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Title: Near-term prospects for solar energy: an economic analysis

Journal Article · · Nat. Resour. J.; (United States)
OSTI ID:7292619

Current projections, retaining a high capital cost of $10 per square foot for installed solar collectors, find that residential solar water- and space-heating systems should be economically feasible by 1990. Earlier economic projections were poor because they were based on pre-1973 cheap energy supplies and are no longer valid. Regional scenarios are developed to show future energy prices, including price controls and curtailments, and consumer costs for both current and life-cycle use. Areas with decontrolled energy prices or natural gas shortages are shown to encourage widespread use of solar energy. Other areas may also shift because of high fuel costs or because of a combination of favorable sun and interest rates. Available capital is crucial to the expansion of solar energy use because, unlike other energy sources, there are no fuel costs. Low-income groups will suffer and present energy resource owners will enjoy windfall profits unless decontrol of prices is accompanied by taxes designed to distribute income equitably. Loan guarantees and low interest rates for investment in solar equipment could be an appropriate alternative strategy to price decontrol. (DCK)

OSTI ID:
7292619
Journal Information:
Nat. Resour. J.; (United States), Vol. 17:2
Country of Publication:
United States
Language:
English