling of fiber-to-the-home
Kelic, Andjelka, 1972-
2005-01-01
A system dynamics model is developed and run to study the adoption of fiber-to-the-home as a residential broadband technology. Communities that currently do not have broadband in the United States are modeled. This case ...
Data-based Subsystem Identification for Dynamic Model Updating Steven Gillijns and Bart De Moor
Data-based Subsystem Identification for Dynamic Model Updating Steven Gillijns and Bart De Moor-pump example. I. INTRODUCTION Models induced from physical laws and models identified from data are both values. In empirical models, inaccuracies can be due to an inappropriate model class or to bad data
Aalborg Universitet An assessment of converter modelling needs for offshore wind power plants
Bak, Claus Leth
Aalborg Universitet An assessment of converter modelling needs for offshore wind power plants). An assessment of converter modelling needs for offshore wind power plants connected via VSC-HVDC networks Power into Power Systems as well as on Transmission Networks for Offshore Wind Plants. Energynautics
Modeling dynamic crack propagation in fiber reinforced composites including frictional effects q
Espinosa, Horacio D.
Modeling dynamic crack propagation in fiber reinforced composites including frictional effects q S Abstract Dynamic crack propagation in a unidirectional carbon/epoxy composite is studied through finite deformation anisotropic visco-plastic model is used to describe the constitutive response of the composite
DATA COLLECTION FOR DEVELOPING A DYNAMIC MODEL OF A LIGHT HELICOPTER
DATA COLLECTION FOR DEVELOPING A DYNAMIC MODEL OF A LIGHT HELICOPTER Stefano Geluardi 1,2 , Frank for Biological Cybernetics the influence of an augmented system on helicopter pilots with limited flight skills are necessary to identify the helicopter dynamic model. The mathematical and technical tools used to reach
Modelling Desert Dune Fields Based on Discrete Dynamics STEVEN R. BISHOPa,
Carretero, Ricardo
Modelling Desert Dune Fields Based on Discrete Dynamics STEVEN R. BISHOPa, *, HIROSHI MOMIJIb is developed to model the dynamics of sand dunes. The physical processes display strong non-linearity that has features we monitor morphology, dune growth, dune migration and spatial patterns within a dune field
Dang, Zhe
Bond Computing Systems: a Biologically Inspired and High-level Dynamics Model for Pervasive. Targeting at modeling the high-level dynamics of pervasive comput- ing systems, we introduce Bond Computing are regular, and study their computation power and verification problems. Among other results, we show
Xu, Haiping
that DRBD provides a powerful tool for system reliability modeling, and our proposed verification approachFORMAL SEMANTICS AND VERIFICATION OF DYNAMIC RELIABILITY BLOCK DIAGRAMS FOR SYSTEM RELIABILITY-scale computer-based systems. KEY WORDS Reliability modeling, dynamic reliability block diagrams (DRBD), Object
Berning, Torsten
Aalborg Universitet Dynamic Modeling of a Reformed Methanol Fuel Cell System using Empirical Data Reza Published in: Journal of Fuel Cell Science and Technology DOI (link to publication from Publisher. K., Andreasen, S. J., & Shaker, H. R. (2014). Dynamic Modeling of a Reformed Methanol Fuel Cell
GLOBAL STABILITY FOR A VIRUS DYNAMICS MODEL WITH NONLINEAR INCIDENCE OF INFECTION AND REMOVAL
GLOBAL STABILITY FOR A VIRUS DYNAMICS MODEL WITH NONLINEAR INCIDENCE OF INFECTION AND REMOVAL PAUL GEORGESCU AND YING-HEN HSIEH Abstract. Global dynamics of a compartmental model which describes virus and the removal rate of the virus are assumed to be nonlinear. In the case where the functional quotient between
Nagurney, Anna
An Efficiency Measure for Dynamic Networks Modeled as Evolutionary Variational Inequalities propose an efficiency/performance measure for dynamic net- works, which have been modeled as evolutionary and their rankings. We provide both continuous time and discrete time versions of the efficiency measure. We
Multi-Point Contact Models for Dynamic Self-Righting of a Hexapod
Multi-Point Contact Models for Dynamic Self-Righting of a Hexapod Uluc. Saranli1 , Alfred A. Rizzi1 on the design of a model-based controller that can achieve dynamical self-righting of a hexapod robot. Extending hexapod robot that negotiates badly irregular terrain at speeds better than one body length per second [12
Understanding Collective Crowd Behaviors: Learning a Mixture Model of Dynamic Pedestrian-Agents
Wang, Xiaogang
Understanding Collective Crowd Behaviors: Learning a Mixture Model of Dynamic Pedestrian@ee.cuhk.edu.hk, xtang@ie.cuhk.edu.hk Abstract In this paper, a new Mixture model of Dynamic pedestrian-Agents (MDA) is proposed to learn the collective behavior patterns of pedestrians in crowded scenes. Col- lective behaviors
Computation Modeling and Assessment of Nanocoatings for Ultra Supercritical Boilers
J. Shingledecker; D. Gandy; N. Cheruvu; R. Wei; K. Chan
2011-06-21
Forced outages and boiler unavailability of coal-fired fossil plants is most often caused by fire-side corrosion of boiler waterwalls and tubing. Reliable coatings are required for Ultrasupercritical (USC) application to mitigate corrosion since these boilers will operate at a much higher temperatures and pressures than in supercritical (565 C {at} 24 MPa) boilers. Computational modeling efforts have been undertaken to design and assess potential Fe-Cr-Ni-Al systems to produce stable nanocrystalline coatings that form a protective, continuous scale of either Al{sub 2}O{sub 3} or Cr{sub 2}O{sub 3}. The computational modeling results identified a new series of Fe-25Cr-40Ni with or without 10 wt.% Al nanocrystalline coatings that maintain long-term stability by forming a diffusion barrier layer at the coating/substrate interface. The computational modeling predictions of microstructure, formation of continuous Al{sub 2}O{sub 3} scale, inward Al diffusion, grain growth, and sintering behavior were validated with experimental results. Advanced coatings, such as MCrAl (where M is Fe, Ni, or Co) nanocrystalline coatings, have been processed using different magnetron sputtering deposition techniques. Several coating trials were performed and among the processing methods evaluated, the DC pulsed magnetron sputtering technique produced the best quality coating with a minimum number of shallow defects and the results of multiple deposition trials showed that the process is repeatable. scale, inward Al diffusion, grain growth, and sintering behavior were validated with experimental results. The cyclic oxidation test results revealed that the nanocrystalline coatings offer better oxidation resistance, in terms of weight loss, localized oxidation, and formation of mixed oxides in the Al{sub 2}O{sub 3} scale, than widely used MCrAlY coatings. However, the ultra-fine grain structure in these coatings, consistent with the computational model predictions, resulted in accelerated Al diffusion from the coating into the substrate. An effective diffusion barrier interlayer coating was developed to prevent inward Al diffusion. The fire-side corrosion test results showed that the nanocrystalline coatings with a minimum number of defects have a great potential in providing corrosion protection. The coating tested in the most aggressive environment showed no evidence of coating spallation and/or corrosion attack after 1050 hours exposure. In contrast, evidence of coating spallation in isolated areas and corrosion attack of the base metal in the spalled areas were observed after 500 hours. These contrasting results after 500 and 1050 hours exposure suggest that the premature coating spallation in isolated areas may be related to the variation of defects in the coating between the samples. It is suspected that the cauliflower-type defects in the coating were presumably responsible for coating spallation in isolated areas. Thus, a defect free good quality coating is the key for the long-term durability of nanocrystalline coatings in corrosive environments. Thus, additional process optimization work is required to produce defect-free coatings prior to development of a coating application method for production parts.
Coupled thermodynamic-dynamic semi-analytical model of Free Piston Stirling engines
Formosa, Fabien
2013-01-01
The study of free piston Stirling engine (FPSE) requires both accurate thermodynamic and dynamic modelling to predict its performances. The steady state behaviour of the engine partly relies on non linear dissipative phenomena such as pressure drop loss within heat exchangers which is dependant on the temperature within the associated components. An analytical thermodynamic model which encompasses the effectiveness and the flaws of the heat exchangers and the regenerator has been previously developed and validated. A semi-analytical dynamic model of FPSE is developed and presented in this paper. The thermodynamic model is used to define the thermal variables that are used in the dynamic model which evaluates the kinematic results. Thus, a coupled iterative strategy has been used to perform a global simulation. The global modelling approach has been validated using the experimental data available from the NASA RE-1000 Stirling engine prototype. The resulting coupled thermodynamic-dynamic model using a standard...
[10-386] Assessing and Improving the Scale Dependence of Ecosystem Processes in Earth System Models
. Goodale Cornell U. *Overall Project Lead *Lead Institution Intellectual Merit: Earth system models include policies. Our research assesses and improves Earth system model simulations of the carbon cycle, ecosystem of the Community Climate System Model/Community Earth System Model, which includes statistical meteorological
Assessing Models of Public Understanding In ELSI Outreach Materials
Bruce V. Lewenstein, Ph.D.; Dominique Brossard, Ph.D.
2006-03-01
Advances in the science of genetics have implications for individuals and society, and have to be taken into account at the policy level. Studies of ethical, legal and social issues related to genomic research have therefore been integrated in the Human Genome Project (HGP) since the earliest days of the project. Since 1990, three to five percent of the HGP annual budget has been devoted to such studies, under the umbrella of the Ethical, Legal, and Social Implications (ELSI) Programs of the National Human Genome Research Institute of the National Institute of Health, and of the Office of Biological and Environmental Research of the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE). The DOE-ELSI budget has been used to fund a variety of projects that have aimed at ?promoting education and help guide the conduct of genetic research and the development of related medical and public policies? (HGP, 2003). As part of the educational component, a significant portion of DOE-ELSI funds have been dedicated to public outreach projects, with the underlying goal of promoting public awareness and ultimately public discussion of ethical, legal, and social issues surrounding availability of genetic information (Drell, 2002). The essential assumption behind these projects is that greater access to information will lead to more knowledge about ethical, legal and social issues, which in turn will lead to enhanced ability on the part of individuals and communities to deal with these issues when they encounter them. Over the same period of time, new concepts of ?public understanding of science? have emerged in the theoretical realm, moving from a ?deficit? or linear dissemination of popularization, to models stressing lay-knowledge, public engagement and public participation in science policy-making (Lewenstein, 2003). The present project uses the base of DOE-funded ELSI educational project to explore the ways that information about a new and emerging area of science that is intertwined with public issues has been used in educational public settings to affect public understanding of science. After a theoretical background discussion, our approach is three-fold. First, we will provide an overview, a ?map? of DOE-funded of outreach programs within the overall ELSI context to identify the importance of the educational component, and to present the criteria we used to select relevant and representative case studies. Second, we will document the history of the case studies. Finally, we will explore an intertwined set of research questions: (1) To identify what we can expect such projects to accomplish -in other words to determine the goals that can reasonably be achieved by different types of outreach, (2) To point out how the case study approach could be useful for DOE-ELSI outreach as a whole, and (3) To use the case study approach as a basis to test theoretical models of science outreach in order to assess to what extent those models accord with real world outreach activities. For this last goal, we aim at identifying what practices among ELSI outreach activities contribute most to dissemination, or to participation, in other words in which cases outreach materials spark action in terms of public participation in decisions about scientific issues.
Ren, Kui
On the modeling and simulation of reaction-transfer dynamics in semiconductor-electrolyte solar-performance semiconductor-liquid junction solar cells. We propose in this work a macroscopic mathematical model, a sys- tem-liquid junction, solar cell simulation, naso-scale device modeling. 1 Introduction The mathematical modeling
1 Abstract--Eventually, prediction of transformer thermal performance for dynamic loading will be made using models distilled from measure data, rather than models derived from transformer heat for measuring the acceptability of transformer thermal models. For a model to be acceptable, it must have
JACKSON VL
2011-08-31
The primary purpose of the tank mixing and sampling demonstration program is to mitigate the technical risks associated with the ability of the Hanford tank farm delivery and celtification systems to measure and deliver a uniformly mixed high-level waste (HLW) feed to the Waste Treatment and Immobilization Plant (WTP) Uniform feed to the WTP is a requirement of 24590-WTP-ICD-MG-01-019, ICD-19 - Interface Control Document for Waste Feed, although the exact definition of uniform is evolving in this context. Computational Fluid Dynamics (CFD) modeling has been used to assist in evaluating scaleup issues, study operational parameters, and predict mixing performance at full-scale.
Markakis, Michail
This paper presents the results of a computational study that compares simulated compartmental (differential equation) and Volterra models of the dynamic effects of insulin on blood glucose concentration in humans. In the ...
Be Migration Studies at JET and their Interpretation by an Integrated Model for Plasma Impurity Transport and Wall Composition Dynamics
Algorithms for passive dynamical modeling and passive circuit realizations
Mahmood, Zohaib
2015-01-01
The design of modern electronic systems is based on extensive numerical simulations, aimed at predicting the overall system performance and compliance since early design stages. Such simulations rely on accurate dynamical ...
Modeling the dynamics and depositional patterns of sandy rivers
Jerolmack, Douglas J
2006-01-01
This thesis seeks to advance our understanding of the dynamic nature, spatial organization and depositional record of topography in sand-bedded rivers. I examine patterns and processes over a wide range of scales, on Earth ...
Dynamic reduced order modeling of entrained flow gasifiers
Monaghan, Rory F. D. (Rory Francis Desmond)
2010-01-01
Gasification-based energy systems coupled with carbon dioxide capture and storage technologies have the potential to reduce greenhouse gas emissions from continued use of abundant and secure fossil fuels. Dynamic reduced ...
Advancing understanding of affect labeling with dynamic causal modeling
Torrisi, SJ; Lieberman, MD; Bookheimer, SY; Altshuler, LL
2013-01-01
K.J. , Harrison, L. , Penny, W.D. , 2003. Dynamic causalNeuroimage 22, 1157–1172. Penny, W.D. , Stephan, K.E. ,emotions. Emotion 12, 229–235. Penny, W.D. , 2012. Comparing
Valuing climate impacts in integrated assessment models: the MIT IGSM*
interactions among natural and human climate system components; objectively assess uncertainty in economic, monitor and verify greenhouse gas emissions and climatic impacts. This reprint is one of a series intended to their daily lives--crop yield, food prices, premature death, flooding or drought events, land use change
Models used to assess the performance of photovoltaic systems.
Stein, Joshua S.; Klise, Geoffrey T.
2009-12-01
This report documents the various photovoltaic (PV) performance models and software developed and utilized by researchers at Sandia National Laboratories (SNL) in support of the Photovoltaics and Grid Integration Department. In addition to PV performance models, hybrid system and battery storage models are discussed. A hybrid system using other distributed sources and energy storage can help reduce the variability inherent in PV generation, and due to the complexity of combining multiple generation sources and system loads, these models are invaluable for system design and optimization. Energy storage plays an important role in reducing PV intermittency and battery storage models are used to understand the best configurations and technologies to store PV generated electricity. Other researcher's models used by SNL are discussed including some widely known models that incorporate algorithms developed at SNL. There are other models included in the discussion that are not used by or were not adopted from SNL research but may provide some benefit to researchers working on PV array performance, hybrid system models and energy storage. The paper is organized into three sections to describe the different software models as applied to photovoltaic performance, hybrid systems, and battery storage. For each model, there is a description which includes where to find the model, whether it is currently maintained and any references that may be available. Modeling improvements underway at SNL include quantifying the uncertainty of individual system components, the overall uncertainty in modeled vs. measured results and modeling large PV systems. SNL is also conducting research into the overall reliability of PV systems.
Conceptual design of an integrated technology model for carbon policy assessment.
Backus, George A.; Dimotakes, Paul E.
2011-01-01
This report describes the conceptual design of a technology choice model for understanding strategies to reduce carbon intensity in the electricity sector. The report considers the major modeling issues affecting technology policy assessment and defines an implementable model construct. Further, the report delineates the basis causal structure of such a model and attempts to establish the technical/algorithmic viability of pursuing model development along with the associated analyses.
Janetos, Anthony C.; Collins, William D.; Wuebbles, D.J.; Diffenbaugh, Noah; Hayhoe, Katharine; Hibbard, Kathleen A.; Hurtt, George
2012-03-31
This is the full workshop report for the modeling workshop we did for the National Climate Assessment, with DOE support.
U.S. GEOLOGICAL SURVEY ASSESSMENT MODEL FOR UNDISCOVERED CONVENTIONAL OIL, GAS, AND NGL
Laughlin, Robert B.
