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Summary: ESG2006, Grenoble, 30/08-01/09/2006
1
Third International Symposium on the Effects of Surface Geology on Seismic Motion
Grenoble, France, 30 August - 1 September 2006
Paper Number: xxx
FRONTIERS IN SOURCE MODELING FOR NEAR-SOURCE
GROUND- MOTION PREDICTION
P. Martin Mai
1
, J. Ripperger
1
, J.-P. Ampuero1
, and G. Hillers
2
1 Institute of Geophysics, ETH Zurich, 8093 Zurich, Switzerland
2 Institute for Crustal Studies, University of California, Santa Barbara, CA 93106-9630
ABSTRACT Accurate prediction of the intensity and variability of strong ground motions
for future large earthquakes depends on our ability to simulate realistic earthquake source
models. While there has been considerable progress in characterizing the complexity of
earthquake ruptures, recent devastating earthquakes have exhibited rather unexpected
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