Petrochemicals may fare better as feed costs dip and processes are improved
With fewer projects under way and with lower feedstock costs, the U.S. and European petrochemical industries could fare better this year. According to a survey by the Chemical Manufacturers Association, chemical industry shipments were up nearly 3% in the U.S. in 1984, compared to a year earlier. However, basic petrochemical production did not share uniformly in that increase. Comparative polymer and aromatics output was on the positive side, as was output of acetic acid, acrylonitrile, and vinyl chloride. But production of many other materials, including ethylene and propylene, was lower than the year before. The drop in ethylene output is somewhat deceiving. Producers for the most part were running available capacity near the maximum. Demand held up well and inventories dropped throughout the year, falling from over 2 billion lb to about 970 million lb as of the end of December. U.S. demand for ethylene and propylene is expected to remain strong in 1986. Propylene, in particular, should benefit from a worldwide shift to lighter feedstock. Petrochemical demand was also strong worldwide, and U.S. exports were relatively good. The long term projection is for a drop in the U.S. balance of trade in petrochemicals for the rest of the decade. But 1985 saw mishaps at production facilities in Europe that actually prompted a healthy increase in imports from the U.S., particularly for high-density polyethylene. Still, the International Trade Commission sees a drop in the U.S. petrochemical trade balance from the current $10 billion to around $1.6 billion in 1990 as a result of the expansion of the petrochemical industry in developing countries. Falling oil prices have given European producers some breathing room, however. One producer feels that European plants based on naphtha can, at least for a time, be competitive with the Middle East's ethane-fed plants, when delivery costs are factored in.
- Research Organization:
- Petrochemical/Gas
- OSTI ID:
- 5755205
- Journal Information:
- Oil Gas J.; (United States), Vol. 84:14
- Country of Publication:
- United States
- Language:
- English
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29 ENERGY PLANNING
POLICY AND ECONOMY
PETROCHEMICAL PLANTS
COST
PRODUCTION
PETROCHEMICALS
SUPPLY AND DEMAND
TRADE
ACETIC ACID
ACRYLONITRILE
AROMATICS
CHEMICAL FEEDSTOCKS
CHEMICAL INDUSTRY
ETHYLENE
EUROPE
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POLYMERS
PROPYLENE
SURVEYS
USA
VINYL CHLORIDE
ALKENES
CARBOXYLIC ACIDS
CHEMICAL PLANTS
CHLORINATED ALIPHATIC HYDROCARBONS
HALOGENATED ALIPHATIC HYDROCARBONS
HYDROCARBONS
INDUSTRIAL PLANTS
INDUSTRY
MONOCARBOXYLIC ACIDS
NITRILES
NORTH AMERICA
ORGANIC ACIDS
ORGANIC CHLORINE COMPOUNDS
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ORGANIC NITROGEN COMPOUNDS
PETROLEUM PRODUCTS
020500* - Petroleum- Products & By-Products
020700 - Petroleum- Economics
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294002 - Energy Planning & Policy- Petroleum