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Note: This page contains sample records for the topic "design market models" from the National Library of EnergyBeta (NLEBeta).
While these samples are representative of the content of NLEBeta,
they are not comprehensive nor are they the most current set.
We encourage you to perform a real-time search of NLEBeta
to obtain the most current and comprehensive results.


1

Designing Competitive Electricity Markets  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

This volume contains papers that were discussed at the first workshop on Markets for Electricity: Economics and Technology (MEET) held at Stanford University on March 7-8, 1997. The workshop's focus was how to design competitive electricity markets in an industry undergoing rapid changes in both economics and technology. The intended audience includes policy makers, policy-oriented academics, and corporate leaders. Chapters include: Introduction: Economic and Technological Principles in Designing Power M...

1998-12-19T23:59:59.000Z

2

Market Design Test Environments  

SciTech Connect

Power industry restructuring continues to evolve at multiple levels of system operations. At the bulk electricity level, several organizations charged with regional system operation are implementing versions of a Wholesale Power Market Platform (WPMP) in response to U.S. Federal Energy Regulatory Commission initiatives. Recently the Energy Policy Act of 2005 and several regional initiatives have been pressing the integration of demand response as a resource for system operations. These policy and regulatory pressures are driving the exploration of new market designs at the wholesale and retail levels. The complex interplay among structural conditions, market protocols, and learning behaviors in relation to short-term and longer-term market performance demand a flexible computational environment where designs can be tested and sensitivities to power system and market rule changes can be explored. This paper presents the use of agent-based computational methods in the study of electricity markets at the wholesale and retail levels, and distinctions in problem formulation between these levels.

Widergren, Steven E.; Sun, Junjie; Tesfatsion, Leigh

2006-06-18T23:59:59.000Z

3

Emerging markets: design goes global  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

China and India represent two of the most rapidly evolving markets for IC design today. According to the CMP China IC Design Survey 2002, demand for IC design services in China is growing exponentially alongside 8- and 12-inch wafer fab construction. ...

Chi-Foon Chan; Deirdre Hanford; Jian Yue Pan; Narendra Shenoy; Mahesh Mehendale; A. Vasudevan; Shaojun Wei

2003-06-01T23:59:59.000Z

4

NREL: Transmission Grid Integration - Electricity Market Design  

NLE Websites -- All DOE Office Websites (Extended Search)

Electricity Market Design Researchers at NREL are studying electricity market designs to find ways to better accommodate variable renewable energy resources and maximize...

5

Research Commentary---Designing Smart Markets  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

Electronic markets have been a core topic of information systems (IS) research for last three decades. We focus on a more recent phenomenon: smart markets. This phenomenon is starting to draw considerable interdisciplinary attention from the researchers ... Keywords: auctions, decision support systems, design, experimentation, platforms, preferences, smart markets, software agents, trading agent competition

Martin Bichler; Alok Gupta; Wolfgang Ketter

2010-12-01T23:59:59.000Z

6

Propane Market Model documentation report  

SciTech Connect

The purpose of this report is to define the objectives of the Propane Market Model (PMM), describe its basic approach, and to provide details on model functions. This report is intended as a reference document for model analysts, users, and the general public. Documentation of the model is in accordance with EIA`s legal obligation to provide adequate documentation in support of its models. The PMM performs a short-term (6- to 9-months) forecast of demand and price for consumer-grad propane in the national US market; it also calculates the end-of-month stock level during the term of the forecast. Another part of the model allows for short-term demand forecasts for certain individual Petroleum Administration for Defense (PAD) districts. The model is used to analyze market behavior assumptions or shocks and to determine the effect on market price, demand, and stock level.

1993-12-01T23:59:59.000Z

7

Distillate Market Model documentation report  

SciTech Connect

The purpose of this report is to define the objectives of the Distillate Market Model (DMM), describe its basic approach, and to provide details on model functions. This report is intended as a reference document for model analysts, users, and the general public. Documentation of the model is in accordance with EIA`s legal obligation to provide adequate documentation in support of its models. The DMM performs a short-term (6- to 9-month) forecast of demand and retail price for distillate fuel oil in the national US market; it also calculates the end-of-month stock level during the term of the forecast. The model is used to analyze certain market behavior assumptions or shocks and to determine the effect on retail market price, demand, and stock level.

1993-12-01T23:59:59.000Z

8

FUTURE POWER GRID INITIATIVE Market Design Analysis Tool  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

FUTURE POWER GRID INITIATIVE Market Design Analysis Tool OBJECTIVE Power market design plays a critical role in the outcomes related to power system reliability and market efficiency. However, translation of market rules/designs into the complex mathematical market clearing mechanism is not a trivial

9

Electricity Market Design and Price Manipulation  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

Integration of physical transactions and financial contracts is central to successful electricity market design. Virtually every energy transaction has some impact on prices. The mere fact that a physical transaction can affect prices to some degree, and thereby influence the prices of related financial contracts, cannot be a per se definition of price manipulation. A principled policy for characterizing price manipulation in organized electricity markets includes a stand-alone profitability test. Multiple market-clearing prices arise from degenerate pricing conditions that can occur in electricity markets under economic dispatch. In some instances, small changes in bilateral schedules can produce large changes in prices. These prices affect the value of associated financial transmission rights. A stand-alone profitability test distinguishes transactions that are consistent with workably competitive markets from transactions that serve no economic purpose other than to manipulate prices and profit from other financial contracts. Generalizing this standard to the degenerate conditions that give rise to multiple market-clearing prices provides a principled solution without undermining the market-design foundations that integrate economic dispatch, locational prices and financial transmission rights.

William W. Hogan; William W. Hogan I

2012-01-01T23:59:59.000Z

10

Regions in Energy Market Models  

DOE Green Energy (OSTI)

This report explores the different options for spatial resolution of an energy market model--and the advantages and disadvantages of models with fine spatial resolution. It examines different options for capturing spatial variations, considers the tradeoffs between them, and presents a few examples from one particular model that has been run at different levels of spatial resolution.

Short, W.

2007-02-01T23:59:59.000Z

11

Simulation Models of Market Power in Electric Markets  

NLE Websites -- All DOE Office Websites (Extended Search)

Simulation Models of Market Power in Electric Markets Speaker(s): James Bushnell Date: October 26, 2004 - 12:00pm Location: Bldg. 90 Seminar HostPoint of Contact: Bernard...

12

Designing Rules for the Capacity Market Hlne Le Cadre Michal Soubra  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

In this article, the energy market is a modeled as a Stackelberg game involving three categories of agents per unit of demand. Finally, coupling the energy and the capacity markets, we design rules for the ca the liberalization of the energy market and imposes the creation of a capacity market in 2015 which long term goal

13

Using Forward Markets to Improve Electricity Market Design  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

Forward markets, both medium term and long term, complement the spot market for wholesale electricity. The forward markets reduce risk, mitigate market power, and coordinate new investment. In the medium term, a forward energy market lets suppliers and demanders lock in energy prices and quantities for one to three years. In the long term, a forward reliability market assures adequate resources are available when they are needed most. The forward markets reduce risk for both sides of the market, since they reduce the quantity of energy that trades at the more volatile spot price. Spot market power is mitigated by putting suppliers and demanders in a more balanced position at the time of the spot market. The markets also reduce transaction costs and improve liquidity and transparency. Recent innovations to the Colombia market illustrate the basic elements of the forward markets and their beneficial role. 1

Lawrence M. Ausubel; Peter Cramton

2010-01-01T23:59:59.000Z

14

Electricity Market Design: The Good, the Bad, and the Ugly  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

This paper examines principles of market design asapplied to electricity markets. I illustrate the principleswith examples of both good and bad designs. I discuss oneof the main design challenges-dealing with marketpower. I then discuss FERC's choice ...

Peter Cramton

2003-01-01T23:59:59.000Z

15

Market Design and Price Behavior in Restructured Electricity Markets: An International Comparison  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

This paper argues that the market rules governing the operation of a re-structured electricity market in combination with its market structure can have a substantial impact on behavior of marketclearing prices. Using evidence on the design of electricity markets in England and Wales, Norway, the state of Victoria in Australia and New Zealand, this paper illustrates that market structure and market rules are important drivers of the behavior of prices in a competitive electricity market. The paper first summarizes the important features of the market structure and market rules in each country. One conclusion to emerge from this comparison is that there are many differences in how these markets in each country are organized. I then provide an assessment of the relationship between market rules and market structure and the behavior of prices in each market. The paper closes with a discussion of the available evidence that the behavior of prices in each country is the result of the exercis...

Frank A. Wolak

1997-01-01T23:59:59.000Z

16

Two market models for demand response in power networks  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

Abstract — In this paper, we consider two abstract market models for designing demand response to match power supply and shape power demand, respectively. We characterize the resulting equilibria in competitive as well as oligopolistic markets, and propose distributed demand response algorithms to achieve the equilibria. The models serve as a starting point to include the appliance-level details and constraints for designing practical demand response schemes for smart power grids. I.

Lijun Chen; Na Li; Steven H. Low; John C. Doyle

2010-01-01T23:59:59.000Z

17

Designing a US Market for CO2  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

In this paper we focus on one component of the cap-and-trade system: the markets that arise for trading allowances after they have been allocated or auctioned. The efficient functioning of the market is key to the success ...

Ellerman, A. Denny

2009-01-01T23:59:59.000Z

18

Motor Gasoline Market Model documentation report  

SciTech Connect

The purpose of this report is to define the objectives of the Motor Gasoline Market Model (MGMM), describe its basic approach and to provide detail on model functions. This report is intended as a reference document for model analysts, users, and the general public. The MGMM performs a short-term (6- to 9-month) forecast of demand and price for motor gasoline in the US market; it also calculates end of month stock levels. The model is used to analyze certain market behavior assumptions or shocks and to determine the effect on market price, demand and stock level.

1993-09-01T23:59:59.000Z

19

Petroleum Market Module (Volume 1), Model Documentation  

Reports and Publications (EIA)

Model Documentation Volume I - Defines the objectives of the Petroleum Market Model (PMM), describes its basic approach, and provides detail on how it works. This report is intended as a reference document for model analysts, users, and the public.

William Brown

2013-01-14T23:59:59.000Z

20

Green Design and the Market for Commercial Office Space | ENERGY...  

NLE Websites -- All DOE Office Websites (Extended Search)

Science + Business Media answers the question by exploring the relationship between green building design and leasing, as well as sales markets for commercial real estate....

Note: This page contains sample records for the topic "design market models" from the National Library of EnergyBeta (NLEBeta).
While these samples are representative of the content of NLEBeta,
they are not comprehensive nor are they the most current set.
We encourage you to perform a real-time search of NLEBeta
to obtain the most current and comprehensive results.


21

ESS 2012 Peer Review - Wholesale Electricity Market Design Project...  

Energy.gov (U.S. Department of Energy (DOE)) Indexed Site

horizontal position with even amount of white space between photos and header Wholesale Electricity Market Design Project September 28, 2012 Jim Ellison, Verne Loose, Ray Byrne,...

22

Modeling wealth distribution in growing markets  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

We introduce an auto-regressive model which captures the growing nature of realistic markets. In our model agents do not trade with other agents, they interact indirectly only through a market. Change of their wealth depends, linearly on how much they invest, and stochastically on how much they gain from the noisy market. The average wealth of the market could be fixed or growing. We show that in a market where investment capacity of agents differ, average wealth of agents generically follow the Pareto-law. In few cases, the individual distribution of wealth of every agent could also be obtained exactly. We also show that the underlying dynamics of other well studied kinetic models of markets can be mapped to the dynamics of our auto-regressive model.

Urna Basu; P. K. Mohanty

2008-03-27T23:59:59.000Z

23

A Two Stage Stochastic Equilibrium Model for Electricity Markets ...  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

Feb 6, 2008 ... A Two Stage Stochastic Equilibrium Model for Electricity Markets with Two ... Price and Woods [10] for a duopoly market to an oligopoly market.

24

Computing the Electricity Market Equilibrium: Uses of market equilibrium models  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

]. On the demand side, considerable demand is simply not exposed to wholesale price variation, which greatly complicates the spec- ification of a demand model. Furthermore, the specification of electricity markets Engineer- ing, The University of Texas at Austin, Austin, TX 78712, USA (email: baldick

Baldick, Ross

25

An agent-based approach to modeling electricity spot markets  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

(cont.) The model could also be used to analyze market factors (such as new market rules) and their effects on market price dynamics and market participants' behaviors, as well as to identify the "best" response action of ...

Visudhiphan, Poonsaeng, 1973-

2003-01-01T23:59:59.000Z

26

Role of Electricity Markets and Market Design in Integrating Solar Generation: Solar Integration Series. 2 of 3 (Brochure)  

DOE Green Energy (OSTI)

The second out of a series of three fact sheets describing the role of electricity markets and market design in integrating solar generation.

Not Available

2001-05-01T23:59:59.000Z

27

Stochastic Market Equilibrium Model For Generation Planning  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

It is widely accepted that medium-term generation planning can be advantageously modeled through market equilibrium representation. There exist several methods to define and solve this kind of equilibrium in a deterministic way. Medium-term planning ...

J. Barquín; E. Centeno; J. Reneses

2005-10-01T23:59:59.000Z

28

Transmission Considerations for Market Operation: U.S. Design (Presentation)  

SciTech Connect

Presented at the Utility Wind Integration Group (UWIG) Workshop on Market Design and Operation With Variable Renewables, 22 June 2011, Fredericia, Denmark. This presentation provides an overview of the present U.S. electricity market, how it operates, and some solutions for improving its operation, cost accounting, and integration of renewable power resources.

Ela, E.

2011-06-01T23:59:59.000Z

29

An auction design for local reserve energy markets  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

In this paper we develop an auction mechanism that is designed for a local energy market. It aims to enable regionally or virtually restricted trading of ancillary services, which enhances the position of the balance group responsible party beyond that ... Keywords: Agent-based simulation, Ancillary services, Auction, Distributed generation, Local market

C. Rosen, R. Madlener

2013-12-01T23:59:59.000Z

30

A hybrid systematic design for multiobjective market problems: a case study in crude oil markets  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

This paper studies an application of hybrid systematic design in multiobjective market problems. The target problem is suggested as unstructured real world problem such that the objectives cannot be expressed mathematically and only a set of historical ... Keywords: Crude oil markets, Fuzzy rule-based system, Multiobjective problems, Neural networks

M. R. Gholamian; S. M. T. Fatemi Ghomi; M. Ghazanfari

2005-06-01T23:59:59.000Z

31

Market Assessment for FEMP-Designated Product Category: Commercial...  

NLE Websites -- All DOE Office Websites (Extended Search)

Market Assessment for FEMP-Designated Product Category: Commercial Boilers Speaker(s): Donald Mauritz Date: October 3, 2011 - 12:00pm Location: 90-4133 Seminar HostPoint of...

32

Revenue model innovations in the Chinese online game market  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

This paper examines how incumbent firms with different levels of market dominance respond to revenue model innovation, i.e. the process by which revenues are generated and captured, and investigates the relationship between market dominance and different ... Keywords: chinese online game market, evolutionary model innovation, levels of market dominance, revenue model innovation, revolutionary model innovation

Jessie Qun Ren; Philip Hardwick

2008-10-01T23:59:59.000Z

33

PETROLEUM MARKET MODEL OF THE NATIONAL ENERGY MODELING SYSTEM ...  

U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA)

DOE/EIA-M059(2012) Part 2. PETROLEUM MARKET MODEL OF THE NATIONAL ENERGY MODELING SYSTEM . Part 2 - Appendices B thru J . October 2012 . Office of Energy Analysis

34

A Comparison of Electricity Market Designs in Networks  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

according to a well defined protocol. Such a design, as implemented for example in New England and PJM (Pennsylvania, New Jersey Mary- land and neighbouring states), ensures that different locational markets are automatically arbitraged and the network... includes marginal loss calculations. Furthermore, they have like PJM a multi-settlement system with integrated day-ahead and balancing market. The possibility to implement these additional features in a consistent way can be seen as an additional benefit...

Ehrenmann, A; Neuhoff, Karsten

2004-06-16T23:59:59.000Z

35

Modelling Information Flows in Financial Markets  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

This paper presents an overview of information-based asset pricing. In this approach, an asset is defined by its cash-flow structure. The market is assumed to have access to "partial" information about future cash flows. Each cash flow is determined by a collection of independent market factors called X-factors. The market filtration is generated by a set of information processes, each of which carries information about one of the X-factors, and eventually reveals the X-factor. Each information process has two terms, one of which contains a "signal" about the associated X-factor, and the other of which represents "market noise". The price of an asset is given by the expectation of the discounted cash flows in the risk-neutral measure, conditional on the information provided by the market. When the market noise is modelled by a Brownian bridge one is able to construct explicit formulae for asset prices, as well as semi-analytic expressions for the prices and greeks of options and derivatives. In particular, op...

Brody, Dorje C; Macrina, Andrea

2010-01-01T23:59:59.000Z

36

Methodology for modeling geothermal district heating for residential markets  

DOE Green Energy (OSTI)

Methodology is presented for geothermal district heat service and for evaluating the economic market potential for such nonelectrical utilization of the geothermal resource. It is based upon accurate determination of the heating demand and its spatial and temporal profile in each potential market, determination of the cost to provide such service, and correlation of markets and resource sites. Two components of the model are discussed in this report. the residential demand submodel and data base, which includes building characteristics and population distribution on a census tract or minor civil division grid for the nation, projects heating demand densities, and temporal profiles along with the building service modifications and costs. The service submodel and data base designs and costs a subtransmission and distribution network, and it evaluates operating losses at design conditions.

Karkheck, J.; Tessmer, R.G. Jr.

1978-08-01T23:59:59.000Z

37

Designing Soybeans for 21st Century Markets  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

Designing Soybeans for the 21st Century helps implement the USB strategy to maintain a dialog with the user community on how genetic technologies are helping the US soybean industry extend its position as the preferred source of high-quality soybe

38

Market Transformation: A Practical Guide to Designing and Evaluating Energy Efficient Programs  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

One widely accepted paradigm for energy efficiency marketing is called market transformation. This theory holds that energy efficiency programs should be designed to transform markets by reducing market barriers, thus allowing energy efficient products and services to become widely available and adopted by energy customers. Market transformation theory also states that these market changes should become persistent and self-sustaining.

2001-04-19T23:59:59.000Z

39

Modelling Correlation in Carbon and Energy Markets  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

, reflecting usage of installed generation capacity. The two hydrocarbon fuels, whose price interactions with carbon emission allowances are under consideration in this study, natural gas and hard coal, together account for approximately 35% of total fuel input... Modelling Correlation in Carbon and Energy Markets Philipp Koenig February 2011 CWPE 1123 & EPRG 1107 www.eprg.group.cam.ac.uk E P R G W O R K IN G P A P E R Abstract Modelling Correlation...

Koenig, Philipp

2011-02-10T23:59:59.000Z

40

Distributed Energy Resources Market Diffusion Model  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

regional differences in energy markets and climates, as welldiverse climates and energy markets. These differences areanalyze the effect of other energy market policies in future

Maribu, Karl Magnus; Firestone, Ryan; Marnay, Chris; Siddiqui, Afzal S.

2006-01-01T23:59:59.000Z

Note: This page contains sample records for the topic "design market models" from the National Library of EnergyBeta (NLEBeta).
While these samples are representative of the content of NLEBeta,
they are not comprehensive nor are they the most current set.
We encourage you to perform a real-time search of NLEBeta
to obtain the most current and comprehensive results.


41

Beyond Testing: Empirical Models of Insurance Markets  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

life insurance market: asymmetric information revisited. J.of insurance markets with incomplete information. J. Econ.Keywords: Insurance markets; Asymmetric information; Adverse

Einav, Liran; Finkelstein, Amy; Levin, Jonathan

2009-01-01T23:59:59.000Z

42

Agent-based Models of Financial Markets  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

This review deals with several microscopic (``agent-based'') models of financial markets which have been studied by economists and physicists over the last decade: Kim-Markowitz, Levy-Levy-Solomon, Cont-Bouchaud, Solomon-Weisbuch, Lux-Marchesi, Donangelo-Sneppen and Solomon-Levy-Huang. After an overview of simulation approaches in financial economics, we first give a summary of the Donangelo-Sneppen model of monetary exchange and compare it with related models in economics literature. Our selective review then outlines the main ingredients of some influential early models of multi-agent dynamics in financial markets (Kim-Markowitz, Levy-Levy-Solomon). As will be seen, these contributions draw their inspiration from the complex appearance of investors' interactions in real-life markets. Their main aim is to reproduce (and, thereby, provide possible explanations) for the spectacular bubbles and crashes seen in certain historical episodes, but they lack (like almost all the work before 1998 or so) a perspective ...

Samanidou, E; Stauffer, D; Lux, T

2008-01-01T23:59:59.000Z

43

NREL: Energy Analysis - Market Analysis Models and Tools  

NLE Websites -- All DOE Office Websites (Extended Search)

Energy Analysis Search More Search Options Site Map Printable Version Market Analysis Models and Tools The following is a list of models and tools that are used for market...

44

Liquid Fuels Market Model (LFMM) Unveiling LFMM  

Gasoline and Diesel Fuel Update (EIA)

Implementation of the Renewable Fuel Implementation of the Renewable Fuel Standard (RFS) in the Liquid Fuels Market Module (LFMM) of NEMS Michael H. Cole, PhD, PE michael.cole@eia.gov August 1, 2012 | Washington, DC LFMM / NEMS overview 2 M. Cole, EIA Advanced Biofuels Workshop August 1, 2012 | Washington, DC * LFMM is a mathematical representation of the U.S. liquid fuels market (motor gasoline, diesel, biofuels, etc.). EIA analysts use LFMM to project motor fuel prices and production approaches through 2040. * LFMM is a cost-minimization linear program (LP). For a given set of fuel demands, LFMM will find the least-cost means of satisfying those demands, subject to various constraints (such as the RFS). * LFMM is part of the National Energy Modeling System (NEMS), which is a computer model of the U.S. energy economy. EIA uses

45

A quantum model for the stock market  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

Beginning with several basic hypotheses of quantum mechanics, we give a new quantum model in econophysics. In this model, we define wave functions and operators of the stock market to establish the Schr\\"odinger equation for the stock price. Based on this theoretical framework, an example of a driven infinite quantum well is considered, in which we use a cosine distribution to simulate the state of stock price in equilibrium. After adding an external field into the Hamiltonian to analytically calculate the wave function, the distribution and the average value of the rate of return are shown.

Chao Zhang; Lu Huang

2010-09-24T23:59:59.000Z

46

Distributed Energy Resources Market Diffusion Model  

SciTech Connect

Distributed generation (DG) technologies, such as gas-fired reciprocating engines and microturbines, have been found to be economically beneficial in meeting commercial-sector electrical, heating, and cooling loads. Even though the electric-only efficiency of DG is lower than that offered by traditional central stations, combined heat and power (CHP) applications using recovered heat can make the overall system energy efficiency of distributed energy resources (DER) greater. From a policy perspective, however, it would be useful to have good estimates of penetration rates of DER under various economic and regulatory scenarios. In order to examine the extent to which DER systems may be adopted at a national level, we model the diffusion of DER in the US commercial building sector under different technical research and technology outreach scenarios. In this context, technology market diffusion is assumed to depend on the system's economic attractiveness and the developer's knowledge about the technology. The latter can be spread both by word-of-mouth and by public outreach programs. To account for regional differences in energy markets and climates, as well as the economic potential for different building types, optimal DER systems are found for several building types and regions. Technology diffusion is then predicted via two scenarios: a baseline scenario and a program scenario, in which more research improves DER performance and stronger technology outreach programs increase DER knowledge. The results depict a large and diverse market where both optimal installed capacity and profitability vary significantly across regions and building types. According to the technology diffusion model, the West region will take the lead in DER installations mainly due to high electricity prices, followed by a later adoption in the Northeast and Midwest regions. Since the DER market is in an early stage, both technology research and outreach programs have the potential to increase DER adoption, and thus, shift building energy consumption to a more efficient alternative.

Maribu, Karl Magnus; Firestone, Ryan; Marnay, Chris; Siddiqui,Afzal S.

2006-06-16T23:59:59.000Z

47

Distributed Energy Resources Market Diffusion Model  

SciTech Connect

Distributed generation (DG) technologies, such as gas-fired reciprocating engines and microturbines, have been found to be economically beneficial in meeting commercial-sector electrical, heating, and cooling loads. Even though the electric-only efficiency of DG is lower than that offered by traditional central stations, combined heat and power (CHP) applications using recovered heat can make the overall system energy efficiency of distributed energy resources (DER) greater. From a policy perspective, however, it would be useful to have good estimates of penetration rates of DER under various economic and regulatory scenarios. In order to examine the extent to which DER systems may be adopted at a national level, we model the diffusion of DER in the US commercial building sector under different technical research and technology outreach scenarios. In this context, technology market diffusion is assumed to depend on the system's economic attractiveness and the developer's knowledge about the technology. The latter can be spread both by word-of-mouth and by public outreach programs. To account for regional differences in energy markets and climates, as well as the economic potential for different building types, optimal DER systems are found for several building types and regions. Technology diffusion is then predicted via two scenarios: a baseline scenario and a program scenario, in which more research improves DER performance and stronger technology outreach programs increase DER knowledge. The results depict a large and diverse market where both optimal installed capacity and profitability vary significantly across regions and building types. According to the technology diffusion model, the West region will take the lead in DER installations mainly due to high electricity prices, followed by a later adoption in the Northeast and Midwest regions. Since the DER market is in an early stage, both technology research and outreach programs have the potential to increase DER adoption, and thus, shift building energy consumption to a more efficient alternative.

Maribu, Karl Magnus; Firestone, Ryan; Marnay, Chris; Siddiqui,Afzal S.

2006-06-16T23:59:59.000Z

48

Production cost models with regard to liberalised electricity markets.  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

??This book makes a contribution to the formulation and implementation of production cost models for the modelling of liberalized electricity markets by addressing issues associated… (more)

Martinez Diaz, David José

2008-01-01T23:59:59.000Z

49

Coal Market Module of the National Energy Modeling System ...  

U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA)

Coal Market Module of the National Energy Modeling System Model Documentation 2013 June 2013 Independent Statistics & Analysis www.eia.gov U.S. Department of Energy

50

Design of an Experiment to Test Quantum Probabilistic Behavior of the Financial market  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

The recent crash demonstrated (once again) that the description of the financial market by present financial mathematics cannot be considered as totally satisfactory. We remind that nowadays financial mathematics is heavily based on the use of random variables and stochastic processes which are described by Kolmogorov's measure-theoretic model for probability ("classical probabilistic model"). I speculate that the present financial crises is a sign (a kind of experiment to test validity of classical probability theory at the financial market) that the use of this model in finances should be either totally rejected or at least completed. One of the best candidates for a new probabilistic financial model is quantum probability or its generalizations, so to say quantum-like (QL) models. Speculations that the financial market may be nonclassical have been present in scientific literature for many years. The aim of this note is to move from the domain of speculation to rigorous statistical arguments in favor of probabilistic nonclassicality of the financial market. I design a corresponding statistical test which is based on violation of the formula of total probability (FTP). The latter is the basic in classical probability and its violation would be a strong sign in favor of QL behavior at the market.

Andrei Khrennikov

2009-02-11T23:59:59.000Z

51

Agile Market Engineering: Bridging the gap between business concepts and running markets.  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

??The agile market engineering process model (AMEP) is built on the insight, that market design and development is a wicked problem. Electronic markets are too… (more)

Block, Carsten Alexander

2010-01-01T23:59:59.000Z

52

Figure 6. Electricity Market Model Supply Regions  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

The NEMS Electricity Market Module (EMM) represents the capacity planning, dispatching, and pricing of electricity. It is composed of four submodules—electricity capacity planning, electricity fuel dispatching, load and demand electricity, and electricity finance and pricing. It includes nonutility capacity and generation, and electricity transmission and trade. A detailed description of the EMM is provided in the EIA publication, Electricity Market Module of the National Energy Modeling System 2010, DOE/EIA-M068(2010). Based on fuel prices and electricity demands provided by the other modules of the NEMS, the EMM determines the most economical way to supply electricity, within environmental and operational constraints. There are assumptions about the operations of the electricity sector and the costs of various options in each of the EMM submodules. This section describes the model parameters and assumptions used in EMM. It includes a discussion of legislation and regulations that are incorporated in EMM as well as information about the climate change action plan. The various electricity and technology cases are also described.

unknown authors

2010-01-01T23:59:59.000Z

53

Model-based computer-aided design environment for operational design  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

To meet the increasing market challenges in chemical industry, it is imperative to improve process design and the supportive computer-aided engineering tools so that they can support lifecycle activities. This research work proposes detailed mechanism ... Keywords: change management, computer-aided design, operational design, operational design modeling

Hossam A. Gabbar; Atsushi Aoyama; Yuji Naka

2004-06-01T23:59:59.000Z

54

Electricity Markets Analysis (EMA) Model | Open Energy Information  

Open Energy Info (EERE)

Electricity Markets Analysis (EMA) Model Electricity Markets Analysis (EMA) Model Jump to: navigation, search LEDSGP green logo.png FIND MORE DIA TOOLS This tool is part of the Development Impacts Assessment (DIA) Toolkit from the LEDS Global Partnership. Tool Summary LAUNCH TOOL Name: Electricity Markets Analysis (EMA) Model Agency/Company /Organization: Research Triangle Institute Sector: Energy Topics: Co-benefits assessment, - Energy Access, Market analysis Resource Type: Software/modeling tools User Interface: Desktop Application Complexity/Ease of Use: Advanced Website: www.rti.org/page.cfm?objectid=DDC06637-7973-4B0F-AC46B3C69E09ADA9 RelatedTo: Applied Dynamic Analysis of the Global Economy (ADAGE) Model Electricity Markets Analysis (EMA) Model Screenshot References: Electricity Markets Analysis (EMA) Model[1]

55

System Design Document: Hardware Accelerated Market Order Packet Generation  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

This document specifies the design of Hardware Accelerated Market Order Packet Generator. The designed system aims at accelerating the release of packets on the network. Optimization is acheived in terms of reducing the latency, decreasing the data uploaded on the Avalon bus which will eventually lead to power optimization. A software application running on a soft-processor would change the transaction-data going over the network in runtime. This document describes the overall architecture of the system, along with describing the design of the custom ethernet accelerator. Typically the ethernet controller should be capable of receiving and sending data over the network. Our implementation will accelerate the sending of data to the network. The receiving of data will still be handled in software.

Ankur Gupta; Dhananjay Palshikar; Mithila Paryekar; Sushant Bhardwaj

2012-01-01T23:59:59.000Z

56

Preliminary Evaluation of an Energy & Reserve Co-optimization Market Design  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

This report documents the background and motivation for the revision of the reserve market design in the service area of the Independent System Operator New England (ISO-NE). Due to previous experience with initial reserve markets that exposed noticeable market design flaws, the ISO embarked on a program to revise the two market elements that are analyzed in this report. The two market elements are a Forward Reserve Market and a co-optimized energy and reserve market in real time. The project to analyze ...

2008-12-01T23:59:59.000Z

57

A Design Guide for Early-Market Electrochromic Windows  

NLE Websites -- All DOE Office Websites (Extended Search)

Early-Market Electrochromic Windows Early-Market Electrochromic Windows Title A Design Guide for Early-Market Electrochromic Windows Publication Type Report LBNL Report Number LBNL-59950 Year of Publication 2006 Authors Lee, Eleanor S., Stephen E. Selkowitz, Robert D. Clear, Dennis L. DiBartolomeo, Joseph H. Klems, Luis L. Fernandes, Gregory J. Ward, Vorapat Inkarojrit, and Mehry Yazdanian Call Number LBNL-59950 Abstract Switchable variable-tint electrochromic windows preserve the view out while modulating transmitted light, glare, and solar heat gains and can reduce energy use and peak demand. To provide designers objective information on the risks and benefits of this technology, this study offers data from simulations, laboratory tests, and a 2.5-year field test of prototype large-area electrochromic windows evaluated under outdoor sun and sky conditions. The study characterized the prototypes in terms of transmittance range, coloring uniformity, switching speed, and control accuracy. It also integrated the windows with a daylighting control system and then used sensors and algorithms to balance energy efficiency and visual comfort, demonstrating the importance of intelligent design and control strategies to provide the best performance. Compared to an efficient low-e window with the same daylighting control system, the electrochromic window showed annual peak cooling load reductions from control of solar heat gains of 19-26% and lighting energy use savings of 48-67% when controlled for visual comfort. Subjects strongly preferred the electrochromic window over the reference window, with preferences related to perceived reductions in glare, reflections on the computer monitor, and window luminance. The EC windows provide provided the benefit of greater access to view year-round. Though not definitive, findings can be of great value to building professionals.

58

Forthcoming, Utilities Policy, 2010. Using Forward Markets to Improve Electricity Market Design  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

Forward markets, both medium term and long term, complement the spot market for wholesale electricity. The forward markets reduce risk, mitigate market power, and coordinate new investment. In the medium term, a forward energy market lets suppliers and demanders lock in energy prices and quantities for one to three years. In the long term, a forward reliability market assures adequate resources are available when they are needed most. The forward markets reduce risk for both sides of the market, since they reduce the quantity of energy that trades at the more volatile spot price. Spot market power is mitigated by putting suppliers and demanders in a more balanced position at the time of the spot market. The markets also reduce transaction costs and improve liquidity and transparency. Recent innovations to the Colombia market illustrate the basic elements of the forward markets and their beneficial role. 1

Lawrence M. Ausubel; Peter Cramton

2010-01-01T23:59:59.000Z

59

Spanish Power Exchange Market and Information System Design concepts, and operating experience  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

Spanish Power Exchange Market and Information System Design concepts, and operating experience Jose Market started operations. All generators, distributors, commercialization companies, and final consumers negotiate all power exchanges through the spot market. The Spanish Power Exchange Market Operator (Compañia

Tesfatsion, Leigh

60

Modeling the U.S. Rooftop Photovoltaics Market  

DOE Green Energy (OSTI)

Global rooftop PV markets are growing rapidly, fueled by a combination of declining PV prices and several policy-based incentives. The future growth, and size, of the rooftop market is highly dependent on continued PV cost reductions, financing options, net metering policy, carbon prices and future incentives. Several PV market penetration models, sharing a similar structure and methodology, have been developed over the last decade to quantify the impacts of these factors on market growth. This study uses a geospatially rich, bottom-up, PV market penetration model--the Solar Deployment Systems (SolarDS) model developed by the National Renewable Energy Laboratory--to explore key market and policy-based drivers for residential and commercial rooftop PV markets. The identified drivers include a range of options from traditional incentives, to attractive customer financing options, to net metering and carbon policy.

Drury, E.; Denholm, P.; Margolis, R.

2010-09-01T23:59:59.000Z

Note: This page contains sample records for the topic "design market models" from the National Library of EnergyBeta (NLEBeta).
While these samples are representative of the content of NLEBeta,
they are not comprehensive nor are they the most current set.
We encourage you to perform a real-time search of NLEBeta
to obtain the most current and comprehensive results.


61

A Game-Theoretical Dynamic Model for Electricity Markets  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

Oct 6, 2010 ... A Game-Theoretical Dynamic Model for Electricity Markets ... forecast horizon, bidding frequency, and some other factors on the price signals.

62

Asymmetric information in fads models in Lâevy markets.  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

??Fads models for stocks under asymmetric information in a purely continuous(GBM) market were first studied by P. Guasoni (2006), where optimal portfolios and maximum expected… (more)

Buckley, Winston S.

2009-01-01T23:59:59.000Z

63

A Design Guide for Early-Market Electrochromic Windows  

SciTech Connect

Switchable variable-tint electrochromic (EC) windows preserve view out while modulating transmitted light, glare, and solar heat gains. Consumers will require objective information on the risks and benefits of this emerging technology as it enters the market in 2006. This guide provides such information and data derived from a wide variety of simulations, laboratory tests, and a 2.5-year field test of prototype large-area EC windows evaluated under outdoor sun and sky conditions. This design guide is provided to architects, engineers, building owners, and others interested in electrochromic windows. The design guide provides basic information about what is an electrochromic window, what it looks like, how fast does it switch, and what current product offerings are. The guide also provides information on performance benefits if more mature product offerings were available.

