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This paper discusses the results of an indepth interview survey of experts, both social and natural scientists, about estimates of the economic impact of potential greenhouse warming. The range of estimate impacts was enormous as was the difference between disciplines, particularly mainstream economists and natural scientists. The nineteen survey participants and their affiliations are listed. The general areas discussed in the paper include the following: survey development; estimation of subjective probabilities; description of different scenarios presented; discussion of pertinent answers and general trends in answers including influence of point of view; magnitude of problem; ecosystems; secondary effects; ability to adapt; regional distribution of impacts; nonmarket effects; limits to understanding. 7 figs.
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| Authors: |
Nordhaus, W.D. (Yale Univ., New Haven, CT (United States))
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| OSTI Identifier: | 5458592 |
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| Resource Type: | Journal Article |
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| Resource Relation: | Journal Name: American Scientist; (United States); Journal Volume: 82:1 |
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| Country of Publication: | United States |
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| Language: | English |
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| Format: | Size: Pages: 45-51 |
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| Other Number(s): | Journal ID: ISSN 0003-0996; CODEN: AMSCAC |
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| Subject: | 29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY AND ECONOMY; 63 RADIATION, THERMAL, AND OTHER ENVIRON. POLLUTANT EFFECTS ON LIVING ORGS. AND BIOL. MAT.; CLIMATIC CHANGE; ECONOMIC IMPACT; SOCIAL IMPACT; GREENHOUSE EFFECT; GLOBAL ASPECTS; PUBLIC OPINION; BIOLOGICAL EFFECTS; SURVEYS |
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| Update Date: | 2009 Dec 16 |
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