AM-i Chapter AM U.S. GEOLOGICAL SURVEY ASSESSMENT MODEL FOR UNDISCOVERED CONVENTIONAL OIL, GAS Survey (USGS) periodically conducts assessments of the oil, gas, and natural-gas liquids (NGL) resources by the USGS in1998 for undiscovered oil, gas, and NGL resources that reside in conventional accumulations
Automated Software Engineering Process Assessment: Supporting Diverse Models using an Ontology
Ulm, Universität
, ISO 9001). It also provides an in-the-loop automated process assessment capability that can help, ISO 9001), and suitable performance and scalability. The approach can reduce the effort required, and common reference model assessment standards utilize external audits (CMMI [3], ISO 15504 [4], and ISO
Fath, Brian D.
Assessing the cumulative environmental impact of hydropower construction on river systems based 2014 Keywords: Hydropower construction Sustainable energy development Environmental impact assessment Energy network model a b s t r a c t Hydropower is the major renewable energy source for many nations
Experimental and modelling approaches for the assessment of chemical impacts of leachate migration
Sheffield, University of
Experimental and modelling approaches for the assessment of chemical impacts of leachate migration of landfill leachate migration on groundwater resources are conservative and generalised. Cost are evaluated as a combined approach for assessing the chem'ical impact of leachate migration in the Triassic
Modeling the dynamic component of the geoid and topography of Venus
Cerveny, Vlastislav
Modeling the dynamic component of the geoid and topography of Venus M. Pauer,1,2 K. Fleming,3 and O. [1] We analyze the Venusian geoid and topography to determine the relative importance of isostatic is whole mantle in style, (2) the long-wavelength geoid and topography are of purely dynamic origin, and (3
Static and dynamic length scales in a simple glassy plaquette model Robert L. Jack,1
Berthier, Ludovic
Static and dynamic length scales in a simple glassy plaquette model Robert L. Jack,1 Ludovic manuscript received 6 April 2005; published 5 July 2005 We study static and dynamic spatial correlations representation where spins are mapped to plaquette variables. We study the interplay between nontrivial static
Dynamic Modeling of Behavior Change H. T. Banks, Keri L. Rehm, Karyn L. Sutton
for investigating dynamic behavior change. While the approach is applicable to behavior change in eating disorders, smoking, substance abuse and other behavioral disorders, here we present our novel dynamical systems modeling approach to understand the processes governing an individual's behavior in the context of problem
Industry Dynamics: Foundations For Models with an Infinite Number of Firms
Van Roy, Ben
Industry Dynamics: Foundations For Models with an Infinite Number of Firms Gabriel Y. Weintraub August, 2010 Abstract This paper explores the connection between three important threads of economic research offering different approaches to studying the dynamics of an industry with heterogeneous firms
Assessing Uncertainty in Spatial Exposure Models for Air Pollution Health Effects Assessment
2007-01-01
Spatial analysis of air pollution and mor- tality in Losin studies linking chronic air pollution exposure to health2006. Bayesian modeling of air pollution health effects with
Modeling toxic endpoints for improving human health risk assessment
Bruce, Erica Dawn
2009-05-15
RAGS Risk Assessment Guidance For Superfund RCRA Resource Conservation and Recovery Act SD Sum of Squared Deviation TCDD 2,3,7,8-Tetrachlorodibenzo-p-Dioxin TEF Toxic Equivalency Factor TEF B Bioassay Based Toxic Equivalency... Amendments (HSWA) of 1984 further strengthened the EPA?s ability to regulate waste disposal. The HSWA was responsible for the eventual removal of land disposal of hazardous wastes. Cancers, renal disease, circulatory disorders, reproductive disorders...
Studies of crack dynamics in clay soil II. A physically based model for
Hoffmann, Heiko
; accepted 20 July 2004 Available online 23 August 2004 Abstract The temporal dynamics of soil structure are capable of treating water and solute transport within macro- pores and within the surrounding soil matrix, 1976; Gerke and van Genuchten, 1993; Jarvis, 1994). Assessing preferential flow requires information
COMPUTERS AND BIOMEDICAL RESEARCH 17, 580-589 ( 1984) Multicompartment Model of Lung Dynamics*
Longtin, André
COMPUTERS AND BIOMEDICAL RESEARCH 17, 580-589 ( 1984) Multicompartment Model of Lung Dynamics* B of the lungs. The lungs are represented by 24 compartments each corresponding to a generation of the Weibel model A. In the model it is assumed that gases are transported in the lungs by convection and diffusion
Parasitic castration: a perspective from a model of dynamic energy Spencer R. Hall,1,
Hall, Spencer
of dynamic energy budgets (DEB), we show how these results readily emerge, assuming that parasites consume this model, we compare and contrast two strategies for parasites. ``Consumers'' only steal energy from model of energy flow using a minimal number of assumptions. Finally, the DEB model for both ``consumers
Automated Modeling of Dynamic Reliability Block Diagrams Using Colored Petri Nets
Xu, Haiping
solution to automated verification of DRBD models. Index Terms--System reliability, reliability block \\ Abstract--Computer system reliability is conventionally modeled and analyzed using techniques such as fault), defines a framework for modeling dynamic reliability behavior of computer-based systems. However
Development of a Data Driven Dynamic Model for a Plasma Etching Reactor Michael Nikolaoua)
Nikolaou, Michael
1 Development of a Data Driven Dynamic Model for a Plasma Etching Reactor Michael Nikolaoua for identification and validation of an empirical model for a helicon plasma reactor, on the basis of experimental manufacturing processes such as plasma etching, accurate models based on first principles may be developed
Computational Fluid Dynamics Modeling of a Lithium/Thionyl Chloride Battery with Electrolyte Flow
Wang, Chao-Yang
Computational Fluid Dynamics Modeling of a Lithium/Thionyl Chloride Battery with Electrolyte Flow W-dimensional model is developed to simulate discharge of a primary lithium/thionyl chloride battery. The model to the first task with important examples of lead-acid,1-3 nickel-metal hydride,4-8 and lithium-based batteries
Nonrigid Motion Analysis Based on Dynamic Refinement of Finite Element Models
Sarkar, Sudeep
Nonrigid Motion Analysis Based on Dynamic Refinement of Finite Element Models Leonid V. Tsap finite element models. The method is based on the iterative analysis of the differences betweenÃPhysically-based vision, deformable models, nonrigid motion analysis, biomedical applications, finite element analysis. Ã¦
Haptics-based Volumetric Modeling Using Dynamic Spline-based Implicit Functions
Qin, Hong
Haptics-based Volumetric Modeling Using Dynamic Spline-based Implicit Functions Jing Hua Hong Qin-based volumetric modeling framework, which is founded upon volumetric implicit functions and powerful physics-based modeling. The volumetric implicit functions incorporate hierarchical B-splines, CSG-based functional
Assessment of Driving Mental Models as a Predictor of Crashes and Moving Violations
Munoz Galvez, Gonzalo Javier
2012-07-16
-1 ASSESSMENT OF DRIVING MENTAL MODELS AS A PREDICTOR OF CRASHES AND MOVING VIOLATIONS A Thesis by GONZALO JAVIER MU?OZ G?LVEZ Submitted to the Office of Graduate Studies of Texas A&M University in partial fulfillment of the requirements... for the degree of MASTER OF SCIENCE May 2011 Major Subject: Psychology Assessment of Driving Mental Models as a Predictor of Crashes and Moving Violations Copyright 2011 Gonzalo Javier Mu?oz G...
Modelling vegetation dynamics at global scale due to climate changes: Comparison of two approaches
Belotelov, N.V.; Bogatyrev, B.G.; Lobanov, A.I.
1996-12-31
Climate changes will influence vegetation dynamics. One of the ways of forecasting these changes is the creation of mathematical models describing vegetation dynamics. Computer experiments can then be conducted under climate change scenarios. Two main approaches are used to create such models. The first approach is based on a bioclimatic dynamic approach. The second approach is based on modelling the main eco-physiological processes. The bioclimatic dynamic approach consists of hypotheses about vegetation types or biomes, and their interrelationships with climate. In the eco-physiological approach, a detailed description of the processes, such as production, mortality, plants migration and their competition is presented. A number of computer experiments has been conducted for several climatic scenario for Russia and the whole world. A qualitative comparison of the results with the results of an earlier bioclimatic model has been done.
Finite Element Modelling and Molecular Dynamic Simulations of Carbon nanotubes/ Polymer Composites
Gaddamanugu, Dhatri
2010-07-14
Modeling of single-walled carbon nanotubes, multi-walled nanotubes and nanotube reinforced polymer composites using both the Finite Element method and the Molecular Dynamic simulation technique is presented. Nanotubes subjected to mechanical loading...
Rojas Paico, Danny H.
2001-01-01
The integration of dynamic data into reservoir models is known as automatic history matching, and it requires the solution of an inverse problem through the minimization of an objective function. The objective function to ...
Seagraves, Andrew Nathan
2010-01-01
In this thesis a new parallel computational method is proposed for modeling threedimensional dynamic fracture of brittle solids. The method is based on a combination of the discontinuous Galerkin (DG) formulation of the ...
A model simulation of white-winged dove population dynamics in the Tamaulipan Biotic Province
Martinez, Cristina Ann
2002-01-01
I present the development, evaluation, and sensitivity analysis of a simulation model representing two components of population dynamics-natality and mortality-for the white-winged dove (Zenaida asiatica asiatica; WWDO). I also discuss the role...
Dynamic Modeling and Wavelet-Based Multi-Parametric Tuning and Validation for HVAC Systems
Liang, Shuangshuang
2014-07-10
Dynamic Heating, Ventilation, and Air-Conditioning (HVAC) system models are used for the purpose of control design, fault detection and diagnosis, system analysis, design and optimization. Therefore, ensuring the accuracy ...
Dynamical Modeling and Multi-Experiment Fitting with PottersWheel Supplement
Timmer, Jens
Dynamical Modeling and Multi-Experiment Fitting with PottersWheel Supplement Thomas Maiwald@fdm.uni-freiburg.de June 10, 2008 Abstract This supplement provides detailed information about the functionalities
A Nonlinear Continuous Time Optimal Control Model of Dynamic Pricing and Inventory Control with no
Adida, Elodie
time optimal control model for studying a dynamic pricing and inventory control problem for a make-to-stock of not introducing any approximation to the real setting: it provides the exact solution of the system. When taking
Dynamic Long-Term Modelling of Generation Capacity Investment and Capacity Margins
Eager, Dan; Hobbs, Benjamin; Bialek, Janusz
2012-04-25
is the mix and amount of generation investment over time in response to policies promoting high penetrations of variable output renewable power such as wind. Modelling the dynamics of merchant generation investment in market environments can inform the debate...
THE EMERGENT STRUCTURE OF THE DROSOPHILA WING A Dynamic Model Generator
Abate, Alessandro
THE EMERGENT STRUCTURE OF THE DROSOPHILA WING A Dynamic Model Generator Alberto Silletti Department packing; 2. then, given a movie (a sequence of frames) of the fly wing, correlate the networks generated
Design of a test apparatus to study a proposed dynamic tissue puncture model
Inman, Kathleen Marie
2013-01-01
Two test apparatuses were designed, built, and evaluated in order to study a proposed dynamic tissue puncture model. The test apparatuses were designed to improve existing experiments used previously to experimentally ...
EEGbased communication via dynamic neural network models William D. Penny and Stephen J. Roberts
Roberts, Stephen
EEGbased communication via dynamic neural network models William D. Penny and Stephen J. Roberts fw.penny, s.j.robertsg@ic.ac.uk Department of Electrical and Electronic Engineering, Imperial College
EEGbased communication via dynamic neural network models William D. Penny and Stephen J. Roberts
Penny, Will
EEGÂbased communication via dynamic neural network models William D. Penny and Stephen J. Roberts fw.penny, s.j.robertsg@ic.ac.uk Department of Electrical and Electronic Engineering, Imperial College
A new analytic-adaptive model for EGS assessment, development...
(THMC) processes relevant to thermal energy extraction from an Enhanced Geothermal System (EGS). UNR defines the great challenges in numerical modeling as to (1) dealing...
Development of a Dynamic DOE Calibration Model | Department of...
Office of Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy (EERE) Indexed Site
model was developed. The model can be applied for calibration and control system optimization. p-22anderson.pdf More Documents & Publications Reducing the Particulate Emission...
Sleep Dynamics and Seizure Control in a Mesoscale Cortical Model
Lopour, Beth Ann
2009-01-01
Contributions . . . . . . . . . 2 Mesoscale Cortical Modelstates in h e from the mesoscale cortical model, here- afterand Seizure Control in a Mesoscale Cortical Model by Beth
Huang, Zhenyu; Du, Pengwei; Kosterev, Dmitry; Yang, Steve
2013-05-01
Disturbance data recorded by phasor measurement units (PMU) offers opportunities to improve the integrity of dynamic models. However, manually tuning parameters through play-back events demands significant efforts and engineering experiences. In this paper, a calibration method using the extended Kalman filter (EKF) technique is proposed. The formulation of EKF with parameter calibration is discussed. Case studies are presented to demonstrate its validity. The proposed calibration method is cost-effective, complementary to traditional equipment testing for improving dynamic model quality.
Utility of Social Modeling in Assessment of a State’s Propensity for Nuclear Proliferation
Coles, Garill A.; Brothers, Alan J.; Whitney, Paul D.; Dalton, Angela C.; Olson, Jarrod; White, Amanda M.; Cooley, Scott K.; Youchak, Paul M.; Stafford, Samuel V.
2011-06-01
This report is the third and final report out of a set of three reports documenting research for the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) National Security Administration (NASA) Office of Nonproliferation Research and Development NA-22 Simulations, Algorithms, and Modeling program that investigates how social modeling can be used to improve proliferation assessment for informing nuclear security, policy, safeguards, design of nuclear systems and research decisions. Social modeling has not to have been used to any significant extent in a proliferation studies. This report focuses on the utility of social modeling as applied to the assessment of a State's propensity to develop a nuclear weapons program.
Characteristics of identifying linear dynamic models from impulse response data using Prony analysis
Trudnowski, D.J.
1992-12-01
The purpose of the study was to investigate the characteristics of fitting linear dynamic models to the impulse response of oscillatory dynamic systems using Prony analysis. Many dynamic systems exhibit oscillatory responses with multiple modes of oscillations. Although the underlying dynamics of such systems are often nonlinear, it is frequently possible and very useful to represent the system operating about some set point with a linear model. Derivation of such linear models can be done using two basic approaches: model the system using theoretical derivations and some linearization method such as a Taylor series expansion; or use a curve-fitting technique to optimally fit a linear model to specified system response data. Prony analysis belongs to the second class of system modeling because it is a method of fitting a linear model to the impulse response of a dynamic system. Its parallel formulation inherently makes it well suited for fitting models to oscillatory system data. Such oscillatory dynamic effects occur in large synchronous-generator-based power systems in the form of electromechanical oscillations. To study and characterize these oscillatory dynamics, BPA has developed computer codes to analyze system data using Prony analysis. The objective of this study was to develop a highly detailed understanding of the properties of using Prony analysis to fit models to systems with characteristics often encountered in power systems. This understanding was then extended to develop general rules-of-thumb'' for using Prony analysis. The general characteristics were investigated by performing fits to data from known linear models under controlled conditions. The conditions studied include various mathematical solution techniques; different parent system configurations; and a large variety of underlying noise characteristics.
Characteristics of identifying linear dynamic models from impulse response data using Prony analysis
Trudnowski, D.J.
1992-12-01
The purpose of the study was to investigate the characteristics of fitting linear dynamic models to the impulse response of oscillatory dynamic systems using Prony analysis. Many dynamic systems exhibit oscillatory responses with multiple modes of oscillations. Although the underlying dynamics of such systems are often nonlinear, it is frequently possible and very useful to represent the system operating about some set point with a linear model. Derivation of such linear models can be done using two basic approaches: model the system using theoretical derivations and some linearization method such as a Taylor series expansion; or use a curve-fitting technique to optimally fit a linear model to specified system response data. Prony analysis belongs to the second class of system modeling because it is a method of fitting a linear model to the impulse response of a dynamic system. Its parallel formulation inherently makes it well suited for fitting models to oscillatory system data. Such oscillatory dynamic effects occur in large synchronous-generator-based power systems in the form of electromechanical oscillations. To study and characterize these oscillatory dynamics, BPA has developed computer codes to analyze system data using Prony analysis. The objective of this study was to develop a highly detailed understanding of the properties of using Prony analysis to fit models to systems with characteristics often encountered in power systems. This understanding was then extended to develop general ``rules-of-thumb`` for using Prony analysis. The general characteristics were investigated by performing fits to data from known linear models under controlled conditions. The conditions studied include various mathematical solution techniques; different parent system configurations; and a large variety of underlying noise characteristics.
The Development of Dynamic Operational Risk Assessment in Oil/Gas and Chemical Industries
Yang, Xiaole
2011-08-08
In oil/gas and chemical industries, dynamics is one of the most essential characteristics of any process. Time-dependent response is involved in most steps of both the physical/engineering processes and the equipment ...