Lee, Eleanor S.; Selkowitz, Stephen E.; Clear, Robert D.; DiBartolomeo, Dennis L.; Klems, Joseph H.; Fernandes, Luis L.; Ward, GregJ.; Inkarojrit, Vorapat; Yazdanian, Mehry

2006-05-01T23:59:59.000Z

64

Petroleum Market Model of the National Energy Modeling System  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

The purpose of this report is to define the objectives of the Petroleum Market Model (PMM), describe its basic approach, and provide detail on how it works. This report is intended as a reference document for model analysts, users, and the public. The PMM models petroleum refining activities, the marketing of petroleum products to consumption regions. The production of natural gas liquids in gas processing plants, and domestic methanol production. The PMM projects petroleum product prices and sources of supply for meeting petroleum product demand. The sources of supply include crude oil, both domestic and imported; other inputs including alcohols and ethers; natural gas plant liquids production; petroleum product imports; and refinery processing gain. In addition, the PMM estimates domestic refinery capacity expansion and fuel consumption. Product prices are estimated at the Census division level and much of the refining activity information is at the Petroleum Administration for Defense (PAD) District level. This report is organized as follows: Chapter 2, Model Purpose; Chapter 3, Model Overview and Rationale; Chapter 4, Model Structure; Appendix A, Inventory of Input Data, Parameter Estimates, and Model Outputs; Appendix B, Detailed Mathematical Description of the Model; Appendix C, Bibliography; Appendix D, Model Abstract; Appendix E, Data Quality; Appendix F, Estimation methodologies; Appendix G, Matrix Generator documentation; Appendix H, Historical Data Processing; and Appendix I, Biofuels Supply Submodule.

NONE

1997-01-01T23:59:59.000Z

65

Volatility Effects on the Escape Time in Financial Market Models  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

We shortly review the statistical properties of the escape times, or hitting times, for stock price returns by using different models which describe the stock market evolution. We compare the probability function (PF) of these escape times with that obtained from real market data. Afterwards we analyze in detail the effect both of noise and different initial conditions on the escape time in a market model with stochastic volatility and a cubic nonlinearity. For this model we compare the PF of the stock price returns, the PF of the volatility and the return correlation with the same statistical characteristics obtained from real market data.

Spagnolo, Bernardo

2008-01-01T23:59:59.000Z

66

How good are supply function equilibrium models: an empirical analysis of the ERCOT balancing market  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

Equilibrium in Electricity Markets,” Journal of RegulatoryModels for Electricity Markets: Stability, Non-DecreasingBritish Electricity Spot Market,” The Journal of Industrial

Sioshansi, Ramteen; Oren, Shmuel

2007-01-01T23:59:59.000Z

67

Market Acceptance of Advanced Automotive Technologies Model ...  

Open Energy Info (EERE)

of market segments based and multiple regions. For more information, contact the ORNL Energy and Transportation Science Division at http:www.ornl.govscieesetsd...

68

Analyzing money distributions in `ideal gas' models of markets  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

We analyze an ideal gas like models of a trading market. We propose a new fit for the money distribution in the fixed or uniform saving market. For the marketwith quenched random saving factors for its agents we show that the steady state income ($m$) distribution $P(m)$ in the model has a power law tail with Pareto index $\

Chatterjee, A; Stinchcombe, Robert B; Chatterjee, Arnab; Chakrabarti, Bikas K.; Stinchcombe, Robin B.

2005-01-01T23:59:59.000Z

69

Model documentation: electricity market module. [15 year forecasts  

SciTech Connect

This report documents the electricity market model. This model is a component of the Intermediate Future Forecasting System (IFFS), the energy market model used to provide projections of energy markets up to 15 years into the future. The electricity market model was developed by the Supply Analysis and Integration Branch as part of building the larger system. This report is written for an audience consisting of mathematical economists, statisticians, operations research analysts, and utility planners. This report contains an overview and a mathematical specification of the electricity market module. It includes a description of the model logic and the individual subroutines in the computer code. A companion document Intermediate Future Forecasting System: Executive Summary (DOE/EIA-430) provides an overview of the components in IFFS and their linkages. 22 figures, 2 tables.

Sanders, R.C.; Murphy, F.H.

1984-12-01T23:59:59.000Z

70

Designing a water leasing market for the Mimbres River, New Mexico.  

SciTech Connect

The objective of this study is to develop a conceptual framework for establishing water leasing markets in New Mexico using the Mimbres River as a test case. Given the past and growing stress over water in New Mexico and the Mimbres River in particular, this work will develop a mechanism for the short term, efficient, temporary transfer of water from one user to another while avoiding adverse effects on any user not directly involved in the transaction (i.e., third party effects). Toward establishing a water leasing market, five basic tasks were performed, (1) a series of stakeholder meetings were conducted to identify and address concerns and interests of basin residents, (2) several gauges were installed on irrigation ditches to aid in the monitoring and management of water resources in the basin, (3) the hydrologic/market model and decision support interface was extended to include the Middle and Lower reaches of the Mimbres River, (4) experiments were conducted to aid in design of the water leasing market, and (5) a set of rules governing a water leasing market was drafted for future adoption by basin residents and the New Mexico Office of the State Engineer.

Reno-Trujillo, Marissa Devan; Tidwell, Vincent Carroll; Broadbent, Craig [Illinois Wesleyan University; Brookshire, David [University of New Mexico; Coursey, Don [University of Chicago; Jackson, Charles. [New Mexico Office of the State Engineer; Polley, Adam [New Mexico Office of the State Engineer; Stevenson, Bryan [New Mexico Office of the State Engineer

2013-04-01T23:59:59.000Z

71

Electricity market equilibrium models: The effect of parametrization  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

of Electrical and Computer Engineering The University of Texas at Austin Abstract-- In this paper, I use] and applies it to a bid-based pool (BBP) model. The BBP model is representative of energy market struc- ture

Baldick, Ross

72

Inventory and facility location models with market selection  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

We consider important generalizations of a wide class of traditional deterministic inventory and facility location models that we call inventory/facility location models with market selection. Instead of the traditional setting, we are given a ...

Retsef Levi; Joseph Geunes; H. Edwin Romeijn; David B. Shmoys

2005-06-01T23:59:59.000Z

73

Petroleum Market Module Model Documentation (Volume 1) 2006  

Reports and Publications (EIA)

Defines the objectives of the Petroleum Market Model (PMM), describe its basic approach, and provide detail on how it works. This report is intended as a reference document for model analysts, users, and the public.

Anthony Radich

2006-03-01T23:59:59.000Z

74

Petroleum Market Module Model Documentation (Volume 1) 2007  

Reports and Publications (EIA)

Defines the objectives of the Petroleum Market Model (PMM), describe its basic approach, and provide detail on how it works. This report is intended as a reference document for model analysts, users, and the public.

Anthony Radich

2007-03-01T23:59:59.000Z

75

Petroleum Market Module Model Documentation (Volume 1) 2009  

Reports and Publications (EIA)

Defines the objectives of the Petroleum Market Model (PMM), describe its basic approach, and provide detail on how it works. This report is intended as a reference document for model analysts, users, and the public.

Information Center

2009-08-12T23:59:59.000Z

76

Petroleum Market Module (Volume 2), Model Documentation 2007  

Reports and Publications (EIA)

Defines the objectives of the Petroleum Market Model (PMM), describe its basic approach, and provide detail on how it works. This report is intended as a reference document for model analysts, users, and the public.

Anthony Radich

2007-03-01T23:59:59.000Z

77

Petroleum Market Module (Volume 2), Model Documentation 2005  

Reports and Publications (EIA)

Defines the objectives of the Petroleum Market Model (PMM), describe its basic approach, and provide detail on how it works. This report is intended as a reference document for model analysts, users, and the public.

Han-Lin Lee

2005-05-01T23:59:59.000Z

78

Petroleum Market Module Model Documentation (Volume 1) 2005  

Reports and Publications (EIA)

Defines the objectives of the Petroleum Market Model (PMM), describe its basic approach, and provide detail on how it works. This report is intended as a reference document for model analysts, users, and the public.

Han-Lin Lee

2005-05-01T23:59:59.000Z

79

Petroleum Market Module (Volume 2), Model Documentation 2009  

Reports and Publications (EIA)

Defines the objectives of the Petroleum Market Model (PMM), describe its basic approach, and provide detail on how it works. This report is intended as a reference document for model analysts, users, and the public.

Anthony Radich

2009-08-12T23:59:59.000Z

80

Petroleum Market Module (Volume 2), Model Documentation 2008  

Reports and Publications (EIA)

Defines the objectives of the Petroleum Market Model (PMM), describe its basic approach, and provide detail on how it works. This report is intended as a reference document for model analysts, users, and the public.

Anthony Radich

2009-02-20T23:59:59.000Z

Note: This page contains sample records for the topic "design market models" from the National Library of EnergyBeta (NLEBeta).
While these samples are representative of the content of NLEBeta,
they are not comprehensive nor are they the most current set.
We encourage you to perform a real-time search of NLEBeta
to obtain the most current and comprehensive results.


81

Petroleum Market Module Model Documentation (Volume 1) 2008  

Reports and Publications (EIA)

Defines the objectives of the Petroleum Market Model (PMM), describe its basic approach, and provide detail on how it works. This report is intended as a reference document for model analysts, users, and the public.

Anthony Radich

2009-02-20T23:59:59.000Z

82

Petroleum Market Module (Volume 2), Model Documentation 2006  

Reports and Publications (EIA)

Defines the objectives of the Petroleum Market Model (PMM), describe its basic approach, and provide detail on how it works. This report is intended as a reference document for model analysts, users, and the public.

Anthony Radich

2006-03-01T23:59:59.000Z

83

Multi-agent electricity market modeling with EMCAS.  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

Electricity systems are a central component of modern economies. Many electricity markets are transitioning from centrally regulated systems to decentralized markets. Furthermore, several electricity markets that have recently undergone this transition have exhibited extremely unsatisfactory results, most notably in California. These high stakes transformations require the introduction of largely untested regulatory structures. Suitable tools that can be used to test these regulatory structures before they are applied to real systems are required. Multi-agent models can provide such tools. To better understand the requirements such as tool, a live electricity market simulation was created. This experience helped to shape the development of the multi-agent Electricity Market Complex Adaptive Systems (EMCAS) model. To explore EMCAS' potential, several variations of the live simulation were created. These variations probed the possible effects of changing power plant outages and price setting rules on electricity market prices.

North, M.; Macal, C.; Conzelmann, G.; Koritarov, V.; Thimmapuram, P.; Veselka, T.

2002-09-05T23:59:59.000Z

84

Designing a U.S. Market for CO2  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

In this paper we focus on one component of the cap-and-trade system: the markets that arise for trading allowances after they have been allocated or auctioned. The efficient functioning of the market is key to the success ...

Parsons, John E.

85

Photovoltaic subsystem marketing and distribution model: programming manual. Final report  

DOE Green Energy (OSTI)

Complete documentation of the marketing and distribution (M and D) computer model is provided. The purpose is to estimate the costs of selling and transporting photovoltaic solar energy products from the manufacturer to the final customer. The model adjusts for the inflation and regional differences in marketing and distribution costs. The model consists of three major components: the marketing submodel, the distribution submodel, and the financial submodel. The computer program is explained including the input requirements, output reports, subprograms and operating environment. The program specifications discuss maintaining the validity of the data and potential improvements. An example for a photovoltaic concentrator collector demonstrates the application of the model.

Not Available

1982-07-01T23:59:59.000Z

86

Step 6: Market your project as Designed to Earn the ENERGY STAR...  

NLE Websites -- All DOE Office Websites (Extended Search)

6: Market your project as Designed to Earn the ENERGY STAR Secondary menu About us Press room Contact Us Portfolio Manager Login Facility owners and managers Existing buildings...

87

Energy Analysis Department Electricity Markets and Policy Group The Impact of Rate Design and Net  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

Energy Analysis Department Electricity Markets and Policy Group The Impact of Rate Design and Net of Energy #12;Energy Analysis Department Electricity Markets and Policy Group 2 Project Overview Context alternative compensation mechanisms #12;Energy Analysis Department Electricity Markets and Policy Group 3

88

Environmental Design Space model assessment  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

The Environmental Design Space (EDS) is a multi-disciplinary design tool used to explore trade-offs among aircraft fuel burn, emissions, and noise. This thesis uses multiple metrics to assess an EDS model of a Boeing 777 ...

Spindler, Phillip Michael

2007-01-01T23:59:59.000Z

89

Transforming the market for residential windows: design considerations for DOE's Efficient Window Collaborative  

SciTech Connect

Market adoption of recent, commercially available technological advances that improve the energy performance of windows will lead to immediate economic and energy savings benefits to the nation. This paper is a scoping study intended to inform the design of a major DOE initiative to accelerate market adoption of these windows in the residential sector. We describe the structure of the US residential window market and the interests of the various market players. We then briefly review five recent market transformation initiatives. Finally, we summarize our findings in a list of considerations we believe will be important for the DOE's initiative to transform the US residential window market.

Eto, J.; Arasteh, D.; Selkowitz, S.

1998-08-01T23:59:59.000Z

90

Modeling strategic forward contracting in transmission constrained power markets  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

Taking the effects of transmission network into account, strategic forward contracting induced by the interaction of generation firms' strategies in the spot and forward markets is investigated. A two-stage game model is proposed to describe generation ... Keywords: equilibrium problem with equilibrium constraints (EPEC), nonlinear complementarity method, power market, strategic forward contracting

Wang Xian; Zhang Shaohua

2009-06-01T23:59:59.000Z

91

"Market Systems" Models and Energy Policy Analysis  

NLE Websites -- All DOE Office Websites (Extended Search)

"Market Systems" Models and Energy Policy Analysis "Market Systems" Models and Energy Policy Analysis Speaker(s): William Morrow Date: October 17, 2012 - 12:00pm Location: 90-1099 Seminar Host/Point of Contact: Katie Coughlin Many aspects of energy policy in the US intend to influence both "demand-side" (consumer) and "supply-side" (producer) behavior. Analysis for such policies, however, rarely takes into account important complexities related to consumer behavior, firm behavior, competition, and uncertainty that can ultimately limit policy effectiveness. This talk will review the gap between policy analysis and what we know about market behavior. Two elements will serve as an element of focus for detailed discussion: First, game-theoretic "Market Systems" models of product design

92

A DESIGN GUIDE FOR EARLY-MARKET ELECTROCHROMIC WINDOWS  

NLE Websites -- All DOE Office Websites (Extended Search)

EARLY-MARKET ELECTROCHROMIC WINDOWS PIER FINAL PROJECT REPORT Prepared For: California Energy Commission Public Interest Energy Research Program Prepared By: Lawrence Berkeley...

93

Design of currency, markets, and economy for knowledge  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

Information markets benefit the communities they serve by facilitating electronic distributed exchange of information. Further benefits include enhancing knowledge sharing, innovation, and productivity. This research ...

Shen, Dawei

2012-01-01T23:59:59.000Z

94

Market Model Simulation: The Impact of Increased Automotive ...  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

In order to reduce energy consumption of gasoline, the U.S. Congress passed the ... from information in a Solomon Smith Barney report on Australian Magnesium, United States .... The market model was used to analyze three scenarios. First ...

95

Design and market considerations for axial flux superconducting electric machine design  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

In this paper, the authors investigate a number of design and market considerations for an axial flux superconducting electric machine design that uses high temperature superconductors. This work was carried out as part of the University of Cambridge's Centre for Entrepreneurial Learning ETECH Project programme, designed to accelerate entrepreneurship and diffusion of innovations based on early stage and potentially disruptive technologies from the University. The axial flux machine design is assumed to utilise high temperature superconductors in both wire (stator winding) and bulk (rotor field) forms, to operate over a temperature range of 65-77 K, and to have a power output in the range from 10s of kW up to 1 MW (typical for axial flux machines), with approximately 2-3 T as the peak trapped field in the bulk superconductors. The authors firstly investigate the applicability of this type of machine as a generator in small- and medium-sized wind turbines, including the current and forecasted market and pricin...

Ainslie, Mark D; Shaw, Robert; Dawson, Lewis; Winfield, Andy; Steketee, Marina; Stockley, Simon

2013-01-01T23:59:59.000Z

96

Integrated Modeling of Electric Power System Operations and Electricity Market Risks with Applications .  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

??Through integrated modeling of power system operations and market risks, this thesis addresses a variety of important issues on market signals modeling, generation capacity scheduling,… (more)

Sun, Haibin

2006-01-01T23:59:59.000Z

97

Step 4: Market your project as Designed to Earn the ENERGY STAR...  

NLE Websites -- All DOE Office Websites (Extended Search)

specs Step 2: Meet with your team and set a goal Step 3: Apply for Designed to Earn the ENERGY STAR recognition Step 4: Market your project as Designed to Earn the ENERGY STAR...

98

E-laboratories : agent-based modeling of electricity markets.  

SciTech Connect

Electricity markets are complex adaptive systems that operate under a wide range of rules that span a variety of time scales. These rules are imposed both from above by society and below by physics. Many electricity markets are undergoing or are about to undergo a transition from centrally regulated systems to decentralized markets. Furthermore, several electricity markets have recently undergone this transition with extremely unsatisfactory results, most notably in California. These high stakes transitions require the introduction of largely untested regulatory structures. Suitable laboratories that can be used to test regulatory structures before they are applied to real systems are needed. Agent-based models can provide such electronic laboratories or ''e-laboratories.'' To better understand the requirements of an electricity market e-laboratory, a live electricity market simulation was created. This experience helped to shape the development of the Electricity Market Complex Adaptive Systems (EMCAS) model. To explore EMCAS' potential as an e-laboratory, several variations of the live simulation were created. These variations probed the possible effects of changing power plant outages and price setting rules on electricity market prices.

North, M.; Conzelmann, G.; Koritarov, V.; Macal, C.; Thimmapuram, P.; Veselka, T.

2002-05-03T23:59:59.000Z

99

E-laboratories : agent-based modeling of electricity markets.  

SciTech Connect

Electricity markets are complex adaptive systems that operate under a wide range of rules that span a variety of time scales. These rules are imposed both from above by society and below by physics. Many electricity markets are undergoing or are about to undergo a transition from centrally regulated systems to decentralized markets. Furthermore, several electricity markets have recently undergone this transition with extremely unsatisfactory results, most notably in California. These high stakes transitions require the introduction of largely untested regulatory structures. Suitable laboratories that can be used to test regulatory structures before they are applied to real systems are needed. Agent-based models can provide such electronic laboratories or ''e-laboratories.'' To better understand the requirements of an electricity market e-laboratory, a live electricity market simulation was created. This experience helped to shape the development of the Electricity Market Complex Adaptive Systems (EMCAS) model. To explore EMCAS' potential as an e-laboratory, several variations of the live simulation were created. These variations probed the possible effects of changing power plant outages and price setting rules on electricity market prices.

North, M.; Conzelmann, G.; Koritarov, V.; Macal, C.; Thimmapuram, P.; Veselka, T.

2002-05-03T23:59:59.000Z

100

Design and implementation of a decision support system for competitive electricity markets  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

In this paper we describe software which could be used as a decision support tool for decision makers in competitive electricity markets. The tool is based on the behavior of the competitors in the market, thus many different parameters around them are ... Keywords: Competitive electricity markets, Simulation model, Spot prices

Julia Sancho; Joaquín Sánchez-Soriano; Juan Antonio Chazarra; Juan Aparicio

2008-03-01T23:59:59.000Z

Note: This page contains sample records for the topic "design market models" from the National Library of EnergyBeta (NLEBeta).
While these samples are representative of the content of NLEBeta,
they are not comprehensive nor are they the most current set.
We encourage you to perform a real-time search of NLEBeta
to obtain the most current and comprehensive results.


101

Interactive fracture design model  

DOE Green Energy (OSTI)

A computer program is described that can be used to design a fracture stimulation treatment for a geothermal reservoir. The program uses state-of-the-art methods to calculate the temperature of the fracture fluid as a function of time and distance in the fracture. This information is used to determine the temperature dependent properties of the fracture fluid. These fluid properties are utilized to calculate the fracture geometry as a function of time. The fracture geometry and temperature distribution of the fracture fluid are coupled so the subroutines that calculate these distributions have been made interactive.

Not Available

1980-05-01T23:59:59.000Z

102

Model documentation: Electricity Market Module, Electricity Fuel Dispatch Submodule  

SciTech Connect

This report documents the objectives, analytical approach and development of the National Energy Modeling System Electricity Fuel Dispatch Submodule (EFD), a submodule of the Electricity Market Module (EMM). The report catalogues and describes the model assumptions, computational methodology, parameter estimation techniques, model source code, and forecast results generated through the synthesis and scenario development based on these components.

Not Available

1994-04-08T23:59:59.000Z

103

A Model of Marketing Oriented Corporate Culture Influences on Information Technology Adoption  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

A Model of Marketing Oriented Corporate Culture Influences on Information Technology Adoption Kofi a model to investigate the influence of corporate orientation (marketing orientation) on Internet adoption effectiveness. Five constructs for independent variables and one construct for marketing orientation

104

Designing Soybeans for the 21st Century MarketsChapter 2 Influence of Legislation and Governmental Policy on Markets for Soybean and Soybean Products  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

Designing Soybeans for the 21st Century Markets Chapter 2 Influence of Legislation and Governmental Policy on Markets for Soybean and Soybean Products Biofuels and Bioproducts and Biodiesel Health Nutrition Biochemistry Processing Biofu

105

Designing Soybeans for the 21st Century MarketsChapter 1 Impact of Research on the Economic Outlook for Soybeans and Soybean Products in Global Markets  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

Designing Soybeans for the 21st Century Markets Chapter 1 Impact of Research on the Economic Outlook for Soybeans and Soybean Products in Global Markets Biofuels and Bioproducts and Biodiesel Food Science Health Nutrition Biochemistry P

106

Microeconomics of the ideal gas like market models  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

We develop a framework based on microeconomic theory from which the ideal gas like market models can be addressed. A kinetic exchange model based on that framework is proposed and its distributional features have been studied by considering its moments. Next, we derive the moments of the CC model (Eur. Phys. J. B 17 (2000) 167) as well. Some precise solutions are obtained which conform with the solutions obtained earlier. Finally, an output market is introduced with global price determination in the model with some necessary modifications.

Chakrabarti, Anindya S

2009-01-01T23:59:59.000Z

107

Trust based app marketing : design, implementation and evaluation  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

A trust-based marketing application is a web or mobile app which provides a utility to the consumer that is not directly linked to purchasing products or services from the company. In this thesis, I explore the efficacy ...

Hon, Keone D. (Keone David)

2011-01-01T23:59:59.000Z

108

Effective Ancillary Services Market Designs on High Wind Power Penetration Systems: Preprint  

DOE Green Energy (OSTI)

This paper focuses on how the ancillary service market designs are implemented and how they may require changes on systems with greater penetrations of variable renewable energy suppliers, in particular wind power. Ancillary services markets have been developed in many of the restructured power system regions throughout the world. Ancillary services include the services that support the provision of energy to support power system reliability. The ancillary services markets are tied tightly to the design of the energy market and to the physics of the system and therefore careful consideration of power system economics and engineering must be considered in their design. This paper focuses on how the ancillary service market designs are implemented and how they may require changes on systems with greater penetrations of variable renewable energy suppliers, in particular wind power.

Ela, E.; Kirby, B.; Navid, N.; Smith, J. C.

2011-12-01T23:59:59.000Z

109

Market Design for Generation Adequacy: Healing Causes rather than Symptoms  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

.g. the Finnish nuclear reactor representing more than 10% of the installed capacity in Finland) or systems with a large share of nuclear generation in case of a generic problem (e.g. France) (Finon and Pignon, 2007). Another important issue to take... . The paper starts with an overview of the theory of energy and capacity pricing in electricity markets, highlighting the interdependencies in the sequence of markets involved in the provision of reliable electricity supplies in real time. It then details...

Roques, Fabien A

110

Modeling and Analysis Session: Market, Value, and Policy Analysis (Presentation)  

DOE Green Energy (OSTI)

The Primary objectives: to provide a broad range of analytical support to the Solar Program; and to anticipate and respond to the rapidly evolving analytical needs of the Solar Program. Three broad types of analysis are being carried out under this project including: (1) Market analysis: Developing a PV market penetration model--the SolarDS model--and other tools, in order to gain insight into the factors influencing market penetration of PV technology in U.S. markets. (2) Value analysis: Providing inputs to, support for, and review of the annual GPRA benefits analysis. Also developing methods and tools for improving the quantification of the benefits and cost of solar technologies. (3) Policy analysis: Defining and carrying out analysis that meets the needs of the Solar Energy Technologies Program in a timely fashion, for example evaluating the potential role of solar in the energy economy in the long-term.

Margolis, R. M.

2008-04-01T23:59:59.000Z

111

Reviewing progress in PJM's capacity market structure via the new reliability pricing model  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

The Reliability Pricing Model introduces significant changes to the capacity market structure of PJM. The main feature of the RPM design is a downward-sloping demand curve, which replaces the highly volatile vertical demand curve. The authors review the latest RPM structure, results of the auctions, and the future course of the implementation process. (author)

Sener, Adil Caner; Kimball, Stefan

2007-12-15T23:59:59.000Z

112

Long-Run Equilibrium Modeling of Emissions Allowance Allocation Systems in Electric Power Markets  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

Carbon dioxide allowance trading systems for electricity generators are in place in the European Union and in several U.S. states. An important question in the design of such systems is how allowances are to be initially allocated: by auction, by giving ... Keywords: Equilibrium programming, economics, electricity and emissions markets, model properties and applications

Jinye Zhao; Benjamin F. Hobbs; Jong-Shi Pang

2010-05-01T23:59:59.000Z

113

ESS 2012 Peer Review - Wholesale Electricity Market Design Project - Jim Ellison, SNL  

Energy.gov (U.S. Department of Energy (DOE)) Indexed Site

Photos placed in Photos placed in horizontal position with even amount of white space between photos and header Photos placed in horizontal position with even amount of white space between photos and header Wholesale Electricity Market Design Project September 28, 2012 Jim Ellison, Verne Loose, Ray Byrne, Cesar Silva Monroy, and Ryan Elliott Sandia National Laboratories Leigh Tesfatsion Iowa State University DOE Energy Storage Program Peer Review 2012 Introduction - Motivation for a New Market Design  Need to eliminate market bias of resource classes such as Energy Storage  Need to accommodate new technologies, without the need to change market rules  Move away from resource-centric markets toward service-centric markets

114

Market  

... and its contributions to society and the economy; The marketing group values suggestions from researchers regarding companies to approach.

115

Advanced Modeling of Renewable Energy Market Dynamics: May 2006  

SciTech Connect

This report documents a year-long academic project, presenting selected techniques for analysis of market growth, penetration, and forecasting applicable to renewable energy technologies. Existing mathematical models were modified to incorporate the effects of fiscal policies and were evaluated using available data. The modifications were made based on research and classification of current mathematical models used for predicting market penetration. An analysis of the results was carried out, based on available data. MATLAB versions of existing and new models were developed for research and policy analysis.

Evans, M.; Little, R.; Lloyd, K.; Malikov, G.; Passolt, G.; Arent, D.; Swezey, B.; Mosey, G.

2007-08-01T23:59:59.000Z

116

An Equilibrium Model of Investment in Restructured Electricity Markets  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

in Deregulated Wholesale Electricity Markets,” RAND JournalBehavior in a Competitive Electricity Market,” InternationalMarket Power in Electricity Markets: Beyond Concentration

Bushnell, Jim B; Ishii, Jun

2007-01-01T23:59:59.000Z

117

Engineering of markets and artifacts  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

In this paper, we continue the dialog started by Roth [19] between economics and engineering in the context of design of markets. We take the position that markets and engineered artifacts are thee the products of a social process of design formulation. ... Keywords: engineering design, market design, methodologies, modeling, testing

Eswaran Subrahmanian; Sarosh N. Talukdar

2003-09-01T23:59:59.000Z

118

Modeling the Long-Term Market Penetration of Wind in the United States  

DOE Green Energy (OSTI)

This paper presents an overview of the Wind Deployment Systems Model (WinDS). WinDS is a multiregional, multitime-period, Geographic Information System (GIS), and linear programming model of capacity expansion in the electric sector of the United States. WinDS is designed to address the principal market issues related to the penetration of wind energy technologies into the electric sector. These principal market issues include access to and cost of transmission, and the intermittency of wind power. WinDS addresses these issues through a highly discretized regional structure, explicit accounting for the variability in wind output over time, and consideration of ancillary services requirements and costs.

Short, W.; Blair, N.; Heimiller, D.; Singh, V.

2003-07-01T23:59:59.000Z

119

Petroleum Market Module Model Documentation (Volume 1) 1997  

Reports and Publications (EIA)

The purpose of this report is to define the objectives of the Petroleum Market Model (PMM), describe its basic approach, and provide detail on how it works. This report is intended as a reference document for model analysts, users, and the public. Documentation of the model is in accordance with EIA's legal obligation to provide adequate documentation in support of its models (Public Law 94-385, section 57.b.2).

Han-Lin Lee

1997-01-01T23:59:59.000Z

120

Petroleum Market Module Model Documentation (Volume 1) 2002  

Reports and Publications (EIA)

The purpose of this report is to define the objectives of the Petroleum Market Model (PMM), describe its basic approach, and provide detail on how it works. This report is intended as a reference document for model analysts, users, and the public. Documentation of the model is in accordance with EIA's legal obligation to provide adequate documentation in support of its models (Public Law 94-385, section 57.b.2).

Han-Lin Lee

2002-03-01T23:59:59.000Z

Note: This page contains sample records for the topic "design market models" from the National Library of EnergyBeta (NLEBeta).
While these samples are representative of the content of NLEBeta,
they are not comprehensive nor are they the most current set.
We encourage you to perform a real-time search of NLEBeta
to obtain the most current and comprehensive results.


121

Petroleum Market Module Model Documentation (Volume 1) 2004  

Reports and Publications (EIA)

The purpose of this report is to define the objectives of the Petroleum Market Model (PMM), describe its basic approach, and provide detail on how it works. This report is intended as a reference document for model analysts, users, and the public. Documentation of the model is in accordance with EIA's legal obligation to provide adequate documentation in support of its models (Public Law 94-385, section 57.b.2).

Han-Lin Lee

2004-03-01T23:59:59.000Z

122

Petroleum Market Module Model Documentation (Volume 1) 1998  

Reports and Publications (EIA)

The purpose of this report is to define the objectives of the Petroleum Market Model (PMM), describe its basic approach, and provide detail on how it works. This report is intended as a reference document for model analysts, users, and the public. Documentation of the model is in accordance with EIA's legal obligation to provide adequate documentation in support of its models (Public Law 94-385, section 57.b.2).

Han-Lin Lee

1997-12-01T23:59:59.000Z

123

Petroleum Market Module Model Documentation (Volume 1) 2001  

Reports and Publications (EIA)

The purpose of this report is to define the objectives of the Petroleum Market Model (PMM), describe its basic approach, and provide detail on how it works. This report is intended as a reference document for model analysts, users, and the public. Documentation of the model is in accordance with EIA's legal obligation to provide adequate documentation in support of its models (Public Law 94-385, section 57.b.2).

Han-Lin Lee

2001-02-01T23:59:59.000Z

124

Petroleum Market Module Model Documentation (Volume 1) 2000  

Reports and Publications (EIA)

The purpose of this report is to define the objectives of the Petroleum Market Model (PMM), describe its basic approach, and provide detail on how it works. This report is intended as a reference document for model analysts, users, and the public. Documentation of the model is in accordance with EIA's legal obligation to provide adequate documentation in support of its models (Public Law 94-385, section 57.b.2).

Han-Lin Lee

1999-12-01T23:59:59.000Z

125

Petroleum Market Module Model Documentation (Volume 1) 2003  

Reports and Publications (EIA)

The purpose of this report is to define the objectives of the Petroleum Market Model (PMM), describe its basic approach, and provide detail on how it works. This report is intended as a reference document for model analysts, users, and the public. Documentation of the model is in accordance with EIA's legal obligation to provide adequate documentation in support of its models (Public Law 94-385, section 57.b.2).

Han-Lin Lee

2003-02-01T23:59:59.000Z

126

Petroleum Market Module Model Documentation (Volume 1) 1995  

Reports and Publications (EIA)

The purpose of this report is to define the objectives of the Petroleum Market Model (PMM), describe its basic approach, and provide detail on how it works. This report is intended as a reference document for model analysts, users, and the public. Documentation of the model is in accordance with EIA's legal obligation to provide adequate documentation in support of its models (Public Law 94-385, section 57.b.2).

Han-Lin Lee

1995-12-01T23:59:59.000Z

127

Petroleum Market Module (Volume 2), Model Documentation 2003  

Reports and Publications (EIA)

The purpose of this report is to define the objectives of the Petroleum Market Model (PMM), describe its basic approach, and provide detail on how it works. This report is intended as a reference document for model analysts, users, and the public. Documentation of the model is in accordance with EIA's legal obligation to provide adequate documentation in support of its models (Public Law 94-385, section 57.b.2).

Han-Lin Lee

2003-02-01T23:59:59.000Z

128

Petroleum Market Module (Volume 2), Model Documentation 2002  

Reports and Publications (EIA)

The purpose of this report is to define the objectives of the Petroleum Market Model (PMM), describe its basic approach, and provide detail on how it works. This report is intended as a reference document for model analysts, users, and the public. Documentation of the model is in accordance with EIA's legal obligation to provide adequate documentation in support of its models (Public Law 94-385, section 57.b.2).

Han-Lin Lee

2002-03-01T23:59:59.000Z

129

Petroleum Market Module (Volume 2), Model Documentation 2004  

Reports and Publications (EIA)

The purpose of this report is to define the objectives of the Petroleum Market Model (PMM), describe its basic approach, and provide detail on how it works. This report is intended as a reference document for model analysts, users, and the public. Documentation of the model is in accordance with EIA's legal obligation to provide adequate documentation in support of its models (Public Law 94-385, section 57.b.2).

Han-Lin Lee

2004-03-01T23:59:59.000Z

130

Petroleum Market Module Model Documentation (Volume 1) 1994  

Reports and Publications (EIA)

The purpose of this report is to define the objectives of the Petroleum Market Model (PMM), describe its basic approach, and provide detail on how it works. This report is intended as a reference document for model analysts, users, and the public. Documentation of the model is in accordance with EIA's legal obligation to provide adequate documentation in support of its models (Public Law 94-385, section 57.b.2).

Han-Lin Lee

1994-12-01T23:59:59.000Z

131

Petroleum Market Module Model Documentation (Volume 1) 1999  

Reports and Publications (EIA)

The purpose of this report is to define the objectives of the Petroleum Market Model (PMM), describe its basic approach, and provide detail on how it works. This report is intended as a reference document for model analysts, users, and the public. Documentation of the model is in accordance with EIA's legal obligation to provide adequate documentation in support of its models (Public Law 94-385, section 57.b.2).

Han-Lin Lee

1998-12-01T23:59:59.000Z

132

The Design of "Smart" Water Market Institutions Using Laboratory Experiments  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

. The precise nature of the ownership arrangements is discussed in more detail below. The supply and demand with the results from similar network experiments in natural gas and electric power.4 This is even more remarkable Market for Natural Gas Pipeline Networks', Economic Theory, 4, 41-65. Smith, V.L. (1980), 'Relevance

Murphy, James J.

133

Step 4: Market your project as Designed to Earn the ENERGY STAR | ENERGY  

NLE Websites -- All DOE Office Websites (Extended Search)

4: Market your project as Designed to Earn the ENERGY STAR 4: Market your project as Designed to Earn the ENERGY STAR Secondary menu About us Press room Contact Us Portfolio Manager Login Facility owners and managers Existing buildings Commercial new construction Industrial energy management Small business Service providers Service and product providers Verify applications for ENERGY STAR certification Design commercial buildings Energy efficiency program administrators Commercial and industrial program sponsors Associations State and local governments Federal agencies Tools and resources Training In this section Why design to earn ENERGY STAR Design to earn ENERGY STAR Step 1: Include efficiency in your project specs Step 2: Meet with your team and set a goal Step 3: Apply for Designed to Earn the ENERGY STAR recognition Step 4: Market your project as Designed to Earn the ENERGY STAR

134

MODELING OF FORWARD CONTRACTS IN ELECTRICITY MARKETS.  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

??Since the deregulation of electricity, new models were needed to quantify the price of contracts with speci ed delivery period of electricity. In this thesis… (more)

Fjeldskĺr, Hanne

2009-01-01T23:59:59.000Z

135

Technology strategy of competing with industrial design in markets of high-tech consumer products  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

This thesis explores the role of industrial design in the formulation of technology strategy for certain firms that compete in markets of high-tech consumer products. The initial intuition is that the role of industrial ...

