Hydrologic sensitivities of the Sacramento-San Joaquin River basin, California, to global warming
The hydrologic sensitivities of four medium-sized mountainous catchments in the Sacramento and San Joaquin River basins to long-term global warming were analyzed. The hydrologic response of these catchments, all of which are dominated by spring snowmelt runoff, were simulated by the coupling of the snowmelt and the soil moisture accounting models of the U.S. National Weather Service River Forecast System. In all four catchments the global warming pattern, which was indexed to CO2 doubling scenarios simulated by three (global) general circulation models, produced a major seasonal shift in the snow accumulation pattern. Under the alternative climate scenarios more winter precipitation fell as rain instead of snow, and winter runoff increased while spring snowmelt runoff decreased. In addition, large increases in the annual flood maxima were simulated, primarily due to an increase in rain-on-snow events, with the time of ocurrence of many large floods shifting from spring to winter.
- Research Organization:
- Washington Univ., Seattle, WA (United States). Dept. of Civil Engineering
- OSTI ID:
- 5674752
- Report Number(s):
- PB-91-177279/XAB
- Resource Relation:
- Other Information: Pub. in Water Resources Research, v26 n1 p69-86 Jan 90. Prepared in cooperation with Asian Inst. of Tech., Bangkok (Thailand). Div. of Water Resources Engineering. Sponsored by Corvallis Environmental Research Lab., OR
- Country of Publication:
- United States
- Language:
- English
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Related Subjects
CALIFORNIA
AIR-WATER INTERACTIONS
CARBON DIOXIDE
ECOLOGICAL CONCENTRATION
GREENHOUSE EFFECT
GLOBAL ASPECTS
GENERAL CIRCULATION MODELS
HYDROLOGY
RAIN
RIVERS
RUNOFF
SEASONAL VARIATIONS
SIMULATION
SNOW
ATMOSPHERIC PRECIPITATIONS
CARBON COMPOUNDS
CARBON OXIDES
CHALCOGENIDES
DEVELOPED COUNTRIES
ENVIRONMENTAL TRANSPORT
FEDERAL REGION IX
MASS TRANSFER
MATHEMATICAL MODELS
NORTH AMERICA
OXIDES
OXYGEN COMPOUNDS
STREAMS
SURFACE WATERS
USA
VARIATIONS
540120* - Environment
Atmospheric- Chemicals Monitoring & Transport- (1990-)