A dynamic model for underbalanced drilling with coiled tubing
Rommetveit, R.; Vefring, E.H.; Wang, Z.; Bieseman, T.; Faure, A.M.
1995-11-01
A model for underbalanced drilling with coiled tubing has been developed which takes into account all important factors contributing to the process. This model is a unique tool to plan and execute underbalanced or near balance drilling operations. It is a transient, one-dimensional multi-phase flow model with the following components: Lift gas system model, multiphase hydraulics model, reservoir-wellbore interaction model, drilling model, models for multiphase fluids (lift gas, produced gas, mud, foam, produced gas, oil, water and cuttings). Various alternative geometries for gas injection are modeled as well as all important operations during underbalanced drilling with coiled tubing. The model as well as some simulation results for its use are presented in this paper.
Aquifer sensitivity assessment modeling at a large scale
Berg, R.C.; Abert, C.C. (Illinois State Geological Survey, Champaign, IL (United States))
1994-03-01
A 480 square-mile region within Will County, northeastern Illinois was used as a test region for an evaluation of the sensitivity of aquifers to contamination. An aquifer sensitivity model was developed using a Geographic Information System (GIS) with ARC/INFO software to overlay and combine several data layers. Many of the input data layers were developed using 2-dimensional surface modeling (Interactive Surface Modeling (ISM)) and 3-dimensional volume modeling (Geologic Modeling Program (GMP)) computer software. Most of the input data layers (drift thickness, thickness of sand and gravel, depth to first aquifer) were derived from interpolation of descriptive logs for water wells and engineering borings from their study area. A total of 2,984 logs were used to produce these maps. The components used for the authors' model are (1) depth to sand and gravel or bedrock, (2) thickness of the uppermost sand and gravel aquifer, (3) drift thickness, and (4) absence or presence of uppermost bedrock aquifer. The model is an improvement over many aquifer sensitivity models because it combines specific information on depth to the uppermost sand and gravel aquifer with information on the thickness of the uppermost sand and gravel aquifer. The manipulation of the source maps according to rules-based assumptions results in a colored aquifer sensitivity map for the Will County study area. This colored map differentiates 42 aquifer sensitivity map areas by using line patterns within colors. The county-scale model results in an aquifer sensitivity map that can be a useful tool for making land-use planning decisions regarding aquifer protection and management of groundwater resources.
Wang, Shaobu; Lu, Shuai; Zhou, Ning; Lin, Guang; Elizondo, Marcelo A.; Pai, M. A.
2014-09-04
In interconnected power systems, dynamic model reduction can be applied on generators outside the area of interest to mitigate the computational cost with transient stability studies. This paper presents an approach of deriving the reduced dynamic model of the external area based on dynamic response measurements, which comprises of three steps, dynamic-feature extraction, attribution and reconstruction (DEAR). In the DEAR approach, a feature extraction technique, such as singular value decomposition (SVD), is applied to the measured generator dynamics after a disturbance. Characteristic generators are then identified in the feature attribution step for matching the extracted dynamic features with the highest similarity, forming a suboptimal ‘basis’ of system dynamics. In the reconstruction step, generator state variables such as rotor angles and voltage magnitudes are approximated with a linear combination of the characteristic generators, resulting in a quasi-nonlinear reduced model of the original external system. Network model is un-changed in the DEAR method. Tests on several IEEE standard systems show that the proposed method gets better reduction ratio and response errors than the traditional coherency aggregation methods.
Chapter 18: Understanding the Developing Cellulosic Biofuels Industry through Dynamic Modeling
Newes, E.; Inman, D.; Bush, B.
2011-01-01
The purpose of this chapter is to discuss a system dynamics model called the Biomass Scenario Model (BSM), which is being developed by the U.S. Department of Energy as a tool to better understand the interaction of complex policies and their potential effects on the burgeoning cellulosic biofuels industry in the United States. The model has also recently been expanded to include advanced conversion technologies and biofuels (i.e., conversion pathways that yield biomass-based gasoline, diesel, jet fuel, and butanol), but we focus on cellulosic ethanol conversion pathways here. The BSM uses a system dynamics modeling approach (Bush et al., 2008) built on the STELLA software platform.
Assessing uncertainty in models of the ocean carbon cycle
Scott, Vivian
2010-01-01
In this thesis I explore the effect of parameter uncertainty in ocean biogeochemical models on the calculation of carbon uptake by the ocean. The ocean currently absorbs around a quarter of the annual anthropogenic CO2 ...
Limitations of integrated assessment models of climate change
Ackerman, Frank; DeCanio, Stephen J.; Howarth, Richard B.; Sheeran, Kristen
2009-01-01
cost-effective technologies into climate models that yieldcosts of climate policy depend heavily on how technology andTechnology forecasts: not so bright IAMs simulate the macroeconomic impacts of climate
Bevelhimer, Mark S; Coutant, Charles C
2006-07-01
Dissolved oxygen (DO) in rivers is a common environmental problem associated with hydropower projects. Approximately 40% of all FERC-licensed projects have requirements to monitor and/or mitigate downstream DO conditions. Most forms of mitigation for increasing DO in dam tailwaters are fairly expensive. One area of research of the Department of Energy's Hydropower Program is the development of advanced turbines that improve downstream water quality and have other environmental benefits. There is great interest in being able to predict the benefits of these modifications prior to committing to the cost of new equipment. In the case of turbine replacement or modification, there is a need for methods that allow us to accurately extrapolate the benefits derived from one or two turbines with better design to the replacement or modification of all turbines at a site. The main objective of our study was to demonstrate a modeling approach that integrates the effects of flow and water quality dynamics with fish bioenergetics to predict DO mitigation effectiveness over long river segments downstream of hydropower dams. We were particularly interested in demonstrating the incremental value of including a fish growth model as a measure of biological response. The models applied are a suite of tools (RMS4 modeling system) originally developed by the Tennessee Valley Authority for simulating hydrodynamics (ADYN model), water quality (RQUAL model), and fish growth (FISH model) as influenced by DO, temperature, and available food base. We parameterized a model for a 26-mile reach of the Caney Fork River (Tennessee) below Center Hill Dam to assess how improvements in DO at the dam discharge would affect water quality and fish growth throughout the river. We simulated different types of mitigation (i.e., at the turbine and in the reservoir forebay) and different levels of improvement. The model application successfully demonstrates how a modeling approach like this one can be used to assess whether a prescribed mitigation is likely to meet intended objectives from both a water quality and a biological resource perspective. These techniques can be used to assess the tradeoffs between hydropower operations, power generation, and environmental quality.
Donovan, Amy R.; Oppenheimer, Clive
2014-11-27
This article examines the science-policy interface in volcanic risk assessment. It analyses empirical data from research on Montserrat, where new volcanic risk assessment methodologies were pioneered. We discuss the ways in which these methods...
Dynamic Model Validation of PV Inverters Under Short-Circuit Conditions: Preprint
Muljadi, E.; Singh, M.; Bravo, R.; Gevorgian, V.
2013-03-01
Photovoltaic (PV) modules have dramatically decreased in price in the past few years, spurring the expansion of photovoltaic deployment. Residential and commercial rooftop installations are connected to the distribution network; large-scale installation PV power plants (PVPs) have benefited from tax incentives and the low cost of PV modules. As the level penetration of PV generation increases, the impact on power system reliability will also be greater. Utility power system planners must consider the role of PV generation in power systems more realistically by representing PV generation in dynamic stability analyses. Dynamic models of PV inverters have been developed in the positive sequence representation. NREL has developed a PV inverter dynamic model in PSCAD/EMTDC. This paper validates the dynamic model with an actual hardware bench test conducted by Southern California Edison's Distributed Energy Resources laboratory. All the fault combinations -- symmetrical and unsymmetrical -- were performed in the laboratory. We compare the simulation results with the bench test results.
Single cell growth and gene expression dynamics in model organisms
Cookson, Natalie Anne
2009-01-01
technology, and computational modeling, we can begin to probe and even mimic native network architecture and high-
Gedeon, Tomas
, from those appearing in physiology and ecology to Earth systems modeling, often experience critical
Bravo de la Parra, Rafael
Effects of density dependent sex allocation on the dynamics of a simultaneous hermaphroditic Available online 22 December 2009 Keywords: Sex-allocation model Sex-structured population dynamics Density model describing the dynamics of a population where sex allocation remains flexible throughout adult
Dynamical systems modeling of Continuous Flash Suppression Daisuke Shimaoka
Kaneko, Kunihiko
: Binocular rivalry Adaptation Neural modeling a b s t r a c t Continuous Flash Suppression (CFS is considered to be involved in CFS, but does not reproduce CFS. We then extend the model by including of visibility observed in CFS. In addition, this model captured some defining characteristics of CFS
A nonlinear dynamic model of a once-through, helical-coil steam generator
Abdalla, M.A. [Oak Ridge Inst. for Science and Education, TN (United States)
1993-07-01
A dynamic model of a once-through, helical-coil steam generator is presented. The model simulates the advanced liquid metal reactor superheated cycle steam generator with a four-region, moving-boundary, drift-flux model. The model is described by a set of nonlinear differential equations derived from the fundamental equations of conversation of mass, energy, and momentum. Sample results of steady-state and transient calculations are presented.
Liese, Eric [U.S. DOE; Zitney, Stephen E. [U.S. DOE
2013-01-01
Research in dynamic process simulation for integrated gasification combined cycles (IGCC) with carbon capture has been ongoing at the National Energy Technology Laboratory (NETL), culminating in a full operator training simulator (OTS) and immersive training simulator (ITS) for use in both operator training and research. A derivative work of the IGCC dynamic simulator has been a modification of the combined cycle section to more closely represent a typical natural gas fired combined cycle (NGCC). This paper describes the NGCC dynamic process model and highlights some of the simulator’s current capabilities through a particular startup and shutdown scenario.
Fast Dynamic Simulation-Based Small Signal Stability Assessment and Control
Acharya, Naresh; Baone, Chaitanya; Veda, Santosh; Dai, Jing; Chaudhuri, Nilanjan; Leonardi, Bruno; Sanches-Gasca, Juan; Diao, Ruisheng; Wu, Di; Huang, Zhenyu; Zhang, Yu; Jin, Shuangshuang; Zheng, Bin; Chen, Yousu
2014-12-31
Power grid planning and operation decisions are made based on simulation of the dynamic behavior of the system. Enabling substantial energy savings while increasing the reliability of the aging North American power grid through improved utilization of existing transmission assets hinges on the adoption of wide-area measurement systems (WAMS) for power system stabilization. However, adoption of WAMS alone will not suffice if the power system is to reach its full entitlement in stability and reliability. It is necessary to enhance predictability with "faster than real-time" dynamic simulations that will enable the dynamic stability margins, proactive real-time control, and improve grid resiliency to fast time-scale phenomena such as cascading network failures. Present-day dynamic simulations are performed only during offline planning studies, considering only worst case conditions such as summer peak, winter peak days, etc. With widespread deployment of renewable generation, controllable loads, energy storage devices and plug-in hybrid electric vehicles expected in the near future and greater integration of cyber infrastructure (communications, computation and control), monitoring and controlling the dynamic performance of the grid in real-time would become increasingly important. The state-of-the-art dynamic simulation tools have limited computational speed and are not suitable for real-time applications, given the large set of contingency conditions to be evaluated. These tools are optimized for best performance of single-processor computers, but the simulation is still several times slower than real-time due to its computational complexity. With recent significant advances in numerical methods and computational hardware, the expectations have been rising towards more efficient and faster techniques to be implemented in power system simulators. This is a natural expectation, given that the core solution algorithms of most commercial simulators were developed decades ago, when High Performance Computing (HPC) resources were not commonly available.
Paris-Sud XI, Université de
Analyzing water supply in future energy systems using the TIMES Integrated Assessment Model (TIAM Mathematics, MINES ParisTech Sophia Antipolis, France ABSTRACT Even though policies related to water is required to maintain water supplies while water is essential to produce energy. However, the models
Lee, Jooyoung
Random Forest-Based Protein Model Quality Assessment (RFMQA) Using Structural Features and Potential Energy Terms Balachandran Manavalan, Juyong Lee, Jooyoung Lee* Center for In Silico Protein in protein structure prediction. In this study, we present the first application of random forest based model
Thesis proposal CSF Brazil 2014 Causal model for flood risk assessment
Bordenave, Charles
Thesis proposal CSF Brazil 2014 Title: Causal model for flood risk assessment Thesis supervisor: The thesis aims to provide an operational tool for the anticipation of flood risk in mountain areas. The work for the anticipation of flood risk in mountain areas. The work will lead to the establishment of a model
responses of human systems. This project seeks to apply a regional IAM framework to the Gulf Coast region issues, and energy supply issues are all occurring simultaneous- ly, but for which integrated modeling regionalized to develop a new regional IAM capability (Regional Global Change Assessment Model *RCGAM+). RCGAM
Integration of Landsat Imagery and an Inundation Model in Flood Assessment and Predictions
Ezer,Tal
regions. The topography data used by the model were based only on a subjective assessment from various data in shallow regions and flood zones where land- base data are not available. Keywords constraint to the development of such numerical models is the lack of suitable validation data sources [3
Using beryllium-7 to assess cross-tropopause1 transport in global models2
Liu, Hongyu
1 Using beryllium-7 to assess cross-tropopause1 transport in global models2 3 Hongyu Liu1 , David B, MA13 14 Short Title: Beryllium-7 and cross-tropopause transport15 Index Terms: 0368 Troposphere Initiative (GMI) modeling framework the29 utility of cosmogenic beryllium-7 (7 Be), a natural aerosol tracer
Re-conceptualizing the soil and water assessment tool (SWAT) model to predict runoff from variable
Walter, M.Todd
runoff in ways that implicitly assume an infiltration-excess response to rainfall. Because of this generated in rural, humid regions. In this study, the Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) model was re is applied in these models implicitly assumes an infiltration-excess (or Hortonian, i.e., Horton, 1933
Modeling of tsunami sources and propagation in the Atlantic Ocean Basin to assess coastal tsunami
Kirby, James T.
Modeling of tsunami sources and propagation in the Atlantic Ocean Basin to assess coastal tsunami 19716, USA Abstract Since 2010, under the auspices of the US National Tsunami Hazard Mitigation Pro- gram (NTHMP), the authors have conducted modeling work to gradually develop tsunami inundation maps
First Prev Next Last Go Back Full Screen Close Quit Model Assessment
Spang, Rainer
Â·First Â·Prev Â·Next Â·Last Â·Go Back Â·Full Screen Â·Close Â·Quit Model Assessment and Selection Axel Â·Prev Â·Next Â·Last Â·Go Back Â·Full Screen Â·Close Â·Quit Model Assessment and Selection 2 Topics Predictive Â· Restriction Â· Selection Â· Regularization #12;Â·First Â·Prev Â·Next Â·Last Â·Go Back Â·Full Screen Â·Close Â·Quit Model
Environmental Modeling and Assessment (2005) 10:6379 DOI 10.1007/s10666-004-4267-z Springer 2005
Risbey, James S.
2005-01-01
Environmental Modeling and Assessment (2005) 10:6379 DOI 10.1007/s10666-004-4267-z Springer 2005 Application of a checklist for quality assistance in environmental modelling to an energy model James Risbey a present considerable challenges to develop and test. Uncertainty assessments of such models provide only
GIS and plume dispersion modeling for population exposure assessment
Archer, Jeffrey Keith
1998-01-01
al. 1995, Maslia, et al. 1994). A study of the Monticello power plant in northeast Texas was conducted using the SCREEN3 mathematical plume dispersion model, US Census Bureau demographic data, and a GIS to examine the effects of the plant output...
The Dynamics of Subhalos in Warm Dark Matter Models
Alexander Knebe; Bastian Arnold; Chris Power; Brad K. Gibson
2008-02-12
We present a comparison of the properties of substructure halos (subhalos) orbiting within host halos that form in Cold Dark Matter (CDM) and Warm Dark Matter (WDM) cosmologies. Our study focuses on selected properties of these subhalos, namely their anisotropic spatial distribution within the hosts; the existence of a "backsplash'' population; the age-distance relation; the degree to which they suffer mass loss; and the distribution of relative (infall) velocities with respect to the hosts. We find that the number density of subhalos in our WDM model is suppressed relative to that in the CDM model, as we would expect. Interestingly, our analysis reveals that backsplash subhalos exist in both the WDM and CDM models. Indeed, there are no statistically significant differences between the spatial distributions of subhalos in the CDM and WDM models. There is evidence that subhalos in the WDM model suffer enhanced mass loss relative to their counterparts in the CDM model, reflecting their lower central densities. We note also a tendency for the (infall) velocities of subhalos in the WDM model to be higher than in the CDM model. Nevertheless, we conclude that observational tests based on either the spatial distribution or the kinematics of the subhalo population are unlikely to help us to differentiate between the CDM model and our adopted WDM model.