Mak, Arthur T

2009-01-01T23:59:59.000Z

136

Model Design for Transmission Congestion Management Based on Fuzzy Programming  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

Based on data collected previously on the electricity market of the East China, we use stepwise regression method to find the approximate expression of the active power flow of each power sets on East China’s certain electrical network. Then classified ... Keywords: electrical network, transmission congestion management, fuzzy programming, multiobjective optimization, model design

Yu Zhao; Bo Zhao; Chunjie Qi

2009-01-01T23:59:59.000Z

137

Cooperative Modeling and Design History Tracking Using Design Tracking Matrix  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

This thesis suggests a new framework for cooperative modeling which supports concurrency design protocol with a design history tracking function. The proposed framework allows designers to work together while eliminating design conflicts and redundancies, and preventing infeasible designs. This framework provides methods to track optimal design path and redundant design history in the overall design process. This cooperative modeling architecture consists of a modeling server and voxel-based multi-client design tool. Design change among server and multiple clients are executed using the proposed concurrency design protocol. The design steps are tracked and analyzed using Design Tracking Graph and Design Tracking Matrix (DTM), which provide a design data exchange algorithm allowing seamless integration of design modifications between participating designers. This framework can be used for effective cooperative modeling, and helps identify and eliminate conflicts and minimize delay. The proposed algorithm supports effective cooperative design functions. First, it provides a method to obtain the optimal design path which can be stored in a design library and utilized in the future design. Second, it helps capture modeling pattern which can be used for analyzing designer's performance. Finally, obtained redundancies can be used to evaluate designer?s design efficiency.

Kim, Jonghyun

2009-08-01T23:59:59.000Z

138

Commodity market modeling and physical trading strategies  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

Investment and operational decisions involving commodities are taken based on the forward prices of these commodities. These prices are volatile, and a model of their evolution must correctly account for their volatility ...

Ellefsen, Per Einar

2010-01-01T23:59:59.000Z

139

Generic Model Host System Design  

SciTech Connect

There are many simulation codes for accelerator modelling; each one has some strength but not all. A platform which can host multiple modelling tools would be ideal for various purposes. The model platform along with infrastructure support can be used not only for online applications but also for offline purposes. Collaboration is formed for the effort of providing such a platform. In order to achieve such a platform, a set of common physics data structure has to be set. Application Programming Interface (API) for physics applications should also be defined within a model data provider. A preliminary platform design and prototype is discussed.

Chu, Chungming; /SLAC; Wu, Juhao; /SLAC; Qiang, Ji; /LBL, Berkeley; Shen, Guobao; /Brookhaven

2012-06-22T23:59:59.000Z

140

Electricity Markets  

NLE Websites -- All DOE Office Websites (Extended Search)

Electricity Markets Electricity Markets Researchers in the electricity markets area conduct technical, economic, and policy analysis of energy topics centered on the U.S. electricity sector. Current research seeks to inform public and private decision-making on public-interest issues related to energy efficiency and demand response, renewable energy, electricity resource and transmission planning, electricity reliability and distributed generation resources. Research is conducted in the following areas: Energy efficiency research focused on portfolio planning and market assessment, design and implementation of a portfolio of energy efficiency programs that achieve various policy objectives, utility sector energy efficiency business models, options for administering energy efficiency

Note: This page contains sample records for the topic "design market models" from the National Library of EnergyBeta (NLEBeta).
While these samples are representative of the content of NLEBeta,
they are not comprehensive nor are they the most current set.
We encourage you to perform a real-time search of NLEBeta
to obtain the most current and comprehensive results.


141

Green Design and the Market for Commercial Office Space | ENERGY STAR  

NLE Websites -- All DOE Office Websites (Extended Search)

Design and the Market for Commercial Office Space Design and the Market for Commercial Office Space Secondary menu About us Press room Contact Us Portfolio Manager Login Facility owners and managers Existing buildings Commercial new construction Industrial energy management Small business Service providers Service and product providers Verify applications for ENERGY STAR certification Design commercial buildings Energy efficiency program administrators Commercial and industrial program sponsors Associations State and local governments Federal agencies Tools and resources Training In This Section Campaigns Commercial building design Communications resources Energy management guidance Financial resources Portfolio Manager Products and purchasing Recognition Research and reports Service and product provider (SPP) resources Success stories

142

Kinetic market models with single commodity having price fluctuations  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

We study here numerically the behavior of an ideal gas like model of markets having only one non-consumable commodity. We investigate the behavior of the steady-state distributions of money, commodity and total wealth, as the dynamics of trading or exchange of money and commodity proceeds, with local (in time) fluctuations in the price of the commodity. These distributions are studied in markets with agents having uniform and random saving factors. The self-organizing features in money distribution are similar to the cases without any commodity (or with consumable commodities), the commodity distribution shows an exponential decay. The wealth distribution shows interesting behavior: Gamma like distribution for uniform saving propensity and has the same power-law tail, as that of the money distribution for a market with agents having random saving propensity.

Chatterjee, A; Chakrabarti, Bikas K.; Chatterjee, Arnab

2006-01-01T23:59:59.000Z

143

Forecasting Financial Time-Series using Artificial Market Models  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

We discuss the theoretical machinery involved in predicting financial market movements using an artificial market model which has been trained on real financial data. This approach to market prediction - in particular, forecasting financial time-series by training a third-party or 'black box' game on the financial data itself -- was discussed by Johnson et al. in cond-mat/0105303 and cond-mat/0105258 and was based on some encouraging preliminary investigations of the dollar-yen exchange rate, various individual stocks, and stock market indices. However, the initial attempts lacked a clear formal methodology. Here we present a detailed methodology, using optimization techniques to build an estimate of the strategy distribution across the multi-trader population. In contrast to earlier attempts, we are able to present a systematic method for identifying 'pockets of predictability' in real-world markets. We find that as each pocket closes up, the black-box system needs to be 'reset' - which is equivalent to sayi...

Gupta, N; Johnson, N F; Gupta, Nachi; Hauser, Raphael; Johnson, Neil F.

2005-01-01T23:59:59.000Z

144

The National Energy Modeling System: An Overview 2000 - Petroleum Market  

Gasoline and Diesel Fuel Update (EIA)

petroleum market module (PMM) represents domestic refinery operations and the marketing of petroleum products to consumption regions. PMM solves for petroleum product prices, crude oil and product import activity (in conjunction with the international energy module and the oil and gas supply module), and domestic refinery capacity expansion and fuel consumption. The solution is derived, satisfying the demand for petroleum products and incorporating the prices for raw material inputs and imported petroleum products, the costs of investment, and the domestic production of crude oil and natural gas liquids. The relationship of PMM to other NEMS modules is illustrated in Figure 17. petroleum market module (PMM) represents domestic refinery operations and the marketing of petroleum products to consumption regions. PMM solves for petroleum product prices, crude oil and product import activity (in conjunction with the international energy module and the oil and gas supply module), and domestic refinery capacity expansion and fuel consumption. The solution is derived, satisfying the demand for petroleum products and incorporating the prices for raw material inputs and imported petroleum products, the costs of investment, and the domestic production of crude oil and natural gas liquids. The relationship of PMM to other NEMS modules is illustrated in Figure 17. Figure 17. Petroleum Market Module Structure PMM is a regional, linear-programming representation of the U.S. petroleum market. Refining operations are represented by a three-region linear programming formulation of the five Petroleum Administration for Defense Districts (PADDs) (Figure 18). PADDs I and V are each treated as single regions, while PADDs II, III, and IV are aggregated into one region. Each region is considered as a single firm where more than 30 distinct refinery processes are modeled. Refining capacity is allowed to expand in each region, but the model does not distinguish between additions to existing refineries or the building of new facilities. Investment criteria are developed exogenously, although the decision to invest is endogenous.

145

Mathematical and computer modelling reports: Modeling and forecasting energy markets with the intermediate future forecasting system  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

This paper describes the Intermediate Future Forecasting System (IFFS), which is the model used to forecast integrated energy markets by the U.S. Energy Information Administration. The model contains representations of supply and demand for all of the ...

Frederic H. Murphy; John J. Conti; Susan H. Shaw; Reginald Sanders

1989-09-01T23:59:59.000Z

146

Arbitrage free cointegrated models in gas and oil future markets  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

In this article we present a continuous time model for natural gas and crude oil future prices. Its main feature is the possibility to link both energies in the long term and in the short term. For each energy, the future returns are represented as the sum of volatility functions driven by motions. Under the risk neutral probability, the motions of both energies are correlated Brownian motions while under the historical probability, they are cointegrated by a Vectorial Error Correction Model. Our approach is equivalent to defining the market price of risk. This model is free of arbitrage: thus, it can be used for risk management as well for option pricing issues. Calibration on European market data and numerical simulations illustrate well its behavior.

Benmenzer, Grégory; Jérusalem, Céline

2007-01-01T23:59:59.000Z

147

EIA model documentation: Petroleum Market Model of the National Energy Modeling System  

SciTech Connect

The purpose of this report is to define the objectives of the Petroleum Market Model (PMM), describe its basic approach, and provide detail on how it works. This report is intended as a reference document for model analysts, users, and the public. Documentation of the model is in accordance with EIA`s legal obligation to provide adequate documentation in support of its models (Public Law 94-385, section 57.b.2). The PMM models petroleum refining activities, the marketing of products, the production of natural gas liquids and domestic methanol, projects petroleum provides and sources of supplies for meeting demand. In addition, the PMM estimates domestic refinery capacity expansion and fuel consumption.

NONE

1994-12-30T23:59:59.000Z

148

Search-Theoretic Models of the Labor Market: a Survey  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

We survey the literature on search-theoretic models of the labor market. We show how this approach addresses many issues, including the following: Why do workers sometimes choose to remain unemployed? What determines the lengths of employment and unemployment spells? How can there simultaneously exist unemployed workers and unfilled vacancies? What determines aggregate unemployment and vacancies? How can homogeneous workers earn different wages? What are the tradeoffs firms face from different wages? How do wages and turnover interact? What determines efficient turnover? We discuss various modeling choices concerning wage determination and the meeting process, including recent models of directed search.

Richard Rogerson; Robert Shimer; Randall Wright

2005-01-01T23:59:59.000Z

149

An order flow model and a liquidity measure of financial markets  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

The thesis seeks a better understanding of liquidity generation process of financial markets and attempts to find a quantitative measure of market liquidity. Various statistical modeling techniques are introduced to model ...

Kim, Adlar Jeewook

2008-01-01T23:59:59.000Z

150

Reinterpretation of Sieczka-Ho{\\l}yst financial market model  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

In this work we essentially reinterpreted the Sieczka-Ho{\\l}yst (SH) model to make it more suited for description of real markets. For instance, this reinterpretation made it possible to consider agents as crafty. These agents encourage their neighbors to buy some stocks if agents have an opportunity to sell these stocks. Also, agents encourage them to sell some stocks if agents have an opposite opportunity. Furthermore, in our interpretation price changes respond only to the agents' opinions change. This kind of respond protects the stock market dynamics against the paradox (present in the SH model), where all agents e.g. buy stocks while the corresponding prices remain unchanged. In this work we found circumstances, where distributions of returns (obtained for quite different time scales) either obey power-law or have at least fat tails. We obtained these distributions from numerical simulations performed in the frame of our approach.

Denys, Mateusz; Kutner, Ryszard

2013-01-01T23:59:59.000Z

151

A Mixed Complementarity-Based Equilibrium Model of Natural Gas Markets  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

We present a new multiseasonal, multiyear, natural gas market equilibrium model based on the concept of a competitive equilibrium involving the market participants: producers, storage reservoir operators, peak gas operators, pipeline operators, marketers, ... Keywords: games/group decisions: noncooperative, industries: petroleum/natural gas, marketing: competitive strategy, natural resources: energy, programming: complementarity

Steven A. Gabriel; Supat Kiet; Jifang Zhuang

2005-09-01T23:59:59.000Z

152

Market Design Simulations with Variable Energy Resources (VERs) (Presentation)  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

Presented at the FERC Technical Conference, 29 June 2011, Washington, D.C. This presentation describes NREL research regarding variable generation resources, operating reserves, unit commitment, economic dispatch, and introduces a new and novel modeling tool called 'FESTIV.'

Ela, E.

2011-06-01T23:59:59.000Z

153

Petroleum Market Model of the National Energy Modeling System. Part 2  

SciTech Connect

This report contains the following: Bibliography; Petroleum Market Model abstract; Data quality; Estimation methodologies (includes refinery investment recovery thresholds, gas plant models, chemical industry demand for methanol, estimation of refinery fixed costs, estimation of distribution costs, estimation of taxes gasoline specifications, estimation of gasoline market shares, estimation of low-sulfur diesel market shares, low-sulfur diesel specifications, estimation of regional conversion coefficients, estimation of SO{sub 2} allowance equations, unfinished oil imports methodology, product pipeline capacities and tariffs, cogeneration methodology, natural gas plant fuel consumption, and Alaskan crude oil exports); Matrix generator documentation; Historical data processing; and Biofuels supply submodule.

1997-12-18T23:59:59.000Z

154

Petroleum Market Model (PMM) - 2002 EIA Models Directory  

U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA)

Model Structure: FORTRAN callable subroutines, which update the linear programming matrix, re ... and State Energy Price and Expenditure Report.

155

PETROLEUM MARKET MODEL OF THE NATIONAL ENERGY MODELING SYSTEM Part ...  

U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA)

NATIONAL ENERGY MODELING SYSTEM . Part 2 - Appendices B thru J . ... the PMM LP and the re-optimization of the LP matrix are accomplished by executing FORTRAN callable

156

Coal Market Module of the National Energy Modeling System Model ...  

U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA)

Appendix 3.E. Optimization and Modeling Library (OML) ... Energy Outlook 2002 Projections of Coal Production, Distribution, and Prices for the National

157

Design and Build- Cost-Effective Energy Conservation: An Opportunity for the Competitive Market  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

This paper expands on concepts presented at the World Energy Congress and DA/DSM earlier this year. In the light of recent developments I have changed the title of the paper, merged some of the issues and updated my comments. The entire energy industry is in a state of flux in anticipation of the deregulation of the electricity supply industry. Utilities are, right now, creating subsidiary companies which will take advantage of the new competitive markets. These companies will trade as Energy Service Providers, offering a wide range of products, including conservation. They will focus on the bills the customers pay, not solely on the rates for energy. As this transition occurs the current methods for implementing energy conservation will be closely examined. We will see some of the aberrant and expensive practices created within a closely regulated Demand Side Management environment disappear. They will be replaced by traditional methodologies used in the construction industry. This paper examined the opportunity for those construction models in the competitive energy supply industry. I contend that an adaptation of the design and build method of construction offers many of the answers needed for cost effective implementation. The Design & Build contract has most of the key features needed in an energy conservation project. It is a proven method, understood by all participants, and it has inherent flexibility, needed to provide the building owner with the optimum solution for the building. Concentrating on the design of comprehensive Energy Conservation Measures (ECM), the D&B firm augments the strengths of its customers, conservation developers. The concepts offered herein are largely speculative; intended to create dialogue on the opportunities suggested. This document is not definitive. Now, can the industry make this work?

McGeown, D. I.

1995-04-01T23:59:59.000Z

158

Modeling Structural Changes in Market Demand and Supply  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

Economic events may cause structural changes in markets. To know the effect of the economic event we should analyze the structural changes in the market demand and supply. The purpose of this dissertation is to analyze the effect of selected economic events on market demand and supply using econometric models. Structural changes can be modeled according to the types of changes. For an abrupt and instantaneous break, a dummy variable model can be used. For a smooth and gradual movement, proxy variables which represent the event can be applied, if we know the variables. If we don?t know the appropriate proxy variables, a smooth transition regression model can be employed. The BSE (Bovine Spongiform Encephalopathy) outbreak in the U.S. in 2003 is assumed to make abrupt and instantaneous changes in Korean meat consumption. To analyze the effect on Korean meat consumption, the Korean demands of beef, pork, chicken, and U.S. beef are estimated using an LA/AIDS (Linear Approximate Almost Ideal Demand System) model with the dummy variable specifying the time before and after the BSE. From the results we can confirm that food safety concerns caused by the BSE case changed Korean meat consumption structure. Korean beef and U.S. beef became less elastic, and pork and chicken got more elastic to budget. Korean beef became less price elastic, but pork and U.S. beef got more price elastic. The changes of U.S. natural gas supply caused by technology development and depletion in reserves are analyzed using a smooth transition regression model. From the results, we can confirm that the productivity improvement by technology development is greater than the labor cost increase by depletion, but not greater than the capital cost increase by depletion in mid-2000s. The effects of posting the winning bid in a repeated Vickrey auction are examined using a proxy variable. By applying an unobserved effect Tobit model to the experimental auction done by Corrigan and Rousu (2006) for a candy bar, we can confirm that the changes of bidding behavior are significant, especially when the winning bid is high. By extracting the bid affiliation effects, we showed that true willingness to pay can be estimated.

Park, Beom Su

2010-08-01T23:59:59.000Z

159

The convergence of market designs for adequate generating capacity with special attention to the CAISO's resource adequacy problem  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

This paper compares market designs intended to solve the resource adequacy (RA) problem, and finds that, in spite of rivalrous claims, the most advanced designs have nearly converged. The original dichotomy between approaches ...

Cramton, Peter C.

2006-01-01T23:59:59.000Z

160

EIA model documentation: Petroleum market model of the national energy modeling system  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

The purpose of this report is to define the objectives of the Petroleum Market Model (PMM), describe its basic approach, and provide detail on how it works. This report is intended as a reference document for model analysts, users, and the public. Documentation of the model is in accordance with EIA`s legal obligation to provide adequate documentation in support of its models. The PMM models petroleum refining activities, the marketing of petroleum products to consumption regions, the production of natural gas liquids in gas processing plants, and domestic methanol production. The PMM projects petroleum product prices and sources of supply for meeting petroleum product demand. The sources of supply include crude oil, both domestic and imported; other inputs including alcohols and ethers; natural gas plant liquids production; petroleum product imports; and refinery processing gain. In addition, the PMM estimates domestic refinery capacity expansion and fuel consumption. Product prices are estimated at the Census division level and much of the refining activity information is at the Petroleum Administration for Defense (PAD) District level.

NONE

1995-12-28T23:59:59.000Z

Note: This page contains sample records for the topic "design market models" from the National Library of EnergyBeta (NLEBeta).
While these samples are representative of the content of NLEBeta,
they are not comprehensive nor are they the most current set.
We encourage you to perform a real-time search of NLEBeta
to obtain the most current and comprehensive results.


161

Essays on Forecasting and Hedging Models in the Oil Market and Causality Analysis in the Korean Stock Market  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

In this dissertation, three related issues concerning empirical time series models for energy financial markets and the stock market were investigated. The purpose of this dissertation was to analyze the interdependence of price movements, focusing on the forecasting models for crude oil prices and the hedging models for gasoline prices, and to study the change in the contemporaneous causal relationship between investors' activities and stock price movements in the Korean stock market. In the first essay, the nature of forecasting crude oil prices based on financial data for the oil and oil product market is examined. As crack spread and oil-related Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs) have enabled more consumers and investors to gain access to the crude oil and petroleum products markets, I investigated whether crack spread and oil ETFs were good predictors of oil prices and attempted to determine whether crack spread or oil ETFs were better at explaining oil price movements. In the second essay, the effectiveness of diverse hedging models for the unleaded gasoline price is examined using futures and ETFs. I calculated the optimal hedge ratios for gasoline futures and gasoline ETF utilizing several advanced econometric models and then compared their hedging performances. In the third essay, the contemporaneous causal relationship between multiple players' activities and stock price movements in the Korean stock market was investigated using the framework of a DAG model. The causal impacts of three players' activities in regard to stock return and stock price volatility are examined, concentrating on foreign investor activities. Within this framework, two Korean stock markets, the KSE and KOSDAQ markets, are analyzed and compared. Recognizing the global financial crisis of 2008, the change in casual relationships was examined in terms of pre- and post-break periods. In conclusion, when a multivariate econometric model is developed for multi-markets and multi-players, it is necessary to consider a number of attributes on data relations, including cointegration, causal relationship, time-varying correlation and variance, and multivariate non-normality. This dissertation employs several econometric models to specify these characteristics. This approach will be useful in further studies of the information transmission mechanism among multi-markets or multi-players.

Choi, Hankyeung

2012-08-01T23:59:59.000Z

162

Market design  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

the author regarding possible amendments. SESSA is an initiative funded by the Sixth EU RTD Framework Programme (Scientific Support to Policy) * Faculty of Economics, Cambridge Sustainable Energy Specific Support Assessment...

Newbery, David

2006-03-14T23:59:59.000Z

163

Cap-and-Trade Modeling and Analysis: Congested Electricity Market Equilibrium  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

can be applied: agent-based models and equilibrium models.its contributions. Agent-based Models. Agent-based modelingof agent-based wholesale electricity market models. Energy

Limpaitoon, Tanachai

2012-01-01T23:59:59.000Z

164

EIA model documentation: Electricity market module - electricity fuel dispatch  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

This report documents the National Energy Modeling System Electricity Fuel Dispatch Submodule (EFD), a submodule of the Electricity Market Module (EMM) as it was used for EIA`s Annual Energy Outlook 1997. It replaces previous documentation dated March 1994 and subsequent yearly update revisions. The report catalogues and describes the model assumptions, computational methodology, parameter estimation techniques, model source code, and forecast results generated through the synthesis and scenario development based on these components. This document serves four purposes. First, it is a reference document providing a detailed description of the model for reviewers and potential users of the EFD including energy experts at the Energy Information Administration (EIA), other Federal agencies, state energy agencies, private firms such as utilities and consulting firms, and non-profit groups such as consumer and environmental groups. Second, this report meets the legal requirement of the Energy Information Administration (EIA) to provide adequate documentation in support of its statistical and forecast reports. Third, it facilitates continuity in model development by providing documentation which details model enhancements that were undertaken for AE097 and since the previous documentation. Last, because the major use of the EFD is to develop forecasts, this documentation explains the calculations, major inputs and assumptions which were used to generate the AE097.

NONE

1997-01-01T23:59:59.000Z

165

Modeling complexity of enterprise routing design  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

Enterprise networks often have complex routing designs given the need to meet a wide set of resiliency, security and routing policies. In this paper, we take the position that minimizing design complexity must be an explicit objective of routing design. ... Keywords: network complexity, routing design, top-down modeling

Xin Sun; Sanjay G. Rao; Geoffrey G. Xie

2012-12-01T23:59:59.000Z

166

Symbolic Dynamics in a Matching Labour Market Model  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

In this paper we apply the techniques of symbolic dynamics to the analysis of a labor market which shows large volatility in employment flows. In a recent paper, Bhattacharya and Bunzel \\cite{BB} have found that the discrete time version of the Pissarides-Mortensen matching model can easily lead to chaotic dynamics under standard sets of parameter values. To conclude about the existence of chaotic dynamics in the numerical examples presented in the paper, the Li-Yorke theorem or the Mitra sufficient condition were applied which seems questionable because they may lead to misleading conclusions. Moreover, in a more recent version of the paper, Bhattacharya and Bunzel \\cite{BB1} present new results in which chaos is completely removed from the dynamics of the model. Our paper explores the matching model so interestingly developed by the authors with the following objectives in mind: (i) to show that chaotic dynamics may still be present in the model for standard parameter values; (ii) to clarify some open questions raised by the authors in \\cite{BB}, by providing a rigorous proof of the existence of chaotic dynamics in the model through the computation of topological entropy in a symbolic dynamics setting.

Diana A. Mendes; Vivaldo M. Mendes; J. Sousa Ramos

2006-08-01T23:59:59.000Z

167

Model documentation: Electricity Market Module, Electricity Capacity Planning submodule  

SciTech Connect

The National Energy Modeling System (NEMS) is a computer modeling system developed by the Energy Information Administration (EIA). The NEMS produces integrated forecasts for energy markets in the United States by achieving a general equilibrium solution for energy supply and demand. Currently, for each year during the period from 1990 through 2010, the NEMS describes energy supply, conversion, consumption, and pricing. The Electricity Market Module (EMM) is the electricity supply component of the National Energy Modeling System (NEMS). The supply of electricity is a conversion activity since electricity is produced from other energy sources (e.g., fossil, nuclear, and renewable). The EMM represents the generation, transmission, and pricing of electricity. The EMM consists of four main submodules: Electricity Capacity Planning (ECP), Electricity Fuel Dispatching (EFD), Electricity Finance and Pricing (EFP), and Load and Demand-Side Management (LDSM). The ECP evaluates changes in the mix of generating capacity that are necessary to meet future demands for electricity and comply with environmental regulations. The EFD represents dispatching (i.e., operating) decisions and determines how to allocate available capacity to meet the current demand for electricity. Using investment expenditures from the ECP and operating costs from the EFD, the EFP calculates the price of electricity, accounting for state-level regulations involving the allocation of costs. The LDSM translates annual demands for electricity into distributions that describe hourly, seasonal, and time-of-day variations. These distributions are used by the EFD and the ECP to determine the quantity and types of generating capacity that are required to insure reliable and economical supplies of electricity. The EMM also represents nonutility suppliers and interregional and international transmission and trade. These activities are included in the EFD and the ECP.

1994-04-07T23:59:59.000Z

168

Robustness of designs for model discrimination  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

A class of models is considered to describe the data to be collected using a design of experiment. One model within the class will possibly describe the data more adequately than the others which will be the ''true model'' but we do not know its identification. ... Keywords: 62H30, 62J05, 62K05, 62K20, Model discrimination, Model fitting, Optimum design, Polynomial regression, Prediction, The Dette-Melas-Shpilev representation, The Dette-Titoff class

Subir Ghosh; Santanu Dutta

2013-03-01T23:59:59.000Z

169

Internal Evolution for Agent Cognition - Agent-Based Modelling of an Artificial Stock Market.  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

??Agent-Based Modeling (ABM) is a powerful simulation technique with applications in several fields, in particular social sciences. Artificial Stock Market (ASM), introduced by a group… (more)

Hassanzadeh, Morteza

2011-01-01T23:59:59.000Z

170

Stochastic models of electricity prices and risk premia in the PJM market.  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

??With a main focus on risk premia in a US electricity market, we propose three stochastic models for electricity spot prices. Based on the proposed… (more)

Xiao, Yuewen

2012-01-01T23:59:59.000Z

171

Efficiency of appliance models on the market before and after DOE standards  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

LBNL-55509 Efficiency of Appliance Models on the MarketEnergy efficiency standards for appliances mandatethat appliance manufacturers not manufacture or import

Meyers, Stephen

2004-01-01T23:59:59.000Z

172

Designing and Modeling Smart Environments (Invited Paper)  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

This paper summarizes our experience in designing and modeling single habitant and multiple inhabitant smart environments based on learning and prediction based paradigm.

Sajal K. Das; Diane J. Cook

2006-06-01T23:59:59.000Z

173

Documentation of the petroleum market model (PMM). Appendix: Model developer`s report  

SciTech Connect

The Office of Integrated Analysis and Forecasting (OIAF) is required to provide complete model documentation to meet the EIA Model Acceptance Standards. The EIA Model Documentation: Petroleum Market Model of the National Energy Modeling System provides a complete description of the Petroleum Market Model`s (PMM) methodology, and relation to other modules in the National Energy Modeling System (NEMS). This Model Developer`s Report (MDR) serves as an appendix to the methodology documentation and provides an assessment of the sensitivity of PMM results to changes in input data. The MDR analysis for PMM is performed by varying several sets of input variables one-at-a-time and examining the effect on a set of selected output variables. The analysis is based on stand-alone, rather than integrated, National Energy Modeling System (NEMS) runs. This means that other NEMS modules are not responding to PMM outputs. The PMM models petroleum refining and marketing. The purpose of the PMM is to project petroleum product prices, refining activities, and movements of petroleum into the United States and among domestic regions. In addition, the PMM estimates capacity expansion and fuel consumption in, the refining industry. The PMM is also used to analyze a wide variety of petroleum-related issues and policies, in order to foster better understanding of the petroleum refining and marketing industry and the effects of certain policies and regulations. The PMM simulates the operation of petroleum refineries in the United States, including the supply and transportation of crude oil to refineries, the regional processing of these raw materials into petroleum products, and the distribution of petroleum products to meet regional demands. The essential outputs of this model are product prices, a petroleum supply/demand balance, demands for refinery fuel use, and capacity expansion.

Not Available

1994-12-28T23:59:59.000Z

174

The Natural Gas Market Model: Equations and data sources  

SciTech Connect

In 1981, EIA began a major study of the impact of natural gas deregulation. Through 1981, the major product of that study was the August 1981 EIA analysis paper entitled ''Analysis of Economic Effects of Accelerated Deregulation of Natural Gas Prices.'' That paper will be referred to as the ''Deregulation Study'' below. The Natural Gas Market Model (NGMM) was the primary model used to produce the forecasts discussed in the Deregulation Study. A modified version of NGMM has been used in the initial runs of the EIA Extended Short-term Forecasting System (ESFS), which is still under development. The purpose of this paper is to provide a comprehensive description of what NGMM is, and of the inputs used with NGMM for the Deregulation Study. The Deregulation Study, and the many documentation reports it cites, contain much information about the substantive studies which led up to the forecasts; however, it does not provide enough detail on how these studies were brought together to permit either a replication or an in-depth evaluation of the forecasts. EIA standards require that models be documented in enough detail to permit replication. This report attempts to fill that gap in documentation, on the basis of a line-by-line audit of the model code, interviews with the model developers, and a replication of the model in the user-oriented system Troll. The report mentions the mechanics of how the solutions are obtained, but not in complete detail. 2 figs., 6 tabs.

Werbos, P.J.

1981-11-01T23:59:59.000Z

175

EIA - The National Energy Modeling System: An Overview 2003-Coal Market  

Gasoline and Diesel Fuel Update (EIA)

Coal Market Module Coal Market Module The National Energy Modeling System: An Overview 2003 Coal Market Module Figure 19. Coal Market Module Demand Regions. Need help, contact the National Energy Information Center at 202-586-8800. Figure 20. Coal Market Module Supply Regions. Need help, contact the National Energy Information Center at 202-586-8800. Figure 21. Coal Market Module Structure. Need help, contact the National Energy Information Center at 202-586-8800. Coal Market Module Table. Need help, contact the National Energy Information Center at 202-586-8800. The coal market module (CMM) represents the mining, transportation, and pricing of coal, subject to end–use demand. Coal supplies are differentiated by heat and sulfur content. CMM also determines the minimum cost pattern of coal supply to meet exogenously defined U.S. coal

176

Market Acceptance of Advanced Automotive Technologies Model (MA3T) Consumer  

Open Energy Info (EERE)

Market Acceptance of Advanced Automotive Technologies Model (MA3T) Consumer Market Acceptance of Advanced Automotive Technologies Model (MA3T) Consumer Choice Model Jump to: navigation, search Tool Summary Name: Market Acceptance of Advanced Automotive Technologies Model (MA3T) Consumer Choice Model Agency/Company /Organization: Oak Ridge National Laboratory OpenEI Keyword(s): EERE tool, Market Acceptance of Advanced Automotive Technologies Model (MA3T) Consumer Choice Model, MA3T Project U.S. consumer demand for plug-in hybrid electric vehicles (PHEV) in competition among various light-duty vehicle technologies for hundreds of market segments based and multiple regions. For more information, contact the ORNL Energy and Transportation Science Division at http://www.ornl.gov/sci/ees/etsd/contactus.shtml References Retrieved from

177

Model documentation coal market module of the National Energy Modeling System  

SciTech Connect

This report documents the objectives and the conceptual and methodological approach used in the development of the Coal Production Submodule (CPS). It provides a description of the CPS for model analysts and the public. The Coal Market Module provides annual forecasts of prices, production, and consumption of coal.

1997-02-01T23:59:59.000Z

178

Model documentation Coal Market Module of the National Energy Modeling System  

SciTech Connect

This report documents objectives and conceptual and methodological approach used in the development of the National Energy Modeling System (NEMS) Coal Market Module (CMM) used to develop the Annual Energy Outlook 1996 (AEO96). This report catalogues and describes the assumptions, methodology, estimation techniques, and source code of CMM`s three submodules: Coal Production Submodule, Coal Export Submodule, and Coal Distribution Submodule.

1996-04-30T23:59:59.000Z

179

An Econophysics Model for the Stock-Markets' Analysis and Diagnosis  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

In this paper we present an econophysic model for the description of shares transactions in a capital market. For introducing the fundamentals of this model we used an analogy between the electrical field produced by a system of charges and the overall of economic and financial information of the shares transactions from the stock-markets. An energetic approach of the rate variation for the shares traded on the financial markets was proposed and studied.

Spanulescu, Ion; Stoica, Victor; Gheorghiu, Anca; Velter, Victor

2011-01-01T23:59:59.000Z

180

Constructing optimal designs for fitting pharmacokinetic models  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

We consider some computational issues that arise when searching for optimal designs for pharmacokinetic (PK) studies. Special factors that distinguish these are (i) repeated observations are taken from each subject and the observations are usually described ... Keywords: Bayesian optimal design, D-optimality, general optimisation, nonlinear mixed model, pharmacokinetic model

B. Jones; J. Wang

1999-07-01T23:59:59.000Z

Note: This page contains sample records for the topic "design market models" from the National Library of EnergyBeta (NLEBeta).
While these samples are representative of the content of NLEBeta,
they are not comprehensive nor are they the most current set.
We encourage you to perform a real-time search of NLEBeta
to obtain the most current and comprehensive results.


181

Automated analysis of security-design models  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

We have previously proposed SecureUML, an expressive UML-based language for constructing security-design models, which are models that combine design specifications for distributed systems with specifications of their security policies. Here, we show ... Keywords: Formal analysis, Metamodels, OCL, SecureUML, Security policies, UML

David Basin; Manuel Clavel; Jürgen Doser; Marina Egea

2009-05-01T23:59:59.000Z

182

A Two Stage Stochastic Equilibrium Model for Electricity Markets ...  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

Moreover, Green and Newbery [12] appropriately look .... Green [11] and Newbery [17] ..... defines the same obligation of energy dispatching in the spot market.

183

Designing Soybeans for the 21st Century MarketsChapter 6 Identification of Genes that Mediate Protection against Soybean Pathogens  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

Designing Soybeans for the 21st Century Markets Chapter 6 Identification of Genes that Mediate Protection against Soybean Pathogens Food Science Nutrition Biochemistry Processing Biofuels - Bioproducts eChapters Food Science & Technolo

184

Designing Soybeans for the 21st Century MarketsChapter 14 Use of Biotechnology to Enhance Soy Protein Ingredients  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

Designing Soybeans for the 21st Century Markets Chapter 14 Use of Biotechnology to Enhance Soy Protein Ingredients Food Science Biochemistry Processing Biofuels - Bioproducts eChapters Food Science & Technology Health - Nutrition - Bio

185

Designing Soybeans for the 21st Century MarketsChapter 8 Biological Mechanisms that Influence Soy Protein Concentration and Composition  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

Designing Soybeans for the 21st Century Markets Chapter 8 Biological Mechanisms that Influence Soy Protein Concentration and Composition Biofuels and Bioproducts and Biodiesel Food Science Health Nutrition Biochemistry Processing Biofu

186

Designing Soybeans for the 21st Century MarketsChapter 11 Modern Breeding Approaches to Enhancing Soy Protein Quality  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

Designing Soybeans for the 21st Century Markets Chapter 11 Modern Breeding Approaches to Enhancing Soy Protein Quality Biofuels and Bioproducts and Biodiesel Food Science Health Nutrition Biochemistry Processing Biofuels - Bioproducts

187

A comparison of three cap-and-trade market designs and incentives for new technologies to reduce Greenhouse gases  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

A source-based market design is preferable for its simplicity, lower costs, faster implementation, more accurate tracking and verification, and greater incentives for the adoption of lower-emitting technologies. (author)

Van Horn, Andrew; Remedios, Edward

2008-03-15T23:59:59.000Z

188

A Generic Framework for a Combined Agent-based Market and Production Model  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

Agent-based market models are in general based on a-priori defined supply and demand schemes. Likewise, production models assume that prices are known a-priori. In reality prices depend on variable demands and supplies, while demand and supply depend ... Keywords: Agent-based computational economics, Invisible hand, Markets, Price mechanism, Von Neumann technology matrices

Bas Straatman; Danielle J. Marceau; Roger White

2013-04-01T23:59:59.000Z

189

FIRST PRICE AND SECOND PRICE AUCTION MODELLING FOR ENERGY CONTRACTS IN LATIN AMERICAN ELECTRICITY MARKETS  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

demand growth. Current electricity market designs are being reviewed to avoid supply difficulties concept, named "capacity tag" for each plant is being proposed and in the FERC/EU direc- tives in the US INTERRUPTED MARKETS OPERATING COUNTRIES WITH POWER ADJUSTMENTS INTHE REFORM PROCESS INTERESTED INTHE NEW

Rudnick, Hugh

190

Horizontal-axis washing machines offer large savings: New models entering North American market  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

Long popular in Europe, new horizontal-axis clothes washers are entering the North American market, creating opportunities for government and utility conservation efforts. Unlike vertical-axis machines, which immerse the clothes in water, horizontal-axis designs use a tumbling action and require far less water, water-heating energy, and detergent. One development in this area is the recent reintroduction by the Frigidaire Company of a full-size, front-load, horizontal-axis washing machine. The new model is an improved version of an earlier design that was discontinued in mid-1991 during changes in manufacturing facilities. It is available under the Sears Kenmore, White-Westinghouse, and Gibson labels. While several European and commercial-grade front-load washers are sold in the US, they are all considerably more expensive than the Frigidaire machine, making it the most efficient clothes washer currently available in a mainstream North American consumer product line.

