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Global Environmental Change 15 (2005) 151163 The determinants of vulnerability and adaptive capacity at the
 

Summary: Global Environmental Change 15 (2005) 151163
The determinants of vulnerability and adaptive capacity at the
national level and the implications for adaptation
Nick Brooksa,, W. Neil Adgera,b
, P. Mick Kellyc
a
Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research, University of East Anglia, Norwich NR4 7TJ, UK
b
CSERGE, University of East Anglia, Norwich NR4 7TJ, UK
c
Climatic Research Unit, University of East Anglia, Norwich NR4 7TJ, UK
Accepted 8 December 2004
Abstract
We present a set of indicators of vulnerability and capacity to adapt to climate variability, and by extension climate change,
derived using a novel empirical analysis of data aggregated at the national level on a decadal timescale. The analysis is based on a
conceptual framework in which risk is viewed in terms of outcome, and is a function of physically defined climate hazards and
socially constructed vulnerability. Climate outcomes are represented by mortality from climate-related disasters, using the
emergency events database data set, statistical relationships between mortality and a shortlist of potential proxies for vulnerability
are used to identify key vulnerability indicators. We find that 11 key indicators exhibit a strong relationship with decadally
aggregated mortality associated with climate-related disasters. Validation of indicators, relationships between vulnerability and

  

Source: Adger, Neil - School of Environmental Sciences, University of East Anglia
Kelly, Mick - Climatic Research Unit, School of Environmental Sciences, University of East Anglia

 

Collections: Environmental Sciences and Ecology; Geosciences