 
Summary: An Introduction to Rational Choice Theory
CMU Summer School in Logic and Formal Epistemology
Monday, June 6 to Friday, June 10
Instructor: Teddy Seidenfeld (teddy@stat.cmu.edu) 135J Baker Hall
Teaching Assistant: Hailin Liu (hailinl@andrew.cmu.edu)
Tentative Schedule of Topics
Monday, June 6: Some basic results on uncertainty and value.
1. De Finetti's "Book" argument and personal probability
2. von NeumannMorgenstern's Expected Utility Theory
Tuesday, June 7: Some basic results relating to Game Theory
3. Security: Minimax and Minimax Regret Theories
4. von Neumann's Miminax Theory and Nash Equilibrium Theory
Wednesday, June 8: On Expert Opinions
5. Scoring Rules: Proper and Improper
6. Pooling Expert Opinions: Consensus, Pareto Agreements, and Learning
Thursday, June 9: Voting Theory and Social Choice
7. Majority Rule, Borda Counts, and Strategic Voting
8. Arrow's Impossibility and some other related results
Friday, June 10: An Introduction to Imprecise Probabilities
9. Upper and Lower Probabilities and some related decision rules.