Shepard, M.

1992-12-31T23:59:59.000Z

191

Modeling EU electricity market competition using the residual supply index  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

An econometric approach to related hourly Residual Supply Index to price-cost margins in the major EU electricity generation markets suggests that market structure, as measured by the RSI, is a significant explanatory factor for markups, even when scarcity and other explanatory variables are included. (author)

Swinand, Gregory; Scully, Derek; Ffoulkes, Stuart; Kessler, Brian

2010-11-15T23:59:59.000Z

192

Optimal Control Design with Limited Model Information  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

We introduce the family of limited model information control design methods, which construct controllers by accessing the plant's model in a constrained way, according to a given design graph. We investigate the achievable closed-loop performance of discrete-time linear time-invariant plants under a separable quadratic cost performance measure with structured static state-feedback controllers. We find the optimal control design strategy (in terms of the competitive ratio and domination metrics) when the control designer has access to the local model information and the global interconnection structure of the plant-to-be-controlled. At last, we study the trade-off between the amount of model information exploited by a control design method and the best closed-loop performance (in terms of the competitive ratio) of controllers it can produce.

Farokhi, F; Johansson, K H

2011-01-01T23:59:59.000Z

193

Capacity Markets for Electricity  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

Designing Markets for Electricity. Wiley IEEE Press. [25]in the England and Wales Electricity Market”, Power WorkingFelder (1996), “Should Electricity Markets Have a Capacity

Creti, Anna; Fabra, Natalia

2004-01-01T23:59:59.000Z

194

Dual Estimates of the Optimal Plan Model and Regional Market Costs: A Relationship  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

The relationship between linear programming dual estimates for the optimal production plan model and real regional market costs is studied. A two-stage linear programming model is necessary for exact approximation of cost allocation in analyzing with ...

Yu. M. Tsodikov; Ya. Yu. Tsodikova

2001-04-01T23:59:59.000Z

195

Petroleum Market Model of the National Energy Modeling System. Part 1  

SciTech Connect

The purpose of this report is to define the objectives of the Petroleum Market Model (PMM), describe its basic approach, and provide detail on how it works. This report is intended as a reference document for model analysts, users, and the public. The PMM models petroleum refining activities, the marketing of petroleum products to consumption regions, the production of natural gas liquids in gas processing plants, and domestic methanol production. The PMM projects petroleum product prices and sources of supply for meeting petroleum product demand. The sources of supply include crude oil, both domestic and imported; other inputs including alcohols and ethers; natural gas plant liquids production; petroleum product imports; and refinery processing gain. In addition, the PMM estimates domestic refinery capacity expansion and fuel consumption. Product prices are estimated at the Census division level and much of the refining activity information is at the Petroleum Administration for Defense (PAD) District level.

NONE

1997-12-18T23:59:59.000Z

196

An institutional frame to compare alternative market designs in EU electricity balancing  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

The so-called "electricity wholesale market" is, in fact, a sequence of several markets. The chain is closed with a provision for "balancing," in which energy from all wholesale markets is balanced under the authority of ...

Glachant, Jean-Michel

2007-01-01T23:59:59.000Z

197

Modeling movements in oil, gold, forex and market indices using search volume index and Twitter sentiments  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

Study of the forecasting models using large scale microblog discussions and the search behavior data can provide a good insight for better understanding the market movements. In this work we collected a dataset of 2 million tweets and search volume index ... Keywords: Twitter, data mining, forex, gold, microblogging, oil, sentiment analysis, social network analysis, stock market

Tushar Rao, Saket Srivastava

2013-05-01T23:59:59.000Z

198

New wholesale power market design using linked forward markets : a study for the DOE energy storage systems program.  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

This report proposes a reformulation of U.S. ISO/RTO-managed wholesale electric power mar- kets for improved reliability and e ciency of system operations. Current markets do not specify or compensate primary frequency response. They also unnecessarily limit the participation of new technologies in reserve markets and o er insu cient economic inducements for new capacity invest- ment. In the proposed market reformulation, energy products are represented as physically-covered rm contracts and reserve products as physically-covered call option contracts. Trading of these products is supported by a backbone of linked ISO/RTO-managed forward markets with planning horizons ranging from multiple years to minutes ahead. A principal advantage of this reformulation is that reserve needs can be speci ed in detail, and resources can o er the services for which they are best suited, without being forced to conform to rigid reserve product de nitions. This should improve the business case for electric energy storage and other emerging technologies to provide reserve. In addition, the facilitation of price discovery should help to ensure e cient energy/reserve procurement and adequate levels of new capacity investment.

Silva Monroy, Cesar Augusto; Loose, Verne William; Ellison, James F.; Elliott, Ryan Thomas; Byrne, Raymond Harry; Guttromson, Ross; Tesfatsion, Leigh S. [Iowa State University, Ames, IA

2013-04-01T23:59:59.000Z

199

Structuring public place through the design of access systems : the design of urban public place, an addition to the "New Market" of Calcutta, India  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

The addition and re-design of a 19th century covered market in the heart of Calcutta, India, is the design project to explore the larger topic of place-making within a specific culture. In Calcutta the divisions of society ...

Ahmad Aminuddin

1995-01-01T23:59:59.000Z

200

Market Dynamics and Local Policy Choices for Converged Systems: Case Study of Integrated Telecommunication Design and Deployment  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

Researchers have cogently presented the technical case for converged telecommunications systems. However, it is not clear how market-based telecommunications providers and local communities are embracing this technical argument as they design and adopt ... Keywords: design, interoperability, policy, regulation, telecommunications convergence

Thomas A. Horan; Benjamin L. Schooley

2004-09-01T23:59:59.000Z

Note: This page contains sample records for the topic "design market models" from the National Library of EnergyBeta (NLEBeta).
While these samples are representative of the content of NLEBeta,
they are not comprehensive nor are they the most current set.
We encourage you to perform a real-time search of NLEBeta
to obtain the most current and comprehensive results.


201

Pattern Language Verification in Model Driven Design  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

This paper addresses the problem of verifying the application of a Pattern Language in a design that is built based upon the patterns of the language in a model-driven approach. We propose a process named Pattern Language Verifier (PLV) which consists ... Keywords: Model Driven Engineering, Pattern Language Verification

Bahman Zamani, Greg Butler

2013-07-01T23:59:59.000Z

202

The National Energy Modeling System: An Overview 1998 - Electricity Market  

Gasoline and Diesel Fuel Update (EIA)

ELECTRICITY MARKET MODULE ELECTRICITY MARKET MODULE blueball.gif (205 bytes) Electricity Capacity Planning Submodule blueball.gif (205 bytes) Electricity Fuel Dispatch Submodule blueball.gif (205 bytes) Electricity Finance and Pricing Submodule blueball.gif (205 bytes) Load and Demand-Side Management Submodule blueball.gif (205 bytes) Emissions The electricity market module (EMM) represents the generation, transmission, and pricing of electricity, subject to: delivered prices for coal, petroleum products, and natural gas; the cost of centralized generation from renewable fuels; macroeconomic variables for costs of capital and domestic investment; and electricity load shapes and demand. The submodules consist of capacity planning, fuel dispatching, finance and pricing, and load and demand-side management (Figure 9). In addition,

203

Arbitrage Free Models In Markets With Transaction Costs  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

In \\cite{Gua} the notion of stickiness for stochastic processes was introduced. It was also shown that stickiness implies absense of arbitrage in a market with proportional transaction costs. In this paper, we investigate the notion of stickiness further. In particular, we show that stickiness is invariant under composition with continuous functions. We also prove a time change result on stickiness. As an application we provide sufficient conditions for continuous semimartingales to be sticky (A counter example show that not all semi-martingales are sticky). As a result, our paper provides an extended class of stochastic processes that are consistent with the no arbitrage property in a market with friction.

Bayraktar, Erhan

2008-01-01T23:59:59.000Z

204

Survey review of models for use in market penetration analysis: utility sector focus  

SciTech Connect

The ultimate benefits of federal expenditures in research and development for new technologies are dependent upon the degree of acceptance of these technologies. Market penetration considerations are central to the problem of quantifying the potential benefits. These benefits are inputs to the selection process of projects competing for finite R and D funds. Market penetration is the gradual acceptance of a new commodity or technology. The Office of Coal utilization is concerned with the specialized area of market penetration of new electric power generation technologies for both replacement and new capacity. The common measure of market penetration is the fraction of the market serviced by the challenging technology for each time point considered. The methodologies for estimating market penetration are divided into three generic classes: integrated energy/economy modeling systems, utility capacity expansion models, and technology substitution models. In general, the integrated energy/economy modeling systems have three advantages: they provide internally consistent macro, energy-economy scenarios, they account for the effect of prices on demand by fuel form, and they explicitly capture the effects of population growth and the level and structure of economic activity on energy demand. A variety of deficiencies appear in most energy-economy systems models. All of the methodologies may be applied at some level to questions of market penetration of new technologies in the utility sector; choice of methods for a particular analysis must be conditioned by the scope of the analysis, data availability, and the relative cost of alternative analysis.

Groncki, P.J.; Kydes, A.S.; Lamontagne, J.; Marcuse, W.; Vinjamuri, G.

1980-11-01T23:59:59.000Z

205

Modeling the electricity market as a complex adaptive system with an agent-based approach.  

SciTech Connect

As power markets are relatively new and still continue to evolve, there is a growing need for advanced modeling approaches that simulate the behavior of electricity markets over time and how market participants may act and react to the changing economic, financial and regulatory environments in which they operate. A new and rather promising approach is to model the electricity market as a complex adaptive system using an agent-based modeling and simulation (ABMS) approach. The purpose of an ABMS model is not necessarily to predict the outcome of a system but to reveal and understand the complex and aggregate system behaviors that emerge from the interactions of the heterogeneous individual entities. Emergent behavior is a key feature of ABMS and is not easily inferred from the simple sum of the behavior of its components. By relying on both established engineering modeling techniques as well as advanced quantitative economic market principles, the ABMS approach is uniquely suited to addressing the strategic issues of interest to different market participants as well as those of market monitors and regulators.

Koritarov, V.; Decision and Information Sciences

2004-07-01T23:59:59.000Z

206

Multi-Factor Model of Correlated Commodity - Forward Curves for Crude Oil and Shipping Markets  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

An arbitrage free multi-factor model is developed of the correlated forward curves of the crude oil, gasoline, heating oil and tanker shipping markets. Futures contracts trading on public exchanges are used as the primary ...

Ellefsen, Per Einar

2009-01-01T23:59:59.000Z

207

Comparing Price Forecast Accuracy of Natural Gas Models and Futures Markets  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

Update on Petroleum, Natural Gas, Heating Oil and Gasoline.of the Market for Natural Gas Futures. Energy Journal 16 (Modeling Forum. 2003. Natural Gas, Fuel Diversity and North

Wong-Parodi, Gabrielle; Dale, Larry; Lekov, Alex

2005-01-01T23:59:59.000Z

208

Electromagnetic Modelling of Superconducting Sensor Designs  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

DEPARTMENT OF MATERIALS SCIENCE AND METALLURGY Electromagnetic Modelling of Superconducting Sensor Designs Guido Gerra Clare Hall, University of Cambridge 1 Preface The present dissertation has been submitted... and for all the moments they have shared with me. 4 Abstract The problem of design optimisation of thin film direct current Superconducting QUantum Interference Device (SQUID) magnetometers made of YBCO (YBa2Cu3O7-x) was considered. The inductances...

Gerra, Guido

209

Computer Aided Design Modeling for Heterogeneous Objects  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

Heterogeneous object design is an active research area in recent years. The conventional CAD modeling approaches only provide geometry and topology of the object, but do not contain any information with regard to the materials of the object and so can not be used for the fabrication of heterogeneous objects (HO) through rapid prototyping. Current research focuses on computer-aided design issues in heterogeneous object design. A new CAD modeling approach is proposed to integrate the material information into geometric regions thus model the material distributions in the heterogeneous object. The gradient references are used to represent the complex geometry heterogeneous objects which have simultaneous geometry intricacies and accurate material distributions. The gradient references helps in flexible manipulability and control to heterogeneous objects, which guarantees the local control over gradient regions of developed heterogeneous objects. A systematic approach on data flow, processing, computer visualizat...

Gupta, Vikas; Tandon, Puneet

2010-01-01T23:59:59.000Z

210

Modeling hydro power plants in deregulated electricity markets : integration and application of EMCAS and VALORAGUA.  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

In this paper, we present details of integrating an agent-based model, Electricity Market Complex Adaptive System (EMCAS) with a hydro-thermal coordination model, VALORAGUA. EMCAS provides a framework for simulating deregulated markets with flexible regulatory structure along with bidding strategies for supply offers and demand bids. VALORAGUA provides longer-term operation plans by optimizing hydro and thermal power plant operation for the entire year. In addition, EMCAS uses the price forecasts and weekly hydro schedules from VALORAGUA to provide intra-week hydro plant optimization for hourly supply offers. The integrated model is then applied to the Iberian electricity market which includes about 111 thermal plants and 38 hydro power plants. We then analyze the impact of hydro plant supply offers on the market prices and ways to minimize the Gencospsila exposure to price risk.

Thimmapuram, P.; Veselka, T.; Koritarov, V.; Vilela, S.; Pereira, R.; Silva, R. (Decision and Information Sciences); (Rede Electrica Nacional, S.A.); (Energias de Portugal)

2008-01-01T23:59:59.000Z

211

Market disruption, cascading effects, and economic recovery:a life-cycle hypothesis model.  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

This paper builds upon previous work [Sprigg and Ehlen, 2004] by introducing a bond market into a model of production and employment. The previous paper described an economy in which households choose whether to enter the labor and product markets based on wages and prices. Firms experiment with prices and employment levels to maximize their profits. We developed agent-based simulations using Aspen, a powerful economic modeling tool developed at Sandia, to demonstrate that multiple-firm economies converge toward the competitive equilibria typified by lower prices and higher output and employment, but also suffer from market noise stemming from consumer churn. In this paper we introduce a bond market as a mechanism for household savings. We simulate an economy of continuous overlapping generations in which each household grows older in the course of the simulation and continually revises its target level of savings according to a life-cycle hypothesis. Households can seek employment, earn income, purchase goods, and contribute to savings until they reach the mandatory retirement age; upon retirement households must draw from savings in order to purchase goods. This paper demonstrates the simultaneous convergence of product, labor, and savings markets to their calculated equilibria, and simulates how a disruption to a productive sector will create cascading effects in all markets. Subsequent work will use similar models to simulate how disruptions, such as terrorist attacks, would interplay with consumer confidence to affect financial markets and the broader economy.

Sprigg, James A.

2004-11-01T23:59:59.000Z

212

Integrated Market Modeling of Hydrogen Transition Scenarios with HyTrans  

NLE Websites -- All DOE Office Websites (Extended Search)

Integrated Market Modeling of Integrated Market Modeling of Hydrogen Transition Scenarios with HyTrans Paul N. Leiby, David L. Greene and David Bowman Oak Ridge National Laboratory A presentation to the Hydrogen Delivery Analysis Meeting FreedomCAR and Fuels Partnership Delivery, Storage and Hydrogen Pathways Tech Teams May 8-9, 2007 Columbia, MD 2 OAK RIDGE NATIONAL LABORATORY U. S. DEPARTMENT OF ENERGY Drawing from several other DOE models, HyTrans integrates supply and demand in a dynamic non-linear market model to 2050. * H2A - Hydrogen Production - Hydrogen Delivery * PSAT & ASCM - Fuel economy - 2010/2015 cost & performance goals * ORNL Vehicle Choice Model - Fuel availability - Make & model diversity - Price, fuel economy, etc. * Vehicle Manufacturing Cost Estimates (assisted by OEMs)

213

Plant design: Integrating Plant and Equipment Models  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

Like power plant engineers, process plant engineers must design generating units to operate efficiently, cleanly, and profitably despite fluctuating costs for raw materials and fuels. To do so, they increasingly create virtual plants to enable evaluation of design concepts without the expense of building pilot-scale or demonstration facilities. Existing computational models describe an entire plant either as a network of simplified equipment models or as a single, very detailed equipment model. The Advanced Process Engineering Co-Simulator (APECS) project (Figure 5) sponsored by the U.S. Department of Energy's National Energy Technology Laboratory (NETL) seeks to bridge the gap between models by integrating plant modeling and equipment modeling software. The goal of the effort is to provide greater insight into the performance of proposed plant designs. The software integration was done using the process-industry standard CAPE-OPEN (Computer Aided Process Engineering–Open), or CO interface. Several demonstration cases based on operating power plants confirm the viability of this co-simulation approach.

Sloan, David (Alstrom Power); Fiveland, Woody (Alstrom Power); Zitney, S.E.; Osawe, Maxwell (Ansys, Inc.)

2007-08-01T23:59:59.000Z

214

Wind Turbine Design Cost and Scaling Model  

NLE Websites -- All DOE Office Websites (Extended Search)

Wind Turbine Design Cost Wind Turbine Design Cost and Scaling Model L. Fingersh, M. Hand, and A. Laxson Technical Report NREL/TP-500-40566 December 2006 NREL is operated by Midwest Research Institute â—Ź Battelle Contract No. DE-AC36-99-GO10337 Wind Turbine Design Cost and Scaling Model L. Fingersh, M. Hand, and A. Laxson Prepared under Task No. WER6.0703 Technical Report NREL/TP-500-40566 December 2006 National Renewable Energy Laboratory 1617 Cole Boulevard, Golden, Colorado 80401-3393 303-275-3000 * www.nrel.gov Operated for the U.S. Department of Energy Office of Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy by Midwest Research Institute * Battelle Contract No. DE-AC36-99-GO10337 NOTICE This report was prepared as an account of work sponsored by an agency of the United States government.

215

Physical layer model design for wireless networks  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

Wireless network analysis and simulations rely on accurate physical layer models. The increased interest in wireless network design and cross-layer design require an accurate and efficient physical layer model especially when a large number of nodes are to be studied and building the real network is not possible. For analysis of upper layer characteristics, a simplified physical layer model has to be chosen to model the physical layer. In this dissertation, the widely used two-state Markov model is examined and shown to be deficient for low to moderate signal-to-noise ratios. The physical layer statistics are investigated, and the run length distributions of the good and bad frames are demonstrated to be the key statistics for accurate physical layer modeling. A four-state Markov model is proposed for the flat Rayleigh fading channel by approximating the run length distributions with a mixture of exponential distributions. The transition probabilities in the four-state Markov model can be established analytically without having to run extensive physical layer simulations, which are required for the two-state Markov model. Physical layer good and bad run length distributions are compared and it is shown that the four-state Markov model reasonably approximates the run length distributions. Ns2 simulations are performed and the four-state Markov model provides a much more realistic approximation compared to the popular two-state Markov model. Achieving good results with the flat Rayleigh fading channel, the proposed four-state Markov model is applied to a few diversity channels. A coded orthogonal fre- quency division multiplexing (OFDM) system with a frequency selective channel and the Alamouti multiple-input multiple-output system are chosen to verify the accuracy of the four-state Markov model. The network simulation results show that the four-state Markov model approximates the physical layer with diversity channel well whereas the traditional two-state Markov model estimates the network throughput poorly. The success of adapting the four-state Markov model to the diversity channel also shows the flexibility of adapting the four-state Markov model to various channel conditions.

Yu, Yi

2006-08-01T23:59:59.000Z

216

Statistical properties of agent-based models in markets with continuous double auction mechanism  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

Real world markets display power-law features in variables such as price fluctuations in stocks. To further understand market behavior, we have conducted a series of market experiments on our web-based prediction market platform which allows us to reconstruct transaction networks among traders. From these networks, we are able to record the degree of a trader, the size of a community of traders, the transaction time interval among traders and other variables that are of interest. The distributions of all these variables show power-law behavior. On the other hand, agent-based models have been proposed to study the properties of real financial markets. We here study the statistical properties of these agent-based models and compare them with the results from our web-based market experiments. In this work, three agent-based models are studied, namely, zero-intelligence (ZI), zero-intelligence-plus (ZIP) and Gjerstad-Dickhaut (GD). Computer simulations of variables based on these three agent-based models were car...

Tseng, Jie-Jun; Lin, Chih-Ting; Wang, Sun-Chong; Li, Sai-Ping; 10.1016/j.physa.2009.12.034

2010-01-01T23:59:59.000Z

217

Oil Market Simulation model: model documentation report (Task 13). Final report  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

This report documents the Oil Market Simulation (OMS) model as used by the Energy Information Administration (EIA) to provide forecasts of world oil prices. In addition, the OMS model is used to examine the market responses to changes in oil demand and supply. The current version of the model provides additional OMS simulation capabilities to its predecessor. It performs not only the price and production simulations as before, but also simulations that converge to a user-specified regional demand, supply, or import level. Free world countries are grouped into seven major oil demand regions and eight major oil supply regions. The OMS model consists of three parts: oil demand, non-OPEC oil supply, and OPEC pricing behavior. Regional oil demand in a given year is determined as a function of the average world oil price for the year, the regional level of economic activity for the year, and the oil demand in the previous year. Non-OPEC regional oil supply is specified as a function of world oil price and the regional oil supply in the previous period. OPEC pricing behavior is related to the OPEC capacity utilization rate; OPEC sets the oil price based on the percent utilization of its availabile production capacity and the world oil price in the previous time period. Besides the behavior rules of consumers, non-OPEC producers, and OPEC producers, the OMS model includes some regional demand and supply values that are determined exogenously. These user-determined demand and supply values include: (1) OPEC demand, (2) US Strategic Petroleum reserve fill rates, and (3) the net exports from Centrally Planned Economies. 19 refs., 7 figs., 10 tabs.

Not Available

1985-05-10T23:59:59.000Z

218

Market Penetration Model (MPM) user's guide  

SciTech Connect

This document describes a computer program which calculates the most probable Solar Total Energy System (STES) market penetration and forecasts of energy displacement by geographic location (50 states) and by industrial application (140 industries) for seven time periods (from 1985 to 2015 in five year increments). The program is written in Fortran for the FTN compiler on The Aerospace Corporation's CDC 7600 computer. It consists of approximately 750 cards, including comments. This document contains a description of the program, its inputs and its outputs. Examples of program input and output as well as a sample deck structure are provided. A source listing appears in the appendix.

Timmer, B.R.

1979-01-04T23:59:59.000Z

219

EUV Focus Sensor: Design and Modeling  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

We describe performance modeling and design optimization of a prototype EUV focus sensor (FS) designed for use with existing 0.3-NA EUV projection-lithography tools. At 0.3-NA and 13.5-nm wavelength, the depth of focus shrinks to 150 nm increasing the importance of high-sensitivity focal-plane detection tools. The FS is a free-standing Ni grating structure that works in concert with a simple mask pattern of regular lines and spaces at constant pitch. The FS pitch matches that of the image-plane aerial-image intensity: it transmits the light with high efficiency when the grating is aligned with the aerial image laterally and longitudinally. Using a single-element photodetector, to detect the transmitted flux, the FS is scanned laterally and longitudinally so the plane of peak aerial-image contrast can be found. The design under consideration has a fixed image-plane pitch of 80-nm, with aperture widths of 12-40-nm (1-3 wavelengths), and aspect ratios of 2-8. TEMPEST-3D is used to model the light transmission. Careful attention is paid to the annular, partially coherent, unpolarized illumination and to the annular pupil of the Micro-Exposure Tool (MET) optics for which the FS is designed. The system design balances the opposing needs of high sensitivity and high throughput optimizing the signal-to-noise ratio in the measured intensity contrast.

Goldberg, Kenneth A.; Teyssier, Maureen E.; Liddle, J. Alexander

2005-05-01T23:59:59.000Z

220

Effects of diversification among assets in an agent-based market model  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

We extend to the multi-asset case the framework of a discrete time model of a single asset financial market developed in Ghoulmie et al (2005). In particular, we focus on adaptive agents with threshold behavior allocating their resources among two assets. We explore numerically the effect of this diversification as an additional source of complexity in the financial market and we discuss its destabilizing role. We also point out the relevance of these studies for financial decision making.

Ghoulmié, F; Mellen, C P; Di Matteo, T

2007-01-01T23:59:59.000Z

Note: This page contains sample records for the topic "design market models" from the National Library of EnergyBeta (NLEBeta).
While these samples are representative of the content of NLEBeta,
they are not comprehensive nor are they the most current set.
We encourage you to perform a real-time search of NLEBeta
to obtain the most current and comprehensive results.


221

Theory of agent-based market models with controlled levels of greed and anxiety  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

We use generating functional analysis to study minority-game type market models with generalized strategy valuation updates that control the psychology of agents' actions. The agents' choice between trend following and contrarian trading, and their vigor in each, depends on the overall state of the market. Even in `fake history' models, the theory now involves an effective overall bid process (coupled to the effective agent process) which can exhibit profound remanence effects and new phase transitions. For some models the bid process can be solved directly, others require Maxwell-construction type approximations.

Papadopoulos, P

2009-01-01T23:59:59.000Z

222

Analytical model for Stirling cycle machine design  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

In order to study further the promising free piston Stirling engine architecture, there is a need of an analytical thermodynamic model which could be used in a dynamical analysis for preliminary design. To aim at more realistic values, the models have to take into account the heat losses and irreversibilities on the engine. An analytical model which encompasses the critical flaws of the regenerator and furthermore the heat exchangers effectivenesses has been developed. This model has been validated using the whole range of the experimental data available from the General Motor GPU-3 Stirling engine prototype. The effects of the technological and operating parameters on Stirling engine performance have been investigated. In addition to the regenerator influence, the effect of the cooler effectiveness is underlined.

Formosa, Fabien; 10.1016/j.enconman.2010.02.010

2013-01-01T23:59:59.000Z

223

The National Energy Modeling System: An Overview 2000 - Electricity Market  

Gasoline and Diesel Fuel Update (EIA)

electricity market module (EMM) represents the generation, transmission, and pricing of electricity, subject to: delivered prices for coal, petroleum products, and natural gas; the cost of centralized generation from renewable fuels; macroeconomic variables for costs of capital and domestic investment; and electricity load shapes and demand. The submodules consist of capacity planning, fuel dispatching, finance and pricing, and load and demand-side management (Figure 9). In addition, nonutility supply and electricity trade are represented in the fuel dispatching and capacity planning submodules. Nonutility generation from cogenerators and other facilities whose primary business is not electricity generation is represented in the demand and fuel supply modules. All other nonutility generation is represented in EMM. The generation of electricity is accounted for in 15 supply regions (Figure 10), and fuel consumption is allocated to the 9 Census divisions.

224

Capacity Markets and Market Stability  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

The good news is that market stability can be achieved through a combination of longer-term contracts, auctions for far enough in the future to permit new entry, a capacity management system, and a demand curve. The bad news is that if and when stable capacity markets are designed, the markets may seem to be relatively close to where we started - with integrated resource planning. Market ideologues will find this anathema. (author)

Stauffer, Hoff

2006-04-15T23:59:59.000Z

225

Analyzing the influence of overconfident investors on financial markets through agent-based model  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

In this research, we employ Agent-Based Model to analyze how asset prices are affected by investors' Behavior. This analysis places focus on the influence of overconfident investors on financial market. As a result of intensive analysis, we find that ... Keywords: agent based-model, asset pricing, behavioral economics, overconfidence

Hiroshi Takahashi; Takao Terano

2007-12-01T23:59:59.000Z

226

Market power and welfare effects in DC power flow electricity models with thermal line losses  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

A nodal electric power network with Cournot-Nash interaction among power generators is formulated as a mixed complementarity problem. The model incorporates a direct current (DC) power flow approximation with thermal line losses to model real-time flows. ... Keywords: Electricity markets, Imperfect competition, Thermal line losses, Welfare measurement

Rastislav Ivanic; Paul V. Preckel; Zuwei Yu

2005-10-01T23:59:59.000Z

227

The value of information in a multi-agent market model  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

We present an experimental and simulated model of a multi-agent stock market driven by a double auction order matching mechanism. Studying the effect of cumulative information on the performance of traders, we find a non monotonic relationship of net returns of traders as a function of information levels, both in the experiments and in the simulations. Particularly, averagely informed traders perform worse than the non informed and only traders with high levels of information (insiders) are able to beat the market. The simulations and the experiments reproduce many stylized facts of stock markets, such as fast decay of autocorrelation of returns, volatility clustering and fat-tailed distribution of returns. These results have an important message for everyday life. They can give a possible explanation why, on average, professional fund managers perform worse than the market index.

Tóth, B; Kirchler, M; Scalas, E; Huber, Juergen; Kirchler, Michael; Scalas, Enrico; Toth, Bence

2006-01-01T23:59:59.000Z

228

Design of novel hybrid controller for automatic generation control of hydrothermal system under open market scenario  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

This paper presents the analysis of Automatic generation control (AGC) of a two-area hydrothermal system under open market scenario by considering a novel hybrid controller which combines the principles of variable structure controller (VSC) and conventional ... Keywords: AGC, VSC, deregulated system, hybrid controller, hydrothermal system, open market system

C. Srinivasa Rao; S. Siva Nagaraju; P. Sangameswara Raju

2009-12-01T23:59:59.000Z

229

The world oil market and OPEC behavior: The leak-producer price leader model  

SciTech Connect

This is an economic study of the world's oil market in which OPEC plays the central role in determining the oil supply and price. Understanding OPEC's behavior is at the core of understanding the world's oil market. However, oil is a resource belonging to the family of natural resources known as exhaustible. We do not produce oil; we only extract and distribute a fixed amount of the resource over generations. Optimal extraction is a matter of concern to both suppliers and consumers. First, it is shown that using the traditional theory of producers behavior in the conventional commodity markets to explain extractors behavior in exhaustible resource markets is completely wrong. Second, current models of OPEC behavior are reviewed. Third, an alternative model is introduced. Previous authors have not directed their models to give explanations to the peculiar observations in oil market. This model divides the world's oil suppliers into: the free riders (non-OPEC oil producers), the OPEC hawks (a group within OPEC) and the leak-producer price leader (Saudi Arabia). Three factors, namely relatively big oil reserves, no other sources of income, and the avoidance of the so-called backstop technology make Saudi Arabia more interested in lower oil prices than are other oil extractors.

Aboalela, A.A.

1988-01-01T23:59:59.000Z

230

Geothermal Energy Market Study on the Atlantic Coastal Plain. Geothermal Energy Market penetration: development of a model for the residential sector  

SciTech Connect

A model has been developed that examines the feasibility of using geothermal technology in heating residential structures. Specific account is taken of the small contribution of new housing to the total stock in any given year and of the durability of houses and their furnaces. Both aspects constrain the penetration of geothermal energy into the residential market. After a discussion of other market penetration paradigms, a simple model of market penetration is developed that is based on the premise that homeowners will not abandon an existing furnace until its economic life is over. Next, behavioral parameters are discussed and the model is extended from 20 to 40 years. Finally, methods are discussed for collecting the needed data to determine market penetration, and ideas are proposed of ways to induce homeowners to give up economically viable furnaces to allow the firm providing the energy to reduce costs.

Goodman, A.C.

1979-09-01T23:59:59.000Z

231

Towards a common European Electricity Market – Paths in the right direction … still far from an effective design 1  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

This paper analyses the future organization of cross border trade in the European electricity market. The draft Regulation “on Conditions for Access to the Network for Cross-Border Exchanges in Electricity ” issued in March 2001 by the European Commission together with related documents produced by the European association of Transmission System Operators (ETSO) and the Council of European Electricity Regulators (CEER) constitute the backbone of this analysis. The paper examines whether the economic principles contained in these documents suffice to design a working European electricity market and if not, what is missing. It concludes that these principles need to be completed by harder measures in order to induce the “real integrated single market ” of electricity claimed by the Commission. In short, the principles may be necessary, but they are unlikely to be sufficient.

Jacqueline Boucher; Yves Smeers

2001-01-01T23:59:59.000Z

232

Concentrating Solar Deployment System (CSDS) -- A New Model for Estimating U.S. Concentrating Solar Power (CSP) Market Potential: Preprint  

DOE Green Energy (OSTI)

This paper presents the Concentrating Solar Deployment System Model (CSDS). CSDS is a multiregional, multitime-period, Geographic Information System (GIS), and linear programming model of capacity expansion in the electric sector of the United States. CSDS is designed to address the principal market and policy issues related to the penetration of concentrating solar power (CSP) electric-sector technologies. This paper discusses the current structure, capabilities, and assumptions of the model. Additionally, results are presented for the impact of continued research and development (R&D) spending, an extension to the investment tax credit (ITC), and use of a production tax credit (PTC). CSDS is an extension of the Wind Deployment System (WinDS) model created at the National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL). While WinDS examines issues related to wind, CSDS is an extension to analyze similar issues for CSP applications. Specifically, a detailed representation of parabolic trough systems with thermal storage has been developed within the existing structure.

Blair, N.; Mehos, M.; Short, W.; Heimiller, D.

2006-04-01T23:59:59.000Z

233

Model documentation: Electricity market module, electricity finance and pricing submodule  

SciTech Connect

The purpose of this report is to define the objectives of the model, describe its basic approach, and provide detail on how it works. The EFP is a regulatory accounting model that projects electricity prices. The model first solves for revenue requirements by building up a rate base, calculating a return on rate base, and adding the allowed expenses. Average revenues (prices) are calculated based on assumptions regarding regulator lag and customer cost allocation methods. The model then solves for the internal cash flow and analyzes the need for external financing to meet necessary capital expenditures. Finally, the EFP builds up the financial statements. The EFP is used in conjunction with the National Energy Modeling System (NEMS). Inputs to the EFP include the forecast generating capacity expansion plans, operating costs, regulator environment, and financial data. The outputs include forecasts of income statements, balance sheets, revenue requirements, and electricity prices.

1994-04-07T23:59:59.000Z

234

Modeling the Market Potential of Hydrogen from Wind and Competing Sources: Preprint  

DOE Green Energy (OSTI)

Developed from the Wind Deployment Systems (WinDS) model, the Hydrogen Deployment Systems (HyDS) model is a computer model of U.S. market expansion of hydrogen production from wind and other sources over the next 50 years. The WinDS model was developed in 2003 to model the expansion of generation and transmission capacity in the U.S. electric sector spanning the next 50 years. It minimizes system-wide costs of meeting loads, reserve requirements, and emission constraints by building and operating new generators and transmission in 26 two-year periods from 2000 to 2050. While it includes all major types of conventional generators, the WinDS model focuses on addressing the market issues of greatest significance to wind-specifically issues of electricity transmission and intermittency.

Short, W.; Blair, N.; Heimiller, D.

2005-05-01T23:59:59.000Z

235

Comparing Price Forecast Accuracy of Natural Gas Models and Futures Markets  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

All U.S. energy markets including exports and imports U.S.Energy Markets All U.S. energy markets including imports andenergy markets All U.S. energy markets including imports and

Wong-Parodi, Gabrielle; Dale, Larry; Lekov, Alex

2005-01-01T23:59:59.000Z

236

Bayesian Inference in Dynamic Disequilibrium Models: An Application to the Polish Credit Market  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

We review Bayesian inference for dynamic latent variable models using the data augmentation principle. We detail the difficulties of simulating dynamic latent variables in a Gibbs sampler. We propose an alternative specification of the dynamic disequilibrium model which leads to a simple simulation procedure and renders Bayesian inference fully operational. Identification issues are discussed. We conduct a specification search using the posterior deviance criterion of Spiegelhalter, Best, Carlin, and van der Linde (2002) for a disequilibrium model of the Polish credit market.

