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University of Regina Department of Mathematics and Statistics

University of Regina
Department of Mathematics and Statistics
Speaker: Peter Douglas (University of Regina)
Title: Impact of the Recession on Long-Term Disability
Time & Place: Friday, October 16, 3:30 - 4:30 pm, CL 435
At the Annual Meeting of the CIA in June, I was part of a panel (see the
description below*) discussing the impact of the economic downturn on dis-
ability insurance experience. My part of the talk included some regression
analysis using the data available. The presentation was so popular that the
CIA asked us back to repeat it at the next meeting in November. I'll cover
my results from our talk and provide some background to provide context
for non-actuaries. The study results highlight some interesting data issues
that would apply to many statistical studies.
*How deep might the current recession get, and what impact might we
expect in terms of LTD experience trends in the coming months? To an-
swer this question, our panelists Peter B. Douglas, Ken Fraser and Jeffrey
L. Schuh will explore: the evolution of the current recession; the historical
connection between recession and LTD experience; US experience as a lead-


Source: Argerami, Martin - Department of Mathematics and Statistics, University of Regina


Collections: Mathematics