Common-Cause Failure Treatment in Event Assessment: Basis for a Proposed New Model
Dana Kelly; Song-Hua Shen; Gary DeMoss; Kevin Coyne; Don Marksberry
2010-06-01
Event assessment is an application of probabilistic risk assessment in which observed equipment failures and outages are mapped into the risk model to obtain a numerical estimate of the event’s risk significance. In this paper, we focus on retrospective assessments to estimate the risk significance of degraded conditions such as equipment failure accompanied by a deficiency in a process such as maintenance practices. In modeling such events, the basic events in the risk model that are associated with observed failures and other off-normal situations are typically configured to be failed, while those associated with observed successes and unchallenged components are assumed capable of failing, typically with their baseline probabilities. This is referred to as the failure memory approach to event assessment. The conditioning of common-cause failure probabilities for the common cause component group associated with the observed component failure is particularly important, as it is insufficient to simply leave these probabilities at their baseline values, and doing so may result in a significant underestimate of risk significance for the event. Past work in this area has focused on the mathematics of the adjustment. In this paper, we review the Basic Parameter Model for common-cause failure, which underlies most current risk modelling, discuss the limitations of this model with respect to event assessment, and introduce a proposed new framework for common-cause failure, which uses a Bayesian network to model underlying causes of failure, and which has the potential to overcome the limitations of the Basic Parameter Model with respect to event assessment.
Synchronized Phasor Data for Analyzing Wind Power Plant Dynamic Behavior and Model Validation
Wan, Y. H.
2013-01-01
The U.S. power industry is undertaking several initiatives that will improve the operations of the power grid. One of those is the implementation of 'wide area measurements' using phasor measurement units (PMUs) to dynamically monitor the operations and the status of the network and provide advanced situational awareness and stability assessment. This project seeks to obtain PMU data from wind power plants and grid reference points and develop software tools to analyze and visualize synchrophasor data for the purpose of better understanding wind power plant dynamic behaviors under normal and contingency conditions.
Models Used to Assess the Performance of Photovoltaic Systems | Department
Office of Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy (EERE) Indexed Site
AFDC Printable Version Share this resource Send a link to EERE: Alternative Fuels Data Center Home Page to someone by E-mail Share EERE: Alternative Fuels Data Center Home Page on Facebook Tweet about EERE: Alternative Fuels Data Center Home Page on Twitter Bookmark EERE: Alternative Fuels Data Center Home Page on Google Bookmark EERE: Alternative Fuels Data Center Home Page on Delicious RankADVANCED MANUFACTURING OFFICESpecialAPPENDIX F Wetlandsof Energy ModelSEI Layer | Department ofof
Hammes-Schiffer, Sharon
Proton-coupled electron transfer reactions in solution: Molecular dynamics with quantum transitions A general minimal model for proton-coupled electron transfer PCET reactions in solution is presented. This model consists of three coupled degrees of freedom that represent an electron, a proton, and a solvent
renewal while the daughter stem cell remains in the niche; each stem cell is ``immortal'' under this modelCommentary Methylation patterns and mathematical models reveal dynamics of stem cell turnover in diseases such as cancer, it is essential to understand the process of somatic cell development and renewal
Discrete molecular dynamics studies of the folding of a protein-like model
Buldyrev, Sergey
Discrete molecular dynamics studies of the folding of a protein-like model Nikolay V Dokholyan1 to resolve in time the folding of model proteins in computer simulations. Different computational approaches). Results: We used the recently proposed approach of Zhou and Karplus to study the folding of a protein
Sand dune dynamics and climate change: A modeling H. Yizhaq,1
Ashkenazy, Yossi "Yosef"
Sand dune dynamics and climate change: A modeling approach H. Yizhaq,1 Y. Ashkenazy,1 and H. Tsoar2] We provide several examples for the coexistence of active and fixed sand dunes under similar climatic conditions, namely, with respect to wind power and precipitation rate. A model is developed for dune
Dang, Zhe
Bond Computing Systems: a Biologically Inspired and High-level Dynamics Model for Pervasive their com- putation power and verification problems. Among other results, we show that the computing power) techniques for pervasive computing systems. At a high-level, there are at least two views in modeling
Model-Lite Planning: Diverse Multi-Option Plans & Dynamic Objective Functions Daniel Bryce
Kambhampati, Subbarao
Model-Lite Planning: Diverse Multi-Option Plans & Dynamic Objective Functions Daniel Bryce}@asu.edu Abstract Knowledge acquisition is one major bottle-neck in using planning systems. Model-lite planning reduces this burden by placing responsibility on the planning system to cope with partially specified
A model of sediment resuspension and transport dynamics in southern Lake Michigan
A model of sediment resuspension and transport dynamics in southern Lake Michigan Jing Lou-three-dimensional suspended sediment transport model was developed and generalized to include combined wave-current effects to study bottom sediment resuspension and transport in southern Lake Michigan. The results from a three
Liquid Water Dynamics in a Model Polymer Electrolyte Fuel Cell Flow Channel
Victoria, University of
Liquid Water Dynamics in a Model Polymer Electrolyte Fuel Cell Flow Channel by Chris Miller in a Model Polymer Electrolyte Fuel Cell Flow Channel by Chris Miller Bachelors of Engineering, University in a polymer electrolyte fuel cell is a critical issue in ensuring high cell performance. The water production
A Diffusion Model in Population Genetics with Mutation and Dynamic Fitness
O'Leary, Michael
A Diffusion Model in Population Genetics with Mutation and Dynamic Fitness Mike O'Leary Department of Mathematics Towson University PDE Seminar Vanderbilt University November 2008 Mike O'Leary (Towson University are joint with Judith Miller, Georgetown University. Mike O'Leary (Towson University) A Diffusion Model
Mehmood et al. Paper No. 03-2158 1 Modeling Car-following Using System Dynamics
Hellinga, Bruce
Mehmood et al. Paper No. 03-2158 1 Modeling Car-following Using System Dynamics ARIF MEHMOOD, BRUCE2L 3G1, Canada. E-mail: amehmood@uwaterloo.ca Car following models describe driver behavior of relationships that do not correspond to physical aspects of the car- following process. In this paper we
Generalized models as a universal approach to the analysis of nonlinear dynamical systems
Thilo Gross; Ulrike Feudel
2006-01-29
We present a universal approach to the investigation of the dynamics in generalized models. In these models the processes that are taken into account are not restricted to specific functional forms. Therefore a single generalized models can describe a class of systems which share a similar structure. Despite this generality, the proposed approach allows us to study the dynamical properties of generalized models efficiently in the framework of local bifurcation theory. The approach is based on a normalization procedure that is used to identify natural parameters of the system. The Jacobian in a steady state is then derived as a function of these parameters. The analytical computation of local bifurcations using computer algebra reveals conditions for the local asymptotic stability of steady states and provides certain insights on the global dynamics of the system. The proposed approach yields a close connection between modelling and nonlinear dynamics. We illustrate the investigation of generalized models by considering examples from three different disciplines of science: a socio-economic model of dynastic cycles in china, a model for a coupled laser system and a general ecological food web.
British Columbia, University of
2008-01-01
Journal of Biomechanics 41 (2008) 10691076 A dynamic model of jaw and hyoid biomechanics during Our understanding of human jaw biomechanics has been enhanced by computational modelling et al., 2002; Curtis et al., 1997; Hamdy et al., 2000; Bakke et al., 2007). Its biomechanics however
Molecular Dynamics modelling of the adhesive interaction between fine F. A. Gilabert
Krivtsov, Anton M.
Molecular Dynamics modelling of the adhesive interaction between fine particles F. A. Gilabert the frictionless adhesive interaction force between two fine cohesive polymer grains. The model consists of three a higher resolution near the contact area. Secondly, the cohesion strength (i.e., the work of adhesion
El Nino duration time (month) Dynamic coupling of an ENSO model to the
Goelzer, Heiko
El Nino duration time (month) Dynamic coupling of an ENSO model to the global coupled climate model changes in the thermohaline circulation and changes in the El Nino/Southern Oscillation (ENSO), the Zebiak distribution El Nino event interval (month) · Interval between ENSO events shifted towards longer times
Aalborg Universitet Modelling and Validation of Water Hydration of PEM Fuel Cell Membrane in Dynamic
Liso, Vincenzo
Aalborg Universitet Modelling and Validation of Water Hydration of PEM Fuel Cell Membrane of Water Hydration of PEM Fuel Cell Membrane in Dynamic Operations. In ECS Transactions. (Vol. 68). ECS from vbn.aau.dk on: november 29, 2015 #12;Modelling and Validation of Water Hydration of PEM Fuel Cell
Coupling remote sensing with computational fluid dynamics modelling to estimate lake chlorophyll form 17 October 2000; accepted 1 June 2001 Abstract A remotely sensed image of Loch Leven, a shallow in the remotely sensed image. It is proposed that CFD modelling benefits the interpretation of remotely sensed
Representation of Dormant and Active Microbial Dynamics for Ecosystem Modeling
Wang, Gangsheng; Mayes, Melanie; Gu, Lianhong; Schadt, Christopher Warren
2014-01-01
Dormancy is an essential strategy for microorganisms to cope with environmental stress. However, global ecosystem models typically ignore microbial dormancy, resulting in notable model uncertainties. To facilitate the consideration of dormancy in these large-scale models, we propose a new microbial physiology component that works for a wide range of substrate availabilities. This new model is based on microbial physiological states and the major parameters are the maximum specific growth and maintenance rates of active microbes and the ratio of dormant to active maintenance rates. A major improvement of our model over extant models is that it can explain the low active microbial fractions commonly observed in undisturbed soils. Our new model shows that the exponentially-increasing respiration from substrate-induced respiration experiments can only be used to determine the maximum specific growth rate and initial active microbial biomass, while the respiration data representing both exponentially-increasing and non-exponentially-increasing phases can robustly determine a range of key parameters including the initial total live biomass, initial active fraction, the maximum specific growth and maintenance rates, and the half-saturation constant. Our new model can be incorporated into existing ecosystem models to account for dormancy in microbially-driven processes and to provide improved estimates of microbial activities.
Dynamic Models for Wind Turbines and Wind Power Plants
Singh, M.; Santoso, S.
2011-10-01
The primary objective of this report was to develop universal manufacturer-independent wind turbine and wind power plant models that can be shared, used, and improved without any restrictions by project developers, manufacturers, and engineers. Manufacturer-specific models of wind turbines are favored for use in wind power interconnection studies. While they are detailed and accurate, their usages are limited to the terms of the non-disclosure agreement, thus stifling model sharing. The primary objective of the work proposed is to develop universal manufacturer-independent wind power plant models that can be shared, used, and improved without any restrictions by project developers, manufacturers, and engineers. Each of these models includes representations of general turbine aerodynamics, the mechanical drive-train, and the electrical characteristics of the generator and converter, as well as the control systems typically used. To determine how realistic model performance is, the performance of one of the models (doubly-fed induction generator model) has been validated using real-world wind power plant data. This work also documents selected applications of these models.
Data Driven Approach for High Resolution Population Distribution and Dynamics Models
Bhaduri, Budhendra L; Bright, Eddie A; Rose, Amy N; Liu, Cheng; Urban, Marie L; Stewart, Robert N
2014-01-01
High resolution population distribution data are vital for successfully addressing critical issues ranging from energy and socio-environmental research to public health to human security. Commonly available population data from Census is constrained both in space and time and does not capture population dynamics as functions of space and time. This imposes a significant limitation on the fidelity of event-based simulation models with sensitive space-time resolution. This paper describes ongoing development of high-resolution population distribution and dynamics models, at Oak Ridge National Laboratory, through spatial data integration and modeling with behavioral or activity-based mobility datasets for representing temporal dynamics of population. The model is resolved at 1 km resolution globally and describes the U.S. population for nighttime and daytime at 90m. Integration of such population data provides the opportunity to develop simulations and applications in critical infrastructure management from local to global scales.
Archer, Daniel E.; Hornback, Donald Eric; Johnson, Jeffrey O.; Nicholson, Andrew D.; Patton, Bruce W.; Peplow, Douglas E.; Miller, Thomas Martin; Ayaz-Maierhafer, Birsen
2015-01-01
This report summarizes the findings of a two year effort to systematically assess neutron and gamma backgrounds relevant to operational modeling and detection technology implementation. The first year effort focused on reviewing the origins of background sources and their impact on measured rates in operational scenarios of interest. The second year has focused on the assessment of detector and algorithm performance as they pertain to operational requirements against the various background sources and background levels.
Zhao, Fei
2013-08-31
Using Noncompensatory Models in Cognitive Diagnostic Mathematics Assessments: An Evaluation Based on Empirical Data By Fei Zhao Submitted to the graduate degree program in the Department of Psychology and Research in Education and the Graduate... precisely identify the aspects that need to be evaluated and conduct assessments on these aspects. Cognitive theories have played many important roles in educational and psychological settings according to several measurement specialists (e.g., Embretson...
Dynamic modelling of chorded mitral valves inside left ventricle
Luo, Xiaoyu
model. This model allows us to investigate the influences of the flow vortex generated by the LV motion and swirls around in a clockwise fashion, forming a main clockwise vortex. This vortex persists through inside a tube, where the forward jet is accompanied by two vortices at each side. References
Cognitive Modeling Formulation and Analysis of Dynamic Systems
Bremen, Universität
trajectories produced by a local generator. #12;7 Logistic Growth Model Define p(t) as the probability affects the output (or, vice-versa, what inputs should be given to generate a desired output for the n-element binary valued lists. The state space of a brain model is the set of points contained
Modeling Temporal Activity Patterns in Dynamic Social Networks
Raghavan, Vasanthan; Galstyan, Aram; Tartakovsky, Alexander G
2013-01-01
The focus of this work is on developing probabilistic models for user activity in social networks by incorporating the social network influence as perceived by the user. For this, we propose a coupled Hidden Markov Model, where each user's activity evolves according to a Markov chain with a hidden state that is influenced by the collective activity of the friends of the user. We develop generalized Baum-Welch and Viterbi algorithms for model parameter learning and state estimation for the proposed framework. We then validate the proposed model using a significant corpus of user activity on Twitter. Our numerical studies show that with sufficient observations to ensure accurate model learning, the proposed framework explains the observed data better than either a renewal process-based model or a conventional uncoupled Hidden Markov Model. We also demonstrate the utility of the proposed approach in predicting the time to the next tweet. Finally, clustering in the model parameter space is shown to result in dist...
Awadalla, N.G.; Eaton, S.C.F.
1996-09-04
This document is the verification and validation final report for the Decision Analysis Model for Assessment of Tank Waste Remediation System Waste Treatment Strategies. This model is also known as the INSIGHT Model.
Mixed Layer Mesoscales for OGCMs: Model development and assessment with T/P, WOCE and Drifter data
Canuto, V M; Leboissetier, A
2011-01-01
We present a model for mixed layer (ML) mesoscale (M) fluxes of an arbitrary tracer in terms of the resolved fields (mean tracer and mean velocity). The treatment of an arbitrary tracer, rather than only buoyancy, is necessary since OGCMs time step T, S, CO2, etc and not buoyancy. The particular case of buoyancy is used to assess the model results. The paper contains three parts: derivation of the results, discussion of the results and assessment of the latter using, among others, WOCE, T/P and Drifter data. Derivation. To construct the M fluxes, we first solve the ML M dynamic equations for the velocity and tracer M fields. The goal of the derivation is to emphasize the different treatments of the non-linear terms in the adiabatic vs. diabatic ocean (deep ocean vs. mixed layer). Results. We derive analytic expressions for the following variables: a) vertical and horizontal M fluxes of an arbitrary tracer, b) M diffusivity in terms of the EKE, c) surface value of the EKE in terms of the vertical M buoyancy fl...
Modeling the dynamics of a tracer particle in an elastic active gel
E. Ben Isaac; É. Fodor; P. Visco; F. van Wijland; N. S. Gov
2015-07-03
The internal dynamics of active gels, both in artificial (in-vitro) model systems and inside the cytoskeleton of living cells, has been extensively studied by experiments of recent years. These dynamics are probed using tracer particles embedded in the network of biopolymers together with molecular motors, and distinct non-thermal behavior is observed. We present a theoretical model of the dynamics of a trapped active particle, which allows us to quantify the deviations from equilibrium behavior, using both analytic and numerical calculations. We map the different regimes of dynamics in this system, and highlight the different manifestations of activity: breakdown of the virial theorem and equipartition, different elasticity-dependent "effective temperatures" and distinct non-Gaussian distributions. Our results shed light on puzzling observations in active gel experiments, and provide physical interpretation of existing observations, as well as predictions for future studies.
