Probabilistic accident consequence uncertainty analysis -- Early health effects uncertainty assessment. Volume 2: Appendices

Technical Report · Mon Dec 01 00:00:00 EST 1997

DOI:https://doi.org/10.2172/291011· OSTI ID:291011

Haskin, F E ^[1]; Harper, F T ^[2]; Goossens, L H.J.; Kraan, B C.P. ^[3]

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1. Univ. of New Mexico, Albuquerque, NM (United States)
2. Sandia National Labs., Albuquerque, NM (United States)
3. Delft Univ. of Technology (Netherlands)

The development of two new probabilistic accident consequence codes, MACCS and COSYMA, was completed in 1990. These codes estimate the consequence from the accidental releases of radiological material from hypothesized accidents at nuclear installations. In 1991, the US Nuclear Regulatory Commission and the Commission of the European Communities began cosponsoring a joint uncertainty analysis of the two codes. The ultimate objective of this joint effort was to systematically develop credible and traceable uncertainty distributions for the respective code input variables. A formal expert judgment elicitation and evaluation process was identified as the best technology available for developing a library of uncertainty distributions for these consequence parameters. This report focuses on the results of the study to develop distribution for variables related to the MACCS and COSYMA early health effects models. This volume contains appendices that include (1) a summary of the MACCS and COSYMA consequence codes, (2) the elicitation questionnaires and case structures, (3) the rationales and results for the panel on early health effects, (4) short biographies of the experts, and (5) the aggregated results of their responses.

• Research Organization: Nuclear Regulatory Commission, Div. of Systems Technology, Washington, DC (United States); Commission of the European Communities, Brussels (Belgium); Univ. of New Mexico, Albuquerque, NM (United States); Sandia National Lab. (SNL-NM), Albuquerque, NM (United States); Delft Univ. of Technology (Netherlands)
• Sponsoring Organization: Nuclear Regulatory Commission, Washington, DC (United States)
• DOE Contract Number: AC04-94AL85000
• OSTI ID: 291011
• Report Number(s): NUREG/CR-6545-Vol.2-App.; EUR-16775-Vol.2-App.; SAND-97-2689-Vol.2-App.; ON: TI99001177; IN: CG-NA-16-775-EN-C; TRN: AHC29901%%216
• Resource Relation: Other Information: PBD: Dec 1997
• Country of Publication: United States
• Language: English

Related Subjects

22 NUCLEAR REACTOR TECHNOLOGY
56 BIOLOGY AND MEDICINE
APPLIED STUDIES
99 MATHEMATICS
COMPUTERS
INFORMATION SCIENCE
MANAGEMENT
LAW
MISCELLANEOUS
M CODES
C CODES
DOSIMETRY
RADIATION DOSES
PROBABILITY
REACTOR ACCIDENTS
NUCLEAR POWER PLANTS
NUMERICAL DATA
DATA COVARIANCES
INTERNATIONAL COOPERATION
BIOLOGICAL RADIATION EFFECTS