Luc Bauwens; Michel Lubrano

2006-01-01T23:59:59.000Z

237

Model documentation, Coal Market Module of the National Energy Modeling System  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

This report documents the objectives and the conceptual and methodological approach used in the development of the National Energy Modeling System`s (NEMS) Coal Market Module (CMM) used to develop the Annual Energy Outlook 1998 (AEO98). This report catalogues and describes the assumptions, methodology, estimation techniques, and source code of CMM`s two submodules. These are the Coal Production Submodule (CPS) and the Coal Distribution Submodule (CDS). CMM provides annual forecasts of prices, production, and consumption of coal for NEMS. In general, the CDS integrates the supply inputs from the CPS to satisfy demands for coal from exogenous demand models. The international area of the CDS forecasts annual world coal trade flows from major supply to major demand regions and provides annual forecasts of US coal exports for input to NEMS. Specifically, the CDS receives minemouth prices produced by the CPS, demand and other exogenous inputs from other NEMS components, and provides delivered coal prices and quantities to the NEMS economic sectors and regions.

NONE

1998-01-01T23:59:59.000Z

238

Knowledge-intensive collaborative design modeling and support  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

Contemporary design problems embody significant levels of complexity, which make it unlikely that a single designer can work alone on a complex design problem. Knowledge-intensive collaboration has emerged as a promising discipline for dealing with the ... Keywords: Collaborative design, Design support system, Design-with-modules, Distributed module modeling and evaluation (DMME), Integrated design and analysis, Knowledge servers, Network-centric design, World-wide web

Xuan F. Zha; H. Du

2006-01-01T23:59:59.000Z

239

Insider Models with Finite Utility in Markets with Jumps  

SciTech Connect

In this article we consider, under a Levy process model for the stock price, the utility optimization problem for an insider agent whose additional information is the final price of the stock blurred with an additional independent noise which vanishes as the final time approaches. Our main interest is establishing conditions under which the utility of the insider is finite. Mathematically, the problem entails the study of a 'progressive' enlargement of filtration with respect to random measures. We study the jump structure of the process which leads to the conclusion that in most cases the utility of the insider is finite and his optimal portfolio is bounded. This can be explained financially by the high risks involved in models with jumps.

Kohatsu-Higa, Arturo, E-mail: arturokohatsu@gmail.com [Ritsumeikan University, Department of Mathematical Sciences (Japan); Yamazato, Makoto, E-mail: yamazato@math.u-ryukyu.ac.jp [University of the Ryukyus, Department of Mathematics, Faculty of Science (Japan)

2011-10-15T23:59:59.000Z

240

Analysis of price diffusion in financial markets using PUCK model  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

Based on the new type of random walk process called the Potentials of Unbalanced Complex Kinetics (PUCK) model, we theoretically show that the price diffusion in large scales is amplified 2/(2 + b) times, where b is the coefficient of quadratic term of the potential. In short time scales the price diffusion depends on the size M of the super moving average. Both numerical simulations and real data analysis of Yen-Dollar rates are consistent with theoretical analysis.

Mizuno, T; Takayasu, M; Mizuno, Takayuki; Takayasu, Hideki; Takayasu, Misako

2006-01-01T23:59:59.000Z

Note: This page contains sample records for the topic "design market models" from the National Library of EnergyBeta (NLEBeta).
While these samples are representative of the content of NLEBeta,
they are not comprehensive nor are they the most current set.
We encourage you to perform a real-time search of NLEBeta
to obtain the most current and comprehensive results.


241

Comparing Price Forecast Accuracy of Natural Gas Models and Futures Markets  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

Energy futures markets are ‘hubs’ that price and marketenergy price fluctuations. In theory, futures market pricesenergy prices, including most prominently, energy futures markets.

Wong-Parodi, Gabrielle; Dale, Larry; Lekov, Alex

2005-01-01T23:59:59.000Z

242

A Plug-in Hybrid Consumer Choice Model with Detailed Market Segmentation  

DOE Green Energy (OSTI)

This paper describes a consumer choice model for projecting U.S. demand for plug-in hybrid electric vehicles (PHEV) in competition among 13 light-duty vehicle technologies over the period 2005-2050. New car buyers are disaggregated by region, residential area, attitude toward technology risk, vehicle usage intensity, home parking and work recharging. The nested multinomial logit (NMNL) model of vehicle choice incorporates daily vehicle usage distributions, refueling and recharging availability, technology learning by doing, and diversity of choice among makes and models. Illustrative results are presented for a Base Case, calibrated to the Annual Energy Outlook (AEO) 2009 Reference Updated Case, and an optimistic technology scenario reflecting achievement of U.S. Department of Energy s (DOE s) FreedomCAR goals. PHEV market success is highly dependent on the degree of technological progress assumed. PHEV sales reach one million in 2037 in the Base Case but in 2020 in the FreedomCARGoals Case. In the FreedomCARGoals Case, PHEV cumulative sales reach 1.5 million by 2015. Together with efficiency improvements in other technologies, petroleum use in 2050 is reduced by about 45% from the 2005 level. After technological progress, PHEV s market success appears to be most sensitive to recharging availability, consumers attitudes toward novel echnologies, and vehicle usage intensity. Successful market penetration of PHEVs helps bring down battery costs for electric vehicles (EVs), resulting in a significant EV market share after 2040.

Lin, Zhenhong [ORNL; Greene, David L [ORNL

2010-01-01T23:59:59.000Z

243

Design explorations of performance driven geometry in architectural design using parametric modeling and genetic algorithms  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

In this paper we discuss the benefits derived by combining parametric modeling and genetic algorithms to achieve a performance oriented process in design, with specific focus on architectural design. The key role played by geometry in architecture is ... Keywords: Exploration, Genetic algorithms, Integrated design, Optimization, Parametric modeling, Performance oriented design

Michela Turrin; Peter von Buelow; Rudi Stouffs

2011-10-01T23:59:59.000Z

244

Biofuel-Food Market Interactions:A Review of Modeling Approaches and Findings  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

The interaction between biofuels and food markets remains a policy issue for a number of reasons. There is a continuing need to understand the role of biofuels in the recent spikes in global food prices. Also, there is an ongoing discussion of changes to biofuel policy as a means to cope with severe weather-induced crop losses. Lastly, there are potential interactions between food markets and advanced biofuels, although most of the latter are expected to be produced from non-food feedstocks. This study reviews the existing literature on the food market impacts of biofuels. Findings suggest that initial conclusions attributing most of the spike in global food prices between 2005 and 2008 to biofuels have been revised. Instead, a multitude of factors, in addition to biofuels, converged during the period. Quantitative estimates of the impacts of biofuels on food markets vary significantly due to differences in modeling approaches, geographical scope, and assumptions about a number of crucial factors. In addition, many studies do not adequately account for the effects of macroeconomic changes, adverse weather conditions and direct market interventions during the recent food price spikes when evaluating the role of biofuels.

Oladosu, Gbadebo A [ORNL; Msangi, Siwa [International Food and Policy Research Institute (IFPRI)

2013-01-01T23:59:59.000Z

245

Model Reuse through Hardware Design Patterns  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

Increasing reuse opportunities is a well-known problem for software designers as well as for hardware designers. Nonetheless, current software and hardware engineering practices have embraced different approaches to this problem. Software designs are ...

Fernando Rincon; Francisco Moya; Jesus Barba; Juan Carlos Lopez

2005-03-01T23:59:59.000Z

246

Design of a market-based mechanism for quality attribute tradeoff of services in the cloud  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

Cloud computing, with its promise of (almost) unlimited computation, storage and bandwidth, is increasingly becoming the infrastructure of choice for many organizations. As applications gain in popularity and mature, the quality attributes demanded of ... Keywords: cloud computing, market-based control, self-organization

Vivek Nallur; Rami Bahsoon

2010-03-01T23:59:59.000Z

247

An interacting-agent model of financial markets from the viewpoint of Nonextensive statistical mechanics  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

In this paper we present an interacting-agent model of financial markets. We describe a financial market through an Ising model to formulate the tendency of agents getting influenced by the other agents' investment attitude [8]. We formulate the agents' decision making on investment as the {\\it minimum energy principle for Tsallis entropy [11]}, and demonstrate that the equilibrium probability distribution function of the investment attitude of interacting-agents is the {\\it q-exponential distribution}. We also show that the power-law distribution of volatility of price fluctuations, which is often demonstrated in the empirical studies [17], can be explained naturally by our model that have their origin in the collective crowd behavior of many interacting-agents.

Kaizoji, T

2006-01-01T23:59:59.000Z

248

Comparing Price Forecast Accuracy of Natural Gas Models and Futures Markets  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

National Laboratory Canadian Energy Research Institute U.S.Administration Energy Markets All U.S. energy marketsAll Canadian and U.S. energy markets All U.S. energy markets

Wong-Parodi, Gabrielle; Dale, Larry; Lekov, Alex

2005-01-01T23:59:59.000Z

249

Battery Thermal Management System Design Modeling (Presentation)  

DOE Green Energy (OSTI)

Presents the objectives and motivations for a battery thermal management vehicle system design study.

Kim, G-H.; Pesaran, A.

2006-10-01T23:59:59.000Z

250

Economic Consequences of Alternative Solution Methods for Centralized Unit Commitment in Day-Ahead Electricity Markets  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

commitment in competitive electricity markets,” Util. Pol. ,of market design,” in Electricity Market Reform: Anrestructured competitive electricity markets. and variable

Sioshansi, Ramteen; O'Neill, Richard; Oren, Shmuel S

2008-01-01T23:59:59.000Z

251

Designing Soybeans for the 21st Century MarketsChapter 9 Implementing a Uniform Process for Measurement of Soybean Quality Traits  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

Designing Soybeans for the 21st Century Markets Chapter 9 Implementing a Uniform Process for Measurement of Soybean Quality Traits Biofuels and Bioproducts and Biodiesel Food Science Health Nutrition Biochemistry Processing Biofuels -

252

Designing Soybeans for the 21st Century MarketsChapter 12 The Path to Economically Viable Foreign Protein Co-Products of Oilseeds  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

Designing Soybeans for the 21st Century Markets Chapter 12 The Path to Economically Viable Foreign Protein Co-Products of Oilseeds Biochemistry Biofuels - Bioproducts eChapters Food Science & Technology Health - Nutrition - Biochemistry

253

Designing Soybeans for the 21st Century MarketsChapter 13 Development of Tools to Study Immune-Mediated Allergenic Responses to Food and Feed  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

Designing Soybeans for the 21st Century Markets Chapter 13 Development of Tools to Study Immune-Mediated Allergenic Responses to Food and Feed Biofuels and Bioproducts and Biodiesel Food Science Health Nutrition Biochemistry Processing

254

Designing Soybeans for the 21st Century MarketsChapter 16 Accelerated Yield Technology™: A Platform for Marker Assisted Selection of Simple and Complex Traits  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

Designing Soybeans for the 21st Century Markets Chapter 16 Accelerated Yield Technology™: A Platform for Marker Assisted Selection of Simple and Complex Traits Biofuels - Bioproducts eChapters Food Science & Technology Health - Nutrition

255

Designing Soybeans for the 21st Century MarketsChapter 7 Tissue-Specific Regulation of Gene Expression by siRNAs in Soybean  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

Designing Soybeans for the 21st Century Markets Chapter 7 Tissue-Specific Regulation of Gene Expression by siRNAs in Soybean Biofuels and Bioproducts and Biodiesel Food Science Health Nutrition Biochemistry Processing Biofuels - Biopro

256

Designing Soybeans for the 21st Century MarketsChapter 10 Characterization of the Linkage Group I Seed Protein QTL in Soybean  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

Designing Soybeans for the 21st Century Markets Chapter 10 Characterization of the Linkage Group I Seed Protein QTL in Soybean Biofuels and Bioproducts and Biodiesel Food Science Health Nutrition Biochemistry Processing Biofuels - Biop

257

Designing Soybeans for the 21st Century MarketsChapter 5 Genes and Alleles for Quality Traits on the Soybean Genetic/Physical Map  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

Designing Soybeans for the 21st Century Markets Chapter 5 Genes and Alleles for Quality Traits on the Soybean Genetic/Physical Map Biofuels and Bioproducts and Biodiesel Food Science Health Nutrition Biochemistry Processing Biofuels -

258

Designing Soybeans for the 21st Century MarketsChapter 3 Advances in Genome Sequencing and Genotyping Technology for Soybean Diversity Analysis  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

Designing Soybeans for the 21st Century Markets Chapter 3 Advances in Genome Sequencing and Genotyping Technology for Soybean Diversity Analysis Biofuels and Bioproducts and Biodiesel Health Nutrition Biochemistry Processing Biofuels -

259

Designing Soybeans for the 21st Century MarketsCh 15 High-Oleic, Low-Saturate Soybeans Offer a Sustainable and Nutritionally Enhanced Solution for Food Applications  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

Designing Soybeans for the 21st Century Markets Ch 15 High-Oleic, Low-Saturate Soybeans Offer a Sustainable and Nutritionally Enhanced Solution for Food Applications Biofuels and Bioproducts and Biodiesel Food Science Health Nutrition Bi

260

Design reuse oriented partial retrieval of CAD models  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

As a huge number of 3D CAD models is generated each year, retrieval of 3D CAD models is becoming more and more important for achieving design reuse. However, the existing methods for partial retrieval of 3D CAD models are very few and far from the requirements ... Keywords: CAD model, Design reuse, Multi-mode, Partial retrieval, Reusable subpart

Jing Bai; Shuming Gao; Weihua Tang; Yusheng Liu; Song Guo

2010-12-01T23:59:59.000Z

Note: This page contains sample records for the topic "design market models" from the National Library of EnergyBeta (NLEBeta).
While these samples are representative of the content of NLEBeta,
they are not comprehensive nor are they the most current set.
We encourage you to perform a real-time search of NLEBeta
to obtain the most current and comprehensive results.


261

A Conflict Management Model for Architectural Design Collaboration  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

considered to be an agent- based model, the ‘agents’ in FCDAmanagement model in an agent-based design environment. FCDA,model of conflict management, rather than rely on distributed, agent-based

Serag-Eldin, Gamil M.

2010-01-01T23:59:59.000Z

262

Exact Solution of a Model for Crowding and Information Transmission in Financial Markets  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

An exact solution is presented to a model that mimics the crowding effect in financial markets which arises when groups of agents share information. We show that the size distribution of groups of agents has a power law tail with an exponential cut-off. As the size of these groups determines the supply and demand balance, this implies heavy tails in the distribution of price variation. The moments of the distribution are calculated, as well as the kurtosis. We find that the kurtosis is large for all model parameter values and that the model is not self-organizing.

R. D'hulst; G. J. Rodgers

1999-08-31T23:59:59.000Z

263

Commercial applications of solar total energy systems. Volume 3. Conceptual designs and market analyses. Final report  

DOE Green Energy (OSTI)

The overall objective of this program was to assess the feasibility of using solar energy to provide a significant fraction of the energy needs of commercial buildings that have energy demands greater than 200 kWe. The STES concept trade studies, sensitivity parameters, performance characteristics, and selected concepts are discussed. Market penetration rate estimates are provided, and technology advancements and utilization plans are discussed. Photovoltaic STES configurations and Rankine cycle thermal STES systems are considered. (WHK)

Boobar, M.G.; McFarland, B.L.; Nalbandian, S.J.; Willcox, W.W.; French, E.P.; Smith, K.E.

1978-07-01T23:59:59.000Z

264

Integrated Design for Marketing and Manufacturing team: An examination of LA-ICP-AES in a mobile configuration. Final report  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

The Department of Energy (DOE) has identified the need for field-deployable elemental analysis devices that are safer, faster, and less expensive than the fixed laboratory procedures now used to screen hazardous waste sites. As a response to this need, the Technology Integration Program (TIP) created a mobile, field-deployable laser ablation-inductively coupled plasma-atomic emission spectrometry (LA-ICP-AES) sampling and analysis prototype. Although the elemental. screening prototype has been successfully field-tested, continued marketing and technical development efforts are required to transfer LA-ICP-AES technology to the commercial sector. TIP established and supported a student research and design group called the Integrated Design for Marketing and Manufacturing (IDMM) team to advance the technology transfer of mobile, field-deployable LA-ICP-AES. The IDMM team developed a conceptual design (which is detailed in this report) for a mobile, field-deployable LA-ICP-AES sampling and analysis system, and reports the following findings: Mobile, field-deployable LA-ICP-AES is commercially viable. Eventual regulatory acceptance of field-deployable LA-ICP-AES, while not a simple process, is likely. Further refinement of certain processes and components of LA-ICP-AES will enhance the device`s sensitivity and accuracy.

Not Available

1994-05-01T23:59:59.000Z

265

Updated U.S. Geothermal Supply Characterization and Representation for Market Penetration Model Input  

NLE Websites -- All DOE Office Websites (Extended Search)

Updated U.S. Geothermal Updated U.S. Geothermal Supply Characterization and Representation for Market Penetration Model Input C. Augustine Technical Report NREL/TP-6A20-47459 October 2011 NREL is a national laboratory of the U.S. Department of Energy, Office of Energy Efficiency & Renewable Energy, operated by the Alliance for Sustainable Energy, LLC. National Renewable Energy Laboratory 1617 Cole Boulevard Golden, Colorado 80401 303-275-3000 * www.nrel.gov Contract No. DE-AC36-08GO28308 Updated U.S. Geothermal Supply Characterization and Representation for Market Penetration Model Input C. Augustine Prepared under Task No. GT09.3002 Technical Report NREL/TP-6A20-47459 October 2011 NOTICE This report was prepared as an account of work sponsored by an agency of the United States government.

266

Automated energy model creation for conceptual design  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

Architects today rarely use whole building energy analysis to inform their early design process. During this stage of design, the team is responsible for macro-level decisions (such as basic form and orientation) that can have the most significant effects ... Keywords: building performance simulation, design process, whole building energy analysis

Lillian Smith; Kyle Bernhardt; Matthew Jezyk

2011-04-01T23:59:59.000Z

267

Modeling and Simulation for Mission Operations Work System Design  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

Work system analysis and design is complex and nondeterministic. In this paper we describe Brahms, a multiagent modeling and simulation environment for designing complex interactions in human-machine systems. Brahms was originally conceived as a business ... Keywords: Agent Languages, Business Process Modeling, Mission Operations Design, Multiagent Simulation, Work Practices

Maarten Sierhuis; William J. Clancey; Chin Seah; Jay P. Trimble; Michael H. Sims

2003-04-01T23:59:59.000Z

268

Modeling and simulation to assist context aware system design  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

In this paper we present a modelling and visualization design approach for context-aware systems, specifically focusing on applications that support location tracking and that exhibit their behaviour as actuations in the deployment environment. The design ... Keywords: Context awareness, design tool, modelling, prototyping, simulation, test-bed, ubiquitous computing

Eleanor O'Neill; Owen Conlan; David Lewis

2011-01-01T23:59:59.000Z

269

3.System Design Basis 2) MODELING  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

-0012) Vendor Prints 2) All equipments are modelled using the standard HYSYS unit operation models. 3) Butane BOG compressors with butane storage system is modelled for this report. 4) Modelling have been streams and out streams specifications for the butane storage tanks(T-1/2/3/4) with Butane BOG compressor

Hong, Deog Ki

270

Estimating market penetration of new district heating and cooling systems using a combination of economic cost and diffusion models  

SciTech Connect

The economic-cost model and the diffusion model are among the many market-penetration forecasting approaches that are available. These approaches have been used separately in many applications. In this paper, the authors briefly review these two approaches and then describe a methodology for forecasting market penetration using both approaches sequentially. This methodology is illustrated with the example of market-penetration forecasting of new district heating and cooling (DHC) systems in the Argonne DHC Market Penetration Model, which was developed and used over the period 1979--1983. This paper discusses how this combination approach, which incorporates the strengths of the economic-cost and diffusion models, has been superior to any one approach for market forecasts of DHC systems. Also discussed are the required modifications for revising and updating the model in order to generate new market-penetration forecasts for DHC systems. These modifications are required as a result of changes in DHC engineering, economic, and market data from 1983 to 1990. 13 refs., 5 figs., 2 tabs.

Teotia, A.P.S.; Karvelas, D.E.

1991-05-10T23:59:59.000Z

271

Efficiency of appliance models on the market before and after DOE standards  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

Energy efficiency standards for appliances mandate that appliance manufacturers not manufacture or import models that have a test energy efficiency below a specified level after the standard effective date. Thus, appliance standards set a floor for energy efficiency. But do they also induce more significant changes in the efficiencies that manufacturers offer after the standard becomes effective? To address this question, we undertook an examination of before-standard and after-standard efficiency of models on the market for three products: (1) Refrigerators (1990, 1993, and 2001 standards); (2) Room air conditioners (1990 and 2000 standards); and (3) Gas furnaces (1992 standard).

Meyers, Stephen

2004-06-15T23:59:59.000Z

272

Design, sustainability and Australian mass-market fashion : three case studies.  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

??The production of fashion garments has negative environmental and social impacts that can potentially be reduced through decisions made in the design process. This research… (more)

Payne, Alice Ruth

2013-01-01T23:59:59.000Z

273

Zip60: Further explorations in the evolutionary design of online auction market mechanisms  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

The “ZIP ” adaptive automated trading algorithm has been demonstrated to outperform human traders in experimental studies of continuous double auction (CDA) markets populated by mixtures of human and “software robot ” traders. Previous papers have shown that values of the eight parameters governing behavior of ZIP traders can be automatically optimized using a genetic algorithm (GA), and that markets populated by GA-optimized traders perform better than those populated by ZIP traders with manually-set parameter values. This paper introduces a more sophisticated version of the ZIP algorithm, called “ZIP60”, which requires the values of 60 parameters to be set correctly. ZIP60 is shown here to produce significantly better results in comparison to the original ZIP algorithm (called “ZIP8 ” hereafter) when a GA is used to search the 60-dimensional parameter space. It is also demonstrated here that this works best when the GA itself has control over the dimensionality of the search-space, allowing evolution to guide the expansion of the search-space up from 8 parameters to 60 via intermediate steps. Principal component analysis of the best evolved ZIP60 parameter-sets establishes that no ZIP8 solutions are embedded in the 60-dimensional space. Moreover, some of the results and analysis presented here

Dave Cliff

2005-01-01T23:59:59.000Z

274

MODELLING THE ROLE OF TRADING COMPANIES IN THE DOWNSTREAM EUROPEAN GAS MARKET: A SUCCESSIVE OLIGOPOLY APPROACH  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

A model of successive oligopoly is used to analyse the European natural gas market, focusing on the role of trading companies and their interaction with gas producers. Producers of natural gas are assumed to form an oligopoly, while downstream within-country traders of gas can be represented either as local oligopolists or perfect competitors. The model therefore has a two-level structure, in which producers engage in competition a la Cournot, and each producer is a Stackelberg leader with respect to traders, who may be Cournot oligopolists or perfect competitors. Several conclusions emerge. First, successive oligopoly (so-called "double marginalisation") yields higher prices and lower consumer welfare than if oligopoly exists only on one level. Second, due to the high concentration of traders, oligopoly in the trading market distorts prices more than oligopoly in production. Third, trader profits depends on whether producers can price discriminate among consuming sectors. If such price discrimination is possible, producers collect a greater share of the margins on end-use prices. Finally, when the number of traders increases, end-use prices approach competitive levels. Thus, it is important to prevent monopolistic structures in the downstream gas market. In the case where oligopolistic trading

Maroeska G. Boots; Fieke A. M. Rijkers; Benjamin F. Hobbs

2003-01-01T23:59:59.000Z

275

Comparing Price Forecast Accuracy of Natural Gas Models andFutures Markets  

SciTech Connect

The purpose of this article is to compare the accuracy of forecasts for natural gas prices as reported by the Energy Information Administration's Short-Term Energy Outlook (STEO) and the futures market for the period from 1998 to 2003. The analysis tabulates the existing data and develops a statistical comparison of the error between STEO and U.S. wellhead natural gas prices and between Henry Hub and U.S. wellhead spot prices. The results indicate that, on average, Henry Hub is a better predictor of natural gas prices with an average error of 0.23 and a standard deviation of 1.22 than STEO with an average error of -0.52 and a standard deviation of 1.36. This analysis suggests that as the futures market continues to report longer forward prices (currently out to five years), it may be of interest to economic modelers to compare the accuracy of their models to the futures market. The authors would especially like to thank Doug Hale of the Energy Information Administration for supporting and reviewing this work.

Wong-Parodi, Gabrielle; Dale, Larry; Lekov, Alex

2005-06-30T23:59:59.000Z

276

Model documentation coal market module of the National Energy Modeling System  

SciTech Connect

This report documents the approaches used in developing the Annual Energy Outlook 1995 (AEO95). This report catalogues and describes the assumptions, methodology, estimation techniques, and source code of the coal market module`s three submodules. These are the Coal Production Submodule (CPS), the Coal Export Submodule (CES), the Coal Expert Submodule (CES), and the Coal Distribution Submodule (CDS).

1995-03-01T23:59:59.000Z

277

Estimating the Market Penetration of Residential Cool Storage Technology Using Economic Cost Modeling  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

This study estimated the market penetration for residential cool storage technology using economic cost modeling. Residential cool storage units produce and store chill during off-peak periods of the day to be used during times of peak electric power needs. This paper provides projections of unit sales expected in 5-year intervals for the years 1995, 2000, 2005, and 2010, Such projections help to determine the maximum amount o f energy that could be displaced by this technology in the future. This study also found that price incentives offered to households must be varied dramatically by region for residential cool storage systems to be economically competitive relative to conventional systems. Under the most likely scenario, this analysis estimated that residential cool storage units will eventually capture about one-half of the central air conditioning (A/C) market.

Weijo, R. O.; and Brown, D. R.

1988-01-01T23:59:59.000Z

278

Estimating the market penetration of residential cool storage technology using economic cost modeling  

DOE Green Energy (OSTI)

This study estimated the market penetration for residential cool storage technology using economic cost modeling. Residential cool storage units produce and store chill during off-peak periods of the day to be used during times of peak electric power needs. This paper provides projections of unit sales expected in 5-year intervals for the years 1995, 2000, 2005, and 2010. Such projections help to determine the maximum amount of energy that could be displaced by this technology in the future. This study also found that price incentives offered to households must be varied dramatically by region for residential cool storage systems to be economically competitive relative to conventional systems. Under the most likely scenario, this analysis estimated that residential cool storage units will eventually capture about one-half of the central air conditioning (A/C) market. 14 refs., 2 figs., 8 tabs.

Weijo, R.O.; Brown, D.R.

1988-06-01T23:59:59.000Z

279

Analysis of market penetration scenarios of clean coal technologies in China using the LLNL China Energy Model  

SciTech Connect

This paper presents the results of an analysis of the market penetration of Clean Coal Technologies in the electric utility market in China. The analysis is based on a model of the Chinese energy system developed at Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory. Under this model, the market penetration of a technology depends on the relative prices of all technologies in a market. The model assumes that for each technology there is a distribution of effective prices to the consumers in the market place. The prices for each technology computed in the model are assumed to be the means of these distributions: sometime the effective price is greater than this and sometimes it is less. Thus even a relatively expensive technology may cost less than its competitors in a fraction of the transactions. Using several scenarios about the possible dispersion of prices, we estimate the market share of CCTs over the next 50 years. We find that some CCTs penetrate under all scenarios, but the more expensive ones only show significant penetration when larger values of price dispersion are assumed. Generally the penetration of the CCTs is 15% or less of the market by 2020. However, advanced pulverized coal does exceed 15% in some cases.

Lamont, A

1998-08-17T23:59:59.000Z

280

Systems modeling for electric ship design  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

Diesel and gas turbine electric ship propulsion are of current interest for several types of vessels that are important for commercial shipping and for the next generation of war ships. During the design process of a ...

Soultatis, Charalambos

2004-01-01T23:59:59.000Z

Note: This page contains sample records for the topic "design market models" from the National Library of EnergyBeta (NLEBeta).
While these samples are representative of the content of NLEBeta,
they are not comprehensive nor are they the most current set.
We encourage you to perform a real-time search of NLEBeta
to obtain the most current and comprehensive results.


281

Designing application domain models with roles  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

This article is motivated by two related observations. First, roles, responsibilities and collaborators are central to object interactions, and viewing of objects from these three dimensions can yield a more dynamic and flexible design than that from ...

Liping Zhao

2003-06-01T23:59:59.000Z

282

Comparing Price Forecast Accuracy of Natural Gas Models and Futures Markets  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

and imports U.S. electricity and gas markets includingrepresentation of electricity and natural gas markets,initially to conduct electricity restructuring analysis in

Wong-Parodi, Gabrielle; Dale, Larry; Lekov, Alex

2005-01-01T23:59:59.000Z

283

Agent-based modeling of zapping behavior of viewers, television commercial allocation, and advertisement markets  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

We propose a simple probabilistic model of zapping behavior of television viewers. Our model might be regarded as a `theoretical platform' to investigate the human collective behavior in the macroscopic scale through the zapping action of each viewer at the microscopic level. The stochastic process of audience measurements as macroscopic quantities such as television program rating point or the so-called gross rating point (GRP for short) are reconstructed using the microscopic modeling of each viewer's decision making. Assuming that each viewer decides the television station to watch by means of three factors, namely, physical constraints on television controllers, exogenous information such as advertisement of program by television station, and endogenous information given by `word-of-mouth communication' through the past market history, we shall construct an aggregation probability of Gibbs-Boltzmann-type with the energy function. We discuss the possibility for the ingredients of the model system to exhibi...

Kyan, Hiroyuki

2013-01-01T23:59:59.000Z

284

An Institutional Frame to Compare Alternative Market Designs in EU Electricity Balancing  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

their fallout. It reveals that balancing designs, which are typically presented as simple variants on technical security, are in actuality alternative institutional frameworks having at least four potential economic consequences: a distortion of the forward...

Glachant, Jean-Michel; Saguan, Marcelo

285

A geometric modelling framework for conceptual structural design from early digital architectural models  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

Computer support for conceptual structural design is still ineffective. This is due, in part, to the fact that current computer applications do not recognize that structural design and architectural design are highly interdependent processes, particularly ... Keywords: Architectural design, Conceptual structural design, Geometric modeling, Integrated design

Rodrigo Mora; Claude Bédard; Hugues Rivard

2008-04-01T23:59:59.000Z

286

Supporting design planning through process model simulation  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

..... ............................................ ...... ...... 154 7.2 VARIATIONS DUE TO SCALE AND CONNECTIVITy .. .. .... .... ... ................. ....... .................. ... ... 154 7.2.1 Process model variations due to scale...

Flanagan, Tomás Leo

2007-02-13T23:59:59.000Z

287

Wind Turbine Design Cost and Scaling Model  

SciTech Connect

This model intends to provide projections of the impact on cost from changes in economic indicators such as the Gross Domestic Product and Producer Price Index.

Fingersh, L.; Hand, M.; Laxson, A.

2006-12-01T23:59:59.000Z

288

Generating exact D-optimal designs for polynomial models  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

This paper compares several optimization algorithms that can be used to generate exact D-optimal designs (i.e., designs for a specified number of runs) for any polynomial model. The merits and limitations of each algorithm are demonstrated on ... Keywords: general linear regression, mathematical optimization, optimal experimental design

Jacob E. Boon

2007-03-01T23:59:59.000Z

289

A Scalable Modeling Technique to Estimate Dynamic Thermal Design Power of Datapath Intensive Designs  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

In this paper, a power modeling approach for the estimation of dynamic power under Thermal Design Power (TDP1) for datapath intensive designs is proposed. Early estimation of TDP is crucial for the design of thermal and cooling solutions of a chip and ...

Prashant Agrawal; Srinivasa R. STG; Ajit N. Oke; Saurabh Vijay

2007-03-01T23:59:59.000Z

290

Database design and querying within the fuzzy semantic model  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

Fuzzy semantic model (FSM) is a data model that uses basic concepts of semantic modeling and supports handling fuzziness, uncertainty and imprecision of real-world at the attribute, entity and class levels. The paper presents the principles and constructs ... Keywords: Database design, Flexible querying, Fuzzy database, Semantic modeling

Rafik Bouaziz; Salem Chakhar; Vincent Mousseau; Sudha Ram; Abdelkader Telmoudi

2007-11-01T23:59:59.000Z

291

Parallel kinematic machine design with kinetostatic model  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

In this paper, a new method – named lumped kinetostatic modeling – to analyze the effect of the link flexibility on the mechanism's stiffness is provided. A new type of mechanism whose degree of freedom (dof) is dependent on a passive constraining ... Keywords: Kinetostatic model, Link flexibility, Parallel mechanisms, Precision optimization

Dan Zhang; Clément M. Gosselin

2002-07-01T23:59:59.000Z

292

Model-based optimisation of Wastewater Treatment Plants design  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

This paper presents the mathematical basis and some illustrative examples of a model-based decision-making method for the automatic calculation of optimum design parameters in modern Wastewater Treatment Plants (WWTP). The starting point of the proposed ... Keywords: Mathematical modelling, Optimum design, Wastewater Treatment Plants

A. Rivas; I. Irizar; E. Ayesa

2008-04-01T23:59:59.000Z

293

Periodic surface modeling for computer aided nano design  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

Current solid and surface modeling methods based on Euclidean geometry in traditional computer aided design are not efficient in constructing a large number of atoms and particles. In this paper, we propose a periodic surface model for computer aided ... Keywords: Computer aided nano design, Hyperbolic geometry, Minimal surface, Periodic surface

Yan Wang

2007-03-01T23:59:59.000Z

294

Interactive design of urban spaces using geometrical and behavioral modeling  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

The main contribution of our work is in closing the loop between behavioral and geometrical modeling of cities. Editing of urban design variables is performed intuitively and visually using a graphical user interface. Any design variable can be constrained ... Keywords: 3D models, editing, interactive, urban spaces

Carlos A. Vanegas; Daniel G. Aliaga; Bed?ich Beneš; Paul A. Waddell

2009-12-01T23:59:59.000Z

295

Design of trees in the hose model: The balanced case  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

In the hose model we are given upper bounds b"u^-/b"u^+ on the amount of traffic entering/leaving a node. We show that when @?"u"@?"Vb"u^+=@?"v"@?"Vb"u^-, designing a minimum cost tree network is easy and the cost of an optimal tree reservation is within ... Keywords: Approximation algorithms, Hose model, Network design

Giuseppe Italiano; Stefano Leonardi; Gianpaolo Oriolo

2006-11-01T23:59:59.000Z

296

Evaluation of Generic EBS Design Concepts and Process Models Implications  

Energy.gov (U.S. Department of Energy (DOE)) Indexed Site

Generic EBS Design Concepts and Process Models Generic EBS Design Concepts and Process Models Implications to EBS Design Optimization Evaluation of Generic EBS Design Concepts and Process Models Implications to EBS Design Optimization The assessment of generic Engineered Barrier System (EBS) concepts and design optimization to harbor various disposal configurations and waste types needs advanced approaches and methods to analyze barrier performance. The report addresses: 1) Overview of the importance of Thermal-Hydrological-Mechanical-Chemical (THMC) processes to barrier performance, and international collaborations; 2) THMC processes in clay barriers; 3) experimental studies of clay stability and clay-metal interactions at high temperatures and pressures; 4) thermodynamic modeling and database development; 5) Molecular Dynamics (MD) study of clay

297

Forecasting the Market Penetration of Energy Conservation Technologies: The Decision Criteria for Choosing a Forecasting Model  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

An important determinant of our energy future is the rate at which energy conservation technologies, once developed, are put into use. At Synergic Resources Corporation, we have adapted and applied a methodology to forecast the use of conservation technologies. This paper briefly discusses the observed patterns of the diffusion of new' technologies and the determinants (both sociological and economic) which have been proposed to explain the variation in the diffusion rates. Existing market penetration models are reviewed and their capability to forecast the use of conservation technologies is assessed using a set of criteria developed for this purpose. The reasoning behind the choice of criteria is discussed. The criteria includes the range of hypothesized influences to market penetration that are incorporated into the models and the applicability of the available parameter estimates. The attributes of our methodology and forecasting model choice (a behavioral lag equation developed by Mathtech, Inc.), are displayed using a list of the judgment criteria. This method was used to forecast the use of electricity conservation technologies in industries located in the Pacific Northwest for the Bonneville Power Administration.

Lang, K.

1982-01-01T23:59:59.000Z

298

STEMS Demo Software, Version 1.5: Short-Term Electricity Market Simulator Demo  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

The Short-Term Electricity Market Simulator (STEMS) Demo software version 1.5 allows the user to study the realistic behavior of a short-term electricity market using a detailed model of the power system and realistic bidding and market clearing mechanisms to emulate the behavior of various market designs, including the FERC Standard Market Design and the California MD02 design. The STEMS Demo software version 1.5 allows the user to study a short-term electricity market. It combines the functionality of ...