Modeling the dynamics of a tracer particle in an elastic active gel
Isaac, E Ben; Visco, P; van Wijland, F; Gov, N S
2015-01-01
The internal dynamics of active gels, both in artificial (in-vitro) model systems and inside the cytoskeleton of living cells, has been extensively studied by experiments of recent years. These dynamics are probed using tracer particles embedded in the network of biopolymers together with molecular motors, and distinct non-thermal behavior is observed. We present a theoretical model of the dynamics of a trapped active particle, which allows us to quantify the deviations from equilibrium behavior, using both analytic and numerical calculations. We map the different regimes of dynamics in this system, and highlight the different manifestations of activity: breakdown of the virial theorem and equipartition, different elasticity-dependent "effective temperatures" and distinct non-Gaussian distributions. Our results shed light on puzzling observations in active gel experiments, and provide physical interpretation of existing observations, as well as predictions for future studies.
Coupling GIS and LCA for biodiversity assessments of land use: Part 1: Inventory modeling
Geyer, Roland; Stoms, David M.; Lindner, Jan P.; Davis, Frank W.; Wittstock, Bastian
2010-01-01
assessment. To assess desertification potential, Núñez etAssessing potential desertification environmental impact in
Modeling microbial dynamics in heterogeneous environments: Growth on soil carbon sources
Resat, Haluk; Bailey, Vanessa L.; McCue, Lee Ann; Konopka, Allan
2012-01-01
We have developed a new hybrid model to study how microbial dynamics are affected by the heterogeneity in the physical structure of the environment. The modeling framework can represent porous media such as soil. The individual based biological model can explicitly simulate microbial diversity, and cell metabolism is regulated via optimal allocation of cellular resources to enzyme synthesis, control of growth rate by protein synthesis capacity, and shifts to dormancy. This model was developed to study how microbial community functioning is influenced by local environmental conditions and by the functional attributes of individual microbes. Different strategies for acquisition of carbon from polymeric cellulose were investigated. Bacteria that express membrane-associated hydrolase had different growth and survival dynamics in soil pores than bacteria that release extracellular hydrolases. The kinetic differences may suggest different functional roles for these two classes of microbes in cellulose utilization. Our model predicted an emergent behavior in which co-existence led to higher cellulose utilization efficiency and reduced stochasticity. Microbial community dynamics were simulated at two spatial scales: micro-pores that resemble 6-20 {micro}m size portions of the soil physical structure and in 111 {micro}m size soil aggregates with a random pore structure. Trends in dynamic properties were very similar at these two scales, implying that micro-scale studies can be useful approximations to aggregate scale studies when local effects on microbial dynamics are studied.
Advanced Modeling of Renewable Energy Market Dynamics: May 2006
Evans, M.; Little, R.; Lloyd, K.; Malikov, G.; Passolt, G.; Arent, D.; Swezey, B.; Mosey, G.
2007-08-01
This report documents a year-long academic project, presenting selected techniques for analysis of market growth, penetration, and forecasting applicable to renewable energy technologies. Existing mathematical models were modified to incorporate the effects of fiscal policies and were evaluated using available data. The modifications were made based on research and classification of current mathematical models used for predicting market penetration. An analysis of the results was carried out, based on available data. MATLAB versions of existing and new models were developed for research and policy analysis.
Dynamic modeling of a single-stage downward firing, entrained flow gasifier
Kasule, J., Turton, R., Bhattacharyya, D., Zitney, S.
2012-01-01
The gasifier is the heart of the integrated gasification combined cycle (IGCC), a technology that has emerged as an attractive alternative to conventional coal-fired power plant technology due to its higher efficiency and cleaner environmental performance especially with the option of CO{sub 2} capture and sequestration. Understanding the optimal performance of the gasifier is therefore paramount for the efficient operation of IGCC power plants. Numerous gasifier models of varying complexity have been developed to study the various aspects of gasifier performance. These range from simple one-dimensional (1D) process-type models to rigorous higher order 2-3D models based on computational fluid dynamics (CFD). Whereas high-fidelity CFD models can accurately predict most key aspects of gasifier performance, they are computationally expensive and typically take hours to days to execute on high-performance computers. Therefore, faster 1D partial differential equation (PDE)-based models are required for use in dynamic simulation studies, control system analysis, and training applications. A number of 1D gasifier models can be found in the literature, but most are steady-state models that have limited application in the practical operation of the gasifier. As a result, 1D PDE-based dynamic models are needed to further study and predict gasifier performance under a wide variety of process conditions and disturbances. In the current study, a 1D transient model of a single-stage downward-fired GE/Texaco-type entrained-flow gasifier has been developed. The model comprises mass, momentum and energy balances for the gas and solid phases. The model considers the initial gasification processes of water evaporation and coal devolatilization. In addition, the key heterogeneous and homogeneous chemical reactions have been modeled. The resulting time-dependent PDE model is solved using the well-known method of lines approach in Aspen Custom Modeler®, whereby the PDEs in the spatial domain are discretized and the resulting differential algebraic equations (DAEs) are then integrated over time using a dynamic integrator. The dynamic response results of the gasifier performance parameters to certain disturbances commonly encountered during practical operation are presented. These disturbances include ramp and step changes to input variables such as coal flow rate, oxygen-to-coal ratio and water-to-coal ratio among others. Comparison of model predictions to available dynamic data will also be discussed.
Dynamics of the Oil Transition: Modeling Capacity, Costs, and Emissions
Brandt, Adam R.; Farrell, Alexander E.
2008-01-01
and income on energy and oil demand. Energy Journal, 23(1):conventional oil supply and demand. But, interestingly,World crude oil and natural gas: a demand and supply model.
Time consistency and risk averse dynamic decision models ...
2013-05-02
sistent models as we provide practitioners with an intuitive economic inter- pretation for the ... ning and financial engineering problems. Based on ... consistency is shown to be one basic requirement to get suitable optimal de- cisions, in ...
Model for Dynamic Self-Assembled Magnetic Surface Structures
M. Belkin; A. Glatz; A. Snezhko; I. S. Aranson
2010-02-02
We propose a first-principles model for self-assembled magnetic surface structures on the water-air interface reported in earlier experiments \\cite{snezhko2,snezhko4}. The model is based on the Navier-Stokes equation for liquids in shallow water approximation coupled to Newton equations for interacting magnetic particles suspended on the water-air interface. The model reproduces most of the observed phenomenology, including spontaneous formation of magnetic snake-like structures, generation of large-scale vortex flows, complex ferromagnetic-antiferromagnetic ordering of the snake, and self-propulsion of bead-snake hybrids. The model provides valuable insights into self-organization phenomena in a broad range of non-equilibrium magnetic and electrostatic systems with competing interactions.
Stochastic Modeling and Analysis of Pathway Regulation and Dynamics
Zhao, Chen
2012-07-16
called masters or canalizing genes. Characterizing and detecting such genes are thus highly valuable for the treatment of cancer. Chapter II is devoted to this task, where we present a Bayesian framework to model pathway interactions and then study...
Wang, Gangsheng; Post, Wilfred M; Mayes, Melanie
2013-01-01
We developed a Microbial-ENzyme-mediated Decomposition (MEND) model, based on the Michaelis-Menten kinetics, that describes the dynamics of physically defined pools of soil organic matter (SOC). These include particulate, mineral-associated, dissolved organic matter (POC, MOC, and DOC, respectively), microbial biomass, and associated exoenzymes. The ranges and/or distributions of parameters were determined by both analytical steady-state and dynamic analyses with SOC data from the literature. We used an improved multi-objective parameter sensitivity analysis (MOPSA) to identify the most important parameters for the full model: maintenance of microbial biomass, turnover and synthesis of enzymes, and carbon use efficiency (CUE). The model predicted an increase of 2 C (baseline temperature =12 C) caused the pools of POC-Cellulose, MOC, and total SOC to increase with dynamic CUE and decrease with constant CUE, as indicated by the 50% confidence intervals. Regardless of dynamic or constant CUE, the pool sizes of POC, MOC, and total SOC varied from 8% to 8% under +2 C. The scenario analysis using a single parameter set indicates that higher temperature with dynamic CUE might result in greater net increases in both POC-Cellulose and MOC pools. Different dynamics of various SOC pools reflected the catalytic functions of specific enzymes targeting specific substrates and the interactions between microbes, enzymes, and SOC. With the feasible parameter values estimated in this study, models incorporating fundamental principles of microbial-enzyme dynamics can lead to simulation results qualitatively different from traditional models with fast/slow/passive pools.
Ris-R-1400(EN) Dynamic wind turbine models in power
Risø-R-1400(EN) Dynamic wind turbine models in power system simulation tool DIgSILENT Anca D December 2003 #12;#12;Contents Preface 5 1 Introduction 6 2 Wind turbine modelling in DIgSILENT 7 2.1 Power converters 14 2.2.3 Transformer 16 2.3 DSL models of wind turbine in DIgSILENT 18 2.3.1 Initialisation issues
On the Characterization of Classical Dynamical Systems Using Supersymmetric Nonlinear $?$-models
A. J. Niemi; K. Palo
1995-03-13
We construct a two dimensional nonlinear $\\sigma$-model that describes the Hamiltonian flow in the loop space of a classical dynamical system. This model is obtained by equivariantizing the standard N=1 supersymmetric nonlinear $\\sigma$-model by the Hamiltonian flow. We use localization methods to evaluate the corresponding partition function for a general class of integrable systems, and find relations that can be viewed as generalizations of standard relations in classical Morse theory.
Atomization and Sprays, 19(9):885903, 2009 ASSESSMENT OF ATOMIZATION MODELS
Aggarwal, Suresh K.
on the combustion and emission characteristics of diesel engines. Using x-ray radiography, it is possible to obtain are performed using a computational fluid dynamics (CFD) code "CONVERGE," which employs an innovative grid generated inside the injector need to be included in the model. INTRODUCTION Combustion and emission
Model-Based Performance Assessment of a Lean-Burn System
Grizzle, Jessy W.
/F · Must also worry about emissions HC & CO easy NOx hard! #12;TWC Alone Inadequate for Treating NOx · Evaluation of fuel economy versus NOx emission trade-off intrinsically a dynamic problem evaluate over in cylinder A/F, etc. emissions · HC · NOx · CO · feedgas temperature #12;Control-Oriented TWC Model
Computational Modeling and Assessment Of Nanocoatings for Ultra Supercritical Boilers
David W. Gandy; John P. Shingledecker
2011-04-11
Forced outages and boiler unavailability in conventional coal-fired fossil power plants is most often caused by fireside corrosion of boiler waterwalls. Industry-wide, the rate of wall thickness corrosion wastage of fireside waterwalls in fossil-fired boilers has been of concern for many years. It is significant that the introduction of nitrogen oxide (NOx) emission controls with staged burners systems has increased reported waterwall wastage rates to as much as 120 mils (3 mm) per year. Moreover, the reducing environment produced by the low-NOx combustion process is the primary cause of accelerated corrosion rates of waterwall tubes made of carbon and low alloy steels. Improved coatings, such as the MCrAl nanocoatings evaluated here (where M is Fe, Ni, and Co), are needed to reduce/eliminate waterwall damage in subcritical, supercritical, and ultra-supercritical (USC) boilers. The first two tasks of this six-task project-jointly sponsored by EPRI and the U.S. Department of Energy (DE-FC26-07NT43096)-have focused on computational modeling of an advanced MCrAl nanocoating system and evaluation of two nanocrystalline (iron and nickel base) coatings, which will significantly improve the corrosion and erosion performance of tubing used in USC boilers. The computational model results showed that about 40 wt.% is required in Fe based nanocrystalline coatings for long-term durability, leading to a coating composition of Fe-25Cr-40Ni-10 wt.% Al. In addition, the long term thermal exposure test results further showed accelerated inward diffusion of Al from the nanocrystalline coatings into the substrate. In order to enhance the durability of these coatings, it is necessary to develop a diffusion barrier interlayer coating such TiN and/or AlN. The third task 'Process Advanced MCrAl Nanocoating Systems' of the six-task project jointly sponsored by the Electric Power Research Institute, EPRI and the U.S. Department of Energy (DE-FC26-07NT43096)- has focused on processing of advanced nanocrystalline coating systems and development of diffusion barrier interlayer coatings. Among the diffusion interlayer coatings evaluated, the TiN interlayer coating was found to be the optimum one. This report describes the research conducted under the Task 3 workscope.
Steady-State Dynamics of the Forest Fire Model on Complex Networks
Bancal, Jean-Daniel
2009-01-01
Many sociological networks, as well as biological and technological ones, can be represented in terms of complex networks with a heterogeneous connectivity pattern. Dynamical processes taking place on top of them can be very much influenced by this topological fact. In this paper we consider a paradigmatic model of non-equilibrium dynamics, namely the forest fire model, whose relevance lies in its capacity to represent several epidemic processes in a general parametrization. We study the behavior of this model in complex networks by developing the corresponding heterogeneous mean-field theory and solving it in its steady state. We provide exact and approximate expressions for homogeneous networks and several instances of heterogeneous networks. A comparison of our analytical results with extensive numerical simulations allows to draw the region of the parameter space in which heterogeneous mean-field theory provides an accurate description of the dynamics, and enlights the limits of validity of the mean-field...
Winguth, Arne
a dynamic Earth system model A. Winguth Center for Climatic Research, Department of Atmospheric and Oceanic; accepted 26 October 2005; published 15 December 2005. [1] A complex Earth system model including atmosphere and anthropogenic climate change using a dynamic Earth system model, Geophys. Res. Lett., 32, L23714, doi:10
A dynamic battery model for co-design in cyber-physical systems Fumin Zhang, Zhenwu Shi
Zhang, Fumin
A dynamic battery model for co-design in cyber-physical systems Fumin Zhang, Zhenwu Shi School, Georgia 30332 Email: wolf@ece.gatech.edu Abstract We introduce a dynamic battery model that describes the variations of the capacity of a battery under time varying discharge current. This model supports a co
Stochastic Wilson-Cowan models of neuronal network dynamics with memory and delay
Goychuk, Igor
2015-01-01
We consider a simple Markovian class of the stochastic Wilson-Cowan type models of neuronal network dynamics, which incorporates stochastic delay caused by the existence of a refractory period of neurons. From the point of view of the dynamics of the individual elements, we are dealing with a network of non-Markovian stochastic two-state oscillators with memory which are coupled globally in a mean-field fashion. This interrelation of a higher-dimensional Markovian and lower-dimensional non-Markovian dynamics is discussed in its relevance to the general problem of the network dynamics of complex elements possessing memory. The simplest model of this class is provided by a three-state Markovian neuron with one refractory state, which causes firing delay with an exponentially decaying memory within the two-state reduced model. This basic model is used to study critical avalanche dynamics (the noise sustained criticality) in a balanced feedforward network consisting of the excitatory and inhibitory neurons. Such ...
A Dynamic Solar Core Model: On the Activity-Related Changes of the Neutrino Fluxes
Attila Grandpierre
1998-10-08
The energy sources of the Sun may actually involve a thermonuclear runaway energy source present in stellar energy producing regions. I consider the conjectures of the derived model for the solar neutrino fluxes in case of a solar core allowed to vary in relation to the surface activity cycle. The observed neutrino flux data suggest a solar core possibly varying in time. In the dynamic solar model the quiet and runaway energy sources together may produce quasi-constant flux in the SuperKamiokande because it is sensitive to neutral currents, axions and anti-neutrinos, too. I calculate the contributions of the runaway source to the individual neutrino detectors. The results of the dynamic solar core model suggest that since the HOMESTAKE detects mostly the high energy electron neutrinos, therefore the HOMESTAKE data may aniticorrelate with the activity cycle. Activity correlated changes are expected to be present only marginally in the GALLEX and GNO data. The gallium detectors are sensitive mostly to the pp neutrinos, and the changes of the pp neutrinos arising from the SSM-like core is mostly compensated by the high-energy electron neutrinos produced by the hot bubbles of the dynamic energy source. The results suggest that the GALLEX data may show an anti-correlation, while the SuperKamiokande data may show a correlation with the activity cycle. Predictions of the dynamic solar model are presented for the SNO and Borexino experiments which can distinguish between the effects of the MSW mechanism and the consequences of the dynamic solar model. The results of the dynamic solar model are consistent with the present heioseismic measurements and can be checked with future heioseismic measurements as well. Keywords: solar neutrino problems - solar activity - thermonuclear runaways
Assessment of Drag Models for Geldart A Particles in Bubbling Fluidized Beds
DOE Public Access Gateway for Energy & Science Beta (PAGES Beta)
Estejab, Bahareh; Battaglia, Francine
2015-10-08
In order to accurately predict the hydrodynamic behavior of gas and solid phases using an Eulerian–Eulerian approach, it is crucial to use appropriate drag models to capture the correct physics. In this study, the performance of seven drag models for fluidization of Geldart A particles of coal, poplar wood, and their mixtures was assessed. In spite of the previous findings that bode badly for using predominately Geldart B drag models for fine particles, the results of our study revealed that if static regions of mass in the fluidized beds are considered, these drag models work well with Geldart A particles.more »It was found that drag models derived from empirical relationships adopt better with Geldart A particles compared to drag models that were numerically developed. Overall, the Huilin–Gidaspow drag model showed the best performance for both single solid phases and binary mixtures, however, for binary mixtures, Wen–Yu model predictions were also accurate.« less
Alternating-phase focusing: A model to study nonlinear dynamics
Sagalovsky, L.; Delayen, J.R.
