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Title: Global climate changes at forecast by Goddard Institute for Space studies three-dimensional model

Abstract

We use a three-dimensional climate model, the Goddard Institute for Space Studies (GISS) model II with 8/sup 0/ by 10/sup 0/ horizontal resolution, to simulate the global climate effects of time-dependent variations at atmospheric trace gases and aerosols. Horizontal heat transport by the ocean is fixed at values estimated for today's climate, and the uptake of heat perturbations by the ocean beneath the mixed layer is approximated as vertical diffusion. We make a 100-year control run and perform experiments for three scenarios of atmospheric composition. These experiments begin in 1958 and include measured or estimated changes in atmospheric CO/sub 2/, CH/sub 4/, N/sub 2/O, chlorofluorocarbons (CFCs) and stratospheric aerosols for the period from 1958 to the present. Scenario A assumes continued exponential trace gas growth, scenario B assumes a reduced linear growth of trace gases, and scenario C assumes a rapid curtailment of trace gas emissions such that the net climate forcing ceases to increase after the year 2000.

Authors:
; ; ; ; ; ; ;
Publication Date:
Research Org.:
NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, Goddard Institute for Space Studies, New York
OSTI Identifier:
6927036
Resource Type:
Journal Article
Journal Name:
J. Geophys. Res.; (United States)
Additional Journal Information:
Journal Volume: 93:D8
Country of Publication:
United States
Language:
English
Subject:
54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES; CLIMATE MODELS; FORECASTING; GREENHOUSE EFFECT; AMBIENT TEMPERATURE; ATMOSPHERIC CIRCULATION; CARBON DIOXIDE; CLIMATES; GENERAL CIRCULATION MODELS; METHANE; NITROUS OXIDE; PARTICULATES; ALKANES; CARBON COMPOUNDS; CARBON OXIDES; CHALCOGENIDES; HYDROCARBONS; MATHEMATICAL MODELS; NITROGEN COMPOUNDS; NITROGEN OXIDES; ORGANIC COMPOUNDS; OXIDES; OXYGEN COMPOUNDS; PARTICLES; 500100* - Environment, Atmospheric- Basic Studies- (-1989)

Citation Formats

Hansen, J, Fung, I, Lacis, A, Rind, D, Lebedeff, S, Ruedy, R, Russell, G, and Stone, P. Global climate changes at forecast by Goddard Institute for Space studies three-dimensional model. United States: N. p., 1988. Web. doi:10.1029/JD093iD08p09341.
Hansen, J, Fung, I, Lacis, A, Rind, D, Lebedeff, S, Ruedy, R, Russell, G, & Stone, P. Global climate changes at forecast by Goddard Institute for Space studies three-dimensional model. United States. https://doi.org/10.1029/JD093iD08p09341
Hansen, J, Fung, I, Lacis, A, Rind, D, Lebedeff, S, Ruedy, R, Russell, G, and Stone, P. 1988. "Global climate changes at forecast by Goddard Institute for Space studies three-dimensional model". United States. https://doi.org/10.1029/JD093iD08p09341.
@article{osti_6927036,
title = {Global climate changes at forecast by Goddard Institute for Space studies three-dimensional model},
author = {Hansen, J and Fung, I and Lacis, A and Rind, D and Lebedeff, S and Ruedy, R and Russell, G and Stone, P},
abstractNote = {We use a three-dimensional climate model, the Goddard Institute for Space Studies (GISS) model II with 8/sup 0/ by 10/sup 0/ horizontal resolution, to simulate the global climate effects of time-dependent variations at atmospheric trace gases and aerosols. Horizontal heat transport by the ocean is fixed at values estimated for today's climate, and the uptake of heat perturbations by the ocean beneath the mixed layer is approximated as vertical diffusion. We make a 100-year control run and perform experiments for three scenarios of atmospheric composition. These experiments begin in 1958 and include measured or estimated changes in atmospheric CO/sub 2/, CH/sub 4/, N/sub 2/O, chlorofluorocarbons (CFCs) and stratospheric aerosols for the period from 1958 to the present. Scenario A assumes continued exponential trace gas growth, scenario B assumes a reduced linear growth of trace gases, and scenario C assumes a rapid curtailment of trace gas emissions such that the net climate forcing ceases to increase after the year 2000.},
doi = {10.1029/JD093iD08p09341},
url = {https://www.osti.gov/biblio/6927036}, journal = {J. Geophys. Res.; (United States)},
number = ,
volume = 93:D8,
place = {United States},
year = {Sat Aug 20 00:00:00 EDT 1988},
month = {Sat Aug 20 00:00:00 EDT 1988}
}