2003-12-23T23:59:59.000Z

299

THE RHIC/AGS ONLINE MODEL ENVIRONMENT: DESIGN AND OVERVIEW.  

SciTech Connect

An integrated online modeling environment is currently under development for use by AGS and RHIC physicists and commissioners. This environment combines the modeling efforts of both groups in a CDEV [1] client-server design, providing access to expected machine optics and physics parameters based on live and design machine settings. An abstract modeling interface has been designed as a set of adapters [2] around core computational modeling engines such as MAD and UAL/Teapot++ [3]. This approach allows us to leverage existing survey, lattice, and magnet infrastructure, as well as easily incorporate new model engine developments. This paper describes the architecture of the RHIC/AGS modeling environment, including the application interface through CDEV and general tools for graphical interaction with the model using Tcl/Tk. Separate papers at this conference address the specifics of implementation and modeling experience for AGS and RHIC.

SATOGATA,T.; BROWN,K.; PILAT,F.; TAFTI,A.A.; TEPIKIAN,S.; VAN ZEIJTS,J.

1999-03-29T23:59:59.000Z

300

ORCED: A model to simulate the operations and costs of bulk-power markets  

SciTech Connect

Dramatic changes in the structure and operation of US bulk-power markets require new analytical tools. The authors developed the Oak Ridge Competitive Electricity Dispatch (ORCED) model to analyze a variety of public-policy issues related to the many changes underway in the US electricity industry. Such issues include: policy and technology options to reduce carbon emissions from electricity production; the effects of electricity trading between high- and low-cost regions on consumers and producers in both regions; the ability of the owners of certain generating units to exercise market power as functions of the transmission link between two regions and the characteristics of the generating units and loads in each region; and the market penetration of new energy-production and energy-use technologies and the effects of their adoption on fuel use, electricity use and costs, and carbon emissions. ORCED treats two electrical systems connected by a single transmission link ORCED uses two load-duration curves to represent the time-varying electricity consumption in each region. The two curves represent peak and offpeak seasons. User specification of demand elasticities permits ORCED to estimate the effects of changes in electricity price, both overall and hour by hour, on overall electricity use and load shapes. ORCED represents the electricity supply in each region with 26 generating units. The two regions are connected by a single transmission link. This link is characterized by its capacity (MW), cost ({cents}/kWh), and losses (%). This report explains the inputs to, outputs from, and operation of ORCED. It also presents four examples showing applications of the model to various public-policy issues related to restructuring of the US electricity industry.

Hadley, S.; Hirst, E.

1998-06-01T23:59:59.000Z

Note: This page contains sample records for the topic "design market models" from the National Library of EnergyBeta (NLEBeta).
While these samples are representative of the content of NLEBeta,
they are not comprehensive nor are they the most current set.
We encourage you to perform a real-time search of NLEBeta
to obtain the most current and comprehensive results.


301

Building Energy Software Tools Directory: Heat Pump Design Model  

NLE Websites -- All DOE Office Websites (Extended Search)

Heat Pump Design Model Heat Pump Design Model Heat Pump Design Model logo. Research tool for use in the steady-state simulation and design analysis of air-to-air heat pumps and air conditioners. The program can be used with most of the newer HFC refrigerants as well as with HCFCs and CFCs. The standard vapor-compression cycle is modeled with empirical representations for compressor performance and first-principle region-by-region modeling of the heat exchangers. An online Web version is available that can be used with default configurations or with user-specified component and operating parameters for analyzing the performance of single-speed, air-to-air equipment. User configurations can be saved for later use. Parametric analyses can be made and performance trends plotted online.

302

Geothermal Direct Use Engineering and Design Guidebook Available for an Expanding Market  

DOE Green Energy (OSTI)

The Geothermal direct use industry potential, growth trends, needs, and how they are being met, are addressed. The high potential for industry growth, coupled with a rapidly expanding use of geothermal energy for direct use, and concerns over the greenhouse effect is the setting in which a new engineering and design guidebook is being issued to support the growth of the geothermal direct use industry. Recent investigations about the current status of the industry and the identification of technical needs of current operating district heating systems provide the basis upon which this paper and the guidebook is presented. The guidebook, prepared under the auspices of the U.S. Department of Energy, attempts to impart a comprehensive understanding of information important to the development of geothermal direct use projects. The text is aimed toward the engineer or technical person responsible for project design and development. The practical and technical nature of the guidebook answers questions most commonly asked in a wide range of topics including geology, exploration, well drilling, reservoir engineering, mechanical engineering, cost analysis, regulations, and environmental aspects.

Lunis, Ben C.; Lienau, Paul J.

1989-03-21T23:59:59.000Z

303

Power Market Simulation Workshop  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

EPRI's first seminar on electricity market simulation provided a forum for discussion of potential modifications and applications for this new technology, specifically in the areas of market design and operations. The resounding messages heard from both speakers and participants were as follows: o The use of simulation for electricity markets has the potential to help society avoid devastating costs due to market flaws. o Market simulation can be broadly applied with a diverse set of potential users. o C...

2002-12-30T23:59:59.000Z

304

Ancillary services market in California  

SciTech Connect

This report includes sections on the following topics: (1) California restructured electricity system overview; (2) Reliability criteria; (3) Design of the California ISO ancillary services market; (4) Operation of ancillary services markets; (5) Ancillary services markets redesign; and (6) Conclusions.

Gomez, T.; Marnay, C.; Siddiqui, A.; Liew, L.; Khavkin, M.

1999-07-01T23:59:59.000Z

305

Market concentration and marketing power among electricity generators in Texas  

SciTech Connect

Policy initiatives designed to foster competition among electricity generators in Texas face a special challenge due to the relative isolation of that system. This isolation contributes to high levels of market concentration and market power that could hinder the development of a truly competitive market. This paper examines market concentration and market power in the ERCOT market for electricity generation by calculating the Herfindahl-Hirschman index (HHI) under various assumptions to gauge the degree of market concentration among generators in ERCOT. In addition, some ongoing studies of market power in ERCOT are discussed. The distinction between market concentration and market power is highlighted.

Zarnikau, J.; Lam, A. [Planergy Inc., Austin, TX (United States)

1998-11-01T23:59:59.000Z

306

Dynamic filter weights neural network model integrated with differential evolution for day-ahead price forecasting in energy market  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

In this paper a new dynamic model for forecasting electricity prices from 1 to 24h in advance is proposed. The model is a dynamic filter weight Adaline using a sliding mode weight adaptation technique. The filter weights for this neuron constitute of ... Keywords: Differential evolution, Dynamic filter weights neuron, Energy market, Local linear wavelet neural network, Sliding mode control

S. Chakravarty; P. K. Dash

2011-09-01T23:59:59.000Z

307

Nuclear Systems Modeling and Design Analysis - Nuclear Engineering Division  

NLE Websites -- All DOE Office Websites (Extended Search)

Nuclear Systems Nuclear Systems Modeling and Design Analysis CAPABILITIES Overview Nuclear Systems Modeling and Design Analysis Nuclear Systems Technologies Risk and Safety Assessments Nonproliferation and National Security Materials Testing Engineering Computation & Design Engineering Experimentation Work with Argonne Contact us For Employees Site Map Help Join us on Facebook Follow us on Twitter NE on Flickr Celebrating the 70th Anniversary of Chicago Pile 1 (CP-1) Argonne OutLoud on Nuclear Energy Argonne Energy Showcase 2012 Capabilities Nuclear Systems Modeling and Design Analysis Bookmark and Share Reactor Physics and Fuel Cycle Analysis Reactor Physics and Fuel Cycle Analysis We have played a major role in the design and analysis of most existing and past reactor types and of many

308

Robust control design verification using the modular modeling system  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

The Modular Modeling System (B W MMS) is being used as a design tool to verify robust controller designs for improving power plant performance while also providing fault-accommodating capabilities. These controllers are designed based on optimal control theory and are thus model based controllers which are targeted for implementation in a computer based digital control environment. The MMS is being successfully used to verify that the controllers are tolerant of uncertainties between the plant model employed in the controller and the actual plant; i.e., that they are robust. The two areas in which the MMS is being used for this purpose is in the design of (1) a reactor power controller with improved reactor temperature response, and (2) the design of a multiple input multiple output (MIMO) robust fault-accommodating controller for a deaerator level and pressure control problem.

Edwards, R.M.; Ben-Abdennour, A.; Lee, K.Y.

1991-01-01T23:59:59.000Z

309

Intelligent Experimental Design Using an Artificial Neural Network Meta Model and Information Theory  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

Ability to rapidly design products and their manufacturing process is a key to being competitive in a dynamic market environment. Traditional methods of design of experiment development are unsatisfactory when applied to design problems with large number ... Keywords: Artificial Neural Network, Experimental Design, Information Theory

Shi-Shang Jang; David Shan-Hill Wong; Junghui Chen

2006-05-01T23:59:59.000Z

310

Comparing Price Forecast Accuracy of Natural Gas Models and Futures Markets  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

energy price fluctuations. In theory, futures market prices summarize privately available informationEnergy; Brookhaven National Laboratory Canadian Energy Research Institute U.S. Energy Information Administration Energy Marketsinformation about future energy prices, including most prominently, energy futures markets.

Wong-Parodi, Gabrielle; Dale, Larry; Lekov, Alex

2005-01-01T23:59:59.000Z

311

Comparing Price Forecast Accuracy of Natural Gas Models and Futures Markets  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

Market and STEO Error Forecast Error from 1998 to 2003 (2 Futures Market and STEO Error Forecast Error from 1998to 2003 (Months 13- Forecast from 1998 to 2003 (Months 1-12)

Wong-Parodi, Gabrielle; Dale, Larry; Lekov, Alex

2005-01-01T23:59:59.000Z

312

Comparing Price Forecast Accuracy of Natural Gas Models and Futures Markets  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

Appendix A.1 Natural Gas Price Data for Futures Market andSTEO Error A.1 Natural Gas Price Data for Futures Market andforecasts for natural gas prices as reported by the Energy

Wong-Parodi, Gabrielle; Dale, Larry; Lekov, Alex

2005-01-01T23:59:59.000Z

313

Computational model design and performance estimation in registration brake control  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

Electric motorcycles are applicable to both toys and real motorcycles, and also is a reference for constructing larger electrical vehicles. A design computational model of regenerative braking control of electric motorcycles and an experimental identification ...

P. S. Pa; S. C. Chang

2009-06-01T23:59:59.000Z

314

Modeling and design of semi-solid flow batteries  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

A three-dimensional dynamic model of the recently introduced semi-solid flow battery system is developed and applied to address issues with important design and operation implications. Because of the high viscosity of ...

Brunini, Victor Eric

2012-01-01T23:59:59.000Z

315

Process-Based Cost Modeling to Support Target Value Design  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

in Designing to Target Cost. ” 12th Annual Conference of thethe Hurdle of First Cost: Action Research in TargetD.T. (1987). “A Future for Cost Modelling: Building Cost

Nguyen, Hung Viet

2010-01-01T23:59:59.000Z

316

A Nonhydrostatic Mesoscale Model Designed to Simulate Scale Interaction  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

A three-dimensional nonhydrostatic mesoscale model is presented that is designed to optimally represent the scale-interaction process among inertially balanced and unbalanced modes occurring within convective weather systems. Because scale-...

Gregory J. Tripoli

1992-07-01T23:59:59.000Z

317

Modeling and design of a MEMS piezoelectric vibration energy harvester  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

The modeling and design of MEMS-scale piezoelectric-based vibration energy harvesters (MPVEH) are presented. The work is motivated by the need for pervasive and limitless power for wireless sensor nodes that have application ...

Du Toit, Noël Eduard

2005-01-01T23:59:59.000Z

318

Validation of security-design models using Z  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

This paper is aimed at formally specifying and validating security-design models of an information system. It combines graphical languages and formal methods, integrating specification languages such as UML and an extension, SecureUML, with the Z language. ...

Nafees Qamar; Yves Ledru; Akram Idani

2011-10-01T23:59:59.000Z

319

Integration of engineering models in computer-aided preliminary design  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

The problems of the integration of engineering models in computer-aided preliminary design are reviewed. This paper details the research, development, and testing of modifications to Paper Airplane, a LISP-based computer ...

Lajoie, Ronnie M.

320

A forecasting model of tourist arrivals from major markets to Thailand  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

International tourism is a rapidly growing phenomenon hics. worldwide. However, the East Asia and Pacific Region is expected to be the focus of the worldwide tourism industry in the new millennium because tourist arrivals and receipts registered a growth about twice the rates of industrialized countries in the last decade. The tourism industry has become a powerful engine for economic development and a major foreign exchange generator. With such growth and increased competition, it is vitally important to forecast tourism demand in the region and understand the factors affecting demand. Considering the national importance of tourism, Thailand was chosen as the destination country with nine major markets as the countries of origin. A model was developed for each country to forecast tourism demand from that market. Multiple regression analysis was applied over time series data. The empirical results suggest that independent variables, such as income level in the country of origin, prices of tourism goods in the destination country, currency exchange rate between the origin and destination country, and rooms supply in destination, do affect tourism demand. Qualitative factors, represented by dummy variables, namely special promotional program and political unrest, show slight impact on demand. The study reveals that there are differences in the relative impacts of variables among the tourist generating countries. Thus, country-specific forecasting models and strategies must be formulated to reflect the uniqueness of each country of origin. Furthermore, forecasting techniques should include more qualitative factors to better asses their impacts on tourism demand. For future research, it is suggested that the models developed be updated regularly to reflect changes in the selected independent variables. Surveys and studies dealing with consumer motivation should be carried out to understand more about the tourists themselves and how they select particular destinations and types of tourism. Finally, in order to take advantage of modern technologies, the Internet is suggested as a tool to promote tourism.

Hao, Ching

1998-01-01T23:59:59.000Z

Note: This page contains sample records for the topic "design market models" from the National Library of EnergyBeta (NLEBeta).
While these samples are representative of the content of NLEBeta,
they are not comprehensive nor are they the most current set.
We encourage you to perform a real-time search of NLEBeta
to obtain the most current and comprehensive results.


321

Design of spatial experiments: Model fitting and prediction  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

The main objective of the paper is to describe and develop model oriented methods and algorithms for the design of spatial experiments. Unlike many other publications in this area, the approach proposed here is essentially based on the ideas of convex design theory.

Fedorov, V.V.

1996-03-01T23:59:59.000Z

322

Model-robust designs for split-plot experiments  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

Split-plot experiments are appropriate when some factors are more difficult and/or expensive to change than others. They require two levels of randomization resulting in a non-independent error structure. The design of such experiments has garnered much ... Keywords: D-optimality, Exact experimental design, Maximin, Model-robust, Split-plot

Byran J. Smucker; Enrique Del Castillo; James L. Rosenberger

2012-12-01T23:59:59.000Z

323

Modelling collaborative knowledge to support engineering design project manager  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

Product development cycles are nowadays tightened to the minimum and submitted to a growing competitive pressure. However, product and process complexities are constantly increasing. This paradox requires new organisational concepts to satisfy customers' ... Keywords: Collaborative design, Collaborative knowledge, Engineering design model

Vincent Robin; Bertrand Rose; Philippe Girard

2007-02-01T23:59:59.000Z

324

CellDesigner: a modeling tool for biochemical networks  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

Understanding of logic and dynamics of gene-regulatory and biochemical networks is a major challenge of systems biology. To facilitate this research topic, we have developed CellDesigner, a modeling tool of gene-regulatory and biochemical networks. CellDesigner ...

Akira Funahashi; Yukiko Matsuoka; Akiya Jouraku; Hiroaki Kitano; Norihiro Kikuchi

2006-12-01T23:59:59.000Z

325

DEPIVOT: A model for center-pivot design and evaluation  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

Center-pivot sprinkler irrigation became very popular. Hence, aimed at farmers advising, the simulation model DEPIVOT has been developed with the objective of design new systems or changes in systems in operation. The software consists of a simulation ... Keywords: Distribution uniformity, Hydraulics design, Runoff, Sprinkler package

M. I. ValíN; M. R. Cameira; P. R. Teodoro; L. S. Pereira

2012-09-01T23:59:59.000Z

326

Modeling consumer sensitivity for product design and perceived usability  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

The primary objective of this research paper is to investigate the relationship between the perceived qualities of home appliances with respect to various design features. Consumers may define their fondness of the particular system or model over other ... Keywords: consumer sensitivity, perceived usability, product design

Tareq Ahram, Waldemar Karwowski, Nabin Sapkota

2013-07-01T23:59:59.000Z

327

Modeling the competitive market efficiency of Egyptian companies: A probabilistic neural network analysis  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

Understanding efficiency levels is crucial for understanding the competitive structure of a market and/or segments of a market. This study uses two artificial neural networks (NN) and a traditional statistical classification method to classify the relative ... Keywords: Data envelopment analysis, Discriminant analysis, Market efficiency, Probabilistic neural networks

Mohamed M. Mostafa

2009-07-01T23:59:59.000Z

328

Constructing a market domain model for start-up software technology companies: A case study  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

The market for a complex technology product is sometimes called reference business because references are emphasized by corporate customers. A first customer reference is especially important for a start-up technology company attempting to enter the ... Keywords: First reference customer, High technology markets, M13 - New Firms, M31 - Marketing, Start-up software company, Startups

Jari Ruokolainen; Markus M. Mäkelä

2007-09-01T23:59:59.000Z

329

Modeling the Market Potential of Hydrogen from Wind and Competing Sources: Preprint  

NLE Websites -- All DOE Office Websites (Extended Search)

8 8 May 2005 Modeling the Market Potential of Hydrogen from Wind and Competing Sources Preprint W. Short, N. Blair, and D. Heimiller To be presented at WINDPOWER 2005 Denver, Colorado May 15-18, 2005 NOTICE The submitted manuscript has been offered by an employee of the Midwest Research Institute (MRI), a contractor of the US Government under Contract No. DE-AC36-99GO10337. Accordingly, the US Government and MRI retain a nonexclusive royalty-free license to publish or reproduce the published form of this contribution, or allow others to do so, for US Government purposes. This report was prepared as an account of work sponsored by an agency of the United States government. Neither the United States government nor any agency thereof, nor any of their employees, makes any

330

Collocation Methods for Distillation Design I: Model Description and Testing  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

Fast and accurate distillation design requires a model that significantly reduces the problem size while accurately approximating a full order distillation column model. Variable number of trays and variable feed tray location make optimization possible. This collocation model builds on the concepts of past collocation models for design of complex real-world separation systems. Two variable transformations make this method unique. Polynomials cannot accurately fit trajectories which flatten out. In columns, flat sections occur in the middle of large column sections, or where concentrations go to zero or one. With an exponential transformation of the tray number which maps zero to an infinite number of trays onto the range zero to one, two collocation trays can accurately simulate a large column section. With a hyperbolic tangent transformation of the mole fractions, the model can simulate columns which reach high purities. Furthermore, this model uses multiple collocation elements for ...

Robert S. Huss; Arthur W. Westerberg

1995-01-01T23:59:59.000Z

331

A methodology for assessing the market benefits of alternative motor fuels: The Alternative Fuels Trade Model  

DOE Green Energy (OSTI)

This report describes a modeling methodology for examining the prospective economic benefits of displacing motor gasoline use by alternative fuels. The approach is based on the Alternative Fuels Trade Model (AFTM). AFTM development was undertaken by the US Department of Energy (DOE) as part of a longer term study of alternative fuels issues. The AFTM is intended to assist with evaluating how alternative fuels may be promoted effectively, and what the consequences of substantial alternative fuels use might be. Such an evaluation of policies and consequences of an alternative fuels program is being undertaken by DOE as required by Section 502(b) of the Energy Policy Act of 1992. Interest in alternative fuels is based on the prospective economic, environmental and energy security benefits from the substitution of these fuels for conventional transportation fuels. The transportation sector is heavily dependent on oil. Increased oil use implies increased petroleum imports, with much of the increase coming from OPEC countries. Conversely, displacement of gasoline has the potential to reduce US petroleum imports, thereby reducing reliance on OPEC oil and possibly weakening OPEC`s ability to extract monopoly profits. The magnitude of US petroleum import reduction, the attendant fuel price changes, and the resulting US benefits, depend upon the nature of oil-gas substitution and the supply and demand behavior of other world regions. The methodology applies an integrated model of fuel market interactions to characterize these effects.

Leiby, P.N.

1993-09-01T23:59:59.000Z

332

Market Organization and Market Efficiency in Electricity Markets  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

Electricity markets in the United States exhibit two different forms of organization: decentralized bilateral trading and centralized auction markets. Using detailed data on prices, quantities, and production costs, we examine how market outcomes changed when a large region in the Eastern US rapidly switched from a bilateral system of trade to a well-designed centralized auction market in 2004. Although economic theory yields ambiguous predictions, the empirical evidence indicates that shifting the venue of trade substantially improved overall market efficiency, and that these efficiency gains far exceeded implementation costs. Our analysis points to the merits of organized market institutions for electricity, a central issue in policy debates over market-oriented regulatory reforms.

Erin T. Mansur; Matthew W. White

2007-01-01T23:59:59.000Z

333

Duopoly electricity markets with accurate and inaccurate market goals  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

Electricity markets are complex systems due to their deregulation and restructuring. We develop an agent-based simulation model for a stylized electricity pool market and simulate the market as a repeated game. An online hill climbing with adjustment ...

Zhi Zhou; Wai Kin Victor Chan; Joe H. Chow; Serhiy Kotsan

2009-12-01T23:59:59.000Z

334

Abstract--A stochastic dynamic programming hydrothermal dispatch model to simulate a bid-based market is  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

on dynamic programming that optimizes and validates the bid prices strategies for each power plant in a hydro-thermal, and simulating them as if they were a single power plant. In a hydro-thermal system as the one simulated several plants. Emphasis is given to hydro reservoir modeling and to the assessment of their market power

Catholic University of Chile (Universidad CatĂłlica de Chile)

335

Comparing Price Forecast Accuracy of Natural Gas Models and Futures Markets  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

information about natural gas supply and demand. As amarket Calibrating natural gas supply and demand conditionsnation-wide natural gas market, equalizing supply with

Wong-Parodi, Gabrielle; Dale, Larry; Lekov, Alex

2005-01-01T23:59:59.000Z

336

Comparing Price Forecast Accuracy of Natural Gas Models and Futures Markets  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

about natural gas supply and demand. As a result, someCalibrating natural gas supply and demand conditions withelectricity and natural gas markets, demand-side management

Wong-Parodi, Gabrielle; Dale, Larry; Lekov, Alex

2005-01-01T23:59:59.000Z

337

Cap-and-Trade Modeling and Analysis: Congested Electricity Market Equilibrium  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

Concerning Cap and Trade Programs in Electricity: the CaseCap and Trade Regulation on Congested Electricity Marketcap and trade regu- lation on congested electricity market

Limpaitoon, Tanachai

2012-01-01T23:59:59.000Z

338

Designing Information Appliances using a Resource Replication Model  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

. We discuss the design of new network applications that collect and manage data and interface with users through portable devices. These applications maintain data pipelines that interact with network information servers and distill information into reduced data models that may be queried and replicated effectively through wireless networks to computing devices of very small size. We present initial design considerations for applications of this class. 1.

Mário J. Silva; Ana Paula Afonso

1999-01-01T23:59:59.000Z

339

Solar Decathlon Design Models 2009 | Department of Energy  

Energy.gov (U.S. Department of Energy (DOE)) Indexed Site

Design Models 2009 Design Models 2009 Solar Decathlon Design Models 2009 Addthis Florida International 1 of 20 Florida International Image: Energy Department Image Team New Jersey 2 of 20 Team New Jersey Image: Energy Department Image The University of Tennessee 3 of 20 The University of Tennessee Image: Energy Department Image University of Maryland 4 of 20 University of Maryland Image: Energy Department Image Team Florida 5 of 20 Team Florida Image: Energy Department Image Ohio State University 6 of 20 Ohio State University Image: Energy Department Image Team Belgium 7 of 20 Team Belgium Image: Energy Department Image University of Hawaii 8 of 20 University of Hawaii Image: Energy Department Image Cal Tech 9 of 20 Cal Tech Image: Energy Department Image Team Tidewater Virginia 10 of 20 Team Tidewater Virginia

340

Modeling, loading, and preliminary design considerations for tall guyed towers  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

In this paper, the authors first summarize the results of an investigation they carried out on the collapse of a 1900 ft tall guyed tower under ice and wind loads. Based on this investigation, they then proceed to present some structural analysis recommendations relating to loading and modeling concerns. Special emphasis is placed on the importance of ice loading, and on the level of accuracy required in modeling the nonlinear response behavior. Finally, the conclusions drawn from this study are used to formulate preliminary design guidelines. This facilitates a systematic approach for the design of tall guyed towers. 23 refs.

Gantes, C.; Khoury, R.; Connors, J.J.; Pouangare, C. [Engg Information Technology, Cambridge, MA (United States)

1993-12-01T23:59:59.000Z

Note: This page contains sample records for the topic "design market models" from the National Library of EnergyBeta (NLEBeta).
While these samples are representative of the content of NLEBeta,
they are not comprehensive nor are they the most current set.
We encourage you to perform a real-time search of NLEBeta
to obtain the most current and comprehensive results.


341

An Integrated Framework for Parametric Design Using Building Energy Models  

NLE Websites -- All DOE Office Websites (Extended Search)

An Integrated Framework for Parametric Design Using Building Energy Models An Integrated Framework for Parametric Design Using Building Energy Models Speaker(s): Bryan Eisenhower Date: September 22, 2011 - 12:00pm Location: 90-3122 Seminar Host/Point of Contact: Michael Wetter In this talk we will present a framework for analyses of building energy models including uncertainty and sensitivity analysis, optimization, calibration, and failure mode effect analysis. The methodology begins with efficient uniformly ergodic numerical sampling and regression analysis based on machine learning to derive an analytic representation of the full energy model (e.g. EnergyPlus, TRNSYS, etc). Once these steps are taken, and an analytical representation of the dynamics is obtained, multiple avenues for analysis are opened that were previously impeded by the

342

Can the Mortensen-Pissarides Model Match the Housing Market Facts ?  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

are different in terms of their waiting costs for selling the house, where buyers are free to enter either are free to enter either submarket Nash bargaining matching function + random search + market tightness with frictions. Keywords: housing price dispersion, time-on-the-market, trading volume, search and matching

Paris-Sud XI, Université de

343

A GA-weighted ANFIS model based on multiple stock market volatility causality for TAIEX forecasting  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

Stock market forecasting is important and interesting, because the successful prediction of stock prices may promise attractive benefits. The economy of Taiwan relies on international trade deeply, and the fluctuations of international stock markets ... Keywords: ANFIS, Genetic algorithm, Neural network, Weighted rule

Liang-Ying Wei

2013-02-01T23:59:59.000Z

344

Design and dimensioning of an edge router using Markov model  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

This paper presents the formulation, modelling and analysis of network traffic for the purpose of designing an edge router. Presuming packet arrival in Poisson's process and departure or service time distribution to be exponential, a Markov model ... Keywords: CTMC, IID, MMPP, Markov modulated Poisson process, QoS, buffer capacity, buffer occupancy, computer networks, continuous time Markov chain, edge routers, independent identically distributed, link speed, load factor, network traffic, quality of service

Partha Bhattacharjee; Goutam Sanyal

2009-06-01T23:59:59.000Z

345

The Early U.S. Market for PHEVs: Anticipating Consumer Awareness, Recharge Potential, Design Priorities and Energy Impacts  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

gas emissions from plug-in hybrid vehicles: Implications forU.S. market, plug-in hybrid vehicles (PHEVs) are touted asdesign your own plug-in hybrid vehicle. You will determine

Axsen, Jonn; Kurani, Kenneth S

2008-01-01T23:59:59.000Z

346

Ex Ante and Ex Post Designs for Electric Market Mitigation: Past and Present Experience and Lessons from California  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

Restructuring in electric power sectors took asignificant step backward in the summer of 2000 whenwholesale and retail markets in California experiencedstaggering price increases that continued through June of2001. During this period, California suppliers ...

Richard D. Tabors; Judith B. Cardell

2003-01-01T23:59:59.000Z

347

Evaluation of a marketing program designed to increase consumer consideration of energy-efficient products in Denver, Colorado  

SciTech Connect

A demonstration marketing program to sensitize Denver homeowners to incorporate the energy cost of ownership orientation in their decision process regarding purchase of energy-efficient products is described. Personal interviews with Denver homeowners were conducted. A first survey established a baseline for consumer awareness and acceptance of energy conservation and conservation-related products and provided information which could be utilized in developing marketing strategies related to energy conservation and the concept of energy cost of ownership. A second survey measured shifts in awareness and attitudes which might have occurred as a result of the marketing demonstration program. The methodology and results of the evaluation are discussed in detail. The Denver Test Market Media Campaign conducted through multi-media advertising and public relations campaigns to sensitize the residents to the positive consideraton of energy-efficient products is described. (MCW)

1978-08-01T23:59:59.000Z

348

Uncertainties in the Value of Bill Savings from Behind-the-Meter, Residential Photovoltaic Systems: The Roles of Electricity Market Conditions, Retail Rate Design, and Net Metering  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

the wholesale market in hour h, and ,Borenstein, S. , 2008. The Market Value and Cost of SolarEto, J. , 2011. Mass Market Demand Response and Variable

Darghouth, Naim Richard

2013-01-01T23:59:59.000Z

349

Uncertainties in the Value of Bill Savings from Behind-the-Meter, Residential Photovoltaic Systems: The Roles of Electricity Market Conditions, Retail Rate Design, and Net Metering  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

in wholesale energy markets. Progress in Photovoltaics:The Economics of Energy Market Transformation Programs. TheCalifornia's current energy market, for example, allows

Darghouth, Naim Richard

2013-01-01T23:59:59.000Z

350

Econophysical Dynamics of Market-Based Electric Power Distribution Systems  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

As energy markets begin clearing at sub-hourly rates, their interaction with load control systems becomes a potentially important consideration. A simple model for the control of thermal systems using market-based power distribution strategies is proposed, with particular attention to the behavior and dynamics of electric building loads and distribution-level power markets. Observations of dynamic behavior of simple numerical model are compared to that of an aggregate continuous model. The analytic solution of the continuous model suggests important deficiencies in each. The continuous model provides very valuable insights into how one might design such load control system and design the power markets they interact with. We also highlight important shortcomings of the continuous model which we believe must be addressed using discrete models.

Nicolas Ho; David P. Chassin

2006-02-09T23:59:59.000Z

351

Unifying design and runtime software adaptation using aspect models  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

Software systems are seen more and more as evolutive systems. At the design phase, software is constantly in adaptation by the building process itself, and at runtime, it can be adapted in response to changing conditions in the executing environment ... Keywords: Aspect oriented modeling, Software product lines

Carlos Parra; Xavier Blanc; Anthony Cleve; Laurence Duchien

2011-12-01T23:59:59.000Z

352

Mathematical Modelling for the Design of an Edge Router  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

This paper presents the formulation, modelling and analysisof network traffic for the purpose of designing an edge router, catering for a large campus. Presuming packet arrival from Poisson’s process, and departure or service time distribution ... Keywords: Markov Modulated Poisson Process, independent identically distributed, Quality of Service, Continuous Time Markov Chain, buffer capacity, link speed

Partha Bhattacharjee; Goutam Sanyal

2008-08-01T23:59:59.000Z

353

Multi-formalism modelling and model transformation for the design of reactive systems  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

based design. This paper presents a development process based on modelling, simulation, and code synthesis. The DCharts formalism, a Statecharts variant with extensions, is used to model a small application to demonstrate our approach: a traffic light. The development of this system highlights the use of various formalisms with appropriate supporting tools: AToM 3, A Tool for Multi-formalism and Meta-Modelling, is used as a multi-formalism visual modelling environment; SVM is the simulation engine used to experiment with prototype models; SCC is the code synthesizer that generates reusable source code in a variety of target languages. Transformation onto the Communicating Sequential Processes (CSP) formalism allows for model checking using the Failures Divergences Refinement Checker (FDR2) model checker. We demonstrate how using multiple formalisms as well as model transformations during the design process can drastically improve productivity, reliability and reusability. 1. MODELLING, ANALYSIS AND SIMU-LATION BASED DESIGN Compared to traditional software programming, modelling and simulation based (software) design has many advantages. By modelling the structure and behaviour of the system at an appropriate level of abstraction in the most appropriate formalism(s), accidental complexity will be minimized, and the designer can focus on essential issues instead of being bogged down with implementation details at early stages in the development process. 1.1. The process Our modelling and simulation based design process is illustrated in Figure 1. The system designer starts from a set of requirements, which constrain the design space. In the example given here, the requirements are not modelled explicitly

Thomas Huining Feng; Miriam Zia; Hans Vangheluwe

2007-01-01T23:59:59.000Z

354

Modeling renewable portfolio standards for the annual energy outlook 1998 - electricity market module  

SciTech Connect

The Electricity Market Module (EMM) is the electricity supply component of the National Energy Modeling System (NEMS). The EMM represents the generation, transmission, and pricing of electricity. It consists of four submodules: the Electricity Capacity Planning (ECP) Submodule, the Electricity Fuel Dispatch (EFD) Submodule, the Electricity Finance and Pricing (EFP) Submodule, and the Load and Demand-Side Management (LDSM) Submodule. For the Annual Energy Outlook 1998 (AEO98), the EMM has been modified to represent Renewable Portfolio Standards (RPS), which are included in many of the Federal and state proposals for deregulating the electric power industry. A RPS specifies that electricity suppliers must produce a minimum level of generation using renewable technologies. Producers with insufficient renewable generating capacity can either build new plants or purchase {open_quotes}credits{close_quotes} from other suppliers with excess renewable generation. The representation of a RPS involves revisions to the ECP, EFD, and the EFP. The ECP projects capacity additions required to meet the minimum renewable generation levels in future years. The EFD determines the sales and purchases of renewable credits for the current year. The EFP incorporates the cost of building capacity and trading credits into the price of electricity.

1998-02-01T23:59:59.000Z

355

Advanced turbine systems program conceptual design and product development task 5 -- market study of the gas fired ATS. Topical report  

DOE Green Energy (OSTI)

Solar Turbines Incorporated (Solar), in partnership with the Department of Energy, will develop a family of advanced gas turbine-based power systems (ATS) for widespread commercialization within the domestic and international industrial marketplace, and to the rapidly changing electric power generation industry. The objective of the jointly-funded Program is to introduce an ATS with high efficiency, and markedly reduced emissions levels, in high numbers as rapidly as possible following introduction. This Topical Report is submitted in response to the requirements outlined in Task 5 of the Department of Energy METC Contract on Advanced Combustion Systems, Contract No, DE AC21-93MC30246 (Contract), for a Market Study of the Gas Fired Advanced Turbine System. It presents a market study for the ATS proposed by Solar, and will examine both the economic and siting constraints of the ATS compared with competing systems in the various candidate markets. Also contained within this report is an examination and analysis of Solar`s ATS and its ability to compete in future utility and industrial markets, as well as factors affecting the marketability of the ATS.

NONE

1995-05-01T23:59:59.000Z

356

The National Energy Modeling System: An Overview 1998 - Coal Market Module  

Gasoline and Diesel Fuel Update (EIA)

COAL MARKET MODULE COAL MARKET MODULE blueball.gif (205 bytes) Coal Production Submodule blueball.gif (205 bytes) Coal Distribution Submodule blueball.gif (205 bytes) Coal Export Component The coal market module (CMM) represents the mining, transportation, and pricing of coal, subject to end-use demand. Coal supplies are differentiated by heat and sulfur content. The CMM also determines the minimum cost pattern of coal supply to meet exogenously defined U.S. coal export demands as a part of the world coal market. Coal supply is projected on a cost-minimizing basis, constrained by existing contracts. Twelve different coal types are differentiated with respect to thermal grade, sulfur content, and underground or surface mining. The domestic production and distribution of coal is forecast for 13 demand regions and 11 supply

357

The photovoltaic market analysis program : background, model development, applications and extensions  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

The purpose of this report is to describe and motivate the market analysis program for photovoltaics that has developed over the last several years. The main objective of the program is to develop tools and procedures to ...

Lilien, Gary L.

1981-01-01T23:59:59.000Z

358

Modeling and Simulation of an Agent-Based Decentralized Two-Commodity Power Market  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

In this paper, a market-based approach is described to solve the resource allocation problem of two coupled commodities, namely electric energy and heating energy. Agents assigned to each household and each power plant carry out evaluations independently ...

