Use of models to predict fate of oil spills on land
- Tetra Tech, Inc., Lafayette, CA (United States)
The MOSES code was originally developed to estimate the probability that oil spills from substations or aboveground tanks could reach surface water by overland flow. The Electric Power Research Institute sponsored the development of a mathematical model to estimate the probability of spills reaching surface water. The model incorporates a Monte Carlo routine to select values from user-defined input ranges and then to evaluate whether a spill with those characteristics and site conditions could reach surface water. Probabilities are typically calculated for 100,000 simulations. Since its development, the model has been used to predict the chances of spills at substations reaching nearby surface waters, to assist in designing new substations, and to estimate the probability that leaks from tanks or pipelines could reach nearby surface waters or storm drains. The model has also been used to estimate the volume of additional storage capacity needed to contain given spill sizes and to evaluate other potential mitigation measures (e.g. increased gravel bed, sumps, or berms). The use of the model is discussed.
- Research Organization:
- Electric Power Research Inst. (EPRI), Palo Alto, CA (United States); Carnot, Tustin, CA (United States)
- OSTI ID:
- 35488
- Report Number(s):
- EPRI-TR-103990; CONF-9310354-; TRN: 95:002413-0004
- Resource Relation:
- Conference: 1993 fuel oil utilization workshop, Baltimore, MD (United States), 27-28 Oct 1993; Other Information: PBD: Aug 1994; Related Information: Is Part Of Proceedings: 1993 fuel oil utilization workshop; PB: 217 p.
- Country of Publication:
- United States
- Language:
- English
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