1992-01-01
We discuss a new model to study alternating-phase focusing (APF). Our approach is based on representing the accelerating electric field with a continuous phase modulated traveling wave. The resulting nonlinear equations of motion can be solved analytically to predict the regions of stable APF motion. We also identify the key parameters which adequately describe the physics of APF. The model is believed to be applicable to low-{beta} ion linacs with short independently-controlled superconducting cavities being developed at ANL.
Alternating-phase focusing: A model to study nonlinear dynamics
Sagalovsky, L.; Delayen, J.R.
1992-09-01
We discuss a new model to study alternating-phase focusing (APF). Our approach is based on representing the accelerating electric field with a continuous phase modulated traveling wave. The resulting nonlinear equations of motion can be solved analytically to predict the regions of stable APF motion. We also identify the key parameters which adequately describe the physics of APF. The model is believed to be applicable to low-{beta} ion linacs with short independently-controlled superconducting cavities being developed at ANL.
SUMO, System performance assessment for a high-level nuclear waste repository: Mathematical models
Eslinger, P.W.; Miley, T.B.; Engel, D.W.; Chamberlain, P.J. II
1992-09-01
Following completion of the preliminary risk assessment of the potential Yucca Mountain Site by Pacific Northwest Laboratory (PNL) in 1988, the Office of Civilian Radioactive Waste Management (OCRWM) of the US Department of Energy (DOE) requested the Performance Assessment Scientific Support (PASS) Program at PNL to develop an integrated system model and computer code that provides performance and risk assessment analysis capabilities for a potential high-level nuclear waste repository. The system model that has been developed addresses the cumulative radionuclide release criteria established by the US Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) and estimates population risks in terms of dose to humans. The system model embodied in the SUMO (System Unsaturated Model) code will also allow benchmarking of other models being developed for the Yucca Mountain Project. The system model has three natural divisions: (1) source term, (2) far-field transport, and (3) dose to humans. This document gives a detailed description of the mathematics of each of these three divisions. Each of the governing equations employed is based on modeling assumptions that are widely accepted within the scientific community.
Boutchko, R.
2014-01-01
emission tomography systems and computational fluid dynamicsa computational ?uid dynamics (CFD) model of the systemthe computational domain. A Cartesian coordinate system was
Dynamic Delayed Duplicate Detection for External Memory Model Checking
Evangelista, Sami
is a method to prove that finite state systems match their spec- ification. Given a model of the system space, of the system to check the validity of the property. Despite its simplicity, its practical to benefit from the aggregate computational power and memory of a cluster of machines, or make use
Dynamic Partial Order Reduction for Relaxed Memory Models Naling Zhang
Wang, Chao
Tech Blacksburg, VA, USA chaowang@vt.edu Abstract Under a relaxed memory model such as TSO or PSO reduction (POR) algorithm for verify- ing concurrent programs under TSO and PSO. Our method relies techniques to TSO and PSO without overhauling the verification algorithm. In addition to sound POR, we also
Dynamic modeling and learning user profile in personalized news agent
Widyantoro, Dwi Hendratmo
1999-01-01
result, many software agents have been employed to perform autonomous information gathering and altering on behalf of the user. One of the critical issues in such an agent is the capability of the agent to model its users and adapt itself over time...
Dynamical regimes in neural network models of matching behavior
Columbia University
models have been proposed to explain the matching behavior observed in the experiments. Here we study, several theoretical works explain the matching behavior observed in ex- periments (Sugrue et al., 2004 the matching behavior observed in experiments in which monkeys are trained to choose between two visual targets
Update on Small Modular Reactors Dynamics System Modeling Tool -- Molten Salt Cooled Architecture
Hale, Richard Edward; Cetiner, Sacit M.; Fugate, David L.; Qualls, A L.; Borum, Robert C.; Chaleff, Ethan S.; Rogerson, Doug W.; Batteh, John J.; Tiller, Michael M.
2014-08-01
The Small Modular Reactor (SMR) Dynamic System Modeling Tool project is in the third year of development. The project is designed to support collaborative modeling and study of various advanced SMR (non-light water cooled) concepts, including the use of multiple coupled reactors at a single site. The objective of the project is to provide a common simulation environment and baseline modeling resources to facilitate rapid development of dynamic advanced reactor SMR models, ensure consistency among research products within the Instrumentation, Controls, and Human-Machine Interface (ICHMI) technical area, and leverage cross-cutting capabilities while minimizing duplication of effort. The combined simulation environment and suite of models are identified as the Modular Dynamic SIMulation (MoDSIM) tool. The critical elements of this effort include (1) defining a standardized, common simulation environment that can be applied throughout the program, (2) developing a library of baseline component modules that can be assembled into full plant models using existing geometry and thermal-hydraulic data, (3) defining modeling conventions for interconnecting component models, and (4) establishing user interfaces and support tools to facilitate simulation development (i.e., configuration and parameterization), execution, and results display and capture.
Oldenburg, C.M.; Jordan, P.D.; Nicot, J.-P.; Mazzoldi, A.; Gupta, A.K.; Bryant, S.L.
2010-08-01
The Certification Framework (CF) is a simple risk assessment approach for evaluating CO{sub 2} and brine leakage risk at geologic carbon sequestration (GCS) sites. In the In Salah CO{sub 2} storage project assessed here, five wells at Krechba produce natural gas from the Carboniferous C10.2 reservoir with 1.7-2% CO{sub 2} that is delivered to the Krechba gas processing plant, which also receives high-CO{sub 2} natural gas ({approx}10% by mole fraction) from additional deeper gas reservoirs and fields to the south. The gas processing plant strips CO{sub 2} from the natural gas that is then injected through three long horizontal wells into the water leg of the Carboniferous gas reservoir at a depth of approximately 1,800 m. This injection process has been going on successfully since 2004. The stored CO{sub 2} has been monitored over the last five years by a Joint Industry Project (JIP) - a collaboration of BP, Sonatrach, and Statoil with co-funding from US DOE and EU DG Research. Over the years the JIP has carried out extensive analyses of the Krechba system including two risk assessment efforts, one before injection started, and one carried out by URS Corporation in September 2008. The long history of injection at Krechba, and the accompanying characterization, modeling, and performance data provide a unique opportunity to test and evaluate risk assessment approaches. We apply the CF to the In Salah CO{sub 2} storage project at two different stages in the state of knowledge of the project: (1) at the pre-injection stage, using data available just prior to injection around mid-2004; and (2) after four years of injection (September 2008) to be comparable to the other risk assessments. The main risk drivers for the project are CO{sub 2} leakage into potable groundwater and into the natural gas cap. Both well leakage and fault/fracture leakage are likely under some conditions, but overall the risk is low due to ongoing mitigation and monitoring activities. Results of the application of the CF during these different state-of-knowledge periods show that the assessment of likelihood of various leakage scenarios increased as more information became available, while assessment of impact stayed the same. Ongoing mitigation, modeling, and monitoring of the injection process is recommended.
Multiple higher-order singularities and iso-dynamics in a simple glass-former model
Nicoletta Gnan; Gayatri Das; Matthias Sperl; Francesco Sciortino; Emanuela Zaccarelli
2014-07-15
We investigate the slow dynamics of a colloidal model with two repulsive length scales, whose interaction potential is the sum of a hard-core and a square shoulder. Despite the simplicity of the interactions, Mode-Coupling theory predicts a complex dynamic scenario: a fluid-glass line with two reentrances and a glass-glass line ending with multiple higher-order ($A_3$ or $A_4$) singularities. In this work we verify the existence of the two $A_4$ points by numerical simulations, observing subdiffusive behaviour of the mean-square displacement and logarithmic decay of the density correlators. Surprisingly, we also discover a novel dynamic behaviour generated by the competition between the two higher-order singularities. This results in the presence of special loci along which the dynamics is identical \\textit{at all} length and time scales.
Modelling the Structure and Dynamics of Science Using Books
Ginda, Michael; Borner, Katy
2015-01-01
Scientific research is a major driving force in a knowledge based economy. Income, health and wellbeing depend on scientific progress. The better we understand the inner workings of the scientific enterprise, the better we can prompt, manage, steer, and utilize scientific progress. Diverse indicators and approaches exist to evaluate and monitor research activities, from calculating the reputation of a researcher, institution, or country to analyzing and visualizing global brain circulation. However, there are very few predictive models of science that are used by key decision makers in academia, industry, or government interested to improve the quality and impact of scholarly efforts. We present a novel 'bibliographic bibliometric' analysis which we apply to a large collection of books relevant for the modelling of science. We explain the data collection together with the results of the data analyses and visualizations. In the final section we discuss how the analysis of books that describe different modellin...
Incorporating modeling uncertainties in the assessment of seismic collapse risk of buildings
Baker, Jack W.
Incorporating modeling uncertainties in the assessment of seismic collapse risk of buildings Abbie Carlo Seismic reliability a b s t r a c t The primary goal of seismic provisions in building codes is to protect life safety through the prevention of structural collapse. To evaluate the extent to which current
Washington at Seattle, University of
Assessing Seasonal Confounding and Model Selection Bias in Air Pollution Epidemiology Using July 15, 1999 #12;Abstract Much of the evidence for health e ects of particulate air pollution has come standards for ambient air pollutants to protect the public from adverse e ects. Much of the evidence for air
Models for Assessing Power Fluctuations from Large Wind Farms N. A. Cutululis1)
that the active power supplied from the first large 160 MW offshore wind farm in this system, Horns Rev today). Figure 1. Power generation of Horns Rev offshore wind farm and onshore turbines, January 18 2005Models for Assessing Power Fluctuations from Large Wind Farms N. A. Cutululis1) , P. Sørensen1) , A
METHODOLOGY ARTICLE Open Access Quality assessment of protein model-structures
Nebel, Jean-Christophe
METHODOLOGY ARTICLE Open Access Quality assessment of protein model-structures based on structural Background: Experimental determination of protein 3D structures is expensive, time consuming and sometimes impossible. A gap between number of protein structures deposited in the World Wide Protein Data Bank
Arc Fault Risk Assessment and Degradation Model Development for Photovoltaic Connectors
Arc Fault Risk Assessment and Degradation Model Development for Photovoltaic Connectors Benjamin B of photovoltaic installations information necessary to develop a data-driven plan for BOS connector maintenance, reliability I. INTRODUCTION As the reliability of traditional photovoltaic (PV) modules becomes better
Paris-Sud XI, Université de
Assessing the prospective environmental impacts of photovoltaic systems based on a simplified LCA model. The latter generates the environmental impacts distribution, representative of the potential the environmental impacts of PV systems are small during their operating phase, they are more significant during
Refinement of weed risk assessments for biofuels using Camelina sativa as a model species
Lawrence, Rick L.
Refinement of weed risk assessments for biofuels using Camelina sativa as a model species Philip B and Environmental Sciences, Montana State University, PO Box 173120, Bozeman, MT 59717-3120, USA Summary 1. Biofuel. However, concerns have been raised on the invasiveness of biofuel feedstocks. Estimating invasion
ASSESSMENT OF THE MODELS FOR THE ESTIMATION OF THE CO2 RELEASES TOXIC EFFECTS
Boyer, Edmond
the global warming due to high concentration of CO2 in the atmosphere. However, in case of massive accidental to specific properties regarding its triple point. Then, this CO2 flakes creation may be followed1 ASSESSMENT OF THE MODELS FOR THE ESTIMATION OF THE CO2 RELEASES TOXIC EFFECTS Frédéric Antoine
Assessing and Modeling Exposure to Indoor Air Pollution among Rural Women in Guatemala
Assessing and Modeling Exposure to Indoor Air Pollution among Rural Women in Guatemala Lisa pollution in rural areas of developing countries. It is estimated that about half (53%) of all households in the poor countries of Latin American use biofuels (wood, dung and/or crop residues) to cook. Combustion by
Impact Assessment of Satellite-Derived Leaf Area Index Datasets Using a General Circulation Model
Xue, Yongkang
Impact Assessment of Satellite-Derived Leaf Area Index Datasets Using a General Circulation Model the impact of two different remote sensingderived leaf area index (RSLAI) datasets retrieved from the same using the RSLAI and other satellite-derived land surface products showed sub- stantial improvements
Detonating Failed Deflagration Model of Thermonuclear Supernovae I. Explosion Dynamics
Tomasz Plewa
2006-11-24
We present a detonating failed deflagration model of Type Ia supernovae. In this model, the thermonuclear explosion of a massive white dwarf follows an off-center deflagration. We conduct a survey of asymmetric ignition configurations initiated at various distances from the stellar center. In all cases studied, we find that only a small amount of stellar fuel is consumed during deflagration phase, no explosion is obtained, and the released energy is mostly wasted on expanding the progenitor. Products of the failed deflagration quickly reach the stellar surface, polluting and strongly disturbing it. These disturbances eventually evolve into small and isolated shock-dominated regions which are rich in fuel. We consider these regions as seeds capable of forming self-sustained detonations that, ultimately, result in the thermonuclear supernova explosion. Preliminary nucleosynthesis results indicate the model supernova ejecta are typically composed of about 0.1-0.25 Msun of silicon group elements, 0.9-1.2 Msun of iron group elements, and are essentially carbon-free. The ejecta have a composite morphology, are chemically stratified, and display a modest amount of intrinsic asymmetry. The innermost layers are slightly egg-shaped with the axis ratio ~1.2-1.3 and dominated by the products of silicon burning. This central region is surrounded by a shell of silicon-group elements. The outermost layers of ejecta are highly inhomogeneous and contain products of incomplete oxygen burning with only small admixture of unburned stellar material. The explosion energies are ~1.3-1.5 10^51 erg.
Bass, Steffen A.
-ion collisions? · Introduction: the basics of kinetic theory · Examples of transport models and their application-equilibrium QGP and hydrodynamic expansion hadronization hadronic phase and freeze-out · rigorous calculation and data Transport-Theory: · only observe the final state · rely on QGP signatures predicted by Theory
Dynamics of Cell Shape and Forces on Micropatterned Substrates Predicted by a Cellular Potts Model
Philipp J. Albert; Ulrich S. Schwarz
2014-05-19
Micropatterned substrates are often used to standardize cell experiments and to quantitatively study the relation between cell shape and function. Moreover, they are increasingly used in combination with traction force microscopy on soft elastic substrates. To predict the dynamics and steady states of cell shape and forces without any a priori knowledge of how the cell will spread on a given micropattern, here we extend earlier formulations of the two-dimensional cellular Potts model. The third dimension is treated as an area reservoir for spreading. To account for local contour reinforcement by peripheral bundles, we augment the cellular Potts model by elements of the tension-elasticity model. We first parameterize our model and show that it accounts for momentum conservation. We then demonstrate that it is in good agreement with experimental data for shape, spreading dynamics, and traction force patterns of cells on micropatterned substrates. We finally predict shapes and forces for micropatterns that have not yet been experimentally studied.
Effects of CDTT model on the dynamical instability of cylindrically symmetric collapsing stars
Kausar, Hafiza Rizwana, E-mail: rizwa_math@yahoo.com [Centre for Applicable Mathematics and Statistics, UCP Business School, University of Central Punjab, Johar Town, Lahore (Pakistan)
2013-01-01
We assume cylindrically symmetric stars which begin collapsing by dissipating energy in the form of heat flux. We wish to study the effects of Carroll-Duvvuri-Trodden-Turner (CDTT) model, f(R) = R+??{sup 4}/R, on the range of dynamical instability. For this purpose, perturbation scheme is applied to all the metric functions, material functions and f(R) model to obtain the full set of dynamical equation which control the evolution of the physical variables at the surface of a star. It is found that instability limit involves adiabatic index ? which depends on the density profile and immense terms of perturbed CDTT model. In addition, model is constrained by some requirement, e.g. positivity of physical quantities. We also reduce our results asymptotically as ??0, being the GR results in both the Newtonian and post Newtonian regimes.
Indoor Air Nuclear, Biological, and Chemical Health Modeling and Assessment System
Stenner, Robert D.; Hadley, Donald L.; Armstrong, Peter R.; Buck, John W.; Hoopes, Bonnie L.; Janus, Michael C.