2000-07-01T23:59:59.000Z

359

Evolutionary multiobjective optimization approach for evolving ensemble of intelligent paradigms for stock market modeling  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

The use of intelligent systems for stock market predictions has been widely established. This paper introduces a genetic programming technique (called Multi-Expression programming) for the prediction of two stock indices. The performance is then compared ...

Ajith Abraham; Crina Grosan; Sang Yong Han; Alexander Gelbukh

2005-11-01T23:59:59.000Z

360

Fuzzy-neural model with hybrid market indicators for stock forecasting  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

A number of research had been carried out to forecast stock price based on technical indicators, which rely purely on historical stock price data. Nevertheless, their performance is not always satisfactory. In this paper, the effect of using hybrid market ...

A. A. Adebiyi; C. K. Ayo; S. O. Otokiti

2011-07-01T23:59:59.000Z

Note: This page contains sample records for the topic "design market models" from the National Library of EnergyBeta (NLEBeta).
While these samples are representative of the content of NLEBeta,
they are not comprehensive nor are they the most current set.
We encourage you to perform a real-time search of NLEBeta
to obtain the most current and comprehensive results.


361

Analysing and modelling international trade patterns of the Australian wine industry in the world wine market.  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

??Since the mid-1980s, trade liberalisation has encouraged the growth of Australia’s international trade. The Australian wine industry has been successful in the world wine market,… (more)

Boriraj, Jumpoth

2008-01-01T23:59:59.000Z

362

Cap-and-Trade Modeling and Analysis: Congested Electricity Market Equilibrium.  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

??This dissertation presents an equilibrium framework for analyzing the impact of cap-and-trade regulation on transmission-constrained electricity market. The cap-and-trade regulation of greenhouse gas emissions has… (more)

Limpaitoon, Tanachai

2012-01-01T23:59:59.000Z

363

How good are supply function equilibrium models: an empirical analysis of the ERCOT balancing market  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

Protecting the Market from “Hockey Stick” Pricing: How thethat some ?rms opt to ‘hockey-stick’ their supply functions—giving their o?er curve a hockey-stick shape—even more than

Sioshansi, Ramteen; Oren, Shmuel

2007-01-01T23:59:59.000Z

364

How Good are Supply Function Equilibrium Models: An Empirical Analysis of the ERCOT Balancing Market  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

Protecting the Market from "Hockey Stick" Pricing: How thesome firms opt to 'hockey-stick' their supply functions—giving their offer curve a hockey-stick shape—even more than

Sioshansi, Ramteen; Oren, Shmuel S

2006-01-01T23:59:59.000Z

365

Modelling the Effects of Nuclear Fuel Reservoir Operation in a Competitive Electricity Market  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

In many countries, the electricity systems are quitting the vertically integrated monopoly organization for an operation framed by competitive markets. In such a competitive regime one can ask what the optimal management ...

Lykidi, Maria

366

NETL: Gasification Systems - Model Based Optimal Sensor Network Design for  

NLE Websites -- All DOE Office Websites (Extended Search)

Model Based Optimal Sensor Network Design for Condition Monitoring Model Based Optimal Sensor Network Design for Condition Monitoring Project Number: FE0005712 General Electric (GE) Global Research is developing an advanced model-based optimal sensor network to monitor the condition of the gasification section in an integrated gasification combined cycle (IGCC) plant. The work builds on model-based controls aimed at enhancing efficiency and operational flexibility through increased automation. Within an overall strategy of employing model-based online monitoring and predictive controls, GE Global Research is extending existing models for the gasifier and radiant syngas cooler to include the effects of degradation and fouling on the sensed variables like temperature etc., and will implement an estimation algorithm to assess the extent of gasifier refractory degradation and radiant syngas cooler fouling. An optimization-based solution will be employed to optimally place the hardware sensors utilized in the estimation algorithm in order to achieve the monitoring requirements at the lowest cost. The performance of the sensor placement algorithm and resulting monitoring solution will be demonstrated through simulations using representative test cases. The overall approach is one of the first to be applicable to condition monitoring of critical components in IGCC plants.

367

Actor Petri net model for scientific workflows: model, design and system  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

We propose in this paper Actor Petri net Model for designing scientific workflow applications that are characterized by heterogeneous data and intensive computing. Based on many other workflow representation models (such as Actor Network, a series of ... Keywords: actor Petri net model, cloud computing, distributed computing, heterogeneous data, scientific workflow

Nanshan Du; Qing Li; Yiwen Liang

2010-01-01T23:59:59.000Z

368

The National Energy Modeling System: An Overview 2000 - Coal Market Module  

Gasoline and Diesel Fuel Update (EIA)

coal market module (CMM) represents the mining, transportation, and pricing of coal, subject to end-use demand. Coal supplies are differentiated by heat and sulfur content. CMM also determines the minimum cost pattern of coal supply to meet exogenously defined U.S. coal export demands as a part of the world coal market. Coal supply is projected on a cost-minimizing basis, constrained by existing contracts. Twelve different coal types are differentiated with respect to thermal grade, sulfur content, and underground or surface mining. The domestic production and distribution of coal is forecast for 13 demand regions and 11 supply regions (Figures 19 and 20). coal market module (CMM) represents the mining, transportation, and pricing of coal, subject to end-use demand. Coal supplies are differentiated by heat and sulfur content. CMM also determines the minimum cost pattern of coal supply to meet exogenously defined U.S. coal export demands as a part of the world coal market. Coal supply is projected on a cost-minimizing basis, constrained by existing contracts. Twelve different coal types are differentiated with respect to thermal grade, sulfur content, and underground or surface mining. The domestic production and distribution of coal is forecast for 13 demand regions and 11 supply regions (Figures 19 and 20). Figure 19. Coal Market Module Demand Regions Figure 20. Coal Market Module Supply Regions

369

Energy Efficiency Program and Market Trends  

NLE Websites -- All DOE Office Websites (Extended Search)

Energy Efficiency Program and Market Trends Energy Efficiency Program and Market Trends EETD's energy efficiency program and market trends research includes technical, economic and policy analysis to inform public and private decision-making on public-interest issues related to utility-sector energy efficiency programs and regulation, and government-funded energy efficiency initiatives. LBNL's research in this area is focused on: Energy efficiency portfolio planning and market assessment, Design and implementation of a portfolio of energy efficiency programs that achieve various policy objectives Utility sector energy efficiency business models, Options for administering energy efficiency programs, Evaluation, measurement and verification of energy efficiency impacts and ESCO industry and market trends and performance.

370

Modeling of Uncertainties in Major Drivers in U.S. Electricity Markets: Preprint  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

This paper presents information on the Stochastic Energy Deployment System (SEDS) model. DOE and NREL are developing this new model, intended to address many of the shortcomings of the current suite of energy models. Once fully built, the salient qualities of SEDS will include full probabilistic treatment of the major uncertainties in national energy forecasts; code compactness for desktop application; user-friendly interface for a reasonably trained analyst; run-time within limits acceptable for quick-response analysis; choice of detailed or aggregate representations; and transparency of design, code, and assumptions. Moreover, SEDS development will be increasingly collaborative, as DOE and NREL will be coordinating with multiple national laboratories and other institutions, making SEDS nearly an 'open source' project. The collaboration will utilize the best expertise on specific sectors and problems, and also allow constant examination and review of the model. This paper outlines the rationale for this project and a description of its alpha version, as well as some example results. It also describes some of the expected development efforts in SEDS.

Short, W.; Ferguson, T.; Leifman, M.

2006-09-01T23:59:59.000Z

371

Costs Models in Design and Manufacturing of Sand Casting Products  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

In the early phases of the product life cycle, the costs controls became a major decision tool in the competitiveness of the companies due to the world competition. After defining the problems related to this control difficulties, we will present an approach using a concept of cost entity related to the design and realization activities of the product. We will try to apply this approach to the fields of the sand casting foundry. This work will highlight the enterprise modelling difficulties (limits of a global cost modelling) and some specifics limitations of the tool used for this development. Finally we will discuss on the limits of a generic approach.

Perry, Nicolas; Bernard, Alain

2010-01-01T23:59:59.000Z

372

Costs Models in Design and Manufacturing of Sand Casting Products  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

In the early phases of the product life cycle, the costs controls became a major decision tool in the competitiveness of the companies due to the world competition. After defining the problems related to this control difficulties, we will present an approach using a concept of cost entity related to the design and realization activities of the product. We will try to apply this approach to the fields of the sand casting foundry. This work will highlight the enterprise modelling difficulties (limits of a global cost modelling) and some specifics limitations of the tool used for this development. Finally we will discuss on the limits of a generic approach.

Nicolas Perry; Magali Mauchand; Alain Bernard

2010-11-26T23:59:59.000Z

373

Dynamic Modeling in Solid-Oxide Fuel Cells Controller Design  

SciTech Connect

In this paper, a dynamic model of the solid-oxide fuel cell (SOFC) power unit is developed for the purpose of designing a controller to regulate fuel flow rate, fuel temperature, air flow rate, and air temperature to maintain the SOFC stack temperature, fuel utilization rate, and voltage within operation limits. A lumped model is used to consider the thermal dynamics and the electro-chemial dynamics inside an SOFC power unit. The fluid dynamics at the fuel and air inlets are considered by using the in-flow ramp-rates.

Lu, Ning; Li, Qinghe; Sun, Xin; Khaleel, Mohammad A.

2007-06-28T23:59:59.000Z

374

The Model Electric Restaurant: Volume 3: Analysis and Design  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

The Model Electric Restaurant Project was initiated in 1987 to study energy use in restaurants and other types of foodservice facilities. This report describes the second phase of the project, which ultimately involved testing a number of energy-efficient electric concepts in several restaurants in Los Angeles, California, as well as Phoenix and Mesa, Arizona. Field auditing, computer analysis, design, and testing activities revealed the best combination of electric equipment for minimizing site and sour...

1996-03-27T23:59:59.000Z

375

Effects of land markets and land management on ecosystem function: A framework for modelling exurban land-change  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

This paper presents the conceptual design and application of a new land-change modelling framework that represents geographical, sociological, economic, and ecological aspects of a land system. The framework provides an overarching design that can be ... Keywords: Agent-based modelling, Carbon storage and flux, Exurban development, Land-use and land-cover change, Policy

Derek T. Robinson, Shipeng Sun, Meghan Hutchins, Rick L. Riolo, Daniel G. Brown, Dawn C. Parker, Tatiana Filatova, William S. Currie, Sarah Kiger

2013-07-01T23:59:59.000Z

376

SURVIVABLE ENERGY MARKETS 1. Introduction. Recent ...  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

an in-depth analysis of energy markets design and procedural rules ..... are other information that can be collected to give market players the right economic.

377

A design tool architecture for the rapid evaluation of product design tradeoffs in an Inernet-based system modeling environment  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

This thesis presents a computer-aided design tool for the rapid evaluation of design tradeoffs in an integrated product modeling environment. The goal of this work is to provide product development organizations with better ...

Wronski, Jacob (Jacob Andrzej)

2005-01-01T23:59:59.000Z

378

The Evolutionary Design Model (EDM) for the design of complex engineered systems : Masdar City as a case study  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

This thesis develops a framework for constructing an Evolutionary Design Model (EDM) that would enhance the design of complex systems through an efficient process. The framework proposed is generic and suggests a group of ...

Alfaris, Anas (Anas Faris)

2009-01-01T23:59:59.000Z

379

SDU 6 MODELING STUDY TO SUPPORT DESIGN DEVELOPMENT  

SciTech Connect

In response to Technical Task Request (TTR) HLW-SSF-TTR-2012-0017 (1), SRNL performed modeling studies to evaluate alternative design features for the 32 million gallon Saltstone Disposal Unit (SDU) referred to as SDU 6. This initial modeling study was intended to assess the performance of major components of the structure that are most significant to the PA. Information provided by the modeling will support the development of a SDU 6 Preliminary Design Model and Recommendation Report to be written by SRR Closure and Waste Disposal Authority. Key inputs and assumptions for the modeling were provided to SRNL in SRR-SPT-2011-00113 (2). A table reiterates the base case and four sensitivity case studies requested in this reference. In general, as shown in Table 4, when compared to Vault 2 Case A, the Base Case SDU 6 design produced higher peak fluxes to the water table during the 10,000 year period of analysis but lower peak fluxes within a 15,000 to 20,000 time frame. SDU 6 will contain approximately ten times the inventory of a single Vault 2 and the SDU 6 footprint is comparable to that of a group of four Vault 2 disposal units. Therefore, the radionuclide flux from SDU 6 and that from a single Vault 2 are not directly comparable. A more direct comparison would be to compare the maximum dose obtained at the 100 m boundary from the seven SDU's that will replace the 64 FDC's analyzed in the 2009 PA. This analysis will be performed in the next set of calculations planned for SDU design evaluation. Aquifer transport and dose calculations were not intended to be part of this initial scoping study. However, results from this study do indicate that replacement of the FDC design with SDU would not yield significantly higher peak doses. If the thickness of the SDU 6 floor is increased, peak doses would not occur during the 10,000 year period of analysis.

Smith, F.

2012-05-02T23:59:59.000Z

380

A multistage model for distribution expansion planning with distributed generation in a deregulated electricity market  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

Distribution systems management is becoming an increasingly complicated issue due to the introduction of new technologies, new energy trading strategies and a new deregulated environment. In the new deregulated energy market and considering the incentives ... Keywords: GAMS-MATLAB interface, distributed generation (DG), distribution company (DISCO), investment payback time, microturbine, social welfare

S. Porkar; A. Abbaspour-Tehrani-Fard; P. Poure; S. Saadate

2010-06-01T23:59:59.000Z

Note: This page contains sample records for the topic "design market models" from the National Library of EnergyBeta (NLEBeta).
While these samples are representative of the content of NLEBeta,
they are not comprehensive nor are they the most current set.
We encourage you to perform a real-time search of NLEBeta
to obtain the most current and comprehensive results.


381

Can the Mortensen-Pissarides Model Match the Housing Market Facts ?  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

are different in terms of their waiting costs for selling the house, where buyers are free to enter either post. Nevertheless, s/he always decides to sell since the search is costly in terms of time and money buyers are free to enter either submarket Nash bargaining matching function + random search + market

Paris-Sud XI, Université de

382

Design Considerations, Modeling and Analysis for the Multispectral Thermal Imager  

SciTech Connect

The design of remote sensing systems is driven by the need to provide cost-effective, substantive answers to questions posed by our customers. This is especially important for space-based systems, which tend to be expensive, and which generally cannot be changed after they are launched. We report here on the approach we employed in developing the desired attributes of a satellite mission, namely the Multispectral Thermal Imager. After an initial scoping study, we applied a procedure which we call: "End-to-end modeling and analysis (EEM)." We began with target attributes, translated to observable signatures and then propagated the signatures through the atmosphere to the sensor location. We modeled the sensor attributes to yield a simulated data stream, which was then analyzed to retrieve information about the original target. The retrieved signature was then compared to the original to obtain a figure of merit: hence the term "end-to-end modeling and analysis." We base the EEM in physics to ensure high fidelity and to permit scaling. As the actual design of the payload evolves, and as real hardware is tested, we can update the EEM to facilitate trade studies, and to judge, for example, whether components that deviate from specifications are acceptable.

Borel, C.C.; Clodius, W.B.; Cooke, B.J.; Smith, B.W.; Weber, P.G.

1999-02-01T23:59:59.000Z

383

Applying Learnable Evolution Model to Heat Exchanger Design  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

A new approach to evolutionary computation, called Learnable Evolution Model (LEM), has been applied to the problem of optimizing tube structures of heat exchangers. In contrast to conventional Darwiniantype evolutionary computation algorithms that use various forms of mutation and/or recombination operators, LEM employs machine learning to guide the process of generating new individuals. A system, ISHED1, based on LEM, automatically searches for the highest capacity heat exchangers under given technical and environmental constraints. The results of experiments have been highly promising, often producing solutions exceeding the best human designs.

Kenneth A. Kaufman; Ryszard S. Michalski

2000-01-01T23:59:59.000Z

384

Uncertainties in the Value of Bill Savings from Behind-the-Meter, Residential Photovoltaic Systems: The Roles of Electricity Market Conditions, Retail Rate Design, and Net Metering  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

adopt, consisting of an energy market with price caps and adesign featuring an energy market with price If the TOU anddesigns (e.g. , an energy market with a price cap, combined

Darghouth, Naim Richard

2013-01-01T23:59:59.000Z

385

Credit derivatives : market dimensions, correlation with equity and implied option volatility, regression modeling and statistical price risk  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

This research thesis explores the market dimensions of credit derivatives including the prevalent product structures, leading participants, market applications and the issues confronting this relatively new product. We ...

Kureshy, Imran, A., 1965-

2004-01-01T23:59:59.000Z

386

Foreseeing the Market for Hydrogen Fuel-Cell Vehicles: Stakeholders' Perspectives and Models of New Technology Diffusion  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

and Associates (2005). Hybrid Vehicle Market Share Expectedsales Year Number of new hybrid vehicles sold Number of newsold Market share of hybrid vehicles It can be observed that

Collantes, Gustavo O

2005-01-01T23:59:59.000Z

387

FORESEEING THE MARKET FOR HYDROGEN FUEL-CELL VEHICLES: STAKEHOLDERS’ PERSPECTIVES AND MODELS OF NEW TECHNOLOGY DIFFUSION  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

and Associates (2005). Hybrid Vehicle Market Share Expectedsales Year Number of new hybrid vehicles sold Number of newsold Market share of hybrid vehicles It can be observed that

Collantes, Gustavo

2005-01-01T23:59:59.000Z

388

Estimating market penetration of steam, hot water and chilled water in commercial sector using a new econometric model  

SciTech Connect

For the first time in the public domain, we have estimated the energy consumption and expenditures of district steam, hot water, and chilled water. Specifically, the combined energy consumption and expenditures of steam, hot water, and chilled water in 1989 were approximately 800 trillion Btu and 7 billion dollars, respectively. The purpose of this paper is to introduce a new model developed at Argonne National Laboratory (ANL) for estimating market penetration of steam, hot water, and chilled water systems in commercial buildings over the next 20 years. This research sponsored by the US Department of Energy (DOE) used the 1989 Commercial Building Energy Consumption Surveys (CBECS) to provide information on energy consumption and expenditures and related factors in about 6000 buildings. A general linear model to estimated parameters for each of the three equations for steam, hot water, and chilled water demand in the buildings. A logarithmic transformation was made for the dependent variable and most of the explanatory variables. The model provides estimates of building steam, hot water, and chilled water consumption and expenditures between now and the year 2010. This model should be of interest to policymakers, researchers, and market participants involved with planning and implementing community-based energy-conserving and environmentally beneficial energy systems.

Teotia, A.P.S.; Karvelas, D.E.; Daniels, E.J.; Anderson, J.L.

1993-08-01T23:59:59.000Z

389

A Hypergraph Framework for Optimal Model-Based Decomposition ofDesign Problems  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

Decomposition of large engineering system models is desirable since increased model size reduces reliability and speed of numerical solution algorithms. The article presents a methodology for optimal model-based decomposition (OMBD) of design problems, ... Keywords: decomposition, hypergraph partitioning, large-scale design, model decomposition, multidisciplinary design

Nestor F. Michelena; Panos Y. Papalambros

1997-09-01T23:59:59.000Z

390

March 23, 2008 DB:EER Model -1 1 Informal Design Guidelines  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

March 23, 2008 DB:EER Model - 1 1 Informal Design Guidelines #12;March 23, 2008 DB:EER Model - 1 2 Design Guidelines for Relational Schema + #12;March 23, 2008 DB:EER Model - 1 3 - Measuring the Quality, 2008 DB:EER Model - 1 4 - Database Design Methodology A Bottom-Up Method We start by identifying all

Adam, Salah

391

CyberDesign & Infrastructure for Multiscale Modeling and Simulations  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

Multiscale cyber design methodology, which usually disparate entities such as material characterization, mechanical experimentation, material design, and ...

392

Design report: SCDAP/RELAP5 reflood oxidation model  

DOE Green Energy (OSTI)

Current SCDAP/RELAP5 oxidation models have proven to under-predict oxidation, and therefore hydrogen production, when modeling reflood during in-pile tests. As an example, while OECD LOFT Experiment LP-FP-2 shows significant increases in temperature and pressure during reflood due to increased oxidation, only minimal additional oxidation is currently predicted with SCDAP/RELAP5. Since SCDAP/RELAP5 predicts a steam rich environment during reflood, the parameter limiting oxidation must be the availability of zircaloy. Two phenomena, not currently modeled, may provide the necessary unoxidized zircaloy during reflood: (1) localized steam starvation prior to reflood, caused by debris blockage or hydrogen generation, or (2) shattering of oxidized cladding during reflood. The objective of this design report is to develop new models to accurately predict zircaloy cladding oxidation during the temperature transients prior to and during reflood. Evidence compiled from postirradiation examination (PIE) of fuel bundles subjected to severe accident conditions from several in-pile tests is used to identify mechanisms for additional cladding oxidation during reflood and to develop specific criteria to determine when these mechanisms are applicable.

Coryell, E.W.; Chavez, S.A.; Davis, K.L.; Mortensen, M.H.

1992-10-01T23:59:59.000Z

393

An Integrated Electric Power Supply Chain and Fuel Market Network Framework: Theoretical Modeling with Empirical Analysis for New England  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

the prices of fuels at energy markets and the transportation/distribution costs in making their economic the fuel price at each energy fuel market am. Since this paper focuses on the electric power supply chain markets that captures both the economic network transactions in energy supply markets and the physical

Nagurney, Anna

394

A Discrete Gust Model for Use in the Design of Wind Energy Conversion Systems  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

Discrete gust models, although idealizations of actual atmospheric conditions, are useful for engineering design. For fatigue design, these models must be representative of the conditions a structure or vehicle will experience on a continuous ...

Walter Frost; Robert E. Turner

1982-06-01T23:59:59.000Z

395

Trajectory Design and Implementation for Multiple Autonomous Underwater Vehicles Based on Ocean Model Predictions  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

Underwater Vehicles Based on Ocean Model Predictions Ryan N.Trajectory Design based on Ocean Model Predictions PredictEffective tracking of ocean features Gather specific in situ

2009-01-01T23:59:59.000Z

396

Managing market risks in the Australian national electricity market.  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

??The restructuring of many national and state electricity industries over the last two decades has created new sets of laws and regulations, market design and… (more)

Tham, Poh Weng

2005-01-01T23:59:59.000Z

397

ADS-Directory Services for Mobile Ad-Hoc Networks Based on an Information Market Model  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

Ubiquitous computing based on small mobile devices using wireless communication links is becoming very attractive. The computational power and storage capacities provided allow the execution of sophisticated applications. Due to the fact that sharing of information is a central problem for distributed applications, the development of self organizing middleware services providing high level interfaces for information managing is essential. ADS is a directory service for mobile ad-hoc networks dealing with local and nearby information as well as providing access to distant information. The approach discussed throughout this paper is based upon the concept of information markets.

Hutter, Christian; Rothkugel, Steffen

2007-01-01T23:59:59.000Z

398

Using EPECs to model bilevel games in restructured electricity markets with locational prices  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

different generation costs. This is a weakening of a more typical assumption that generation costs are symmetric, e.g. Green and Newbery (1992), Klemperer and Meyer (1989). Here some generators may be out of the market, unlike Proposition 5. Using symmetric... formulation. Applying PATH to the CP formulation of an EPEC is suggested by the success that some stan- dard NLP methods have had in solving MPECs written as NLPs (like (12)). The sequential quadratic programming method has proven to be especially effective...

Hu, Xinmin; Ralph, Daniel

2006-03-14T23:59:59.000Z

399

Modelling Volatilities and Conditional Correlations in Futures Markets with a Multivariate t Distribution  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

number of assets. However, in most applications in ?nance the Gaussian as- sumption that underlies the two step procedure is likely to be violated. To capture the fat-tailed nature of the distribution of asset returns, it is more appropriate if the DCC... observations, but is nev- ertheless capable of rendering the devolatized returns approximately Gaussian. One of the main reasons for the non-Gaussian behavior daily returns is pres- ence of jumps in the return process as documented for a number of markets...

Pesaran, Bahram; Pesaran, M Hashem

400

Market structure and the price of electricity: An ex ante analysis of the deregulated Swedish electricity market  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

Following new legislation the Swedish electricity market is about to be deregulated. The new system is designed to ensure competition in production and supply. The main motive for deregulation is to increase competition and thus achieve lower market prices. A possible threat to this outcome is the high degree of concentration on the seller side that characterizes the Swedish electricity market. In this paper we show that given the current structure of firms on the supply side, deregulation is not a sufficient condition for lower equilibrium prices in the electricity market. We use a numerical model to explore the quantitative relation between the Cournot-equilibrium price, the number of firms, and the size distribution of firms in the Swedish electricity market. We compute equilibrium electricity prices and a welfare measure in order to quantify the effect of asymmetric market concentration on competition. 3 refs., 1 fig., 6 tabs.

Andersson, B.; Bergman, L. [Stockholm School of Economics (Sweden)

1995-12-31T23:59:59.000Z

Note: This page contains sample records for the topic "design market models" from the National Library of EnergyBeta (NLEBeta).
While these samples are representative of the content of NLEBeta,
they are not comprehensive nor are they the most current set.
We encourage you to perform a real-time search of NLEBeta
to obtain the most current and comprehensive results.


401

Computational Human Performance Modeling For Alarm System Design  

SciTech Connect

The introduction of new technologies like adaptive automation systems and advanced alarms processing and presentation techniques in nuclear power plants is already having an impact on the safety and effectiveness of plant operations and also the role of the control room operator. This impact is expected to escalate dramatically as more and more nuclear power utilities embark on upgrade projects in order to extend the lifetime of their plants. One of the most visible impacts in control rooms will be the need to replace aging alarm systems. Because most of these alarm systems use obsolete technologies, the methods, techniques and tools that were used to design the previous generation of alarm system designs are no longer effective and need to be updated. The same applies to the need to analyze and redefine operators’ alarm handling tasks. In the past, methods for analyzing human tasks and workload have relied on crude, paper-based methods that often lacked traceability. New approaches are needed to allow analysts to model and represent the new concepts of alarm operation and human-system interaction. State-of-the-art task simulation tools are now available that offer a cost-effective and efficient method for examining the effect of operator performance in different conditions and operational scenarios. A discrete event simulation system was used by human factors researchers at the Idaho National Laboratory to develop a generic alarm handling model to examine the effect of operator performance with simulated modern alarm system. It allowed analysts to evaluate alarm generation patterns as well as critical task times and human workload predicted by the system.

Jacques Hugo

2012-07-01T23:59:59.000Z

402

Optimal design of aeroengine turbine disc based on kriging surrogate models  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

A design optimization method based on kriging surrogate models is proposed and applied to the shape optimization of an aeroengine turbine disc. The kriging surrogate model is built to provide rapid approximations of time-consuming computations. For improving ... Keywords: Design of experiments, Differential evolutionary algorithm, Kriging method, Optimal design, Surrogate model, Turbine disc

Zhangjun Huang; Chengen Wang; Jian Chen; Hong Tian

2011-01-01T23:59:59.000Z

403

Ancillary services market in California  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

Service Market Redesign and FERC Filing. CAISO Internalmarket design improvements with FERC. However, from pastRegulatory Commission (FERC). 1996. Order No. 888 (Docket

Gomez, Tomas; Marnay, Chris; Siddiqui, Afzal; Liew, Lucy; Khavkin, Mark

1999-01-01T23:59:59.000Z

404

Efficiency of appliance models on the market before and after DOE standards  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

database of models listed in selected product directories published by the Association of Home Appliance

Meyers, Stephen

2004-01-01T23:59:59.000Z

405

Implied volatility in oil markets  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

Modelling the implied volatility surface as a function of an option's strike price and maturity is a subject of extensive research in financial markets. The implied volatility in commodity markets is much less studied, due to a limited liquidity and ...

Svetlana Borovkova; Ferry J. Permana

2009-04-01T23:59:59.000Z

406

Comparing Prediction Market Structures, With an Application to Market Making  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

Ensuring sufficient liquidity is one of the key challenges for designers of prediction markets. Various market making algorithms have been proposed in the literature and deployed in practice, but there has been little effort to evaluate their benefits and disadvantages in a systematic manner. We introduce a novel experimental design for comparing market structures in live trading that ensures fair comparison between two different microstructures with the same trading population. Participants trade on outcomes related to a two-dimensional random walk that they observe on their computer screens. They can simultaneously trade in two markets, corresponding to the independent horizontal and vertical random walks. We use this experimental design to compare the popular inventory-based logarithmic market scoring rule (LMSR) market maker and a new information based Bayesian market maker (BMM). Our experiments reveal that BMM can offer significant benefits in terms of price stability and expected loss when controlling ...

Brahma, Aseem; Magdon-Ismail, Malik

2010-01-01T23:59:59.000Z

407

Building Energy Software Tools Directory: MarketManager  

NLE Websites -- All DOE Office Websites (Extended Search)

MarketManager MarketManager MarketManager logo. Models any type of commercial, institutional, industrial, and residential facility and determines the energy and cost impact of virtually any type of energy conservation measure or utility rate schedule. MarketManager calculates the operating costs of any piece of equipment in the facility and determines the cost-effectiveness of improving the building envelope, HVAC controls, motors, lighting systems, heating and cooling equipment. Screen Shots Keywords building energy modeling, design, retrofit Validation/Testing N/A. Expertise Required MarketManager is best used by energy professionals who have a good understanding of HVAC systems.ďż˝ Others have been known to use it. Users Approximately 1000 users worldwide, mostly in the United States.

408

Modeling the Long-Term Market Penetration of Wind in the United States  

NLE Websites -- All DOE Office Websites (Extended Search)

Long-Term Long-Term Market Penetration of Wind in the United States July 2003 * NREL/CP-620-34469 W. Short, N. Blair, D. Heimiller, and V. Singh Presented at the American Wind Energy Association (AWEA) WindPower 2003 Conference Austin, Texas May 21, 2003 National Renewable Energy Laboratory 1617 Cole Boulevard Golden, Colorado 80401-3393 NREL is a U.S. Department of Energy Laboratory Operated by Midwest Research Institute * Battelle * Bechtel Contract No. DE-AC36-99-GO10337 NOTICE The submitted manuscript has been offered by an employee of the Midwest Research Institute (MRI), a contractor of the US Government under Contract No. DE-AC36-99GO10337. Accordingly, the US Government and MRI retain a nonexclusive royalty-free license to publish or reproduce the published

409

INVENTORY DYNAMICS IMPLEMENTATION TO A NETWORK DESIGN MODEL Format Review.  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

??This research presents an inventory dynamics model that is implemented into an already existing supply chain footprint model for a multinational manufacturing company. The model… (more)

Better Romero, Miguel

2009-01-01T23:59:59.000Z

410

Comparing Price Forecast Accuracy of Natural Gas Models and Futures Markets  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

Policy Office Electricity Modeling System POEMS U.S. Department of Energy NANGAS/IPM NANGAS North American

Wong-Parodi, Gabrielle; Dale, Larry; Lekov, Alex

2005-01-01T23:59:59.000Z

411

Role of Modeling When Designing for Absolute Energy Use Intensity Requirements in a Design-Build Framework: Preprint  

SciTech Connect

The Research Support Facility was designed to use half the energy of an equivalent minimally code-compliant building, and to produce as much renewable energy as it consumes on an annual basis. These energy goals and their substantiation through simulation were explicitly included in the project's fixed firm price design-build contract. The energy model had to be continuously updated during the design process and to match the final building as-built to the greatest degree possible. Computer modeling played a key role throughout the design process and in verifying that the contractual energy goals would be met within the specified budget. The main tool was a whole building energy simulation program. Other models were used to provide more detail or to complement the whole building simulation tool. Results from these specialized models were fed back into the main whole building simulation tool to provide the most accurate possible inputs for annual simulations. This paper will detail the models used in the design process and how they informed important program and design decisions on the path from preliminary design to the completed building.

Hirsch, A.; Pless, S.; Guglielmetti, R.; Torcellini, P. A.; Okada, D.; Antia, P.

2011-03-01T23:59:59.000Z

412

Role of Modeling When Designing for Absolute Energy Use Intensity Requirements in a Design-Build Framework: Preprint  

SciTech Connect

The Research Support Facility was designed to use half the energy of an equivalent minimally code-compliant building, and to produce as much renewable energy as it consumes on an annual basis. These energy goals and their substantiation through simulation were explicitly included in the project's fixed firm price design-build contract. The energy model had to be continuously updated during the design process and to match the final building as-built to the greatest degree possible. Computer modeling played a key role throughout the design process and in verifying that the contractual energy goals would be met within the specified budget. The main tool was a whole building energy simulation program. Other models were used to provide more detail or to complement the whole building simulation tool. Results from these specialized models were fed back into the main whole building simulation tool to provide the most accurate possible inputs for annual simulations. This paper will detail the models used in the design process and how they informed important program and design decisions on the path from preliminary design to the completed building.

Hirsch, A.; Pless, S.; Guglielmetti, R.; Torcellini, P. A.; Okada, D.; Antia, P.

2011-03-01T23:59:59.000Z

413

Design, fabrication and testing of a marketable waterwall component. Final technical report, 1 September 1978-31 August 1979  

DOE Green Energy (OSTI)

One Design, Inc., has designed and developed modular waterwall components that make up a system for passive solar space heating using a south-facing thermal storage wall. The modules can also be used as thermal mass storage for roof apertures and for greenhouse applications. The modules are constructed of fiberglass reinforced polyester and each is 95 inches long, 16.5 inches wide and 24.5 inches tall. Each module contains 94 gallons or 784 pounds of water. When stacked behind south glazing, they provide 52 Btu//sup 0/F per square foot of net glazed area. A stack of four modules has a height of 93.5 inches, suitable for an 8-foot interior ceiling; a stack of five modules is 116.5 inches high, suitable for a 10-foot interior ceiling. The modules are designed to stack on one another without requiring additional hardware and nest inside each other to reduce shipping costs. Prototype modules were fabricated and subjected to structural tests. They were found to be capable of supporting at least 4.8 times the load imposed by a five tank stack, well above the recommended safety factor of 2. Long term purity of the water in the containers was tested and evaluated and found to be within acceptable limits. Prototype modules were installed in One Design's Star Tannery House near Winchester, Virginia, and performance was extensively monitored from January to April, 1979. Based on the performance during the period, it has been estimated that the passive solar heating contribution would be 79.5% of the house's total heating requirement.

Maloney, T.J.; Habib, V.

1979-08-01T23:59:59.000Z

414

Design as a strategic resource : design's contributions to competitive advantage aligned with strategy models  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

of the behaviour of designed artefacts with which a user can interact, originating in HCI, now relevant to the many goods and systems which fea- ture embedded software, such as mobile phones, medical devices and in-car navigation. Interface design Subgroup... literature, with a range of meanings from using design to differentiate and increase margins by raising perceived value in ‘designer goods’, to ac- tually shaping corporate strategy itself. Such usage often has little relation to established theories...

Stevens, John Simon

2010-03-16T23:59:59.000Z

415

Using the Learning Design Language to model activities supported by services  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

The main objective of the field of Learning Design (LD) is to provide teachers and instructional designers with the conceptual and technological means to create and manage e-learning activities. This paper addresses a paradox in existing ... Keywords: CSCL, LDL, MDE, computer-supported collaborative learning, e-learning, educational technologies, electronic learning, learning activities modelling, learning design language, learning technology, model driven architecture, model driven engineering, online learning, services modelling

Christian Martel; Laurence Vignollet

2008-07-01T23:59:59.000Z

416

Comparing Price Forecast Accuracy of Natural Gas Models and Futures Markets  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

against the risk of energy price fluctuations. In theory,The poor track record of energy price forecasting models hasof information about future energy prices, including most

Wong-Parodi, Gabrielle; Dale, Larry; Lekov, Alex

2005-01-01T23:59:59.000Z

417

A DSS Design Model for complex problems: Lessons from mission critical infrastructure  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

This paper presents a new DSS Design Model for complex, mission critical decision-making situations and its technical, conceptual, and partial empirical evaluation. The new model was derived from conceptual design research and through a deep qualitative ... Keywords: Complex adaptive systems, Decision support systems, Design, Electricity, Infrastructure, Knowledge management, Wicked decisions

Robb Klashner; Sameh Sabet

2007-04-01T23:59:59.000Z

418

A Model-Based Design Approach for Wireless Sensor-Actuator Networks  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

at design time. For example, an HVAC system might have a control loop designed around reading temperature applications add unique challenges for model-based design frameworks because the system deployment view and feed the topology and link characteristic information to the system model. A developer can then use

Rajkumar, Ragunathan

419

An agent-based model to study market penetration of plug-in hybrid electric vehicles  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

that a potential synergy from a gasoline tax with proceeds is used to fund research into longer-range lower- cost) indicate PHEV greenhouse gas emissions to be about half of that of current gasoline and diesel motor fuels model the system. We examine sensitivity of the model to gasoline prices, to accuracy in estimation

Eppstein, Margaret J.

