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A new statistical framework for analysing multi-model ensembles
 

Summary: A new statistical framework for analysing
multi-model ensembles
Jonathan Rougier, University of Bristol
Michael Goldstein, University of Durham
Leanna House, Virginia Tech
http://www.maths.bris.ac.uk/mazjcr/
Gothenburg, IMS 2010
Two factorisations
Xj
j = 1, . . . , m
Y
OO
// Z
Standard approach (e.g. Smith et
al, 2009, JASA)
Xj
= model j; Y = actual climate; Z = climate observations.
-50 -45 -40 -35 -30 -25 -20 -15 -10 -5 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35
HadCM3, DJF atmospheric temperature, 1980-1999
Two factorisations

  

Source: Applebaum, David - Department of Probability and Statistics, University of Sheffield

 

Collections: Mathematics