2001-03-01
Indoor air quality effects on human health are of increasing concern to public health agencies and building owners. The prevention and treatment of 'sick building' syndrome and the spread of air-borne diseases in hospitals, for example, are well known priorities. However, increasing attention is being directed to the vulnerability of our public buildings/places, public security and national defense facilities to terrorist attack or the accidental release of air-borne biological pathogens, harmful chemicals, or radioactive contaminants. The Indoor Air Nuclear, Biological, and Chemical Health Modeling and Assessment System (IA-NBC-HMAS) was developed to serve as a health impact analysis tool for use in addressing these concerns. The overall goal was to develop a user-friendly fully functional prototype Health Modeling and Assessment system, which will operate under the PNNL FRAMES system for ease of use and to maximize its integration with other modeling and assessment capabilities accessible within the FRAMES system (e.g., ambient air fate and transport models, water borne fate and transport models, Physiologically Based Pharmacokinetic models, etc.). The prototype IA-NBC-HMAS is designed to serve as a functional Health Modeling and Assessment system that can be easily tailored to meet specific building analysis needs of a customer. The prototype system was developed and tested using an actual building (i.e., the Churchville Building located at the Aberdeen Proving Ground) and release scenario (i.e., the release and measurement of tracer materials within the building) to ensure realism and practicality in the design and development of the prototype system. A user-friendly "demo" accompanies this report to allow the reader the opportunity for a "hands on" review of the prototype system's capability.
A Dynamic Network Economic Model of a Service-Oriented Internet with Price and
Nagurney, Anna
Nagurney Department of Operations and Information Management, Isenberg School of Management, Uni- versity-mail: dongl@som.umass.edu Sara Saberi Department of Operations and Information Management, Isenberg SchoolA Dynamic Network Economic Model of a Service-Oriented Internet with Price and Quality Competition
A Dynamical Systems Analysis of the Data Assimilation Linked Ecosystem Carbon (DALEC) Models
Skeldon, Anne C.
A Dynamical Systems Analysis of the Data Assimilation Linked Ecosystem Carbon (DALEC) Models Anna M make it ever more important to understand the processes involved in Earth systems, such as the carbon with it the ability to perform ever- more detailed studies of the Earth system and its components. Such studies help
Steady-State and Dynamic Modeling of Commercial Slurry High-Density Polyethylene (HDPE) Processes
Liu, Y. A.
, solvent, and oligomeric species from the polymer. Sol- vent is separated from the oligomer and recycled, Polymers Plus and Aspen Dynamics. The discussion includes thermodynamic properties, phase equilibrium, reaction kinetics, polymer properties, and other modeling issues. We characterize a Ziegler- Natta catalyst
Minimizing the Electricity Bill of Cooperative Users under a Quasi-Dynamic Pricing Model
Pedram, Massoud
advocating that "residential electricity prices must be based on time of use" to fully enable smart gridMinimizing the Electricity Bill of Cooperative Users under a Quasi-Dynamic Pricing Model Safar Hatami and Massoud Pedram University of Southern California Department of Electrical Engineering
Energy dynamics and modeled evapotranspiration from a wet tropical forest in Costa Rica
Energy dynamics and modeled evapotranspiration from a wet tropical forest in Costa Rica H). #12;1. Introduction The energy balance of tropical forests is complex due to feedback mechanisms among.W. Loeschera, *, H.L. Gholza,b , J.M. Jacobsc , S.F. Oberbauerd,e a School of Forest Resources and Conservation
A Real-Time Reliability Model for Ontology-Based Dynamic Web Service Composition
Xu, Haiping
153 A Real-Time Reliability Model for Ontology-Based Dynamic Web Service Composition Harmeet Chawla--Ontology-based web service composition allows for integration of available web services in real-time to meet desired objectives. In order to evaluate the quality of composite web services at runtime, there is a pressing need
A low-dimensional dynamic model of severe slugging for control design and analysis
Skogestad, Sigurd
. The prerequisites for this to occur are relatively low pipeline pressure and flow rates. Gravity induced slugs the topside (or wellhead) choke valve. However, the increased pressure drop will lower oil recoveryA low-dimensional dynamic model of severe slugging for control design and analysis Espen Storkaas
Simplified dynamic models for control of riser slugging in offshore oil production
Skogestad, Sigurd
especially for fields where the reservoir pressure is relatively low. Therefore, a solution that guaranteesForReview Only Simplified dynamic models for control of riser slugging in offshore oil production Journal: Oil and Gas Facilities Manuscript ID: Draft Manuscript Type: Technical Paper Date Submitted
Modeling and Dynamic Management of 3D Multicore Systems with Liquid Cooling
Simunic, Tajana
Modeling and Dynamic Management of 3D Multicore Systems with Liquid Cooling Ayse K. Coskun , Jos liquid cooling. Furthermore, for systems capable of varying the coolant flow rate at runtime, our University of Madrid, Spain. Embedded Systems Laboratory (ESL), Ecole Polytechnique FÂ´edÂ´erale de Lausanne
Sukhatme, Gaurav S.
Helicopter Srikanth Saripalli and Gaurav S. Sukhatme Robotics Embedded Systems Laboratory Department,gaurav}@robotics.usc.edu Abstract We propose the use of a model helicopter to emulate the landing dynamics of a spacecraft. Our controller accepts thruster inputs (like those on a spacecraft) and converts them into appropriate helicopter
Planning and Control of Electric Vehicles Using Dynamic Energy Capacity Models
Zhang, Wei
for a large population of Plug-in Electric Vehicles (PEVs) for demand response applications. We consider both costs. I. INTRODUCTION The number of Plug-in Electric Vehicles (PEVs) is ex- pected to be more than onePlanning and Control of Electric Vehicles Using Dynamic Energy Capacity Models Jianzhe Liu*, Sen Li
A Kernel-Based Spatio-Temporal Dynamical Model for Nowcasting Weather Radar Reflectivities
A Kernel-Based Spatio-Temporal Dynamical Model for Nowcasting Weather Radar Reflectivities Ke Xu of the technique and its potential for nowcasting weather radar reflectivities. Key Words: Bayesian, dilation to nowcasting weather radar reflectivities into two general categories. The first is the use of simple
Condensation of helium in aerogels and athermal dynamics of the Random Field Ising Model
Boyer, Edmond
Condensation of helium in aerogels and athermal dynamics of the Random Field Ising Model Geoffroy J isotherms of 4He in a silica aerogel be- come discontinuous below a critical temperature. We show by the aerogel structure, but to the disorder-driven critical point predicted for the athermal out
Modelling dynamics of piezoelectric solids in the two-dimensional case
Melnik, Roderick
that may not be attained by purely electronic means. These new horizons of piezoelectric applicationsModelling dynamics of piezoelectric solids in the two-dimensional case R.V.N. Melnik a,*, K; Hollow piezoceramic cylinders; Corner points; Accuracy estimates 1. Introduction In many applications
Modeling Sediment and Wood Storage and Dynamics in Small Mountainous Watersheds
85 Modeling Sediment and Wood Storage and Dynamics in Small Mountainous Watersheds Stephen T controls on supply and transport of sediment and wood in a small (approximately two square kilometers) basin in the Oregon Coast Range, typical of streams at the interface between episodic sediment and wood
Adaptive Model Predictive Control of the Hybrid Dynamics of a Fuel Cell System.
Paris-Sud XI, Université de
Adaptive Model Predictive Control of the Hybrid Dynamics of a Fuel Cell System. M. Fiacchini, T operation of a fuel cell system is presented. The aim of the control design is to guarantee that the oxygen control to a fuel cell plant is presented. The fuel cell, located in the laboratory of the Department
A Diffusion Model in Population Genetics with Mutation and Dynamic Fitness
O'Leary, Michael
A Diffusion Model in Population Genetics with Mutation and Dynamic Fitness Mike O'Leary Department of Mathematics Towson University World Conference on Nonlinear Analysis Orlando, FL July 2008 Mike O'Leary of this work are joint with Judith Miller, Georgetown University. Mike O'Leary (Towson University) A Diffusion
Simplified dynamic models for control of riser slugging in offshore oil production
Skogestad, Sigurd
ForReview Only Simplified dynamic models for control of riser slugging in offshore oil production, Department of Chemical Engineering Keywords: oil production, two-phase flow, severe slugging, riser slugging for control of riser slugging in offshore oil production Esmaeil Jahanshahi, Sigurd Skogestad Department
Quasi-static and Quasi-dynamic Modeling of Earthquake Failure at Intermediate Scales
Ben-Zion, Yehuda
Quasi-static and Quasi-dynamic Modeling of Earthquake Failure at Intermediate Scales GERT ZO¨ LLER1 of the regions around the fault, static/ kinetic friction laws with possible gradual healing, and stress transfer based on the solution of CHINNERY (1963) for static dislocations in an elastic half-space. As a new
A Simple Stand Growth Model Based on Canopy Dynamics and Biomechanics
Cao, Quang V.
A Simple Stand Growth Model Based on Canopy Dynamics and Biomechanics Thomas J. Dean, Mauricio be expressed in terms of wind drag. From this point of view, biomechanical principles determine the stem cross in a developing stand, biomechanics create a conceptual framework for predicting aboveground stem production
PhD Position Available: integrative biomechanics, computational modeling, nonlinear dynamics
Clewley, Robert
PhD Position Available: integrative biomechanics, computational modeling, nonlinear dynamics and mathematical analysis of biomechanical and neural control systems. We are looking for an excellent and highly.edu/~biodhe/#Research). These are being used to study the Crayfish swim escape mechanism as a case study in integrative biomechanical
Simulation of exhaust gas pollution within an eventdriven multimodal dynamic traffic model
Toint, Philippe
. The second is the temporal evolution of the pollution level, both globally and at the scale of specific city1 Simulation of exhaust gas pollution within an eventdriven multimodal dynamic traffic model E development of the last decade, and the quality of life in cities is part of these emerging and widely spread
Perovskite Quantum Dots Modeled Using ab Initio and Replica Exchange Molecular Dynamics
Sargent, Edward H. "Ted"
Perovskite Quantum Dots Modeled Using ab Initio and Replica Exchange Molecular Dynamics Andrei Buin halide perovskites have recently attracted tremen- dous attention at both the experimental. Here we investigate perovskite quantum dots from theory, predicting an upper bound of the Bohr radius
DYNAMIC MODEL OF AN INDUSTRIAL HEAT PUMP USING WATER AS REFRIGERANT
Paris-Sud XI, Université de
1 DYNAMIC MODEL OF AN INDUSTRIAL HEAT PUMP USING WATER AS REFRIGERANT CHAMOUN MARWAN to improve industrial energy efficiency, the development of a high temperature heat pump using water vapor as refrigerant is investigated. Technical problems restraining the feasibility of this industrial heat pump
Combining Multiple Dynamic Models and Deep Learning Architectures for Tracking the
Carneiro, Gustavo
1 Combining Multiple Dynamic Models and Deep Learning Architectures for Tracking the Left Ventricle such that the expected segmentation of the current time step is estimated based on the appearance, shape, and motion Classifiers. This work was supported by project the FCT (ISR/IST plurianual funding) through the PIDDAC
Energy-Aware Modeling and Scheduling of Real-Time Tasks for Dynamic Voltage Scaling
Xu, Cheng-Zhong
scaling (DVS) is an effective approach to power reduction by scaling the processor voltage and frequency the voltage accordingly. On the other hand, a reduction of the operating frequency leads to an increaseEnergy-Aware Modeling and Scheduling of Real-Time Tasks for Dynamic Voltage Scaling Xiliang Zhong
Inferred Models for Dynamic and Sparse Hardware-Software Spaces Weidan Wu Benjamin C. Lee
Lee, Benjamin C.
Inferred Models for Dynamic and Sparse Hardware-Software Spaces Weidan Wu Benjamin C. Lee Duke University {weidan.wu, benjamin.c.lee}@duke.edu Abstract Diverse software and heterogeneous hardware pose new hardware-software analysis. These strategies include (i) identifying shared software behavior; (ii
Modelling Shale Gas Flow Using the Concept of Dynamic Apparent Permeability
Farid, Syed Munib Ullah
2015-05-12
The basic idea behind this research is to propose a work flow to model gas flow in numerical simulators, which would take into consideration all the complexities of the multiple porosity systems that exist in shale matrix and the different dynamics...
Filtering Noisy ECG Signals Using the Extended Kalman Filter Based on a Modified Dynamic ECG Model
Paris-Sud XI, Université de
of biomedical signal processing. Specifically, the extraction of ECG signals from low SNR measurementsFiltering Noisy ECG Signals Using the Extended Kalman Filter Based on a Modified Dynamic ECG Model University of Technology, Tehran, Iran 2 Images and Signals Laboratory, Institut National Polytechnique de
FLUID DYNAMICAL AND MODELING ISSUES OF CHEMICAL FLOODING FOR ENHANCED OIL RECOVERY
Daripa, Prabir
of the objective functions in tertiary oil recovery by polymer flooding is the "op- timal" viscous profileFLUID DYNAMICAL AND MODELING ISSUES OF CHEMICAL FLOODING FOR ENHANCED OIL RECOVERY Prabir Daripa are succinctly summarized including characteri- zation of the optimal flooding scheme that leads to maximum oil
A Probabilistic Model for the Dynamics of Cascading Failures and Blackouts in Power Grids
Hayat, Majeed M.
cause failures of power system components such as transmission lines and generators, which, in turn, may1 A Probabilistic Model for the Dynamics of Cascading Failures and Blackouts in Power Grids Mahshid Abstract--Current power grids suffer periodic disturbances that may trigger cascades of component failures
A continuum model for defect dynamics in metallic glasses Amit Acharya
Acharya, Amit
a fundamental characterization of the process of plastic deformation in a metallic glass, relating its structure and the simplest linear kinetic assumptions arising from enforcing the second law of thermodynamics mechanical model of defect dynamics in metallic glasses that accounts for topological, energetic, and kinetic
Dynamic Model and Control of a New Quadrotor Unmanned Aerial Vehicle with Tilt-Wing
Yanikoglu, Berrin
Dynamic Model and Control of a New Quadrotor Unmanned Aerial Vehicle with Tilt-Wing Mechanism Kaan, LQR, Quadrotor, Tilt-wing, VTOL. I. INTRODUCTION Unmanned aerial vehicles (UAV) designed for various of a new tilt-wing aerial vehicle (SUAVi: Sabanci University Unmanned Aerial Vehicle) that is capable
Technical Note Comparing Dynamic Causal Models using AIC, BIC and Free Energy
Penny, Will
Technical Note Comparing Dynamic Causal Models using AIC, BIC and Free Energy W.D. Penny Wellcome (Hoeting et al., 1999), signal processing (Penny and Roberts, 2002), machine learning (Beal and Ghahramani, 2003), and neuroimaging (Friston et al., 2008; Penny et al., 2003; Trujillo-Barreto et al., 2004
A non-stationary model for simulating the dynamics of ocular aberrations
Dainty, Chris
Signal Processing and Signal Modeling (Wiley Series in Telecommunications and Signal Processing, 2001). 2 of aberration components in the human eye," In IEEE Signal Process. Workshop Statist. pages 241-244 (2001). 12 and retinal image quality due to tear film dynamics," Opt. Express 14, 12552-12559 (2006). 18. L. Rankine, N
Dynamical Coupled-Channel Model of Meson Production Reactions in the Nucleon Resonance Region
T.-S. H. Lee; A. Matsuyama; T. Sato
2006-11-15
A dynamical coupled-channel model is presented for investigating the nucleon resonances (N*) in the meson production reactions induced by pions and photons. Our objective is to extract the N* parameters and to investigate the meson production reaction mechanisms for mapping out the quark-gluon substructure of N* from the data. The model is based on an energy-independent Hamiltonian which is derived from a set of Lagrangians by using a unitary transformation method.
Extraction and Interpretation of gamma N --> Delta Form Factors within a Dynamical Model
B. Julia-Diaz; T. -S. H. Lee; T. Sato; L. C. Smith
2006-12-15
Within the dynamical model of Refs. [Phys. Rev. C54, 2660 (1996); C63, 055201 (2001)], we perform an analysis of recent data of pion electroproduction reactions at energies near the Delta(1232) resonance. We discuss possible interpretations of the extracted bare and dressed gamma N --> Delta form factors in terms of relativistic constituent quark models and Lattice QCD calculations. Possible future developments are discussed.
Overview of the synergia 3-D multi-particle dynamics modeling framework
Spentzouris, P.; Amundson, J.F.; Dechow, D.R.; /Tech-X, Boulder
2005-05-01
High precision modeling of space-charge effects is essential for designing future accelerators as well as optimizing the performance of existing machines. Synergia is a high-fidelity parallel beam dynamics simulation package with fully three dimensional space-charge capabilities and a higher-order optics implementation. We describe the Synergia framework and model benchmarks we obtained by comparing to semi-analytic results and other codes. We also present Synergia simulations of the Fermilab Booster accelerator and comparisons with experiment.
Annual report, October 1980-September 1981 Multimedia radionuclide exposure assessment modeling.
Whelan, G.; Onishi, Y.; Simmons, C.S.; Horst, T.W.; Gupta, S.K.; Orgill, M.M.; Newbill, C.A.