420

Market Transformation  

DOE Green Energy (OSTI)

Summarizes the goals and activities of the DOE Solar Energy Technologies Program efforts within its market transformation subprogram.

Not Available

2008-09-01T23:59:59.000Z

Note: This page contains sample records for the topic "design market models" from the National Library of EnergyBeta (NLEBeta).
While these samples are representative of the content of NLEBeta,
they are not comprehensive nor are they the most current set.
We encourage you to perform a real-time search of NLEBeta
to obtain the most current and comprehensive results.


421

Why Markets Make Mistakes  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

Many models of markets are based on assumptions of rationality, transparency, efficiency, and homogeneity in various combinations. They assume, at least implicitly, that decision makers understand the structure of the ...

Weil, Henry Birdseye

2009-08-12T23:59:59.000Z

422

Essays in capital markets  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

This thesis consists of three essays in capital markets. The first essay presents a dynamic asset pricing model with heterogeneously informed agents. Unlike previous research, the general case where differential information ...

Makarov, Igor, 1976-

2006-01-01T23:59:59.000Z

423

Modeling of Energy Savings by Using Cathode Design and Inserts  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

Electrical modeling can easily explain the energy savings in the cathode. Magneto-hydrodynamic modeling shows why and how specific energy can be saved in ...

424

Project: Fire Modeling for Performance-Based Design  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

... processors [7] , [8] . In addition to finer grids, an Immersed ... [13] As modeling grid sizes increase ... models are to be used in nuclear power applications ...

2013-01-02T23:59:59.000Z

425

European battery market  

SciTech Connect

The electric battery industry in Europe is discussed. As in any other part of the world, battery activity in Europe is dependent on people, prosperity, car numbers, and vehicle design. The European battery industry is discussed from the following viewpoints: battery performance, car design, battery production, marketing of batteries, battery life, and technology changes.

1984-02-01T23:59:59.000Z

426

Market Structure Across Retail Formats  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

We study how market structure within a product category varies across retail formats. Building on the literature on internal market structure, we estimate a joint store and brand choice model where the loading matrix of brand attributes are allowed to ... Keywords: brand maps, heterogeniety, market structure, retail formats

Karsten Hansen; Vishal Singh

2009-07-01T23:59:59.000Z

427

Process-Based Cost Modeling to Support Target Value Design  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

Maintaining Activity-based Cost Estimates with Feature-Based2004). “Effective Cost Estimate and Construction Processesof new designs. These cost estimates are inflated by the

Nguyen, Hung Viet

2010-01-01T23:59:59.000Z

428

Hierarchical Modeling for Population-Based Heat Exchanger Design  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

Characteristics of the Stirling Engine Regenerator in anapproach to the design of Stirling engine regenerator matrixFoil Regenerator for Stirling Engines." [48] Ibrahim, M. ,

Geb, David

2013-01-01T23:59:59.000Z

429

Incorporating Hybrid Models into a Framework for Designing ...  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

The initial goal is to create an easy-to-use software system for integrating material, ... A process design technique for the control of microstructure development ...

430

Comparative analysis of market-based health delivery models in rural India  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

The rapid economic growth in India and accompanying demand for improved healthcare, particularly in rural populations, make a compelling case for global pharmaceutical companies to develop new business models to serve these ...

Yap, Nicole

2013-01-01T23:59:59.000Z

431

Efficiency of appliance models on the market before and after DOE standards  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

Models in AHAM Directory Compared to DOE Standards June July2002 2001 standard A d just ed V o lume ( cu.f t . ) LBNL-Compared to1990 DOE Standard March1991 Oct 1987 EER

Meyers, Stephen

2004-01-01T23:59:59.000Z

432

Modeling the Impact of State and Federal Incentives on Concentrating Solar Power Market Penetration  

DOE Green Energy (OSTI)

This paper presents methodology and results from the Regional Energy Deployment System Model (ReEDS) examining the ability of concentrating solar power (CSP), other renewables, and electricity storage to contribute to the U.S. electric sector.

Blair, N.; Short, W.; Mehos, M.

2008-03-01T23:59:59.000Z

433

System for the Analysis of Global Energy Markets - Vol. II, Model Documentation  

Reports and Publications (EIA)

The second volume provides a data implementation guide that lists all naming conventions and model constraints. In addition, Volume 1 has two appendixes that provide a schematic of the SAGE structure and a listing of the source code, respectively.

Barry Kapilow-Cohen

2003-08-01T23:59:59.000Z

434

Using Solar Business Models to Expand the Distributed Wind Market (Presentation)  

DOE Green Energy (OSTI)

This presentation to attendees at Wind Powering America's All-States Summit in Chicago describes business models that were responsible for rapid growth in the solar industry and that may be applicable to the distributed wind industry as well.

Savage, S.

2013-05-01T23:59:59.000Z

435

Design evaluation and optimisation in multiple response nonlinear mixed effect models: PFIM 3.0  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

Nonlinear mixed effect models (NLMEM) with multiple responses are increasingly used in pharmacometrics, one of the main examples being the joint analysis of the pharmacokinetics (PK) and pharmacodynamics (PD) of a drug. Efficient tools for design evaluation ... Keywords: D-optimality, Fisher information matrix, Multiple response models, Nonlinear mixed effect models, Optimal designs, PFIM

Caroline Bazzoli; Sylvie Retout; France Mentré

2010-04-01T23:59:59.000Z

436

Computational modeling and design of actively-cooled microvascular materials Soheil Soghrati a,b  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

were used for the calibration and validation of the 2D IGFEM model. Water was used as the coolantComputational modeling and design of actively-cooled microvascular materials Soheil Soghrati a a c t The computational modeling and design of an actively-cooled microvascular fin specimen

Braun, Paul

437

Forward capacity market CONEfusion  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

In ISO New England and PJM it was assumed that sponsors of new capacity projects would offer them into the newly established forward centralized capacity markets at prices based on their levelized net cost of new entry, or ''Net CONE.'' But the FCCMs have not operated in the way their proponents had expected. To clear up the CONEfusion, FCCM designs should be reconsidered to adapt them to the changing circumstances and to be grounded in realistic expectations of market conduct. (author)

Wilson, James F.

2010-11-15T23:59:59.000Z

438

Comparative review of the Time-stepped Energy System Optimization Model (TESOM) and the IEA Market Allocation Model (MARKAL)  

SciTech Connect

The two principal energy system models used in the National Center for Analysis of Energy Systems at Brookhaven National Laboratory are described and their important differences are contrasted.

Kydes, A.S.

1980-04-01T23:59:59.000Z

439

Model Averaging in Risk Management with an Application to Futures Markets  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

symmetric matrix, a0 is an N(N +1)/2× 1 vector, and A0, B0 are N(N +1)/2×N(N +1)/2 matrices of unknown coefficients. It is evident that even such a low-order model already contains a large number of parameters even for moderate values of N which renders... averaging process and the differences in their forecast error variances can have important implications for the shape of the resulting average model in general and the degree of its fat-tailness, in particular. Therefore, it seems likely that averaging...

Pesaran, M Hashem; Schleicher, C; Zaffaroni, P

440

The Smart Grid, Entry, and Imperfect Competition in Electricity Markets  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

Most US consumers are charged a near-constant retail price for electricity, despite substantial hourly variation in the wholesale market price. The Smart Grid is a set of emerging technologies that will facilitate "real-time pricing " for electricity and increase price elasticity of demand. This paper simulates the e¤ects of this increased demand elasticity using counterfactual simulations in a structural model of the Pennsylvania-Jersey-Maryland electricity market. The model includes a di¤erent approach to the problem of multiple equilibria in multi-unit auctions: I nonparametrically estimate unobservables that rationalize past bidding behavior and use learning algorithms to move from the observed equilibrium counterfactual bid functions. This routine is nested as the second stage of a static entry game that models the Capacity Market, an important element of market design in some restructured electricity markets. There are three central results. First, I …nd that an increase in demand elasticity could actually increase wholesale electricity prices in peak hours, contrary to predictions from short run models, while decreasing Capacity Market prices and total entry. Second, although the increased demand elasticity from the Smart Grid reduces producers’market power, in practice

Hunt Allcott

2010-01-01T23:59:59.000Z

Note: This page contains sample records for the topic "design market models" from the National Library of EnergyBeta (NLEBeta).
While these samples are representative of the content of NLEBeta,
they are not comprehensive nor are they the most current set.
We encourage you to perform a real-time search of NLEBeta
to obtain the most current and comprehensive results.


441

Applying mathematical finance tools to the competitive Nordic electricity market.  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

??This thesis models competitive electricity markets using the methods of mathematical finance. Fundamental problems of finance are market price modelling, derivative pricing, and optimal portfolio… (more)

Vehviläinen, Iivo

2004-01-01T23:59:59.000Z

442

Multi-level assembly model for top-down design of mechanical products  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

To enable next generation CAD tools to effectively support top-down design of products, a top-down assembly design process is refined from the traditional product design process to better exhibit the recursive-execution and structure-evolvement characteristics ... Keywords: Inheritance mechanism, Layout skeleton, Multi-level assembly model, Shape skeleton, Skeleton feature, Skeleton interface, Top-down assembly design, Top-down component design

Xiang Chen; Shuming Gao; Youdong Yang; Shuting Zhang

2012-10-01T23:59:59.000Z

443

An Analysis About Market Efficiency in International Petroleum Markets: Evidence from Three Oil Commodities  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

A modified model for testing market efficiency is presented, with introducing convenience yield and using lagged spot prices to adjust risk premium. Subsequently, an examination about market efficiency in international petroleum markets is given using ... Keywords: Cointegration analysis, Convenience yield, Futures price spot price, International petroleum markets, Market efficiency, Risk premium

Wang Shuping; Li Jianping; Zhang Shulin

2007-05-01T23:59:59.000Z

444

A SURVEY OF COMMODITY MARKETS AND STRUCTURAL MODELS FOR ELECTRICITY PRICES  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

and the methods which have been proposed to handle them in spot and forward price models. We devote special sources, the main production process remains the conversion of fossil fuels like coal, gas and oil. Since and nuclear production as these plants are hardly ever setting the price. In other words, since electricity

Carmona, Rene

445

System for the Analysis of Global Energy Markets - Vol. I, Model Documentation  

Reports and Publications (EIA)

Documents the objectives and the conceptual and methodological approach used in the development of projections for the International Energy Outlook. The first volume of this report describes the SAGE methodology and provides an in-depth explanation of the equations of the model.

Barry Kapilow-Cohen

2003-08-01T23:59:59.000Z

446

Modelling the Stock Market using Twitter M. Sebastian A. WolframTH  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

to predict price trends immediately after the release of the article. He used press release articles rather et al. (Fung et al., 2002) who used pattern recognition methodologies to model stock price trends a major role in affecting the price of a company's stock. In today's information age, news can spread

Koehn, Philipp

447

Cap-and-Trade Modeling and Analysis: Congested Electricity Market Equilibrium  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

biomass nuclear hydro wind renewable geothermal CO2 rate Figure 2.3: Generation mix by firms in the WECC model As aforementioned, the price-prices is summarized as follows. When there is no carbon regulation, the MW Output gas biomass

Limpaitoon, Tanachai

2012-01-01T23:59:59.000Z

448

Coupled 3D hydrodynamic models for submarine outfalls. Denvironmental hydraulic design and control of multiport diffusers.  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

??The book describes the hydraulic design and environmental impact prediction technologies for such installations. Focus are the hydrodynamics approached by computer models. First, a multiport… (more)

Bleninger, Tobias

2007-01-01T23:59:59.000Z

449

Multi-Scale Multi-Dimensional Model for Better Cell Design and Management (Presentation)  

DOE Green Energy (OSTI)

Describes NREL's R&D to develop a multi-scale model to assist in designing better, more reliable lithium-ion battery cells for advanced vehicles.

Kim, G.-H.; Smith, K.

2008-09-01T23:59:59.000Z

450

Development and Application of Advanced Models for Steam Hydrogasification: Process Design and Economic Evaluation.  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

??This thesis is aimed at the process development, design, modeling and optimization of synthetic fuels, power and Substitute Natural Gas (SNG) production from coal and… (more)

Lu, Xiaoming

2012-01-01T23:59:59.000Z

451

Modelling the evolution of uncertainty levels during design  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

the term ‘uncertainty’ to refer to everything that contributes to a lack of definition, lack of knowledge or lack of trust in knowledge. This may differ from colloquial usage of the term but is consistent with much of the literature (e.g., [7,8]). Some... ]. For instance, the fidelity of preliminary aeroengine gas path design can be quantifiably related to the tools used at each step in the design process [30]. Designers can thus assess the accuracy of their performance estimates with respect to the values...

Wynn, David C; Grebici, Khadidja; Clarkson, P John

2011-08-19T23:59:59.000Z

452

Data dictionary design with an artificial intelligence model  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

The implementation of an artificial intelligence model using a commercially available system, the IBM data dictionary, is described. The model is supporting knowledge bases built at the medical college for production purposes. 12 references.

Sturdza, P.

1983-01-01T23:59:59.000Z

453

MARKET BASED APPROACHES  

NLE Websites -- All DOE Office Websites (Extended Search)

BASED BASED APPROACHES K.G. DULEEP MANAGING DIRECTOR EEA BACKGROUND * Introduction of fuel-cell vehicles and jump- starting the market will require significant government actions in the near term * Widespread understanding that command- and-control regulations can work for only very low sales volume. * Increased public sales and acceptance will need development of market based policies. ANALYSIS OBJECTIVES * EEA currently evaluating a number of market based approaches to enhancing fuel economy of conventional and hybrid vehicles. * Primary objective of effort is to evaluate a range of market based approaches that can be implemented when FCV models are market ready, and identify ones that could make a difference. * Effort is in the context of modifying existing approaches to special needs of FCVs

454

Electricity Market Module  

U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) Indexed Site

Market Module Market Module This page inTenTionally lefT blank 101 U.S. Energy Information Administration | Assumptions to the Annual Energy Outlook 2013 Electricity Market Module The NEMS Electricity Market Module (EMM) represents the capacity planning, dispatching, and pricing of electricity. It is composed of four submodules-electricity capacity planning, electricity fuel dispatching, electricity load and demand, and electricity finance and pricing. It includes nonutility capacity and generation, and electricity transmission and trade. A detailed description of the EMM is provided in the EIA publication, Electricity Market Module of the National Energy Modeling System 2013, DOE/EIA-M068(2013). Based on fuel prices and electricity demands provided by the other modules of the NEMS, the EMM determines the most

455

Proposed insurance and reserve management scheme for Singapore electricity market.  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

??The objective of the research is to improve the market design in the Singapore Electricity Market. There are three aspects that this thesis tries to… (more)

Xia, Linmin.

2008-01-01T23:59:59.000Z

456

Evaluation framework for the design of an engineering model  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

According to both cybernetics and general system theory, a subject develops and uses an adequate model of a system to widen his/her knowledge about the system. Models are then the interface between a subject and a real-world system to solve ... Keywords: Cybernetics, Evaluation Criteria, Knowledge Evaluation, Model Evaluation

Walid Ben ahmed; Mounib Mekhilef; Bernard Yannou; Michel Bigand

2010-02-01T23:59:59.000Z

457

First Principles Modeling for Research and Design of New Materials  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

First principles computation can be used to investigate an design materials in ways that can not be achieved with experimental means. We show how computations can be used to rapidly capture the essential physics that ...

Ceder, Gerbrand

458

A Water Vapor-Energy Balance Model Designed for Sensitivity Testing of Climatic Feedback Processes  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

A zonal mean water vapor-energy balance (WEB) model is formulated to assess feedback interactions of the hydrologic cycle and lapse rate with the radiative fluxes, snow-dependent albedo and transport mechanisms. The WEB model is designed for ...

Robert G. Gallimore

1983-01-01T23:59:59.000Z

459

Designing of integrated system-dynamics models for an oil company  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

This paper presents a new approach to designing integrated simulation models for large corporations. This approach is based on the use of system-dynamics methods for implementing models of segments of the vertically integrated company taking into account ...

Andranik S. Akopov

2012-12-01T23:59:59.000Z

460

SARA (System ARchitects Apprentice): Modeling, analysis, and simulation support for design of concurrent systems  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

An environment to support designers in the modeling, analysis and simulation of concurrent systems is described. It is shown how a fully nested structure model supports multilevel design and focuses attention on the interfaces between the modules which serve to encapsulate behavior. Using simple examples the paper indicates how a formal graph model can be used to model behavior in three domains: control flow, data flow, and interpretation. The effectiveness of the explicity environment model in SARA is discussed and the capability to analyze correctness and evaluate performance of a system model are demonstrated. A description of the integral help designed into SARA shows how the designer can be offered consistent use of any new tool introduced to support the design process.

Estrin, G.; Fenchel, R.S.; Razouk, R.R.; Vernon, M.K.

1986-02-01T23:59:59.000Z

Note: This page contains sample records for the topic "design market models" from the National Library of EnergyBeta (NLEBeta).
While these samples are representative of the content of NLEBeta,
they are not comprehensive nor are they the most current set.
We encourage you to perform a real-time search of NLEBeta
to obtain the most current and comprehensive results.


461

An Integrated Electric Power Supply Chain and Fuel Market Network Framework: Theoretical Modeling with Empirical Analysis for New England  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

with fuel supply markets that captures both the economic network transactions in energy supply chains markets to quantify the interactions in electric power/energy supply chains and their effects on flows% of domestic primary energy [17, 18]. Currently, the electric power industry in the US is undergoing

Nagurney, Anna

462

System Design, Analysis, Modeling, and Media Engineering Properties...  

NLE Websites -- All DOE Office Websites (Extended Search)

modeling and simulations of * various storage systems configurations. Lead the storage system energy analysis and provide * results. Compile and obtain media engineering...

463

Evaluation of Generic EBS Design Concepts and Process Models...  

Energy.gov (U.S. Department of Energy (DOE)) Indexed Site

temperatures and pressures; 4) thermodynamic modeling and database development; 5) Molecular Dynamics (MD) study of clay hydration at ambient and elevated temperatures; and 6)...

464

Power Marketing  

NLE Websites -- All DOE Office Websites (Extended Search)

Remarketing Effort Hoover Coordinating Committee Meeting FY2011 - June 7 Mead Transformer Presentation Navajo Navajo Surplus Marketing Parker-Davis Parker-Davis Project...

465

Power Marketing  

NLE Websites -- All DOE Office Websites (Extended Search)

Certificate Solicitations Benefit Review Energy Services Rates and Repayment WindHydro Integration Feasibility Study Send correspondence to: Power Marketing Manager Western...

466

Market Transformation  

Fuel Cell Technologies Publication and Product Library (EERE)

This Fuel Cell Technologies Program fact sheet outlines current status and challenges in the market transformation of hydrogen and fuel cell technologies.

467

Behavioral design to model a reactive decision of an expert in geothermal wells  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

Software design based on agents represents a new perspective for computer science and more specifically, for Artificial Intelligence. It is a new theory that has innovated the analysis, design and implementation of system software. The design of agents ... Keywords: Artificial Intelligence, Autonomous action, Behavioral analysis, Cognitive models, Geothermal wells, Inverse problem, Multi-agent architecture, Reactive agents, Subjective domain, Temperature formation

Ana Lilia Laureano-Cruces; Gilberto Espinosa-Paredes

2005-04-01T23:59:59.000Z

468

Student Task Modeling in Design and Evaluation of Open Problem-Solving Environments  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

Design and evaluation of computer-based open problem solving environments is a non-trivial task. Definition of a design framework, which involves a strong field-evaluation phase, has been the subject of the research described in this paper. This framework ... Keywords: open problem solving educational environments, student task model, task analysis, usability evaluation, user interface design

Nikolaos K. Tselios; Nikolaos M. Avouris; Maria Kordaki

2002-03-01T23:59:59.000Z

469

An efficient design pattern algorithm for the environmental and hydrologic/hydraulic ubiquitous model developments  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

In this paper, we propose an efficient design pattern algorithm for the environmental and hydrologic/hydraulic ubiquitous model developments which specifies pattern names for retrieving, exploring the adapted patterns on the stage of design without pattern ... Keywords: composite design pattern, environmental, hydrologic/hydraulic, pattern, pattern names

Hyung Moo Kim; Jae Soo Yoo

2009-08-01T23:59:59.000Z

470

WUFI COMPUTER MODELING WORKSHOP FOR WALL DESIGN AND PERFORMANCE  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

from rain, solar radiation and other crucial weather events on an hourly basis. Both vapor and liquid sophisticated modeling software that gives you heat and moisture data and uses weather data files from all over of multi- layer building walls exposed to natural weather. The WUFI series models can handle contributions

Oak Ridge National Laboratory

471

Development of discrete event system specification (DEVS) building performance models for building energy design  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

The discrete event system specification (DEVS) is a formalism for describing simulation models in a modular fashion. In this study, it is exploited by forming submodels that allow different professions involved in the building design process to work ... Keywords: DEVS, energy simulation in building design, modular BPS, stochastic occupant models

Huseyin Burak Gunay; Liam O'Brien; Rhys Goldstein; Simon Breslav; Azam Khan

2013-04-01T23:59:59.000Z

472

Microstructural Modeling and Design of Rechargeable Lithium-Ion Batteries  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

. The cathode architectures and materials have a large influence on the performance of lithium-ion batteries battery design. The cathode of a lithium-ion battery is a large contributor to its overall performance power density and energy density of lithium-ion batteries. 1.3 Basic Ideal Cathode Structure

GarcĂ­a, R. Edwin

473

WUFI COMPUTER MODELING WORKSHOP FOR WALL DESIGN AND PERFORMANCE  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

on your laptop so that you can load the software. · You will be walked through every aspect standard, for building envelope design and wall analysis. See how to use WUFI® in conjunction with ASHRAE, to ensure personalized attention. · You will receive a copy of WUFI® software; the US Department of Energy

Oak Ridge National Laboratory

474

Simplified two layer model substation ground grid design methodology  

SciTech Connect

This paper presents a simplified approach to the design of substation ground grids in non-uniform soil conditions. The procedure is based on the interpretation of principles enunciated in the IEEE Standard 80-1986, with the supporting data having been obtained from actual field tests on substation ground grids.

Lazzara, J.; Barbeito, N. (Florida Power Corp., St. Petersburg, FL (USA))

1990-10-01T23:59:59.000Z

475

Electricity Market Module  

Reports and Publications (EIA)

Documents the Electricity Market Module as it was used for the Annual Energy Outlook 2013. The Electricity Market Module (EMM) is the electricity supply component of the National Energy Modeling System (NEMS). The EMM represents the generation, transmission, and pricing of electricity. It consists of four submodules: the Electricity Capacity Planning (ECP) Submodule, the Electricity Fuel Dispatch (EFD) Submodule, the Electricity Finance and Pricing (EFP) Submodule, and the Electricity Load and Demand (ELD) Submodule.

Jeff Jones

2013-07-24T23:59:59.000Z

476

Modeling of GE Appliances: Cost Benefit Study of Smart Appliances in Wholesale Energy, Frequency Regulation, and Spinning Reserve Markets  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

This report is the second in a series of three reports describing the potential of GE’s DR-enabled appliances to provide benefits to the utility grid. The first report described the modeling methodology used to represent the GE appliances in the GridLAB-D simulation environment and the estimated potential for peak demand reduction at various deployment levels. The third report will explore the technical capability of aggregated group actions to positively impact grid stability, including frequency and voltage regulation and spinning reserves, and the impacts on distribution feeder voltage regulation, including mitigation of fluctuations caused by high penetration of photovoltaic distributed generation. In this report, a series of analytical methods were presented to estimate the potential cost benefit of smart appliances while utilizing demand response. Previous work estimated the potential technical benefit (i.e., peak reduction) of smart appliances, while this report focuses on the monetary value of that participation. The effects on wholesale energy cost and possible additional revenue available by participating in frequency regulation and spinning reserve markets were explored.

Fuller, Jason C.; Parker, Graham B.

2012-12-31T23:59:59.000Z

477

Internet market strategies: Antecedents and implications  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

The Web is a new market channel that has become a serious alternative to traditional channels. At present, there is little strategy analysis available to guide a company's decision about its involvement in the internet market. In this paper, we differentiate ... Keywords: Creative pricing policies, IMS model, Internet competition, Internet market, Mixed strategy, Pure strategy, Resource-based theory, Traditional markets

Jaeki Song; Fatemeh Mariam Zahedi

2006-03-01T23:59:59.000Z

478

Process-Based Cost Modeling to Support Target Value Design  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

elemental analysis (cost-per-square-foot) are referred to asTraditional’ models (cost per square foot, elementalunit costs per an area unit (i.e. , $/Square Foot) or per a

Nguyen, Hung Viet

2010-01-01T23:59:59.000Z

479

Designing a unified programming model for heterogeneous machines  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

While high-efficiency machines are increasingly embracing heterogeneous architectures and massive multithreading, contemporary mainstream programming languages reflect a mental model in which processing elements are homogeneous, concurrency is limited, ...

Michael Garland; Manjunath Kudlur; Yili Zheng

2012-11-01T23:59:59.000Z

480

Competitive Microgrid Electricity Market Design.  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

??The electric power grid forms the foundation for several other critical infrastructures of national importance such as public health, transportation and telecommunication systems, to thrive.… (more)

Krovvidi, Sai S

2010-01-01T23:59:59.000Z

Note: This page contains sample records for the topic "design market models" from the National Library of EnergyBeta (NLEBeta).
While these samples are representative of the content of NLEBeta,
they are not comprehensive nor are they the most current set.
We encourage you to perform a real-time search of NLEBeta
to obtain the most current and comprehensive results.


481

UV Curable Coatings -- Marketing Kit  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

Ultra violet (UV) curable coatings are being successfully applied to electric motors, metal shafts, cell phones, printing, plastic packaging, and wood laminates. Demand is expected to expand to an even greater number of end products as issues related to environmental well-being, finish quality, cost reductions, and manufacturing efficiencies drive this market. This UV Curable Coatings-Marketing Kit is designed to help utility sales and marketing personnel present UV curable coating opportunities to custo...

2000-07-27T23:59:59.000Z

482

Towards Integrated Design and Modeling of High Field Accelerator Magnets  

SciTech Connect

The next generation of superconducting accelerator magnets will most likely use a brittle conductor (such as Nb{sub 3}Sn), generate fields around 18 T, handle forces that are 3-4 times higher than in the present LHC dipoles, and store energy that starts to make accelerator magnets look like fusion magnets. To meet the challenge and reduce the complexity, magnet design will have to be more innovative and better integrated. The recent design of several high field superconducting magnets have now benefited from the integration between CAD (e.g. ProE), magnetic analysis tools (e.g. TOSCA) and structural analysis tools (e.g. ANSYS). Not only it is now possible to address complex issues such as stress in magnet ends, but the analysis can be better detailed an extended into new areas previously too difficult to address. Integrated thermal, electrical and structural analysis can be followed from assembly and cool-down through excitation and quench propagation. In this paper we report on the integrated design approach, discuss analysis results and point out areas of future interest.

Caspi, S.; Ferracin, P.

2006-06-01T23:59:59.000Z

483

Final Report - Advanced Hydraulic and Mass Transfer Models for Distillation Column Optimization and Design  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

The project successfully developed a computational fluid dynamics (CFD) based simulation of the hydrodynamics of flow in a commercial structured packing element. This result fulfilled the prime objective of the research program. The simulation utilized commercial CFD code marketed by Fluent Inc. in combination with a novel graphical interface developed by Oak Ridge National Lab. The end product will allow the design of next generation column internals without the need for extensive experimental validation and will expand the fundamental understanding of the vapor-liquid contacting process.

Eldridge, Robert, B.

2005-10-13T23:59:59.000Z

484

Market theories evolve, and so do markets  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

Study of Competitive Market Behavior," Journal of PoliticalContinuous Double Auction Markets. International Journal ofeds. ), The Dynamics of Market Exchange, North-Holland, 115-

Friedman, Daniel

2007-01-01T23:59:59.000Z

485

Improving Battery Design with Electro-Thermal Modeling  

DOE Green Energy (OSTI)

Operating temperature greatly affects the performance and life of batteries in electric and hybrid vehicles. Increased attention is necessary to battery thermal management. Electrochemical models and finite element analysis tools are available for predicting the thermal performance of batteries, but each has limitations. In this study we describe an electro-thermal finite element approach that predicts the thermal performance of a cell or module with realistic geometry. To illustrate the process, we simulated the thermal performance of two generations of Panasonic prismatic nickel-metal-hydride modules used in the Toyota Prius. The model showed why the new generation of Panasonic modules had better thermal performance. Thermal images from two battery modules under constant current discharge indicate that the model predicts the experimental trend reasonably well.

Bharathan, D.; Pesaran, A.; Vlahinos, A.; Kim, G.-H.

2005-01-01T23:59:59.000Z

486

Orphan drugs : future viability of current forecasting models, in light of impending changes to influential market factors  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

Interviews were conducted to establish a baseline for how orphan drug forecasting is currently undertaken by financial market and industry analysts with the intention of understanding the variables typically accounted for ...

Gottlieb, Joshua

2011-01-01T23:59:59.000Z

487

Conceptual design of an integrated technology model for carbon policy assessment.  

SciTech Connect

This report describes the conceptual design of a technology choice model for understanding strategies to reduce carbon intensity in the electricity sector. The report considers the major modeling issues affecting technology policy assessment and defines an implementable model construct. Further, the report delineates the basis causal structure of such a model and attempts to establish the technical/algorithmic viability of pursuing model development along with the associated analyses.

Backus, George A.; Dimotakes, Paul E. (NASA Jet Propulsion Laboratory, Pasadena, CA)

2011-01-01T23:59:59.000Z

488

WUFI COMPUTER MODELING WORKSHOP FOR WALL DESIGN AND PERFORMANCE  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

from rain, solar radiation and other crucial weather events on an hourly basis. Both vapor and liquid of multi- layer building walls exposed to natural weather. The WUFI series models can handle contributions and is free of charge. WUFI ORNL/IBP comes complete with weather data for scores of North-American cities

Oak Ridge National Laboratory

489

WUFI COMPUTER MODELING WORKSHOP FOR WALL DESIGN AND PERFORMANCE  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

from rain, solar radiation and other crucial weather events on an hourly basis. Both vapor and liquid and uses weather data files from all over the country. The software includes analysis to predict mold. Dr of multi- layer building walls exposed to natural weather. The WUFI series models can handle contributions

Oak Ridge National Laboratory

490

Design Ensemble Machine Learning Model for Breast Cancer Diagnosis  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

In this paper, we classify the breast cancer of medical diagnostic data. Information gain has been adapted for feature selections. Neural fuzzy (NF), k-nearest neighbor (KNN), quadratic classifier (QC), each single model scheme as well as their associated, ... Keywords: Ensemble learning, Information gain, KNN, Neural fuzzy, Quadratic classifier

Sheau-Ling Hsieh; Sung-Huai Hsieh; Po-Hsun Cheng; Chi-Huang Chen; Kai-Ping Hsu; I-Shun Lee; Zhenyu Wang; Feipei Lai

2012-10-01T23:59:59.000Z

491

e-government procurement observatory model, design and pilot testing  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

Establishing the maturity level of public procurement portals is useful, as it allows the members of any government procurement network to identify those areas for joint action and it fosters knowledge-sharing among the governments in Latin American ... Keywords: e-procurement, maturity model, measurement, observatory

Gaston Concha; Miguel Porrúa; Carlos Pimenta

2010-10-01T23:59:59.000Z

492

Foundation Heat Exchanger Model and Design Tool Development and Validation  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

. Feasibility of foundation heat exchangers in ground source heat pump systems in the United States. ASHRAE systems, with an estimated 1.7 million installed units with total installed heating capacity on the order Heat Exchangers for Residential Ground Source Heat Pump Systems - Numerical Modeling and Experimental

493

High-level open evolvable systems design by process-oriented modeling: application to DNA replication mechanism  

Science Conference Proceedings (OSTI)

Open Evolvable Systems' design requires a methodological [1] and conceptual paradigm different from the conventional software design. Evolvable Systems' research [2, 6, 16, and 17] has established itself as a new research field, but the content is more ... Keywords: abstractions, design, design patterns, evolvable systems, framework, method, methodologies, modeling, process-oriented modeling, requirements analysis, requirements and architecture modeling, software engineering, specification

Behzad Bastani; Hoda Bastani

2007-11-01T23:59:59.000Z

494

The Distributional and Environmental Effects of Time-Varying Prices in Competitive Electricity Markets  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

New Jersey and Maryland (PJM) electricity market. Consistentelectricity market known as PJM by constructing a simulationWe apply the model to the PJM electricity market, which

Holland, Stephen P.; MANSUR, ERIN T

2005-01-01T23:59:59.000Z

495

The Household Market for Electric Vehicles: Testing the Hybrid Household Hypothesis--A Reflively Designed Survey of New-car-buying, Multi-vehicle California Households  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

HOW MANY HYBRID HOUSEHOLDS IN THE CALIFORNIA NEW CAR MARKET?average 2.43 cars per household, then the hybrid householdnumber of multi-car households that fit our hybrid household

Turrentine, Thomas; Kurani, Kenneth

1995-01-01T23:59:59.000Z

496

The Household Market for Electric Vehicles: Testing the Hybrid Household Hypothesis -- A Reflexively Designed Survey of New-Car-Buying Multi-Vehicle California Households  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

and the demand electric vehicles", Transportation ResearchA,Critical Review Electric Vehicle MarketStudies", ReleasableR. (1993) Report of the Electric Vehicle at-HomeRefi~ehng

Turrentine, Thomas; Kurani, Kenneth S.

2001-01-01T23:59:59.000Z

497

The Household Market for Electric Vehicles: Testing the Hybrid Household Hypothesis--A Reflively Designed Survey of New-car-buying, Multi-vehicle California Households  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

a sidebar to a longer article on electric vehicles. ) Cogan,R. Electric vehicles: Powerplay on the auto circuit. MotorA Critical Review of Electric Vehicle Market Studies",

Turrentine, Thomas; Kurani, Kenneth

1995-01-01T23:59:59.000Z

498

Improving Battery Design with Electro-Thermal Modeling  

DOE Green Energy (OSTI)

Temperature greatly affects the performance and life of batteries in electric and hybrid vehicles under real driving conditions, so increased attention is being paid to battery thermal management. Sophisticated electrochemical models and finite element analysis tools are available for predicting the thermal performance of batteries, but each has limitations. In this study we describe an electro-thermal finite element approach that predicts the thermal performance of a cell or module with realistic geometry, material properties, loads, and boundary conditions.

Pesaran, A.; Vlahinos, A.; Bharathan, D.; Kim, G.-H.; Duong, T.

2005-08-01T23:59:59.000Z

499

Electro-Thermal Modeling to Improve Battery Design: Preprint  

DOE Green Energy (OSTI)

Operating temperature greatly affects the performance and life of batteries in electric and hybrid electric vehicles (HEVs). Increased attention is necessary to battery thermal management. Electrochemical models and finite element analysis tools are available for predicting the thermal performance of batteries, but each has limitations. This study describes an electro-thermal finite element approach that predicts the thermal performance of a battery cell or module with realistic geometry.

Bharathan, D.; Pesaran, A.; Kim, G.; Vlahinos, A.

2005-09-01T23:59:59.000Z

500

Virtual Design and Modeling of Various Manufacturing Processes for Remote . . .  

E-Print Network (OSTI)

As currently envisioned, over 70,000 tons of high-level nuclear waste would be stored inside the planned Yucca Mountain repository. After emplacement, the site must be maintained and guarded for over 10,000 years. The reprocessing of spent nuclear fuel is a possible alternative to geological storage. Here, depleted Uranium would be separated from Plutonium and Minor Actinides. While Plutonium can be ‘burned ’ in commercial nuclear reactors, the minor actinides would be transmuted into other elements. The large-scale deployment of remote fabrication and refabrication processes (approx. 100 tons of Minor Actinides (MA) annually) will be required. Process automation has the potential to decrease the cost of remote fuel fabrication and to make transmutation a more economically viable process. Reprocessing and transmutation would reduce the high-level waste volume by over 99%, and reduce the lifetime of the repository to approximately 300 years. The objective of this thesis is the virtual design and simulation of manufacturing

Jamil Mohamad Renno

2005-01-01T23:59:59.000Z