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Title: Dryland climate change: Recent progress and challenges: Dryland Climate Change

Journal Article · · Reviews of Geophysics (1985)
DOI:https://doi.org/10.1002/2016rg000550· OSTI ID:1532993
ORCiD logo [1]; ORCiD logo [2]; ORCiD logo [3];  [1]; ORCiD logo [4]; ORCiD logo [5];  [6];  [7]; ORCiD logo [8];  [9]; ORCiD logo [1]; ORCiD logo [1];  [1]; ORCiD logo [1];  [1]; ORCiD logo [1];  [1]; ORCiD logo [10]; ORCiD logo [11];  [1] more »;  [1] « less
  1. Lanzhou Univ. (China)
  2. Lanzhou Univ. (China); Shenyang Agricultural Univ. (China)
  3. Chinese Academy of Sciences (CAS), Beijing (China); Nanjing Univ. (China)
  4. Lanzhou Univ. (China); Univ. of Washington, Seattle, WA (United States)
  5. Univ. at Albany, NY (United States)
  6. Nagoya Univ. (Japan)
  7. Chinese Academy of Sciences (CAS), Beijing (China)
  8. Nanjing Univ. of Technology (China). State Key Lab. of Materials-Oriented Chemical Engineering (MCE)
  9. Univ. of Maryland, College Park, MD (United States); Beijing Normal Univ. (China)
  10. Sun Yan-sen Univ., Guangzhou (China)
  11. Key Laboratory of Arid Climatic Change and Reducing Disaster of Gansu Province and Key Open Laboratory of Arid Climatic Change and Disaster Reduction of CMA, Institute of Arid Meteorology, CMA, Lanzhou (China)

Drylands are home to more than 38% of the world's population and are one of the most sensitive areas to climate change and human activities. This review describes recent progress in dryland climate change research. Recent findings indicate that the long-term trend of the aridity index (AI) is mainly attributable to increased greenhouse gas emissions, while anthropogenic aerosols exert small effects but alter its attributions. Atmosphere-land interactions determine the intensity of regional response. The largest warming during the last 100 years was observed over drylands and accounted for more than half of the continental warming. The global pattern and interdecadal variability of aridity changes are modulated by oceanic oscillations. The different phases of those oceanic oscillations induce significant changes in land-sea and north-south thermal contrasts, which affect the intensity of the westerlies and planetary waves and the blocking frequency, thereby altering global changes in temperature and precipitation. During 1948–2008, the drylands in the Americas became wetter due to enhanced westerlies, whereas the drylands in the Eastern Hemisphere became drier because of the weakened East Asian summer monsoon. Drylands as defined by the AI have expanded over the last 60 years and are projected to expand in the 21st century. The largest expansion of drylands has occurred in semiarid regions since the early 1960s. Dryland expansion will lead to reduced carbon sequestration and enhanced regional warming. The increasing aridity, enhanced warming, and rapidly growing population will exacerbate the risk of land degradation and desertification in the near future in developing countries.

Research Organization:
State Univ. of New York (SUNY), Albany, NY (United States)
Sponsoring Organization:
USDOE Office of Science (SC)
Grant/Contract Number:
SC0012602
OSTI ID:
1532993
Journal Information:
Reviews of Geophysics (1985), Vol. 55, Issue 3; ISSN 8755-1209
Publisher:
American Geophysical Union (AGU)Copyright Statement
Country of Publication:
United States
Language:
English
Citation Metrics:
Cited by: 409 works
Citation information provided by
Web of Science

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Relative roles of biogenic emissions and Saharan dust as ice nuclei in the Amazon basin journal May 2009
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Problems of rainfall-runoff modelling in arid and semiarid regions journal August 1988
Recent Northern Hemisphere tropical expansion primarily driven by black carbon and tropospheric ozone journal May 2012
Impact of Ural Blocking on Winter Warm Arctic–Cold Eurasian Anomalies. Part I: Blocking-Induced Amplification journal June 2016
Climate System Response to External Forcings and Climate Change Projections in CCSM4 journal June 2012
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AO, COWL, and Observed Climate Trends journal June 2004
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The Role of Aerosols in the Evolution of Tropical North Atlantic Ocean Temperature Anomalies journal March 2009
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Uncertainties in historical changes and future projections of drought. Part II: model-simulated historical and future drought changes journal July 2016
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Interpretation of Interdecadal Trends in Northern Hemisphere Surface Air Temperature journal February 1996
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No pause in the increase of hot temperature extremes journal February 2014
Distinct effects of anthropogenic aerosols on tropical cyclones journal March 2014
Observed heavy precipitation increase confirms theory and early models journal October 2016
Indirect climate forcing over the western US from Asian dust storms: INDIRECT CLIMATE FORCING FROM ASIAN DUST STORMS journal May 2002
The influence of the Interdecadal Pacific Oscillation on Temperature and Precipitation over the Globe journal February 2015
Impact of Ural Blocking on Winter Warm Arctic–Cold Eurasian Anomalies. Part II: The Link to the North Atlantic Oscillation journal June 2016
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Enhanced cold-season warming in semi-arid regions journal January 2012
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Responses of terrestrial aridity to global warming journal July 2014
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Pan-Continental Droughts in North America over the Last Millennium text January 2014
Intensification of North American Megadroughts through Surface and Dust Aerosol Forcing text January 2013
Aerosol Effects on Clouds and Climate book January 2007
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Subseasonal relationship between Arctic and Eurasian surface air temperature journal February 2021
A Review of Twentieth-Century Drought Indices Used in the United States journal August 2002
The Quantification of Drought: An Evaluation of Drought Indices journal August 2002
Ground-based aerosol climatology of China: aerosol optical depths from the China Aerosol Remote Sensing Network (CARSNET) 2002–2013 journal January 2015
Global indirect aerosol effects: a review journal January 2004
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North American megadroughts in the Common Era: reconstructions and simulations text January 2016
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Model projections of an imminent transition to a more arid climate in southwestern North America text January 2007
Modeling of Tropical Forcing of Persistent Droughts and Pluvials over Western North America: 1856–2000 text January 2005
Stratospheric Ozone Depletion: The Main Driver of Twentieth-Century Atmospheric Circulation Changes in the Southern Hemisphere text January 2011
North American megadroughts in the Common Era: reconstructions and simulations text January 2016

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