1982-12-01
Pacific Northwest Laboratory (PNL) and Los Alamos National Laboratory (LANL) are jointly developing a methodology for assessing exposures of the air, water, and plants to radionuclides as part of an overall development effort of a radionuclide disposal site evaluation methodology. Work in FY-1981 continued the development of the Multimedia Contaminant Environmental Exposure Assessment (MCEA) methodology and initiated an assessment of radionuclide migration in Los Alamos and Pueblo Canyons, New Mexico, using the methodology. The AIRTRAN model was completed, briefly tested, and documented. In addition, a literature search for existing validation data for AIRTRAN was performed. The feasibility and advisability of including the UNSAT moisture flow model as a submodel of the terrestrial code BIOTRAN was assessed. A preliminary application of the proposed MCEA methodology, as it related to the Mortandad-South Mortandad Canyon site in New Mexico is discussed. This preliminary application represented a scaled-down version of the methodology in which only the terrestrial, overland, and surface water components were used. An update describing the progress in the assessment of radionuclide migration in Los Alamos and Pueblo Canyons is presented. 38 references, 47 figures, 11 tables.
Hoffman, Forrest M [ORNL; Randerson, James T [ORNL; Thornton, Peter E [ORNL; Bonan, Gordon [National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR); Erickson III, David J [ORNL; Fung, Inez [University of California, Berkeley
2009-12-01
The need to capture important climate feedbacks in general circulation models (GCMs) has resulted in efforts to include atmospheric chemistry and land and ocean biogeochemistry into the next generation of production climate models, called Earth System Models (ESMs). While many terrestrial and ocean carbon models have been coupled to GCMs, recent work has shown that such models can yield a wide range of results (Friedlingstein et al., 2006). This work suggests that a more rigorous set of global offline and partially coupled experiments, along with detailed analyses of processes and comparisons with measurements, are needed. The Carbon-Land Model Intercomparison Project (C-LAMP) was designed to meet this need by providing a simulation protocol and model performance metrics based upon comparisons against best-available satellite- and ground-based measurements (Hoffman et al., 2007). Recently, a similar effort in Europe, called the International Land Model Benchmark (ILAMB) Project, was begun to assess the performance of European land surface models. These two projects will now serve as prototypes for a proposed international land-biosphere model benchmarking activity for those models participating in the IPCC Fifth Assessment Report (AR5). Initially used for model validation for terrestrial biogeochemistry models in the NCAR Community Land Model (CLM), C-LAMP incorporates a simulation protocol for both offline and partially coupled simulations using a prescribed historical trajectory of atmospheric CO2 concentrations. Models are confronted with data through comparisons against AmeriFlux site measurements, MODIS satellite observations, NOAA Globalview flask records, TRANSCOM inversions, and Free Air CO2 Enrichment (FACE) site measurements. Both sets of experiments have been performed using two different terrestrial biogeochemistry modules coupled to the CLM version 3 in the Community Climate System Model version 3 (CCSM3): the CASA model of Fung, et al., and the carbon-nitrogen (CN) model of Thornton. Comparisons of the CLM3 offline results against observational datasets have been performed and are described in Randerson et al. (2009). CLM version 4 has been evaluated using C-LAMP, showing improvement in many of the metrics. Efforts are now underway to initiate a Nitrogen-Land Model Intercomparison Project (N-LAMP) to better constrain the effects of the nitrogen cycle in biosphere models. Presented will be new results from C-LAMP for CLM4, initial N-LAMP developments, and the proposed land-biosphere model benchmarking activity.
Nonparametric estimation of varying coefficient dynamic panel models
Cai, Zongwu; Li, Qi
2008-10-01
#2; m2 because the number of parameters in ~6! is m2+ However, when m1 #7; m2, the model is overidentified, and there may not exist a unique a to satisfy ~6!+ To obtain a unique a satisfy- ing ~6!, we premultiply ~6! by an m2 #3; m1 matrix Sn' , where... with Qit #1; Q~Vit ! and n #1; NT, Sn #1; 1 n #6; i#1;1 N #6; t#1;1 T QitUit' Kh~Zit #5; z!+ Then solving for a we obtain [a #1; ~Sn' Sn !#5;1Sn' Tn , (7) where Tn #1; 1 n #6; i#1;1 N #6; t#1;1 T Qit Kh~Zit #5; z!Yit + The estimator [a defined in ~7...
MODEL-BASED HYDROACOUSTIC BLOCKAGE ASSESSMENT AND DEVELOPMENT OF AN EXPLOSIVE SOURCE DATABASE
Matzel, E; Ramirez, A; Harben, P
2005-07-11
We are continuing the development of the Hydroacoustic Blockage Assessment Tool (HABAT) which is designed for use by analysts to predict which hydroacoustic monitoring stations can be used in discrimination analysis for any particular event. The research involves two approaches (1) model-based assessment of blockage, and (2) ground-truth data-based assessment of blockage. The tool presents the analyst with a map of the world, and plots raypath blockages from stations to sources. The analyst inputs source locations and blockage criteria, and the tool returns a list of blockage status from all source locations to all hydroacoustic stations. We are currently using the tool in an assessment of blockage criteria for simple direct-path arrivals. Hydroacoustic data, predominantly from earthquake sources, are read in and assessed for blockage at all available stations. Several measures are taken. First, can the event be observed at a station above background noise? Second, can we establish backazimuth from the station to the source. Third, how large is the decibel drop at one station relative to other stations. These observational results are then compared with model estimates to identify the best set of blockage criteria and used to create a set of blockage maps for each station. The model-based estimates are currently limited by the coarse bathymetry of existing databases and by the limitations inherent in the raytrace method. In collaboration with BBN Inc., the Hydroacoustic Coverage Assessment Model (HydroCAM) that generates the blockage files that serve as input to HABAT, is being extended to include high-resolution bathymetry databases in key areas that increase model-based blockage assessment reliability. An important aspect of this capability is to eventually include reflected T-phases where they reliably occur and to identify the associated reflectors. To assess how well any given hydroacoustic discriminant works in separating earthquake and in-water explosion populations it is necessary to have both a database of reference earthquake events and of reference in-water explosive events. Although reference earthquake events are readily available, explosive reference events are not. Consequently, building an in-water explosion reference database requires the compilation of events from many sources spanning a long period of time. We have developed a database of small implosive and explosive reference events from the 2003 Indian Ocean Cruise data. These events were recorded at some or all of the IMS Indian Ocean hydroacoustic stations: Diego Garcia, Cape Leeuwin, and Crozet Island. We have also reviewed many historical large in-water explosions and identified five that have adequate source information and can be positively associated to the hydrophone recordings. The five events are: Cannekin, Longshot, CHASE-3, CHASE-5, and IITRI-1. Of these, the first two are nuclear tests on land but near water. The latter three are in-water conventional explosive events with yields from ten to hundreds of tons TNT equivalent. The objective of this research is to enhance discrimination capabilities for events located in the world's oceans. Two research and development efforts are needed to achieve this: (1) improvement in discrimination algorithms and their joint statistical application to events, and (2) development of an automated and accurate blockage prediction capability that will identify all stations and phases (direct and reflected) from a given event that will have adequate signal to be used in a discrimination analysis. The strategy for improving blockage prediction in the world's oceans is to improve model-based prediction of blockage and to develop a ground-truth database of reference events to assess blockage. Currently, research is focused on the development of a blockage assessment software tool. The tool is envisioned to develop into a sophisticated and unifying package that optimally and automatically assesses both model and data based blockage predictions in all ocean basins, for all NDC stations, and accounting for refle
Schuh, Harald
with a dynamic Earth system model (completed in October 2004) Variations of Earth rotation are caused Earth system model DyMEG has been developed. It is based on the balance of angular momentum
Real-Time Multi-Sensor Multi-Source Network Data Fusion Using Dynamic Traffic Assignment Models
Ben-Akiva, Moshe E.
This paper presents a model-based data fusion framework that allows systematic fusing of multi-sensor multi-source traffic network data at real-time. Using simulation-based Dynamic Traffic Assignment (DTA) models, the ...
Wegner, T.
We evaluate the simulation of polar stratospheric clouds (PSCs) in the Specified Dynamics version of the Whole Atmosphere Community Climate Model for the Antarctic winter 2005. In this model, PSCs are assumed to form ...
Analyzing Dynamic Probabilistic Risk Assessment Data through Topology-Based Clustering
Diego Mandelli; Dan Maljovec; BeiWang; Valerio Pascucci; Peer-Timo Bremer
2013-09-01
We investigate the use of a topology-based clustering technique on the data generated by dynamic event tree methodologies. The clustering technique we utilizes focuses on a domain-partitioning algorithm based on topological structures known as the Morse-Smale complex, which partitions the data points into clusters based on their uniform gradient flow behavior. We perform both end state analysis and transient analysis to classify the set of nuclear scenarios. We demonstrate our methodology on a dataset generated for a sodium-cooled fast reactor during an aircraft crash scenario. The simulation tracks the temperature of the reactor as well as the time for a recovery team to fix the passive cooling system. Combined with clustering results obtained previously through mean shift methodology, we present the user with complementary views of the data that help illuminate key features that may be otherwise hidden using a single methodology. By clustering the data, the number of relevant test cases to be selected for further analysis can be drastically reduced by selecting a representative from each cluster. Identifying the similarities of simulations within a cluster can also aid in the drawing of important conclusions with respect to safety analysis.
Technical Review of the CENWP Computational Fluid Dynamics Model of the John Day Dam Forebay
Rakowski, Cynthia L.; Serkowski, John A.; Richmond, Marshall C.
2010-12-01
The US Army Corps of Engineers Portland District (CENWP) has developed a computational fluid dynamics (CFD) model of the John Day forebay on the Columbia River to aid in the development and design of alternatives to improve juvenile salmon passage at the John Day Project. At the request of CENWP, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory (PNNL) Hydrology Group has conducted a technical review of CENWP's CFD model run in CFD solver software, STAR-CD. PNNL has extensive experience developing and applying 3D CFD models run in STAR-CD for Columbia River hydroelectric projects. The John Day forebay model developed by CENWP is adequately configured and validated. The model is ready for use simulating forebay hydraulics for structural and operational alternatives. The approach and method are sound, however CENWP has identified some improvements that need to be made for future models and for modifications to this existing model.
Experimental estimation of dynamic plastic bending moments by plastic hinge models
Sogo, T.; Ujihashi, S.; Matsumoto, H.; Adachi, T.
1995-12-31
In the present paper, the experimental estimation of dynamic plastic bending moments for metallic materials is investigated. The three-point bending, test under impact and static loads is applied to aluminum alloy (JIS A6063S) and mild steel (JIS SS400). It is confirmed that tile dynamic bending deformations in three-point bending test can be modeled as a plastic hinge, tile experimental results show that the consumed energies of the specimens are proportional to the bending angles. The ratio of the consumed energy to the bending angle is approximately equal to the plastic bending moment. In the case of aluminum alloy, the dynamic plastic bending moments for the different average bending angular velocities coincide with the static plastic bending moments. On the other hand, in the case of mild steel, the dynamic plastic bending moments are proportional to the average bending angular velocities. As a result, we confirm that the present method based on the plastic hinge model and the consumed energy is efficient for determining tile dynamic plastic bending moment.
A novel mathematical technique to assess of the mitral valve dynamics based on echocardiography
Karvandi, Mersedeh; Hassantash, Seyed Ahmad; Foroughi, Mahnoosh
2015-01-01
Purpose: The mechanics of the mitral valve leaflet as a nonlinear, inelastic and anisotropic soft tissue results from an integrated response of many mathematical/physical indexes' that illustrate the tissue. In the past decade, finite element modeling of complete heart valves has greatly aided evaluation of heart valve surgery, design of bioprosthetic valve replacements, and general understanding of healthy and abnormal cardiac function. Such a model must be based on an accurate description of the mechanical behavior of the valve material. It is essential to calculate velocity/displacement and strain rate/strain at a component level that is to work at the cellular level. In this study we developed the first three-dimensional displacement vectors field in the characterization of mitral valve leaflets in continuum equations of inelasticity framework based on echocardiography. Method: Much of our knowledge of abnormal mitral valve function is based on surgical and post-mortem studies while these studies are quan...
Diaz, N. F.; Bertagnolio, S.; Andre, P.
2009-01-01
been collected. The simulation of the whole system is performed by means of a dynamic thermal model of the building and its HVAC system. The model considers the radiant panels as a dynamic-state finned heat exchanger connected to a simplified lumped...
Monte Carlo study of the CO-poisoning dynamics in a model for the catalytic oxidation of CO
Marro, Joaquín
Monte Carlo study of the CO-poisoning dynamics in a model for the catalytic oxidation of CO The poisoning dynamics of the ZiffGulariBarshad Phys. Rev. Lett. 56, 2553 1986 model, for a monomer absorbing state and close to the coexistence point. Analysis of the average poisoning time ( p) allows us
DYNAMIC MODELING STRATEGY FOR FLOW REGIME TRANSITION IN GAS-LIQUID TWO-PHASE FLOWS
X. Wang; X. Sun; H. Zhao
2011-09-01
In modeling gas-liquid two-phase flows, the concept of flow regime has been used to characterize the global interfacial structure of the flows. Nearly all constitutive relations that provide closures to the interfacial transfers in two-phase flow models, such as the two-fluid model, are often flow regime dependent. Currently, the determination of the flow regimes is primarily based on flow regime maps or transition criteria, which are developed for steady-state, fully-developed flows and widely applied in nuclear reactor system safety analysis codes, such as RELAP5. As two-phase flows are observed to be dynamic in nature (fully-developed two-phase flows generally do not exist in real applications), it is of importance to model the flow regime transition dynamically for more accurate predictions of two-phase flows. The present work aims to develop a dynamic modeling strategy for determining flow regimes in gas-liquid two-phase flows through the introduction of interfacial area transport equations (IATEs) within the framework of a two-fluid model. The IATE is a transport equation that models the interfacial area concentration by considering the creation and destruction of the interfacial area, such as the fluid particle (bubble or liquid droplet) disintegration, boiling and evaporation; and fluid particle coalescence and condensation, respectively. For the flow regimes beyond bubbly flows, a two-group IATE has been proposed, in which bubbles are divided into two groups based on their size and shape (which are correlated), namely small bubbles and large bubbles. A preliminary approach to dynamically identifying the flow regimes is provided, in which discriminators are based on the predicted information, such as the void fraction and interfacial area concentration of small bubble and large bubble groups. This method is expected to be applied to computer codes to improve their predictive capabilities of gas-liquid two-phase flows, in particular for the applications in which flow regime transition occurs.
Grilli, Stéphan T.
Modeling of Tsunami Propagation in the Atlantic Ocean Basin for Tsunami Hazard Assessment along to estimating future seismic and tsunami hazard in Hispaniola. In 2013, the UNESCO commissioned initial modeling studies to assess tsunami hazard along the North shore of Hispaniola (NSOH), which is shared
Victoria, University of
On the Use of Computational Models for Wave Climate Assessment in Support of the Wave Energy On the Use of Computational Models for Wave Climate Assessment in Support of the Wave Energy Industry Effective, economic extraction of ocean wave energy requires an intimate under- standing of the ocean wave
On the characteristics of aerosol indirect effect based on dynamic regimes in global climate models
DOE Public Access Gateway for Energy & Science Beta (PAGES Beta)
Zhang, S.; Wang, M.; Ghan, S. J.; Ding, A.; Wang, H.; Zhang, K.; Neubauer, D.; Lohmann, U.; Ferrachat, S.; Takeamura, T.; et al
2015-09-02
Aerosol-cloud interactions continue to constitute a major source of uncertainty for the estimate of climate radiative forcing. The variation of aerosol indirect effects (AIE) in climate models is investigated across different dynamical regimes, determined by monthly mean 500 hPa vertical pressure velocity (?500), lower-tropospheric stability (LTS) and large-scale surface precipitation rate derived from several global climate models (GCMs), with a focus on liquid water path (LWP) response to cloud condensation nuclei (CCN) concentrations. The LWP sensitivity to aerosol perturbation within dynamic regimes is found to exhibit a large spread among these GCMs. It is in regimes of strong large-scale ascendmore »(?500 ?1) and low clouds (stratocumulus and trade wind cumulus) where the models differ most. Shortwave aerosol indirect forcing is also found to differ significantly among different regimes. Shortwave aerosol indirect forcing in ascending regimes is as large as that in stratocumulus regimes, which indicates that regimes with strong large-scale ascend are as important as stratocumulus regimes in studying AIE. It is further shown that shortwave aerosol indirect forcing over regions with high monthly large-scale surface precipitation rate (> 0.1 mm d?1) contributes the most to the total aerosol indirect forcing (from 64 to nearly 100 %). Results show that the uncertainty in AIE is even larger within specific dynamical regimes than that globally, pointing to the need to reduce the uncertainty in AIE in different dynamical regimes.« less